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Chris Paddack
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 217LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2015 | Rd: 8, #236, Miami Marlins | Cedar Park (TX) HS
W
L
ERA
G
GS
SV
IP
SO
WHIP
2023 1 0 5.40 2 0 0 5 8 1.40
2024 5 3 4.99 17 17 0 88.1 79 1.39
2025 0 3 6.45 5 5 0 22.1 20 1.61
7 Seasons 27 27 4.48 90 87 0 446 437 1.21
G
W-L
ERA
IP
SO
WHIP
2023 2 1-0 5.40 5 8 1.40
2024 17 5-3 4.99 88.1 79 1.39
2025 5 0-3 6.45 22.1 20 1.61
7 Seasons 90 27-27 4.48 446 437 1.21
20252025 MLB Percentile Rankings
ValuesavantPOORAVERAGEGREATPitching Run Value-4NOT QUALIFIED15Fastball Run Value0NOT QUALIFIED50Breaking Run Value-2NOT QUALIFIED18Offspeed Run Value-2NOT QUALIFIED6PitchingxERA4.23NOT QUALIFIED40xBA.243NOT QUALIFIED50Fastball Velo93.7NOT QUALIFIED40Avg Exit Velocity88.9NOT QUALIFIED55Chase %29.8NOT QUALIFIED64Whiff %21.1NOT QUALIFIED20K %19.2NOT QUALIFIED32BB %12.5NOT QUALIFIED20Barrel %8.5NOT QUALIFIED46Hard-Hit %40.8NOT QUALIFIED45GB %42.3NOT QUALIFIED46Extension7.0NOT QUALIFIED90
20252025 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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MLB AVG.ARM ANGLE49°12"24"6"12"18"24"12"24"12"24"2.4 INCHES BREAK4.4 INCHES RISEAVG5.6 INCHES BREAK12.7 INCHES DROPAVG14.9 INCHES TAIL5.5 INCHES RISEAVG8.3 INCHES TAIL19.4 INCHES RISEAVG1B3BMOVES TOWARD︎MORERISEMOREDROPUSAGEMPHRHP AVG4-Seam52%93.794.5Change24%84.086.3Curve13%78.280.1Slider11%84.986.1SAMPLE100 PITCH

Statcast Statistics

Season
Age
Pitches
Batted
Balls
Barrels
Barrel %
Barrel/PA
Exit
Velocity
Max EV
Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA
XSLG
WOBA
XWOBA
XWOBACON
HardHit%
K%
BB%
ERA
xERA
2019 23 2280 378 27 7.1 4.8 87.8 113.0 15.7 33.1 .217 .385 .268 .279 .354 32.5 26.9 5.5 3.33 3.38
2020 24 963 173 19 11.0 7.8 90.9 111.9 9.3 34.7 .276 .488 .342 .345 .433 47.4 23.7 4.9 4.73 5.16
2021 25 1869 337 29 8.6 6.3 90.5 113.6 10.7 34.4 .274 .460 .319 .332 .407 42.7 21.6 4.8 5.07 4.73
2022 26 367 70 4 5.7 4.3 88.7 106.4 10.1 37.1 .239 .346 .296 .275 .335 41.4 21.5 2.2 4.03 3.10
2023 27 79 13 1 7.7 4.5 85.5 103.0 10.6 46.2 .249 .405 .340 .297 .449 38.5 36.4 4.5 5.40 3.69
2024 28 1460 283 28 9.9 7.3 90.4 115.5 14.3 40.6 .272 .463 .332 .336 .403 43.1 20.6 5.5 4.99 4.81
2025 29 437 71 6 8.5 5.8 88.9 108.5 12.8 29.6 .243 .436 .346 .334 .362 40.8 19.2 12.5 6.45 4.23
Player 7455 1325 114 8.6 6.1 89.6 115.5 12.8 35.4 .253 .434 .310 .315 .388 40.3 23.3 5.4
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.6 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Paddack relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(52.4%) ,
Changeup
(23.6%) ,
Curveball
(12.8%) ,
Slider
(11.2%) ,

