P | St. Louis Cardinals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 220 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 5, No. 151, St. Louis Cardinals | Villanova
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 0 1 4.70 2 1 0 7.2 6 1.17
2025 3 1 6.28 26 0 1 43 40 1.47
2026 7 1 3.13 52 0 1 63.1 38 1.12
3 Seasons 10 3 4.42 80 1 2 114 84 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 2 0-1 4.70 7.2 6 1.17
2025 26 3-1 6.28 43 40 1.47
2026 52 7-1 3.13 63.1 38 1.12
3 Seasons 80 10-3 4.42 114 84 1.25
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Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 24 105 23 3 13.0 9.7 88.9 109.1 14.6 30.4 .270 .491 .329 .339 .397 39.1 19.4 6.5 4.70 4.77
2025 25 756 138 10 7.2 5.2 92.8 114.8 10.6 34.8 .272 .427 .340 .325 .379 53.6 20.7 6.7 6.28 4.42
2026 26 937 183 18 9.8 7.1 91.5 114.6 10.7 33.9 .252 .446 .270 .343 .356 45.4 15.0 11.9 3.13 5.04
Player 1798 344 31 9.0 6.5 91.9 114.8 10.9 34.0 .261 .441 .302 .336 .368 48.3 17.6 9.4
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Graceffo relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(39.4%) ,
Slider
(30.6%) ,
Changeup
(12.2%) ,
Curveball
(10.8%) ,
Sinker
(7.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 43.5 56.5 34.8 17.4 4.3 52.2 34.8 13.0 26.1 17.4 0.0 26.1 17.4 13.0
2025 45.7 54.3 20.3 28.3 5.8 41.3 39.9 18.8 22.5 18.8 4.3 18.8 21.0 14.5
2026 48.1 51.9 29.5 19.1 3.3 41.0 39.3 19.7 27.9 16.4 3.8 13.1 23.0 15.8
Player 46.8 53.2 26.2 22.7 4.4 41.9 39.2 18.9 25.6 17.4 3.8 16.3 21.8 15.1
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 4.3 30.4 30.4 17.4 4.3 13.0 9.7
2025 1.4 31.9 21.7 30.4 7.2 7.2 5.2
2026 3.8 36.1 21.9 18.6 9.8 9.8 7.1
Player 2.9 34.0 22.4 23.3 8.4 9.0 6.5
MLB 4.0 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2026 4-Seam Fastball STL R 369 95.4 14.8 -0.8 7.0ARM -0.2 15.3 -0.4 7.0ARM -0.8
2026 Curveball STL R 101 83.2 55.6 5.8 2.2GLV -4.8 -15.9 5.7 2.2GLV -6.9
2026 Sinker STL R 66 95.0 18.4 -2.7 13.3ARM -1.5 11.8 -4.2 13.3ARM -1.8
2026 Changeup STL R 114 88.1 31.2 0.0 13.5ARM -0.5 4.0 -0.2 13.5ARM -0.7
2026 Slider STL R 287 88.3 34.8 1.6 1.2GLV -2.3 0.3 1.1 1.2GLV -2.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball STL R 329 95.7 13.9 -0.2 5.4ARM -1.7 16.1 0.3 5.4ARM -2.2
2025 Changeup STL R 20 86.2 25.7 -6.4 15.3ARM 1.1 11.3 -7.2 15.3ARM 0.8
2025 Curveball STL R 195 83.4 55.4 5.3 1.6GLV -5.1 -15.8 5.6 1.6GLV -7.4
2025 Slider STL R 201 89.2 31.6 -0.1 1.9GLV -1.6 2.7 -0.9 1.9GLV -2.3
2025 Sinker STL R 11 95.3 17.8 -3.5 13.3ARM -1.6 12.2 -4.8 13.3ARM -1.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 2.1 8 369 39.4 96 .205 .349 .292 9.7 9.4 12.0 .305 .573 .408 61.3
2026 Slider 0.2 1 287 30.6 84 .247 .384 .293 27.0 17.9 17.6 .245 .391 .308 37.1
2026 Changeup 3.2 4 114 12.2 33 .065 .097 .108 18.8 18.2 15.8 .136 .218 .186 36.0
2026 Curveball -0.5 -1 101 10.8 24 .100 .250 .238 15.2 25.0 12.0 .271 .584 .416 35.7
2026 Sinker -2.3 -2 66 7.0 14 .222 .333 .404 19.0 14.3 25.0 .185 .206 .360 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -1 329 43.5 95 .321 .500 .381 17.9 22.1 20.6 .295 .462 .347 62.1
2025 Slider -0.2 0 201 26.6 38 .333 .444 .358 28.7 7.9 6.7 .296 .401 .322 54.5
2025 Curveball -0.6 -1 195 25.8 50 .170 .319 .271 31.3 32.0 14.7 .184 .317 .242 38.7
2025 Changeup -7.7 -2 20 2.6 6 .500 1.167 .683 0.0 0.0 0.0 .500 1.012 .628 33.3
2025 Sinker -3.7 0 11 1.5 4 .000 .000 .350 0.0 0.0 -- .229 .231 .455 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 112 88.1 97 14.7 2:00 2:30 -30
2026 Curveball 101 83.2 73 18.8 6:30 6:15 15
2026 4-Seam Fastball 369 95.4 94 16.4 1:00 1:00 0
2026 Sinker 66 95.0 94 17.8 1:00 1:45 -45
2026 Slider 286 88.3 18 3.6 8:45 8:00 45
2025 Changeup 20 86.2 95 19.0 1:45 2:00 -15
2025 Curveball 195 83.4 77 18.6 6:30 6:15 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 329 95.7 94 16.5 12:45 12:45 0
2025 Sinker 11 95.3 92 18.0 1:00 1:45 -45
2025 Slider 201 89.2 21 3.8 11:15 9:30 105
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 31 105 1 0 0 -1 0
2025 193 756 0 4 -6 -3 -5
2026 251 937 11 12 -7 -6 10
Player 475 1,798 11 17 -14 11 5
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 105 50.5 71.7 86.8 34.6 50.0 40.0 48.4 53.3 25.0 6.7 57.1
2025 756 50.9 69.1 86.1 26.1 51.5 44.0 65.8 48.0 23.1 9.5 77.8
2026 937 44.7 66.8 90.4 26.6 66.7 40.8 58.2 44.6 17.5 7.7 72.2
Player 1,798 47.7 68.1 88.2 26.9 59.7 42.1 60.6 46.6 20.4 8.4 74.2
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed 		xERA Fastball
MPH 		Fastball
Spin 		Curve
Spin 		Avg
EV 		Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit% 		GB% Extension
2024
2025 72 8 65 43
2026 78 76 48 85 14 65 5 77 1 10 3 5 13 15 5 77 37
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 22.48 1 1.5 -1 1 1 1 100.0
2025 21.60 2 2.4 0 6 4 0 0.0
2026 22.92 5 6.4 -1 7 6 2 40.0
Player 22.53 8 10.3 -2 14 11 3 37.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2024 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
2025 2 3 3 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 0 3 5 7 1 0 2 1 3 3 2 4 6 4 2 1 1 3 4 2 2
2026 5 10 4 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 3 6 5 10 6 7 6 7 5 7 4 7 9 12 3 4 4 6 13 4 6
Player 8 15 8 10 10 10 9 8 9 8 5 10 13 18 8 8 9 9 10 13 8 13 17 18 6 6 6 10 19 7 9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .190 -.096 ↓ .286 +.036 ↑ .250
xBA .252 -.020 ↓ .272 +.002 ↑ .270
OBP .289 -.048 ↓ .337 +.047 ↑ .290
xOBP .344 +.019 ↑ .325 +.017 ↑ .308
SLG .315 -.142 ↓ .457 -.043 ↓ .500
xSLG .446 +.019 ↑ .427 -.064 ↓ .491
ISO .125 -.046 ↓ .171 -.079 ↓ .250
xISO .194 +.039 ↑ .155 -.067 ↓ .222
BABIP .202 -.151 ↓ .353 +.080 ↑ .273
wOBA .270 -.070 ↓ .340 +.011 ↑ .329
xwOBA .343 +.018 ↑ .325 -.014 ↓ .339
wOBAcon .255 -.144 ↓ .399 +.015 ↑ .384
xwOBAcon .356 -.023 ↓ .379 -.018 ↓ .397
BACON .224 -.138 ↓ .362 +.058 ↑ .304
xBACON .301 -.044 ↓ .345 +.017 ↑ .328
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 45.4 -8.2 ↓ 53.6 +14.5 ↑ 39.1
Avg Exit Velocity 91.5 -1.3 ↓ 92.8 +3.9 ↑ 88.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 33.9 -0.9 ↓ 34.8 +4.4 ↑ 30.4
Barrel % 9.8 +2.6 ↑ 7.2 -5.8 ↓ 13.0
Avg Launch Angle 10.7 +0.1 ↑ 10.6 -4.0 ↓ 14.6
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.1 +1.3 ↑ 70.8 -1.3 ↓ 72.1
Attack Angle 9° +1° ↑ 9° -1° ↓ 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 51.9 +1.6 ↑ 50.3 +10.3 ↑ 40.0
Attack Direction 0° -1° ↓ 1° +7° ↑ -6°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° 0° ↓ 32° -2° ↓ 35°
Swing Length 7.2 +0.1 ↑ 7.1 -0.2 ↓ 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.4 -0.3 ↓ 95.7 +2.1 ↑ 93.6
Breaking Velocity 87.0 +0.7 ↑ 86.3 +2.2 ↑ 84.1
Offspeed Velocity 88.1 +1.9 ↑ 86.2 +1.6 ↑ 84.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 18 +8 ↑ 10 +7 ↑ 3
Popup % 3.3 -2.5 ↓ 5.8 +1.5 ↑ 4.3
Flyball % 29.5 +9.2 ↑ 20.3 -14.5 ↓ 34.8
Line Drive % 19.1 -9.2 ↓ 28.3 +10.9 ↑ 17.4
Groundball % 48.1 +2.4 ↑ 45.7 +2.2 ↑ 43.5
Pull % 41.0 -0.3 ↓ 41.3 -10.9 ↓ 52.2
Straight Away % 39.3 -0.6 ↓ 39.9 +5.1 ↑ 34.8
Opposite Field % 19.7 +0.9 ↑ 18.8 +5.8 ↑ 13.0
Weak Contact % 3.8 +2.4 ↑ 1.4 -2.9 ↓ 4.3
Pull Airball % 13.1 -5.7 ↓ 18.8 -7.3 ↓ 26.1
Topped Contact % 36.1 +4.2 ↑ 31.9 +1.5 ↑ 30.4
Under Contact % 21.9 +0.2 ↑ 21.7 -8.7 ↓ 30.4
Flare/Burner Contact % 18.6 -11.8 ↓ 30.4 +13.0 ↑ 17.4
Solid Contact % 9.8 +2.6 ↑ 7.2 +2.9 ↑ 4.3
HR/FB % 9.3 +2.2 ↑ 7.1 -5.4 ↓ 12.5
Popups 6 -2 ↓ 8 +7 ↑ 1
Flyballs 54 +26 ↑ 28 +20 ↑ 8
Line Drives 35 -4 ↓ 39 +35 ↑ 4
Groundballs 88 +25 ↑ 63 +53 ↑ 10
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 44.7 -6.2 ↓ 50.9 +0.4 ↑ 50.5
Out of Zone % 55.3 +6.2 ↑ 49.1 -0.4 ↓ 49.5
Edge % 40.8 -3.2 ↓ 44.0 +4.0 ↑ 40.0
Zone Swing % 66.8 -2.3 ↓ 69.1 -2.6 ↓ 71.7
Out of Zone Swing % 26.6 +0.5 ↑ 26.1 -8.5 ↓ 34.6
In Zone Contact % 90.4 +4.3 ↑ 86.1 -0.7 ↓ 86.8
Out of Zone Contact % 66.7 +15.2 ↑ 51.5 +1.5 ↑ 50.0
Whiff % 17.5 -5.6 ↓ 23.1 -1.9 ↓ 25.0
First Strike % 58.2 -7.6 ↓ 65.8 +17.4 ↑ 48.4
First Pitch Swing % 31.5 -6.3 ↓ 37.8 +8.8 ↑ 29.0
Swing % 44.6 -3.4 ↓ 48.0 -5.3 ↓ 53.3
Meatball Swing % 72.2 -5.6 ↓ 77.8 +20.7 ↑ 57.1
Meatball % 7.7 -1.8 ↓ 9.5 +2.8 ↑ 6.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 9.6 -4.3 ↓ 13.9 +0.7 ↑ 13.2
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 33.3 -15.2 ↓ 48.5 -1.5 ↓ 50.0
In Zone 419 +34 ↑ 385 +332 ↑ 53
Out of Zone 518 +147 ↑ 371 +319 ↑ 52
Edge 382 +49 ↑ 333 +291 ↑ 42
In Zone Swings 280 +14 ↑ 266 +228 ↑ 38
Out of Zone Swings 138 +41 ↑ 97 +79 ↑ 18
In Zone Swing & Misses 27 -10 ↓ 37 +32 ↑ 5
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 46 -1 ↓ 47 +38 ↑ 9
Basic
Pitches 937 +181 ↑ 756 +651 ↑ 105
PA 253 +60 ↑ 193 +162 ↑ 31
AB 216 +41 ↑ 175 +147 ↑ 28
Hits 41 -9 ↓ 50 +43 ↑ 7
Singles 24 -5 ↓ 29 +27 ↑ 2
Doubles 12 -2 ↓ 14 +10 ↑ 4
Triples 0 -5 ↓ 5 +5 ↑ 0
Home Runs 5 +3 ↑ 2 +1 ↑ 1
Walks 30 +17 ↑ 13 +11 ↑ 2
Strikeouts 38 -2 ↓ 40 +34 ↑ 6
K% 15.0 -5.7 ↓ 20.7 +1.3 ↑ 19.4
BB% 11.9 +5.2 ↑ 6.7 +0.2 ↑ 6.5
HBP 2 0 2 +2 ↑ 0
Batted Balls 183 +45 ↑ 138 +115 ↑ 23
Fastball Percent 46.4 +1.4 ↑ 45.0 +4.0 ↑ 41.0
Offspeed Percent 12.2 +9.6 ↑ 2.6 -22.2 ↓ 24.8
Breaking Percent 41.4 -11.0 ↓ 52.4 +18.1 ↑ 34.3
Number of Fastballs 435 +95 ↑ 340 +297 ↑ 43
Number of Offspeed 114 +94 ↑ 20 -6 ↓ 26
Number of Breaking 388 -8 ↓ 396 +360 ↑ 36
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 31 .329 18 0 0.0 13 10 76.9
2025 Shades 193 .340 111 0 0.0 82 40 48.8
2026 Shades 251 .270 142 0 0.0 109 51 46.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 26 17.4 15.4% 0.0% 16 17.2 6.3% 0.0%
2025 164 18.2 6.7% 1.2% 134 19.4 0.0% 0.0%
2026 243 18.6 2.5% 1.6% 172 20.1 0.0% 6.4%

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Pitch Distribution

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