Dallas Keuchel
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 36
Draft: 2009 | Rd: 7, #221, Houston Astros | U Arkansas Fayetteville
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 9 9.20 14 14 0 60.2 45 2.06
2023 2 1 5.97 10 6 0 37.2 25 1.67
2024 0 0 5.40 4 4 0 16.2 11 1.86
13 Seasons 103 92 4.04 282 267 0 1,642.1 1,254 1.33
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 14 2-9 9.20 60.2 45 2.06
2023 10 2-1 5.97 37.2 25 1.67
2024 4 0-0 5.40 16.2 11 1.86
13 Seasons 282 103-92 4.04 1,642.1 1,254 1.33
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 27 3492 642 21 3.3 2.3 85.7 113.6 1.1 25.2 .224 .318 .254 .264 .319 28.0 23.7 5.6 2.48 2.85
2016 28 2670 507 35 6.9 5.0 88.4 111.3 3.8 29.6 .255 .395 .317 .306 .357 36.9 20.5 6.8 4.55 3.93
2017 29 2194 409 21 5.1 3.6 85.5 114.6 -0.6 23.7 .234 .349 .273 .287 .326 32.8 21.4 8.1 2.90 3.50
2018 30 3310 661 30 4.5 3.4 87.3 116.4 4.5 29.0 .246 .362 .305 .293 .325 33.0 17.5 6.6 3.74 3.60
2019 31 1864 348 24 6.9 4.9 88.8 111.0 2.9 26.1 .260 .422 .327 .328 .365 38.5 18.7 8.0 3.75 4.79
2020 32 960 198 8 4.0 3.1 86.8 114.9 5.6 34.3 .277 .393 .249 .317 .352 31.3 16.3 6.6 1.99 4.27
2021 33 2726 558 50 9.0 6.9 88.3 115.6 5.0 34.4 .302 .493 .356 .372 .397 39.8 13.2 8.2 5.28 6.15
2022 34 1165 227 20 8.8 6.6 88.8 113.7 5.5 39.6 .289 .460 .419 .356 .385 39.2 14.9 10.2 9.20 5.45
2023 35 658 127 9 7.1 5.2 86.0 113.5 4.4 31.5 .290 .451 .363 .358 .375 34.6 14.5 10.5 5.97 5.59
2024 36 308 60 3 5.0 3.8 88.3 109.2 10.3 30.0 .285 .433 .399 .345 .363 35.0 13.9 10.1 5.40 5.11
Player 19347 3737 221 5.9 4.3 87.3 116.4 3.4 29.4 .257 .393 .311 .312 .350 34.5 18.6 7.4
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Keuchel relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(56.8%) ,
Changeup
(27.6%) ,
Cutter
(14.6%) ,
Slider
(1.0%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.
+ Similar Pitchers to Dallas Keuchel Based on Velocity and Movement:


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 62.1 9.8 23.8 4.2 30.7 42.2 26.5 3.9 50.6 13.9 24.3 2.6 3.3 2.3
2016 57.8 16.8 21.5 3.9 37.1 42.8 20.1 3.7 44.2 14.6 24.9 4.5 6.9 5.0
2017 68.0 11.2 18.1 2.7 32.5 47.2 19.6 6.8 49.4 11.5 22.0 2.9 5.1 3.6
2018 54.9 15.6 25.4 4.1 37.8 36.9 24.5 3.5 45.2 18.9 23.3 4.2 4.5 3.4
2019 60.1 13.5 21.0 5.5 41.7 38.8 19.5 2.6 49.7 11.8 23.6 3.7 6.9 4.9
2020 53.5 12.6 28.3 5.6 35.9 40.9 23.2 7.6 38.9 16.2 27.3 5.6 4.0 3.1
2021 54.8 18.8 22.4 3.9 42.1 39.6 18.3 5.2 39.1 15.1 26.7 4.8 9.0 6.9
2022 50.7 20.3 26.9 2.2 41.9 38.3 19.8 2.6 40.1 17.6 25.6 5.3 8.8 6.6
2023 53.5 18.9 25.2 2.4 45.7 33.9 20.5 5.5 40.2 15.0 25.2 7.1 7.1 5.2
2024 53.3 21.7 18.3 6.7 36.7 41.7 21.7 3.3 40.0 20.0 23.3 5.0 5.0 3.8
Player 58.0 14.9 23.1 4.0 37.3 40.6 21.8 4.4 45.1 15.1 24.5 4.1 5.9 4.3
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Slider MIL L 3 78.6 43.5 -0.4 5.3GLV -3.4 0.3 1.2 5.3GLV 0.2
2024 Cutter MIL L 45 84.6 31.5 -0.4 2.8GLV -2.0 6.3 -0.9 2.8GLV 0.7
2024 Sinker MIL L 175 88.1 29.3 2.3 14.0ARM -0.1 5.6 2.5 14.0ARM -1.2
2024 Changeup MIL L 85 81.1 36.6 2.9 12.8ARM -0.1 4.5 1.4 12.8ARM -1.3
2023 Sinker MIN L 228 87.4 30.3 2.9 15.3ARM 1.5 5.4 2.9 15.3ARM 0.2
2023 Changeup MIN L 178 80.3 38.6 4.5 14.2ARM 1.3 3.7 2.6 14.2ARM 0.2
2023 Slider MIN L 85 78.3 43.2 -0.7 8.2GLV -3.7 1.2 0.6 8.2GLV 3.0
2023 Cutter MIN L 167 84.8 30.2 1.1 1.4GLV -2.2 7.6 0.7 1.4GLV -0.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Sinker -2.3 -4 175 56.8 51 .422 .667 .491 15.2 9.8 16.7 .345 .499 .392 43.9
2024 Changeup 1.3 1 85 27.6 19 .059 .059 .121 35.3 26.3 22.7 .152 .169 .201 16.7
2024 Cutter -1.9 -1 45 14.6 9 .375 .875 .606 8.3 11.1 16.7 .225 .655 .409 14.3
2024 Slider 1.5 0 3 1.0 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2023 Sinker 0.8 2 228 34.7 64 .245 .367 .366 8.4 9.4 12.2 .312 .423 .406 39.5
2023 Changeup -1.9 -3 178 27.1 58 .327 .473 .368 19.6 8.6 7.8 .315 .468 .340 25.5
2023 Cutter -3.7 -6 167 25.4 31 .379 .690 .469 24.6 25.8 25.0 .282 .599 .388 47.6
2023 Slider -0.1 0 85 12.9 19 .222 .278 .245 44.1 31.6 16.7 .168 .237 .201 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 84 81.1 87 13.7 10:15 9:30 45
2024 Cutter 45 84.6 31 6.2 11:45 1:00 -75
2024 Sinker 174 88.1 80 15.3 10:45 9:30 75
2023 Changeup 171 80.3 90 15.2 10:15 9:15 60
2023 Cutter 167 84.8 38 6.8 11:30 12:30 -60
2023 Sinker 225 87.4 85 16.5 10:30 9:30 60
2023 Slider 85 78.3 30 9.2 4:30 3:00 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2012 375 1,384 4 -3 -9 -7 -15
2013 679 2,495 -10 5 -10 -9 -23
2014 805 3,011 15 22 -11 -10 16
2015 966 3,718 5 43 -3 -8 38
2016 700 2,665 -7 12 -7 -7 -10
2017 693 2,650 1 44 -11 -12 23
2018 915 3,471 11 25 -16 -10 10
2019 520 2,005 11 22 -15 -9 9
2020 274 1,022 14 7 -4 -4 13
2021 719 2,726 5 14 -27 -14 -22
2022 301 1,165 -15 -6 -11 -5 -36
2023 172 658 -2 2 -3 -4 -8
2024 79 308 -1 1 -3 -1 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3,492 40.6 61.7 87.3 32.7 57.1 41.9 61.3 44.5 25.2 5.1 70.1
2016 2,670 45.0 61.1 85.6 30.2 60.9 45.3 63.3 44.1 23.2 5.9 70.7
2017 2,194 40.0 67.2 82.7 30.6 58.0 46.6 60.5 45.3 27.1 3.4 76.0
2018 3,310 44.5 65.6 87.6 29.1 66.0 46.0 60.1 45.3 19.8 5.3 65.5
2019 1,864 39.8 65.9 86.9 32.4 63.4 45.9 55.9 45.7 21.4 4.1 76.6
2020 960 41.8 68.3 82.8 28.4 64.2 45.8 54.9 45.1 23.8 5.1 81.6
2021 2,726 42.1 66.2 86.6 28.2 64.6 43.8 59.4 44.2 21.1 4.1 75.2
2022 1,165 39.2 67.4 87.7 30.6 61.8 42.6 58.4 45.1 22.5 5.1 67.8
2023 658 40.7 61.2 89.6 29.7 64.7 45.9 63.4 42.6 20.4 4.3 78.6
2024 308 39.3 62.8 89.5 19.8 59.5 42.9 55.7 36.7 20.4 3.6 63.6
Player 19,347 41.9 64.6 86.3 30.2 61.7 44.6 60.0 44.6 22.8 4.8 71.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 87 74 88 91 88 29 86 95 88 72 78 70 82 14 21 40
2016 56 38 54 64 59 10 28 55 29 47 67 49 66 8 21 46
2017 76 67 82 85 73 31 67 89 54 48 55 70 78 6 13 63
2018 67 41 69 85 65 18 85 76 71 17 78 12 63 8 17 48
2019 31 29 42 57 30 34 52 45 33 19 53 18 81 3 7 31
2020 49 15 53 81 42 33 85 77 84 11 75 30 56 2 14 28
2021 4 1 6 23 4 1 29 60 38 2 51 15 53 2 8 26
2022 4 1 7 20 2 41 24 41 37 5 17 25 62 1 5 18
2023 1 4 12
2024 1 9 5
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.5 20 15.3 5 9 15 5 25.0
2017 21.9 17 16.1 1 4 18 4 23.5
2018 23.2 19 17.3 2 7 13 9 47.4
2019 23.0 19 18.9 0 5 11 10 52.6
2020 21.9 4 4.8 -1 3 4 2 50.0
2021 23.3 25 27.1 -2 13 20 11 44.0
2022 24.7 11 10.0 1 4 12 1 9.1
2023 23.1 3 3.3 0 3 1 2 66.7
2024 21.6 3 1.6 1 2 1 1 33.3
Player 23.0 121 114.4 7 50 95 45 37.2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2016 20 17 13 13 14 10 18 18 9 9 14 17 20 14 15 19 9 12 15 16 17 10 21 22 18 16 12 25 21 14 11
2017 17 17 11 18 18 15 20 16 9 12 14 14 19 16 15 19 12 14 21 15 18 15 20 20 18 13 15 21 23 17 9
2018 19 21 10 15 20 19 21 13 18 11 17 23 17 14 17 19 13 17 17 21 17 19 21 17 12 14 17 21 20 22 16
2019 19 21 17 19 21 20 21 19 20 14 18 19 19 20 19 18 17 18 18 21 19 19 21 19 15 19 18 20 20 22 17
2020 4 6 5 5 4 6 5 5 3 4 3 4 6 4 6 5 5 6 5 3 6 5 7 5 4 4 4 5 6 4 4
2021 25 30 23 22 29 26 33 26 17 18 24 29 28 25 28 31 29 27 30 29 27 30 32 30 26 23 30 30 28 24 28
2022 11 7 8 7 8 10 12 7 5 8 8 9 13 11 10 12 11 10 10 9 12 11 15 12 8 10 9 12 12 11 12
2023 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 2 4 2 3 3 2 2 4 3 3 3 4 5 3 4 6 4 2 2 5 4 4 3 3
2024 3 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1