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Homer Bailey
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 4" 223LBS | Age: 35

Draft: 2004 | Rd: 1, #7, Cincinnati Reds | La Grange HS (TX)
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 1 0 3.38 2 2 0 8.0 7 1.13
14 Seasons 81 86 4.56 245 245 0 1401.2 1157 1.37
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 2 1-0 3.38 8.0 7 1.13
14 Seasons 245 81-86 4.56 1401.2 1157 1.37

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 29 171 44 5 11.4 91.4 109.8 4.7 25 .313 .575 .419 .393 .407 50 5.9 7.8 5.56 7.20
2016 30 458 75 6 8 90.4 111.1 8.7 38.7 .292 .432 .357 .337 .415 40 24.3 6.3 6.65 5.04
2017 31 1575 303 14 4.6 87.5 111.6 8.7 38.9 .300 .456 .375 .366 .395 37.6 16 10 6.43 6.13
2018 32 1789 384 33 8.6 89.7 114.5 11.7 40.6 .297 .505 .377 .362 .411 42.4 15.2 6.7 6.09 5.85
2019 33 2836 490 28 5.7 90.4 114.7 14 30.4 .252 .402 .307 .309 .359 40.2 21.4 7.6 4.57 4.29
2020 34 133 22 1 4.5 91.8 108.5 13.5 50 .272 .465 .290 .359 .410 50 21.2 9.1 3.38 5.70
Player 6962 1318 87 6.6 89.6 114.7 11.5 36 .280 .451 .347 .341 .388 40.8 18.2 7.9
MLB 6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .243 .403 .317 .313 .364 35.4 22 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Bailey relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(43.6%) ,
Split Finger
(22.6%) ,
Slider
(22.6%) ,
Curveball
(10.5%) ,
Sinker
(0.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2020 4-Seam Fastball 58 24 34 43.6 91.3 14 11 2 2 0 0 0 1 10 .182 .257 .182 .357 .276 .355 93.4 10 2134 6.4 15.4 6.7
2020 Split Finger 30 9 21 22.6 82.9 7 7 2 1 1 0 0 3 4 .286 .311 .429 .413 .303 .311 88.3 8 966 6.5 23.5 17.6
2020 Slider 30 23 7 22.6 84.1 10 9 1 0 0 0 1 3 6 .111 .299 .444 .715 .271 .452 93.7 20 1922 6.3 41.2 33.3
2020 Curveball 14 2 12 10.5 74.9 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 .500 .099 .500 .113 .441 .094 85.5 24 1855 6.3 0.0 0.0
2020 Sinker 1 0 1 0.8 93.9 2272 6.4 0.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball 1275 580 695 48.0 93.0 332 294 83 57 15 2 9 49 247 .282 .305 .439 .522 .342 .382 91.9 17 2095 6.5 15.3 13.3
2019 Split Finger 690 269 421 26.0 84.2 188 181 34 22 6 1 5 71 112 .188 .183 .315 .270 .219 .204 87.8 7 1122 6.0 38.1 21.5
2019 Slider 387 322 65 14.6 87.3 81 72 23 19 2 0 2 10 63 .319 .311 .431 .410 .350 .350 88.6 8 1837 6.3 26.1 10.4
2019 Curveball 237 61 176 8.9 78.3 34 33 12 7 1 0 4 6 28 .364 .268 .758 .463 .443 .315 91.3 27 1928 6.1 26.0 13.0
2019 Sinker 67 23 44 2.5 92.7 19 16 5 4 0 0 1 2 15 .313 .310 .500 .454 .378 .367 88.4 7 2030 6.5 13.5 18.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 59.1 15.9 22.7 2.3 31.8 40.9 27.3 2.3 38.6 11.4 22.7 2.3 11.4
2016 46.7 14.7 33.3 5.3 34.7 46.7 18.7 0 34.7 17.3 36 1.3 8
2017 45.5 17.5 31.4 5.6 33.3 41.6 25.1 4.3 32.7 18.2 33.7 5 4.6
2018 43.8 21.1 28.6 6.5 38 40.1 21.9 3.9 31.3 19.8 25 9.9 8.6
2019 45.3 22.4 25.1 7.1 37.3 34.9 27.8 1.4 29.8 23.5 27.6 6.1 5.7
2020 36.4 18.2 40.9 4.5 31.8 50 18.2 0 36.4 22.7 27.3 9.1 4.5
Player 45.3 20.2 28.2 6.3 36.2 39.1 24.7 2.7 31.6 20.4 28.5 6.6 6.6
MLB 45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 Sinker MIN R 1 93.9 16.1 -4 -20 13.9 -0.3 -2
