Chris Paddack
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 5" 217LBS | Age: 26

Draft: 2015 | Rd: 8, #236, Miami Marlins | Cedar Park (TX) HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 2 4.03 5 5 0 22.1 20 1.21
4 Seasons 21 21 4.20 66 65 0 330.1 330 1.13
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 5 1-2 4.03 22.1 20 1.21
4 Seasons 66 21-21 4.20 330.1 330 1.13

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 23 2280 378 27 7.1 4.8 87.8 113.0 15.7 33.1 .217 .385 .268 .279 .354 32.5 26.9 5.5 3.33 3.38
2020 24 963 173 19 11 7.8 90.9 111.9 9.3 34.7 .276 .488 .342 .345 .433 47.4 23.7 4.9 4.73 5.16
2021 25 1869 337 29 8.6 6.3 90.5 113.6 10.7 34.4 .274 .460 .319 .332 .407 42.7 21.6 4.8 5.07 4.73
2022 26 367 70 4 5.7 4.3 88.7 106.4 10.1 37.1 .255 .389 .297 .296 .363 41.4 21.5 2.2 4.03 3.17
Player 5479 958 79 8.2 5.8 89.4 113.6 12.4 34.1 .250 .429 .300 .310 .387 39.5 24.2 4.9
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 32.9 .246 .410 .317 .317 .370 35.7 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Paddack relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(51.8%) ,
Changeup
(26.4%) ,
Curveball
(18%) ,
Slider
(3.8%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 40.7 25.7 24.1 9.5 38.1 33.6 28.3 5.0 27.0 30.7 23.3 6.1 7.1 4.8
2020 49.1 19.7 25.4 5.8 40.5 37.0 22.5 4.6 34.1 19.7 26.0 4.0 11.0 7.8
2021 44.5 27.3 24.0 4.2 31.8 38.3 29.7 5.6 29.4 21.4 27.3 7.4 8.6 6.3
2022 47.1 18.6 25.7 8.6 35.7 35.7 28.6 7.1 34.3 21.4 27.1 4.3 5.7 4.3
Player 44.1 24.6 24.4 6.9 36.1 36.0 27.8 5.3 29.6 24.7 25.5 6.1 8.2 5.8
MLB 45.0 22.9 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 4-Seamer MIN R 190 93.0 13.3 1.1 8 9.9 4.1 69
2022 Changeup MIN R 97 82.5 31.5 0.0 0 15.3 2.0 15
2022 Curveball MIN R 66 76.0 66.0 6.4 11 9.4 -0.4 -4
2022 Slider MIN R 14 83.5 34.5 -3.7 -10 0.0 -6.8 -100
2021 Curveball SD R 230 78.7 61.6 6.7 12 6.5 -2.0 -24
2021 4-Seamer SD R 1,149 94.8 13.1 0.3 2 9.5 3.2 49
2021 Changeup SD R 490 85.2 30.3 0.4 1 13.8 0.3 2
2020 Changeup SD R 299 83.9 31.9 0.7 2 13.7 0.8 6
2020 Curveball SD R 71 76.9 62.6 4.8 8 5.8 -3.8 -39
2020 4-Seamer SD R 560 94.1 14.7 -0.6 -4 9.8 3.1 45
2020 Cutter SD R 33 87.9 29.1 -1.3 -5 1.3 -2.0 -61
2019 4-Seamer SD R 1,391 93.9 12.6 2.0 14 7.6 0.9 13
2019 Curveball SD R 238 76.1 60.7 1.4 2 6.2 -3.5 -36
2019 Changeup SD R 650 84.5 29.2 -0.8 -3 12.0 -1.0 -8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ View Complete Pitch Movement Leaderboard

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -1.7 -3 190 51.8 44 .244 .317 .260 22.3 25.0 19.3 .247 .406 .305 51.6
2022 Changeup 0.2 0 97 26.4 31 .276 .414 .329 30.6 22.6 21.2 .254 .352 .283 26.1
2022 Curveball 3.2 2 66 18.0 16 .438 .563 .438 25.0 12.5 11.8 .283 .428 .306 42.9
2022 Slider -2.5 0 14 3.8 2 .000 .000 .000 25.0 0.0 0.0 .220 .237 .200 50.0
2021 4-Seamer 0.7 8 1,149 61.5 246 .314 .531 .383 21.1 18.7 13.9 .303 .514 .364 46.5
2021 Changeup 0.8 4 490 26.2 167 .234 .399 .308 28.2 20.4 17.8 .253 .436 .315 36.5
2021 Curveball -1.0 -2 230 12.3 45 .163 .163 .171 36.0 42.2 24.1 .205 .264 .225 45.8
2020 4-Seamer 1.2 7 560 58.2 131 .308 .658 .418 20.9 19.8 16.7 .307 .595 .401 57.3
2020 Changeup -2.7 -8 299 31.0 95 .187 .275 .259 32.7 27.4 20.8 .231 .324 .259 32.3
2020 Curveball 0.8 1 71 7.4 13 .250 .583 .404 20.8 30.8 19.0 .271 .614 .393 50.0
2020 Cutter 7.4 2 33 3.4 6 .500 1.167 .692 50.0 33.3 28.6 .331 .607 .394 50.0
2019 4-Seamer -0.5 -7 1,392 61.1 312 .204 .391 .300 23.2 29.2 18.6 .209 .387 .280 35.7
2019 Changeup -1.3 -8 650 28.5 210 .190 .349 .276 29.2 25.7 20.8 .218 .367 .274 28.2
2019 Curveball 0.7 2 238 10.4 45 .267 .444 .304 17.0 17.8 14.5 .265 .455 .302 32.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ View Complete Run Value Leaderboard

