Dallas Keuchel
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 34

Draft: 2009 | Rd: 7, #221, Houston Astros | U Arkansas Fayetteville
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 5 7.88 8 8 0 32.0 20 2.16
11 Seasons 101 87 3.86 262 251 0 1559.1 1193 1.30
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 8 2-5 7.88 32.0 20 2.16
11 Seasons 262 101-87 3.86 1559.1 1193 1.30

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 27 3492 642 21 3.3 2.3 85.7 113.6 1.1 25.2 .224 .319 .254 .264 .319 28.0 23.7 5.6 2.48 2.83
2016 28 2670 507 35 6.9 5 88.4 111.3 3.8 29.6 .255 .395 .317 .307 .357 36.9 20.5 6.8 4.55 3.96
2017 29 2194 409 21 5.1 3.6 85.5 114.6 -0.6 23.7 .234 .350 .273 .287 .327 32.8 21.4 8.1 2.90 3.50
2018 30 3310 661 30 4.5 3.4 87.3 116.4 4.5 29.0 .246 .362 .305 .293 .325 33.0 17.5 6.6 3.74 3.60
2019 31 1864 348 24 6.9 4.9 88.8 111.0 2.9 26.1 .261 .423 .327 .329 .366 38.5 18.7 8.0 3.75 4.82
2020 32 960 198 8 4 3.1 86.8 114.9 5.6 34.3 .278 .394 .249 .317 .353 31.3 16.3 6.6 1.99 4.27
2021 33 2726 558 50 9 6.9 88.3 115.6 5.0 34.4 .302 .493 .356 .372 .398 39.8 13.2 8.2 5.28 6.15
2022 34 612 124 11 8.9 6.7 88.3 113.7 5.2 35.5 .280 .445 .411 .349 .356 34.7 12.2 12.2 7.88 4.48
Player 17828 3447 200 5.8 4.3 87.3 116.4 3.2 28.9 .255 .388 .304 .308 .348 34.2 18.9 7.2
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.0 32.9 .246 .409 .317 .316 .370 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Keuchel relies on 5 pitches.
Sinker
(46.6%) ,
Changeup
(26.8%) ,
Cutter
(17.2%) ,
Slider
(9.3%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 62.1 9.8 23.8 4.2 30.7 42.2 26.5 3.9 50.6 13.9 24.3 2.6 3.3 2.3
2016 57.8 16.8 21.5 3.9 37.1 42.8 20.1 3.7 44.2 14.6 24.9 4.5 6.9 5.0
2017 68.0 11.2 18.1 2.7 32.5 47.2 19.6 6.8 49.4 11.5 22.0 2.9 5.1 3.6
2018 54.9 15.6 25.4 4.1 38.4 36.9 24.7 3.5 45.2 18.9 23.3 4.2 4.5 3.4
2019 60.1 13.5 21.0 5.5 41.7 38.8 19.5 2.6 49.7 11.8 23.6 3.7 6.9 4.9
2020 53.5 12.6 28.3 5.6 35.9 40.9 23.2 7.6 38.9 16.2 27.3 5.6 4.0 3.1
2021 54.8 18.8 22.4 3.9 42.1 39.6 18.3 5.2 39.1 15.1 26.7 4.8 9.0 6.9
2022 51.6 19.4 25.0 4.0 42.7 34.7 22.6 4.0 37.9 21.0 24.2 4.0 8.9 6.7
Player 58.5 14.4 22.9 4.1 37.0 40.8 22.0 4.4 45.4 15.0 24.4 3.9 5.8 4.3
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.5 24.5 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Slider CWS L 57 76.8 45.4 -0.5 -1 9.8 -3.1 -24
2022 Sinker CWS L 284 87.1 30.3 3.6 14 15.5 1.0 7
2022 4-Seamer CWS L 1 86.5 27.7 -9.3 -50 8.4 3.1 59
2022 Changeup CWS L 164 79.1 39.1 4.0 11 14.7 0.8 6
2022 Cutter CWS L 105 85.2 29.7 1.2 4 1.7 -2.2 -57
2021 Sinker CWS L 1,033 87.8 30.1 4.8 19 14.7 0.7 5
2021 Changeup CWS L 779 79.6 37.9 3.7 11 14.7 1.5 11
2021 4-Seamer CWS L 58 89.0 19.7 -2.5 -15 5.2 -1.4 -21
2021 Slider CWS L 192 77.8 44.5 -0.7 -2 6.8 -3.9 -37
2021 Cutter CWS L 664 85.1 29.6 0.9 3 1.7 -1.5 -47
2020 Cutter CWS L 297 84.8 29.9 0.9 3 2.6 -0.7 -22
2020 Slider CWS L 63 75.8 48.3 -0.2 0 7.9 -3.4 -30
2020 Changeup CWS L 268 78.6 37.7 3.5 10 14.4 1.6 13
2020 4-Seamer CWS L 22 88.3 21.5 -3.6 -20 2.7 -3.4 -56
2020 Sinker CWS L 310 87.2 29.1 3.9 15 12.5 -0.9 -6
2019 4-Seamer ATL L 96 89.4 21.8 -3.9 -22 2.9 -3.4 -54
2019 Cutter ATL L 370 86.1 30.0 -0.2 -1 2.4 0.0 -2
2019 Slider ATL L 213 78.4 46.5 1.3 3 8.1 -1.8 -18
2019 Sinker ATL L 914 88.3 30.6 5.4 22 12.8 -1.3 -9
2019 Changeup ATL L 271 79.7 39.6 5.1 15 13.4 -0.2 -1
2018 Slider HOU L 608 78.7 48.6 3.4 7 10.2 2.0 25
2018 4-Seamer HOU L 404 89.7 20.9 -3.5 -20 1.1 -7.1 -117
2018 Sinker HOU L 1,360 89.1 26.7 2.5 11 10.8 -3.0 -22
2018 Changeup HOU L 425 79.6 35.6 1.8 5 13.7 1.3 10
2018 Cutter HOU L 512 86.4 30.2 -0.6 -2 3.6 0.9 32
2017 Sinker HOU L 1,158 88.7 26.1 3.0 13 9.6 -4.1 -30
2017 Changeup HOU L 283 78.7 34.9 2.8 9 11.0 -0.7 -6
2017 Slider HOU L 411 78.5 47.9 3.5 8 14.1 5.9 72
2017 Cutter HOU L 217 86.7 28.8 -1.2 -4 4.7 2.6 129
2017 4-Seamer HOU L 119 88.8 21.2 -4.4 -26 0.6 -6.6 -92
2016 4-Seamer HOU L 252 88.8 22.6 -6.0 -36 2.7 -4.6 -63
2016 Slider HOU L 694 78.5 52.2 7.6 17 10.5 4.5 74
2016 Changeup HOU L 246 80.0 33.5 2.0 6 13.5 1.3 11
2016 Cutter HOU L 287 85.8 31.0 -3.1 -11 2.5 1.4 134
2016 Sinker HOU L 1,165 89.1 25.9 4.3 20 12.1 -1.6 -12
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Sinker 1.2 3 285 46.6 63 .333 .471 .459 17.5 14.3 17.3 .291 .430 .381 42.9
2022 Changeup 1.2 2 164 26.8 49 .261 .304 .300 23.2 8.2 8.9 .258 .367 .285 30.2
2022 Cutter 8.5 9 105 17.2 33 .419 .935 .574 21.5 15.2 16.1 .300 .633 .403 42.3
2022 Slider 6.3 4 57 9.3 17 .467 .533 .474 20.7 11.8 9.1 .270 .350 .316 7.7
2022 4-Seamer -3.3 0 1 0.2 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2021 Sinker 0.7 7 1,033 37.9 265 .298 .480 .397 13.2 9.8 11.7 .303 .475 .389 44.7
2021 Changeup 0.1 1 779 28.6 222 .244 .378 .297 29.8 14.9 15.2 .289 .460 .345 30.1
2021 Cutter 1.4 10 664 24.4 184 .329 .518 .386 17.4 13.6 15.7 .314 .508 .373 39.7
2021 Slider 2.6 5 192 7.0 32 .344 .688 .463 42.9 34.4 19.3 .320 .643 .406 61.9
2021 4-Seamer 0.2 0 58 2.1 16 .250 .688 .384 3.2 0.0 0.0 .314 .734 .430 56.3