2020 Splitter MIN R 30 82.9 35.1 -0.4 -1 7 -2.5 -26
2020 Curveball MIN R 14 74.9 57.9 -4.2 -7 11.2 0.9 9
2020 4-Seamer MIN R 58 91.3 15.9 -0.2 -1 8.7 2.7 44
2020 Slider MIN R 30 84.1 34.4 -2.9 -8 3.2 -1.8 -36
2019 Curveball OAK R 237 78.3 53.6 -2.1 -4 10.2 1.8 21
2019 Sinker OAK R 67 92.7 19.8 -1.6 -7 13.3 -0.8 -6
2019 4-Seamer OAK R 1275 93 16.4 -1.1 -7 7.9 1.3 20
2019 Slider OAK R 387 87.3 30.2 -3 -9 2.4 -1.1 -30
2019 Splitter OAK R 690 84.2 35.2 1 3 7.4 -1.2 -14
2018 Curveball CIN R 178 79.3 52.3 -1.9 -4 9.1 1 13
2018 Slider CIN R 327 87.4 30 -2.4 -7 1.9 -1.9 -51
2018 Changeup CIN R 2 86.2 30.9 0.9 3 18.1 4.8 36
2018 Sinker CIN R 267 93.1 20 -1.2 -6 13.9 -0.4 -3
2018 4-Seamer CIN R 722 93 17.3 -1.6 -10 8.2 1.2 17
2018 Splitter CIN R 292 85.8 31.2 -1.7 -5 10.6 0.2 2
2017 Splitter CIN R 301 86.3 28.9 -1.1 -4 9.2 -1.8 -16
2017 Slider CIN R 329 87.1 28.6 -2.5 -8 2 -1 -33
2017 Sinker CIN R 272 93.3 18.6 -0.9 -5 13.8 -0.8 -5
2017 Curveball CIN R 68 78 50.7 -3.2 -6 10.7 2.2 26
2017 Changeup CIN R 1 90.5 20.1 -4.1 -17 4.7 -9.6 -67
2017 4-Seamer CIN R 602 93.6 14.6 -0.8 -6 7.7 0.3 4
2016 4-Seamer CIN R 193 93.6 14.2 -0.7 -5 7.8 -0.5 -6
2016 Slider CIN R 108 87.8 27.4 -1.9 -6 2 0.1 5
2016 Changeup CIN R 68 86.8 25.8 -1.7 -6 10.4 -2.9 -22
2016 Sinker CIN R 49 92.9 16.2 -2.7 -14 13 -1.5 -10
2016 Curveball CIN R 40 78.6 49.6 -3.3 -6 9.7 1.9 25
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 Curveball 6.1 1 14 10.5 2 .5 .5 .45 0 0 0 .099 .113 .094 50
2020 Splitter 1 0 30 22.6 7 .286 .429 .307 23.5 42.9 17.6 .311 .413 .311 50
2020 Slider 0.8 0 30 22.6 10 .111 .444 .27 41.2 30 33.3 .299 .715 .45 50
2020 4-Seamer -1.6 -1 58 43.6 14 .182 .182 .279 15.4 7.1 6.7 .257 .357 .355 50
2020 Sinker 0 0 1 0.8 0 0
2019 Sinker 2.4 2 67 2.4 19 .313 .5 .439 13.5 10.5 18.2 .31 .454 .368 40
2019 Curveball 0.9 2 241 8.5 35 .353 .735 .444 27.6 20 14.6 .261 .449 .306 42.9
2019 Slider 0.1 0 394 13.9 82 .315 .425 .356 25.6 12.2 10.4 .307 .404 .347 33.3
2019 Splitter -1.1 -8 715 25.2 193 .188 .312 .229 38.4 37.8 21.4 .178 .263 .199 28.6
2019 4-Seamer 0.3 4 1316 46.4 341 .281 .434 .358 15.3 15 13.2 .297 .508 .375 47
2018 Curveball 0.2 0 178 9.9 46 .25 .568 .348 21.2 28.3 18.6 .218 .409 .274 40.6
2018 Sinker 1.4 4 267 14.9 74 .371 .629 .463 11.6 5.4 9.5 .362 .581 .418 44.8
2018 Splitter 1.2 3 292 16.3 83 .287 .45 .334 30.1 22.9 16.2 .25 .42 .301 35.5
2018 Slider 1.1 4 327 18.3 94 .253 .471 .327 22.9 11.7 13.9 .277 .484 .339 35.4
2018 4-Seamer 1.7 13 722 40.4 188 .347 .576 .431 15.2 14.9 15.7 .323 .548 .4 48.6
2018 Changeup 0.2 0 2 0.1 100 0
2017 Curveball 2.4 2 68 4.3 12 .3 .7 .463 25 16.7 6.5 .307 .531 .409 50
2017 Sinker 1.1 3 272 17.3 74 .276 .431 .401 12 9.5 16.3 .305 .489 .414 39.2
2017 Splitter -0.4 -1 301 19.1 77 .247 .356 .293 33.1 26 22.2 .252 .341 .286 35.8
2017 Slider 1.6 5 329 20.9 93 .289 .446 .358 31.9 21.5 22.7 .295 .456 .36 30.2
2017 4-Seamer 1.8 11 602 38.2 161 .37 .587 .441 13.7 10.6 12 .327 .5 .39 40.6
2017 Changeup -3.2 0 1 0.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Curveball 14 74.9 90 16.5 7:00 7:30 -30
2020 4-Seam Fastball 58 91.3 96 18.5 1:00 1:00 0
