Drew Smyly
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 2" 188LBS | Age: 35
Draft: 2010 | Rd: 2, #68, Detroit Tigers | Arkansas
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 7 8 3.47 22 22 0 106.1 91 1.19
2023 11 11 5.00 41 23 0 142.1 141 1.43
2024 2 3 3.33 17 0 0 24.1 25 1.27
11 Seasons 66 61 4.20 297 179 3 1,110.1 1,088 1.29
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 22 7-8 3.47 106.1 91 1.19
2023 41 11-11 5.00 142.1 141 1.43
2024 17 2-3 3.33 24.1 25 1.27
11 Seasons 297 66-61 4.20 1,110.1 1,088 1.29
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 26 1136 177 19 10.7 6.9 88.2 111.2 16.1 31.1 .235 .443 .305 .320 .416 35.6 28.0 7.3 3.10 4.28
2016 27 2893 520 35 6.7 4.7 87.8 114.6 21.4 34.0 .233 .407 .323 .300 .360 31.0 22.6 6.6 4.88 3.77
2019 30 2130 337 33 9.8 6.4 89.0 114.2 17.8 35.9 .261 .516 .379 .361 .435 38.6 23.3 10.7 6.24 5.97
2020 31 482 60 8 13.3 7.2 90.6 114.6 11.4 41.7 .219 .380 .248 .295 .443 45.0 37.8 8.1 3.42 3.66
2021 32 2139 385 39 10.1 7.1 88.8 111.6 14.9 36.1 .267 .470 .342 .342 .411 39.0 21.4 7.5 4.48 5.05
2022 33 1814 325 28 8.6 6.3 86.7 114.3 16.3 34.5 .248 .415 .312 .316 .370 35.6 20.4 5.8 3.47 4.17
2023 34 2401 423 31 7.3 5.0 87.6 118.1 19.2 35.9 .241 .401 .348 .313 .361 33.6 22.5 8.9 5.00 4.13
2024 35 421 67 5 7.5 4.8 86.7 112.3 24.3 34.3 .216 .339 .309 .286 .326 29.9 24.0 9.6 3.33 3.20
Player 13416 2294 198 8.6 5.9 88.1 118.1 18.1 35.0 .245 .434 .333 .322 .387 35.2 23.2 7.9
MLB 6.9 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.4 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Smyly relies on 3 pitches.
Knuckle Curve
(57.4%) ,
Sinker
(39.3%) ,
Cutter
(3.3%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 39.0 25.4 25.4 10.2 39.5 40.1 20.3 5.1 24.9 28.2 24.9 5.6 10.7 6.9
2016 32.9 32.7 21.5 12.9 39.4 33.1 26.3 3.7 22.3 37.3 23.3 5.4 6.7 4.7
2019 34.7 32.3 25.8 7.1 47.8 33.5 18.4 1.8 24.9 30.9 23.1 8.6 9.8 6.4
2020 41.7 26.7 28.3 3.3 40.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 30.0 18.3 30.0 6.7 13.3 7.2
2021 40.8 28.1 24.7 6.5 40.3 35.3 24.4 6.8 26.0 25.5 26.0 5.2 10.1 7.1
2022 40.6 25.2 23.7 10.5 46.2 32.6 21.2 5.5 26.2 27.4 23.4 5.8 8.6 6.3
2023 35.9 28.1 24.3 11.6 43.0 34.5 22.5 5.4 23.2 32.9 25.3 5.9 7.3 5.0
2024 26.9 37.3 22.4 13.4 38.8 32.8 28.4 1.5 20.9 40.3 22.4 6.0 7.5 4.8
Player 36.7 29.4 24.0 9.9 42.4 34.4 22.8 4.4 24.4 31.0 24.4 6.1 8.6 5.9
MLB 44.6 23.6 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Curveball CHC L 235 80.2 45.6 -7.3 -14 3.0 -9.8 -144
2024 Cutter CHC L 14 89.1 23.7 2.3 9 1.1 -4.4 -134
2024 Sinker CHC L 171 93.0 13.8 -6.6 -32 7.7 -5.5 -42
2023 Curveball CHC L 1,186 78.6 46.3 -8.2 -15 3.2 -8.7 -157
2023 Cutter CHC L 282 88.6 26.4 0.7 3 3.6 -6.2 -241
2023 Sinker CHC L 932 91.9 16.0 -5.2 -24 8.2 -5.2 -39
2022 Sinker CHC L 637 92.6 14.8 -6.3 -30 8.0 -5.8 -42
2022 Curveball CHC L 740 78.7 44.2 -10.9 -20 2.6 -9.6 -138
2022 Changeup CHC L 6 82.6 29.2 -1.8 -6 6.0 -7.5 -55
2022 Cutter CHC L 340 88.6 23.6 3.3 12 3.6 -6.3 -231
2021 Cutter ATL L 246 87.6 24.4 3.8 13 3.5 -6.6 -215
2021 Sinker ATL L 995 92.1 14.1 -6.3 -31 6.8 -6.5 -49
2021 Curveball ATL L 897 78.9 44.2 -9.3 -17 2.9 -9.2 -147
2020 4-Seam Fastball SF L 3 93.6 11.6 2.5 18 6.7 0.3 5
2020 Curveball SF L 176 80.0 46.0 -7.4 -14 3.4 -9.0 -161
2020 Cutter SF L 86 89.3 23.7 2.0 8 0.6 -1.9 -75
2020 Sinker SF L 217 93.8 12.8 -7.0 -35 5.7 -7.9 -58
2019 Changeup PHI L 103 82.4 27.1 -4.0 -13 3.5 -8.9 -72
2019 Curveball PHI L 621 77.4 49.3 -7.4 -13 4.1 -10.2 -167
2019 Sinker PHI L 1,016 91.2 14.7 -7.4 -34 5.5 -7.6 -58
2019 Cutter PHI L 389 86.7 26.6 3.0 10 1.8 -3.8 -191
2016 Curveball TB L 655 76.2 48.2 -9.1 -16 8.1 -14.6 -224
2016 Cutter TB L 439 85.6 26.1 0.5 2 7.6 -8.4 -1062
2016 Changeup TB L 163 80.3 29.1 -2.1 -7 12.8 1.7 15
2016 4-Seam Fastball TB L 1,610 90.8 13.9 1.7 11 9.8 2.6 37
2015 Curveball TB L 265 76.8 48.0 -8.7 -15 6.0 -13.8 -178
2015 Changeup TB L 22 79.5 30.2 -1.1 -3 10.5 0.4 4
2015 Cutter TB L 220 83.6 31.4 -2.7 -10 5.5 -8.7 -272
2015 4-Seam Fastball TB L 608 90.8 12.4 3.3 21 9.0 2.0 28
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Curveball 1.9 4 236 56.1 64 .172 .328 .261 33.6 32.8 23.6 .167 .266 .234 27.0
2024 Sinker -1.4 -2 171 40.6 37 .313 .469 .386 22.2 10.8 11.1 .285 .457 .367 32.1
2024 Cutter -8.8 -1 14 3.3 2 .500 .500 .900 40.0 0.0 0.0 .494 .527 .447 50.0
2023 Curveball -0.3 -4 1,186 49.4 330 .229 .399 .311 36.0 30.0 23.6 .193 .308 .247 24.5
2023 Sinker -1.1 -11 933 38.9 246 .314 .600 .426 17.3 15.0 15.9 .297 .524 .389 44.6
2023 Cutter 0.7 2 282 11.7 48 .293 .463 .379 21.6 6.3 12.0 .314 .476 .392 31.6
2022 Curveball 0.5 4 740 40.8 206 .225 .340 .266 32.7 29.1 19.0 .242 .366 .276 30.7
2022 Sinker -0.1 -1 637 35.1 129 .263 .518 .386 21.8 14.0 9.4 .241 .443 .339 40.6
2022 Cutter 0.2 1 340 18.7 90 .268 .537 .363 14.4 4.4 4.9 .300 .542 .393 38.0
