P | Kansas City Royals
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 4" 190 lbs | Age: 28
Draft: 2016 | Rd. 1, No. 30, Texas Rangers | North Florida Christian HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 11 9 3.14 32 32 0 186.1 223 1.14
2025 3 3 4.67 13 13 0 61.2 98 1.18
2026 0 2 5.91 3 3 0 10.2 15 1.69
5 Seasons 21 22 3.72 86 69 0 394.2 476 1.20
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 32 11-9 3.14 186.1 223 1.14
2025 13 3-3 4.67 61.2 98 1.18
2026 3 0-2 5.91 10.2 15 1.69
5 Seasons 86 21-22 3.72 394.2 476 1.20
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 706 131 9 6.9 5.2 87.5 110.2 18.2 36.6 .274 .432 .346 .339 .367 32.8 15.5 9.2 4.95 4.77
2023 25 1586 236 15 6.4 3.8 87.8 113.6 10.6 31.8 .210 .333 .266 .283 .346 36.9 28.8 10.5 3.47 3.33
2024 26 3118 466 29 6.2 3.8 88.3 115.4 15.2 31.8 .213 .344 .277 .284 .358 35.4 29.3 8.8 3.14 3.25
2025 27 1079 137 13 9.5 5.1 88.4 117.2 16.6 32.1 .187 .321 .295 .256 .370 39.4 38.1 7.8 4.67 2.67
2026 28 179 23 4 17.4 9.8 87.8 110.2 18.0 39.1 .224 .404 .395 .319 .415 34.8 31.7 12.2 3.60 4.07
Player 6668 993 70 7.0 4.3 88.1 117.2 14.8 32.6 .215 .349 .288 .286 .359 36.0 29.2 9.2
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ragans relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(49.7%) ,
Slider
(19.0%) ,
Changeup
(15.6%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(10.6%) ,
Cutter
(5.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 37.4 62.6 19.8 29.0 13.7 44.3 26.0 29.8 19.8 10.7 6.9 24.4 15.3 22.9
2023 44.5 55.5 26.3 24.2 5.1 33.9 37.7 28.4 21.2 18.2 5.1 12.7 19.5 23.3
2024 41.4 58.6 27.3 23.6 7.7 38.0 34.3 27.7 20.0 16.3 5.2 18.0 18.0 22.5
2025 37.2 62.8 27.0 25.5 10.2 46.0 28.5 25.5 19.0 16.1 2.2 27.0 12.4 23.4
2026 34.8 65.2 39.1 26.1 0.0 39.1 39.1 21.7 13.0 17.4 4.3 26.1 21.7 17.4
Player 40.9 59.1 26.3 24.8 8.1 39.0 33.3 27.7 19.9 16.0 4.9 19.0 17.3 22.8
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 3.1 22.1 29.8 32.1 5.3 6.9 5.2
2023 3.8 33.1 26.3 23.7 5.5 6.4 3.8
2024 3.9 28.1 27.9 26.8 6.7 6.2 3.8
2025 5.8 24.8 31.4 22.6 5.8 9.5 5.1
2026 0.0 26.1 30.4 21.7 4.3 17.4 9.8
Player 3.9 28.0 28.3 26.1 6.0 7.0 4.3
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slider KC L 34 85.0 37.7 0.8 0.0GLV -4.4 -0.1 1.4 0.0GLV -4.9
2026 Cutter KC L 9 89.4 25.4 1.0 2.7ARM -5.1 8.6 0.6 2.7ARM -4.8
2026 Changeup KC L 28 83.8 27.2 -5.2 15.9ARM 1.6 12.1 -7.8 15.9ARM 1.5
2026 Curveball KC L 19 77.6 60.6 2.5 11.2GLV 2.3 -13.9 4.1 11.2GLV 2.9
2026 4-Seam Fastball KC L 89 94.4 13.4 0.5 12.4ARM 5.3 17.6 1.2 12.4ARM 4.4
2025 4-Seam Fastball KC L 534 95.3 13.4 0.7 13.8ARM 6.8 17.0 1.1 13.8ARM 5.7
2025 Slider KC L 149 84.7 40.3 3.7 1.8GLV -2.5 -2.5 4.5 1.8GLV -2.3
2025 Cutter KC L 51 89.9 25.4 0.2 0.3GLV -1.9 8.1 0.3 0.3GLV -1.6
2025 Changeup KC L 207 84.4 27.1 -5.0 16.2ARM 2.4 11.5 -6.3 16.2ARM 2.0
2025 Curveball KC L 138 80.1 56.1 2.1 11.5GLV 3.3 -13.1 3.5 11.5GLV 3.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.7 1 89 49.7 20 .125 .313 .285 30.0 30.0 19.4 .193 .463 .358 40.0
