Homer Bailey
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 4" 223LBS | Age: 36

Draft: 2004 | Rd: 1, #7, Cincinnati Reds | La Grange HS (TX)
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 1 0 3.38 2 2 0 8.0 7 1.13
14 Seasons 81 86 4.56 245 245 0 1401.2 1157 1.37
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 2 1-0 3.38 8.0 7 1.13
14 Seasons 245 81-86 4.56 1401.2 1157 1.37

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 29 171 44 5 11.4 9.8 91.4 109.8 4.7 25.0 .350 .643 .419 .438 .459 50.0 5.9 7.8 5.56 9.05
2016 30 458 75 6 8 5.4 90.4 111.1 8.7 38.7 .298 .441 .357 .343 .427 40.0 24.3 6.3 6.65 5.07
2017 31 1575 303 14 4.6 3.3 87.5 111.6 8.7 38.9 .300 .456 .375 .366 .395 37.6 16.0 10.0 6.43 6.00
2018 32 1789 384 33 8.6 6.7 89.7 114.5 11.7 40.4 .298 .506 .377 .363 .412 42.7 15.2 6.7 6.09 5.81
2019 33 2836 490 28 5.7 4 90.3 114.7 13.8 30.6 .262 .418 .307 .320 .376 39.8 21.4 7.6 4.57 4.54
2020 34 133 22 1 4.5 3 91.8 108.5 13.5 50.0 .272 .465 .290 .359 .410 50.0 21.2 9.1 3.38 5.66
Player 6962 1318 87 6.6 4.8 89.5 114.7 11.4 36.0 .285 .460 .347 .347 .397 40.7 18.2 7.9
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 169.8 12.0 32.9 .246 .409 .317 .316 .370 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Bailey relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(43.6%) ,
Slider
(22.6%) ,
Split Finger
(22.6%) ,
Curveball
(10.5%) ,
Sinker
(0.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 59.1 15.9 22.7 2.3 31.8 40.9 27.3 2.3 38.6 11.4 22.7 2.3 11.4 9.8
2016 46.7 14.7 33.3 5.3 34.7 46.7 18.7 0.0 34.7 17.3 36.0 1.3 8.0 5.4
2017 45.5 17.5 31.4 5.6 33.3 41.6 25.1 4.3 32.7 18.2 33.7 5.0 4.6 3.3
2018 43.8 21.1 28.6 6.5 38.0 40.1 21.9 3.9 31.3 19.8 25.0 9.9 8.6 6.7
2019 45.3 22.4 25.1 7.1 36.7 35.5 27.8 1.6 30.6 23.9 28.2 6.1 5.7 4.0
2020 36.4 18.2 40.9 4.5 31.8 50.0 18.2 0.0 36.4 22.7 27.3 9.1 4.5 3.0
Player 45.3 20.2 28.2 6.3 36.0 39.3 24.7 2.8 31.9 20.6 28.8 6.6 6.6 4.8
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.4 24.5 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 4-Seamer MIN R 58 91.3 15.9 -0.2 -1 8.7 2.7 44
2020 Sinker MIN R 1 93.9 16.1 -4.1 -20 13.9 -0.3 -2
2020 Splitter MIN R 30 82.9 35.1 -0.4 -1 7.0 -2.5 -26
2020 Slider MIN R 30 84.1 34.4 -3.0 -8 3.2 -1.9 -37
2020 Curveball MIN R 14 74.9 57.9 -4.2 -7 11.2 0.9 9
2019 4-Seamer OAK R 1,316 93.0 16.4 -1.0 -7 8.0 1.4 21
