Dallas Keuchel
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 36
Draft: 2009 | Rd: 7, #221, Houston Astros | U Arkansas Fayetteville
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 9 9 5.28 32 30 0 162 95 1.53
2022 2 9 9.20 14 14 0 60.2 45 2.06
2023 2 1 5.97 10 6 0 37.2 25 1.67
12 Seasons 103 92 4.02 278 263 0 1,625.2 1,243 1.32
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 32 9-9 5.28 162 95 1.53
2022 14 2-9 9.20 60.2 45 2.06
2023 10 2-1 5.97 37.2 25 1.67
12 Seasons 278 103-92 4.02 1,625.2 1,243 1.32
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 27 3492 642 21 3.3 2.3 85.7 113.6 1.1 25.2 .224 .319 .254 .264 .319 28.0 23.7 5.6 2.48 2.85
2016 28 2670 507 35 6.9 5.0 88.4 111.3 3.8 29.6 .255 .395 .317 .306 .357 36.9 20.5 6.8 4.55 3.93
2017 29 2194 409 21 5.1 3.6 85.5 114.6 -0.6 23.7 .234 .349 .273 .287 .326 32.8 21.4 8.1 2.90 3.50
2018 30 3310 661 30 4.5 3.4 87.3 116.4 4.5 29.0 .246 .362 .305 .293 .325 33.0 17.5 6.6 3.74 3.60
2019 31 1864 348 24 6.9 4.9 88.8 111.0 2.9 26.1 .260 .423 .327 .328 .365 38.5 18.7 8.0 3.75 4.79
2020 32 960 198 8 4.0 3.1 86.8 114.9 5.6 34.3 .277 .393 .249 .317 .352 31.3 16.3 6.6 1.99 4.27
2021 33 2726 558 50 9.0 6.9 88.3 115.6 5.0 34.4 .302 .493 .356 .372 .398 39.8 13.2 8.2 5.28 6.15
2022 34 1165 227 20 8.8 6.6 88.8 113.7 5.5 39.6 .289 .461 .419 .357 .385 39.2 14.9 10.2 9.20 5.49
2023 35 658 127 9 7.1 5.2 86.0 113.5 4.4 31.5 .290 .451 .363 .358 .375 34.6 14.5 10.5 5.97 5.59
Player 19039 3677 218 5.9 4.4 87.3 116.4 3.3 29.4 .257 .392 .309 .311 .350 34.5 18.7 7.3
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .316 .369 36.4 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Keuchel relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(34.7%) ,
Changeup
(27.1%) ,
Cutter
(25.4%) ,
Slider
(12.9%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 62.1 9.8 23.8 4.2 30.7 42.2 26.5 3.9 50.6 13.9 24.3 2.6 3.3 2.3
2016 57.8 16.8 21.5 3.9 37.1 42.8 20.1 3.7 44.2 14.6 24.9 4.5 6.9 5.0
2017 68.0 11.2 18.1 2.7 32.5 47.2 19.6 6.8 49.4 11.5 22.0 2.9 5.1 3.6
2018 54.9 15.6 25.4 4.1 38.1 36.9 24.7 3.5 45.2 18.9 23.3 4.2 4.5 3.4
2019 60.1 13.5 21.0 5.5 41.7 38.8 19.5 2.6 49.7 11.8 23.6 3.7 6.9 4.9
2020 53.5 12.6 28.3 5.6 35.9 40.9 23.2 7.6 38.9 16.2 27.3 5.6 4.0 3.1
2021 54.8 18.8 22.4 3.9 42.1 39.6 18.3 5.2 39.1 15.1 26.7 4.8 9.0 6.9
2022 50.7 20.3 26.9 2.2 41.9 38.3 19.8 2.6 40.1 17.6 25.6 5.3 8.8 6.6
2023 53.5 18.9 25.2 2.4 45.7 33.9 20.5 5.5 40.2 15.0 25.2 7.1 7.1 5.2
Player 58.1 14.8 23.1 3.9 37.4 40.6 21.8 4.4 45.1 15.0 24.5 4.1 5.9 4.4
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.1 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Changeup MIN L 178 80.3 38.6 4.5 13 14.2 1.3 10
2023 Sinker MIN L 228 87.4 30.3 2.9 10 15.3 1.5 11
2023 Cutter MIN L 167 84.8 30.2 0.9 3 1.4 -2.0 -59
2023 Slider MIN L 85 78.3 43.2 -0.7 -2 8.2 -3.8 -31
2022 Slider TEX L 93 77.0 45.3 -0.5 -1 9.8 -0.8 -8
2022 Cutter TEX L 178 85.2 30.0 0.4 1 1.3 -2.5 -65
2022 4-Seam Fastball TEX L 75 87.9 21.6 -3.6 -20 3.5 -2.2 -39
2022 Changeup TEX L 306 79.2 38.7 3.5 10 14.3 0.9 7
2022 Sinker TEX L 512 87.2 30.1 3.7 14 15.4 1.2 9
2021 Slider CWS L 192 77.8 44.5 -0.7 -2 6.8 -2.5 -27
2021 4-Seam Fastball CWS L 58 89.0 19.7 -2.5 -15 5.2 -1.5 -22
2021 Sinker CWS L 1,033 87.8 30.1 4.1 16 14.7 0.4 3
2021 Cutter CWS L 664 85.1 29.6 0.7 2 1.7 -1.4 -45
2021 Changeup CWS L 779 79.6 37.9 3.6 11 14.7 1.5 11
2020 Cutter CWS L 297 84.8 29.9 0.5 2 2.6 -0.6 -20
2020 Sinker CWS L 310 87.2 29.1 3.5 14 12.5 -1.0 -7
2020 Slider CWS L 63 75.8 48.3 -0.2 0 7.9 -2.9 -27
2020 Changeup CWS L 268 78.6 37.7 3.5 10 14.4 1.6 13
2020 4-Seam Fastball CWS L 22 88.3 21.5 -3.6 -20 2.7 -3.6 -57
2019 Slider ATL L 213 78.4 46.5 1.4 3 8.1 -0.9 -10
2019 Changeup ATL L 271 79.7 39.6 5.1 15 13.4 -0.2 -1
2019 4-Seam Fastball ATL L 96 89.4 21.8 -3.9 -22 2.9 -3.6 -55
2019 Sinker ATL L 914 88.3 30.6 4.9 19 12.8 -1.5 -10
2019 Cutter ATL L 370 86.1 30.0 -0.4 -1 2.4 0.0 1
2018 Sinker HOU L 1,360 89.1 26.7 2.5 10 10.8 -3.0 -22
2018 Slider HOU L 608 78.7 48.6 3.4 8 10.2 2.3 29
2018 Cutter HOU L 512 86.4 30.2 -0.6 -2 3.6 0.9 32
2018 Changeup HOU L 425 79.6 35.6 1.8 5 13.7 1.3 10
2018 4-Seam Fastball HOU L 404 89.7 20.9 -3.4 -20 1.1 -7.2 -117
2017 4-Seam Fastball HOU L 119 88.8 21.2 -4.3 -26 0.6 -6.6 -92
2017 Sinker HOU L 1,158 88.7 26.1 3.0 13 9.6 -4.1 -30
2017 Changeup HOU L 283 78.7 34.9 2.8 9 11.0 -0.7 -6
2017 Slider HOU L 411 78.5 47.9 3.6 8 14.1 6.1 77
2017 Cutter HOU L 217 86.7 28.8 -1.2 -4 4.7 2.6 124
2016 Changeup HOU L 246 80.0 34.2 0.3 1 15.9 4.1 34
2016 Cutter HOU L 287 85.8 30.9 -1.1 -4 1.7 -1.4 -45
2016 4-Seam Fastball HOU L 252 88.8 22.6 -4.2 -23 4.1 -2.3 -36
2016 Slider HOU L 694 78.5 51.4 5.8 13 10.1 2.5 33
2016 Sinker HOU L 1,164 89.1 25.9 2.0 8 14.1 0.9 6
2015 Sinker HOU L 1,731 90.0 25.2 1.8 8 16.3 2.5 18
2015 4-Seam Fastball HOU L 392 89.5 20.8 -3.4 -19 5.5 -1.3 -19
2015 Changeup HOU L 472 79.6 34.2 0.2 1 18.3 5.7 45
2015 Slider HOU L 670 79.8 48.0 4.4 10 8.4 1.9 29
2015 Cutter HOU L 182 85.4 31.0 -1.0 -3 0.5 -2.6 -84
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ View Complete Pitch Movement Leaderboard

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 Sinker 0.8 2 228 34.7 64 .245 .367 .366 8.4 9.4 12.2 .313 .424 .406 39.5
