Fraser Ellard
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 3" 220LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2021 | Rd: 8, #245, Chicago White Sox | Liberty University
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 2 3 3.75 25 0 1 24 26 1.25
2025 0 2 6.75 7 0 0 6.2 10 1.05
2 Seasons 2 5 4.40 32 0 1 30.2 36 1.21
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 25 2-3 3.75 24 26 1.25
2025 7 0-2 6.75 6.2 10 1.05
2 Seasons 32 2-5 4.40 30.2 36 1.21
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 26 432 62 4 6.5 4.0 90.1 113.7 11.0 35.5 .237 .369 .280 .305 .371 40.3 25.7 11.9 3.75 3.88
2025 27 114 8 0 0.0 0.0 96.2 103.1 19.8 12.5 .124 .240 .231 .306 .346 75.0 40.0 24.0 6.75 3.50
Player 546 70 4 5.7 3.2 90.8 113.7 12.0 32.9 .218 .347 .270 .306 .368 44.3 28.6 14.3
MLB 7.1 4.8 88.5 122.9 12.4 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .369 36.7 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ellard relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(47.4%) ,
Slider
(26.3%) ,
Changeup
(14.0%) ,
Sinker
(12.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 45.2 54.8 25.8 24.2 4.8 35.5 37.1 27.4 25.8 14.5 4.8 9.7 22.6 22.6
2025 50.0 50.0 25.0 12.5 12.5 37.5 37.5 25.0 25.0 25.0 0.0 12.5 12.5 25.0
Player 45.7 54.3 25.7 22.9 5.7 35.7 37.1 27.1 25.7 15.7 4.3 10.0 21.4 22.9
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.9 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.7 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 1.6 33.9 27.4 30.6 0.0 6.5 4.0
2025 0.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 0.0 0.0
Player 1.4 32.9 27.1 30.0 2.9 5.7 3.2
MLB 3.9 32.5 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.1 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 4-Seam Fastball CWS L 54 94.3 15.8 -0.8 11.2ARM 3.5 15.3 -0.6 11.2ARM 3.1
2025 Changeup CWS L 16 89.1 31.9 1.2 12.3ARM -2.7 2.8 2.4 12.3ARM -2.1
2025 Slider CWS L 30 83.6 41.9 3.5 8.3GLV 2.2 -2.4 4.2 8.3GLV 4.0
2025 Sinker CWS L 14 92.1 25.7 1.3 16.2ARM 0.9 6.9 0.7 16.2ARM 0.8
2024 Cutter CWS L 38 91.6 25.9 -1.7 1.4ARM -2.8 6.6 -0.6 1.4ARM -3.4
2024 Slider CWS L 100 85.8 39.0 3.4 6.2GLV 1.4 -1.8 3.3 6.2GLV 1.4
2024 4-Seam Fastball CWS L 240 95.1 16.0 -1.4 11.7ARM 3.6 14.3 -1.4 11.7ARM 3.6
2024 Sinker CWS L 36 93.2 27.9 4.0 13.1ARM -2.2 3.7 4.5 13.1ARM -2.0
2024 Changeup CWS L 18 90.1 31.8 1.9 10.3ARM -4.8 1.7 4.2 10.3ARM -3.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.0 1 54 47.4 9 .000 .000 .311 28.6 22.2 11.8 .126 .355 .423 100.0
2025 Slider 2.5 1 30 26.3 7 .000 .000 .100 33.3 57.1 28.6 .084 .214 .204 100.0
2025 Changeup 1.0 0 16 14.0 5 .250 .250 .320 55.6 60.0 50.0 .143 .166 .248 0.0
2025 Sinker 2.6 0 14 12.3 4 .000 .000 .175 25.0 25.0 25.0 .175 .199 .297 50.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.8 -2 240 55.6 41 .188 .500 .357 24.7 24.4 16.1 .204 .420 .346 47.8
2024 Slider 3.3 3 100 23.1 29 .077 .077 .141 41.9 44.8 26.0 .096 .115 .133 14.3
2024 Cutter -2.7 -1 38 8.8 9 .444 .556 .439 15.4 11.1 20.0 .516 .829 .575 62.5
2024 Sinker 4.8 2 36 8.3 13 .250 .250 .208 12.5 7.7 33.3 .333 .374 .336 41.7
2024 Changeup -6.7 -1 18 4.2 6 .500 .667 .508 9.1 16.7 12.5 .416 .503 .404 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 11 88.9 72 13.7 10:30 9:30 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 54 94.3 89 18.7 10:30 10:45 -15
2025 Sinker 13 92.1 79 18.7 10:30 9:45 45
2025 Slider 30 83.6 46 10.0 4:30 4:00 30
2024 Changeup 16 90.1 63 10.9 10:15 9:15 60
2024 Cutter 38 91.6 41 6.0 10:30 11:30 -60
2024 4-Seam Fastball 236 95.2 86 18.3 10:30 10:30 0
2024 Sinker 35 93.2 65 14.0 10:30 9:15 75
2024 Slider 98 85.8 34 7.8 4:30 4:00 30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 98 432 4 3 -3 -3 1
2025 25 114 3 1 -1 -1 2
Player 123 546 6 4 -4 6 3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 432 48.8 61.6 80.0 24.4 53.7 36.8 50.5 42.6 25.5 9.0 84.6
2025 114 43.9 60.0 86.7 26.6 29.4 48.2 52.0 41.2 34.0 7.0 62.5
Player 546 47.8 61.3 81.3 24.9 47.9 39.2 50.8 42.3 27.3 8.6 80.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.1 28.4 57.6 42.6 61.1 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2024 63 96 10
2025 41 84 23
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 26.78 3 3.6 -1 0 3 1 33.3
2025 -- 0 0.1 0 1 0 0 --
Player 26.78 3 3.7 -1 1 3 1 33.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 3 2 2 3 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4
2025 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Player 3 2 2 4 5 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2024 +/-   2025
Fastball Velocity 94.5 -0.7 93.8
Offspeed Velocity 90.1 -1.0 89.1
Breaking Velocity 85.8 -2.2 83.6
Exit Velocity 90.1 6.1 96.2
Launch Angle 11.0 8.8 19.8
Barrel % 6.5 -6.5 0.0
Hard Hit % 40.3 34.7 75.0
LA Sweet-Spot % 35.5 -23.0 12.5
xBA .237 -0.113 .124
BA .212 -0.156 .056
xwOBA .305 0.001 .306
wOBA .280 -0.049 .231
xSLG .369 -0.129 .240
SLG .353 -0.297 .056
K% 25.7 14.3 40.0
BB% 11.9 12.1 24.0
Swing % 42.6 -1.4 41.2
Whiff% 25.5 8.5 34.0
In Zone % 48.8 -4.9 43.9
Out of Zone % 51.2 4.9 56.1
Out of Zone Swing % 24.4 2.2 26.6
First Pitch Swing % 22.2 1.8 24.0
First Pitch Strike % 50.5 1.5 52.0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 98 .280 53 2 3.8 45 19 42.2
2025 Shades 25 .231 16 0 0.0 9 1 11.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 119 15.7 39.5% 0.8% 93 17.2 8.6% 0.0%
2025 27 15.3 44.4% 0.0% 17 16.5 0.0% 5.9%

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Pitch Distribution