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Dallas Keuchel
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 33

Draft: 2009 | Rd: 7, #221, Houston Astros | U Arkansas Fayetteville
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 9 9 5.28 32 30 0 162.0 95 1.53
10 Seasons 99 82 3.77 254 243 0 1527.1 1173 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 32 9-9 5.28 162.0 95 1.53
10 Seasons 254 99-82 3.77 1527.1 1173 1.28

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 27 3492 642 21 3.3 85.7 113.6 1.1 25.2 .222 .315 .254 .262 .315 28 23.7 5.6 2.48 2.92
2016 28 2670 507 35 6.9 88.4 111.3 3.8 29.6 .253 .393 .317 .305 .354 36.9 20.5 6.8 4.55 4.05
2017 29 2194 409 21 5.1 85.6 114.6 -0.7 23.5 .230 .344 .273 .282 .320 32.8 21.4 8.1 2.90 3.44
2018 30 3310 661 31 4.7 87.3 116.4 4.5 29.2 .247 .364 .305 .294 .326 32.8 17.5 6.6 3.74 3.68
2019 31 1864 348 24 6.9 88.8 111 2.9 26.1 .260 .422 .327 .328 .365 38.5 18.7 8 3.75 4.89
2020 32 960 198 8 4 86.8 114.9 5.3 34.3 .277 .392 .249 .316 .351 31.3 16.3 6.6 1.99 4.27
2021 33 2726 558 50 9 88.3 115.6 5 34.4 .302 .493 .356 .372 .397 39.8 13.2 8.2 5.28 6.20
17216 3323 190 5.7 87.3 116.4 3.1 28.6 .252 .384 .300 .305 .345 34.2 19.1 7
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .243 .403 .317 .313 .363 35.4 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Keuchel relies on 5 pitches.
Sinker
(37.9%) ,
Changeup
(28.6%) ,
Cutter
(24.4%) ,
Slider
(7%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(2.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Sinker 1032 755 277 37.9 87.8 265 225 67 46 10 2 9 26 199 .298 .302 .480 .472 .383 .386 89.3 -2 1985 6.0 13.2 11.7
2021 Changeup 779 667 112 28.6 79.6 222 209 51 35 9 2 5 33 176 .244 .289 .378 .460 .289 .345 83.7 1 1630 6.1 29.8 15.2
2021 Cutter 664 512 152 24.4 85.1 184 170 56 37 12 1 6 25 146 .329 .314 .518 .508 .381 .373 90.2 16 2213 6.0 17.4 15.7
2021 Slider 192 124 68 7.0 77.8 32 32 11 6 2 0 3 11 21 .344 .320 .688 .643 .431 .406 93.7 13 2374 6.0 42.9 19.3
2021 4-Seam Fastball 59 54 5 2.2 89.0 16 16 4 1 1 0 2 0 16 .250 .314 .688 .734 .383 .430 94.7 14 2207 6.0 3.1 0.0
2020 Sinker 310 224 86 32.3 87.2 94 88 25 19 5 0 1 17 71 .284 .283 .375 .373 .310 .311 91.5 0 2071 6.1 14.5 22.7
2020 Cutter 297 244 53 30.9 84.8 77 69 14 11 3 0 0 8 62 .203 .328 .246 .517 .241 .393 85.2 18 2203 6.1 21.4 13.1
2020 Changeup 268 260 8 27.9 78.6 67 63 10 9 0 1 0 11 53 .159 .212 .190 .248 .176 .226 79.5 -8 1680 6.2 33.9 16.7
2020 Slider 63 34 29 6.6 75.8 13 13 2 1 0 0 1 5 8 .154 .253 .385 .451 .220 .298 85.6 13 2280 6.1 40.9 31.3
2020 4-Seam Fastball 22 19 3 2.3 88.3 6 5 1 1 0 0 0 1 4 .200 .327 .200 .654 .264 .460 93.4 4 2218 6.1 11.1 6.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 62.1 9.8 23.8 4.2 30.8 42.7 26.5 3.9 50.6 13.9 24.3 2.6 3.3
2016 57.8 16.8 21.5 3.9 37.1 42.8 20.1 3.7 44.2 14.6 24.9 4.5 6.9
2017 68 11.2 18.1 2.7 32.5 47.2 19.6 6.8 49.4 11.5 22 2.9 5.1
2018 54.9 15.6 25.4 4.1 38.4 36.8 24.8 3.5 45.2 18.9 23.3 4.1 4.7
2019 60.1 13.5 21 5.5 41.7 38.8 19.5 2.6 49.7 11.8 23.6 3.7 6.9
2020 53.5 11.6 29.3 5.6 35.9 40.9 23.2 7.6 38.9 15.7 27.3 5.6 4
2021 54.8 18.8 22.4 3.9 42.1 39.6 18.3 5.2 39.1 15.1 26.7 4.8 9
58.8 14.2 22.9 4.1 36.8 41 22 4.5 45.7 14.8 24.4 3.9 5.7
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Changeup CWS L 779 79.6 37.9 3.6 11 14.7 1.5 11
2021 Cutter CWS L 663 85.1 29.6 0.9 3 1.7 -1.5 -47
2021 4-Seamer CWS L 59 89 19.8 -2.6 -15 5.2 -1.3 -20
2021 Slider CWS L 192 77.8 44.5 -0.7 -2 6.8 -3.9 -36
2021 Sinker CWS L 1029 87.7 30.1 4.8 19 14.7 0.7 5
2020 Slider CWS L 63 75.8 48.3 -0.1 0 7.9 -3.4 -30
2020 Cutter CWS L 296 84.8 29.9 0.8 3 2.6 -0.7 -22
2020 4-Seamer CWS L 22 88.3 21.5 -3.6 -20 2.7 -3.4 -56
2020 Changeup CWS L 263 78.6 37.7 3.6 11 14.4 1.7 13
2020 Sinker CWS L 304 87.2 29 3.8 15 12.5 -0.8 -6
2019 4-Seamer ATL L 96 89.4 21.8 -4 -22 2.9 -3.4 -54
2019 Changeup ATL L 271 79.7 39.6 5.1 15 13.4 -0.2 -1
2019 Slider ATL L 213 78.4 46.5 1.3 3 8.1 -1.7 -18
2019 Sinker ATL L 914 88.3 30.6 5.4 22 12.8 -1.3 -9
2019 Cutter ATL L 370 86.1 30 -0.2 -1 2.4 0 -2
2018 Slider HOU L 608 78.7 48.6 3.4 7 10.2 2 25
2018 Sinker HOU L 1360 89.1 26.7 2.5 11 10.8 -3 -22
2018 4-Seamer HOU L 404 89.7 20.9 -3.5 -20 1.1 -7.1 -117
2018 Changeup HOU L 425 79.6 35.6 1.8 5 13.7 1.3 10
2018 Cutter HOU L 512 86.4 30.2 -0.6 -2 3.6 0.9 32
2017 Sinker HOU L 1158 88.7 26.1 3 13 9.6 -4.1 -30
2017 Changeup HOU L 283 78.7 34.9 2.8 9 11 -0.7 -6
2017 Slider HOU L 411 78.5 47.9 3.5 8 14.1 5.9 72
2017 Cutter HOU L 217 86.7 28.8 -1.2 -4 4.7 2.6 129
2017 4-Seamer HOU L 119 88.8 21.2 -4.4 -26 0.6 -6.6 -92
2016 Cutter HOU L 287 85.8 31 -3.1 -11 2.5 1.4 134
2016 Sinker HOU L 1165 89.1 25.9 4.3 20 12.1 -1.6 -12
2016 Slider HOU L 694 78.5 52.2 7.6 17 10.5 4.5 74
2016 Changeup HOU L 246 80 33.5 2 6 13.5 1.3 11
2016 4-Seamer HOU L 252 88.8 22.6 -6 -36 2.7 -4.6 -63
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 4-Seamer 0.2 0 59 2.2 16 .25 .688 .384 3.1 0 0 .314 .734 .43 56.3
2021 Slider 2.6 5 192 7 32 .344 .688 .463 42.9 34.4 19.3 .32 .643 .406 61.9
2021 Cutter 1.5 10 664 24.4 184 .329 .518 .386 17.4 13.6 15.7 .314 .508 .373 39.7
2021 Changeup 0.2 2 779 28.6 222 .244 .378 .297 29.8 14.9 15.2 .289 .46 .345 30.1
2021 Sinker 0.8 8 1032 37.9 265 .298 .48 .396 13.2 9.8 11.7 .302 .472 .388 44.7
2020 4-Seamer 1 0 22 2.3 6 .2 .2 .267 11.1 16.7 6.7 .327 .654 .461 50
2020 Slider -1.2 -1 63 6.6 13 .154 .385 .223 40.9 38.5 31.3 .253 .451 .298 37.5
2020 Changeup -1.7 -5 268 27.9 67 .159 .19 .22 33.9 16.4 16.7 .212 .248 .226 13.2
2020 Cutter -3.5 -10 297 30.9 77 .203 .246 .256 21.4 10.4 13.1 .328 .517 .393 35.5
2020 Sinker 0 0 310 32.3 94 .284 .375 .314 14.5 18.1 22.7 .283 .373 .311 39.4
2019 4-Seamer 0.9 1 96 5.2 35 .31 .483 .375 17.2 25.7 15.5 .321 .49 .379 39.1
2019 Slider 2.8 6 213 11.4 44 .237 .421 .338 40.2 40.9 25.4 .217 .424 .324 40
2019 Changeup -1.5 -4 271 14.5 65 .213 .279 .273 32.7 27.7 20.5 .228 .329 .268 23.3
2019 Cutter 0 0 370 19.8 78 .29 .565 .397 16.3 7.7 9 .273 .514 .366 31.3
2019 Sinker -1.2 -11 914 49 264 .27 .418 .339 14.4 15.2 19 .264 .411 .327 43.9
2018 Slider 0.7 4 608 18.4 108 .26 .471 .311 34.3 42.6 21.5 .18 .31 .215 31.7
2018 Cutter -1 -5 512 15.5 117 .231 .398 .307 21.7 17.1 19 .235 .356 .279 25.6
2018 4-Seamer -1.2 -5 404 12.2 127 .261 .395 .308 11.9 14.2 12.9 .276 .416 .315 28.2
2018 Changeup 0 0 425 12.8 150 .232 .387 .287 32.5 22.7 19.7 .228 .337 .261 26.8
2018 Sinker -0.1 -1 1360 41.1 372 .289 .368 .345 10.7 9.4 12.4 .27 .376 .329 39.2
2017 4-Seamer 2.7 3 119 5.4 36 .25 .5 .367 21.7 22.2 21.1 .266 .512 .324 53.6
2017 Cutter 1 2 217 9.9 46 .341 .568 .402 21.6 13 16.2 .284 .511 .348 42.1
2017 Changeup -0.6 -2 283 12.9 87 .21 .222 .223 44.4 25.3 23.9 .232 .304 .259 18.3
2017 Slider -1 -4 411 18.7 96 .167 .311 .233 44.4 45.8 28.8 .178 .283 .226 41.3
2017 Sinker -1.6 -19 1158 52.8 314 .216 .324 .307 16.5 14.3 18.9 .236 .331 .296 30.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 245 78.6 90 15.9 10:30 9:30 60
2020 Cutter 291 84.8 39 7.8 12:00 12:45 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 18 88.5 72 13.3 11:15 11:30 -15
2020 Sinker 264 87.2 75 14.4 11:00 9:45 75
2020 Slider 57 75.8 30 9.7 4:30 3:30 60
2021 Changeup 756 79.6 90 16 10:15 9:30 45
2021 Cutter 660 85.1 39 7.4 11:45 12:30 -45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 59 89 79 14.9 11:00 11:15 -15
2021 Sinker 998 87.8 82 15.9 10:45 9:30 75
2021 Slider 192 77.8 27 7.9 4:00 3:15 45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2012 375 1384 -3 3 9 7 16
2013 679 2495 12 -7 10 9 24
2014 805 3011 -14 -21 12 10 -13
2015 966 3718 -5 -42 3 8 -35
2016 700 2665 8 -11 8 7 11
2017 693 2650 -1 -43 10 12 -22
2018 915 3471 -11 -23 16 10 -8
2019 520 2005 -12 -20 15 9 -8
2020 274 1022 -14 -7 5 4 -12
2021 719 2726 -4 -13 27 14 25
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3492 40.4 61.7 87.2 32.8 57.3 41.8 61.3 44.5 25 5 69.4
2016 2670 44.8 61.2 85.7 30.2 60.9 45.4 63.3 44.1 22.9 6 70.4
2017 2194 40.1 67.1 82.5 30.6 58.1 46.6 60.5 45.3 26.9 3.4 76
2018 3310 44.5 65.5 87.6 29.1 65.9 46 60.1 45.3 19.7 5.3 65.5
2019 1864 39.8 65.9 86.9 32.4 63.4 46.1 55.9 45.7 20.7 4.1 76.6
2020 960 41.8 68.3 82.8 28.4 64.2 46.1 54.9 45.1 23.8 5.1 81.6
2021 2726 42.1 66.2 86.6 28.2 64.6 43.9 59.4 44.2 21 4.2 75.4
17216 42.1 64.6 86.1 30.4 61.6 44.8 60 44.8 22.7 4.8 71.6
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 85 70 85 91 86 29 86 95 87 72 78 68 85 14 20
2016 50 34 51 61 55 10 28 55 28 47 67 48 50 7 20
2017 78 69 83 85 75 31 67 87 54 48 56 69 78 6 14
2018 64 36 63 84 61 16 82 78 71 17 78 13 64 6 19
2019 29 26 42 56 25 34 52 45 33 19 53 15 29 3 10
2020 48 14 52 81 41 33 85 77 84 11 75 30 48 2 20
2021 4 1 6 22 4 1 29 60 38 2 51 15 4 2 16
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23 19 19.9 -1 3 11 12 63.2
2020 21.9 4 5 -1 3 5 0 0
2021 23.3 25 30.8 -6 10 21 1 4

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 19 17 22 20 22 19 21 22 20 21 22 21 14 21 19 23 18 21 20 23 15 18 18 20 19 23 21 18 22 16 21
2020 4 6 5 6 6 5 4 6 4 5 6 5 3 3 4 5 3 6 4 5 1 5 6 5 6 4 5 5 6 3 6
2021 25 27 29 28 32 23 29 32 24 30 27 29 15 22 26 32 18 31 28 31 14 28 27 31 27 33 33 24 37 24 33
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.6 88.5 -1.1 88.4 -0.1 88.6 0.2 87.8 -0.8 86.1 -1.7 86.8 0.7
Offspeed Velocity 79.6 80 0.4 78.7 -1.3 79.6 0.9 79.7 0.1 78.6 -1.1 79.6 1
Breaking Velocity 79.8 78.5 -1.3 78.5 0 78.7 0.2 78.4 -0.3 75.8 -2.6 77.8 2
Exit Velocity 85.7 88.4 2.7 85.6 -2.8 87.3 1.7 88.8 1.5 86.8 -2 88.3 1.5
Launch Angle 1.1 3.8 2.7 -0.7 -4.5 4.5 5.2 2.9 -1.6 5.3 2.4 5 -0.3
Barrel % 3.3 6.9 3.6 5.1 -1.8 4.7 -0.4 6.9 2.2 4 -2.9 9 5
Hard Hit % 28 36.9 8.9 32.8 -4.1 32.8 0 38.5 5.7 31.3 -7.2 39.8 8.5
Sweet Spot % 25.2 29.6 4.4 23.5 -6.1 29.2 5.7 26.1 -3.1 34.3 8.2 34.4 0.1
xBA 0.222 0.253 0.031 0.23 -0.023 0.247 0.017 0.26 0.013 0.277 0.017 0.302 0.025
BA 0.217 0.259 0.042 0.218 -0.041 0.263 0.045 0.265 0.002 0.218 -0.047 0.29 0.072
xwOBA 0.262 0.305 0.043 0.282 -0.023 0.294 0.012 0.328 0.034 0.316 -0.012 0.372 0.056
wOBA 0.254 0.317 0.063 0.273 -0.044 0.305 0.032 0.327 0.022 0.249 -0.078 0.356 0.107
xSLG 0.315 0.393 0.078 0.344 -0.049 0.364 0.02 0.422 0.058 0.392 -0.03 0.493 0.101
SLG 0.314 0.424 0.11 0.336 -0.088 0.393 0.057 0.426 0.033 0.286 -0.14 0.472 0.186
K% 23.7 20.5 -3.2 21.4 0.9 17.5 -3.9 18.7 1.2 16.3 -2.4 13.2 -3.1
BB% 5.6 6.8 1.2 8.1 1.3 6.6 -1.5 8 1.4 6.6 -1.4 8.2 1.6
Swing % 44.5 44.1 -0.4 45.3 1.2 45.3 0 45.7 0.4 45.1 -0.6 44.2 -0.9
Whiff% 25 22.9 -2.1 26.9 4 19.7 -7.2 20.7 1 23.8 3.1 21 -2.8
In Zone % 40.4 44.8 4.4 40.1 -4.7 44.5 4.4 39.8 -4.7 41.8 2 42.1 0.3
Out of Zone % 59.6 55.2 -4.4 59.9 4.7 55.5 -4.4 60.2 4.7 58.2 -2 57.9 -0.3
Out of Zone Swing % 32.8 30.2 -2.6 30.6 0.4 29.1 -1.5 32.4 3.3 28.4 -4 28.2 -0.2
First Pitch Swing % 25.2 28 2.8 28.1 0.1 24.7 -3.4 27.7 3 24.9 -2.8 28.2 3.3
First Pitch Strike % 61.3 63.3 2 60.5 -2.8 60.1 -0.4 55.9 -4.2 54.9 -1 59.4 4.5
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 690 .313 543 112 20.6 147 68 46.3
2017 582 .273 466 39 8.4 116 35 30.2
2018 874 .305 712 142 19.9 162 41 25.3
2019 486 .327 402 33 8.2 84 13 15.5
2020 257 .249 212 65 30.7 45 22 48.9
2021 719 .356 572 50 8.7 147 57 38.8

Pitch Distribution