2019 Sinker OAK R 67 92.7 19.8 -1.6 -7 13.3 -0.8 -6
2019 Slider OAK R 394 87.3 30.1 -3.0 -9 2.4 -1.1 -31
2019 Splitter OAK R 715 84.1 35.2 1.0 3 7.5 -1.1 -13
2019 Curveball OAK R 241 78.3 53.6 -2.1 -4 10.2 1.7 21
2018 Slider CIN R 327 87.4 30.0 -2.4 -7 1.9 -1.9 -51
2018 Splitter CIN R 292 85.8 31.2 -1.7 -5 10.6 0.2 2
2018 4-Seamer CIN R 722 93.0 17.3 -1.6 -10 8.2 1.2 17
2018 Sinker CIN R 267 93.1 20.0 -1.2 -6 13.9 -0.4 -3
2018 Changeup CIN R 2 86.2 30.9 0.9 3 18.1 4.8 36
2018 Curveball CIN R 178 79.3 52.3 -1.9 -4 9.1 1.0 13
2017 Slider CIN R 329 87.1 28.6 -2.5 -8 2.0 -1.0 -33
2017 Changeup CIN R 1 90.5 20.1 -4.1 -17 4.7 -9.6 -67
2017 Splitter CIN R 301 86.3 28.9 -1.1 -4 9.2 -1.8 -16
2017 Curveball CIN R 68 78.0 50.7 -3.2 -6 10.7 2.2 26
2017 Sinker CIN R 272 93.3 18.6 -0.9 -5 13.8 -0.8 -5
2017 4-Seamer CIN R 602 93.6 14.6 -0.8 -6 7.7 0.3 3
2016 Sinker CIN R 49 92.9 16.2 -2.7 -14 13.0 -1.5 -10
2016 Changeup CIN R 68 86.8 25.8 -1.7 -6 10.4 -2.9 -22
2016 Curveball CIN R 40 78.6 49.6 -3.3 -6 9.7 1.9 25
2016 Slider CIN R 108 87.8 27.4 -1.9 -6 2.0 0.1 5
2016 4-Seamer CIN R 193 93.6 14.2 -0.7 -5 7.8 -0.5 -6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 4-Seamer -1.6 -1 58 43.6 14 .182 .182 .279 15.4 7.1 6.7 .257 .357 .355 50.0
2020 Slider 0.8 0 30 22.6 10 .111 .444 .270 41.2 30.0 33.3 .299 .715 .450 50.0
2020 Splitter 0.9 0 30 22.6 7 .286 .429 .307 23.5 42.9 17.6 .311 .413 .311 50.0
2020 Curveball 6.0 1 14 10.5 2 .500 .500 .450 0.0 0.0 0.0 .099 .113 .094 50.0
2020 Sinker 0.0 0 1 0.8 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2019 4-Seamer 0.3 4 1,316 46.4 341 .281 .434 .359 15.3 15.0 13.2 .304 .517 .381 46.6
2019 Splitter -1.1 -8 715 25.2 193 .188 .312 .229 38.4 37.8 21.4 .179 .264 .200 27.8
2019 Slider 0.0 0 394 13.9 82 .315 .425 .356 25.6 12.2 10.4 .309 .407 .349 32.8
2019 Curveball 0.9 2 241 8.5 35 .353 .735 .444 27.6 20.0 14.6 .261 .449 .306 42.9
2019 Sinker 2.3 2 67 2.4 19 .313 .500 .412 13.5 10.5 18.2 .330 .484 .390 40.0
2018 4-Seamer 1.7 12 722 40.4 188 .347 .576 .431 15.2 14.9 15.7 .323 .550 .401 49.3
2018 Slider 1.7 6 327 18.3 94 .253 .471 .340 22.9 11.7 13.9 .280 .490 .343 35.4
2018 Splitter 1.1 3 292 16.3 83 .287 .450 .334 30.1 22.9 16.2 .250 .420 .301 35.5
2018 Sinker 1.3 4 267 14.9 74 .371 .629 .463 11.6 5.4 9.5 .362 .581 .418 44.8
2018 Curveball 0.2 0 178 9.9 46 .250 .568 .348 21.2 28.3 18.6 .218 .409 .274 40.6
