Daniel Lynch IV
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 6" 200LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2018 | Rd: 1C, #34, Kansas City Royals | Virginia
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 4 13 5.13 27 27 0 131.2 122 1.57
2023 3 4 4.64 9 9 0 52.1 34 1.26
2024 2 0 3.48 15 3 1 41.1 36 0.94
4 Seasons 13 23 4.94 66 54 1 293.1 247 1.44
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 27 4-13 5.13 131.2 122 1.57
2023 9 3-4 4.64 52.1 34 1.26
2024 15 2-0 3.48 41.1 36 0.94
4 Seasons 66 13-23 4.94 293.1 247 1.44
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 24 1257 221 23 10.4 7.4 90.7 114.5 14.5 33.5 .287 .491 .360 .376 .419 44.3 17.7 10.0 5.69 6.31
2022 25 2435 421 37 8.8 6.2 91.2 114.6 12.8 33.7 .276 .450 .352 .345 .400 47.7 20.3 8.7 5.13 5.07
2023 26 808 172 13 7.6 5.8 88.2 110.7 18.7 29.7 .269 .466 .312 .340 .372 32.0 15.2 7.2 4.64 4.96
2024 27 594 113 11 9.7 6.6 90.1 111.6 11.4 31.0 .220 .397 .268 .307 .346 46.9 21.7 7.8 3.48 3.86
Player 5094 927 84 9.1 6.5 90.4 114.6 14.1 32.6 .270 .455 .336 .347 .393 43.9 19.0 8.6
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lynch relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(36.4%) ,
Slider
(27.3%) ,
Changeup
(20.5%) ,
Sinker
(9.9%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(5.7%) ,
Cutter
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 39.8 26.7 25.3 8.1 33.5 37.6 29.0 3.6 26.7 26.2 26.7 6.3 10.4 7.4
2022 43.0 24.5 26.6 5.9 39.9 35.6 24.5 3.8 29.7 24.0 27.3 6.2 8.8 6.2
2023 39.5 32.6 16.9 11.0 39.0 36.0 25.0 2.9 26.2 30.8 25.6 6.4 7.6 5.8
2024 46.0 28.3 20.4 5.3 41.6 43.4 15.0 4.4 36.3 27.4 15.9 6.2 9.7 6.6
Player 42.0 27.0 23.7 7.3 38.4 37.1 24.5 3.7 29.1 26.2 25.5 6.3 9.1 6.5
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.0 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2024 Curveball KC L 34 80.2 46.2 -6.5 1.6GLV -6.4 -4.0 -4.0 1.6GLV -5.8
2024 Changeup KC L 122 84.6 33.8 1.9 13.9ARM 0.0 4.3 1.6 13.9ARM -0.3
2024 4-Seam Fastball KC L 216 92.9 16.5 -1.2 8.3ARM 1.5 15.1 -0.5 8.3ARM 0.1
2024 Slider KC L 162 85.9 33.1 -2.2 1.5GLV -3.2 3.9 -2.4 1.5GLV -3.6
2024 Cutter KC L 1 90.3 25.3 0.6 1.2ARM -3.8 8.1 0.9 1.2ARM -3.3
2024 Sinker KC L 59 92.7 22.5 -0.4 15.3ARM 0.7 9.2 -1.1 15.3ARM 0.1
2023 Curveball KC L 69 80.7 42.8 -9.5 7.4GLV -0.2 -0.7 -7.7 7.4GLV -0.3
2023 Changeup KC L 226 84.1 29.8 -2.6 11.9ARM -2.3 8.9 -2.6 11.9ARM -2.1
2023 Slider KC L 151 87.6 29.5 -4.0 2.1GLV -1.9 6.0 -4.3 2.1GLV -3.2
2023 Sinker KC L 16 92.4 20.2 -3.1 12.9ARM -2.2 11.7 -3.4 12.9ARM -2.2
2023 4-Seam Fastball KC L 346 92.6 15.5 0.1 4.9ARM -1.8 16.3 1.0 4.9ARM -3.0
2022 Sinker KC L 83 93.4 19.2 -2.4 13.9ARM -1.1 12.1 -3.2 13.9ARM -1.3
2022 4-Seam Fastball KC L 1043 94.0 15.2 -0.7 6.8ARM -0.3 15.6 -0.4 6.8ARM -0.8
2022 Changeup KC L 442 84.8 27.7 -4.0 13.2ARM -1.2 10.3 -3.5 13.2ARM -1.1
2022 Slider KC L 720 86.0 33.6 -1.3 0.4GLV -4.3 3.4 -1.5 0.4GLV -4.5
2022 Curveball KC L 147 81.6 45.4 -5.7 1.7GLV -5.8 -4.5 -4.3 1.7GLV -6.6
2021 Slider KC L 360 85.2 36.4 0.6 0.2GLV -4.6 1.3 0.3 0.2GLV -4.6
2021 4-Seam Fastball KC L 509 93.8 15.8 -1.3 7.3ARM 0.4 15.2 -0.9 7.3ARM -0.3
2021 Curveball KC L 34 77.4 49.2 -7.7 0.1GLV -7.7 -3.8 -4.9 0.1GLV -7.8
2021 Sinker KC L 149 93.2 18.5 -2.5 13.7ARM -0.9 13.0 -3.5 13.7ARM -1.0
2021 Changeup KC L 205 84.7 26.0 -4.1 12.8ARM -0.9 12.1 -4.3 12.8ARM -1.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.3 1 216 36.4 70 .210 .452 .315 13.0 11.4 17.8 .243 .472 .340 50.9
2024 Slider 0.0 0 162 27.3 36 .107 .250 .251 50.0 41.7 25.4 .148 .348 .311 64.3
2024 Changeup -0.6 -1 122 20.5 34 .250 .344 .312 32.8 20.6 21.2 .239 .339 .276 44.0
2024 Sinker 7.5 4 59 9.9 20 .100 .100 .135 14.3 20.0 33.3 .213 .256 .203 12.5
2024 Curveball -1.9 -1 34 5.7 6 .200 .400 .325 33.3 33.3 66.7 .250 .660 .426 100.0
2024 Cutter -1.6 0 1 0.2 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2023 4-Seam Fastball -1.7 -6 346 42.8 93 .293 .537 .385 16.6 11.8 14.1 .287 .510 .376 37.5
2023 Changeup 4.2 9 226 28.0 69 .125 .156 .171 34.7 18.8 20.3 .211 .311 .250 19.2
2023 Slider 0.0 0 151 18.7 45 .238 .452 .340 28.8 22.2 17.9 .254 .474 .334 31.3
2023 Curveball -2.2 -2 69 8.5 12 .417 .667 .467 22.7 0.0 0.0 .401 .660 .448 50.0
2023 Sinker -13.3 -2 16 2.0 4 .750 1.500 .950 0.0 0.0 0.0 .570 1.354 .800 50.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball -0.1 -1 1,043 42.8 252 .303 .425 .378 19.4 17.1 14.2 .300 .485 .377 51.7
2022 Slider -1.8 -13 720 29.6 182 .270 .522 .376 32.8 29.1 18.9 .262 .448 .340 51.4
2022 Changeup 0.7 3 442 18.2 125 .239 .368 .291 26.9 18.4 14.5 .225 .341 .269 32.6
2022 Curveball -2.5 -4 147 6.0 21 .500 .700 .531 25.5 0.0 0.0 .356 .605 .428 60.0
2022 Sinker -1.7 -1 83 3.4 18 .389 .556 .411 18.2 16.7 75.0 .361 .570 .399 53.3
2021 4-Seam Fastball -1.1 -6 509 40.5 135 .385 .581 .434 12.2 8.9 9.1 .366 .616 .454 46.8
2021 Slider -0.2 -1 360 28.6 99 .193 .253 .286 42.2 35.4 22.9 .201 .328 .303 41.7
2021 Changeup -3.9 -8 205 16.3 40 .368 .658 .449 33.3 10.0 7.4 .230 .353 .273 32.4
2021 Sinker 0.1 0 149 11.9 32 .179 .429 .324 16.4 9.4 11.5 .319 .692 .448 53.8
2021 Curveball 2.9 1 34 2.7 5 .000 .000 .000 30.0 20.0 100.0 .105 .172 .114 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 120 84.6 95 15.1 9:45 9:15 30
2024 Curveball 34 80.2 32 6.4 4:15 5:30 -75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 212 92.9 94 16.9 10:45 11:00 -15
2024 Sinker 58 92.7 88 18.0 10:45 10:00 45
2024 Slider 155 85.8 19 3.5 12:00 1:15 -75
2023 Changeup 224 84.1 93 14.9 10:15 10:00 15
2023 Curveball 64 80.8 32 8.3 4:15 3:30 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 325 92.6 87 16.5 11:00 11:30 -30
2023 Sinker 16 92.4 83 17.4 11:00 10:15 45
2023 Slider 137 87.6 42 5.9 12:00 12:45 -45
2022 Changeup 441 84.8 99 16.7 10:00 10:00 0
2022 Curveball 142 81.6 39 7.1 4:15 5:30 -75
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,039 94.0 90 16.7 11:00 11:15 -15
2022 Sinker 82 93.4 88 18.5 10:45 10:15 30
2022 Slider 671 86.0 15 2.6 11:15 12:45 -90
2021 Changeup 204 84.7 99 17.4 10:00 10:15 -15
2021 Curveball 34 77.4 42 6.1 4:45 6:00 -75
2021 4-Seam Fastball 505 93.8 91 16.5 11:00 11:00 0
2021 Sinker 148 93.2 90 18.9 11:00 10:15 45
2021 Slider 349 85.2 12 1.8 2:15 4:30 -135
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 311 1,257 -5 11 -11 -8 -13
2022 598 2,435 0 5 -12 -9 -16
2023 223 808 -2 8 -4 -3 0
2024 166 594 3 8 -3 -4 4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 1,257 47.6 70.4 83.4 27.0 50.0 44.8 55.6 47.7 25.9 7.5 78.7
2022 2,435 49.0 72.4 81.9 28.3 55.8 41.5 58.9 49.9 25.4 8.4 76.5
2023 808 47.9 70.0 84.5 29.2 54.5 44.6 64.1 48.8 24.6 7.7 75.8
2024 594 51.7 66.1 81.8 25.1 40.3 37.9 59.6 46.3 28.4 9.4 78.6
Player 5,094 48.8 70.8 82.7 27.8 52.6 42.4 59.1 48.7 25.7 8.2 77.2
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2021 3 5 7 13 4 34 12 10 12 12 27 47 39 52 23 75
2022 10 6 11 18 11 10 24 2 1 32 38 50 37 52 23 6 92
2023 20 19 15 17 43 65 54 67 91 5 68 39 54 27 27 12 95
2024 31 33 67
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 23.5 9 12.8 -4 4 10 6 66.7
2022 24.0 21 23.6 -3 12 15 10 47.6
2023 22.8 9 11.0 -2 4 6 6 66.7
2024 23.2 6 7.4 -1 2 5 4 66.7
Player 23.6 45 54.9 -10 22 36 26 57.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2021 9 14 13 12 11 11 14 14 7 9 11 12 16 13 13 14 12 11 16 11 15 14 16 15 13 12 14 14 15 11 12
2022 21 20 22 23 25 26 27 18 18 20 20 28 25 21 24 25 23 20 24 24 24 26 28 27 20 21 29 29 28 24 20
2023 9 8 10 12 11 11 12 10 11 9 10 12 10 9 12 12 12 10 13 11 11 12 13 15 8 10 11 11 14 10 10
2024 6 6 6 6 8 8 9 5 8 6 9 8 6 6 8 5 7 6 10 9 7 9 9 10 4 8 8 8 8 8 8
Player 45 48 51 53 55 56 62 47 44 44 50 60 57 49 57 56 54 47 63 55 57 61 66 67 45 51 62 62 65 53 50
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.7 94.0 0.3 ↑ 92.6 -1.4 ↓ 92.9 0.3 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 84.8 0.1 ↑ 84.1 -0.7 ↓ 84.6 0.5 ↑
Breaking Velocity 84.5 85.3 0.8 ↑ 85.4 0.1 ↑ 84.9 -0.5 ↓
Exit Velocity 90.7 91.2 0.5 ↑ 88.2 -3.0 ↓ 90.1 1.9 ↑
Launch Angle 14.5 12.8 -1.7 ↓ 18.7 5.9 ↑ 11.4 -7.3 ↓
Barrel % 10.4 8.8 -1.6 ↓ 7.6 -1.2 ↓ 9.7 2.1 ↑
Hard Hit % 44.3 47.7 3.4 ↑ 32.0 -15.7 ↓ 46.9 14.9 ↑
LA Sweet-Spot % 33.5 33.7 0.2 ↑ 29.7 -4.0 ↓ 31.0 1.3 ↑
xBA .287 .276 -0.011 ↓ .269 -0.007 ↓ .220 -0.049 ↓
BA .295 .290 -0.005 ↓ .245 -0.045 ↓ .184 -0.061 ↓
xwOBA .376 .345 -0.031 ↓ .340 -0.005 ↓ .307 -0.033 ↓
wOBA .360 .352 -0.008 ↓ .312 -0.040 ↓ .268 -0.044 ↓
xSLG .491 .450 -0.041 ↓ .466 0.016 ↑ .397 -0.069 ↓
SLG .465 .456 -0.009 ↓ .426 -0.030 ↓ .340 -0.086 ↓
K% 17.7 20.3 2.6 ↑ 15.2 -5.1 ↓ 21.7 6.5 ↑
BB% 10.0 8.7 -1.3 ↓ 7.2 -1.5 ↓ 7.8 0.6 ↑
Swing % 47.7 49.9 2.2 ↑ 48.8 -1.1 ↓ 46.3 -2.5 ↓
Whiff% 25.9 25.4 -0.5 ↓ 24.6 -0.8 ↓ 28.4 3.8 ↑
In Zone % 47.6 49.0 1.4 ↑ 47.9 -1.1 ↓ 51.7 3.8 ↑
Out of Zone % 52.4 51.0 -1.4 ↓ 52.1 1.1 ↑ 48.3 -3.8 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 27.0 28.3 1.3 ↑ 29.2 0.9 ↑ 25.1 -4.1 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 30.5 33.1 2.6 ↑ 34.5 1.4 ↑ 27.1 -7.4 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 55.6 58.9 3.3 ↑ 64.1 5.2 ↑ 59.6 -4.5 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 311 .360 275 13 4.7 36 14 38.9
2022 Shifts 598 .352 522 46 8.8 76 20 26.3
2023 Shades 223 .312 191 70 36.6 32 11 34.4
2024 Shades 166 .268 117 3 2.6 49 17 34.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 322 15.5 43.5% 0.6% 228 22.2 0.9% 3.9%
2022 654 15.4 43.1% 0.6% 406 20.9 1.7% 4.2%
2023 207 13.1 82.1% 0.5% 145 17.4 13.1% 0.7%
2024 141 12.6 88.7% 0.0% 102 16.9 19.6% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution

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