Four Seamer229 Pitches (52.4%)
Changeup103 Pitches (23.6%)
Curveball56 Pitches (12.8%)
Slider49 Pitches (11.2%)

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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups
All Batted Balls
Batted Ball Breakdown
Season
GB %
AIR %
FB %
LD %
PU %
Pull %
Straight %
Oppo %
Pull GB %
Straight GB %
Oppo GB %
Pull AIR %
Straight AIR %
Oppo AIR %
2019 40.7 59.3 25.7 24.1 9.5 38.1 33.6 28.3 20.4 14.6 5.8 17.7 19.0 22.5
2020 49.1 50.9 19.7 25.4 5.8 40.5 37.0 22.5 23.7 17.9 7.5 16.8 19.1 15.0
2021 44.5 55.5 27.3 24.0 4.2 31.8 38.3 29.7 17.5 18.4 8.3 14.2 19.9 21.4
2022 47.1 52.9 18.6 25.7 8.6 35.7 35.7 28.6 21.4 20.0 5.7 14.3 15.7 22.9
2023 30.8 69.2 23.1 38.5 7.7 15.4 53.8 30.8 15.4 15.4 0.0 0.0 38.5 30.8
2024 38.5 61.5 25.8 29.0 6.7 33.2 43.5 23.3 15.9 16.6 6.0 17.3 26.9 17.3
2025 42.3 57.7 26.8 18.3 12.7 36.6 35.2 28.2 18.3 19.7 4.2 18.3 15.5 23.9
Player 42.6 57.4 25.0 25.2 7.2 35.3 37.7 26.9 19.0 17.0 6.6 16.3 20.8 20.3
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.8 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season
Weak %
Topped %
Under %
Flare/Burner %
Solid %
Barrel %
Barrel/PA
2019 5.0 27.0 30.7 23.3 6.1 7.1 4.8
2020 4.6 34.1 19.7 26.0 4.0 11.0 7.8
2021 5.6 29.4 21.4 27.3 7.4 8.6 6.3
2022 7.1 34.3 21.4 27.1 4.3 5.7 4.3
2023 7.7 30.8 15.4 30.8 7.7 7.7 4.5
2024 5.3 24.7 28.3 25.1 6.7 9.9 7.3
2025 8.5 32.4 25.4 16.9 8.5 8.5 5.8
Player 5.5 28.8 25.4 25.0 6.3 8.6 6.1
MLB 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

Created with Highcharts 6.2.0Chart context menuChris Paddack Vertical Movement vs Avg (Inches) by SeasonSource: baseballsavant.mlb.comSliderFour SeamerCurveballChangeupCutter2019202020212022202320242025-5-2.502.557.5