2018 Changeup 0.3 0 2 0.1 -- -- -- 100.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2017 4-Seamer 1.8 11 602 38.2 161 .370 .587 .441 13.7 10.6 12.0 .327 .500 .390 40.6
2017 Slider 1.6 5 329 20.9 93 .289 .446 .358 31.9 21.5 22.7 .295 .456 .360 30.2
2017 Splitter 0.1 0 301 19.1 77 .247 .356 .305 33.1 26.0 22.2 .252 .341 .286 35.8
2017 Sinker 1.3 4 272 17.3 74 .276 .431 .414 12.0 9.5 16.3 .305 .489 .414 39.2
2017 Curveball 2.3 2 68 4.3 12 .300 .700 .463 25.0 16.7 6.5 .307 .531 .410 50.0
2017 Changeup -3.2 0 1 0.1 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Curveball 14 74.9 90 16.5 7:00 7:30 -30
2020 4-Seam Fastball 58 91.3 96 18.5 1:00 1:00 0
2020 Splitter 25 83.1 93 9.5 2:15 2:30 -15
2020 Slider 29 84.2 39 5.1 12:00 10:15 105
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2008 179 677 10 3 4 2 19
2009 485 1,986 -11 -4 10 8 3
2010 467 1,938 1 -22 14 7 -1
2011 559 2,095 3 -19 12 6 2
2012 895 3,406 -1 -29 12 10 -8
2013 846 3,279 3 -32 9 8 -12
2014 603 2,272 -3 -17 11 7 -2
2015 49 163 2 0 0 1 2
2016 111 458 0 -4 3 3 2
2017 417 1,573 7 -8 16 7 21
2018 485 1,789 18 -6 8 5 25
2019 670 2,733 -18 -8 16 9 -1
2020 33 133 0 -1 1 1 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 171 40.5 66.2 88.9 35.0 74.3 46.4 62.7 46.8 17.5 5.4 77.8
2016 458 46.3 68.9 87.0 28.9 57.7 44.5 54.1 47.4 20.7 6.1 78.6
2017 1,575 52.2 68.2 82.3 23.8 62.6 45.1 61.2 47.0 21.9 7.4 83.6
2018 1,789 52.5 69.2 87.2 30.6 61.2 44.0 62.8 50.9 19.5 8.0 80.6
2019 2,836 49.4 67.6 83.9 29.4 57.4 42.2 63.6 48.5 24.1 7.5 72.5
2020 133 49.6 69.7 82.6 26.9 61.1 47.4 57.6 48.1 23.4 6.8 88.9
Player 6,962 50.4 68.3 84.7 28.5 60.1 43.7 62.1 48.6 22.0 7.4 78.0
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 36 15
2016 63 20
2017 5 2 21 51 1 51 74 42 12 14 24 33 5 62 14 2
2018 3 1 2 5 9 12 15 12 3 6 77 12 3 57 14 1
2019 42 27 47 63 40 26 75 11 22 39 59 41 42 49 15 1
2020 28 22
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 23.3 2 2.2 0 1 3 0 0.0
2017 23.5 11 8.7 2 6 7 3 27.3
2018 23.2 23 20.9 2 7 15 7 30.4
2019 23.3 21 23.4 -2 12 18 9 42.9
2020 21.9 1 1.0 0 0 0 1 100.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 2 2 4 2 2 3 1 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 1 3
2017 11 7 13 9 8 8 7 9 8 8 12 9 6 7 8 10 8 9 7 9 12 6 7 11 11 8 10 6 7 8 12
2018 23 20 24 17 21 22 21 27 22 18 20 20 15 20 20 22 21 25 16 23 23 18 20 22 20 25 23 20 25 14 24
