P | St. Louis Cardinals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 220 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 5, No. 151, St. Louis Cardinals | Villanova
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 0 1 4.70 2 1 0 7.2 6 1.17
2025 3 1 6.28 26 0 1 43 40 1.47
2026 8 2 2.67 62 1 1 81 63 1.10
3 Seasons 11 4 3.96 90 2 2 131.2 109 1.22
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 2 0-1 4.70 7.2 6 1.17
2025 26 3-1 6.28 43 40 1.47
2026 62 8-2 2.67 81 63 1.10
3 Seasons 90 11-4 3.96 131.2 109 1.22
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Team Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 24 105 23 3 13.0 9.7 88.9 109.1 14.6 30.4 .270 .491 .329 .339 .397 39.1 19.4 6.5 4.70 4.77
2025 25 756 138 10 7.2 5.2 92.8 114.8 10.6 34.8 .271 .427 .340 .325 .379 53.6 20.7 6.7 6.28 4.42
2026 26 1222 223 20 9.0 6.1 90.7 114.6 11.0 34.1 .243 .415 .262 .327 .360 43.5 19.3 11.0 2.67 4.57
Player 2083 384 33 8.6 6.0 91.4 114.8 11.0 34.1 .255 .423 .293 .327 .369 46.9 19.8 9.3
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.6 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Graceffo relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(38.2%) ,
Slider
(18.3%) ,
Cutter
(14.7%) ,
Changeup
(13.5%) ,
Curveball
(8.2%) ,
Sinker
(7.0%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 43.5 56.5 34.8 17.4 4.3 52.2 34.8 13.0 26.1 17.4 0.0 26.1 17.4 13.0
2025 45.7 54.3 20.3 28.3 5.8 41.3 39.9 18.8 22.5 18.8 4.3 18.8 21.0 14.5
2026 47.5 52.5 27.4 21.1 4.0 39.5 39.0 21.5 27.4 16.6 3.6 12.1 22.4 17.9
Player 46.6 53.4 25.3 23.4 4.7 40.9 39.1 20.1 25.5 17.4 3.6 15.4 21.6 16.4
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.0 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.9 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 4.3 30.4 30.4 17.4 4.3 13.0 9.7
2025 1.4 31.9 21.7 30.4 7.2 7.2 5.2
2026 5.4 34.5 21.5 21.1 8.5 9.0 6.1
Player 3.9 33.3 22.1 24.2 7.8 8.6 6.0
MLB 4.1 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
SeasonPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Curveball R 100 83.2 55.8 6.1 2.2GLV -4.8 -16.0 5.8 2.2GLV -6.8
2026 Slider R 224 86.7 39.1 4.1 1.0GLV -2.7 -2.7 4.1 1.0GLV -2.6
2026 Cutter R 180 89.4 31.2 -5.0 0.8GLV -1.6 2.9 -5.2 0.8GLV -1.4
2026 Changeup R 165 88.2 30.9 -0.2 13.5ARM -0.5 4.2 -0.4 13.5ARM -0.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball R 467 95.3 14.6 -0.7 7.0ARM -0.1 15.5 -0.1 7.0ARM -0.8
2026 Sinker R 86 94.8 18.3 -2.8 13.1ARM -1.6 12.1 -4.5 13.1ARM -2.0
2025 Changeup R 20 86.2 25.7 -6.4 15.3ARM 1.1 11.3 -7.2 15.3ARM 0.8
2025 Cutter R 171 89.4 31.1 -4.8 2.1GLV -0.2 3.1 -5.3 2.1GLV 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball R 329 95.7 13.9 -0.2 5.4ARM -1.7 16.1 0.3 5.4ARM -2.2
2025 Sinker R 11 95.3 17.8 -3.5 13.3ARM -1.6 12.2 -4.8 13.3ARM -1.8
2025 Slider R 30 88.2 34.3 1.6 0.5GLV -3.1 0.7 1.2 0.5GLV -3.7
2025 Curveball R 195 83.4 55.4 5.3 1.6GLV -5.1 -15.8 5.6 1.6GLV -7.4
! Note: Seasons are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Season Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 2.2 10 467 38.2 115 .196 .330 .287 12.8 13.9 16.2 .287 .524 .393 60.2
2026 Slider -0.3 -1 224 18.3 63 .232 .375 .287 35.6 34.9 24.7 .208 .358 .282 44.4
2026 Cutter 1.7 3 180 14.7 57 .240 .320 .275 26.7 10.5 14.3 .289 .430 .338 34.8
2026 Changeup 2.0 3 165 13.5 39 .081 .135 .123 22.7 23.1 17.0 .130 .201 .172 32.1
2026 Curveball -0.5 -1 100 8.2 24 .100 .250 .238 15.2 25.0 12.0 .271 .584 .416 35.7
2026 Sinker 0.4 0 86 7.0 25 .211 .263 .310 18.2 16.0 33.3 .192 .217 .287 6.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -1 329 43.5 95 .321 .500 .381 17.9 22.1 20.6 .294 .462 .347 62.1
2025 Curveball -0.6 -1 195 25.8 50 .170 .319 .271 31.3 32.0 14.7 .184 .317 .242 38.7
2025 Cutter -0.8 -1 171 22.6 33 .364 .485 .370 27.6 6.1 4.9 .305 .403 .306 51.6
2025 Slider 3.5 1 30 4.0 5 .000 .000 .280 35.7 20.0 25.0 .186 .371 .420 100.0
2025 Changeup -7.7 -2 20 2.6 6 .500 1.167 .683 0.0 0.0 0.0 .500 1.012 .628 33.3
2025 Sinker -3.7 0 11 1.5 4 .000 .000 .350 0.0 0.0 -- .229 .231 .455 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Season Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 163 88.2 97 14.7 2:00 2:30 -30
2026 Curveball 100 83.2 73 18.9 6:30 6:15 15
2026 Cutter 180 89.4 16 3.0 12:00 10:30 90
2026 4-Seam Fastball 467 95.3 94 16.6 1:00 1:00 0
2026 Sinker 86 94.8 94 17.8 1:00 1:45 -45
2026 Slider 223 86.7 27 5.1 6:30 6:15 15
2025 Changeup 20 86.2 95 19.0 1:45 2:00 -15
2025 Curveball 195 83.4 77 18.6 6:30 6:15 15
2025 Cutter 171 89.4 23 4.1 11:30 9:45 105
2025 4-Seam Fastball 329 95.7 94 16.5 12:45 12:45 0
2025 Sinker 11 95.3 92 18.0 1:00 1:45 -45
2025 Slider 30 88.2 13 1.9 9:00 7:15 105
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ Show More Seasons
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
+ View Complete Arm Angle Leaderboard

Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Season Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 31 105 1 0 0 -1 0
2025 193 756 0 4 -6 -3 -5
2026 323 1,222 12 16 -6 -7 16
Player 547 2,083 12 21 -12 12 11
+ View Complete Pitching Run Value Leaderboard
+ Show Leverage-Based Run Value

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 105 50.5 71.7 86.8 34.6 50.0 40.0 48.4 53.3 25.0 6.7 57.1
2025 756 50.9 69.1 86.1 26.1 51.5 44.0 65.8 48.0 23.1 9.5 77.8
2026 1,222 44.0 66.5 87.7 28.9 62.6 40.8 58.0 45.5 21.2 7.8 74.7
Player 2,083 46.9 67.8 87.0 28.3 58.5 42.0 60.2 46.8 22.2 8.4 75.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Season Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024
2025 72 8 65 43
2026 88 92 39 81 28 64 5 78 6 31 18 28 17 22 11 77 35
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard
+ Compare To Other Players

Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Season Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 22.48 1 1.5 -1 1 1 1 100.0
2025 21.60 2 2.4 0 6 4 0 0.0
2026 22.92 5 6.4 -1 6 7 2 40.0
Player 22.53 8 10.3 -2 13 12 3 37.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs

Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Season HR
2024 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
2025 2 3 3 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 0 3 5 7 1 0 2 1 3 3 2 4 6 4 2 1 1 3 4 2 2
2026 5 10 3 6 6 7 6 5 5 5 3 6 6 9 7 7 6 8 5 7 7 7 9 12 3 4 4 6 13 4 6
Player 8 15 7 10 10 10 9 7 8 7 5 10 14 17 9 8 9 10 10 13 11 13 17 18 6 6 6 10 19 7 9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs By Park
+ View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .190 -.096 ↓ .286 +.036 ↑ .250
xBA .243 -.028 ↓ .271 +.001 ↑ .270
OBP .284 -.053 ↓ .337 +.047 ↑ .290
xOBP .327 +.003 ↑ .324 +.016 ↑ .308
SLG .301 -.156 ↓ .457 -.043 ↓ .500
xSLG .415 -.012 ↓ .427 -.064 ↓ .491
ISO .111 -.060 ↓ .171 -.079 ↓ .250
xISO .172 +.017 ↑ .155 -.067 ↓ .222
BABIP .221 -.132 ↓ .353 +.080 ↑ .273
wOBA .262 -.078 ↓ .340 +.011 ↑ .329
xwOBA .327 +.002 ↑ .325 -.014 ↓ .339
wOBAcon .265 -.134 ↓ .399 +.015 ↑ .384
xwOBAcon .360 -.019 ↓ .379 -.018 ↓ .397
BACON .239 -.123 ↓ .362 +.058 ↑ .304
xBACON .311 -.034 ↓ .345 +.017 ↑ .328
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 43.5 -10.1 ↓ 53.6 +14.5 ↑ 39.1
Avg Exit Velocity 90.7 -2.1 ↓ 92.8 +3.9 ↑ 88.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 34.1 -0.7 ↓ 34.8 +4.4 ↑ 30.4
Barrel % 9.0 +1.8 ↑ 7.2 -5.8 ↓ 13.0
Avg Launch Angle 11.0 +0.4 ↑ 10.6 -4.0 ↓ 14.6
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.0 +1.2 ↑ 70.8 -1.3 ↓ 72.1
Attack Angle 10° +1° ↑ 9° -1° ↓ 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 51.7 +1.4 ↑ 50.3 +10.3 ↑ 40.0
Attack Direction 0° -1° ↓ 1° +7° ↑ -6°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 0° ↑ 32° -2° ↓ 35°
Swing Length 7.2 +0.1 ↑ 7.1 -0.2 ↓ 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 93.8 +0.2 ↑ 93.6 0.0 93.6
Breaking Velocity 85.6 +1.6 ↑ 84.0 -0.1 ↓ 84.1
Offspeed Velocity 88.2 +2.0 ↑ 86.2 +1.6 ↑ 84.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 20 +10 ↑ 10 +7 ↑ 3
Popup % 4.0 -1.8 ↓ 5.8 +1.5 ↑ 4.3
Flyball % 27.4 +7.1 ↑ 20.3 -14.5 ↓ 34.8
Line Drive % 21.1 -7.2 ↓ 28.3 +10.9 ↑ 17.4
Groundball % 47.5 +1.8 ↑ 45.7 +2.2 ↑ 43.5
Pull % 39.5 -1.8 ↓ 41.3 -10.9 ↓ 52.2
Straight Away % 39.0 -0.9 ↓ 39.9 +5.1 ↑ 34.8
Opposite Field % 21.5 +2.7 ↑ 18.8 +5.8 ↑ 13.0
Weak Contact % 5.4 +4.0 ↑ 1.4 -2.9 ↓ 4.3
Pull Airball % 12.1 -6.7 ↓ 18.8 -7.3 ↓ 26.1
Topped Contact % 34.5 +2.6 ↑ 31.9 +1.5 ↑ 30.4
Under Contact % 21.5 -0.2 ↓ 21.7 -8.7 ↓ 30.4
Flare/Burner Contact % 21.1 -9.3 ↓ 30.4 +13.0 ↑ 17.4
Solid Contact % 8.5 +1.3 ↑ 7.2 +2.9 ↑ 4.3
HR/FB % 8.2 +1.1 ↑ 7.1 -5.4 ↓ 12.5
Popups 9 +1 ↑ 8 +7 ↑ 1
Flyballs 61 +33 ↑ 28 +20 ↑ 8
Line Drives 47 +8 ↑ 39 +35 ↑ 4
Groundballs 106 +43 ↑ 63 +53 ↑ 10
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 44.0 -6.9 ↓ 50.9 +0.4 ↑ 50.5
Out of Zone % 56.0 +6.9 ↑ 49.1 -0.4 ↓ 49.5
Edge % 40.8 -3.2 ↓ 44.0 +4.0 ↑ 40.0
Zone Swing % 66.5 -2.6 ↓ 69.1 -2.6 ↓ 71.7
Out of Zone Swing % 28.9 +2.8 ↑ 26.1 -8.5 ↓ 34.6
In Zone Contact % 87.7 +1.6 ↑ 86.1 -0.7 ↓ 86.8
Out of Zone Contact % 62.6 +11.1 ↑ 51.5 +1.5 ↑ 50.0
Whiff % 21.2 -1.9 ↓ 23.1 -1.9 ↓ 25.0
First Strike % 58.0 -7.8 ↓ 65.8 +17.4 ↑ 48.4
First Pitch Swing % 31.8 -6.0 ↓ 37.8 +8.8 ↑ 29.0
Swing % 45.5 -2.5 ↓ 48.0 -5.3 ↓ 53.3
Meatball Swing % 74.7 -3.1 ↓ 77.8 +20.7 ↑ 57.1
Meatball % 7.8 -1.7 ↓ 9.5 +2.8 ↑ 6.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 12.3 -1.6 ↓ 13.9 +0.7 ↑ 13.2
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 37.4 -11.1 ↓ 48.5 -1.5 ↓ 50.0
In Zone 538 +153 ↑ 385 +332 ↑ 53
Out of Zone 684 +313 ↑ 371 +319 ↑ 52
Edge 499 +166 ↑ 333 +291 ↑ 42
In Zone Swings 358 +92 ↑ 266 +228 ↑ 38
Out of Zone Swings 198 +101 ↑ 97 +79 ↑ 18
In Zone Swing & Misses 44 +7 ↑ 37 +32 ↑ 5
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 74 +27 ↑ 47 +38 ↑ 9
Basic
Pitches 1,222 +466 ↑ 756 +651 ↑ 105
PA 326 +133 ↑ 193 +162 ↑ 31
AB 279 +104 ↑ 175 +147 ↑ 28
Hits 53 +3 ↑ 50 +43 ↑ 7
Singles 32 +3 ↑ 29 +27 ↑ 2
Doubles 16 +2 ↑ 14 +10 ↑ 4
Triples 0 -5 ↓ 5 +5 ↑ 0
Home Runs 5 +3 ↑ 2 +1 ↑ 1
Walks 36 +23 ↑ 13 +11 ↑ 2
Strikeouts 63 +23 ↑ 40 +34 ↑ 6
K% 19.3 -1.4 ↓ 20.7 +1.3 ↑ 19.4
BB% 11.0 +4.3 ↑ 6.7 +0.2 ↑ 6.5
HBP 3 +1 ↑ 2 +2 ↑ 0
Batted Balls 223 +85 ↑ 138 +115 ↑ 23
Fastball Percent 60.0 -7.6 ↓ 67.6 +26.6 ↑ 41.0
Offspeed Percent 13.5 +10.9 ↑ 2.6 -22.2 ↓ 24.8
Breaking Percent 26.5 -3.3 ↓ 29.8 -4.5 ↓ 34.3
Number of Fastballs 733 +222 ↑ 511 +468 ↑ 43
Number of Offspeed 165 +145 ↑ 20 -6 ↓ 26
Number of Breaking 324 +99 ↑ 225 +189 ↑ 36
+ Toggle Viewing All Player's Year to Year Stats

Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
SeasonAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 31 .329 18 0 0.0 13 10 76.9
2025 Shades 193 .340 111 0 0.0 82 40 48.8
2026 Shades 323 .262 168 2 1.2 155 65 41.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 26 17.4 15.4% 0.0% 16 17.2 6.3% 0.0%
2025 164 18.2 6.7% 1.2% 134 19.4 0.0% 0.0%
2026 305 18.6 2.6% 1.3% 199 20.1 1.0% 6.0%

+ View Complete Pitch Tempo Leaderboard

Pitch Distribution