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Daniel Lynch IV
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 6" 200LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2018 | Rd: 1C, #34, Kansas City Royals | Virginia
W
L
ERA
G
GS
SV
IP
SO
WHIP
2022 4 13 5.13 27 27 0 131.2 122 1.57
2023 3 4 4.64 9 9 0 52.1 34 1.26
2024 2 0 3.32 16 3 1 43.1 39 0.99
4 Seasons 13 23 4.91 67 54 1 295.1 250 1.45
G
W-L
ERA
IP
SO
WHIP
2022 27 4-13 5.13 131.2 122 1.57
2023 9 3-4 4.64 52.1 34 1.26
2024 16 2-0 3.32 43.1 39 0.99
4 Seasons 67 13-23 4.91 295.1 250 1.45
20242024 MLB Percentile Rankings
ValuesavantPOORAVERAGEGREATPitching Run Value5NOT QUALIFIEDFastball Run Value3NOT QUALIFIEDBreaking Run Value1NOT QUALIFIEDOffspeed Run Value1NOT QUALIFIEDPitchingxERA3.86NOT QUALIFIEDxBA.213NOT QUALIFIEDFastball Velo92.9NOT QUALIFIED31Avg Exit Velocity90.2NOT QUALIFIEDChase %26.0NOT QUALIFIEDWhiff %28.3NOT QUALIFIEDK %22.3NOT QUALIFIEDBB %8.6NOT QUALIFIEDBarrel %9.4NOT QUALIFIEDHard-Hit %47.9NOT QUALIFIEDGB %46.2NOT QUALIFIEDExtension6.6NOT QUALIFIED66
20242024 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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MLB AVG.ARM ANGLE39°12"24"6"12"18"24"12"24"12"24"1.5 INCHES BREAK3.7 INCHES DROP15.2 INCHES TAIL9.1 INCHES RISEAVG13.9 INCHES TAIL4.1 INCHES RISEAVG1.4 INCHES BREAK3.9 INCHES RISEAVG8.4 INCHES TAIL15.1 INCHES RISEAVG1B3BMOVES TOWARD︎MORERISEMOREDROPUSAGEMPHLHP AVG4-Seam35%92.993.3Slider27%85.984.3Change21%84.784.2Sinker10%92.792.6Curve6%80.478.8SAMPLE100 PITCH

Statcast Statistics

Season
Age
Pitches
Batted
Balls
Barrels
Barrel %
Barrel/PA
Exit
Velocity
Max EV
Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA
XSLG
WOBA
XWOBA
XWOBACON
HardHit%
K%
BB%
ERA
xERA
2021 24 1257 221 23 10.4 7.4 90.7 114.5 14.5 33.5 .287 .491 .360 .376 .419 44.3 17.7 10.0 5.69 6.31
2022 25 2435 421 37 8.8 6.2 91.2 114.6 12.8 33.7 .276 .450 .352 .345 .400 47.7 20.3 8.7 5.13 5.07
2023 26 808 172 13 7.6 5.8 88.2 110.7 18.7 29.7 .269 .466 .312 .340 .372 32.0 15.2 7.2 4.64 4.96
2024 27 631 117 11 9.4 6.3 90.2 111.6 11.5 30.8 .213 .381 .274 .304 .342 47.9 22.3 8.6 3.32 3.86
Player 5131 931 84 9.0 6.4 90.4 114.6 14.1 32.5 .269 .453 .337 .346 .392 44.0 19.1 8.7
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lynch relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(35.5%) ,
Slider
(26.8%) ,
Changeup
(21.2%) ,
Sinker
(10.0%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(6.0%) ,
Cutter
(0.5%) ,

Four Seamer224 Pitches (35.5%)
Slider169 Pitches (26.8%)
Changeup134 Pitches (21.2%)
Sinker63 Pitches (10%)
Knuckle Curve38 Pitches (6%)
Cutter3 Pitches (0.5%)

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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups
All Batted Balls
Batted Ball Breakdown
Season
GB %
AIR %
FB %
LD %
PU %
Pull %
Straight %
Oppo %
Pull GB %
Straight GB %
Oppo GB %
Pull AIR %
Straight AIR %
Oppo AIR %
2021 39.8 60.2 26.7 25.3 8.1 33.5 37.6 29.0 18.6 14.5 6.8 14.9 23.1 22.2
2022 43.0 57.0 24.5 26.6 5.9 39.9 35.6 24.5 21.6 16.9 4.5 18.3 18.8 20.0
2023 39.5 60.5 32.6 16.9 11.0 39.0 36.0 25.0 21.5 15.7 2.3 17.4 20.3 22.7
2024 46.2 53.8 28.2 20.5 5.1 41.0 44.4 14.5 20.5 24.8 0.9 20.5 19.7 13.7
Player 42.0 58.0 27.0 23.7 7.3 38.3 37.3 24.4 20.7 17.1 4.2 17.6 20.2 20.2
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 20.6 17.8 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season
Weak %
Topped %
Under %
Flare/Burner %
Solid %
Barrel %
Barrel/PA
2021 3.6 26.7 26.2 26.7 6.3 10.4 7.4
2022 3.8 29.7 24.0 27.3 6.2 8.8 6.2
2023 2.9 26.2 30.8 25.6 6.4 7.6 5.8
2024 4.3 35.9 26.5 17.1 6.8 9.4 6.3
Player 3.7 29.1 26.1 25.6 6.3 9.0 6.4
MLB 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

Created with Highcharts 6.2.0Chart context menuDaniel Lynch IV Vertical Movement vs Avg (Inches) by SeasonSource: baseballsavant.mlb.comCurveballCutterSinkerSliderFour SeamerChangeup2021202220232024-12.5-10-7.5-5-2.502.55

How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)
Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
Year
Pitch
Team
Hand
#
MPH
Vertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. Avg
Horizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Curveball KC L 38 80.4 45.7 -6.9 1.5GLV -6.4 -3.7 -4.4 1.5GLV -5.9
2024 Cutter KC L 3 89.6 25.7 0.4 2.2ARM -4.9 8.2 0.9 2.2ARM -4.2
2024 Sinker KC L 63 92.7 22.6 -0.3 15.2ARM 0.6 9.1 -0.9 15.2ARM 0.1
2024 Slider KC L 169 85.9 33.1 -2.2 1.4GLV -3.1 3.9 -2.5 1.4GLV -3.7
2024 4-Seam Fastball KC L 224 92.9 16.5 -1.2 8.4ARM 1.6 15.1 -0.6 8.4ARM 0.3
2024 Changeup KC L 134 84.7 33.9 2.0 13.9ARM 0.0 4.1 1.8 13.9ARM -0.2
2023 Slider KC L 151 87.6 29.5 -3.9 2.1GLV -1.9 6.0 -4.2 2.1GLV -3.1
2023 Curveball KC L 69 80.7 42.8 -9.5 7.4GLV -0.2 -0.7 -7.7 7.4GLV -0.3
2023 Sinker KC L 19 92.4 19.9 -3.2 12.6ARM -2.6 12.0 -3.5 12.6ARM -2.5
2023 4-Seam Fastball KC L 343 92.6 15.5 0.0 4.8ARM -1.7 16.4 0.9 4.8ARM -2.9
2023 Changeup KC L 226 84.1 29.8 -2.6 11.9ARM -2.3 8.9 -2.6 11.9ARM -2.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year
Pitch Type
Team
RV/100
Run Value
Pitches
%
PA
BA
SLG
wOBA
Whiff%
K%
PutAway %
xBA
xSLG
xwOBA
Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.5 -1 224 35.5 71 .226 .484 .338 13.3 9.9 14.6 .241 .468 .346 51.8
2024 Slider 0.2 0 169 26.8 38 .133 .267 .262 50.6 42.1 25.4 .149 .334 .305 66.7
2024 Changeup 1.0 1 134 21.2 38 .222 .306 .279 31.9 23.7 23.7 .228 .334 .269 44.4
2024 Sinker 6.2 4 63 10.0 22 .095 .095 .155 13.8 22.7 35.7 .195 .231 .211 12.5
2024 Curveball 0.7 0 38 6.0 6 .200 .400 .325 33.3 33.3 66.7 .215 .560 .381 100.0
2024 Cutter -0.1 0 3 0.5 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 -2 343 42.5 92 .284 .531 .379 16.9 12.0 14.1 .280 .504 .371 38.0
2023 Changeup 4.1 9 226 28.0 69 .125 .156 .171 34.7 18.8 20.3 .211 .311 .250 19.2
2023 Slider -1.7 -3 151 18.7 45 .238 .452 .340 28.8 22.2 17.9 .254 .474 .334 31.3
2023 Curveball -1.9 -1 69 8.5 12 .417 .667 .467 22.7 0.0 0.0 .401 .660 .448 50.0
2023 Sinker -12.3 -2 19 2.4 5 .800 1.400 .940 0.0 0.0 0.0 .636 1.281 .809 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year
Pitch Type
Pitches
MPH
Active Spin %
Total Movement (In.)
Spin-Based
Observed
Deviation
2024 Changeup 132 84.7 95 15.1 9:45 9:15 30
2024 Curveball 38 80.4 32 6.0 4:15 5:30 -75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 220 93.0 94 16.9 10:45 11:00 -15
2024 Sinker 62 92.7 88 17.9 10:45 10:00 45
2024 Slider 162 85.8 19 3.5 12:00 1:15 -75
2023 Changeup 224 84.1 93 14.9 10:15 10:00 15
2023 Curveball 64 80.8 32 8.3 4:15 3:30 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 322 92.6 87 16.5 11:00 11:30 -30
2023 Sinker 19 92.4 82 17.3 11:15 10:15 60
2023 Slider 137 87.6 42 5.9 12:00 12:45 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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1212345678910114-SEAM FASTBALLSINKERCUTTERCHANGEUPSLIDERCURVEBALLDaniel Lynch IVSpin-Based Movement by Pitch TypeSPIN DIRECTION - PITCHER POV
1212345678910114-SEAM FASTBALLSINKERCUTTERCHANGEUPSLIDERCURVEBALLDaniel Lynch IVObserved Movement by Pitch TypeSPIN DIRECTION - PITCHER POV
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

2021202220232024All YearsClick a year to see pitches
ARM ANGLE43°2021 ARM ANGLE39°2022 ARM ANGLE44°2023 ARM ANGLE39°2024
! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year
Team
PA
Pitches
Heart
Shadow
Chase
Waste
All
2021 311 1,257 -5 10 -10 -7 -12
2022 598 2,435 2 0 -16 -9 -22
2023 223 808 0 9 -4 -3 1
2024 175 631 5 7 -3 -3 5
Player 1,307 5,131 2 26 -33 2 -28
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Plate Discipline

Season
Pitches
Zone %
Zone Swing %
Zone Contact %
Chase %
Chase Contact %
Edge %
1st Pitch Strike %
Swing %
Whiff %
Meatball %
Meatball Swing %
2021 1,257 47.6 70.4 83.4 27.0 50.0 44.8 55.6 47.7 25.9 7.5 78.7
2022 2,435 49.0 72.4 81.9 28.3 55.8 41.5 58.9 49.9 25.4 8.4 76.5
2023 808 47.9 70.0 84.5 29.2 54.5 44.6 64.1 48.8 24.6 7.7 75.8
2024 631 51.2 65.9 81.7 26.0 42.5 38.2 60.0 46.4 28.3 9.2 79.3
Player 5,131 48.8 70.7 82.6 27.8 52.7 42.4 59.1 48.7 25.7 8.1 77.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year
xwOBA /
xERA
xBA
xSLG
xISO
xOBP
Brl
Brl%
EV
Hard
Hit%
K%
BB%
Whiff%
Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 3 5 7 13 4 34 12 10 12 12 27 47 39 52 23 75
2022 10 6 10 18 11 10 24 2 1 32 38 50 37 52 23 6 92
2023 20 19 15 17 43 65 54 67 91 5 68 39 54 27 27 12 95
2024 31 33 66
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year
Team
Avg HR Trot
Actual HR
xHR
HR-xHR
Doubters
Mostly Gone
No Doubters
No Doubter %
2021 23.5 9 12.8 -4 5 9 6 66.7
2022 24.0 21 23.6 -3 12 15 10 47.6
2023 22.8 9 10.9 -2 4 6 6 66.7
2024 23.2 6 7.4 -1 2 5 4 66.7
Player 23.6 45 54.6 -10 23 35 26 57.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year
HR
2021 9 14 12 12 11 11 14 13 7 9 11 12 16 13 13 14 12 11 16 11 15 14 16 15 13 12 14 14 15 11 12
2022 21 20 22 23 25 25 27 18 18 20 20 28 25 21 24 25 23 20 24 24 24 26 28 27 20 21 29 29 28 24 20
2023 9 8 10 11 11 11 12 10 11 9 10 12 10 9 12 12 11 10 13 11 11 12 13 15 8 10 11 11 13 10 10
2024 6 6 6 5 8 8 9 5 8 6 9 8 6 6 8 5 7 6 9 9 7 9 9 10 4 8 8 8 8 8 8
Player 45 48 50 51 55 55 62 46 44 44 50 60 57 49 57 56 53 47 62 55 57 61 66 67 45 51 62 62 64 53 50
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric
2021
2022
+/-
 
2023
+/-
 
2024
+/-
 
Fastball Velocity 93.7 94.0 0.3 92.6 -1.4 92.9 0.3
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 84.8 0.1 84.1 -0.7 84.7 0.6
Breaking Velocity 84.5 85.3 0.8 85.4 0.1 84.9 -0.5
Exit Velocity 90.7 91.2 0.5 88.2 -3.0 90.2 2.0
Launch Angle 14.5 12.8 -1.7 18.7 5.9 11.5 -7.2
Barrel % 10.4 8.8 -1.6 7.6 -1.2 9.4 1.8
Hard Hit % 44.3 47.7 3.4 32.0 -15.7 47.9 15.9
LA Sweet-Spot % 33.5 33.7 0.2 29.7 -4.0 30.8 1.1
xBA .287 .276 -0.011 .269 -0.007 .213 -0.056
BA .295 .290 -0.005 .245 -0.045 .188 -0.057
xwOBA .376 .345 -0.031 .340 -0.005 .304 -0.036
wOBA .360 .352 -0.008 .312 -0.040 .274 -0.038
xSLG .491 .450 -0.041 .466 0.016 .381 -0.085
SLG .465 .456 -0.009 .426 -0.030 .344 -0.082
K% 17.7 20.3 2.6 15.2 -5.1 22.3 7.1
BB% 10.0 8.7 -1.3 7.2 -1.5 8.6 1.4
Swing % 47.7 49.9 2.2 48.8 -1.1 46.4 -2.4
Whiff% 25.9 25.4 -0.5 24.6 -0.8 28.3 3.7
In Zone % 47.6 49.0 1.4 47.9 -1.1 51.2 3.3
Out of Zone % 52.4 51.0 -1.4 52.1 1.1 48.8 -3.3
Out of Zone Swing % 27.0 28.3 1.3 29.2 0.9 26.0 -3.2
First Pitch Swing % 30.5 33.1 2.6 34.5 1.4 27.4 -7.1
First Pitch Strike % 55.6 58.9 3.3 64.1 5.2 60.0 -4.1
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHH
vs LHH
Year
Alignment Type
PA
wOBA
PA
Total
%
PA
Total
%
2021 Shifts 311 .360 275 13 4.7 36 14 38.9
2022 Shifts 598 .352 522 46 8.8 76 20 26.3
2023 Shades 223 .312 191 70 36.6 32 11 34.4
2024 Shades 175 .274 124 4 3.2 51 18 35.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases Empty
Runners On Base
Season
Team
Pitches
Tempo
Fast %
Slow %
Pitches
Tempo
Fast %
Slow %
2021 322 15.5 43.5% 0.6% 228 22.2 0.9% 3.9%
2022 654 15.4 43.1% 0.6% 406 20.9 1.7% 4.2%
2023 207 13.1 82.1% 0.5% 145 17.4 13.1% 0.7%
2024 166 12.6 90.4% 0.0% 118 16.6 19.5% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution

Daniel Lynch IV - 2024 Frequency of Pitches by Pitch Speed4-Seam FastballChangeupCurveballCutterSinkerSliderAll Pitches80 MPH85 MPH90 MPH95 MPHPitch Speed0%2%4%6%8%10%12%Frequency of Speed