P | St. Louis Cardinals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 220 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 5, No. 151, St. Louis Cardinals | Villanova
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 0 1 4.70 2 1 0 7.2 6 1.17
2025 3 1 6.28 26 0 1 43 40 1.47
2026 1 0 1.93 4 0 0 4.2 2 1.07
3 Seasons 4 2 5.69 32 1 1 55.1 48 1.39
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 2 0-1 4.70 7.2 6 1.17
2025 26 3-1 6.28 43 40 1.47
2026 4 1-0 1.93 4.2 2 1.07
3 Seasons 32 4-2 5.69 55.1 48 1.39
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 24 105 23 3 13.0 9.7 88.9 109.1 14.6 30.4 .270 .491 .329 .339 .397 39.1 19.4 6.5 4.70 4.77
2025 25 756 138 10 7.2 5.2 92.8 114.8 10.6 34.8 .272 .427 .340 .326 .380 53.6 20.7 6.7 6.28 4.45
2026 26 60 11 1 9.1 5.9 93.8 108.9 9.2 36.4 .284 .676 .220 .473 .475 63.6 11.8 23.5 1.93 10.81
Player 921 172 14 8.1 5.8 92.4 114.8 11.0 34.3 .272 .450 .330 .338 .388 52.3 19.9 7.9
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Graceffo relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(38.3%) ,
Curveball
(21.7%) ,
Changeup
(18.3%) ,
Slider
(15.0%) ,
Sinker
(6.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 43.5 56.5 34.8 17.4 4.3 52.2 34.8 13.0 26.1 17.4 0.0 26.1 17.4 13.0
2025 45.7 54.3 20.3 28.3 5.8 41.3 39.9 18.8 22.5 18.8 4.3 18.8 21.0 14.5
2026 45.5 54.5 45.5 9.1 0.0 36.4 45.5 18.2 27.3 18.2 0.0 9.1 27.3 18.2
Player 45.3 54.7 23.8 25.6 5.2 42.4 39.5 18.0 23.3 18.6 3.5 19.2 20.9 14.5
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 4.3 30.4 30.4 17.4 4.3 13.0 9.7
2025 1.4 31.9 21.7 30.4 7.2 7.2 5.2
2026 0.0 45.5 0.0 9.1 36.4 9.1 5.9
Player 1.7 32.6 21.5 27.3 8.7 8.1 5.8
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 4-Seam Fastball STL R 23 95.1 15.5 -1.8 8.4ARM 1.2 14.9 -1.4 8.4ARM 0.6
2026 Sinker STL R 4 94.8 20.0 -1.3 13.8ARM -1.5 10.3 -2.5 13.8ARM -1.8
2026 Changeup STL R 11 88.4 32.2 1.0 16.3ARM 1.7 3.0 0.9 16.3ARM 1.4
2026 Slider STL R 9 89.0 32.7 -0.1 1.4GLV -2.2 1.8 -0.4 1.4GLV -2.9
2026 Curveball STL R 13 83.1 56.6 6.1 3.5GLV -3.7 -16.7 6.2 3.5GLV -5.5
2025 Slider STL R 201 89.2 31.6 -0.2 1.9GLV -1.6 2.7 -0.9 1.9GLV -2.5
2025 Curveball STL R 195 83.4 55.4 5.4 1.6GLV -5.2 -15.8 5.6 1.6GLV -7.4
2025 Sinker STL R 11 95.3 17.8 -3.5 13.3ARM -1.6 12.2 -4.8 13.3ARM -1.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball STL R 329 95.7 13.9 -0.2 5.4ARM -1.7 16.1 0.3 5.4ARM -2.2
2025 Changeup STL R 20 86.2 25.7 -6.4 15.3ARM 1.1 11.3 -7.2 15.3ARM 0.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 1.2 0 23 38.3 5 .000 .000 .280 20.0 0.0 0.0 .208 .464 .449 100.0
2026 Curveball 4.4 1 13 21.7 4 .000 .000 .000 50.0 50.0 40.0 .388 1.061 .602 50.0
2026 Changeup -0.9 0 11 18.3 4 .000 .000 .350 0.0 0.0 0.0 .212 .484 .494 50.0
2026 Slider 3.7 0 9 15.0 4 .250 .250 .225 0.0 0.0 -- .274 .547 .347 50.0
2026 Sinker -5.7 0 4 6.7 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -1 329 43.5 95 .321 .500 .381 17.9 22.1 20.6 .295 .462 .347 62.1
2025 Slider -0.2 0 201 26.6 38 .333 .444 .358 28.7 7.9 6.7 .296 .401 .322 54.5
2025 Curveball -0.6 -1 195 25.8 50 .170 .319 .271 31.3 32.0 14.7 .185 .317 .242 38.7
2025 Changeup -7.7 -2 20 2.6 6 .500 1.167 .683 0.0 0.0 0.0 .504 1.016 .631 33.3
2025 Sinker -3.7 0 11 1.5 4 .000 .000 .350 0.0 0.0 -- .229 .231 .455 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 11 88.4 94 17.4 2:15 2:45 -30
2026 Curveball 13 83.1 76 19.8 6:45 6:15 30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 23 95.1 93 16.8 1:15 1:00 15
2025 Changeup 20 86.2 95 19.0 1:45 2:00 -15
2025 Curveball 195 83.4 77 18.6 6:30 6:15 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 329 95.7 94 16.5 12:45 12:45 0
2025 Sinker 11 95.3 92 18.0 1:00 1:45 -45
2025 Slider 201 89.2 21 3.8 11:15 9:30 105
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 31 105 1 0 0 -1 0
2025 193 756 0 4 -6 -3 -5
2026 17 60 2 0 -1 0 1
Player 241 921 2 5 -8 2 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 105 50.5 71.7 86.8 34.6 50.0 40.0 48.4 53.3 25.0 6.7 57.1
2025 756 51.2 69.0 85.8 26.0 52.1 44.0 65.8 48.0 23.1 9.5 77.8
2026 60 43.3 53.8 85.7 8.8 66.7 38.3 64.7 28.3 17.6 11.7 71.4
Player 921 50.6 68.5 85.9 25.7 52.1 43.2 63.5 47.3 23.2 9.3 75.6
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.6 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024
2025 72 8 66 43
2026 55 47 75 37 3 8 1 13 7 3 38 4 53
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 22.48 1 1.5 -1 1 1 1 100.0
2025 21.60 2 2.4 0 6 4 0 0.0
2026 -- 0 0.0 0 1 0 0 --
Player 21.89 3 4.0 -1 8 5 1 33.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
2025 2 3 3 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 0 3 5 7 1 0 2 1 3 3 2 4 6 4 2 1 1 3 4 2 2
2026 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Player 3 6 4 4 4 3 3 2 3 2 2 4 8 8 2 1 3 2 5 6 4 6 8 6 3 2 2 4 6 3 3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .077 -.209 .286 +.036 .250
xBA .284 +.012 .272 +.002 .270
OBP .294 -.043 .337 +.047 .290
xOBP .453 +.128 .325 +.017 .308
SLG .077 -.380 .457 -.043 .500
xSLG .676 +.249 .427 -.064 .491
ISO .000 -.171 .171 -.079 .250
xISO .392 +.237 .155 -.067 .222
BABIP .091 -.262 .353 +.080 .273
wOBA .220 -.120 .340 +.011 .329
xwOBA .473 +.147 .326 -.013 .339
wOBAcon .083 -.316 .399 +.015 .384
xwOBAcon .475 +.095 .380 -.017 .397
BACON .091 -.271 .362 +.058 .304
xBACON .336 -.010 .346 +.018 .328
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 63.6 +10.0 53.6 +14.5 39.1
Avg Exit Velocity 93.8 +1.0 92.8 +3.9 88.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 36.4 +1.6 34.8 +4.4 30.4
Barrel % 9.1 +1.9 7.2 -5.8 13.0
Avg Launch Angle 9.2 -1.4 10.6 -4.0 14.6
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.8 +0.9 70.9 -1.2 72.1