2019 21 27 26 24 25 23 23 29 26 21 24 25 15 22 18 27 22 29 16 22 23 23 19 23 22 23 26 23 24 21 30
2020 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.6 93.5 1.9 93.5 0 93.1 -0.4 92.9 -0.2 91.4 -1.5
Offspeed Velocity 85.1 86.8 1.7 86.4 -0.4 85.8 -0.6 84.1 -1.7 82.9 -1.2
Breaking Velocity 84.6 85.3 0.7 85.6 0.3 84.6 -1 83.9 -0.7 81.2 -2.7
Exit Velocity 91.4 90.4 -1 87.5 -2.9 89.7 2.2 90.3 0.6 91.8 1.5
Launch Angle 4.7 8.7 4 8.7 0 11.7 3 13.8 2.1 13.5 -0.3
Barrel % 11.4 8 -3.4 4.6 -3.4 8.6 4 5.7 -2.9 4.5 -1.2
Hard Hit % 50 40 -10 37.6 -2.4 42.7 5.1 39.8 -2.9 50 10.2
Sweet Spot % 25 38.7 13.7 38.9 0.2 40.4 1.5 30.6 -9.8 50 19.4
xBA .35 .298 -0.052 .3 0.002 .298 -0.002 .262 -0.036 .272 0.01
BA .34 .35 0.01 .309 -0.041 .313 0.004 .256 -0.057 .207 -0.049
xwOBA .438 .343 -0.095 .366 0.023 .363 -0.003 .32 -0.043 .359 0.039
wOBA .419 .357 -0.062 .375 0.018 .377 0.002 .307 -0.07 .29 -0.017
xSLG .643 .441 -0.202 .456 0.015 .506 0.05 .418 -0.088 .465 0.047
SLG .617 .42 -0.197 .485 0.065 .541 0.056 .403 -0.138 .345 -0.058
K% 5.9 24.3 18.4 16 -8.3 15.2 -0.8 21.4 6.2 21.2 -0.2
BB% 7.8 6.3 -1.5 10 3.7 6.7 -3.3 7.6 0.9 9.1 1.5
Swing % 46.8 47.4 0.6 47 -0.4 50.9 3.9 48.5 -2.4 48.1 -0.4
Whiff% 17.5 20.7 3.2 21.9 1.2 19.5 -2.4 24.1 4.6 23.4 -0.7
In Zone % 40.5 46.3 5.8 52.2 5.9 52.5 0.3 49.4 -3.1 49.6 0.2
Out of Zone % 59.5 53.7 -5.8 47.8 -5.9 47.5 -0.3 50.6 3.1 50.4 -0.2
Out of Zone Swing % 35 28.9 -6.1 23.8 -5.1 30.6 6.8 29.4 -1.2 26.9 -2.5
First Pitch Swing % 35.3 21.6 -13.7 31.7 10.1 30.3 -1.4 28 -2.3 30.3 2.3
First Pitch Strike % 62.7 54.1 -8.6 61.2 7.1 62.8 1.6 63.6 0.8 57.6 -6
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 111 .357 64 0 0.0 47 9 19.1
2017 417 .376 211 6 2.8 206 25 12.1
2018 482 .373 252 1 0.4 230 53 23.0
2019 670 .311 321 41 12.8 349 148 42.4
2020 33 .290 16 6 37.5 17 8 47.1

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2010 549 19.0 12.2% 3.8% 331 23.1 1.2% 16.3%
2011 605 17.1 22.8% 2.0% 319 23.2 2.2% 15.0%
2012 1018 16.5 33.7% 2.5% 448 22.8 1.8% 11.8%
2013 1049 17.9 21.2% 3.5% 447 24.2 1.3% 16.1%
2014 719 17.8 19.1% 3.6% 302 23.7 0.3% 18.2%
2015 59 17.4 22.0% 3.4% 15 28.8 0.0% 40.0%
2016 116 18.4 19.0% 2.6% 89 22.5 9.0% 22.5%
2017 425 18.3 11.5% 1.6% 275 23.3 0.4% 17.1%
2018 496 19.1 9.1% 2.0% 276 23.9 1.1% 15.9%
2019 886 18.1 15.7% 1.7% 405 23.0 0.7% 10.9%
2020 50 17.1 20.0% 0.0% 12 21.7 0.0% 0.0%

Pitch Distribution