Daniel Lynch
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 6" 200LBS | Age: 26

Draft: 2018 | Rd: 1C, #34, Kansas City Royals | Virginia

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 4 13 5.13 27 27 0 131.2 122 1.57
2 Seasons 8 19 5.32 42 42 0 199.2 177 1.59
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 27 4-13 5.13 131.2 122 1.57
2 Seasons 42 8-19 5.32 199.2 177 1.59

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 24 1257 221 23 10.4 7.4 90.7 114.5 14.5 33.5 .287 .491 .360 .376 .419 44.3 17.7 10.0 5.69 6.31
2022 25 2435 421 37 8.8 6.2 91.2 114.6 12.8 33.7 .277 .450 .352 .345 .400 47.7 20.3 8.7 5.13 5.07
Player 3692 642 60 9.3 6.6 91.0 114.6 13.4 33.6 .280 .464 .355 .356 .407 46.6 19.4 9.1
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lynch relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(43.2%) ,
Slider
(30.4%) ,
Changeup
(18.2%) ,
Curveball
(5.1%) ,
Sinker
(3.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 39.8 26.7 25.3 8.1 33.5 37.6 29.0 3.6 26.7 26.2 26.7 6.3 10.4 7.4
2022 43.0 24.5 26.6 5.9 39.9 35.6 24.5 3.8 29.7 24.0 27.3 6.2 8.8 6.2
Player 41.9 25.2 26.2 6.7 37.7 36.3 26.0 3.7 28.7 24.8 27.1 6.2 9.3 6.6
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Curveball KC L 124 81.1 47.0 -4.7 -9 1.9 -5.9 -75
2022 Sinker KC L 75 93.4 19.4 -2.2 -10 14.1 -0.7 -5
2022 Changeup KC L 444 84.8 27.7 -4.0 -13 13.2 -1.0 -7
2022 4-Seamer KC L 1,052 94.0 15.3 -0.7 -5 6.9 -0.2 -3
2022 Slider KC L 740 85.9 33.8 -1.1 -3 0.4 -5.2 -92
2021 Changeup KC L 205 84.7 26.0 -4.1 -14 12.8 -0.9 -6
2021 Slider KC L 360 85.2 36.4 0.5 1 0.2 -5.0 -96
2021 Curveball KC L 34 77.4 49.2 -7.6 -13 0.1 -7.8 -98
2021 Sinker KC L 149 93.2 18.5 -2.5 -12 13.7 -0.8 -6
2021 4-Seamer KC L 509 93.8 15.8 -1.3 -9 7.3 0.4 6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer 0.1 1 1,052 43.2 253 .305 .439 .382 19.2 17.0 14.2 .301 .499 .381 52.2
2022 Slider 1.7 13 740 30.4 185 .273 .522 .378 33.1 28.6 18.7 .264 .459 .347 51.3
2022 Changeup -0.2 -1 444 18.2 126 .246 .398 .305 26.8 18.3 14.4 .225 .342 .269 32.3
2022 Curveball 1.3 2 124 5.1 17 .471 .529 .444 22.0 0.0 0.0 .362 .533 .389 64.7
2022 Sinker 1.4 1 75 3.1 17 .375 .375 .359 22.2 17.6 75.0 .345 .392 .346 46.2
2021 4-Seamer 1.1 6 509 40.5 135 .385 .581 .434 12.2 8.9 9.1 .367 .616 .455 46.8
2021 Slider 0.1 0 360 28.6 99 .193 .253 .286 42.2 35.4 22.9 .201 .328 .303 41.7
2021 Changeup 3.9 8 205 16.3 40 .368 .658 .449 33.3 10.0 7.4 .231 .354 .273 32.4
2021 Sinker -0.1 0 149 11.9 32 .179 .429 .324 16.4 9.4 11.5 .319 .692 .448 53.8
2021 Curveball -2.9 -1 34 2.7 5 .000 .000 .000 30.0 20.0 100.0 .105 .172 .114 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 204 84.7 99 17.4 10:00 10:15 -15
2021 Curveball 34 77.4 42 6.1 4:45 6:00 -75
2021 4-Seam Fastball 505 93.8 91 16.5 11:00 11:00 0
2021 Sinker 148 93.2 90 18.9 11:00 10:15 45
2021 Slider 349 85.2 12 1.8 2:15 4:30 -135
2022 Changeup 443 84.8 99 16.7 10:00 10:00 0
2022 Curveball 121 81.1 44 8.0 4:30 5:30 -60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,048 94.0 90 16.7 11:00 11:15 -15
2022 Sinker 74 93.4 88 18.6 10:45 10:15 30
2022 Slider 689 86.0 15 2.6 11:15 12:45 -90
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 311 1,257 5 -11 11 8 13
2022 598 2,435 0 -5 12 9 16
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 1,257 47.6 70.4 83.4 27.0 50.0 44.7 55.6 47.7 25.9 7.4 79.6
2022 2,435 49.0 72.4 81.9 28.3 55.8 41.6 58.9 49.9 25.4 8.4 76.5
Player 3,692 48.5 71.7 82.4 27.8 53.9 42.6 57.8 49.1 25.6 8.0 77.4
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 3 5 7 13 4 34 12 10 12 12 27 47 40 59 21 75
2022 10 6 11 18 11 10 24 2 1 32 38 50 37 58 21 6 92
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 23.5 9 13.0 -4 2 11 6 66.7
2022 24.0 21 24.8 -4 10 18 10 47.6
Player 23.9 30 37.8 -8 12 29 16 53.3

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 9 16 13 13 13 15 10 14 12 14 11 15 9 7 10 14 15 16 12 11 15 12 12 16 16 12 15 12 13 12 16
2022 21 25 28 24 24 29 25 19 27 24 24 21 22 17 21 27 29 29 22 25 30 24 21 26 25 26 27 22 29 21 31
Player 30 41 41 37 37 44 35 33 39 38 35 36 31 24 31 41 44 45 34 36 45 36 33 42 41 38 42 34 42 33 47
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.7 94 0.3
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 84.8 0.1
Breaking Velocity 84.5 85.2 0.7
Exit Velocity 90.7 91.2 0.5
Launch Angle 14.5 12.8 -1.7
Barrel % 10.4 8.8 -1.6
Hard Hit % 44.3 47.7 3.4
Sweet Spot % 33.5 33.7 0.2
xBA .287 .277 -0.01
BA .295 .29 -0.005
xwOBA .376 .345 -0.031
wOBA .36 .352 -0.008
xSLG .491 .45 -0.041
SLG .465 .456 -0.009
K% 17.7 20.3 2.6
BB% 10 8.7 -1.3
Swing % 47.7 49.9 2.2
Whiff% 25.9 25.4 -0.5
In Zone % 47.6 49 1.4
Out of Zone % 52.4 51 -1.4
Out of Zone Swing % 27 28.3 1.3
First Pitch Swing % 30.5 33.1 2.6
First Pitch Strike % 55.6 58.9 3.3
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2021 311 .360 275 13 4.7 36 14 38.9
2022 598 .352 522 46 8.8 76 20 26.3

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 323 15.5 43.3% 0.6% 235 22.4 0.9% 6.4%
2022 655 15.4 43.1% 0.8% 419 21.0 1.7% 6.9%
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Pitch Distribution