Attack Angle 10° +1° -1° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 56.3 +6.1 50.2 +10.2 40.0
Attack Direction -1° -1° +6° -6°
Swing Path - Tilt 34° +2° 33° -2° 35°
Swing Length 7.2 +0.1 7.1 -0.2 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.1 -0.6 95.7 +2.1 93.6
Breaking Velocity 85.5 -0.8 86.3 +2.2 84.1
Offspeed Velocity 88.4 +2.2 86.2 +1.6 84.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 1 -9 10 +7 3
Popup % 0.0 -5.8 5.8 +1.5 4.3
Flyball % 45.5 +25.2 20.3 -14.5 34.8
Line Drive % 9.1 -19.2 28.3 +10.9 17.4
Groundball % 45.5 -0.2 45.7 +2.2 43.5
Pull % 36.4 -4.9 41.3 -10.9 52.2
Straight Away % 45.5 +5.6 39.9 +5.1 34.8
Opposite Field % 18.2 -0.6 18.8 +5.8 13.0
Weak Contact % 0.0 -1.4 1.4 -2.9 4.3
Pull Airball % 9.1 -9.7 18.8 -7.3 26.1
Topped Contact % 45.5 +13.6 31.9 +1.5 30.4
Under Contact % 0.0 -21.7 21.7 -8.7 30.4
Flare/Burner Contact % 9.1 -21.3 30.4 +13.0 17.4
Solid Contact % 36.4 +29.2 7.2 +2.9 4.3
HR/FB % 0.0 -7.1 7.1 -5.4 12.5
Popups 0 -8 8 +7 1
Flyballs 5 -23 28 +20 8
Line Drives 1 -38 39 +35 4
Groundballs 5 -58 63 +53 10
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 43.3 -7.9 51.2 +0.7 50.5
Out of Zone % 56.7 +7.9 48.8 -0.7 49.5
Edge % 38.3 -5.7 44.0 +4.0 40.0
Zone Swing % 53.8 -15.2 69.0 -2.7 71.7
Out of Zone Swing % 8.8 -17.2 26.0 -8.6 34.6
In Zone Contact % 85.7 -0.1 85.8 -1.0 86.8
Out of Zone Contact % 66.7 +14.6 52.1 +2.1 50.0
Whiff % 17.6 -5.5 23.1 -1.9 25.0
First Strike % 64.7 -1.1 65.8 +17.4 48.4
First Pitch Swing % 29.4 -8.4 37.8 +8.8 29.0
Swing % 28.3 -19.7 48.0 -5.3 53.3
Meatball Swing % 71.4 -6.4 77.8 +20.7 57.1
Meatball % 11.7 +2.2 9.5 +2.8 6.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.3 +0.1 14.2 +1.0 13.2
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 33.3 -14.6 47.9 -2.1 50.0
In Zone 26 -361 387 +334 53
Out of Zone 34 -335 369 +317 52
Edge 23 -310 333 +291 42
In Zone Swings 14 -253 267 +229 38
Out of Zone Swings 3 -93 96 +78 18
In Zone Swing & Misses 2 -36 38 +33 5
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 1 -45 46 +37 9
Basic
Pitches 60 -696 756 +651 105
PA 17 -176 193 +162 31
AB 13 -162 175 +147 28
Hits 1 -49 50 +43 7
Singles 1 -28 29 +27 2
Doubles 0 -14 14 +10 4
Triples 0 -5 5 +5 0
Home Runs 0 -2 2 +1 1
Walks 4 -9 13 +11 2
Strikeouts 2 -38 40 +34 6
K% 11.8 -8.9 20.7 +1.3 19.4
BB% 23.5 +16.8 6.7 +0.2 6.5
HBP 0 -2 2 +2 0
Batted Balls 11 -127 138 +115 23
Number of Fastballs 27 -313 340 +297 43
Number of Offspeed 11 -9 20 -6 26
Number of Breaking 22 -374 396 +360 36
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 31 .329 18 0 0.0 13 10 76.9
2025 Shades 193 .340 111 0 0.0 82 40 48.8
2026 Shades 17 .220 8 0 0.0 9 4 44.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 26 17.4 15.4% 0.0% 16 17.2 6.3% 0.0%
2025 164 18.2 6.7% 1.2% 134 19.4 0.0% 0.0%
2026 3 14.7 66.7% 0.0% 9 19.5 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution