P | Pittsburgh Pirates
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 214 lbs | Age: 30
Draft: 2017 | Rd. 19, No. 565, Los Angeles Angels | Pittsburgh
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 0 0 5.06 3 0 0 5.1 6 1.13
2025 3 3 2.45 44 0 0 47.2 45 1.13
2026 0 0 4.50 29 0 0 28 24 1.39
4 Seasons 3 3 3.48 80 0 0 85.1 78 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 3 0-0 5.06 5.1 6 1.13
2025 44 3-3 2.45 47.2 45 1.13
2026 29 0-0 4.50 28 24 1.39
4 Seasons 80 3-3 3.48 85.1 78 1.28
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 25 91 15 2 13.3 8.7 90.0 107.1 25.2 26.7 .217 .541 .357 .397 .377 46.7 13.0 21.7 6.23 7.21
2024 28 100 11 1 9.1 4.3 83.3 104.3 6.8 36.4 .221 .334 .219 .360 .374 27.3 26.1 21.7 5.06 5.48
2025 29 777 132 8 6.1 4.0 89.4 112.3 23.8 33.3 .208 .361 .264 .283 .321 39.4 22.7 9.6 2.46 3.28
2026 30 496 83 11 13.3 9.1 90.9 111.5 18.9 45.8 .290 .521 .323 .383 .439 45.8 19.8 10.7 4.50 6.48
Player 1464 241 22 9.1 6.0 89.7 112.3 21.4 37.3 .237 .424 .287 .328 .368 41.5 21.4 11.5
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Mattson relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(73.2%) ,
Changeup
(10.3%) ,
Slider
(10.1%) ,
Sweeper
(6.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2021 33.3 66.7 53.3 6.7 6.7 20.0 33.3 46.7 13.3 13.3 6.7 6.7 20.0 40.0
2024 54.5 45.5 18.2 18.2 9.1 9.1 54.5 36.4 0.0 36.4 18.2 9.1 18.2 18.2
2025 28.8 71.2 32.6 22.0 16.7 21.2 43.2 35.6 8.3 15.2 5.3 12.9 28.0 30.3
2026 24.1 75.9 33.7 32.5 9.6 25.3 38.6 36.1 6.0 13.3 4.8 19.3 25.3 31.3
Player 28.6 71.4 33.6 24.5 13.3 22.0 41.5 36.5 7.5 15.4 5.8 14.5 26.1 30.7
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 0.0 20.0 40.0 13.3 13.3 13.3 8.7
2024 9.1 27.3 18.2 27.3 9.1 9.1 4.3
2025 5.3 18.2 40.9 21.2 8.3 6.1 4.0
2026 8.4 15.7 27.7 26.5 8.4 13.3 9.1
Player 6.2 17.8 35.3 22.8 8.7 9.1 6.0
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Changeup PIT R 51 85.9 31.0 -1.4 10.1ARM -3.8 6.1 -2.2 10.1ARM -4.3
2026 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 363 93.9 13.0 1.7 9.7ARM 2.3 18.1 2.3 9.7ARM 1.9
2026 Slider PIT R 50 84.0 37.0 -0.9 3.1GLV -1.2 1.9 -0.5 3.1GLV -0.7
2026 Sweeper PIT R 32 83.1 40.9 1.9 10.2GLV -3.6 -1.2 2.2 10.2GLV -3.6
2025 Curveball PIT R 9 79.0 50.1 -4.6 4.3GLV -4.3 -6.5 -3.7 4.3GLV -4.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 610 93.9 12.4 2.0 8.2ARM 1.3 18.7 2.9 8.2ARM 0.6
2025 Slider PIT R 68 85.3 32.0 -3.8 3.0GLV -1.1 5.6 -3.8 3.0GLV -1.2
2025 Changeup PIT R 90 85.9 28.4 -3.9 11.4ARM -2.9 8.7 -4.6 11.4ARM -3.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 1.3 5 363 73.2 92 .215 .304 .285 19.2 17.4 13.2 .285 .488 .374 46.9
2026 Changeup -4.0 -2 51 10.3 5 .600 .800 .610 20.0 20.0 5.9 .310 .687 .419 50.0
2026 Slider -1.3 -1 50 10.1 15 .333 .667 .420 31.3 33.3 33.3 .328 .532 .368 40.0
2026 Sweeper -2.5 -1 32 6.5 9 .143 .571 .378 21.4 22.2 13.3 .247 .753 .475 40.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.3 8 610 78.5 138 .191 .287 .267 23.1 25.4 19.1 .205 .337 .288 40.0