2023 Changeup -1.9 -3 178 27.1 58 .327 .473 .368 19.6 8.6 7.8 .315 .468 .340 25.5
2023 Cutter -3.7 -6 167 25.4 31 .379 .690 .469 24.6 25.8 25.0 .282 .599 .388 47.6
2023 Slider -0.1 0 85 12.9 19 .222 .278 .245 44.1 31.6 16.7 .168 .237 .201 33.3
2022 Sinker -1.2 -6 513 44.0 124 .308 .510 .423 15.6 13.7 17.5 .283 .428 .362 44.9
2022 Changeup -1.7 -5 306 26.3 93 .299 .356 .327 29.8 15.1 13.3 .270 .347 .291 28.4
2022 Cutter -8.8 -16 178 15.3 48 .455 1.000 .616 22.5 14.6 14.9 .322 .676 .448 48.6
2022 Slider -3.9 -4 93 8.0 23 .429 .476 .428 29.3 26.1 17.6 .237 .289 .271 6.7
2022 4-Seam Fastball -7.0 -5 75 6.4 13 .538 1.231 .735 13.8 7.7 5.9 .431 1.035 .616 75.0
2021 Sinker -0.7 -7 1,033 37.9 265 .298 .480 .397 13.2 9.8 11.7 .303 .474 .389 44.7
2021 Changeup -0.1 -1 779 28.6 222 .244 .378 .297 29.8 14.9 15.2 .288 .460 .344 30.1
2021 Cutter -1.4 -10 664 24.4 184 .329 .518 .386 17.4 13.6 15.7 .314 .508 .373 39.7
2021 Slider -2.6 -5 192 7.0 32 .344 .688 .463 42.9 34.4 19.3 .320 .643 .406 61.9
2021 4-Seam Fastball -0.2 0 58 2.1 16 .250 .688 .384 3.2 0.0 0.0 .314 .734 .430 56.3
2020 Sinker 0.0 0 310 32.3 94 .284 .375 .314 14.5 18.1 22.7 .282 .372 .310 39.4
2020 Cutter 3.5 11 297 30.9 77 .203 .246 .256 21.4 10.4 13.1 .327 .517 .393 35.5
2020 Changeup 1.9 5 268 27.9 67 .159 .190 .223 33.9 16.4 16.7 .214 .251 .229 13.2
2020 Slider 1.3 1 63 6.6 13 .154 .385 .223 40.9 38.5 31.3 .253 .451 .298 37.5
2020 4-Seam Fastball -1.0 0 22 2.3 6 .200 .200 .267 11.1 16.7 6.7 .327 .654 .461 50.0
2019 Sinker 1.2 11 914 49.0 264 .270 .418 .343 14.4 15.2 19.0 .264 .410 .327 43.9
2019 Cutter 0.1 0 370 19.8 78 .290 .565 .397 16.3 7.7 9.0 .273 .514 .365 31.3
2019 Changeup 1.5 4 271 14.5 65 .213 .279 .263 32.7 27.7 20.5 .231 .333 .271 23.3
2019 Slider -2.9 -6 213 11.4 44 .237 .421 .338 40.2 40.9 25.4 .217 .424 .324 40.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball -0.7 -1 96 5.2 35 .310 .483 .375 17.2 25.7 15.5 .321 .490 .379 39.1
2018 Sinker 0.2 2 1,360 41.1 372 .289 .368 .345 10.7 9.4 12.4 .270 .378 .330 39.2
2018 Slider -0.6 -4 608 18.4 108 .260 .471 .311 34.3 42.6 21.5 .180 .310 .215 31.7
2018 Cutter 1.1 5 512 15.5 117 .231 .398 .307 21.7 17.1 19.0 .235 .356 .279 25.6
2018 Changeup 0.2 1 425 12.8 150 .232 .387 .287 32.5 22.7 19.7 .224 .322 .253 27.7
2018 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 4 404 12.2 127 .261 .395 .315 11.9 14.2 12.9 .276 .416 .315 28.2
2017 Sinker 1.7 20 1,158 52.8 314 .216 .324 .309 16.5 14.3 18.9 .238 .334 .298 30.9
2017 Slider 1.1 4 411 18.7 96 .167 .311 .236 44.4 45.8 28.8 .179 .286 .228 41.3
2017 Changeup 0.7 2 283 12.9 87 .210 .222 .225 44.4 25.3 23.9 .235 .308 .262 18.3
2017 Cutter -0.9 -2 217 9.9 46 .341 .568 .411 21.6 13.0 16.2 .291 .523 .356 42.1
2017 4-Seam Fastball -2.6 -3 119 5.4 36 .250 .500 .367 21.7 22.2 21.1 .267 .513 .325 53.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
+ View Complete Run Value Leaderboard

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 171 80.3 90 15.2 10:15 9:15 60
2023 Cutter 167 84.8 38 6.8 11:30 12:30 -60
2023 Sinker 225 87.4 85 16.5 10:30 9:30 60
2023 Slider 85 78.3 30 9.2 4:30 3:00 90
2022 Changeup 290 79.2 91 15.5 10:15 9:30 45
2022 Cutter 178 85.2 43 7.0 11:45 12:30 -45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 72 88.0 73 13.3 11:00 11:30 -30
2022 Sinker 491 87.2 83 16.8 10:45 9:30 75
2022 Slider 89 76.9 34 11.0 4:30 3:15 75
2021 Changeup 756 79.6 90 16.0 10:15 9:30 45
2021 Cutter 660 85.1 39 7.4 11:45 12:30 -45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 58 89.0 79 14.9 11:00 11:15 -15
2021 Sinker 999 87.8 82 15.9 10:45 9:30 75
2021 Slider 192 77.8 27 7.9 4:00 3:15 45
2020 Changeup 245 78.6 90 15.9 10:30 9:30 60
2020 Cutter 291 84.8 39 7.8 12:00 12:45 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 18 88.5 72 13.3 11:15 11:30 -15
2020 Sinker 264 87.2 75 14.4 11:00 9:45 75
2020 Slider 57 75.8 30 9.7 4:30 3:30 60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2012 375 1,384 4 -3 -9 -7 -15
2013 679 2,495 -10 5 -10 -9 -23
2014 805 3,011 15 22 -11 -10 16
2015 966 3,718 5 43 -3 -8 38
2016 700 2,665 -7 12 -7 -7 -10
2017 693 2,650 1 44 -11 -12 23
2018 915 3,471 11 25 -16 -10 10
2019 520 2,005 11 22 -15 -9 9
2020 274 1,022 14 7 -4 -4 13
2021 719 2,726 5 14 -27 -14 -22
2022 301 1,165 -15 -6 -11 -5 -36
2023 172 658 -2 2 -3 -4 -8
+ View Complete Swing/Take Leaderboard

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3,492 40.6 61.7 87.3 32.7 57.1 41.9 61.3 44.5 25.0 5.1 70.1
2016 2,670 45.0 61.1 85.6 30.2 60.9 45.3 63.3 44.1 22.9 5.9 70.7
2017 2,194 40.0 67.2 82.7 30.6 58.0 46.6 60.5 45.3 26.9 3.4 76.0
2018 3,310 44.5 65.6 87.6 29.1 66.0 46.0 60.1 45.3 19.7 5.3 65.5
2019 1,864 39.8 65.9 86.9 32.4 63.4 45.9 55.9 45.7 20.7 4.1 76.6
2020 960 41.8 68.3 82.8 28.4 64.2 45.8 54.9 45.1 23.8 5.1 81.6
2021 2,726 42.1 66.2 86.6 28.2 64.6 43.8 59.4 44.2 21.0 4.1 75.2
2022 1,165 39.2 67.4 87.7 30.6 61.8 42.6 58.4 45.1 22.3 5.1 67.8
2023 658 40.7 61.2 89.6 29.7 64.7 45.9 63.4 42.6 20.4 4.3 78.6
Player 19,039 41.9 64.6 86.3 30.4 61.7 44.7 60.0 44.7 22.6 4.8 71.7
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 87 74 87 91 88 29 86 95 88 72 78 68 82 15 21 39
2016 56 38 54 64 59 10 28 55 29 47 67 48 66 8 21 46
2017 76 67 82 85 73 31 67 89 54 48 55 69 78 6 13 63
2018 67 41 69 85 65 18 85 76 71 17 78 13 63 8 17 47
2019 31 29 42 57 30 34 52 45 33 19 53 15 81 3 8 31
2020 49 15 53 81 42 33 85 77 84 11 75 30 56 2 14 28
2021 4 1 6 23 4 1 29 60 38 2 51 15 53 3 8 25
2022 4 1 7 20 2 41 24 41 37 5 17 24 62 1 5 18
2023 1 4 12
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard

Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.5 20 16.5 4 8 17 5 25.0
2017 21.9 17 16.4 1 4 18 4 23.5
2018 23.2 19 17.6 1 9 13 9 47.4
2019 23.0 19 20.8 -2 3 11 12 63.2
2020 21.9 4 4.9 -1 3 4 2 50.0
2021 23.3 25 28.2 -3 12 20 12 48.0
2022 24.7 11 10.9 0 3 13 1 9.1
2023 23.1 3 3.4 0 3 2 2 66.7
Player 23.0 118 118.6 -1 45 98 47 39.8

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 20 18 14 15 16 11 19 18 10 11 16 18 21 15 16 21 11 12 16 17 18 10 23 23 19 17 13 26 22 16 13
2017 17 17 11 18 20 15 20 16 9 12 15 14 19 16 15 20 13 14 21 15 19 15 21 21 18 13 15 21 23 17 9
2018 19 22 10 15 21 19 21 13 18 12 18 23 17 14 17 19 13 17 17 21 18 20 23 18 12 14 18 21 20 22 16
2019 19 23 20 21 23 22 23 22 21 16 20 21 21 22 21 20 19 19 20 23 21 20 23 21 18 20 20 22 22 23 18
2020 4 6 5 6 4 6 5 5 3 4 3 4 6 4 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 5 7 5 4 4 4 5 6 4 4
2021 25 31 24 26 30 27 33 28 18 19 25 30 29 26 29 32 30 28 31 30 28 31 33 31 27 24 31 31 29 25 29
2022 11 8 8 8 10 11 13 7 6 9 9 10 14 12 11 13 12 11 11 10 13 11 16 13 9 11 10 13 13 12 12
2023 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 2 4 2 3 3 2 2 4 3 3 3 4 5 3 4 6 5 2 2 5 4 4 3 3
Player 118 128 95 113 128 114 137 111 89 85 109 123 129 111 119 133 106 110 125 125 126 116 152 137 109 105 116 143 139 122 104
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
+View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.6 88.5 -1.1 88.4 -0.1 88.6 0.2 87.8 -0.8 86.1 -1.7 86.8 0.7 86.8 0.0 86.3 -0.5
Offspeed Velocity 79.6 80.0 0.4 78.7 -1.3 79.6 0.9 79.7 0.1 78.6 -1.1 79.6 1.0 79.2 -0.4 80.3 1.1
Breaking Velocity 79.8 78.5 -1.3 78.5 0.0 78.7 0.2 78.4 -0.3 75.8 -2.6 77.8 2.0 77.0 -0.8 78.3 1.3
Exit Velocity 85.7 88.4 2.7 85.5 -2.9 87.3 1.8 88.8 1.5 86.8 -2.0 88.3 1.5 88.8 0.5 86.0 -2.8
Launch Angle 1.1 3.8 2.7 -0.6 -4.4 4.5 5.1 2.9 -1.6 5.6 2.7 5.0 -0.6 5.5 0.5 4.4 -1.1
Barrel % 3.3 6.9 3.6 5.1 -1.8 4.5 -0.6 6.9 2.4 4.0 -2.9 9.0 5.0 8.8 -0.2 7.1 -1.7
Hard Hit % 28.0 36.9 8.9 32.8 -4.1 33.0 0.2 38.5 5.5 31.3 -7.2 39.8 8.5 39.2 -0.6 34.6 -4.6
LA Sweet-Spot % 25.2 29.6 4.4 23.7 -5.9 29.0 5.3 26.1 -2.9 34.3 8.2 34.4 0.1 39.6 5.2 31.5 -8.1
xBA .224 .255 0.031 .234 -0.021 .246 0.012 .260 0.014 .277 0.017 .302 0.025