How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)
Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
Year
Pitch
Team
Hand
#
MPH
Vertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. Avg
Horizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Slider MIN R 49 84.9 33.6 -2.7 2.4GLV -1.7 4.4 -2.6 2.4GLV -2.6
2025 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 229 93.7 12.0 1.8 8.3ARM 2.3 19.4 3.3 8.3ARM 0.7
2025 Curveball MIN R 56 78.2 58.0 1.7 5.6GLV -3.1 -12.7 2.9 5.6GLV -4.1
2025 Changeup MIN R 103 84.0 33.6 0.2 14.9ARM 0.6 5.5 -1.3 14.9ARM 0.2
2024 Slider MIN R 258 85.9 31.7 -3.6 2.0GLV -2.4 5.3 -3.7 2.0GLV -2.9
2024 Changeup MIN R 378 82.9 35.5 2.6 15.2ARM 1.1 4.6 0.3 15.2ARM 1.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 625 93.3 14.6 0.1 10.6ARM 4.2 17.0 1.3 10.6ARM 3.0
2024 Curveball MIN R 198 78.2 58.2 3.1 6.7GLV -1.6 -13.2 3.2 6.7GLV -2.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year
Pitch Type
Team
RV/100
Run Value
Pitches
%
PA
BA
SLG
wOBA
Whiff%
K%
PutAway %
xBA
xSLG
xwOBA
Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 0 229 52.4 56 .250 .318 .325 18.8 23.2 15.5 .240 .367 .320 50.0
2025 Changeup -2.3 -2 103 23.6 30 .231 .462 .377 28.3 16.7 14.3 .243 .494 .364 38.1
2025 Curveball 1.9 1 56 12.8 9 .125 .125 .100 15.0 11.1 5.9 .126 .143 .152 12.5
2025 Slider -5.6 -3 49 11.2 9 .556 1.333 .783 21.1 11.1 7.1 .362 .866 .511 37.5
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.7 4 626 42.9 166 .277 .400 .317 24.3 28.3 24.4 .245 .375 .295 48.6
2024 Changeup -1.5 -6 378 25.9 115 .283 .519 .363 24.8 14.8 15.0 .291 .565 .385 37.8
2024 Slider -0.6 -1 258 17.7 56 .264 .434 .321 25.4 17.9 14.7 .243 .443 .314 37.2
2024 Curveball -1.3 -3 198 13.6 47 .326 .435 .360 19.0 10.6 7.8 .350 .552 .395 46.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year
Pitch Type
Pitches
MPH
Active Spin %
Total Movement (In.)
Spin-Based
Observed
Deviation
2025 Changeup 103 84.0 98 16.3 2:15 2:30 -15
2025 Curveball 56 78.2 87 16.8 7:00 6:45 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 229 93.7 100 20.8 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Slider 49 84.9 28 4.6 11:30 10:15 75
2024 Changeup 374 82.8 95 16.4 2:15 2:45 -30
2024 Curveball 198 78.2 88 17.5 7:00 6:45 15
2024 4-Seam Fastball 623 93.3 99 19.7 1:00 1:15 -15
2024 Slider 257 85.9 34 4.8 12:45 11:00 105
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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1212345678910114-SEAM FASTBALLCHANGEUPSLIDERCURVEBALLChris PaddackSpin-Based Movement by Pitch TypeSPIN DIRECTION - PITCHER POV
1212345678910114-SEAM FASTBALLCHANGEUPSLIDERCURVEBALLChris PaddackObserved Movement by Pitch TypeSPIN DIRECTION - PITCHER POV
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

202020212022202320242025All YearsClick a year to see pitches
ARM ANGLE47°2020 ARM ANGLE50°2021 ARM ANGLE49°2022 ARM ANGLE45°2023 ARM ANGLE46°2024 ARM ANGLE49°2025
! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year
Team
PA
Pitches
Heart
Shadow
Chase
Waste
All
2019 567 2,280 13 30 -14 -7 22
2020 245 963 -4 6 -5 -3 -7
2021 458 1,869 12 5 -13 -6 -1
2022 93 367 5 1 -2 -1 3
2023 22 79 2 -1 0 0 0
2024 384 1,460 -2 6 -5 -5 -5
2025 104 437 -1 1 -2 -1 -4
Player 1,873 7,455 25 48 -41 25 8
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+ Show Leverage-Based Run Value

Plate Discipline

Season
Pitches
Zone %
Zone Swing %
Zone Contact %
Chase %
Chase Contact %
Edge %
1st Pitch Strike %
Swing %
Whiff %
Meatball %
Meatball Swing %
2019 2,280 52.8 69.4 79.6 33.5 63.3 45.3 71.3 52.4 24.7 8.3 83.7
2020 963 51.3 68.8 79.7 25.4 57.1 45.2 66.9 47.7 25.9 6.6 82.8
2021 1,869 51.7 69.7 78.6 27.9 64.7 42.3 63.6 49.5 24.6 9.2 78.5
2022 367 55.9 69.8 75.5 30.9 70.0 45.2 65.6 52.6 25.4 9.3 67.6
2023 79 57.0 68.9 71.0 23.5 50.0 51.9 54.5 49.4 33.3 8.9 57.1
2024 1,460 50.6 68.1 82.1 30.2 60.1 45.5 63.5 49.4 24.0 6.8 82.8
2025 437 47.8 67.5 85.8 29.8 64.7 49.7 59.6 47.8 21.1 5.3 73.9
Player 7,455 51.8 69.0 79.9 29.9 62.6 44.9 66.1 50.2 24.6 7.9 80.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.7 42.6 61.1 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year
xwOBA /
xERA
xBA
xSLG
xISO
xOBP
Brl
Brl%
EV
Hard
Hit%
K%
BB%
Whiff%
Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2019 84 79 64 51 92 28 47 73 81 72 88 45 88 62 45 10 94
2020 24 16 14 17 49 1 11 10 5 52 90 44 27 64 32 6 91
2021 26 13 18 27 54 24 37 13 20 35 95 37 49 72 45 15 87
2022 35 41 10 88
2024 15 10 7 8 43 29 12 11 13 30 87 39 67 37 40 7 90
2025 40 50 39 30 44 20 46 55 45 32 20 20 64 40 44 7 90
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year
Team
Avg HR Trot
Actual HR
xHR
HR-xHR
Doubters
Mostly Gone
No Doubters
No Doubter %
2019 22.2 23 22.0 1 9 17 9 39.1
2020 23.1 15 13.6 1 1 9 7 46.7
2021 23.6 15 13.8 1 9 14 3 20.0
2022 -- 0 1.3 -1 3 2 0 --
2023 22.7 1 0.5 1 0 1 0 0.0
2024 23.9 14 14.8 -1 2 16 4 28.6
2025 22.4 5 4.8 0 2 2 3 60.0
Player 23.0 73 70.8 2 26 61 26 35.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs

Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year
HR
2019 23 25 15 25 24 25 25 21 17 15 17 24 25 22 24 22 20 22 23 25 23 25 27 25 20 22 16 25 25 20 16
2020 15 15 14 13 12 16 15 15 10 11 12 12 14 14 15 13 16 14 15 14 16 11 16 14 13 12 14 14 15 13 11
2021 15 14 11 13 14 12 17 13 7 9 11 18 15 11 14 17 11 12 14 17 13 16 19 17 12 11 18 18 14 14 12
2022 0 2 2 3 3 1 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 2 3 0 0 1 3 3 0 1 2
2023 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2024 14 15 9 15 13 15 18 15 11 11 15 12 18 14 15 13 17 13 16 16 17 15 21 20 14 16 11 16 18 13 11
2025 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 4 4 4 5 6 5 6 5 4 4 5 4 5 4 6 6 6 4 4 4 5 5 5 5
Player 73 76 55 75 70 74 83 68 50 50 62 75 79 68 76 72 69 66 73 80 74 76 93 83 63 66 66 81 78 66 57
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric
2019
+/-
 
2020
+/-
 
2021
+/-
 
2022
+/-
 
2023
+/-
 
2024
+/-
 
2025
Fastball Velocity 93.9 -0.2 93.7 1.1 94.8 -1.8 93.0 2.5 95.5 -2.2 93.3 0.4 93.7
Offspeed Velocity 84.5 -0.6 83.9 1.3 85.2 -2.7 82.5 2.4 84.9 -2.0 82.9 1.1 84.0
Breaking Velocity 76.1 0.8 76.9 1.8 78.7 -1.4 77.3 3.4 80.7 1.9 82.6 -1.3 81.3
Exit Velocity 87.8 3.1 90.9 -0.4 90.5 -1.8 88.7 -3.2 85.5 4.9 90.4 -1.5 88.9
Launch Angle 15.7 -6.4 9.3 1.4 10.7 -0.6 10.1 0.5 10.6 3.7 14.3 -1.5 12.8
Barrel % 7.1 3.9 11.0 -2.4 8.6 -2.9 5.7 2.0 7.7 2.2 9.9 -1.4 8.5
Hard Hit % 32.5 14.9 47.4 -4.7 42.7 -1.3 41.4 -2.9 38.5 4.6 43.1 -2.3 40.8
LA Sweet-Spot % 33.1 1.6 34.7 -0.3 34.4 2.7 37.1 9.1 46.2 -5.6 40.6 -11.0 29.6
xBA .217 0.059 .276 -0.002 .274 -0.035 .239 0.010 .249 0.023 .272 -0.029 .243
BA .204 0.058 .262 0.007 .269 0.015 .284 0.002 .286 -0.003 .283 -0.019 .264
xwOBA .279 0.066 .345 -0.013 .332 -0.057 .275 0.022 .297 0.039 .336 -0.002 .334
wOBA .268 0.074 .342 -0.023 .319 -0.023 .296 0.044 .340 -0.008 .332 0.014 .346
xSLG .385 0.103 .488 -0.028 .460 -0.114 .346 0.059 .405 0.058 .463 -0.027 .436
SLG .380 0.135 .515 -0.070 .445 -0.059 .386 0.090 .476 -0.032 .444 0.004 .448
K% 26.9 -3.2 23.7 -2.1 21.6 -0.1 21.5 14.9 36.4 -15.8 20.6 -1.4 19.2
BB% 5.5 -0.6 4.9 -0.1 4.8 -2.6 2.2 2.3 4.5 1.0 5.5 7.0 12.5
Swing % 52.4 -4.7 47.7 1.8 49.5 3.1 52.6 -3.2 49.4 0.0 49.4 -1.6 47.8
Whiff% 24.7 1.2 25.9 -1.3 24.6 0.8 25.4 7.9 33.3 -9.3 24.0 -2.9 21.1
In Zone % 52.8 -1.5 51.3 0.4 51.7 4.2 55.9 1.1 57.0 -6.4 50.6 -2.8 47.8
Out of Zone % 47.2 1.5 48.7 -0.4 48.3 -4.2 44.1 -1.1 43.0 6.4 49.4 2.8 52.2
Out of Zone Swing % 33.5 -8.1 25.4 2.5 27.9 3.0 30.9 -7.4 23.5 6.7 30.2 -0.4 29.8
First Pitch Swing % 33.5 -2.1 31.4 -1.1 30.3 -2.3 28.0 -0.7 27.3 3.2 30.5 5.1 35.6
First Pitch Strike % 71.3 -4.4 66.9 -3.3 63.6 2.0 65.6 -11.1 54.5 9.0 63.5 -3.9 59.6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHH
vs LHH
Year
Alignment Type
PA
wOBA
PA
Total
%
PA
Total
%
2019 Shifts 567 .268 277 30 10.8 290 74 25.5
2020 Shifts 244 .335 113 2 1.8 131 49 37.4
2021 Shifts 458 .319 228 4 1.8 230 123 53.5
2022 Shifts 93 .296 58 11 19.0 35 28 80.0
2023 Shades 22 .340 17 2 11.8 5 2 40.0
2024 Shades 384 .332 191 20 10.5 193 125 64.8
2025 Shades 104 .346 64 1 1.6 40 36 90.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases Empty
Runners On Base
Season
Team
Pitches
Tempo
Fast %
Slow %
Pitches
Tempo
Fast %
Slow %
2019 722 15.1 48.5% 0.7% 232 23.3 0.9% 8.2%
2020 292 16.4 29.5% 1.0% 152 23.5 0.0% 7.9%
2021 576 17.3 24.7% 1.2% 241 26.4 0.0% 25.7%
2022 115 17.1 21.7% 2.6% 36 26.2 0.0% 16.7%
2023 16 13.9 75.0% 0.0% 13 20.1 0.0% 0.0%
2024 408 14.6 60.0% 0.0% 224 19.9 0.0% 0.4%
2025 106 14.7 54.7% 0.0% 47 20.1 0.0% 4.3%

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Pitch Distribution

Chris Paddack - 2025 Frequency of Pitches by Pitch Speed4-Seam FastballChangeupCurveballSliderAll Pitches75 MPH80 MPH85 MPH90 MPH95 MPHPitch Speed0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%Frequency of Speed