P | Athletics
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 253 lbs | Age: 27
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 1 1 3.19 37 0 0 42.1 50 1.32
2026 3 3 5.48 21 0 2 23 27 1.09
2 Seasons 4 4 3.99 58 0 2 65.1 77 1.24
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 37 1-1 3.19 42.1 50 1.32
2026 21 3-3 5.48 23 27 1.09
2 Seasons 58 4-4 3.99 65.1 77 1.24
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 26 765 109 9 8.3 4.9 89.9 111.7 16.7 30.3 .221 .362 .305 .304 .362 46.8 27.3 12.0 3.19 3.82
2026 27 384 56 11 19.6 12.2 91.4 114.1 16.0 32.1 .205 .499 .322 .325 .435 51.8 30.0 7.8 5.48 4.42
Player 1149 165 20 12.1 7.3 90.4 114.1 16.5 30.9 .215 .409 .310 .311 .387 48.5 28.2 10.6
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Alvarado relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(53.9%) ,
Slider
(25.0%) ,
Sinker
(18.2%) ,
Split Finger
(2.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 39.4 60.6 30.3 22.9 7.3 35.8 41.3 22.9 18.3 14.7 6.4 17.4 26.6 16.5
2026 37.5 62.5 51.8 10.7 0.0 33.9 53.6 12.5 14.3 17.9 5.4 19.6 35.7 7.1
Player 38.8 61.2 37.6 18.8 4.8 35.2 45.5 19.4 17.0 15.8 6.1 18.2 29.7 13.3
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 2.8 24.8 29.4 28.4 6.4 8.3 4.9
2026 0.0 35.7 25.0 8.9 10.7 19.6 12.2
Player 1.8 28.5 27.9 21.8 7.9 12.1 7.3
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker ATH R 70 97.8 19.6 -1.8 17.5ARM 1.5 9.2 -1.6 17.5ARM 2.3
2026 Split-Finger ATH R 11 87.1 34.5 1.4 4.0ARM -7.3 1.5 1.5 4.0ARM -7.5
2026 4-Seam Fastball ATH R 207 98.7 13.5 0.1 12.6ARM 4.0 14.7 -1.1 12.6ARM 4.8
2026 Slider ATH R 96 87.8 33.8 -0.2 0.3ARM -3.3 1.9 -0.5 0.3ARM -4.1
2025 Slider ATH R 245 88.9 29.2 -3.3 0.9ARM -4.2 5.5 -3.7 0.9ARM -5.1
2025 Sinker ATH R 117 98.3 19.1 -2.0 16.7ARM 0.6 9.4 -2.0 16.7ARM 1.6
2025 Changeup ATH R 31 89.5 29.8 -1.6 15.9ARM 0.9 4.6 -0.5 15.9ARM 1.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball ATH R 372 98.7 14.7 -0.9 14.2ARM 5.0 13.6 -2.2 14.2ARM 6.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 1 207 53.9 48 .167 .452 .309 38.3 45.8 27.2 .148 .408 .288 50.0
2026 Slider -2.2 -2 96 25.0 18 .222 .556 .322 36.0 22.2 10.5 .292 .721 .420 42.9
2026 Sinker -0.7 0 70 18.2 22 .333 .476 .407 10.0 0.0 0.0 .262 .534 .354 61.9
2026 Split-Finger 1.4 0 11 2.9 2 .000 .000 .000 25.0 50.0 12.5 .034 .044 .034 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 2 372 48.6 91 .164 .301 .307 39.7 34.1 25.6 .173 .304 .301 38.1
2025 Slider -0.8 -2 245 32.0 54 .192 .442 .281 41.2 33.3 20.5 .180 .295 .221 38.2
2025 Sinker 0.7 1 117 15.3 31 .345 .379 .347 8.2 3.2 5.3 .408 .639 .463 71.4
2025 Changeup -3.4 -1 31 4.1 6 .400 .600 .475 8.3 0.0 0.0 .255 .303 .319 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 4-Seam Fastball 181 98.4 96 19.5 1:30 1:30 0
2026 Sinker 68 97.8 96 20.2 1:45 2:15 -30
2026 Slider 73 87.5 12 1.7 2:30 1:30 60
2025 Changeup 31 89.5 99 17.0 2:15 2:45 -30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 372 98.7 98 19.7 1:45 1:45 0
2025 Sinker 117 98.3 97 19.5 1:45 2:15 -30
2025 Slider 245 88.9 27 4.7 1:45 12:15 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 182 765 0 10 -5 -5 -1
2026 90 384 0 3 -3 -2 -2
Player 272 1,149 -1 14 -8 -1 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 765 45.6 71.1 75.0 26.7 46.8 41.3 54.6 46.9 33.7 7.1 83.3
2026 384 50.3 75.6 68.5 33.0 66.7 39.1 58.9 54.4 32.1 7.0 81.5
Player 1,149 47.2 72.7 72.6 28.7 54.0 40.6 56.0 49.4 33.1 7.0 82.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 97 89 8
2026 96 89 9