2020 Sinker 0.0 0 310 32.3 94 .284 .375 .314 14.5 18.1 22.7 .283 .373 .311 39.4
2020 Cutter -3.5 -11 297 30.9 77 .203 .246 .256 21.4 10.4 13.1 .328 .517 .393 35.5
2020 Changeup -1.8 -5 268 27.9 67 .159 .190 .223 33.9 16.4 16.7 .215 .252 .230 13.2
2020 Slider -1.3 -1 63 6.6 13 .154 .385 .223 40.9 38.5 31.3 .253 .451 .298 37.5
2020 4-Seamer 1.0 0 22 2.3 6 .200 .200 .267 11.1 16.7 6.7 .327 .654 .461 50.0
2019 Sinker -1.3 -12 914 49.0 264 .270 .418 .343 14.4 15.2 19.0 .264 .411 .327 43.9
2019 Cutter -0.1 0 370 19.8 78 .290 .565 .397 16.3 7.7 9.0 .273 .514 .366 31.3
2019 Changeup -1.5 -4 271 14.5 65 .213 .279 .263 32.7 27.7 20.5 .232 .334 .272 23.3
2019 Slider 2.8 6 213 11.4 44 .237 .421 .338 40.2 40.9 25.4 .217 .424 .324 40.0
2019 4-Seamer 0.6 1 96 5.2 35 .310 .483 .375 17.2 25.7 15.5 .321 .490 .379 39.1
2018 Sinker -0.1 -2 1,360 41.1 372 .289 .368 .345 10.7 9.4 12.4 .270 .378 .330 39.2
2018 Slider 0.6 4 608 18.4 108 .260 .471 .311 34.3 42.6 21.5 .180 .310 .215 31.7
2018 Cutter -1.1 -5 512 15.5 117 .231 .398 .307 21.7 17.1 19.0 .235 .356 .279 25.6
2018 Changeup -0.1 -1 425 12.8 150 .232 .387 .287 32.5 22.7 19.7 .224 .322 .254 27.7
2018 4-Seamer -1.1 -4 404 12.2 127 .261 .395 .315 11.9 14.2 12.9 .276 .417 .315 28.2
2017 Sinker -1.7 -20 1,158 52.8 314 .216 .324 .309 16.5 14.3 18.9 .239 .335 .299 30.9
2017 Slider -1.1 -4 411 18.7 96 .167 .311 .236 44.4 45.8 28.8 .180 .286 .228 41.3
2017 Changeup -0.7 -2 283 12.9 87 .210 .222 .225 44.4 25.3 23.9 .235 .308 .262 18.3
2017 Cutter 0.9 2 217 9.9 46 .341 .568 .411 21.6 13.0 16.2 .291 .523 .356 42.1
2017 4-Seamer 2.6 3 119 5.4 36 .250 .500 .367 21.7 22.2 21.1 .266 .512 .324 53.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 245 78.6 90 15.9 10:30 9:30 60
2020 Cutter 291 84.8 39 7.8 12:00 12:45 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 18 88.5 72 13.3 11:15 11:30 -15
2020 Sinker 264 87.2 75 14.4 11:00 9:45 75
2020 Slider 57 75.8 30 9.7 4:30 3:30 60
2021 Changeup 756 79.6 90 16.0 10:15 9:30 45
2021 Cutter 660 85.1 39 7.4 11:45 12:30 -45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 58 89.0 79 14.9 11:00 11:15 -15
2021 Sinker 999 87.8 82 15.9 10:45 9:30 75
2021 Slider 192 77.8 27 7.9 4:00 3:15 45
2022 Changeup 153 79.1 90 15.9 10:15 9:30 45
2022 Cutter 105 85.2 42 7.5 11:45 12:30 -45
2022 Sinker 267 87.0 81 16.8 10:45 9:30 75
2022 Slider 57 76.8 35 11.0 4:15 3:00 75
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2012 375 1,384 -3 3 9 7 15
2013 679 2,495 11 -6 10 9 24
2014 805 3,011 -16 -21 11 10 -16
2015 966 3,718 -5 -43 3 8 -37
2016 700 2,665 7 -12 7 7 10
2017 693 2,650 -1 -44 11 12 -23
2018 915 3,471 -11 -25 16 10 -10
2019 520 2,005 -11 -22 15 9 -9
2020 274 1,022 -14 -8 5 4 -13
2021 719 2,726 -5 -14 27 14 23
2022 162 612 6 1 8 3 18
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3,492 40.4 61.7 87.2 32.8 57.3 41.8 61.3 44.5 25.0 5.0 69.4
2016 2,670 44.8 61.2 85.7 30.2 60.9 45.4 63.3 44.1 22.9 6.0 70.4
2017 2,194 40.1 67.1 82.5 30.6 58.1 46.6 60.5 45.3 26.9 3.4 76.0
2018 3,310 44.5 65.5 87.6 29.1 65.9 46.0 60.1 45.3 19.7 5.3 65.5
2019 1,864 39.8 65.9 86.9 32.4 63.4 46.1 55.9 45.7 20.7 4.1 76.6
2020 960 41.8 68.3 82.8 28.4 64.2 46.1 54.9 45.1 23.8 5.1 81.6
2021 2,726 42.1 66.2 86.6 28.2 64.6 43.9 59.4 44.2 21.0 4.2 75.4
2022 612 39.9 67.2 87.2 29.6 66.1 44.0 57.3 44.6 20.5 5.6 67.6
Player 17,828 42.1 64.7 86.1 30.4 61.8 44.8 59.9 44.8 22.6 4.8 71.5
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 87 74 87 91 88 29 86 95 88 72 78 68 87 14 20
2016 55 38 54 64 60 10 28 55 29 47 67 48 55 7 20
2017 77 66 81 85 73 31 67 89 54 48 56 69 77 7 14
2018 67 41 68 85 65 18 85 77 71 17 78 13 67 6 19
2019 31 28 42 57 28 34 52 45 33 19 53 15 31 3 9
2020 49 15 53 81 42 33 85 77 84 11 75 30 49 2 22
2021 4 1 6 23 4 1 29 60 38 2 51 15 4 2 17
2022 29 22 40 57 17 9 31 58 72 4 15 16 29 1 6
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.5 20 17.0 3 11 17 4 20.0
2017 21.9 17 16.7 0 5 16 5 29.4
2018 23.2 19 18.0 1 8 12 9 47.4
2019 23.0 19 20.3 -1 6 11 12 63.2
2020 21.9 4 5.2 -1 3 4 2 50.0
2021 23.3 25 28.8 -4 9 23 11 44.0
2022 23.9 6 5.5 1 3 7 0 0.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 20 21 20 17 15 21 13 18 15 15 15 19 11 10 16 19 14 24 13 17 25 10 13 16 21 18 23 18 11 19 24
2017 17 20 17 18 16 19 15 18 20 14 16 17 12 10 16 20 13 21 10 16 22 13 14 20 20 18 20 14 13 17 21
2018 19 16 22 13 17 19 19 22 22 17 15 16 12 18 19 21 19 20 17 21 21 13 17 17 19 21 17 14 20 13 22
2019 19 21 22 20 20 19 21 22 23 19 21 19 16 20 20 23 19 23 18 21 22 17 19 20 19 22 21 19 23 16 23
2020 4 6 5 6 6 5 0 6 4 6 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 4 5 4 5 5 7
2021 25 29 30 23 30 32 29 32 32 30 25 29 19 19 24 33 32 28 31 26 32 30 28 30 28 31 32 26 32 27 36
2022 6 7 7 5 5 6 6 2 6 3 4 5 5 3 6 7 7 7 6 6 7 5 5 5 5 6 7 5 6 4 8
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.6 88.5 -1.1 88.4 -0.1 88.6 0.2 87.8 -0.8 86.1 -1.7 86.8 0.7 86.6 -0.2
Offspeed Velocity 79.6 80 0.4 78.7 -1.3 79.6 0.9 79.7 0.1 78.6 -1.1 79.6 1 79.1 -0.5
Breaking Velocity 79.8 78.5 -1.3 78.5 0 78.7 0.2 78.4 -0.3 75.8 -2.6 77.8 2 76.8 -1
Exit Velocity 85.7 88.4 2.7 85.5 -2.9 87.3 1.8 88.8 1.5 86.8 -2 88.3 1.5 88.3 0
Launch Angle 1.1 3.8 2.7 -.6 -4.4 4.5 5.1 2.9 -1.6 5.6 2.7 5 -0.6 5.2 0.2
Barrel % 3.3 6.9 3.6 5.1 -1.8 4.5 -0.6 6.9 2.4 4 -2.9 9 5 8.9 -0.1
Hard Hit % 28 36.9 8.9 32.8 -4.1 33 0.2 38.5 5.5 31.3 -7.2 39.8 8.5 34.7 -5.1
Sweet Spot % 25.2 29.6 4.4 23.7 -5.9 29 5.3 26.1 -2.9 34.3 8.2 34.4 0.1 35.5 1.1
xBA .224 .255 0.031 .234 -0.021 .246 0.012 .261 0.015 .278 0.017 .302 0.024 .28 -0.022
BA .217 .259 0.042 .218 -0.041 .263 0.045 .265 0.002 .218 -0.047 .29 0.072 .343 0.053
xwOBA .264 .307 0.043 .287 -0.02 .293 0.006 .329 0.036 .317 -0.012 .372 0.055 .349 -0.023
wOBA .254 .317 0.063 .273 -0.044 .305 0.032 .327 0.022 .249 -0.078 .356 0.107 .411 0.055
xSLG .319 .395 0.076 .35 -0.045 .362 0.012 .423 0.061 .394 -0.029 .493 0.099 .445 -0.048
SLG .314 .424 0.11 .336 -0.088 .393 0.057 .426 0.033 .286 -0.14 .472 0.186 .524 0.052
K% 23.7 20.5 -3.2 21.4 0.9 17.5 -3.9 18.7 1.2 16.3 -2.4 13.2 -3.1 12.2 -1
BB% 5.6 6.8 1.2 8.1 1.3 6.6 -1.5 8 1.4 6.6 -1.4 8.2 1.6 12.2 4
Swing % 44.5 44.1 -0.4 45.3 1.2 45.3 0 45.7 0.4 45.1 -0.6 44.2 -0.9 44.6 0.4
Whiff% 25 22.9 -2.1 26.9 4 19.7 -7.2 20.7 1 23.8 3.1 21 -2.8 20.5 -0.5
In Zone % 40.4 44.8 4.4 40.1 -4.7 44.5 4.4 39.8 -4.7 41.8 2 42.1 0.3 39.9 -2.2
Out of Zone % 59.6 55.2 -4.4 59.9 4.7 55.5 -4.4 60.2 4.7 58.2 -2 57.9 -0.3 60.1 2.2
Out of Zone Swing % 32.8 30.2 -2.6 30.6 0.4 29.1 -1.5 32.4 3.3 28.4 -4 28.2 -0.2 29.6 1.4
First Pitch Swing % 25.2 28 2.8 28.1 0.1 24.7 -3.4 27.7 3 24.9 -2.8 28.2 3.3 30.5 2.3
First Pitch Strike % 61.3 63.3 2 60.5 -2.8 60.1 -0.4 55.9 -4.2 54.9 -1 59.4 4.5 57.3 -2.1
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 690 .313 543 112 20.6 147 68 46.3
2017 582 .273 466 39 8.4 116 35 30.2
2018 874 .305 712 142 19.9 162 41 25.3
2019 486 .327 402 33 8.2 84 13 15.5
2020 257 .249 212 65 30.7 45 22 48.9
2021 719 .356 572 50 8.7 147 57 38.8
2022 162 .411 129 42 32.6 33 24 72.7

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2012 426 15.8 36.9% 1.4% 259 25.4 0.0% 18.9%
2013 746 15.1 48.1% 1.6% 446 23.3 2.0% 14.3%
2014 989 15.3 46.3% 1.4% 468 19.9 6.0% 6.8%
2015 1173 16.2 40.1% 3.8% 575 21.2 10.6% 14.8%
2016 857 16.5 38.4% 2.1% 449 21.2 10.2% 13.1%
2017 724 17.9 10.2% 1.1% 333 22.7 0.0% 9.0%
2018 994 16.7 25.1% 1.7% 603 21.2 1.7% 9.5%
2019 566 18.0 10.8% 1.1% 336 21.9 0.0% 6.5%
2020 315 16.5 22.5% 1.3% 149 20.7 1.3% 6.7%
2021 827 17.3 18.7% 1.2% 487 21.4 1.8% 6.6%
2022 133 18.0 6.8% 0.8% 152 22.5 0.0% 8.6%

Pitch Distribution