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 293 83.9 95 15.6 2:15 2:15 0
2020 Curveball 68 77.0 94 19.9 6:30 6:30 0
2020 Cutter 29 87.9 43 5.8 12:00 11:30 30
2020 4-Seam Fastball 536 94.1 100 18.8 1:00 1:00 0
2021 Changeup 487 85.3 93 15.9 2:15 2:15 0
2021 Curveball 230 78.7 97 21.1 6:45 6:30 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,146 94.8 99 19.6 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Changeup 96 82.5 95 17.8 2:00 2:15 -15
2022 Curveball 66 76.0 96 23.3 6:45 6:45 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 190 93.0 99 20.8 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Slider 14 83.5 19 4.4 1:15 12:15 60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 567 2,280 -7 -24 11 6 -14
2020 260 1,009 2 -3 4 3 6
2021 458 1,869 -4 -3 12 5 10
2022 93 367 -3 -1 3 1 -1
+ View Complete Swing/Take Leaderboard

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 2,280 52.9 69.2 79.6 33.5 63.3 45.2 71.3 52.4 24.7 8.3 83.7
2020 963 51.3 68.8 79.7 25.4 57.1 45.3 66.9 47.7 25.9 6.6 82.8
2021 1,869 51.7 69.7 78.5 27.8 64.9 42.3 63.6 49.5 24.5 9.1 78.4
2022 367 55.6 70.1 75.5 30.7 70.0 45.2 65.6 52.6 25.4 9.3 67.6
Player 5,479 52.4 69.4 79.0 29.9 63.3 44.2 67.5 50.6 24.9 8.4 80.4
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2019 84 79 64 51 92 28 47 73 81 72 88 46 84 66 43 10
2020 24 16 14 17 50 1 11 10 5 52 90 44 24 62 30 6
2021 27 14 18 27 54 24 37 13 20 35 95 37 27 76 43 15
2022 74 49 71 83 83 80 77 50 31 46 100 49 74 43 38 11
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard

Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.2 23 21.9 1 9 14 11 47.8
2020 23.1 15 14.8 0 2 8 9 60.0
2021 23.6 15 14.7 0 12 15 3 20.0
2022 -- 0 1.3 -1 2 3 0 --

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 23 24 24 21 23 20 23 26 22 17 26 21 14 16 18 25 18 25 15 20 27 21 21 22 22 25 25 22 24 22 27
2020 15 15 14 15 16 14 0 16 14 15 16 15 12 11 13 16 15 16 12 13 15 16 15 16 16 16 16 14 16 14 17
2021 15 15 19 10 16 18 14 17 16 14 13 14 9 9 14 18 17 14 14 14 18 13 14 13 13 17 17 13 16 13 19
2022 0 1 3 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 0 2 1 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 3 0 3
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
+ View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.9 93.7 -0.2 94.8 1.1 93 -1.8
Offspeed Velocity 84.5 83.9 -0.6 85.2 1.3 82.5 -2.7
Breaking Velocity 76.1 76.9 0.8 78.7 1.8 77.3 -1.4
Exit Velocity 87.8 90.9 3.1 90.5 -0.4 88.7 -1.8
Launch Angle 15.7 9.3 -6.4 10.7 1.4 10.1 -0.6
Barrel % 7.1 11 3.9 8.6 -2.4 5.7 -2.9
Hard Hit % 32.5 47.4 14.9 42.7 -4.7 41.4 -1.3
Sweet Spot % 33.1 34.7 1.6 34.4 -0.3 37.1 2.7
xBA .217 .276 0.059 .274 -0.002 .255 -0.019
BA .204 .262 0.058 .269 0.007 .284 0.015
xwOBA .279 .345 0.066 .332 -0.013 .296 -0.036
wOBA .268 .342 0.074 .319 -0.023 .297 -0.022
xSLG .385 .488 0.103 .46 -0.028 .389 -0.071
SLG .38 .515 0.135 .445 -0.07 .386 -0.059
K% 26.9 23.7 -3.2 21.6 -2.1 21.5 -0.1
BB% 5.5 4.9 -0.6 4.8 -0.1 2.2 -2.6
Swing % 52.4 47.7 -4.7 49.5 1.8 52.6 3.1
Whiff% 24.7 25.9 1.2 24.5 -1.4 25.4 0.9
In Zone % 52.9 51.3 -1.6 51.7 0.4 55.6 3.9
Out of Zone % 47.1 48.7 1.6 48.3 -0.4 44.4 -3.9
Out of Zone Swing % 33.5 25.4 -8.1 27.8 2.4 30.7 2.9
First Pitch Swing % 33.5 31.4 -2.1 30.3 -1.1 28 -2.3
First Pitch Strike % 71.3 66.9 -4.4 63.6 -3.3 65.6 2
+ View Complete Year to Year Changes Leaderboard

Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2019 567 .268 277 30 10.8 290 74 25.5
2020 244 .335 113 2 1.8 131 49 37.4
2021 458 .319 228 4 1.8 230 123 53.5
2022 93 .297 58 11 19.0 35 28 80.0

Pitch Tempo