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 26.44 6 4.4 2 2 5 1 16.7
2026 25.49 5 5.7 -1 3 3 3 60.0
Player 26.01 11 10.1 1 5 8 4 36.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 6 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 1 4 6 5 8 5 3 6 3 3 5 5 4 6 5 2 2 4 6 5 4 3
2026 5 8 3 5 6 6 6 5 7 6 5 4 5 6 5 7 5 5 6 7 5 7 7 7 5 5 5 5 7 5 6
Player 11 13 8 8 10 11 11 10 12 7 9 10 10 14 10 10 11 8 9 12 10 11 13 12 7 7 9 11 12 9 9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .217 +.003 .214
xBA .205 -.016 .221
OBP .278 -.039 .317
xOBP .267 -.056 .323
SLG .470 +.099 .371
xSLG .499 +.137 .362
ISO .253 +.096 .157
xISO .294 +.152 .142
BABIP .255 -.017 .272
wOBA .322 +.017 .305
xwOBA .325 +.021 .304
wOBAcon .429 +.066 .363
xwOBAcon .435 +.073 .362
BACON .321 +.009 .312
xBACON .304 -.018 .322
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 51.8 +5.0 46.8
Avg Exit Velocity 91.4 +1.5 89.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 32.1 +1.8 30.3
Barrel % 19.6 +11.3 8.3
Avg Launch Angle 16.0 -0.7 16.7
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.8 +1.0 71.8
Attack Angle 10° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 48.1 -3.2 51.3
Attack Direction -1° +1° -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° 32°
Swing Length 7.4 +0.1 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 98.5 -0.1 98.6
Breaking Velocity 87.8 -1.1 88.9
Offspeed Velocity 87.1 -2.4 89.5
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 11 +2 9
Popup % 0.0 -7.3 7.3
Flyball % 51.8 +21.5 30.3
Line Drive % 10.7 -12.2 22.9
Groundball % 37.5 -1.9 39.4
Pull % 33.9 -1.9 35.8
Straight Away % 53.6 +12.3 41.3
Opposite Field % 12.5 -10.4 22.9
Weak Contact % 0.0 -2.8 2.8
Pull Airball % 19.6 +2.2 17.4
Topped Contact % 35.7 +10.9 24.8
Under Contact % 25.0 -4.4 29.4
Flare/Burner Contact % 8.9 -19.5 28.4
Solid Contact % 10.7 +4.3 6.4
HR/FB % 17.2 -1.0 18.2
Popups 0 -8 8
Flyballs 29 -4 33
Line Drives 6 -19 25
Groundballs 21 -22 43
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 50.3 +4.7 45.6
Out of Zone % 49.7 -4.7 54.4
Edge % 39.1 -2.2 41.3
Zone Swing % 75.6 +4.5 71.1
Out of Zone Swing % 33.0 +6.3 26.7
In Zone Contact % 68.5 -6.5 75.0
Out of Zone Contact % 66.7 +19.9 46.8
Whiff % 32.1 -1.6 33.7
First Strike % 58.9 +4.3 54.6
First Pitch Swing % 32.2 +1.1 31.1
Swing % 54.4 +7.5 46.9
Meatball Swing % 81.5 -1.8 83.3
Meatball % 7.0 -0.1 7.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 31.5 +6.5 25.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 33.3 -19.9 53.2
In Zone 193 -156 349
Out of Zone 191 -225 416
Edge 150 -166 316
In Zone Swings 146 -102 248
Out of Zone Swings 63 -48 111
In Zone Swing & Misses 46 -16 62
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 21 -38 59
Basic
Pitches 384 -381 765
PA 90 -93 183
AB 83 -76 159
Hits 18 -16 34
Singles 7 -14 21
Doubles 6 -1 7
Triples 0 0 0
Home Runs 5 -1 6
Walks 7 -15 22
Strikeouts 27 -23 50
K% 30.0 +2.7 27.3
BB% 7.8 -4.2 12.0
HBP 0 -2 2
Batted Balls 56 -53 109
Fastball Percent 72.1 +8.2 63.9
Offspeed Percent 2.9 -1.2 4.1
Breaking Percent 25.0 -7.0 32.0
Number of Fastballs 277 -212 489
Number of Offspeed 11 -20 31
Number of Breaking 96 -149 245
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 182 .305 103 0 0.0 79 42 53.2
2026 Shades 90 .322 52 3 5.8 38 21 55.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 205 16.8 17.1% 0.0% 137 18.7 2.2% 1.5%
2026 79 17.8 2.5% 3.8% 64 20.3 0.0% 3.1%

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Pitch Distribution