P | Athletics
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 253 lbs | Age: 27
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 1 1 3.19 37 0 0 42.1 50 1.32
2026 4 3 4.39 41 0 2 41 49 1.22
2 Seasons 5 4 3.78 78 0 2 83.1 99 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 37 1-1 3.19 42.1 50 1.32
2026 41 4-3 4.39 41 49 1.22
2 Seasons 78 5-4 3.78 83.1 99 1.27
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 26 765 109 9 8.3 4.9 89.9 111.7 16.7 30.3 .221 .362 .305 .304 .362 46.8 27.3 12.0 3.19 3.82
2026 27 699 97 16 16.5 9.6 90.4 114.1 15.1 30.9 .207 .442 .329 .334 .423 49.5 29.3 11.4 4.39 4.75
Player 1464 206 25 12.1 7.1 90.1 114.1 15.9 30.6 .214 .400 .316 .318 .390 48.1 28.3 11.7
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Alvarado relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(58.5%) ,
Slider
(23.0%) ,
Sinker
(13.7%) ,
Split Finger
(4.6%) ,
Changeup
(0.1%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 39.4 60.6 30.3 22.9 7.3 35.8 41.3 22.9 18.3 14.7 6.4 17.4 26.6 16.5
2026 38.1 61.9 47.4 13.4 1.0 32.0 54.6 13.4 14.4 17.5 6.2 17.5 37.1 7.2
Player 38.8 61.2 38.3 18.4 4.4 34.0 47.6 18.4 16.5 16.0 6.3 17.5 31.6 12.1
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 2.8 24.8 29.4 28.4 6.4 8.3 4.9
2026 4.1 30.9 25.8 14.4 8.2 16.5 9.6
Player 3.4 27.7 27.7 21.8 7.3 12.1 7.1
MLB 4.0 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slider ATH R 161 88.1 33.1 -0.6 0.7ARM -3.6 2.2 -0.8 0.7ARM -4.4
2026 Sinker ATH R 96 97.8 19.6 -1.9 17.5ARM 1.4 9.1 -1.5 17.5ARM 2.4
2026 Changeup ATH R 1 88.7 30.6 -0.3 1.3ARM -13.4 4.1 -0.3 1.3ARM -12.9
2026 Split-Finger ATH R 32 87.5 33.6 0.4 5.7ARM -5.5 2.0 1.0 5.7ARM -5.5
2026 4-Seam Fastball ATH R 409 98.8 13.5 0.2 12.6ARM 3.6 14.6 -1.1 12.6ARM 4.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball ATH R 372 98.7 14.7 -0.9 14.2ARM 5.0 13.6 -2.2 14.2ARM 6.6
2025 Changeup ATH R 31 89.5 29.8 -1.6 15.9ARM 0.9 4.6 -0.5 15.9ARM 1.4
2025 Sinker ATH R 117 98.3 19.1 -2.0 16.7ARM 0.6 9.4 -2.0 16.7ARM 1.6
2025 Slider ATH R 245 88.9 29.2 -3.3 0.9ARM -4.2 5.5 -3.7 0.9ARM -5.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 0 409 58.5 95 .171 .408 .332 35.6 35.8 23.8 .185 .410 .340 52.4
2026 Slider -2.8 -5 161 23.0 37 .250 .556 .327 35.4 29.7 16.9 .252 .552 .366 34.6
2026 Sinker -1.6 -2 96 13.7 27 .360 .520 .437 8.0 0.0 0.0 .264 .498 .352 64.0
2026 Split-Finger 3.2 1 32 4.6 7 .000 .000 .000 46.2 57.1 21.1 .032 .038 .031 0.0
2026 Changeup 18.3 0 1 0.1 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .086 .332 .175 100.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 2 372 48.6 91 .164 .301 .307 39.7 34.1 25.6 .173 .304 .301 38.1
2025 Slider -0.8 -2 245 32.0 54 .192 .442 .281 41.2 33.3 20.5 .180 .295 .221 38.2
2025 Sinker 0.7 1 117 15.3 31 .345 .379 .347 8.2 3.2 5.3 .408 .639 .463 71.4
2025 Changeup -3.4 -1 31 4.1 6 .400 .600 .475 8.3 0.0 0.0 .255 .303 .319 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 4-Seam Fastball 383 98.7 97 19.3 1:30 1:30 0
2026 Split-Finger 26 87.9 81 7.4 2:15 2:45 -30
2026 Sinker 94 97.8 96 20.1 1:45 2:15 -30
2026 Slider 138 88.0 13 2.0 2:30 1:30 60
2025 Changeup 31 89.5 99 17.0 2:15 2:45 -30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 372 98.7 98 19.7 1:45 1:45 0
2025 Sinker 117 98.3 97 19.5 1:45 2:15 -30
2025 Slider 245 88.9 27 4.7 1:45 12:15 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
+ View Complete Arm Angle Leaderboard

Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 182 765 0 10 -5 -5 -1
2026 167 699 -5 10 -6 -4 -5
Player 349 1,464 -5 21 -11 -5 -5
+ View Complete Pitching Run Value Leaderboard
+ Show Leverage-Based Run Value

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 765 45.6 71.1 75.0 26.7 46.8 41.3 54.6 46.9 33.7 7.1 83.3
2026 699 49.1 74.1 70.5 30.3 62.0 38.5 57.5 51.8 32.0 8.6 83.3
Player 1,464 47.3 72.5 72.7 28.4 54.3 40.0 56.0 49.2 32.9 7.8 83.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 97 89 8
2026 25 34 17 71 22 96 88 12 47 91 90 16 1 1 26 5
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard
+ Compare To Other Players

Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 26.44 6 4.4 2 2 5 1 16.7
2026 24.59 8 7.3 1 3 7 3 37.5
Player 25.38 14 11.7 2 5 12 4 28.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs

Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 6 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 1 4 6 5 8 5 3 6 3 3 5 5 4 6 5 2 2 4 6 5 4 3
2026 8 10 5 5 7 7 7 7 9 8 6 5 7 10 8 7 9 7 5 10 8 8 8 10 6 5 3 7 10 6 9
Player 14 15 10 8 11 12 12 12 14 9 10 11 12 18 13 10 15 10 8 15 13 12 14 15 8 7 7 13 15 10 12
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs By Park
+ View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .214 .000 .214
xBA .207 -.014 .221
OBP .311 -.006 .317
xOBP .310 -.013 .323
SLG .441 +.070 .371
xSLG .442 +.080 .362
ISO .228 +.071 .157
xISO .235 +.093 .142
BABIP .258 -.014 .272
wOBA .329 +.024 .305
xwOBA .334 +.030 .304
wOBAcon .414 +.051 .363
xwOBAcon .423 +.061 .362
BACON .320 +.008 .312
xBACON .317 -.005 .322
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 49.5 +2.7 46.8
Avg Exit Velocity 90.4 +0.5 89.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 30.9 +0.6 30.3
Barrel % 16.5 +8.2 8.3
Avg Launch Angle 15.1 -1.6 16.7
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.3 +0.5 71.8
Attack Angle
Ideal Attack Angle % 50.8 -0.5 51.3
Attack Direction +2° -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° -1° 32°
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 98.6 0.0 98.6
Breaking Velocity 88.1 -0.8 88.9
Offspeed Velocity 87.6 -1.9 89.5
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 16 +7 9
Popup % 1.0 -6.3 7.3
Flyball % 47.4 +17.1 30.3
Line Drive % 13.4 -9.5 22.9
Groundball % 38.1 -1.3 39.4
Pull % 32.0 -3.8 35.8
Straight Away % 54.6 +13.3 41.3
Opposite Field % 13.4 -9.5 22.9
Weak Contact % 4.1 +1.3 2.8
Pull Airball % 17.5 +0.1 17.4
Topped Contact % 30.9 +6.1 24.8
Under Contact % 25.8 -3.6 29.4
Flare/Burner Contact % 14.4 -14.0 28.4
Solid Contact % 8.2 +1.8 6.4
HR/FB % 17.4 -0.8 18.2
Popups 1 -7 8
Flyballs 46 +13 33
Line Drives 13 -12 25
Groundballs 37 -6 43
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 49.1 +3.5 45.6
Out of Zone % 50.9 -3.5 54.4
Edge % 38.5 -2.8 41.3
Zone Swing % 74.1 +3.0 71.1
Out of Zone Swing % 30.3 +3.6 26.7
In Zone Contact % 70.5 -4.5 75.0
Out of Zone Contact % 62.0 +15.2 46.8
Whiff % 32.0 -1.7 33.7
First Strike % 57.5 +2.9 54.6
First Pitch Swing % 33.5 +2.4 31.1
Swing % 51.8 +4.9 46.9
Meatball Swing % 83.3 0.0 83.3
Meatball % 8.6 +1.5 7.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 29.5 +4.5 25.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 38.0 -15.2 53.2
In Zone 343 -6 349
Out of Zone 356 -60 416
Edge 269 -47 316
In Zone Swings 254 +6 248
Out of Zone Swings 108 -3 111
In Zone Swing & Misses 75 +13 62
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 41 -18 59
Basic
Pitches 699 -66 765
PA 167 -16 183
AB 145 -14 159
Hits 31 -3 34
Singles 14 -7 21
Doubles 9 +2 7
Triples 0 0 0
Home Runs 8 +2 6
Walks 19 -3 22
Strikeouts 49 -1 50
K% 29.3 +2.0 27.3
BB% 11.4 -0.6 12.0
HBP 2 0 2
Batted Balls 97 -12 109
Fastball Percent 72.2 +8.3 63.9
Offspeed Percent 4.7 +0.6 4.1
Breaking Percent 23.0 -9.0 32.0
Number of Fastballs 505 +16 489
Number of Offspeed 33 +2 31
Number of Breaking 161 -84 245
+ Toggle Viewing All Player's Year to Year Stats

Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 182 .305 103 0 0.0 79 42 53.2
2026 Shades 167 .329 96 3 3.1 71 26 36.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 205 16.8 17.1% 0.0% 137 18.7 2.2% 1.5%
2026 129 18.0 1.6% 2.3% 134 20.5 0.0% 2.2%

+ View Complete Pitch Tempo Leaderboard

Pitch Distribution