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Dan Winkler
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 3" 205LBS | Age: 31

Draft: 2011 | Rd: 20, #618, Colorado Rockies | Parkland College
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 1 3 5.22 47 0 0 39.2 40 1.56
7 Seasons 9 5 3.98 182 0 2 158.1 173 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 47 1-3 5.22 39.2 40 1.56
7 Seasons 182 9-5 3.98 158.1 173 1.28

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 25 33 5 2 40 94.1 104.9 15.9 60 .307 .927 .602 .532 .714 40 25 12.5 10.80 16.75
2016 26 33 3 0 0 77.4 96.2 -10.8 0 .060 .060 .086 .133 .125 33.3 50 12.5 0.00 0.84
2017 27 234 29 1 3.4 84.3 103.1 17 34.5 .190 .284 .233 .259 .333 17.2 34 11.3 2.51 2.89
2018 28 1034 161 8 5 86.9 111.9 13.3 39.8 .231 .352 .286 .293 .356 31.7 27 8.2 3.43 3.65
2019 29 351 59 6 10.2 89.7 110.8 17.1 47.5 .247 .509 .337 .360 .427 35.6 23.7 11.8 4.99 6.05
2020 30 299 46 4 8.7 85.5 110.1 15.4 39.1 .214 .387 .286 .326 .357 32.6 23.7 14.5 2.94 4.58
2021 31 787 111 9 8.1 84.6 110.5 12.6 37.8 .219 .328 .336 .331 .325 25.2 21.1 15.8 5.22 4.76
2771 414 30 7.2 86.4 111.9 14 39.9 .224 .369 .304 .315 .359 29.7 25.3 11.8
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Winkler relies on 4 pitches.
Cutter
(66.6%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(19.9%) ,
Curveball
(7.1%) ,
Sinker
(6.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Cutter 524 318 206 66.6 91.2 129 102 22 13 5 0 4 22 80 .216 .229 .382 .342 .345 .343 83.7 12 2552 6.5 26.0 17.6
2021 4-Seam Fastball 157 76 81 19.9 94.0 40 29 5 2 2 0 1 12 18 .172 .150 .345 .259 .330 .310 83.9 21 2551 6.6 26.1 19.7
2021 Curveball 56 32 24 7.1 82.4 12 12 2 2 0 0 0 6 6 .167 .210 .167 .258 .147 .201 91.5 11 2619 6.5 31.3 19.4
2021 Sinker 50 25 25 6.4 92.7 8 7 3 1 2 0 0 0 7 .429 .387 .714 .518 .511 .439 81.0 7 2386 6.5 15.8 0.0
2020 Cutter 169 93 76 56.5 87.9 37 30 6 5 0 0 1 7 24 .200 .220 .300 .302 .294 .306 78.7 14 2484 6.5 24.4 15.9
2020 4-Seam Fastball 67 45 22 22.4 92.9 18 12 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 .000 .202 .000 .409 .235 .405 97.0 26 2527 6.4 33.3 25.0
2020 Curveball 31 24 7 10.4 81.9 11 11 3 2 0 0 1 5 6 .273 .236 .545 .517 .340 .310 91.5 5 2481 6.5 35.7 33.3
2020 Sinker 30 18 12 10.0 92.3 10 10 2 1 0 0 1 1 9 .200 .186 .500 .474 .286 .274 83.6 15 2375 6.5 26.3 33.3
2020 Changeup 2 0 2 0.7 89.5 1894 6.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 40 40 20 0 20 0 80 0 40 20 0 0 40
2016 100 0 0 0 100 0 0 33.3 66.7 0 0 0 0
2017 37.9 27.6 27.6 6.9 27.6 48.3 24.1 3.4 24.1 34.5 24.1 6.9 3.4
2018 40.4 26.1 28.6 5 24.2 49.7 26.1 3.1 30.4 26.1 31.1 3.7 5
2019 30.5 23.7 37.3 8.5 18.6 44.1 37.3 0 28.8 30.5 22 8.5 10.2
2020 43.5 13 28.3 15.2 32.6 32.6 34.8 13 26.1 23.9 19.6 4.3 8.7
2021 45 24.3 22.5 8.1 41.4 39.6 18.9 8.1 29.7 25.2 24.3 3.6 8.1
40.8 23.9 27.8 7.5 29.7 43.2 27.1 5.3 29.5 26.6 25.6 4.6 7.2
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 4-Seamer CHC R 157 94 13.7 1.9 12 7.6 -0.6 -8
2021 Curveball CHC R 56 82.4 43.4 -4.2 -9 9.1 -2.5 -22
2021 Sinker CHC R 50 92.7 20.6 -2.5 -11 14.6 -0.5 -3
2021 Cutter CHC R 524 91.2 20.3 3.3 14 0.6 -0.5 -48
2020 Curveball CHC R 31 81.9 42 -4.7 -10 9.1 -1.7 -16
2020 Cutter CHC R 169 87.9 28.7 -0.9 -3 4.6 2.7 140
2020 4-Seamer CHC R 67 92.9 17.4 -1.2 -8 4.6 -3.6 -44
2020 Changeup CHC R 2 89.5 27.7 -1.7 -6 9.5 -5 -35
2020 Sinker CHC R 30 92.3 20.7 -2.4 -10 12 -3 -20
2019 Cutter ATL R 149 90.4 21.9 4 15 1.2 -0.6 -33
2019 Sinker ATL R 20 89.6 32.3 6.8 27 13.4 -1.7 -11
2019 Curveball ATL R 75 83.3 41.6 -5.8 -12 8.1 -0.8 -9
2019 4-Seamer ATL R 107 92.1 17.3 -0.1 0 6.8 -1.3 -16
2018 4-Seamer ATL R 324 93.2 16.7 -0.1 -1 5.8 -2.5 -30
2018 Sinker ATL R 29 93.1 21 -2.2 -9 14.1 -1 -7
2018 Cutter ATL R 519 90.2 23.9 1.3 5 3.4 1.9 124
2018 Curveball ATL R 152 82.3 44.3 -3.8 -8 9 -1.1 -11
2018 Changeup ATL R 6 90.2 31.6 2 7 11.2 -3.9 -26
2017 4-Seamer ATL R 90 93.5 17.1 -0.9 -5 9.7 0 0
2017 Curveball ATL R 40 82.4 41.4 -3.4 -8 5.3 -3.7 -41
2017 Changeup ATL R 15 88.8 33.5 3.9 13 16.7 0.9 5
2017 Cutter ATL R 76 90.5 23.6 1.4 5 0.2 -1.4 -113
2017 Sinker ATL R 13 93.1 23.4 0 0 18.4 2.5 16
2016 Slider ATL R 2 87.2 29.5 -3 -9 4.6 2.3 98
2016 Curveball ATL R 10 81.4 41.6 -3.1 -7 7.2 -0.5 -6
2016 Changeup ATL R 12 89.1 24.9 -4.3 -15 2.8 -11.8 -81
2016 4-Seamer ATL R 9 92.8 15.9 1.1 6 8.8 -0.9 -9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Sinker 2.5 1 50 6.4 8 .429 .714 .513 15.8 0 0 .387 .518 .436 28.6
2021 Curveball -1.2 -1 56 7.1 12 .167 .167 .15 31.3 50 19.4 .21 .258 .201 33.3
2021 4-Seamer 2.4 4 157 19.9 40 .172 .345 .355 26.1 30 19.7 .15 .259 .311 44.4
2021 Cutter 0 0 524 66.6 129 .216 .382 .355 26 17.1 17.6 .229 .342 .343 20
2020 Sinker -2 -1 30 10 10 .2 .5 .38 26.3 10 33.3 .186 .474 .274 44.4
2020 Curveball 1.9 1 31 10.4 11 .273 .545 .345 35.7 45.5 33.3 .236 .517 .31 33.3
2020 4-Seamer -1.2 -1 67 22.4 18 0 0 .233 33.3 27.8 25 .202 .409 .404 71.4
2020 Cutter -1.1 -2 169 56.5 37 .2 .3 .297 24.4 18.9 15.9 .22 .302 .306 16.7
2020 Changeup 2.6 0 2 0.7 0
2019 Sinker 6.6 1 20 5.7 6 .333 .667 .417 66.7 50 37.5 .064 .069 .061 33.3
2019 Curveball 5.1 4 75 21.4 20 .235 .471 .358 35.5 25 16.1 .239 .457 .346 33.3
2019 4-Seamer 2.2 2 107 30.5 29 .25 .625 .452 24.4 10.3 10.7 .352 .865 .531 52.4
2019 Cutter -1.7 -3 149 42.5 38 .176 .353 .296 33.7 28.9 30.6 .209 .362 .287 21.7
2018 Changeup 33.6 2 6 0.6 2 .5 1.5 .8 0 0 0 .377 .79 .491 50
2018 Sinker 0.2 0 29 2.8 8 .375 .5 .381 0 0 0 .295 .417 .306 37.5
2018 Curveball -1.9 -3 152 14.7 50 .204 .306 .23 40.5 40 30.8 .211 .266 .218 34.5
2018 4-Seamer -0.6 -2 324 31.3 70 .233 .367 .321 24.1 27.1 17.3 .247 .41 .339 46.3
2018 Cutter -0.7 -4 519 50.2 125 .22 .312 .289 28.3 24 22.1 .224 .346 .294 22.2
2018 N/A 1 0.1
2017 Curveball 1.3 1 40 17.1 6 .167 .333 .208 41.2 33.3 11.1 .201 .361 .239 50
2017 Sinker -8.7 -1 13 5.6 7 0 0 .2 0 14.3 50 .249 .405 .397 0
2017 Cutter -1.2 -1 76 32.5 18 .235 .294 .258 22.7 22.2 16 .184 .246 .214 15.4
2017 4-Seamer -0.8 -1 90 38.5 22 .111 .278 .238 27.5 50 26.8 .175 .261 .26 12.5
2017 Changeup 0 0 15 6.4 16.7 0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Curveball 22 81.9 52 11.2 8:45 8:15 30
2020 Cutter 133 88 43 7.4 11:30 10:30 60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 59 93 78 14.5 12:45 12:45 0
2020 Sinker 28 92.3 76 16.5 12:45 1:45 -60
2021 Curveball 51 82.4 50 11.2 8:30 8:00 30
2021 Cutter 522 91.2 58 11.8 12:30 11:45 45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 156 94 87 18.5 1:00 12:45 15
2021 Sinker 48 92.8 81 18.6 1:00 1:45 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 53 234 -3 -3 2 1 -2
2018 255 1030 -4 -12 5 6 -6
2019 93 351 1 -1 2 3 5
2020 80 318 -1 -4 1 1 -3
2021 189 787 -3 -7 6 8 4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 33 51.5 47.1 75 31.3 60 45.5 62.5 39.4 30.8 9.1 100
2016 33 48.5 62.5 60 29.4 20 48.5 100 45.5 46.7 6.1 100
2017 234 41.9 65.3 78.1 36.8 70 38.9 67.9 48.7 25.4 4.3 60
2018 1034 44.9 71.5 77.9 30.6 58 41.4 57 48.9 28.3 6.2 76.6
2019 351 42.2 69.6 82.5 33.5 41.2 45 67.7 48.7 33.3 5.4 94.7
2020 299 40.8 68.9 77.4 35 64.5 45.8 61.8 48.8 27.4 7.4 86.4
2021 787 36.6 72.9 76.7 34.3 69.6 43.2 57.4 48.4 25.7 4.6 80.6
2771 41.6 70.3 77.9 33.1 61.1 42.8 60.5 48.6 28.1 5.6 80.8
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015
2016
2017
2018 64 57 74 81 47 82 76 86 77 76 48 72 64 31 97 69
2019 23 93 71
2020 39 75 54 40 28 65 29 91 78 52 5 54 39 14 91 46
2021 28 96 73
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.6 5 4.7 0 0 2 3 60
2020 23 3 2.3 1 1 2 1 33.3
2021 23.9 5 3.9 1 2 3 2 40

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 4 5 5 4 4 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5
2020 3 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 1 3 2 1 1 2 3 3 3 2 3
2021 5 5 4 5 5 3 3 4 3 6 4 5 2 2 4 4 2 5 5 5 2 4 3 4 5 4 4 3 5 3 5
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90 92.8 2.8 92.2 -0.6 91.4 -0.8 91 -0.4 89.7 -1.3 91.9 2.2
Offspeed Velocity 86.8 89.1 2.3 88.8 -0.3 90.2 1.4 0 0 89.5 0 0 0
Breaking Velocity 85.4 82.4 -3 82.4 0 82.3 -0.1 83.3 1 81.9 -1.4 82.4 0.5
Exit Velocity 94.1 77.4 -16.7 84.3 6.9 86.9 2.6 89.7 2.8 85.5 -4.2 84.6 -0.9
Launch Angle 15.9 -10.8 -26.7 17 27.8 13.3 -3.7 17.1 3.8 15.4 -1.7 12.6 -2.8
Barrel % 40 0 -40 3.4 3.4 5 1.6 10.2 5.2 8.7 -1.5 8.1 -0.6
Hard Hit % 40 33.3 -6.7 17.2 -16.1 31.7 14.5 35.6 3.9 32.6 -3 25.2 -7.4
Sweet Spot % 60 0 -60 34.5 34.5 39.8 5.3 47.5 7.7 39.1 -8.4 37.8 -1.3
xBA .307 .06 -0.247 .19 0.13 .231 0.041 .247 0.016 .214 -0.033 .219 0.005
BA .286 0 -0.286 .152 0.152 .228 0.076 .222 -0.006 .175 -0.047 .213 0.038
xwOBA .532 .133 -0.399 .259 0.126 .293 0.034 .36 0.067 .326 -0.034 .331 0.005
wOBA .602 .086 -0.516 .233 0.147 .286 0.053 .337 0.051 .286 -0.051 .336 0.05
xSLG .927 .06 -0.867 .284 0.224 .352 0.068 .509 0.157 .387 -0.122 .328 -0.059
SLG 1.143 0 -1.143 .261 0.261 .342 0.081 .481 0.139 .317 -0.164 .373 0.056
K% 25 50 25 34 -16 27 -7 23.7 -3.3 23.7 0 21.1 -2.6
BB% 12.5 12.5 0 11.3 -1.2 8.2 -3.1 11.8 3.6 14.5 2.7 15.8 1.3
Swing % 39.4 45.5 6.1 48.7 3.2 48.9 0.2 48.7 -0.2 48.8 0.1 48.4 -0.4
Whiff% 30.8 46.7 15.9 25.4 -21.3 28.3 2.9 33.3 5 27.4 -5.9 25.7 -1.7
In Zone % 51.5 48.5 -3 41.9 -6.6 44.9 3 42.2 -2.7 40.8 -1.4 36.6 -4.2
Out of Zone % 48.5 51.5 3 58.1 6.6 55.1 -3 57.8 2.7 59.2 1.4 63.4 4.2
Out of Zone Swing % 31.3 29.4 -1.9 36.8 7.4 30.6 -6.2 33.5 2.9 35 1.5 34.3 -0.7
First Pitch Swing % 0 62.5 62.5 35.8 -26.7 31.3 -4.5 37.6 6.3 34.2 -3.4 33.7 -0.5
First Pitch Strike % 62.5 100 37.5 67.9 -32.1 57 -10.9 67.7 10.7 61.8 -5.9 57.4 -4.4
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 8 .086 5 1 20.0 3 1 33.3
2017 53 .233 32 4 12.5 21 3 14.3
2018 248 .285 154 8 5.2 94 15 16.0
2019 93 .337 61 2 3.3 32 10 31.3
2020 76 .286 47 13 27.7 29 12 41.4
2021 189 .336 105 7 6.7 84 50 59.5

Pitch Distribution