2025 Changeup -2.6 -2 90 11.6 33 .281 .406 .338 18.0 12.1 10.5 .270 .464 .324 42.9
2025 Slider 2.8 2 68 8.8 23 .130 .304 .180 32.4 21.7 19.2 .139 .350 .204 33.3
2025 Curveball -3.7 0 9 1.2 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 0.0 .405 .446 .375 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 48 85.9 96 12.4 2:00 2:15 -15
2026 4-Seam Fastball 363 93.9 98 20.3 1:00 1:00 0
2026 Slider 50 84.0 26 5.4 9:00 9:00 0
2026 Sweeper 32 83.1 34 11.7 8:00 8:30 -30
2025 Changeup 87 85.9 95 14.3 1:45 2:00 -15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 593 93.8 98 20.1 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Slider 65 85.1 40 6.1 11:30 10:45 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 23 91 1 0 -1 -1 -1
2024 23 100 2 1 -1 0 1
2025 195 777 7 10 -8 -2 7
2026 121 496 7 3 -7 -2 1
Player 362 1,464 18 14 -18 18 9
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 91 42.9 71.8 82.1 25.0 61.5 34.1 52.2 45.1 24.4 5.5 60.0
2024 100 47.0 68.1 81.3 26.4 64.3 45.0 47.8 46.0 23.9 10.0 90.0
2025 777 54.2 69.4 79.5 29.2 69.2 42.2 66.3 51.0 23.2 8.4 80.0
2026 496 51.0 70.0 85.3 27.2 62.1 38.9 58.7 49.0 21.0 9.3 76.1
Player 1,464 51.9 69.6 81.7 28.0 66.0 40.8 61.7 49.6 22.6 8.6 78.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2021 36 57 84
2024 50 77 70
2025 43 74 77
2026 51 78 29 19 3 39 70 9 18 18 33 23 2 9 1 73
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 -- 0 0.3 0 2 0 0 --
2025 21.04 4 3.9 0 1 4 1 25.0
2026 25.12 3 3.8 -1 1 3 2 66.7
Player 22.79 7 8.0 -1 4 7 3 42.9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2021 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
2025 4 4 2 3 3 4 4 5 3 3 4 3 5 5 4 4 4 3 4 5 5 3 4 4 4 2 4 5 5 5 4
2026 3 5 4 2 4 5 4 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 5 4 3 3 5 4 3 4 5 5 2 2 4 4 5 4 4
Player 7 9 6 6 7 9 8 9 7 7 7 9 8 9 9 9 7 6 9 9 8 8 10 9 6 4 9 9 10 9 8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .245 +.042 .203 +.144 .059
xBA .290 +.082 .208 -.013 .221
OBP .331 +.045 .286 -.018 .304
xOBP .370 +.080 .290 -.134 .424
SLG .396 +.082 .314 +.255 .059
xSLG .521 +.160 .361 +.027 .334
ISO .151 +.041 .110 +.110 .000
xISO .231 +.078 .153 +.040 .113
BABIP .287 +.041 .246 +.155 .091
wOBA .323 +.059 .264 +.045 .219
xwOBA .383 +.100 .283 -.077 .360
wOBAcon .352 +.059 .293 +.213 .080
xwOBAcon .439 +.118 .321 -.053 .374
BACON .313 +.044 .269 +.178 .091
xBACON .370 +.094 .276 -.066 .342
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 45.8 +6.4 39.4 +12.1 27.3
Avg Exit Velocity 90.9 +1.5 89.4 +6.1 83.3
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 45.8 +12.5 33.3 -3.1 36.4
Barrel % 13.3 +7.2 6.1 -3.0 9.1
Avg Launch Angle 18.9 -4.9 23.8 +17.0 6.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.4 +0.7 70.7 +1.6 69.1
Attack Angle
Ideal Attack Angle % 48.8 +3.4 45.4 +7.9 37.5
Attack Direction -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 31° 31° +1° 31°
Swing Length 7.0 +0.1 6.9 -0.2 7.1
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 93.9 0.0 93.9 -0.1 94.0
Breaking Velocity 83.6 -0.9 84.5 -1.7 86.2
Offspeed Velocity 85.9 0.0 85.9 +0.8 85.1
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 11 +3 8 +7 1
Popup % 9.6 -7.1 16.7 +7.6 9.1
Flyball % 33.7 +1.1 32.6 +14.4 18.2
Line Drive % 32.5 +10.5 22.0 +3.8 18.2
Groundball % 24.1 -4.7 28.8 -25.7 54.5
Pull % 25.3 +4.1 21.2 +12.1 9.1
Straight Away % 38.6 -4.6 43.2 -11.3 54.5
Opposite Field % 36.1 +0.5 35.6 -0.8 36.4
Weak Contact % 8.4 +3.1 5.3 -3.8 9.1
Pull Airball % 19.3 +6.4 12.9 +3.8 9.1
Topped Contact % 15.7 -2.5 18.2 -9.1 27.3
Under Contact % 27.7 -13.2 40.9 +22.7 18.2
Flare/Burner Contact % 26.5 +5.3 21.2 -6.1 27.3
Solid Contact % 8.4 +0.1 8.3 -0.8 9.1
HR/FB % 10.7 +1.4 9.3 +9.3 0.0
Popups 8 -14 22 +21 1
Flyballs 28 -15 43 +41 2
Line Drives 27 -2 29 +27 2
Groundballs 20 -18 38 +32 6
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 51.0 -3.2 54.2 +7.2 47.0
Out of Zone % 49.0 +3.2 45.8 -7.2 53.0
Edge % 38.9 -3.3 42.2 -2.8 45.0
Zone Swing % 70.0 +0.6 69.4 +1.3 68.1
Out of Zone Swing % 27.2 -2.0 29.2 +2.8 26.4
In Zone Contact % 85.3 +5.8 79.5 -1.8 81.3
Out of Zone Contact % 62.1 -7.1 69.2 +4.9 64.3
Whiff % 21.0 -2.2 23.2 -0.7 23.9
First Strike % 58.7 -7.6 66.3 +18.5 47.8
First Pitch Swing % 30.6 -3.1 33.7 +16.3 17.4
Swing % 49.0 -2.0 51.0 +5.0 46.0
Meatball Swing % 76.1 -3.9 80.0 -10.0 90.0
Meatball % 9.3 +0.9 8.4 -1.6 10.0
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.7 -5.8 20.5 +1.7 18.8
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 37.9 +7.1 30.8 -4.9 35.7
In Zone 253 -168 421 +374 47
Out of Zone 243 -113 356 +303 53
Edge 193 -135 328 +283 45
In Zone Swings 177 -115 292 +260 32
Out of Zone Swings 66 -38 104 +90 14
In Zone Swing & Misses 26 -34 60 +54 6
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 25 -7 32 +27 5
Basic
Pitches 496 -281 777 +677 100
PA 121 -77 198 +175 23
AB 106 -66 172 +155 17
Hits 26 -9 35 +34 1
Singles 16 -8 24 +23 1
Doubles 7 0 7 +7 0
Triples 0 0 0 0 0
Home Runs 3 -1 4 +4 0
Walks 13 -6 19 +14 5
Strikeouts 24 -21 45 +39 6
K% 19.8 -2.9 22.7 -3.4 26.1
BB% 10.7 +1.1 9.6 -12.1 21.7
HBP 1 -1 2 +1 1
Batted Balls 83 -49 132 +121 11
Fastball Percent 73.2 -5.3 78.5 +8.5 70.0
Offspeed Percent 10.3 -1.3 11.6 -11.4 23.0
Breaking Percent 16.5 +6.6 9.9 +2.9 7.0
Number of Fastballs 363 -247 610 +540 70
Number of Offspeed 51 -39 90 +67 23
Number of Breaking 82 +5 77 +70 7
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 23 .357 15 3 20.0 8 5 62.5
2024 Shades 23 .219 13 0 0.0 10 0 0.0
2025 Shades 195 .266 104 1 1.0 91 39 42.9
2026 Shades 121 .323 59 0 0.0 62 17 27.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 18 17.1 27.8% 0.0% 23 21.2 0.0% 4.3%
2024 23 15.6 26.1% 0.0% 20 18.8 0.0% 0.0%
2025 190 17.0 13.2% 0.0% 143 19.1 0.0% 2.1%
2026 122 18.1 2.5% 4.1% 75 19.6 0.0% 1.3%

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Pitch Distribution