P | Seattle Mariners
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 232 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2020 | Rd. 3, No. 80, San Diego Padres | Georgia
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 0 0 27.00 1 0 0 1 1 7.00
2026 0 0 3.57 18 0 0 22.2 22 1.54
2 Seasons 0 0 4.56 19 0 0 23.2 23 1.77
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 1 0-0 27.00 1 1 7.00
2026 18 0-0 3.57 22.2 22 1.54
2 Seasons 19 0-0 4.56 23.2 23 1.77
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 25 39 8 0 0.0 0.0 90.4 103.9 9.5 50.0 .358 .498 .498 .449 .414 62.5 8.3 25.0 27.00 9.74
2026 26 407 64 5 7.9 4.9 90.3 114.7 5.1 37.5 .287 .416 .303 .363 .404 40.6 21.4 14.6 3.57 5.76
Player 446 72 5 7.0 4.3 90.3 114.7 5.6 38.9 .294 .424 .324 .373 .406 43.1 20.0 15.7
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Wilcox relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(26.8%) ,
Sweeper
(24.8%) ,
Slider
(20.6%) ,
Sinker
(16.5%) ,
Changeup
(11.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 37.5 62.5 12.5 37.5 12.5 12.5 50.0 37.5 12.5 25.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 37.5
2026 45.3 54.7 18.8 34.4 1.6 35.9 39.1 25.0 20.3 23.4 1.6 15.6 15.6 23.4
Player 44.4 55.6 18.1 34.7 2.8 33.3 40.3 26.4 19.4 23.6 1.4 13.9 16.7 25.0
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 0.0 37.5 12.5 25.0 25.0 0.0 0.0
2026 1.6 32.8 21.9 34.4 0.0 7.9 4.9
Player 1.4 33.3 20.8 33.3 2.8 7.0 4.3
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slider SEA R 84 87.6 36.7 2.8 0.2ARM -4.1 -1.0 2.4 0.2ARM -3.9
2026 4-Seam Fastball SEA R 109 96.6 18.1 -4.4 13.6ARM 5.9 11.2 -4.5 13.6ARM 5.8
2026 Sweeper SEA R 101 86.4 41.6 4.7 10.1GLV -2.1 -4.9 5.9 10.1GLV -3.6
2026 Sinker SEA R 67 96.6 21.9 0.7 18.2ARM 2.7 7.6 0.0 18.2ARM 3.1
2026 Changeup SEA R 46 87.8 36.5 4.9 16.3ARM 2.1 -1.0 4.9 16.3ARM 2.0
2025 Sweeper TB R 6 87.0 41.0 4.5 10.1GLV -1.8 -5.0 5.9 10.1GLV -3.8
2025 Sinker TB R 14 97.0 23.2 1.7 16.7ARM 1.2 5.8 1.6 16.7ARM 1.6
2025 4-Seam Fastball TB R 9 95.9 20.8 -6.5 10.9ARM 3.0 8.6 -7.2 10.9ARM 3.3
2025 Slider TB R 10 87.0 38.1 3.7 0.7ARM -4.9 -2.4 4.2 0.7ARM -4.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 1.2 1 109 26.8 22 .125 .188 .289 31.8 22.7 16.7 .172 .231 .317 9.1
2026 Sweeper 0.2 0 101 24.8 28 .321 .321 .289 31.8 32.1 25.7 .314 .408 .314 57.9
2026 Slider -0.1 0 84 20.6 20 .235 .412 .368 41.7 25.0 15.6 .315 .637 .414 53.8
2026 Sinker -4.0 -3 67 16.5 20 .417 .500 .523 14.3 5.0 10.0 .371 .497 .506 36.4
2026 Changeup 5.6 3 46 11.3 12 .000 .000 .000 28.6 16.7 13.3 .259 .302 .245 30.0
2025 Sinker -10.7 -1 14 35.9 4 .667 .667 .850 0.0 0.0 0.0 .432 .509 .481 66.7
2025 Slider -8.0 -1 10 25.6 3 .333 .333 .600 0.0 0.0 0.0 .420 .446 .384 33.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball -5.3 0 9 23.1 2 -- -- .700 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
2025 Sweeper -7.6 0 6 15.4 3 .333 .667 .417 33.3 33.3 33.3 .223 .539 .312 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 45 87.8 94 17.5 2:45 3:15 -30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 109 96.6 95 17.7 1:45 1:45 0
2026 Sinker 67 96.6 96 20.2 2:00 2:15 -15
2026 Slider 84 87.6 19 3.1 6:45 6:00 45
2026 Sweeper 101 86.4 53 12.8 7:15 7:45 -30
2025 Sinker 14 97.0 94 18.2 2:00 2:30 -30
2025 Slider 10 87.0 20 4.3 6:30 5:45 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 12 39 -1 -1 -1 0 -3
2026 102 407 2 4 -3 -2 1
Player 114 446 1 3 -4 1 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 39 53.8 66.7 100.0 16.7 66.7 35.9 50.0 43.6 5.9 5.1 50.0
2026 407 47.7 63.4 78.9 32.4 50.7 41.5 61.8 47.2 31.3 10.8 65.9
Player 446 48.2 63.7 81.0 31.2 51.4 41.0 60.5 46.9 29.2 10.3 65.2
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025
2026 82 8 44
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2026 30.74 1 1.3 0 0 1 1 100.0
Player 30.74 1 1.3 0 0 1 1 100.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2026 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1
Player 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .235 -.209 .444
xBA .287 -.071 .358
OBP .359 -.224 .583
xOBP .404 -.115 .519
SLG .294 -.262 .556
xSLG .416 -.082 .498
ISO .059 -.052 .111
xISO .128 -.012 .140
BABIP .302 -.198 .500
wOBA .303 -.195 .498
xwOBA .363 -.086 .449
wOBAcon .307 -.180 .487
xwOBAcon .404 -.010 .414
BACON .313 -.187 .500
xBACON .384 -.019 .403
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 40.6 -21.9 62.5
Avg Exit Velocity 90.3 -0.1 90.4
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 37.5 -12.5 50.0
Barrel % 7.9 +7.9 0.0
Avg Launch Angle 5.1 -4.4 9.5
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.6 -0.2 71.8
Attack Angle 10° +6°
Ideal Attack Angle % 46.4 -3.6 50.0
Attack Direction -3° -7°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° +2° 30°
Swing Length 7.4 +0.2 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.6 0.0 96.6
Breaking Velocity 86.9 -0.1 87.0
Offspeed Velocity 87.8 -- --
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 5 +5 0
Popup % 1.6 -10.9 12.5
Flyball % 18.8 +6.3 12.5
Line Drive % 34.4 -3.1 37.5
Groundball % 45.3 +7.8 37.5
Pull % 35.9 +23.4 12.5
Straight Away % 39.1 -10.9 50.0
Opposite Field % 25.0 -12.5 37.5
Weak Contact % 1.6 +1.6 0.0
Pull Airball % 15.6 +15.6 0.0
Topped Contact % 32.8 -4.7 37.5
Under Contact % 21.9 +9.4 12.5
Flare/Burner Contact % 34.4 +9.4 25.0
Solid Contact % 0.0 -25.0 25.0
HR/FB % 8.3 +8.3 0.0
Popups 1 0 1
Flyballs 12 +11 1
Line Drives 22 +19 3
Groundballs 29 +26 3
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 47.7 -6.1 53.8
Out of Zone % 52.3 +6.1 46.2
Edge % 41.5 +5.6 35.9
Zone Swing % 63.4 -3.3 66.7
Out of Zone Swing % 32.4 +15.7 16.7
In Zone Contact % 78.9 -21.1 100.0
Out of Zone Contact % 50.7 -16.0 66.7
Whiff % 31.3 +25.4 5.9
First Strike % 61.8 +11.8 50.0
First Pitch Swing % 28.4 +3.4 25.0
Swing % 47.2 +3.6 43.6
Meatball Swing % 65.9 +15.9 50.0
Meatball % 10.8 +5.7 5.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 21.1 +21.1 0.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 49.3 +16.0 33.3
In Zone 194 +173 21
Out of Zone 213 +195 18
Edge 169 +155 14
In Zone Swings 123 +109 14
Out of Zone Swings 69 +66 3
In Zone Swing & Misses 26 +26 0
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 34 +33 1
Basic
Pitches 407 +368 39
PA 103 +91 12
AB 85 +76 9
Hits 20 +16 4
Singles 17 +14 3
Doubles 2 +1 1
Triples 0 0 0
Home Runs 1 +1 0
Walks 15 +12 3
Strikeouts 22 +21 1
K% 21.4 +13.1 8.3
BB% 14.6 -10.4 25.0
HBP 2 +2 0
Batted Balls 64 +56 8
Fastball Percent 43.2 -15.8 59.0
Offspeed Percent 11.3 +11.3 0.0
Breaking Percent 45.5 +4.5 41.0
Number of Fastballs 176 +153 23
Number of Offspeed 46 +46 0
Number of Breaking 185 +169 16
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 12 .498 8 0 0.0 4 1 25.0
2026 Shades 102 .303 47 2 4.3 55 21 38.2
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 0 -- -- -- 18 16.5 0.0% 0.0%
2026 82 14.8 57.3% 0.0% 77 16.6 9.1% 3.9%

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Pitch Distribution