Chris Paddack
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 217LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2015 | Rd: 8, #236, Miami Marlins | Cedar Park (TX) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 7 7 5.07 23 22 0 108.1 99 1.26
2022 1 2 4.03 5 5 0 22.1 20 1.21
2023 1 0 5.40 2 0 0 5 8 1.40
5 Seasons 22 21 4.21 68 65 0 335.1 338 1.14
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 23 7-7 5.07 108.1 99 1.26
2022 5 1-2 4.03 22.1 20 1.21
2023 2 1-0 5.40 5 8 1.40
5 Seasons 68 22-21 4.21 335.1 338 1.14
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 23 2280 378 27 7.1 4.8 87.8 113.0 15.7 33.1 .217 .385 .268 .279 .354 32.5 26.9 5.5 3.33 3.38
2020 24 963 173 19 11.0 7.8 90.9 111.9 9.3 34.7 .276 .489 .342 .346 .433 47.4 23.7 4.9 4.73 5.20
2021 25 1869 337 29 8.6 6.3 90.5 113.6 10.7 34.4 .274 .460 .319 .331 .407 42.7 21.6 4.8 5.07 4.69
2022 26 367 70 4 5.7 4.3 88.7 106.4 10.1 37.1 .240 .347 .296 .275 .335 41.4 21.5 2.2 4.03 3.10
2023 27 79 13 1 7.7 4.5 85.5 103.0 10.6 46.2 .249 .405 .340 .297 .449 38.5 36.4 4.5 5.40 3.69
Player 5558 971 80 8.2 5.8 89.3 113.6 12.4 34.3 .248 .426 .301 .308 .386 39.4 24.4 4.9
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Paddack relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(44.3%) ,
Changeup
(36.7%) ,
Curveball
(15.2%) ,
Slider
(3.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 40.7 25.7 24.1 9.5 38.1 33.6 28.3 5.0 27.0 30.7 23.3 6.1 7.1 4.8
2020 49.1 19.7 25.4 5.8 40.5 37.0 22.5 4.6 34.1 19.7 26.0 4.0 11.0 7.8
2021 44.5 27.3 24.0 4.2 31.8 38.3 29.7 5.6 29.4 21.4 27.3 7.4 8.6 6.3
2022 47.1 18.6 25.7 8.6 35.7 35.7 28.6 7.1 34.3 21.4 27.1 4.3 5.7 4.3
2023 30.8 23.1 38.5 7.7 15.4 53.8 30.8 7.7 30.8 15.4 30.8 7.7 7.7 4.5
Player 43.9 24.6 24.6 6.9 35.8 36.3 27.8 5.4 29.7 24.6 25.5 6.1 8.2 5.8
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Curveball MIN R 12 79.7 55.2 1.7 3 4.4 -3.6 -45
2023 Changeup MIN R 29 84.9 31.8 0.7 2 14.0 0.1 0
2023 4-Seamer MIN R 35 95.5 14.0 -0.5 -4 10.2 3.6 56
2023 Slider MIN R 3 84.6 35.0 -2.1 -6 0.3 -4.6 -94
2022 Changeup MIN R 97 82.5 31.5 -0.1 0 15.3 1.8 13
2022 Curveball MIN R 66 76.0 66.0 6.2 10 9.4 -0.1 -1
2022 4-Seamer MIN R 190 93.0 13.3 1.2 8 9.9 4.0 68
2022 Slider MIN R 14 83.5 34.5 -3.4 -9 0.0 -6.0 -100
2021 4-Seamer SD R 1,149 94.8 13.1 0.3 2 9.5 3.1 49
2021 Changeup SD R 490 85.2 30.3 0.4 1 13.8 0.3 2
2021 Curveball SD R 230 78.7 61.6 6.6 12 6.5 -2.0 -23
2020 Cutter SD R 33 87.9 29.1 -1.6 -6 1.3 -1.9 -60
2020 Curveball SD R 71 76.9 62.6 4.8 8 5.8 -3.8 -39
2020 Changeup SD R 299 83.9 31.9 0.8 2 13.7 0.7 6
2020 4-Seamer SD R 560 94.1 14.7 -0.6 -4 9.8 3.0 45
2019 Changeup SD R 650 84.5 29.2 -0.8 -3 12.0 -1.0 -8
2019 Curveball SD R 238 76.1 60.7 1.4 2 6.2 -3.5 -36
2019 4-Seamer SD R 1,391 93.9 12.6 2.0 14 7.6 0.9 13
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer -1.6 -1 35 44.3 10 .333 .444 .375 37.5 40.0 36.4 .243 .278 .274 40.0
2023 Changeup 0.0 0 29 36.7 8 .250 .625 .363 36.8 37.5 33.3 .257 .608 .358 40.0
2023 Curveball 5.1 1 12 15.2 4 .250 .250 .225 0.0 25.0 33.3 .246 .286 .235 33.3
2023 Slider 0.6 0 3 3.8 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2022 4-Seamer 1.7 3 190 51.8 44 .244 .317 .260 22.3 25.0 19.3 .232 .358 .281 51.6
2022 Changeup -0.6 -1 97 26.4 31 .276 .414 .329 30.6 22.6 21.2 .246 .326 .274 26.1
2022 Curveball -3.1 -2 66 18.0 16 .438 .563 .438 25.0 12.5 11.8 .255 .375 .272 42.9
2022 Slider 2.2 0 14 3.8 2 .000 .000 .000 25.0 0.0 0.0 .175 .186 .159 50.0
2021 4-Seamer -0.7 -8 1,149 61.5 246 .314 .531 .383 21.1 18.7 13.9 .302 .513 .364 46.5
2021 Changeup -0.8 -4 490 26.2 167 .234 .399 .308 28.2 20.4 17.8 .253 .436 .314 36.5
2021 Curveball 0.9 2 230 12.3 45 .163 .163 .171 36.0 42.2 24.1 .206 .265 .226 45.8
2020 4-Seamer -1.2 -7 560 58.2 131 .308 .658 .418 20.9 19.8 16.7 .307 .596 .401 57.3
2020 Changeup 2.7 8 299 31.0 95 .187 .275 .259 32.7 27.4 20.8 .232 .324 .260 32.3
2020 Curveball -0.8 -1 71 7.4 13 .250 .583 .404 20.8 30.8 19.0 .274 .617 .395 50.0
2020 Cutter -7.4 -2 33 3.4 6 .500 1.167 .692 50.0 33.3 28.6 .331 .607 .394 50.0
2019 4-Seamer 0.5 7 1,392 61.1 312 .204 .391 .300 23.2 29.2 18.6 .209 .387 .280 35.7
2019 Changeup 1.3 8 650 28.5 210 .190 .349 .276 29.2 25.7 20.8 .218 .366 .274 28.2
2019 Curveball -0.7 -2 238 10.4 45 .267 .444 .304 17.0 17.8 14.5 .265 .455 .302 32.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 29 84.9 93 15.7 2:15 2:30 -15
2023 Curveball 12 79.7 83 15.4 7:00 6:30 30
2023 4-Seam Fastball 35 95.5 100 18.7 1:15 1:15 0
2022 Changeup 96 82.5 95 17.8 2:00 2:15 -15
2022 Curveball 66 76.0 96 23.3 6:45 6:45 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 190 93.0 99 20.8 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Slider 14 83.5 19 4.4 1:15 12:15 60
2021 Changeup 487 85.3 93 15.9 2:15 2:15 0
2021 Curveball 230 78.7 97 21.1 6:45 6:30 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,146 94.8 99 19.6 1:00 1:00 0
2020 Changeup 293 83.9 95 15.6 2:15 2:15 0
2020 Curveball 68 77.0 94 19.9 6:30 6:30 0
2020 Cutter 29 87.9 43 5.8 12:00 11:30 30
2020 4-Seam Fastball 536 94.1 100 18.8 1:00 1:00 0
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 567 2,280 7 24 -11 -6 14
2020 260 1,009 -2 3 -4 -3 -6
2021 458 1,869 5 2 -11 -5 -10
2022 93 367 3 1 -2 -1 1
2023 34 127 2 -1 0 0 2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 2,280 52.8 69.4 79.6 33.5 63.3 45.3 71.3 52.4 24.7 8.3 83.7
2020 963 51.3 68.8 79.7 25.4 57.1 45.2 66.9 47.7 25.9 6.6 82.8
2021 1,869 51.7 69.7 78.6 27.9 64.7 42.3 63.6 49.5 24.5 9.2 78.5
2022 367 55.9 69.8 75.5 30.9 70.0 45.2 65.6 52.6 25.4 9.3 67.6
2023 79 57.0 68.9 71.0 23.5 50.0 51.9 54.5 49.4 33.3 8.9 57.1
Player 5,558 52.4 69.4 78.9 29.8 63.1 44.3 67.3 50.6 25.0 8.4 80.1
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2019 84 79 64 51 92 28 47 73 81 72 88 46 88 62 45 10 94
2020 24 16 14 17 50 1 11 10 5 52 90 44 27 65 32 7 91
2021 28 14 18 27 54 24 37 13 20 35 95 37 49 73 44 15 87
2022 35 41 10 88
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.2 23 22.0 1 10 17 9 39.1
2020 23.1 15 14.6 0 0 9 8 53.3
2021 23.6 15 13.9 1 10 14 3 20.0
2022 -- 0 1.1 -1 2 2 0 --
2023 22.7 1 0.5 1 0 1 0 0.0
Player 22.8 54 52.1 2 22 43 20 37.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 23 25 15 25 24 25 25 21 17 15 17 24 25 22 24 22 20 22 23 25 23 26 27 25 20 22 16 25 25 20 16
2020 15 16 15 14 13 17 16 16 11 12 13 13 15 15 16 14 17 15 16 15 17 12 17 15 14 13 15 15 16 13 12
2021 15 14 12 13 14 12 17 13 8 9 11 18 15 11 14 17 11 13 14 17 13 16 19 17 12 11 18 18 14 14 12
2022 0 1 1 2 2 1 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 2 3 0 0 1 2 3 0 1 1
2023 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Player 54 57 43 54 53 55 61 50 37 36 43 58 57 49 57 55 49 50 54 60 54 57 67 58 46 47 51 61 56 48 41
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2019 2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.9 93.7 -0.2 ↓ 94.8 1.1 ↑ 93.0 -1.8 ↓ 95.5 2.5 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 84.5 83.9 -0.6 ↓ 85.2 1.3 ↑ 82.5 -2.7 ↓ 84.9 2.4 ↑
Breaking Velocity 76.1 76.9 0.8 ↑ 78.7 1.8 ↑ 77.3 -1.4 ↓ 80.7 3.4 ↑
Exit Velocity 87.8 90.9 3.1 ↑ 90.5 -0.4 ↓ 88.7 -1.8 ↓ 85.5 -3.2 ↓
Launch Angle 15.7 9.3 -6.4 ↓ 10.7 1.4 ↑ 10.1 -0.6 ↓ 10.6 0.5 ↑
Barrel % 7.1 11.0 3.9 ↑ 8.6 -2.4 ↓ 5.7 -2.9 ↓ 7.7 2.0 ↑
Hard Hit % 32.5 47.4 14.9 ↑ 42.7 -4.7 ↓ 41.4 -1.3 ↓ 38.5 -2.9 ↓
Sweet Spot % 33.1 34.7 1.6 ↑ 34.4 -0.3 ↓ 37.1 2.7 ↑ 46.2 9.1 ↑
xBA .217 .276 0.059 ↑ .274 -0.002 ↓ .240 -0.034 ↓ .249 0.009 ↑
BA .204 .262 0.058 ↑ .269 0.007 ↑ .284 0.015 ↑ .286 0.002 ↑
xwOBA .279 .346 0.067 ↑ .331 -0.015 ↓ .275 -0.056 ↓ .297 0.022 ↑
wOBA .268 .342 0.074 ↑ .319 -0.023 ↓ .296 -0.023 ↓ .340 0.044 ↑
xSLG .385 .489 0.104 ↑ .460 -0.029 ↓ .347 -0.113 ↓ .405 0.058 ↑
SLG .380 .515 0.135 ↑ .445 -0.070 ↓ .386 -0.059 ↓ .476 0.090 ↑
K% 26.9 23.7 -3.2 ↓ 21.6 -2.1 ↓ 21.5 -0.1 ↓ 36.4 14.9 ↑
BB% 5.5 4.9 -0.6 ↓ 4.8 -0.1 ↓ 2.2 -2.6 ↓ 4.5 2.3 ↑
Swing % 52.4 47.7 -4.7 ↓ 49.5 1.8 ↑ 52.6 3.1 ↑ 49.4 -3.2 ↓
Whiff% 24.7 25.9 1.2 ↑ 24.5 -1.4 ↓ 25.4 0.9 ↑ 33.3 7.9 ↑
In Zone % 52.8 51.3 -1.5 ↓ 51.7 0.4 ↑ 55.9 4.2 ↑ 57.0 1.1 ↑
Out of Zone % 47.2 48.7 1.5 ↑ 48.3 -0.4 ↓ 44.1 -4.2 ↓ 43.0 -1.1 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 33.5 25.4 -8.1 ↓ 27.9 2.5 ↑ 30.9 3.0 ↑ 23.5 -7.4 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 33.5 31.4 -2.1 ↓ 30.3 -1.1 ↓ 28.0 -2.3 ↓ 27.3 -0.7 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 71.3 66.9 -4.4 ↓ 63.6 -3.3 ↓ 65.6 2.0 ↑ 54.5 -11.1 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2019 Shifts 567 .268 277 39 14.1 290 105 36.2
2020 Shifts 244 .335 113 4 3.5 131 66 50.4
2021 Shifts 458 .319 228 4 1.8 230 132 57.4
2022 Shifts 93 .296 58 13 22.4 35 28 80.0
2023 Shades 22 .340 17 2 11.8 5 2 40.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 722 15.1 48.5% 0.7% 232 23.3 0.9% 8.2%
2020 292 16.4 29.5% 1.0% 152 23.5 0.0% 7.9%
2021 576 17.3 24.7% 1.2% 241 26.4 0.0% 25.7%
2022 115 17.1 21.7% 2.6% 36 26.2 0.0% 16.7%
2023 16 13.9 75.0% 0.0% 13 20.1 0.0% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution

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