Chris Paddack
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 217LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2015 | Rd: 8, #236, Miami Marlins | Cedar Park (TX) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 2 4.03 5 5 0 22.1 20 1.21
2023 1 0 5.40 2 0 0 5 8 1.40
2024 5 3 4.99 17 17 0 88.1 79 1.39
6 Seasons 27 24 4.38 85 82 0 423.2 417 1.19
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 5 1-2 4.03 22.1 20 1.21
2023 2 1-0 5.40 5 8 1.40
2024 17 5-3 4.99 88.1 79 1.39
6 Seasons 85 27-24 4.38 423.2 417 1.19
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 23 2280 378 27 7.1 4.8 87.8 113.0 15.7 33.1 .217 .385 .268 .279 .354 32.5 26.9 5.5 3.33 3.38
2020 24 963 173 19 11.0 7.8 90.9 111.9 9.3 34.7 .276 .488 .342 .345 .433 47.4 23.7 4.9 4.73 5.16
2021 25 1869 337 29 8.6 6.3 90.5 113.6 10.7 34.4 .274 .460 .319 .332 .407 42.7 21.6 4.8 5.07 4.73
2022 26 367 70 4 5.7 4.3 88.7 106.4 10.1 37.1 .239 .346 .296 .275 .335 41.4 21.5 2.2 4.03 3.10
2023 27 79 13 1 7.7 4.5 85.5 103.0 10.6 46.2 .249 .405 .340 .297 .449 38.5 36.4 4.5 5.40 3.69
2024 28 1460 283 28 9.9 7.3 90.4 115.5 14.3 40.6 .275 .474 .332 .339 .407 43.1 20.6 5.5 4.99 4.80
Player 7018 1254 108 8.6 6.1 89.6 115.5 12.8 35.7 .254 .436 .308 .315 .391 40.3 23.5 5.0
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Paddack relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(42.9%) ,
Changeup
(25.9%) ,
Slider
(17.7%) ,
Curveball
(13.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 40.7 25.7 24.1 9.5 38.1 33.6 28.3 5.0 27.0 30.7 23.3 6.1 7.1 4.8
2020 49.1 19.7 25.4 5.8 40.5 37.0 22.5 4.6 34.1 19.7 26.0 4.0 11.0 7.8
2021 44.5 27.3 24.0 4.2 31.8 38.3 29.7 5.6 29.4 21.4 27.3 7.4 8.6 6.3
2022 47.1 18.6 25.7 8.6 35.7 35.7 28.6 7.1 34.3 21.4 27.1 4.3 5.7 4.3
2023 30.8 23.1 38.5 7.7 15.4 53.8 30.8 7.7 30.8 15.4 30.8 7.7 7.7 4.5
2024 38.5 25.8 29.0 6.7 33.2 43.5 23.3 5.3 24.7 28.3 25.1 6.7 9.9 7.3
Player 42.7 24.9 25.6 6.9 35.2 37.9 26.8 5.3 28.5 25.4 25.4 6.2 8.6 6.1
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Slider MIN R 258 85.9 31.7 -3.6 2.0GLV -2.5 5.3 -3.7 2.0GLV -3.2
2024 Changeup MIN R 378 82.9 35.5 2.6 15.2ARM 1.1 4.6 0.3 15.2ARM 1.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 625 93.3 14.6 0.1 10.6ARM 4.3 17.0 1.2 10.6ARM 3.1
2024 Curveball MIN R 198 78.2 58.2 3.1 6.7GLV -1.6 -13.2 3.3 6.7GLV -2.7
2023 Curveball MIN R 12 79.7 55.2 1.6 4.4GLV -3.6 -12.2 2.3 4.4GLV -4.5
2023 Slider MIN R 3 84.6 35.0 -2.1 0.3GLV -4.5 3.4 -1.9 0.3GLV -5.1
2023 Changeup MIN R 29 84.9 31.8 0.7 14.0ARM 0.0 6.2 -0.8 14.0ARM -0.4
2023 Sinker MIN R 1 97.0 11.5 -6.7 14.7ARM 0.2 17.7 -10.1 14.7ARM -0.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 34 95.5 14.1 -0.6 10.0ARM 3.5 15.9 0.1 10.0ARM 2.6
2022 Changeup MIN R 97 82.5 31.5 -0.1 15.3ARM 1.8 8.8 -2.9 15.3ARM 1.1
2022 Curveball MIN R 66 76.0 66.0 6.2 9.4GLV -0.1 -17.7 7.8 9.4GLV 0.3
2022 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 190 93.0 13.3 1.2 9.9ARM 4.0 18.6 2.4 9.9ARM 2.6
2022 Slider MIN R 14 83.5 34.5 -3.5 0.0GLV -5.8 4.8 -3.0 0.0GLV -5.7
2021 Curveball SD R 230 78.7 61.6 6.6 6.5GLV -2.0 -16.8 6.7 6.5GLV -2.7
2021 4-Seam Fastball SD R 1149 94.8 13.1 0.3 9.5ARM 3.1 17.5 1.3 9.5ARM 2.3
2021 Changeup SD R 490 85.2 30.3 0.4 13.8ARM 0.3 7.5 -1.2 13.8ARM -0.1
2020 Curveball SD R 71 76.9 62.6 4.8 5.8GLV -3.8 -15.7 6.0 5.8GLV -3.4
2020 Changeup SD R 299 83.9 31.9 0.8 13.7ARM 0.7 7.1 -0.7 13.7ARM 0.3
2020 Cutter SD R 33 87.9 29.1 -1.6 1.3GLV -1.9 6.1 -2.1 1.3GLV -1.5
2020 4-Seam Fastball SD R 560 94.1 14.7 -0.6 9.8ARM 3.0 16.3 0.3 9.8ARM 2.5
2019 Changeup SD R 650 84.5 29.2 -0.8 12.0ARM -1.0 9.0 -2.1 12.0ARM -1.5
2019 4-Seam Fastball SD R 1391 93.9 12.6 2.0 7.6ARM 0.9 18.0 2.4 7.6ARM 0.2
2019 Curveball SD R 238 76.1 60.7 1.3 6.2GLV -3.5 -12.8 3.1 6.2GLV -3.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.8 5 626 42.9 166 .277 .400 .317 24.3 28.3 24.4 .245 .383 .296 48.6
2024 Changeup -0.6 -2 378 25.9 115 .283 .519 .363 24.8 14.8 15.0 .297 .575 .388 37.8
2024 Slider -1.2 -3 258 17.7 56 .264 .434 .321 25.4 17.9 14.7 .252 .467 .325 37.2
2024 Curveball -1.4 -3 198 13.6 47 .326 .435 .360 19.0 10.6 7.8 .351 .557 .394 46.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball -1.8 -1 34 43.0 10 .333 .444 .375 33.3 40.0 36.4 .243 .278 .274 40.0
2023 Changeup 0.0 0 29 36.7 8 .250 .625 .363 36.8 37.5 33.3 .257 .608 .358 40.0
2023 Curveball 5.1 1 12 15.2 4 .250 .250 .225 0.0 25.0 33.3 .246 .286 .235 33.3
2023 Slider 0.6 0 3 3.8 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2023 Sinker 6.2 0 1 1.3 -- -- -- 100.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1.7 3 190 51.8 44 .244 .317 .260 22.3 25.0 19.3 .232 .358 .281 51.6
2022 Changeup -0.6 -1 97 26.4 31 .276 .414 .329 30.6 22.6 21.2 .246 .326 .274 26.1
2022 Curveball -3.1 -2 66 18.0 16 .438 .563 .438 25.0 12.5 11.8 .255 .375 .272 42.9
2022 Slider 2.2 0 14 3.8 2 .000 .000 .000 25.0 0.0 0.0 .170 .180 .154 50.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball -0.7 -8 1,149 61.5 246 .314 .531 .383 21.1 18.7 13.9 .302 .514 .364 46.5
2021 Changeup -0.8 -4 490 26.2 167 .234 .399 .308 28.2 20.4 17.8 .252 .436 .314 36.5
2021 Curveball 0.9 2 230 12.3 45 .163 .163 .171 36.0 42.2 24.1 .205 .265 .225 45.8
2020 4-Seam Fastball -1.2 -7 560 58.2 131 .308 .658 .418 20.9 19.8 16.7 .307 .595 .400 57.3
2020 Changeup 2.7 8 299 31.0 95 .187 .275 .259 32.7 27.4 20.8 .231 .324 .259 32.3
2020 Curveball -0.8 -1 71 7.4 13 .250 .583 .404 20.8 30.8 19.0 .274 .617 .395 50.0
2020 Cutter -7.4 -2 33 3.4 6 .500 1.167 .692 50.0 33.3 28.6 .331 .607 .394 50.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 7 1,392 61.1 312 .204 .391 .300 23.2 29.2 18.6 .209 .386 .280 35.7
2019 Changeup 1.3 8 650 28.5 210 .190 .349 .276 29.2 25.7 20.8 .217 .366 .274 28.2
2019 Curveball -0.7 -2 238 10.4 45 .267 .444 .304 17.0 17.8 14.5 .265 .455 .302 32.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 374 82.8 95 16.4 2:15 2:45 -30
2024 Curveball 198 78.2 88 17.5 7:00 6:45 15
2024 4-Seam Fastball 623 93.3 99 19.7 1:00 1:15 -15
2024 Slider 257 85.9 34 4.8 12:45 11:00 105
2023 Changeup 29 84.9 93 15.7 2:15 2:30 -15
2023 Curveball 12 79.7 83 15.4 7:00 6:30 30
2023 4-Seam Fastball 34 95.5 100 18.5 1:15 1:15 0
2022 Changeup 96 82.5 95 17.8 2:00 2:15 -15
2022 Curveball 66 76.0 96 23.3 6:45 6:45 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 190 93.0 99 20.8 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Slider 14 83.5 19 4.4 1:15 12:15 60
2021 Changeup 487 85.3 93 15.9 2:15 2:15 0
2021 Curveball 230 78.7 97 21.1 6:45 6:30 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,146 94.8 99 19.6 1:00 1:00 0
2020 Changeup 293 83.9 95 15.6 2:15 2:15 0
2020 Curveball 68 77.0 94 19.9 6:30 6:30 0
2020 Cutter 29 87.9 43 5.8 12:00 11:30 30
2020 4-Seam Fastball 536 94.1 100 18.8 1:00 1:00 0
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 567 2,280 7 24 -11 -6 14
2020 260 1,009 -2 3 -4 -3 -6
2021 458 1,869 5 2 -11 -5 -10
2022 93 367 3 1 -2 -1 1
2023 34 127 2 -1 0 0 2
2024 384 1,460 2 4 -4 -4 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 2,280 52.8 69.4 79.6 33.5 63.3 45.3 71.3 52.4 24.7 8.3 83.7
2020 963 51.3 68.8 79.7 25.4 57.1 45.2 66.9 47.7 25.9 6.6 82.8
2021 1,869 51.7 69.7 78.6 27.9 64.7 42.3 63.6 49.5 24.5 9.2 78.5
2022 367 55.9 69.8 75.5 30.9 70.0 45.2 65.6 52.6 25.4 9.3 67.6
2023 79 57.0 68.9 71.0 23.5 50.0 51.9 54.5 49.4 33.3 8.9 57.1
2024 1,460 50.6 68.1 82.1 30.2 60.1 45.5 63.5 49.4 24.0 6.8 82.8
Player 7,018 52.0 69.1 79.5 29.9 62.5 44.6 66.5 50.3 24.8 8.1 80.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2019 84 79 64 51 92 28 47 73 81 72 88 46 88 62 45 10 94
2020 24 16 14 17 49 1 11 10 5 52 90 44 27 64 32 6 91
2021 26 13 18 27 54 24 37 13 20 35 95 37 49 72 45 14 87
2022 35 41 10 88
2024 16 10 7 7 43 29 12 11 13 30 87 39 67 36 40 7 90
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.2 23 22.0 1 10 17 9 39.1
2020 23.1 15 14.6 0 0 9 8 53.3
2021 23.6 15 13.9 1 10 14 3 20.0
2022 -- 0 1.1 -1 2 2 0 --
2023 22.7 1 0.5 1 0 1 0 0.0
2024 23.9 14 14.8 -1 2 16 4 28.6
Player 23.0 68 67.0 1 24 59 24 35.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2019 23 25 15 25 24 25 25 21 17 15 17 24 25 22 24 22 20 22 23 25 23 26 27 25 20 22 16 25 25 20 16
2020 15 16 15 14 13 17 16 16 11 12 13 13 15 15 16 14 17 15 16 15 17 12 17 15 14 13 15 15 16 13 12
2021 15 14 12 13 14 12 17 13 8 9 11 18 15 11 14 17 11 13 14 17 13 16 19 17 12 11 18 18 14 14 12
2022 0 1 1 2 2 1 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 2 3 0 0 1 2 3 0 1 1
2023 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2024 14 15 9 14 13 15 19 15 11 11 15 12 18 14 15 13 17 14 16 16 17 15 21 20 14 16 12 16 18 13 11
Player 68 72 52 68 66 70 80 65 48 47 58 70 75 63 72 68 66 64 70 76 71 72 88 78 60 63 63 77 74 61 52
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2019 2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.9 93.7 -0.2 94.8 1.1 93.0 -1.8 95.5 2.5 93.3 -2.2
Offspeed Velocity 84.5 83.9 -0.6 85.2 1.3 82.5 -2.7 84.9 2.4 82.9 -2.0
Breaking Velocity 76.1 76.9 0.8 78.7 1.8 77.3 -1.4 80.7 3.4 82.6 1.9
Exit Velocity 87.8 90.9 3.1 90.5 -0.4 88.7 -1.8 85.5 -3.2 90.4 4.9
Launch Angle 15.7 9.3 -6.4 10.7 1.4 10.1 -0.6 10.6 0.5 14.3 3.7
Barrel % 7.1 11.0 3.9 8.6 -2.4 5.7 -2.9 7.7 2.0 9.9 2.2
Hard Hit % 32.5 47.4 14.9 42.7 -4.7 41.4 -1.3 38.5 -2.9 43.1 4.6
LA Sweet-Spot % 33.1 34.7 1.6 34.4 -0.3 37.1 2.7 46.2 9.1 40.6 -5.6
xBA .217 .276 0.059 .274 -0.002 .239 -0.035 .249 0.010 .275 0.026
BA .204 .262 0.058 .269 0.007 .284 0.015 .286 0.002 .283 -0.003
xwOBA .279 .345 0.066 .332 -0.013 .275 -0.057 .297 0.022 .339 0.042
wOBA .268 .342 0.074 .319 -0.023 .296 -0.023 .340 0.044 .332 -0.008
xSLG .385 .488 0.103 .460 -0.028 .346 -0.114 .405 0.059 .474 0.069
SLG .380 .515 0.135 .445 -0.070 .386 -0.059 .476 0.090 .444 -0.032
K% 26.9 23.7 -3.2 21.6 -2.1 21.5 -0.1 36.4 14.9 20.6 -15.8
BB% 5.5 4.9 -0.6 4.8 -0.1 2.2 -2.6 4.5 2.3 5.5 1.0
Swing % 52.4 47.7 -4.7 49.5 1.8 52.6 3.1 49.4 -3.2 49.4 0.0
Whiff% 24.7 25.9 1.2 24.5 -1.4 25.4 0.9 33.3 7.9 24.0 -9.3
In Zone % 52.8 51.3 -1.5 51.7 0.4 55.9 4.2 57.0 1.1 50.6 -6.4
Out of Zone % 47.2 48.7 1.5 48.3 -0.4 44.1 -4.2 43.0 -1.1 49.4 6.4
Out of Zone Swing % 33.5 25.4 -8.1 27.9 2.5 30.9 3.0 23.5 -7.4 30.2 6.7
First Pitch Swing % 33.5 31.4 -2.1 30.3 -1.1 28.0 -2.3 27.3 -0.7 30.5 3.2
First Pitch Strike % 71.3 66.9 -4.4 63.6 -3.3 65.6 2.0 54.5 -11.1 63.5 9.0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2019 Shifts 567 .268 277 30 10.8 290 74 25.5
2020 Shifts 244 .335 113 2 1.8 131 49 37.4
2021 Shifts 458 .319 228 4 1.8 230 123 53.5
2022 Shifts 93 .296 58 11 19.0 35 28 80.0
2023 Shades 22 .340 17 2 11.8 5 2 40.0
2024 Shades 384 .332 191 20 10.5 193 125 64.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 722 15.1 48.5% 0.7% 232 23.3 0.9% 8.2%
2020 292 16.4 29.5% 1.0% 152 23.5 0.0% 7.9%
2021 576 17.3 24.7% 1.2% 241 26.4 0.0% 25.7%
2022 115 17.1 21.7% 2.6% 36 26.2 0.0% 16.7%
2023 16 13.9 75.0% 0.0% 13 20.1 0.0% 0.0%
2024 408 14.6 60.0% 0.0% 224 19.9 0.0% 0.4%

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Pitch Distribution