P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 253 lbs | Age: 27
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 1 1 3.19 37 0 0 42.1 50 1.32
2026 2 0 8.38 10 0 0 9.2 9 1.86
2 Seasons 3 1 4.15 47 0 0 52 59 1.42
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 37 1-1 3.19 42.1 50 1.32
2026 10 2-0 8.38 9.2 9 1.86
2 Seasons 47 3-1 4.15 52 59 1.42
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 26 765 109 9 8.3 4.9 89.9 111.7 16.7 30.3 .221 .362 .305 .304 .362 46.8 27.3 12.0 3.19 3.82
2026 27 182 28 7 25.0 15.9 91.3 114.1 15.2 39.3 .252 .603 .408 .412 .471 50.0 20.5 15.9 8.38 7.42
Player 947 137 16 11.7 7.0 90.2 114.1 16.4 32.1 .227 .408 .325 .325 .384 47.4 26.0 12.8
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Alvarado relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(60.4%) ,
Sinker
(20.9%) ,
Slider
(16.5%) ,
Split Finger
(2.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 39.4 60.6 30.3 22.9 7.3 35.8 41.3 22.9 18.3 14.7 6.4 17.4 26.6 16.5
2026 35.7 64.3 50.0 14.3 0.0 28.6 57.1 14.3 7.1 25.0 3.6 21.4 32.1 10.7
Player 38.7 61.3 34.3 21.2 5.8 34.3 44.5 21.2 16.1 16.8 5.8 18.2 27.7 15.3
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 2.8 24.8 29.4 28.4 6.4 8.3 4.9
2026 0.0 35.7 17.9 10.7 10.7 25.0 15.9
Player 2.2 27.0 27.0 24.8 7.3 11.7 7.0
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker ATH R 38 97.6 19.4 -1.9 17.3ARM 0.8 9.4 -1.6 17.3ARM 1.8
2026 Split-Finger ATH R 4 86.4 36.3 2.5 2.7ARM -8.5 0.5 2.2 2.7ARM -8.9
2026 4-Seam Fastball ATH R 110 98.2 13.5 0.1 12.7ARM 4.0 15.1 -1.0 12.7ARM 5.0
2026 Slider ATH R 30 86.8 35.0 -0.3 0.0GLV -3.4 1.7 -0.2 0.0GLV -4.1
2025 Slider ATH R 245 88.9 29.2 -3.3 0.9ARM -4.3 5.5 -3.7 0.9ARM -5.2
2025 Sinker ATH R 117 98.3 19.1 -2.3 16.7ARM 0.7 9.4 -2.0 16.7ARM 1.6
2025 Changeup ATH R 31 89.5 29.8 -1.6 15.9ARM 0.9 4.6 -0.5 15.9ARM 1.4
2025 4-Seam Fastball ATH R 372 98.7 14.7 -0.9 14.2ARM 5.0 13.6 -2.2 14.2ARM 6.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -1.2 -1 110 60.4 28 .227 .500 .388 40.0 28.6 19.5 .207 .520 .386 42.9
2026 Sinker -3.8 -1 38 20.9 10 .444 .667 .500 11.1 0.0 0.0 .344 .862 .524 66.7
2026 Slider -2.8 -1 30 16.5 4 .500 .500 .450 41.7 0.0 0.0 .398 .752 .488 50.0
2026 Split-Finger 8.1 0 4 2.2 2 .000 .000 .000 50.0 50.0 33.3 .034 .044 .034 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 2 372 48.6 91 .164 .301 .307 39.7 34.1 25.6 .173 .304 .300 38.1
2025 Slider -0.8 -2 245 32.0 54 .192 .442 .281 41.2 33.3 20.5 .180 .295 .221 38.2
2025 Sinker 0.7 1 117 15.3 31 .345 .379 .347 8.2 3.2 5.3 .408 .639 .463 71.4
2025 Changeup -3.4 -1 31 4.1 6 .400 .600 .475 8.3 0.0 0.0 .255 .303 .318 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 4-Seam Fastball 110 98.2 96 19.6 1:30 1:30 0
2026 Sinker 38 97.6 97 20.0 1:45 2:15 -30
2026 Slider 29 86.8 7 1.5 2:45 8:15 -330
2025 Changeup 31 89.5 99 17.0 2:15 2:45 -30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 372 98.7 98 19.7 1:45 1:45 0
2025 Sinker 117 98.3 97 19.5 1:45 2:15 -30
2025 Slider 245 88.9 27 4.7 1:45 12:15 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 182 765 0 10 -5 -5 -1
2026 44 182 0 0 -3 -1 -3
Player 226 947 0 10 -8 0 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 765 45.6 71.1 75.0 26.7 46.8 41.3 54.6 46.9 33.7 7.1 83.3
2026 182 47.3 76.7 63.6 27.1 69.2 40.7 47.7 50.5 34.8 5.5 100.0
Player 947 45.9 72.2 72.6 26.8 51.1 41.2 53.3 47.6 33.9 6.8 85.9
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 97 89 8
2026 19 19 27 60 5 94 87 15 30 93 38 8 1 8 24 9
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 26.44 6 4.4 2 2 5 1 16.7
2026 23.65 1 2.6 -2 0 3 1 100.0
Player 26.04 7 7.0 0 2 8 2 28.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 6 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 1 4 6 5 8 5 3 6 3 3 5 5 4 6 5 2 2 4 6 5 4 3
2026 1 4 1 2 3 3 3 2 4 2 2 2 1 1 3 4 1 1 3 4 2 4 4 4 1 1 4 3 4 2 2
Player 7 9 6 5 7 8 8 7 9 3 6 8 6 9 8 7 7 4 6 9 7 8 10 9 3 3 8 9 9 6 5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .297 +.083 .214
xBA .252 +.031 .221
OBP .409 +.092 .317
xOBP .371 +.048 .323
SLG .514 +.143 .371
xSLG .603 +.241 .362
ISO .216 +.059 .157
xISO .351 +.209 .142
BABIP .370 +.098 .272
wOBA .408 +.103 .305
xwOBA .412 +.108 .304
wOBAcon .464 +.101 .363
xwOBAcon .471 +.109 .362
BACON .393 +.081 .312
xBACON .333 +.011 .322
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 50.0 +3.2 46.8
Avg Exit Velocity 91.3 +1.4 89.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 39.3 +9.0 30.3
Barrel % 25.0 +16.7 8.3
Avg Launch Angle 15.2 -1.5 16.7
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 73.9 +2.1 71.8
Attack Angle -1° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 48.3 -3.0 51.3
Attack Direction +3° -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 31° -2° 32°
Swing Length 7.4 +0.1 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 98.1 -0.5 98.6
Breaking Velocity 86.8 -2.1 88.9
Offspeed Velocity 86.4 -3.1 89.5
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 7 -2 9
Popup % 0.0 -7.3 7.3
Flyball % 50.0 +19.7 30.3
Line Drive % 14.3 -8.6 22.9
Groundball % 35.7 -3.7 39.4
Pull % 28.6 -7.2 35.8
Straight Away % 57.1 +15.8 41.3
Opposite Field % 14.3 -8.6 22.9
Weak Contact % 0.0 -2.8 2.8
Pull Airball % 21.4 +4.0 17.4
Topped Contact % 35.7 +10.9 24.8
Under Contact % 17.9 -11.5 29.4
Flare/Burner Contact % 10.7 -17.7 28.4
Solid Contact % 10.7 +4.3 6.4
HR/FB % 7.1 -11.1 18.2
Popups 0 -8 8
Flyballs 14 -19 33
Line Drives 4 -21 25
Groundballs 10 -33 43
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 47.3 +1.7 45.6
Out of Zone % 52.7 -1.7 54.4
Edge % 40.7 -0.6 41.3
Zone Swing % 76.7 +5.6 71.1
Out of Zone Swing % 27.1 +0.4 26.7
In Zone Contact % 63.6 -11.4 75.0
Out of Zone Contact % 69.2 +22.4 46.8
Whiff % 34.8 +1.1 33.7
First Strike % 47.7 -6.9 54.6
First Pitch Swing % 34.1 +3.0 31.1
Swing % 50.5 +3.6 46.9
Meatball Swing % 100.0 +16.7 83.3
Meatball % 5.5 -1.6 7.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 36.4 +11.4 25.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 30.8 -22.4 53.2
In Zone 86 -263 349
Out of Zone 96 -320 416
Edge 74 -242 316
In Zone Swings 66 -182 248
Out of Zone Swings 26 -85 111
In Zone Swing & Misses 24 -38 62
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 8 -51 59
Basic
Pitches 182 -583 765
PA 44 -139 183
AB 37 -122 159
Hits 11 -23 34
Singles 5 -16 21
Doubles 5 -2 7
Triples 0 0 0
Home Runs 1 -5 6
Walks 7 -15 22
Strikeouts 9 -41 50
K% 20.5 -6.8 27.3
BB% 15.9 +3.9 12.0
HBP 0 -2 2
Batted Balls 28 -81 109
Number of Fastballs 148 -341 489
Number of Offspeed 4 -27 31
Number of Breaking 30 -215 245
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 182 .305 103 0 0.0 79 42 53.2
2026 Shades 44 .408 24 1 4.2 20 15 75.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 205 16.8 17.1% 0.0% 137 18.7 2.2% 1.5%
2026 27 17.0 3.7% 0.0% 45 20.3 0.0% 4.4%

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Pitch Distribution