2020 Splitter 25 83.1 93 9.5 2:15 2:30 -15
2020 Slider 29 84.2 39 5.1 12:00 10:15 105
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2008 179 677 10 3 4 2 19
2009 485 1986 -12 -4 10 8 2
2010 467 1938 1 -21 14 7 0
2011 559 2095 4 -20 12 6 1
2012 895 3406 -2 -29 12 10 -9
2013 846 3279 3 -31 9 8 -10
2014 603 2272 -3 -16 11 7 -1
2015 49 163 2 0 0 1 2
2016 111 458 1 -4 3 3 3
2017 417 1573 5 -8 16 7 20
2018 485 1789 18 -7 8 5 24
2019 654 2656 -16 -7 17 9 2
2020 33 133 0 -1 1 1 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 171 40.5 66.2 88.9 35 74.3 46.4 62.7 46.8 17.5 5.4 77.8
2016 458 46.3 68.9 87 28.9 57.7 44.5 54.1 47.4 20.7 6.1 78.6
2017 1575 52.2 68.2 82.3 23.8 62.6 45.1 61.2 47 21.9 7.4 83.6
2018 1789 52.5 69.2 87.2 30.6 61.2 44 62.6 50.9 19.5 8 80.6
2019 2836 49.5 67.7 83.6 28.9 58 42.1 63.6 48.5 24.1 7.6 72.6
2020 133 49.6 69.7 82.6 26.9 61.1 47.4 57.6 48.1 23.4 6.8 88.9
Player 6962 50.5 68.3 84.6 28.3 60.4 43.7 62 48.6 22 7.5 78.1
MLB 48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015
2016 62 20 7
2017 4 2 19 49 1 50 74 42 12 14 24 33 4 62 14 4
2018 3 1 1 5 9 12 15 12 3 6 77 12 3 57 13 2
2019 51 37 54 65 50 26 74 9 19 39 59 41 51 52 15 0
2020
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.3 21 23.3 -2 11 19 9 42.9
2020 21.9 1 1 0 0 0 1 100

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 21 26 26 24 28 23 23 29 24 22 26 25 15 22 18 27 21 29 18 26 11 24 19 25 22 26 24 22 24 21 28
2020 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.6 93.5 1.9 93.5 0 93.1 -0.4 93 -0.1 91.4 -1.6 undefined
Offspeed Velocity 85.1 86.8 1.7 86.4 -0.4 85.8 -0.6 84.2 -1.6 82.9 -1.3 undefined
Breaking Velocity 84.6 85.3 0.7 85.6 0.3 84.6 -1 83.9 -0.7 81.2 -2.7 undefined
Exit Velocity 91.4 90.4 -1 87.5 -2.9 89.7 2.2 90.4 0.7 91.8 1.4 undefined
Launch Angle 4.7 8.7 4 8.7 0 11.7 3 14 2.3 13.5 -0.5 undefined
Barrel % 11.4 8 -3.4 4.6 -3.4 8.6 4 5.7 -2.9 4.5 -1.2 undefined
Hard Hit % 50 40 -10 37.6 -2.4 42.4 4.8 40.2 -2.2 50 9.8 undefined
Sweet Spot % 25 38.7 13.7 38.9 0.2 40.6 1.7 30.4 -10.2 50 19.6 undefined
xBA .313 .292 -0.021 .3 0.008 .297 -0.003 .252 -0.045 .272 0.02 undefined
BA .34 .35 0.01 .309 -0.041 .313 0.004 .256 -0.057 .207 -0.049 undefined
xwOBA .393 .337 -0.056 .366 0.029 .362 -0.004 .309 -0.053 .359 0.05 undefined
wOBA .419 .357 -0.062 .375 0.018 .377 0.002 .307 -0.07 .29 -0.017 undefined
xSLG .575 .432 -0.143 .456 0.024 .505 0.049 .402 -0.103 .465 0.063 undefined
SLG .617 .42 -0.197 .485 0.065 .541 0.056 .403 -0.138 .345 -0.058 undefined
K% 5.9 24.3 18.4 16 -8.3 15.2 -0.8 21.4 6.2 21.2 -0.2 undefined
BB% 7.8 6.3 -1.5 10 3.7 6.7 -3.3 7.6 0.9 9.1 1.5 undefined
Swing % 46.8 47.4 0.6 47 -0.4 50.9 3.9 48.5 -2.4 48.1 -0.4 undefined
Whiff% 17.5 20.7 3.2 21.9 1.2 19.5 -2.4 24.1 4.6 23.4 -0.7 undefined
In Zone % 40.5 46.3 5.8 52.2 5.9 52.5 0.3 49.5 -3 49.6 0.1 undefined
Out of Zone % 59.5 53.7 -5.8 47.8 -5.9 47.5 -0.3 50.5 3 50.4 -0.1 undefined
Out of Zone Swing % 35 28.9 -6.1 23.8 -5.1 30.6 6.8 28.9 -1.7 26.9 -2 undefined
First Pitch Swing % 35.3 21.6 -13.7 31.7 10.1 30.2 -1.5 28 -2.2 30.3 2.3 undefined
First Pitch Strike % 62.7 54.1 -8.6 61.2 7.1 62.6