Dallas Keuchel
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 35
Draft: 2009 | Rd: 7, #221, Houston Astros | U Arkansas Fayetteville

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 5 7.88 8 8 0 32.0 20 2.16
11 Seasons 101 91 3.98 268 257 0 1588.0 1218 1.31
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 8 2-5 7.88 32.0 20 2.16
11 Seasons 268 101-91 3.98 1588.0 1218 1.31

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 27 3492 642 21 3.3 2.3 85.7 113.6 1.1 25.2 .224 .319 .254 .264 .319 28.0 23.7 5.6 2.48 2.83
2016 28 2670 507 35 6.9 5.0 88.4 111.3 3.8 29.6 .255 .395 .317 .306 .357 36.9 20.5 6.8 4.55 3.93
2017 29 2194 409 21 5.1 3.6 85.5 114.6 -0.6 23.7 .234 .350 .273 .287 .327 32.8 21.4 8.1 2.90 3.50
2018 30 3310 661 30 4.5 3.4 87.3 116.4 4.5 29.0 .247 .362 .305 .293 .325 33.0 17.5 6.6 3.74 3.60
2019 31 1864 348 24 6.9 4.9 88.8 111.0 2.9 26.1 .261 .423 .327 .329 .366 38.5 18.7 8.0 3.75 4.82
2020 32 960 198 8 4.0 3.1 86.8 114.9 5.6 34.3 .278 .393 .249 .317 .352 31.3 16.3 6.6 1.99 4.27
2021 33 2726 558 50 9.0 6.9 88.3 115.6 5.0 34.4 .302 .493 .356 .372 .398 39.8 13.2 8.2 5.28 6.15
2022 34 1165 227 20 8.8 6.6 88.8 113.7 5.5 39.6 .289 .461 .419 .357 .385 39.2 14.9 10.2 9.20 5.49
Player 18381 3550 209 5.9 4.3 87.4 116.4 3.3 29.4 .256 .390 .307 .310 .350 34.5 18.8 7.2
MLB 6.8 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.0 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Keuchel relies on 5 pitches.
Sinker
(44%) ,
Changeup
(26.3%) ,
Cutter
(15.3%) ,
Slider
(8%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(6.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 62.1 9.8 23.8 4.2 30.7 42.2 26.5 3.9 50.6 13.9 24.3 2.6 3.3 2.3
2016 57.8 16.8 21.5 3.9 37.1 42.8 20.1 3.7 44.2 14.6 24.9 4.5 6.9 5.0
2017 68.0 11.2 18.1 2.7 32.5 47.2 19.6 6.8 49.4 11.5 22.0 2.9 5.1 3.6
2018 54.9 15.6 25.4 4.1 38.4 36.9 24.7 3.5 45.2 18.9 23.3 4.2 4.5 3.4
2019 60.1 13.5 21.0 5.5 41.7 38.8 19.5 2.6 49.7 11.8 23.6 3.7 6.9 4.9
2020 53.5 12.6 28.3 5.6 35.9 40.9 23.2 7.6 38.9 16.2 27.3 5.6 4.0 3.1
2021 54.8 18.8 22.4 3.9 42.1 39.6 18.3 5.2 39.1 15.1 26.7 4.8 9.0 6.9
2022 50.7 20.3 26.9 2.2 41.9 38.3 19.8 2.6 40.1 17.6 25.6 5.3 8.8 6.6
Player 58.3 14.6 23.1 4.0 37.1 40.8 21.9 4.3 45.3 15.0 24.5 4.0 5.9 4.3
MLB 44.8 23.2 24.9 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.9 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.8 6.8 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 4-Seamer TEX L 75 87.9 21.6 -3.2 -17 3.5 -1.9 -35
2022 Cutter TEX L 178 85.2 30.0 0.8 3 1.3 -2.5 -65
2022 Changeup TEX L 306 79.2 38.7 3.5 10 14.3 0.9 7
2022 Sinker TEX L 512 87.2 30.1 3.8 15 15.4 1.3 9
2022 Slider TEX L 93 77.0 45.3 -0.6 -1 9.8 -1.4 -12
2021 Slider CWS L 192 77.8 44.5 -0.7 -2 6.8 -2.8 -30
2021 Sinker CWS L 1,033 87.8 30.1 4.2 16 14.7 0.4 3
2021 Changeup CWS L 779 79.6 37.9 3.7 11 14.7 1.4 11
2021 Cutter CWS L 664 85.1 29.6 0.7 2 1.7 -1.4 -45
2021 4-Seamer CWS L 58 89.0 19.7 -2.5 -15 5.2 -1.5 -22
2020 Sinker CWS L 310 87.2 29.1 3.5 14 12.5 -1.0 -7
2020 Cutter CWS L 297 84.8 29.9 0.6 2 2.6 -0.7 -21
2020 4-Seamer CWS L 22 88.3 21.5 -3.6 -20 2.7 -3.5 -57
2020 Slider CWS L 63 75.8 48.3 -0.2 0 7.9 -3.0 -27
2020 Changeup CWS L 268 78.6 37.7 3.5 10 14.4 1.6 13
2019 4-Seamer ATL L 96 89.4 21.8 -3.9 -22 2.9 -3.5 -55
2019 Cutter ATL L 370 86.1 30.0 -0.4 -1 2.4 0.0 1
2019 Sinker ATL L 914 88.3 30.6 5.0 19 12.8 -1.5 -10
2019 Slider ATL L 213 78.4 46.5 1.4 3 8.1 -1.0 -11
2019 Changeup ATL L 271 79.7 39.6 5.1 15 13.4 -0.2 -1
2018 Sinker HOU L 1,360 89.1 26.7 2.5 10 10.8 -3.0 -22
2018 Slider HOU L 608 78.7 48.6 3.4 8 10.2 2.3 29
2018 Changeup HOU L 425 79.6 35.6 1.8 5 13.7 1.3 10
2018 Cutter HOU L 512 86.4 30.2 -0.6 -2 3.6 0.9 32
2018 4-Seamer HOU L 404 89.7 20.9 -3.5 -20 1.1 -7.2 -117
2017 Sinker HOU L 1,158 88.7 26.1 3.0 13 9.6 -4.1 -30
2017 Changeup HOU L 283 78.7 34.9 2.8 9 11.0 -0.7 -6
2017 4-Seamer HOU L 119 88.8 21.2 -4.3 -26 0.6 -6.6 -92
2017 Slider HOU L 411 78.5 47.9 3.6 8 14.1 6.1 77
2017 Cutter HOU L 217 86.7 28.8 -1.2 -4 4.7 2.6 123
2016 Slider HOU L 694 78.5 52.2 7.6 17 10.1 2.5 33
2016 Sinker HOU L 1,165 89.1 25.9 4.3 20 14.1 1.0 7
2016 Changeup HOU L 246 80.0 33.5 2.0 6 15.9 4.1 35
2016 4-Seamer HOU L 252 88.8 22.6 -6.0 -37 4.1 -2.2 -35
2016 Cutter HOU L 287 85.8 31.0 -3.1 -11 1.7 -1.4 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Sinker 1.2 6 513 44.0 124 .308 .510 .423 15.6 13.7 17.5 .283 .428 .362 44.9
2022 Changeup 1.7 5 306 26.3 93 .299 .356 .327 29.8 15.1 13.3 .271 .347 .292 28.4
2022 Cutter 8.8 16 178 15.3 48 .455 1.000 .616 22.5 14.6 14.9 .322 .676 .448 48.6
2022 Slider 3.9 4 93 8.0 23 .429 .476 .428 29.3 26.1 17.6 .237 .289 .271 6.7
2022 4-Seamer 7.0 5 75 6.4 13 .538 1.231 .735 13.8 7.7 5.9 .431 1.035 .616 75.0
2021 Sinker 0.7 7 1,033 37.9 265 .298 .480 .397 13.2 9.8 11.7 .303 .474 .389 44.7
2021 Changeup 0.1 1 779 28.6 222 .244 .378 .297 29.8 14.9 15.2 .289 .460 .345 30.1
2021 Cutter 1.4 10 664 24.4 184 .329 .518 .386 17.4 13.6 15.7 .314 .508 .373 39.7
2021 Slider 2.6 5 192 7.0 32 .344 .688 .463 42.9 34.4 19.3 .320 .643 .406 61.9
2021 4-Seamer 0.2 0 58 2.1 16 .250 .688 .384 3.2 0.0 0.0 .314 .734 .430 56.3
2020 Sinker 0.0 0 310 32.3 94 .284 .375 .314 14.5 18.1 22.7 .283 .373 .311 39.4
2020 Cutter -3.5 -10 297 30.9 77 .203 .246 .256 21.4 10.4 13.1 .327 .517 .393 35.5
2020 Changeup -1.9 -5 268 27.9 67 .159 .190 .223 33.9 16.4 16.7 .215 .252 .230 13.2
2020 Slider -1.3 -1 63 6.6 13 .154 .385 .223 40.9 38.5 31.3 .253 .451 .298 37.5
2020 4-Seamer 1.0 0 22 2.3 6 .200 .200 .267 11.1 16.7 6.7 .327 .654 .461 50.0
2019 Sinker -1.3 -12 914 49.0 264 .270 .418 .343 14.4 15.2 19.0 .264 .411 .327 43.9
2019 Cutter -0.1 0 370 19.8 78 .290 .565 .397 16.3 7.7 9.0 .273 .514 .366 31.3
2019 Changeup -1.5 -4 271 14.5 65 .213 .279 .263 32.7 27.7 20.5 .231 .334 .272 23.3
2019 Slider 2.8 6 213 11.4 44 .237 .421 .338 40.2 40.9 25.4 .217 .424 .324 40.0
2019 4-Seamer 0.6 1 96 5.2 35 .310 .483 .375 17.2 25.7 15.5 .321 .490 .379 39.1
2018 Sinker -0.1 -2 1,360 41.1 372 .289 .368 .345 10.7 9.4 12.4 .270 .379 .330 39.2
2018 Slider 0.6 4 608 18.4 108 .260 .471 .311 34.3 42.6 21.5 .180 .310 .215 31.7
2018 Cutter -1.1 -5 512 15.5 117 .231 .398 .307 21.7 17.1 19.0 .235 .356 .279 25.6
2018 Changeup -0.1 -1 425 12.8 150 .232 .387 .287 32.5 22.7 19.7 .224 .322 .254 27.7
2018 4-Seamer -1.1 -4 404 12.2 127 .261 .395 .315 11.9 14.2 12.9 .276 .417 .315 28.2
2017 Sinker -1.7 -20 1,158 52.8 314 .216 .324 .309 16.5 14.3 18.9 .239 .335 .299 30.9
2017 Slider -1.1 -4 411 18.7 96 .167 .311 .236 44.4 45.8 28.8 .179 .286 .228 41.3
2017 Changeup -0.7 -2 283 12.9 87 .210 .222 .225 44.4 25.3 23.9 .235 .308 .262 18.3
2017 Cutter 0.9 2 217 9.9 46 .341 .568 .411 21.6 13.0 16.2 .291 .523 .356 42.1
2017 4-Seamer 2.6 3 119 5.4 36 .250 .500 .367 21.7 22.2 21.1 .267 .513 .325 53.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 245 78.6 90 15.9 10:30 9:30 60
2020 Cutter 291 84.8 39 7.8 12:00 12:45 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 18 88.5 72 13.3 11:15 11:30 -15
2020 Sinker 264 87.2 75 14.4 11:00 9:45 75
2020 Slider 57 75.8 30 9.7 4:30 3:30 60
2021 Changeup 756 79.6 90 16.0 10:15 9:30 45
2021 Cutter 660 85.1 39 7.4 11:45 12:30 -45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 58 89.0 79 14.9 11:00 11:15 -15
2021 Sinker 999 87.8 82 15.9 10:45 9:30 75
2021 Slider 192 77.8 27 7.9 4:00 3:15 45
2022 Changeup 290 79.2 91 15.5 10:15 9:30 45
2022 Cutter 178 85.2 43 7.0 11:45 12:30 -45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 72 88.0 73 13.3 11:00 11:30 -30
2022 Sinker 491 87.2 83 16.8 10:45 9:30 75
2022 Slider 89 76.9 34 11.0 4:30 3:15 75
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2012 375 1,384 -3 3 9 7 15
2013 679 2,495 10 -5 10 9 24
2014 805 3,011 -15 -22 12 10 -16
2015 966 3,718 -5 -43 3 8 -38
2016 700 2,665 7 -11 7 7 10
2017 693 2,650 -1 -44 11 12 -23
2018 915 3,471 -11 -24 16 10 -10
2019 520 2,005 -11 -22 15 9 -9
2020 274 1,022 -14 -7 4 4 -13
2021 719 2,726 -5 -14 27 14 23
2022 301 1,165 15 6 11 5 36
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3,492 40.6 61.7 87.3 32.7 57.1 41.9 61.3 44.5 25.0 5.1 70.1
2016 2,670 45.0 61.1 85.6 30.2 60.9 45.3 63.3 44.1 22.9 5.9 70.7
2017 2,194 40.0 67.2 82.7 30.6 58.0 46.6 60.5 45.3 26.9 3.4 76.0
2018 3,310 44.5 65.6 87.6 29.1 66.0 46.0 60.1 45.3 19.7 5.3 65.5
2019 1,864 39.8 65.9 86.9 32.4 63.4 45.9 55.9 45.7 20.7 4.1 76.6
2020 960 41.8 68.3 82.8 28.4 64.2 45.8 54.9 45.1 23.8 5.1 81.6
2021 2,726 42.1 66.2 86.6 28.2 64.6 43.8 59.4 44.2 21.0 4.1 75.2
2022 1,165 39.2 67.4 87.7 30.6 61.8 42.6 58.4 45.1 22.3 5.1 67.8
Player 18,381 42.0 64.7 86.2 30.4 61.6 44.6 59.9 44.8 22.7 4.8 71.5
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.2 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 87 74 87 91 88 29 86 95 88 72 78 68 82 14 20 40
2016 56 38 54 64 59 10 28 55 29 47 67 48 66 7 20 45
2017 77 67 82 85 73 31 67 89 54 48 55 69 78 7 14 63
2018 67 39 69 85 65 18 85 77 71 17 78 13 63 6 19 45
2019 30 27 42 57 28 34 52 45 33 19 53 15 82 3 9 30
2020 49 15 53 81 42 33 85 77 84 11 75 30 56 2 22 28
2021 4 1 6 23 4 1 29 60 38 2 51 15 53 2 16 26
2022 4 1 7 20 2 41 24 41 37 5 17 24 62 2 8 18
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.5 20 16.5 4 8 17 5 25.0
2017 21.9 17 16.4 1 4 18 4 23.5
2018 23.2 19 17.6 1 9 13 9 47.4
2019 23.0 19 20.8 -2 3 11 12 63.2
2020 21.9 4 4.9 -1 3 4 2 50.0
2021 23.3 25 28.2 -3 12 20 12 48.0
2022 24.7 11 10.9 0 3 13 1 9.1
Player 23.0 115 115.3 0 42 96 45 39.1

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 20 18 14 15 16 11 19 18 10 11 16 18 21 15 16 21 11 12 16 17 18 10 23 23 19 17 13 26 22 16 13
2017 17 17 11 18 20 15 20 16 9 12 15 14 19 16 15 20 13 14 21 15 19 15 21 21 18 13 15 21 23 17 9
2018 19 22 10 15 21 19 21 13 18 12 18 23 17 14 17 19 13 17 17 21 18 20 23 18 12 14 18 21 20 22 16
2019 19 23 20 21 23 22 23 22 21 16 20 21 21 22 21 20 19 19 20 23 21 20 23 21 18 20 20 22 22 23 18
2020 4 6 5 6 4 6 5 5 3 4 3 4 6 4 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 5 7 5 4 4 4 5 6 4 4
2021 25 31 24 26 30 27 33 28 18 19 25 30 29 26 29 32 30 28 31 30 28 31 33 31 27 24 31 31 29 25 29
2022 11 8 8 8 10 11 13 7 6 9 9 10 14 12 11 13 12 11 11 10 13 11 16 13 9 11 10 13 13 12 12
Player 115 125 92 109 124 111 134 109 85 83 106 120 127 109 115 130 103 107 121 120 123 112 146 132 107 103 111 139 135 119 101
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.6 88.5 -1.1 ↓ 88.4 -0.1 ↓ 88.6 0.2 ↑ 87.8 -0.8 ↓ 86.1 -1.7 ↓ 86.8 0.7 ↑ 86.8 0.0
Offspeed Velocity 79.6 80.0 0.4 ↑ 78.7 -1.3 ↓ 79.6 0.9 ↑ 79.7 0.1 ↑ 78.6 -1.1 ↓ 79.6 1.0 ↑ 79.2 -0.4 ↓
Breaking Velocity 79.8 78.5 -1.3 ↓ 78.5 0.0 78.7 0.2 ↑ 78.4 -0.3 ↓ 75.8 -2.6 ↓ 77.8 2.0 ↑ 77.0 -0.8 ↓
Exit Velocity 85.7 88.4 2.7 ↑ 85.5 -2.9 ↓ 87.3 1.8 ↑ 88.8 1.5 ↑ 86.8 -2.0 ↓ 88.3 1.5 ↑ 88.8 0.5 ↑
Launch Angle 1.1 3.8 2.7 ↑ -0.6 -4.4 ↓ 4.5 5.1 ↑ 2.9 -1.6 ↓ 5.6 2.7 ↑ 5.0 -0.6 ↓ 5.5 0.5 ↑
Barrel % 3.3 6.9 3.6 ↑ 5.1 -1.8 ↓ 4.5 -0.6 ↓ 6.9 2.4 ↑ 4.0 -2.9 ↓ 9.0 5.0 ↑ 8.8 -0.2 ↓
Hard Hit % 28.0 36.9 8.9 ↑ 32.8 -4.1 ↓ 33.0 0.2 ↑ 38.5 5.5 ↑ 31.3 -7.2 ↓ 39.8 8.5 ↑ 39.2 -0.6 ↓
Sweet Spot % 25.2 29.6 4.4 ↑ 23.7 -5.9 ↓ 29.0 5.3 ↑ 26.1 -2.9 ↓ 34.3 8.2 ↑ 34.4 0.1 ↑ 39.6 5.2 ↑
xBA .224 .255 0.031 ↑ .234 -0.021 ↓ .247 0.013 ↑ .261 0.014 ↑ .278 0.017 ↑ .302 0.024 ↑ .289 -0.013 ↓
BA