Evan Justice
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 4" 205LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2021 | Rd: 5, #140, Colorado Rockies | NC State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 0 0 8.59 9 0 0 7.1 7 3.00
2024 0 0 0.00 1 0 0 0.1 1 3.00
2 Seasons 0 0 8.22 10 0 0 7.2 8 3.00
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 9 0-0 8.59 7.1 7 3.00
2024 1 0-0 0.00 0.1 1 3.00
2 Seasons 10 0-0 8.22 7.2 8 3.00
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 24 169 26 0 0.0 0.0 87.3 113.5 5.9 26.9 .276 .319 .472 .357 .333 23.1 16.7 19.0 8.59 5.55
2024 25 8 0 0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- .000 .000 .345 .345 .000 -- 50.0 50.0 0.00 5.11
Player 177 26 0 0.0 0.0 87.3 113.5 5.9 26.9 .268 .309 .467 .356 .333 23.1 18.2 20.5
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Justice relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(50.0%) ,
Sinker
(37.5%) ,
Slider
(12.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 57.7 11.5 26.9 3.8 30.8 42.3 26.9 3.8 38.5 19.2 38.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
2024 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0
Player 57.7 11.5 26.9 3.8 30.8 42.3 26.9 3.8 38.5 19.2 38.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2024 4-Seam Fastball COL L 4 91.8 21.1 -1.7 6.8ARM -5.3 11.0 -4.6 6.8ARM -1.4
2024 Slider COL L 1 79.5 46.2 3.0 1.7ARM -10.4 -3.1 4.6 1.7ARM -6.8
2024 Sinker COL L 3 91.5 21.3 -6.5 9.0ARM -7.0 11.3 -3.2 9.0ARM -6.2
2023 Slider COL L 40 80.9 44.0 3.0 0.0GLV -8.9 -2.4 4.2 0.0GLV -5.2
2023 Sinker COL L 15 95.7 13.4 -9.6 10.5ARM -5.3 16.6 -8.3 10.5ARM -4.6
2023 4-Seam Fastball COL L 114 94.3 17.7 -1.9 5.2ARM -3.5 12.7 -2.6 5.2ARM -2.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -2.0 0 4 50.0 1 -- -- .700 0.0 0.0 -- -- -- .700 --
2024 Sinker -0.7 0 3 37.5 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2024 Slider 54.6 1 1 12.5 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 100.0 -- -- .000 --
2023 4-Seam Fastball -6.6 -7 114 67.5 31 .565 .609 .569 13.2 12.9 12.9 .346 .392 .421 21.1
2023 Slider 5.6 2 40 23.7 8 .000 .000 .000 18.8 25.0 18.2 .039 .074 .047 16.7
2023 Sinker -3.3 0 15 8.9 3 .500 1.000 .650 33.3 33.3 50.0 .310 .338 .419 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 4-Seam Fastball 111 94.3 75 13.2 10:45 11:15 -30
2023 Sinker 14 95.8 84 19.5 10:45 10:45 0
2023 Slider 40 80.9 45 4.6 5:15 6:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 42 169 -2 2 -4 -1 -6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 169 41.4 50.0 94.3 22.2 63.6 37.3 52.4 33.7 15.8 4.7 62.5
2024 8 37.5 33.3 100.0 20.0 0.0 50.0 50.0 25.0 50.0 12.5 100.0
Player 177 41.2 49.3 94.4 22.1 60.9 37.9 52.3 33.3 16.9 5.1 66.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2023 58 78 36
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.5 91.7 -2.8 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 80.9 79.5 -1.4 ↓
Exit Velocity 87.3 0.0 0.0
Launch Angle 5.9 0.0 0.0
Barrel % 0.0 0.0 0.0
Hard Hit % 23.1 0.0 0.0
LA Sweet-Spot % 26.9 0.0 0.0
xBA .276 .000 0.000
BA .438 .000 -0.438 ↓
xwOBA .357 .345 -0.012 ↓
wOBA .472 .345 -0.127 ↓
xSLG .319 .000 0.000
SLG .500 .000 -0.500 ↓
K% 16.7 50.0 33.3 ↑
BB% 19.0 50.0 31.0 ↑
Swing % 33.7 25.0 -8.7 ↓
Whiff% 15.8 50.0 34.2 ↑
In Zone % 41.4 37.5 -3.9 ↓
Out of Zone % 58.6 62.5 3.9 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 22.2 20.0 -2.2 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 19.0 0.0 -19.0 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 52.4 50.0 -2.4 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 42 .472 28 1 3.6 14 5 35.7
2024 Shades 2 .345 1 0 0.0 1 1 100.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 15 16.0 33.3% 0.0% 75 19.1 1.3% 0.0%
2024 0 -- -- -- 5 18.1 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution

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