Connor Overton
P | B/T: L/R | 6' 0" 205LBS | Age: 29

Draft: 2014 | Rd: 15, #437, Miami Marlins | Old Dominion

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 0 2.73 6 4 0 33.0 14 0.97
2 Seasons 1 1 3.35 15 7 0 48.1 29 1.06
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 6 1-0 2.73 33.0 14 0.97
2 Seasons 15 1-1 3.35 48.1 29 1.06

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 27 274 43 1 2.3 1.6 88.5 106.2 15.8 41.9 .251 .411 .303 .312 .377 39.5 23.8 7.9 4.70 4.12
2022 28 469 99 3 3.0 2.4 90.2 115.5 16.2 26.3 .235 .341 .230 .288 .284 41.4 11.3 8.9 2.73 3.41
Player 743 142 4 2.8 2.1 89.7 115.5 16.1 31.0 .241 .364 .254 .296 .312 40.8 15.5 8.6
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Overton relies on 5 pitches.
Sinker
(27.7%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(21.3%) ,
Slider
(19.6%) ,
Changeup
(18.8%) ,
Curveball
(12.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 34.9 25.6 32.6 7.0 44.2 27.9 27.9 2.3 23.3 27.9 30.2 14.0 2.3 1.6
2022 42.4 23.2 22.2 12.1 37.4 38.4 24.2 1.0 31.3 33.3 26.3 5.1 3.0 2.4
Player 40.1 23.9 25.4 10.6 39.4 35.2 25.4 1.4 28.9 31.7 27.5 7.7 2.8 2.1
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Curveball CIN R 59 79.5 44.9 -8.2 -15 11.1 2.3 26
2022 Sinker CIN R 130 90.8 22.4 -1.2 -5 16.4 1.9 13
2022 4-Seamer CIN R 100 91.0 18.0 -1.7 -10 9.3 2.6 40
2022 Changeup CIN R 88 84.9 31.5 0.6 2 15.6 1.8 13
2022 Slider CIN R 92 81.9 40.5 0.1 0 1.9 -6.5 -77
2021 Slider PIT R 51 83.0 37.5 -1.3 -3 1.3 -4.4 -78
2021 Changeup PIT R 66 84.9 29.2 -0.3 -1 16.5 3.0 22
2021 Sinker PIT R 34 91.0 21.5 -0.7 -3 14.9 0.6 4
2021 Curveball PIT R 13 78.7 58.5 4.1 8 9.3 1.8 24
2021 Cutter PIT R 4 89.8 19.6 6.1 24 0.7 -3.3 -126
2021 4-Seamer PIT R 106 92.3 15.0 0.3 2 10.1 3.4 50
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Sinker -1.8 -2 130 27.7 44 .229 .257 .299 6.9 9.1 15.4 .305 .441 .389 59.4
2022 4-Seamer -1.4 -1 100 21.3 23 .200 .250 .263 12.2 13.0 12.0 .251 .349 .317 58.8
2022 Slider -3.8 -3 92 19.6 24 .083 .083 .075 31.3 16.7 12.5 .170 .296 .199 25.0
2022 Changeup -0.6 -1 88 18.8 24 .167 .333 .210 15.9 8.3 10.5 .161 .221 .165 18.2
2022 Curveball 0.6 0 59 12.6 9 .333 .333 .300 16.7 11.1 8.3 .303 .368 .294 37.5
2021 4-Seamer -1.4 -2 106 38.7 26 .182 .273 .246 16.1 26.9 16.7 .208 .306 .272 37.5
2021 Changeup -0.8 -1 66 24.1 16 .214 .286 .278 38.2 31.3 17.2 .241 .269 .281 22.2
2021 Slider -1.1 -1 51 18.6 14 .308 .308 .257 34.5 14.3 12.5 .276 .441 .308 50.0
2021 Sinker 3.7 1 34 12.4 5 .400 1.000 .580 14.3 20.0 33.3 .288 .518 .338 50.0
2021 Curveball -2.3 0 13 4.7 1 .000 .000 .000 20.0 0.0 0.0 .097 .194 .121 0.0
2021 Cutter 25.9 1 4 1.5 1 1.000 4.000 2.000 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.000 4.000 2.000 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 66 84.9 98 18.9 2:00 2:15 -15
2021 Curveball 13 78.7 86 19.5 7:00 7:00 0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 106 92.3 97 19.7 1:15 1:00 15
2021 Sinker 34 91.0 96 18.8 1:15 2:00 -45
2021 Slider 51 83.0 11 2.7 11:45 9:30 135
2022 Changeup 85 84.9 95 17.3 2:00 2:30 -30
2022 Curveball 59 79.5 49 13.4 7:30 8:30 -60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 100 91.0 92 17.4 1:15 1:15 0
2022 Sinker 120 90.8 92 19.7 1:30 2:00 -30
2022 Slider 84 81.8 17 3.2 8:15 7:45 30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 274 48.2 70.5 84.9 33.8 54.2 42.3 66.7 51.5 24.8 6.6 88.9
2022 469 53.9 63.6 86.3 22.2 72.9 44.1 62.9 44.6 16.3 7.0 69.7
Player 743 51.8 66.0 85.8 26.8 63.5 43.5 64.2 47.1 19.7 6.9 76.5
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 30 43 30
2022 17 32 38 35
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 24.9 2 1.6 0 3 1 1 50.0
2022 25.5 1 0.7 0 0 2 0 0.0
Player 25.2 3 2.3 1 3 3 1 33.3

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 1 4 1 3
2022 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 2
Player 3 2 3 2 1 3 2 1 2 5 1 2 1 1 1 3 4 3 2 2 3 1 1 3 2 3 4 1 5 1 5
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92 90.9 -1.1
Offspeed Velocity 84.9 84.9 0
Breaking Velocity 82.1 81 -1.1
Exit Velocity 88.5 90.2 1.7
Launch Angle 15.8 16.2 0.4
Barrel % 2.3 3 0.7
Hard Hit % 39.5 41.4 1.9
Sweet Spot % 41.9 26.3 -15.6
xBA .251 .235 -0.016
BA .25 .188 -0.062
xwOBA .312 .288 -0.024
wOBA .303 .23 -0.073
xSLG .411 .341 -0.07
SLG .411 .241 -0.17
K% 23.8 11.3 -12.5
BB% 7.9 8.9 1
Swing % 51.5 44.6 -6.9
Whiff% 24.8 16.3 -8.5
In Zone % 48.2 53.9 5.7
Out of Zone % 51.8 46.1 -5.7
Out of Zone Swing % 33.8 22.2 -11.6
First Pitch Swing % 36.5 26.6 -9.9
First Pitch Strike % 66.7 62.9 -3.8
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2021 63 .303 34 2 5.9 29 25 86.2
2022 124 .230 63 11 17.5 61 51 83.6

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 77 19.5 2.6% 3.9% 41 22.0 0.0% 9.8%
2022 169 19.1 0.0% 1.2% 66 23.1 0.0% 7.6%
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Pitch Distribution