Connor Overton
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 0" 205LBS | Age: 30
Draft: 2014 | Rd: 15, #437, Miami Marlins | Old Dominion
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 1 4.70 9 3 0 15.1 15 1.24
2022 1 0 2.73 6 4 0 33 14 0.97
2023 0 1 11.45 3 3 0 11 9 2.36
3 Seasons 1 2 4.85 18 10 0 59.1 38 1.30
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 9 0-1 4.70 15.1 15 1.24
2022 6 1-0 2.73 33 14 0.97
2023 3 0-1 11.45 11 9 2.36
3 Seasons 18 1-2 4.85 59.1 38 1.30
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 27 274 43 1 2.3 1.6 88.5 106.2 15.8 41.9 .251 .411 .303 .312 .377 39.5 23.8 7.9 4.70 4.12
2022 28 469 99 3 3.0 2.4 90.2 115.5 16.2 26.3 .235 .340 .230 .288 .284 41.4 11.3 8.9 2.73 3.41
2023 29 200 39 6 15.4 10.9 90.3 106.8 12.9 43.6 .290 .530 .506 .384 .417 35.9 16.4 12.7 11.46 6.61
Player 943 181 10 5.5 4.1 89.8 115.5 15.4 33.7 .251 .400 .312 .316 .334 39.8 15.7 9.5
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Overton relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(27.5%) ,
Changeup
(23.5%) ,
Slider
(18.0%) ,
Sinker
(13.5%) ,
Cutter
(12.5%) ,
Sweeper
(5.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 34.9 25.6 32.6 7.0 44.2 27.9 27.9 2.3 23.3 27.9 30.2 14.0 2.3 1.6
2022 42.4 23.2 22.2 12.1 37.4 38.4 24.2 1.0 31.3 33.3 26.3 5.1 3.0 2.4
2023 43.6 28.2 20.5 7.7 51.3 30.8 17.9 2.6 25.6 28.2 25.6 2.6 15.4 10.9
Player 40.9 24.9 24.3 9.9 42.0 34.3 23.8 1.7 28.2 30.9 27.1 6.6 5.5 4.1
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.9 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Sinker CIN R 27 90.6 26.0 1.7 7 17.4 2.7 18
2023 Changeup CIN R 47 84.5 33.0 1.5 5 17.2 3.2 23
2023 Cutter CIN R 25 88.7 22.2 5.2 19 2.8 -5.6 -200
2023 Slider CIN R 36 81.7 42.2 1.7 4 1.2 -6.9 -86
2023 Sweeper CIN R 10 80.7 44.4 2.5 6 13.5 -1.3 -9
2023 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 55 91.1 19.9 -3.1 -18 12.1 5.5 84
2022 Changeup CIN R 87 84.9 31.5 0.6 2 15.8 1.8 13
2022 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 124 91.1 17.9 -1.6 -10 10.4 3.7 55
2022 Slider CIN R 93 81.9 40.4 0.0 0 1.8 -5.8 -76
2022 Sweeper CIN R 52 79.6 43.3 0.5 1 11.6 -4.0 -26
2022 Curveball CIN R 7 78.8 56.7 2.5 5 7.7 -1.0 -11
2022 Cutter CIN R 4 89.2 20.7 5.5 21 3.1 -5.5 -231
2022 Sinker CIN R 102 90.7 23.6 0.0 0 17.2 2.6 18
2021 Slider PIT R 52 83.0 37.7 -1.2 -3 1.3 -4.3 -77
2021 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 106 92.3 15.0 0.3 2 10.1 3.4 50
2021 Sweeper PIT R 1 80.8 48.4 6.3 15 8.2 -7.0 -46
2021 Sinker PIT R 34 91.0 21.5 -0.7 -3 14.9 0.6 4
2021 Curveball PIT R 11 78.4 60.3 5.5 10 10.0 2.5 34
2021 Cutter PIT R 4 89.8 19.6 6.1 24 0.7 -3.3 -126
2021 Changeup PIT R 66 84.9 29.2 -0.3 -1 16.5 3.0 22
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.9 -1 55 27.5 14 .308 .615 .411 24.0 21.4 21.4 .269 .514 .353 20.0
2023 Changeup -3.9 -2 47 23.5 17 .308 .692 .441 28.0 11.8 18.2 .304 .631 .426 33.3
2023 Slider 0.8 0 36 18.0 9 .333 .333 .300 52.6 44.4 30.8 .209 .244 .198 40.0
2023 Sinker -3.0 -1 27 13.5 4 .667 .667 .625 10.0 0.0 0.0 .378 .404 .437 66.7
2023 Cutter -6.5 -2 25 12.5 6 .500 1.250 .708 0.0 0.0 -- .201 .261 .361 50.0
2023 Sweeper -41.5 -4 10 5.0 5 .800 1.800 1.080 16.7 0.0 0.0 .468 1.119 .654 40.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1.3 2 124 26.4 31 .167 .208 .285 9.8 9.7 11.1 .229 .314 .340 52.4
2022 Sinker 2.3 2 102 21.7 36 .258 .290 .288 6.4 11.1 17.4 .329 .480 .385 64.3
2022 Slider 3.8 4 93 19.8 24 .083 .083 .075 31.3 16.7 12.5 .169 .295 .199 25.0
2022 Changeup 0.6 1 87 18.6 24 .167 .333 .210 15.9 8.3 10.5 .161 .221 .165 18.2
2022 Sweeper -0.5 0 52 11.1 8 .375 .375 .338 17.6 12.5 9.1 .303 .374 .295 28.6
2022 Curveball -1.1 0 7 1.5 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .303 .321 .280 100.0
2022 Cutter -2.4 0 4 0.9 -- -- -- 100.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1.4 2 106 38.7 26 .182 .273 .246 16.1 26.9 16.7 .208 .306 .272 37.5
2021 Changeup 0.8 1 66 24.1 16 .214 .286 .278 38.2 31.3 17.2 .241 .269 .281 22.2
2021 Slider 1.1 1 52 19.0 14 .308 .308 .257 33.3 14.3 12.5 .276 .441 .308 50.0
2021 Sinker -3.7 -1 34 12.4 5 .400 1.000 .580 14.3 20.0 33.3 .288 .518 .338 50.0
2021 Curveball 2.0 0 11 4.0 1 .000 .000 .000 25.0 0.0 0.0 .097 .194 .121 0.0
2021 Cutter -25.9 -1 4 1.5 1 1.000 4.000 2.000 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.000 4.000 2.000 100.0
2021 Sweeper 4.8 0 1 0.4 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 47 84.5 99 18.8 2:15 2:30 -15
2023 Cutter 25 88.7 66 12.0 1:00 12:30 30
2023 4-Seam Fastball 55 91.1 96 17.6 1:45 1:30 15
2023 Sinker 27 90.6 95 19.3 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 Slider 36 81.7 20 3.8 8:00 6:45 75
2023 Sweeper 10 80.7 40 15.3 8:00 8:30 -30
2022 Changeup 84 84.9 96 17.4 2:00 2:30 -30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 123 91.1 93 18.1 1:30 1:15 15
2022 Sinker 93 90.7 91 19.6 1:30 2:15 -45
2022 Slider 85 81.9 17 3.2 8:15 7:45 30
2022 Sweeper 52 79.6 43 12.9 7:30 8:45 -75
2021 Changeup 66 84.9 98 18.9 2:00 2:15 -15
2021 Curveball 11 78.4 93 21.2 7:00 7:00 0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 106 92.3 97 19.7 1:15 1:00 15
2021 Sinker 34 91.0 96 18.8 1:15 2:00 -45
2021 Slider 52 83.0 12 2.8 11:30 9:30 120
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 63 274 5 -3 -2 0 1
2022 124 469 5 6 -3 -1 7
2023 55 200 -3 -3 -1 -1 -9
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 274 48.2 70.5 84.9 33.8 54.2 42.3 66.7 51.5 24.8 6.6 88.9
2022 469 53.9 63.6 86.3 22.2 72.9 44.1 62.9 44.6 16.3 7.0 69.7
2023 200 49.0 65.3 87.5 29.4 43.3 39.0 58.2 47.0 26.6 6.0 75.0
Player 943 51.2 65.8 86.2 27.4 58.7 42.5 62.8 47.1 21.2 6.7 76.2
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 25 44 29
2022 11 35 34
2023 11 10 28
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 24.9 2 1.9 0 2 2 1 50.0
2022 25.5 1 0.8 0 0 2 0 0.0
2023 23.8 3 2.9 0 1 2 1 33.3
Player 24.4 6 5.6 0 3 6 2 33.3

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 2 2 4 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 5 2 2 4 3 3 1 1 2 3 2 1 2
2022 1 0 2 0 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 1
2023 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 4 3 2 4 3 4 2 3 3 3 3 3 2
Player 6 5 7 4 7 5 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 4 4 6 4 4 10 7 5 9 8 8 3 4 7 7 6 5 5
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.0 90.9 -1.1 90.4 -0.5
Offspeed Velocity 84.9 84.9 0.0 84.5 -0.4
Breaking Velocity 82.1 81.0 -1.1 81.5 0.5
Exit Velocity 88.5 90.2 1.7 90.3 0.1
Launch Angle 15.8 16.2 0.4 12.9 -3.3
Barrel % 2.3 3.0 0.7 15.4 12.4
Hard Hit % 39.5 41.4 1.9 35.9 -5.5
Sweet Spot % 41.9 26.3 -15.6 43.6 17.3
xBA .251 .235 -0.016 .290 0.055
BA .250 .188 -0.062 .404 0.216
xwOBA .312 .288 -0.024 .384 0.096
wOBA .303 .230 -0.073 .506 0.276
xSLG .411 .340 -0.071 .530 0.190
SLG .411 .241 -0.170 .766 0.525
K% 23.8 11.3 -12.5 16.4 5.1
BB% 7.9 8.9 1.0 12.7 3.8
Swing % 51.5 44.6 -6.9 47.0 2.4
Whiff% 24.8 16.3 -8.5 26.6 10.3
In Zone % 48.2 53.9 5.7 49.0 -4.9
Out of Zone % 51.8 46.1 -5.7 51.0 4.9
Out of Zone Swing % 33.8 22.2 -11.6 29.4 7.2
First Pitch Swing % 36.5 26.6 -9.9 27.3 0.7
First Pitch Strike % 66.7 62.9 -3.8 58.2 -4.7
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 63 .303 34 2 5.9 29 25 86.2
2022 Shifts 124 .230 63 16 25.4 61 54 88.5
2023 Shades 55 .506 29 1 3.4 26 22 84.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 77 19.5 2.6% 3.9% 39 21.6 0.0% 5.1%
2022 168 19.1 0.0% 0.6% 66 23.1 0.0% 7.6%
2023 53 14.9 52.8% 0.0% 35 17.1 5.7% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution