P | St. Louis Cardinals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 220 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 5, No. 151, St. Louis Cardinals | Villanova
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 0 1 4.70 2 1 0 7.2 6 1.17
2025 3 1 6.28 26 0 1 43 40 1.47
2026 8 1 2.68 57 1 1 74 54 1.07
3 Seasons 11 3 4.04 85 2 2 124.2 100 1.21
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 2 0-1 4.70 7.2 6 1.17
2025 26 3-1 6.28 43 40 1.47
2026 57 8-1 2.68 74 54 1.07
3 Seasons 85 11-3 4.04 124.2 100 1.21
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 24 105 23 3 13.0 9.7 88.9 109.1 14.6 30.4 .270 .491 .329 .339 .397 39.1 19.4 6.5 4.70 4.77
2025 25 756 138 10 7.2 5.2 92.8 114.8 10.6 34.8 .271 .427 .340 .325 .379 53.6 20.7 6.7 6.28 4.42
2026 26 1104 205 18 8.8 6.1 90.6 114.6 10.5 33.7 .242 .413 .258 .327 .351 42.9 18.3 11.2 2.68 4.55
Player 1965 366 31 8.5 6.0 91.3 114.8 10.8 33.9 .255 .423 .293 .327 .365 46.7 19.3 9.2
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Graceffo relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(38.0%) ,
Slider
(17.1%) ,
Cutter
(15.9%) ,
Changeup
(12.8%) ,
Curveball
(9.1%) ,
Sinker
(7.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 43.5 56.5 34.8 17.4 4.3 52.2 34.8 13.0 26.1 17.4 0.0 26.1 17.4 13.0
2025 45.7 54.3 20.3 28.3 5.8 41.3 39.9 18.8 22.5 18.8 4.3 18.8 21.0 14.5
2026 48.8 51.2 27.8 19.5 3.9 39.5 40.0 20.5 27.3 17.6 3.9 12.2 22.4 16.6
Player 47.3 52.7 25.4 22.7 4.6 41.0 39.6 19.4 25.4 18.0 3.8 15.6 21.6 15.6
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.0 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.9 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 4.3 30.4 30.4 17.4 4.3 13.0 9.7
2025 1.4 31.9 21.7 30.4 7.2 7.2 5.2
2026 5.9 35.6 21.5 19.5 8.8 8.8 6.1
Player 4.1 33.9 22.1 23.5 7.9 8.5 6.0
MLB 4.1 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Curveball STL R 100 83.2 55.8 6.0 2.2GLV -4.8 -16.0 5.8 2.2GLV -6.9
2026 Slider STL R 189 86.8 39.1 4.1 1.1GLV -2.6 -2.7 4.1 1.1GLV -2.5
2026 Cutter STL R 176 89.4 31.4 -5.0 0.9GLV -1.6 2.8 -5.2 0.9GLV -1.3
2026 Changeup STL R 141 88.2 30.8 -0.3 13.5ARM -0.5 4.3 -0.5 13.5ARM -0.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball STL R 420 95.4 14.7 -0.8 7.0ARM -0.2 15.3 -0.3 7.0ARM -0.8
2026 Sinker STL R 78 94.9 18.3 -2.8 13.1ARM -1.6 12.0 -4.5 13.1ARM -2.0
2025 Changeup STL R 20 86.2 25.7 -6.4 15.3ARM 1.1 11.3 -7.2 15.3ARM 0.8
2025 Cutter STL R 171 89.4 31.1 -4.8 2.1GLV -0.2 3.1 -5.2 2.1GLV -0.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball STL R 329 95.7 13.9 -0.2 5.4ARM -1.7 16.1 0.3 5.4ARM -2.2
2025 Sinker STL R 11 95.3 17.8 -3.5 13.3ARM -1.6 12.2 -4.8 13.3ARM -1.8
2025 Slider STL R 30 88.2 34.3 1.5 0.5GLV -3.1 0.7 1.1 0.5GLV -3.7
2025 Curveball STL R 195 83.4 55.4 5.3 1.6GLV -5.1 -15.8 5.6 1.6GLV -7.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 2.1 9 420 38.0 108 .204 .344 .293 10.1 12.0 15.1 .299 .547 .399 60.5
2026 Slider 0.7 1 189 17.1 51 .178 .311 .238 37.3 37.3 24.1 .172 .264 .235 39.3
2026 Cutter 1.4 2 176 15.9 55 .250 .333 .285 27.8 10.9 15.0 .276 .422 .330 31.8
2026 Changeup 2.4 3 141 12.8 34 .063 .094 .104 19.3 20.6 15.2 .131 .211 .180 36.0