2026 Slider -1.7 -1 34 19.0 9 .250 .625 .400 44.4 44.4 26.7 .206 .353 .290 50.0
2026 Changeup -9.2 -3 28 15.6 8 .500 .875 .588 47.1 37.5 30.0 .253 .351 .259 40.0
2026 Curveball 1.1 0 19 10.6 1 .000 .000 .000 33.3 0.0 0.0 .051 .078 .051 0.0
2026 Cutter -4.8 0 9 5.0 3 .667 .667 .600 0.0 0.0 -- .413 .468 .384 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.2 1 534 49.5 118 .225 .422 .317 28.6 33.9 23.1 .187 .383 .287 41.5
2025 Changeup 0.8 2 207 19.2 60 .193 .351 .254 50.4 38.3 29.9 .159 .254 .202 23.5
2025 Slider 0.4 1 149 13.8 40 .211 .316 .250 43.4 55.0 28.9 .164 .235 .199 43.8
2025 Curveball -0.3 0 138 12.8 26 .227 .227 .281 32.4 38.5 22.2 .222 .251 .284 33.3
2025 Cutter -1.5 -1 51 4.7 13 .462 .692 .496 11.5 23.1 60.0 .316 .509 .353 80.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 28 83.8 98 19.9 10:00 10:00 0
2026 4-Seam Fastball 88 94.4 99 21.4 10:30 10:45 -15
2026 Knuckle Curve 19 77.6 94 20.8 5:15 4:45 30
2026 Slider 32 85.0 20 3.4 5:00 6:00 -60
2025 Changeup 206 84.4 99 19.8 10:00 10:00 0
2025 Cutter 51 89.9 38 7.4 11:15 12:15 -60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 533 95.3 99 21.8 10:30 10:30 0
2025 Knuckle Curve 137 80.1 92 20.0 5:00 4:45 15
2025 Slider 146 84.7 26 5.1 4:15 5:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 174 706 3 0 -6 -3 -6
2023 391 1,586 20 16 -13 -5 17
2024 761 3,118 23 27 -21 -13 17
2025 257 1,079 6 5 -6 -3 2
2026 41 179 -2 2 -2 -1 -3
Player 1,624 6,668 50 51 -48 50 28
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 706 43.5 77.5 85.3 29.6 61.9 43.1 60.3 50.4 22.5 7.5 86.8
2023 1,586 49.1 71.2 76.6 28.4 50.7 44.3 59.3 49.4 31.0 7.3 81.7
2024 3,118 48.0 69.7 75.7 29.8 51.3 43.2 58.7 48.9 32.0 6.8 82.5
2025 1,079 51.7 68.1 71.8 29.8 49.0 40.8 60.3 49.6 34.8 8.2 77.3
2026 179 42.5 63.2 81.3 32.0 39.4 43.6 61.0 45.3 35.8 1.7 100.0
Player 6,668 48.2 70.4 76.4 29.5 51.7 43.0 59.3 49.2 31.3 7.1 82.0
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.6 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022 22 89 26
2023 92 53 82 98 84 89 95 49 75 43 83 85 21 75 64 63 22
2024 91 87 40 95 82 71 97 43 65 61 90 88 38 79 76 45 22
2025 45 43 48 70 96 66 97 32 73 68 95 100 53 28 59 23 24
2026 13 53 30 1 45 50 96 61 63 87 81 32 12 65 28 18
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 24.93 6 4.6 1 3 3 2 33.3
2023 22.23 7 8.3 -1 3 7 2 28.6
2024 24.35 15 16.6 -2 6 7 12 80.0
2025 24.17 7 8.5 -2 2 4 5 71.4
2026 22.86 3 2.7 0 1 2 1 33.3
Player 23.89 38 40.7 -3 15 23 22 57.9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 6 2 4 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 6 5 4 5 4 4 6 5 5 4 4 5 5 5 5 4
2023 7 7 6 8 9 9 9 8 7 8 8 7 11 8 8 10 9 8 8 9 7 9 11 10 7 8 9 8 10 7 7
2024 15 14 16 15 15 16 19 16 15 15 17 19 16 14 16 16 16 15 18 19 19 20 20 20 13 17 16 17 17 17 15
2025 7 8 8 8 9 8 9 8 8 8 8 9 10 11 8 9 9 6 8 9 8 7 10 9 8 7 9 9 10 9 8
2026 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 2 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1
Player 38 34 35 40 41 41 45 39 38 38 39 43 43 41 39 44 42 36 42 45 39 43 49 47 35 39 42 42 45 41 35
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .278 +.050 .228 +.015 .213 +.011 .202 -.070 .272
xBA .224 +.037 .187 -.026 .213 +.003 .210 -.064 .274
OBP .366 +.073 .293 +.004 .289 +.001 .288 -.051 .339
xOBP .318 +.062 .256 -.033 .289 -.008 .297 -.044 .341
SLG .528 +.144 .384 +.050 .334 +.031 .303 -.153 .456
xSLG .404 +.083 .321 -.023 .344 +.011 .333 -.099 .432
ISO .250 +.095 .155 +.034 .121 +.020 .101 -.083 .184
xISO .180 +.045 .135 +.005 .130 +.006 .124 -.034 .158
BABIP .350 -.007 .357 +.065 .292 +.017 .275 -.021 .296
wOBA .395 +.100 .295 +.018 .277 +.011 .266 -.080 .346
xwOBA .319 +.063 .256 -.028 .284 +.001 .283 -.056 .339
wOBAcon .551 +.107 .444 +.098 .346 +.030 .316 -.060 .376
xwOBAcon .415 +.045 .370 +.012 .358 +.012 .346 -.021 .367
BACON .435 +.045 .390 +.075 .315 +.018 .297 -.031 .328
xBACON .350 +.030 .320 +.003 .317 +.006 .311 -.020 .331
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 34.8 -4.6 39.4 +4.0 35.4 -1.5 36.9 +4.1 32.8
Avg Exit Velocity 87.8 -0.6 88.4 +0.1 88.3 +0.5 87.8 +0.3 87.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 39.1 +7.0 32.1 +0.3 31.8 0.0 31.8 -4.8 36.6
Barrel % 17.4 +7.9 9.5 +3.3 6.2 -0.2 6.4 -0.5 6.9
Avg Launch Angle 18.0 +1.4 16.6 +1.4 15.2 +4.6 10.6 -7.6 18.2
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.2 +0.7 71.5 -0.1 71.6 -0.3 71.9 -- --
Attack Angle 13° +3° 10° -2° 11° 11° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 41.9 -7.7 49.6 +3.5 46.1 +0.1 46.0 -- --
Attack Direction -7° -4° -2° +3° -5° -3° -2° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 33° +2° 31° -1° 32° 33° -- --
Swing Length 7.5 +0.2 7.3 -0.1 7.4 -0.1 7.5 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 93.9 -0.9 94.8 +0.4 94.4 -1.0 95.4 +4.3 91.1
Breaking Velocity 82.4 -0.1 82.5 -1.1 83.6 -0.4 84.0 +7.7 76.3
Offspeed Velocity 83.8 -0.6 84.4 -0.4 84.8 -1.8 86.6 +4.4 82.2
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 4 -9 13 -16 29 +14 15 +6 9
Popup % 0.0 -10.2 10.2 +2.5 7.7 +2.6 5.1 -8.6 13.7
Flyball % 39.1 +12.1 27.0 -0.3 27.3 +1.0 26.3 +6.5 19.8
Line Drive % 26.1 +0.6 25.5 +1.9 23.6 -0.6 24.2 -4.8 29.0
Groundball % 34.8 -2.4 37.2 -4.2 41.4 -3.1 44.5 +7.1 37.4
Pull % 39.1 -6.9 46.0 +8.0 38.0 +4.1 33.9 -10.4 44.3
Straight Away % 39.1 +10.6 28.5 -5.8 34.3 -3.4 37.7 +11.7 26.0
Opposite Field % 21.7 -3.8 25.5 -2.2 27.7 -0.7 28.4 -1.4 29.8
Weak Contact % 0.0 -5.8 5.8 +1.9 3.9 +0.1 3.8 +0.7 3.1
Pull Airball % 26.1 -0.9 27.0 +9.0 18.0 +5.3 12.7 -11.7 24.4
Topped Contact % 26.1 +1.3 24.8 -3.3 28.1 -5.0 33.1 +11.0 22.1
Under Contact % 30.4 -1.0 31.4 +3.5 27.9 +1.6 26.3 -3.5 29.8
Flare/Burner Contact % 21.7 -0.9 22.6 -4.2 26.8 +3.1 23.7 -8.4 32.1
Solid Contact % 4.3 -1.5 5.8 -0.9 6.7 +1.2 5.5 +0.2 5.3
HR/FB % 33.3 +14.4 18.9 +7.1 11.8 +0.5 11.3 -11.8 23.1
Popups 0 -14 14 -22 36 +24 12 -6 18
Flyballs 9 -28 37 -90 127 +65 62 +36 26
Line Drives 6 -29 35 -75 110 +53 57 +19 38
Groundballs 8 -43 51 -142 193 +88 105 +56 49
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 42.5 -9.2 51.7 +3.7 48.0 -1.1 49.1 +5.6 43.5
Out of Zone % 57.5 +9.2 48.3 -3.7 52.0 +1.1 50.9 -5.6 56.5
Edge % 43.6 +2.8 40.8 -2.4 43.2 -1.1 44.3 +1.2 43.1
Zone Swing % 63.2 -4.9 68.1 -1.6 69.7 -1.5 71.2 -6.3 77.5
Out of Zone Swing % 32.0 +2.2 29.8 0.0 29.8 +1.4 28.4 -1.2 29.6
In Zone Contact % 81.3 +9.5 71.8 -3.9 75.7 -0.9 76.6 -8.7 85.3
Out of Zone Contact % 39.4 -9.6 49.0 -2.3 51.3 +0.6 50.7 -11.2 61.9
Whiff % 35.8 +1.0 34.8 +2.8 32.0 +1.0 31.0 +8.5 22.5
First Strike % 61.0 +0.7 60.3 +1.6 58.7 -0.6 59.3 -1.0 60.3
First Pitch Swing % 31.7 -1.8 33.5 +0.8 32.7 -1.6 34.3 +0.4 33.9
Swing % 45.3 -4.3 49.6 +0.7 48.9 -0.5 49.4 -1.0 50.4
Meatball Swing % 100.0 +22.7 77.3 -5.2 82.5 +0.8 81.7 -5.1 86.8
Meatball % 1.7 -6.5 8.2 +1.4 6.8 -0.5 7.3 -0.2 7.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 18.8 -9.4 28.2 +3.9 24.3 +0.9 23.4 +8.7 14.7
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 60.6 +9.6 51.0 +2.3 48.7 -0.6 49.3 +11.2 38.1
In Zone 76 -482 558 -939 1,497 +718 779 +472 307
Out of Zone 103 -418 521 -1,100 1,621 +814 807 +408 399
Edge 78 -362 440 -906 1,346 +644 702 +398 304
In Zone Swings 48 -332 380 -663 1,043 +488 555 +317 238
Out of Zone Swings 33 -122 155 -328 483 +254 229 +111 118
In Zone Swing & Misses 9 -98 107 -146 253 +123 130 +95 35
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 20 -59 79 -156 235 +122 113 +68 45
Basic
Pitches 179 -900 1,079 -2,039 3,118 +1,532 1,586 +880 706
PA 41 -216 257 -505 762 +370 392 +218 174
AB 36 -196 232 -453 685 +339 346 +188 158
Hits 10 -43 53 -93 146 +76 70 +27 43
Singles 7 -25 32 -64 96 +45 51 +23 28
Doubles 0 -13 13 -19 32 +22 10 +3 7
Triples 0 -1 1 -2 3 +1 2 0 2
Home Runs 3 -4 7 -8 15 +8 7 +1 6
Walks 5 -15 20 -47 67 +26 41 +25 16
Strikeouts 13 -85 98 -125 223 +110 113 +86 27
K% 31.7 -6.4 38.1 +8.8 29.3 +0.5 28.8 +13.3 15.5
BB% 12.2 +4.4 7.8 -1.0 8.8 -1.7 10.5 +1.3 9.2
HBP 0 -2 2 -4 6 +4 2 +2 0
Batted Balls 23 -114 137 -329 466 +230 236 +105 131
Number of Fastballs 98 -487 585 -1,070 1,655 +807 848 +421 427
Number of Offspeed 28 -179 207 -533 740 +364 376 +141 235
Number of Breaking 53 -234 287 -436 723 +361 362 +318 44
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 174 .346 147 30 20.4 27 17 63.0
2023 Shades 390 .266 298 7 2.3 92 50 54.3
2024 Shades 761 .277 593 8 1.3 168 34 20.2
2025 Shades 257 .295 186 10 5.4 71 19 26.8
2026 Shades 41 .395 28 9 32.1 13 7 53.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 189 16.7 29.6% 1.6% 117 22.6 0.0% 4.3%
2023 408 14.8 52.7% 0.0% 257 18.7 3.5% 0.0%
2024 913 15.1 48.6% 0.1% 409 17.7 7.3% 1.2%
2025 309 15.7 38.2% 0.6% 139 18.0 7.9% 0.0%
2026 59 15.6 32.2% 3.4% 20 18.0 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution