Homer Bailey
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 223LBS | Age: 37
Draft: 2004 | Rd: 1, #7, Cincinnati Reds | La Grange HS (TX)
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2018 1 14 6.09 20 20 0 106.1 75 1.64
2019 13 9 4.57 31 31 0 163.1 149 1.32
2020 1 0 3.38 2 2 0 8 7 1.13
14 Seasons 81 86 4.56 245 245 0 1,401.2 1,157 1.37
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2018 20 1-14 6.09 106.1 75 1.64
2019 31 13-9 4.57 163.1 149 1.32
2020 2 1-0 3.38 8 7 1.13
14 Seasons 245 81-86 4.56 1,401.2 1,157 1.37
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 29 171 44 5 11.4 9.8 91.4 109.8 4.7 25.0 .350 .642 .419 .437 .458 50.0 5.9 7.8 5.56 9.00
2016 30 458 75 6 8.0 5.4 90.4 111.1 8.7 38.7 .298 .441 .357 .343 .426 40.0 24.3 6.3 6.65 5.07
2017 31 1575 303 14 4.6 3.3 87.5 111.6 8.7 38.9 .299 .455 .375 .366 .394 37.6 16.0 10.0 6.43 6.00
2018 32 1789 384 33 8.6 6.7 89.7 114.5 11.7 40.4 .297 .506 .377 .362 .411 42.7 15.2 6.7 6.09 5.77
2019 33 2836 490 28 5.7 4.0 90.3 114.7 13.6 31.6 .262 .416 .307 .318 .373 39.5 21.4 7.6 4.57 4.47
2020 34 133 22 1 4.5 3.0 91.8 108.5 13.5 50.0 .272 .465 .290 .359 .411 50.0 21.2 9.1 3.38 5.66
Player 6962 1318 87 6.6 4.8 89.6 114.7 11.4 36.3 .285 .458 .347 .347 .395 40.5 18.2 7.9
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Bailey relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(43.6%) ,
Split Finger
(22.6%) ,
Slider
(22.6%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(10.5%) ,
Sinker
(0.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 59.1 15.9 22.7 2.3 31.8 40.9 27.3 2.3 38.6 11.4 22.7 2.3 11.4 9.8
2016 46.7 14.7 33.3 5.3 34.7 46.7 18.7 0.0 34.7 17.3 36.0 1.3 8.0 5.4
2017 45.5 17.5 31.4 5.6 33.3 41.6 25.1 4.3 32.7 18.2 33.7 5.0 4.6 3.3
2018 43.8 21.1 28.6 6.5 38.0 40.1 21.9 3.9 31.3 19.8 25.0 9.9 8.6 6.7
2019 45.3 22.4 25.1 7.1 36.7 35.5 27.8 1.6 32.0 24.9 28.6 6.1 5.7 4.0
2020 36.4 18.2 40.9 4.5 31.8 50.0 18.2 0.0 36.4 22.7 27.3 9.1 4.5 3.0
Player 45.3 20.2 28.2 6.3 36.0 39.3 24.7 2.8 32.4 20.9 28.9 6.6 6.6 4.8
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.9 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 Sinker MIN R 1 93.9 16.1 -4.2 -20 13.9 -0.4 -3
2020 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 58 91.3 15.9 -0.2 -1 8.7 2.6 44
2020 Split-Finger MIN R 30 82.9 35.1 -0.4 -1 7.0 -2.5 -26
2020 Curveball MIN R 14 74.9 57.9 -4.2 -7 11.2 0.9 9
2020 Slider MIN R 30 84.1 34.4 -3.0 -8 3.2 -1.7 -34
2019 Split-Finger OAK R 740 84.1 35.3 1.0 3 7.5 -1.2 -14
2019 Slider OAK R 399 87.3 30.1 -3.0 -9 2.4 -1.1 -31
2019 Curveball OAK R 249 78.4 53.5 -2.2 -4 10.1 1.7 20