2026 Curveball -0.5 -1 100 9.1 24 .100 .250 .238 15.2 25.0 12.0 .271 .584 .416 35.7
2026 Sinker -0.2 0 78 7.1 21 .200 .267 .328 17.2 14.3 27.3 .179 .199 .299 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -1 329 43.5 95 .321 .500 .381 17.9 22.1 20.6 .295 .462 .347 62.1
2025 Curveball -0.6 -1 195 25.8 50 .170 .319 .271 31.3 32.0 14.7 .184 .317 .242 38.7
2025 Cutter -0.8 -1 171 22.6 33 .364 .485 .370 27.6 6.1 4.9 .305 .403 .306 51.6
2025 Slider 3.5 1 30 4.0 5 .000 .000 .280 35.7 20.0 25.0 .186 .371 .420 100.0
2025 Changeup -7.7 -2 20 2.6 6 .500 1.167 .683 0.0 0.0 0.0 .500 1.012 .628 33.3
2025 Sinker -3.7 0 11 1.5 4 .000 .000 .350 0.0 0.0 -- .229 .231 .455 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 139 88.2 97 14.7 2:00 2:30 -30
2026 Curveball 100 83.2 73 18.9 6:30 6:15 15
2026 Cutter 176 89.4 16 2.9 12:00 10:30 90
2026 4-Seam Fastball 420 95.4 94 16.5 1:00 1:00 0
2026 Sinker 78 94.9 94 17.8 1:00 1:45 -45
2026 Slider 188 86.8 27 5.2 6:30 6:30 0
2025 Changeup 20 86.2 95 19.0 1:45 2:00 -15
2025 Curveball 195 83.4 77 18.6 6:30 6:15 15
2025 Cutter 171 89.4 23 4.1 11:30 9:45 105
2025 4-Seam Fastball 329 95.7 94 16.5 12:45 12:45 0
2025 Sinker 11 95.3 92 18.0 1:00 1:45 -45
2025 Slider 30 88.2 13 1.9 9:00 7:15 105
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 31 105 1 0 0 -1 0
2025 193 756 0 4 -6 -3 -5
2026 293 1,104 11 17 -6 -6 16
Player 517 1,965 11 21 -12 11 11
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 105 50.5 71.7 86.8 34.6 50.0 40.0 48.4 53.3 25.0 6.7 57.1
2025 756 50.9 69.1 86.1 26.1 51.5 44.0 65.8 48.0 23.1 9.5 77.8
2026 1,104 44.5 66.4 88.7 27.9 63.7 41.0 58.0 45.0 19.9 7.4 72.0
Player 1,965 47.3 67.8 87.5 27.6 58.7 42.1 60.3 46.6 21.5 8.2 73.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024
2025 72 8 65 43
2026 90 90 57 82 28 64 5 78 7 23 11 21 17 25 14 81 36
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 22.48 1 1.5 -1 1 1 1 100.0
2025 21.60 2 2.4 0 6 4 0 0.0
2026 22.92 5 6.4 -1 6 7 2 40.0
Player 22.53 8 10.3 -2 13 12 3 37.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
2025 2 3 3 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 0 3 5 7 1 0 2 1 3 3 2 4 6 4 2 1 1 3 4 2 2
2026 5 10 3 6 6 7 6 4 5 5 3 6 5 9 7 7 6 8 5 8 7 7 9 12 3 4 4 6 13 4 6
Player 8 15 7 10 10 10 9 6 8 7 5 10 13 17 9 8 9 10 10 14 11 13 17 18 6 6 6 10 19 7 9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .182 -.104 .286 +.036 .250
xBA .242 -.029 .271 +.001 .270
OBP .279 -.058 .337 +.047 .290
xOBP .328 +.003 .325 +.017 .308
SLG .292 -.165 .457 -.043 .500
xSLG .413 -.014 .427 -.064 .491
ISO .111 -.060 .171 -.079 .250
xISO .171 +.016 .155 -.067 .222
BABIP .206 -.147 .353 +.080 .273
wOBA .258 -.082 .340 +.011 .329
xwOBA .327 +.002 .325 -.014 .339
wOBAcon .253 -.146 .399 +.015 .384
xwOBAcon .351 -.028 .379 -.018 .397
BACON .225 -.137 .362 +.058 .304
xBACON .303 -.042 .345 +.017 .328
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 42.9 -10.7 53.6 +14.5 39.1
Avg Exit Velocity 90.6 -2.2 92.8 +3.9 88.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 33.7 -1.1 34.8 +4.4 30.4
Barrel % 8.8 +1.6 7.2 -5.8 13.0
Avg Launch Angle 10.5 -0.1 10.6 -4.0 14.6
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.0 +1.2 70.8 -1.3 72.1
Attack Angle 10° +1° -1° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 51.5 +1.2 50.3 +10.3 40.0
Attack Direction -2° +7° -6°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 32° -2° 35°
Swing Length 7.2 +0.1 7.1 -0.2 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 93.8 +0.2 93.6 0.0 93.6
Breaking Velocity 85.5 +1.5 84.0 -0.1 84.1
Offspeed Velocity 88.2 +2.0 86.2 +1.6 84.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 18 +8 10 +7 3
Popup % 3.9 -1.9 5.8 +1.5 4.3
Flyball % 27.8 +7.5 20.3 -14.5 34.8
Line Drive % 19.5 -8.8 28.3 +10.9 17.4
Groundball % 48.8 +3.1 45.7 +2.2 43.5
Pull % 39.5 -1.8 41.3 -10.9 52.2
Straight Away % 40.0 +0.1 39.9 +5.1 34.8
Opposite Field % 20.5 +1.7 18.8 +5.8 13.0
Weak Contact % 5.9 +4.5 1.4 -2.9 4.3
Pull Airball % 12.2 -6.6 18.8 -7.3 26.1
Topped Contact % 35.6 +3.7 31.9 +1.5 30.4
Under Contact % 21.5 -0.2 21.7 -8.7 30.4
Flare/Burner Contact % 19.5 -10.9 30.4 +13.0 17.4
Solid Contact % 8.8 +1.6 7.2 +2.9 4.3
HR/FB % 8.8 +1.7 7.1 -5.4 12.5
Popups 8 0 8 +7 1
Flyballs 57 +29 28 +20 8
Line Drives 40 +1 39 +35 4
Groundballs 100 +37 63 +53 10
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 44.5 -6.4 50.9 +0.4 50.5
Out of Zone % 55.5 +6.4 49.1 -0.4 49.5
Edge % 41.0 -3.0 44.0 +4.0 40.0
Zone Swing % 66.4 -2.7 69.1 -2.6 71.7
Out of Zone Swing % 27.9 +1.8 26.1 -8.5 34.6
In Zone Contact % 88.7 +2.6 86.1 -0.7 86.8
Out of Zone Contact % 63.7 +12.2 51.5 +1.5 50.0
Whiff % 19.9 -3.2 23.1 -1.9 25.0
First Strike % 58.0 -7.8 65.8 +17.4 48.4
First Pitch Swing % 31.1 -6.7 37.8 +8.8 29.0
Swing % 45.0 -3.0 48.0 -5.3 53.3
Meatball Swing % 72.0 -5.8 77.8 +20.7 57.1
Meatball % 7.4 -2.1 9.5 +2.8 6.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 11.3 -2.6 13.9 +0.7 13.2
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 36.3 -12.2 48.5 -1.5 50.0
In Zone 491 +106 385 +332 53
Out of Zone 613 +242 371 +319 52
Edge 453 +120 333 +291 42
In Zone Swings 326 +60 266 +228 38
Out of Zone Swings 171 +74 97 +79 18
In Zone Swing & Misses 37 0 37 +32 5
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 62 +15 47 +38 9
Basic
Pitches 1,104 +348 756 +651 105
PA 295 +102 193 +162 31
AB 253 +78 175 +147 28
Hits 46 -4 50 +43 7
Singles 28 -1 29 +27 2
Doubles 13 -1 14 +10 4
Triples 0 -5 5 +5 0
Home Runs 5 +3 2 +1 1
Walks 33 +20 13 +11 2
Strikeouts 54 +14 40 +34 6
K% 18.3 -2.4 20.7 +1.3 19.4
BB% 11.2 +4.5 6.7 +0.2 6.5
HBP 3 +1 2 +2 0
Batted Balls 205 +67 138 +115 23
Fastball Percent 61.1 -6.5 67.6 +26.6 41.0
Offspeed Percent 12.8 +10.2 2.6 -22.2 24.8
Breaking Percent 26.2 -3.6 29.8 -4.5 34.3
Number of Fastballs 674 +163 511 +468 43
Number of Offspeed 141 +121 20 -6 26
Number of Breaking 289 +64 225 +189 36
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 31 .329 18 0 0.0 13 10 76.9
2025 Shades 193 .340 111 0 0.0 82 40 48.8
2026 Shades 293 .258 157 2 1.3 136 61 44.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 26 17.4 15.4% 0.0% 16 17.2 6.3% 0.0%
2025 164 18.2 6.7% 1.2% 134 19.4 0.0% 0.0%
2026 286 18.6 2.8% 1.4% 182 20.1 0.0% 6.0%

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Pitch Distribution