2022 Changeup -2.1 0 6 0.3 -- -- -- 100.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2021 Sinker -0.7 -7 995 46.5 249 .330 .588 .428 13.7 11.6 11.4 .313 .550 .398 48.5
2021 Curveball 0.2 2 897 41.9 233 .218 .382 .288 38.8 33.9 21.2 .209 .355 .264 24.5
2021 Cutter -0.5 -1 246 11.5 61 .226 .434 .341 21.9 14.8 14.8 .318 .620 .429 43.5
2020 Sinker 1.9 4 217 45.0 45 .237 .263 .301 22.5 20.0 15.5 .280 .440 .369 46.7
2020 Curveball 0.8 1 176 36.5 50 .184 .367 .264 50.0 54.0 36.0 .160 .328 .214 45.5
2020 Cutter 0.6 1 86 17.8 16 .143 .143 .256 32.5 37.5 20.0 .257 .393 .333 37.5
2020 4-Seam Fastball 3.8 0 3 0.6 -- -- -- 50.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2019 Sinker -0.9 -9 1,016 47.7 246 .268 .641 .429 19.7 19.1 15.3 .277 .602 .406 43.3
2019 Curveball -0.4 -3 622 29.2 160 .253 .356 .316 38.8 33.8 22.3 .202 .314 .261 21.7
2019 Cutter -1.2 -5 389 18.3 81 .360 .707 .476 21.4 14.8 16.4 .358 .681 .447 48.4
2019 Changeup -1.6 -2 103 4.8 27 .261 .609 .385 33.3 25.9 25.0 .183 .459 .312 47.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Curveball 236 80.2 38 6.5 6:15 7:00 -45
2024 Cutter 14 89.1 66 9.6 10:45 11:45 -60
2024 Sinker 171 93.0 99 19.0 11:00 11:15 -15
2023 Curveball 1,184 78.6 36 5.7 6:15 7:15 -60
2023 Cutter 282 88.6 64 8.7 10:45 11:00 -15
2023 Sinker 925 91.9 99 17.9 10:45 11:00 -15
2022 Curveball 715 78.7 25 4.1 7:15 7:45 -30
2022 Cutter 332 88.6 73 11.1 10:45 11:15 -30
2022 Sinker 618 92.6 99 18.5 10:45 11:00 -15
2021 Curveball 894 78.9 27 4.4 7:00 7:45 -45
2021 Cutter 245 87.6 71 11.0 10:45 11:15 -30
2021 Sinker 992 92.1 99 18.9 11:00 11:15 -15
2020 Curveball 118 80.0 38 7.0 6:30 7:15 -45
2020 Cutter 62 89.4 58 9.7 11:15 12:15 -60
2020 Sinker 164 93.7 98 18.8 11:15 11:30 -15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2012 430 1,812 3 11 -8 -5 1
2013 315 1,345 12 13 -3 -4 17
2014 616 2,586 18 8 -7 -7 12
2015 275 1,134 5 9 -3 -2 8
2016 736 2,890 9 3 -18 -6 -12
2019 514 2,130 5 0 -16 -7 -18
2020 111 482 0 7 -1 1 6
2021 577 2,265 -6 19 -12 -7 -5
2022 425 1,723 10 7 -9 -4 4
2023 624 2,401 -5 13 -13 -6 -12
2024 103 421 1 2 -1 -2 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,136 51.4 63.6 83.3 31.4 53.8 44.7 60.7 48.0 25.9 8.0 68.1
2016 2,893 49.9 66.4 80.9 28.6 59.7 42.2 58.4 47.5 24.7 7.7 73.4
2019 2,130 48.3 64.9 80.5 25.3 57.3 42.0 59.7 44.5 25.9 7.5 72.5
2020 482 53.3 65.4 76.2 25.8 32.8 40.7 69.4 46.9 34.5 9.8 74.5
2021 2,139 49.7 69.1 83.4 30.9 53.2 43.8 64.9 49.9 24.9 7.7 79.4
2022 1,814 51.8 70.5 80.6 32.3 60.1 42.4 68.5 52.0 26.0 8.3 81.1
2023 2,401 45.6 64.4 81.7 31.8 57.3 43.0 62.6 46.6 27.1 7.0 75.0
2024 421 49.9 71.0 78.5 26.5 48.2 42.5 65.0 48.7 29.3 7.1 76.7
Player 13,416 49.3 66.7 81.3 29.6 56.2 42.8 62.5 47.9 26.1 7.7 75.2
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 30 59 13 3 68 35 1 46 24 88 51 76 69 23 46 7 2
2016 64 70 46 29 82 10 32 69 76 63 69 62 46 19 40 1 1
2019 7 28 6 3 18 16 10 40 31 55 17 53 11 19 15 1 6
2020 67 72 58 48 76 33 4 13 11 97 57 89 30 59 48 12 10
2021 19 17 14 13 32 7 13 51 47 33 62 40 78 26 20 9 12
2022 34 35 26 23 56 24 27 85 69 32 82 55 78 28 32 8 14
2023 51 54 52 49 52 22 61 78 84 43 42 59 81 18 11 6 5
2024 77 81 81 79 59 76 51 88 94 61 30 77 31 32 25 14 10
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 23.3 32 33.8 -2 11 20 18 56.3
2019 23.2 32 31.2 1 9 20 16 50.0
2020 23.4 2 3.0 -1 1 1 2 100.0
2021 24.0 28 29.7 -2 12 15 16 57.1
2022 22.4 16 16.5 -1 4 10 9 56.3
2023 23.2 26 23.5 3 5 13 14 53.8
2024 26.8 3 2.6 0 0 1 2 66.7
Player 23.4 139 140.3 -1 42 80 77 55.4

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 32 37 27 35 39 32 38 31 33 26 34 41 33 30 36 34 24 28 37 36 32 28 37 39 30 34 36 44 35 38 31
2019 32 36 29 29 36 33 35 30 29 23 31 34 32 28 33 30 29 27 31 37 30 31 39 34 28 27 29 33 35 31 27
2020 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2
2021 28 32 28 29 31 28 31 30 21 26 28 31 30 27 29 33 29 28 31 30 28 34 35 32 30 28 33 31 31 28 29
2022 16 15 15 13 18 19 19 14 13 13 15 16 16 16 18 17 15 16 15 17 16 18 19 19 15 17 18 19 18 18 18
2023 26 18 22 27 26 24 25 22 22 21 22 26 21 20 26 27 27 19 26 26 20 26 29 26 19 20 24 23 24 25 21
2024 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 2 3 3 3
Player 139 143 126 138 156 142 154 133 124 114 136 153 137 127 148 147 129 123 146 152 132 143 165 156 127 131 146 155 149 146 131
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 88.9 -- 0.7 -- -- -- -- 89.9 -- 92.5 2.6 91.2 -1.3 91.2 0.0 91.2 0.0 92.7 1.5
Offspeed Velocity 79.5 -- 0.8 -- -- -- -- 82.4 -- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 82.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 76.8 -- -0.6 -- -- -- -- 77.4 -- 80.0 2.6 78.9 -1.1 78.7 -0.2 78.6 -0.1 80.2 1.6
Exit Velocity 88.2 -- -0.4 -- -- -- -- 89.0 -- 90.6 1.6 88.8 -1.8 86.7 -2.1 87.6 0.9 86.7 -0.9
Launch Angle 16.1 -- 5.3 -- -- -- -- 17.8 -- 11.4 -6.4 14.9 3.5 16.3 1.4 19.2 2.9 24.3 5.1
Barrel % 10.7 -- -4.0 -- -- -- -- 9.8 -- 13.3 3.5 10.1 -3.2 8.6 -1.5 7.3 -1.3 7.5 0.2
Hard Hit % 35.6 -- -4.6 -- -- -- -- 38.6 -- 45.0 6.4 39.0 -6.0 35.6 -3.4 33.6 -2.0 29.9 -3.7
LA Sweet-Spot % 31.1 -- 2.9 -- -- -- -- 35.9 -- 41.7 5.8 36.1 -5.6 34.5 -1.6 35.9 1.4 34.3 -1.6
xBA .235 -- -0.002 -- -- -- -- .261 -- .219 -0.042 .267 0.048 .248 -0.019 .241 -0.007 .216 -0.025
BA .230 -- 0.029 -- -- -- -- .278 -- .198 -0.080 .269 0.071 .243 -0.026 .265 0.022 .228 -0.037
xwOBA .320 -- -0.020 -- -- -- -- .361 -- .295 -0.066 .342 0.047 .316 -0.026 .313 -0.003 .286 -0.027
wOBA .305 -- 0.018 -- -- -- -- .379 -- .248 -0.131 .342 0.094 .312 -0.030 .348 0.036 .309 -0.039
xSLG .443 -- -0.036 -- -- -- -- .516 -- .380 -0.136 .470 0.090 .415 -0.055 .401 -0.014 .339 -0.062
SLG .413 -- 0.043 -- -- -- -- .558 -- .297 -0.261 .480 0.183 .422 -0.058 .478 0.056 .380 -0.098
K% 28.0 -- -5.4 -- -- -- -- 23.3 -- 37.8 14.5 21.4 -16.4 20.4 -1.0 22.5 2.1 24.0 1.5
BB% 7.3 -- -0.7 -- -- -- -- 10.7 -- 8.1 -2.6 7.5 -0.6 5.8 -1.7 8.9 3.1 9.6 0.7
Swing % 48.0 -- -0.5 -- -- -- -- 44.5 -- 46.9 2.4 49.9 3.0 52.0 2.1 46.6 -5.4 48.7 2.1
Whiff% 25.9 -- -1.2 -- -- -- -- 25.9 -- 34.5 8.6 24.9 -9.6 26.0 1.1 27.1 1.1 29.3 2.2
In Zone % 51.4 -- -1.5 -- -- -- -- 48.3 -- 53.3 5.0 49.7 -3.6 51.8 2.1 45.6 -6.2 49.9 4.3
Out of Zone % 48.6 -- 1.5 -- -- -- -- 51.7 -- 46.7 -5.0 50.3 3.6 48.2 -2.1 54.4 6.2 50.1 -4.3
Out of Zone Swing % 31.4 -- -2.8 -- -- -- -- 25.3 -- 25.8 0.5 30.9 5.1 32.3 1.4 31.8 -0.5 26.5 -5.3
First Pitch Swing % 23.3 -- -0.3 -- -- -- -- 24.7 -- 32.4 7.7 33.5 1.1 32.9 -0.6 30.5 -2.4 35.9 5.4
First Pitch Strike % 60.7 -- -2.3 -- -- -- -- 59.7 -- 69.4 9.7 64.9 -4.5 68.5 3.6 62.6 -5.9 65.0 2.4
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 714 .324 570 39 6.8 144 30 20.8
2019 Shifts 514 .379 401 106 26.4 113 42 37.2
2020 Shifts 111 .248 72 27 37.5 39 24 61.5
2021 Shifts 533 .335 387 154 39.8 146 68 46.6
2022 Shifts 424 .316 327 123 37.6 97 65 67.0
2023 Shades 624 .349 464 20 4.3 160 62 38.8
2024 Shades 103 .309 63 3 4.8 40 10 25.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2012 591 14.7 52.3% 1.4% 237 21.0 1.7% 7.6%
2013 365 15.3 46.3% 0.3% 192 21.2 1.0% 5.7%
2014 861 15.0 50.3% 1.7% 310 22.1 1.0% 8.1%
2015 372 14.8 52.2% 1.6% 133 22.4 9.0% 16.5%
2016 962 15.5 46.3% 3.3% 335 23.9 6.6% 18.8%
2019