2019 Sinker OAK R 68 92.7 19.8 -1.6 -7 13.3 -0.9 -6
2019 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 1,349 93.0 16.4 -1.1 -7 8.0 1.3 20
2018 Split-Finger CIN R 292 85.8 31.2 -1.8 -5 10.6 0.4 4
2018 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 722 93.0 17.3 -1.6 -10 8.2 1.2 17
2018 Changeup CIN R 2 86.2 30.9 1.0 3 18.1 4.7 35
2018 Curveball CIN R 178 79.3 52.3 -1.9 -4 9.1 1.0 13
2018 Sinker CIN R 267 93.1 20.0 -1.2 -6 13.9 -0.4 -3
2018 Slider CIN R 327 87.4 30.0 -2.3 -7 1.9 -1.9 -50
2017 Curveball CIN R 68 78.0 50.7 -3.2 -6 10.7 2.3 27
2017 Changeup CIN R 1 90.5 20.1 -4.1 -17 4.7 -9.6 -67
2017 Sinker CIN R 272 93.3 18.6 -0.9 -5 13.8 -0.8 -5
2017 Split-Finger CIN R 301 86.3 28.9 -1.2 -4 9.2 -1.4 -13
2017 Slider CIN R 329 87.1 28.6 -2.4 -8 2.0 -1.0 -33
2017 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 602 93.6 14.6 -0.8 -6 7.7 0.3 3
2016 Changeup CIN R 68 86.8 30.9 1.2 4 8.4 -4.1 -33
2016 Curveball CIN R 40 78.6 54.4 -1.7 -3 13.0 2.8 28
2016 Sinker CIN R 49 92.9 23.1 1.7 8 11.1 -2.6 -19
2016 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 193 93.6 18.1 -2.4 -15 5.3 -1.5 -22
2016 Slider CIN R 108 87.8 32.1 0.1 0 5.2 0.8 19
2015 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 38 91.0 20.6 -3.5 -20 6.0 -0.9 -13
2015 Slider CIN R 23 85.0 32.5 -3.7 -10 3.6 -1.3 -27
2015 Sinker CIN R 52 92.1 21.0 -1.7 -7 14.8 0.7 5
2015 Changeup CIN R 41 85.2 31.1 0.1 0 9.2 -3.4 -27
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 1 58 43.6 14 .182 .182 .279 15.4 7.1 6.7 .257 .357 .355 50.0
2020 Slider -0.8 0 30 22.6 10 .111 .444 .270 41.2 30.0 33.3 .299 .715 .450 50.0
2020 Split-Finger -0.9 0 30 22.6 7 .286 .429 .307 23.5 42.9 17.6 .311 .413 .311 50.0
2020 Curveball -6.0 -1 14 10.5 2 .500 .500 .450 0.0 0.0 0.0 .099 .113 .094 50.0
2020 Sinker 0.0 0 1 0.8 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2019 4-Seam Fastball -0.2 -3 1,349 47.6 351 .281 .429 .358 15.6 15.1 13.3 .303 .513 .380 46.7
2019 Split-Finger 1.3 10 740 26.1 199 .182 .302 .227 38.2 37.2 21.2 .180 .264 .200 27.5
2019 Slider 0.0 0 399 14.1 83 .311 .419 .352 25.3 12.0 10.4 .305 .401 .345 32.3
2019 Curveball -0.8 -2 249 8.8 36 .343 .714 .432 26.9 19.4 14.0 .258 .445 .303 41.4
2019 Sinker -1.6 -1 68 2.4 20 .294 .471 .389 13.2 10.0 18.2 .329 .476 .384 37.5
2018 4-Seam Fastball -1.7 -12 722 40.4 188 .347 .576 .431 15.2 14.9 15.7 .323 .550 .401 49.3
2018 Slider -1.7 -6 327 18.3 94 .253 .471 .340 22.9 11.7 13.9 .279 .488 .342 35.4
2018 Split-Finger -1.3 -4 292 16.3 83 .287 .450 .334 30.1 22.9 16.2 .249 .419 .301 35.5
2018 Sinker -1.3 -4 267 14.9 74 .371 .629 .463 11.6 5.4 9.5 .361 .580 .416 44.8
2018 Curveball -0.2 0 178 9.9 46 .250 .568 .348 21.2 28.3 18.6 .217 .408 .274 40.6
2018 Changeup 0.0 0 2 0.1 -- -- -- 100.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2017 4-Seam Fastball -1.8 -11 602 38.2 161 .370 .587 .441 13.7 10.6 12.0 .327 .500 .390 40.6
2017 Slider -1.6 -5 329 20.9 93 .289 .446 .358 31.9 21.5 22.7 .294 .455 .359 30.2
2017 Split-Finger -0.1 0 301 19.1 77 .247 .356 .305 33.1 26.0 22.2 .252 .341 .286 35.8
2017 Sinker -1.3 -4 272 17.3 74 .276 .431 .414 12.0 9.5 16.3 .305 .489 .414 39.2
2017 Curveball -2.3 -2 68 4.3 12 .300 .700 .463 25.0 16.7 6.5 .305 .529 .408 50.0
2017 Changeup 3.2 0 1 0.1 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 4-Seam Fastball 58 91.3 96 18.5 1:00 1:00 0
2020 Splitter 25 83.1 93 9.5 2:15 2:30 -15
2020 Knuckle Curve 14 74.9 90 16.5 7:00 7:30 -30
2020 Slider 29 84.2 39 5.1 12:00 10:15 105
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2008 179 677 -10 -3 -4 -2 -19
2009 485 1,986 11 3 -10 -8 -4
2010 467 1,938 -1 22 -14 -7 0
2011 559 2,095 -3 19 -12 -5 -2
2012 895 3,406 1 30 -12 -10 9
2013 846 3,279 -3 32 -9 -8 12
2014 603 2,272 2 18 -11 -7 2
2015 49 163 -2 0 0 -1 -2
2016 111 458 0 4 -3 -3 -3
2017 417 1,573 -7 8 -16 -7 -21
2018 485 1,789 -18 5 -8 -5 -25
2019 689 2,805 21 9 -17 -9 4
2020 33 133 0 1 -1 -1 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 171 41.1 66.7 89.1 34.3 73.5 46.4 62.7 46.8 17.5 5.4 77.8
2016 458 46.3 68.9 87.0 28.9 57.7 44.5 54.1 47.4 20.7 6.1 78.6
2017 1,575 52.1 68.3 82.3 23.9 62.8 45.3 61.2 47.0 21.9 7.4 83.8
2018 1,789 52.7 69.0 87.2 30.7 61.2 44.0 62.8 50.9 19.5 8.0 80.6
2019 2,836 49.4 67.8 83.6 29.6 57.6 42.1 63.6 48.5 24.1 7.5 73.2
2020 133 49.6 69.7 82.6 26.9 61.1 47.4 57.6 48.1 23.4 6.8 88.9
Player 6,962 50.5 68.3 84.6 28.7 60.1 43.7 62.1 48.6 22.0 7.5 78.3
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 32 15 64
2016 59 21 79
2017 5 3 21 51 2 51 74 41 12 14 24 33 15 59 14 2 83
2018 4 1 2 5 10 12 15 12 3 7 77 12 82 52 14 1 71
2019 44 27 47 64 41 26 75 11 24 39 59 41 55 45 16 1 83
2020 22 24 59
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 23.3 2 2.1 0 0 3 0 0.0
2017 23.5 11 9.2 2 7 8 3 27.3
2018 23.2 23 20.0 3 7 17 5 21.7
2019 23.3 21 22.8 -2 9 19 9 42.9
2020 21.9 1 1.0 0 0 0 1 100.0
Player 23.3 58 55.1 3 23 47 18 31.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 2 3 0 2 2 1 3 2 2 1 2 3 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 1 2 3 3 2 2 2
2017 11 9 8 12 10 8 11 10 8 6 9 14 8 9 9 9 6 7 11 10 11 6 13 11 8 6 8 12 10 9 7
2018 23 28 14 19 22 20 21 16 19 15 22 23 20 15 20 21 17 19 20 22 20 24 24 22 13 21 21 22 24 22 15
2019 21 29 22 23 27 24 25 22 21 16 16 24 26 23 25 23 23 20 23 24 22 24 27 26 20 22 19 23 29 20 16
2020 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Player 58 70 45 57 62 54 61 51 51 39 50 65 57 50 57 57 48 49 57 60 56 57 68 63 43 52 52 61 66 54 41
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.6 93.5 1.9 93.5 0.0 93.1 -0.4 93.0 -0.1 91.4 -1.6
Offspeed Velocity 85.1 86.8 1.7 86.4 -0.4 85.8 -0.6 84.1 -1.7 82.9 -1.2
Breaking Velocity 84.6 85.3 0.7 85.6 0.3 84.6 -1.0 83.9 -0.7 81.2 -2.7
Exit Velocity 91.4 90.4 -1.0 87.5 -2.9 89.7 2.2 90.3 0.6 91.8 1.5
Launch Angle 4.7 8.7 4.0 8.7 0.0 11.7 3.0 13.6 1.9 13.5 -0.1
Barrel % 11.4 8.0 -3.4 4.6 -3.4 8.6 4.0 5.7 -2.9 4.5 -1.2
Hard Hit % 50.0 40.0 -10.0 37.6 -2.4 42.7 5.1 39.5 -3.2 50.0 10.5
Sweet Spot % 25.0 38.7 13.7 38.9 0.2 40.4 1.5 31.6 -8.8 50.0 18.4
xBA .350 .298 -0.052 .299 0.001 .297 -0.002 .262 -0.035 .272 0.010
BA .340 .350 0.010 .309 -0.041 .313 0.004 .256 -0.057 .207 -0.049
xwOBA .437 .343 -0.094 .366 0.023 .362 -0.004 .318 -0.044 .359 0.041
wOBA .419 .357 -0.062 .375 0.018 .377 0.002 .307 -0.070 .290 -0.017
xSLG .642 .441 -0.201 .455 0.014 .506 0.051 .416 -0.090 .465 0.049
SLG .617 .420 -0.197 .485 0.065 .541 0.056 .403 -0.138 .345 -0.058
K% 5.9 24.3 18.4 16.0 -8.3 15.2 -0.8 21.4 6.2 21.2 -0.2
BB% 7.8 6.3 -1.5 10.0 3.7 6.7 -3.3 7.6 0.9 9.1 1.5
Swing % 46.8 47.4 0.6 47.0 -0.4 50.9 3.9 48.5 -2.4 48.1 -0.4
Whiff% 17.5 20.7 3.2 21.9 1.2 19.5 -2.4 24.1 4.6 23.4 -0.7
In Zone % 41.1 46.3 5.2 52.1 5.8 52.7 0.6 49.4 -3.3 49.6 0.2
Out of Zone % 58.9 53.7 -5.2 47.9 -5.8 47.3 -0.6 50.6 3.3 50.4 -0.2
Out of Zone Swing % 34.3 28.9 -5.4 23.9 -5.0 30.7 6.8 29.6 -1.1 26.9 -2.7
First Pitch Swing % 35.3 21.6 -13.7 31.7 10.1 30.3 -1.4 28.0 -2.3 30.3 2.3
First Pitch Strike % 62.7 54.1 -8.6 61.2 7.1 62.8 1.6 63.6 0.8 57.6 -6.0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 111 .357 64 0 0.0 47 11 23.4
2017 Shifts 417 .376 211 8 3.8 206 54 26.2
2018 Shifts 482 .373 252 3 1.2 230 82 35.7
2019 Shifts 670 .311 321 48 15.0 349 162 46.4
2020 Shifts 33 .290 16 6 37.5 17 9 52.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2010 545 19.0 12.1% 3.3% 320 23.0 1.3% 14.1%
2011 605 17.1 22.8% 2.0% 308 23.0 2.3% 12.0%
2012 1016 16.5 33.8% 2.4% 430 22.5 1.9% 9.1%
2013 1048 17.9 21.2% 3.4% 431 24.1 1.4% 13.0%
2014 716 17.7 19.1% 3.2% 294 23.6 0.3% 16.3%
2015 59 17.4 22.0% 3.4% 14 28.8 0.0% 42.9%
2016 116 18.4 19.0% 2.6% 86 22.3 9.3% 19.8%
2017 425 18.3 11.5% 1.6% 264 23.1 0.0% 14.8%
2018 494 19.1 9.1% 1.6% 268 23.8 1.1% 13.8%
2019 861 18.1 15.4% 1.7% 379 22.9 0.5% 8.7%
2020 50 17.1 20.0% 0.0% 12 21.7 0.0% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution