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Chris Paddack
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 5" 217LBS | Age: 25
Draft: 2015 | Rd: 8, #236, Miami Marlins | Cedar Park (TX) HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 7 7 5.07 23 22 0 108.1 99 1.26
3 Seasons 20 19 4.21 61 60 0 308.0 310 1.13
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 23 7-7 5.07 108.1 99 1.26
3 Seasons 61 20-19 4.21 308.0 310 1.13

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 23 2280 378 27 7.1 87.8 113 15.7 33.1 .217 .385 .268 .279 .354 32.5 26.9 5.5 3.33 3.45
2020 24 963 173 19 11 90.9 111.9 9.3 34.7 .275 .487 .342 .344 .431 47.4 23.7 4.9 4.73 5.17
2021 25 1869 337 29 8.6 90.5 113.6 10.7 34.4 .270 .450 .319 .328 .402 42.7 21.6 4.8 5.07 4.69
5112 888 75 8.4 89.4 113.6 12.6 33.9 .247 .428 .301 .310 .387 39.3 24.4 5.1
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Paddack relies on 3 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(61.5%) ,
Changeup
(26.2%) ,
Curveball
(12.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1149 629 520 61.5 94.8 246 226 71 44 15 2 10 46 187 .314 .297 .531 .500 .373 .359 90.2 12 2210 6.8 21.1 13.9
2021 Changeup 490 200 290 26.2 85.2 167 158 37 23 7 2 5 34 126 .234 .249 .399 .428 .283 .311 87.7 7 1795 6.8 28.2 17.8
2021 Curveball 230 92 138 12.3 78.7 45 43 7 7 0 0 0 19 24 .163 .205 .163 .268 .167 .227 90.2 3 2185 6.5 36.0 24.1
2020 4-Seam Fastball 560 283 277 58.2 94.1 131 120 37 17 8 2 10 26 96 .308 .307 .658 .596 .413 .401 92.7 12 2170 6.9 20.9 16.7
2020 Changeup 299 137 162 31.0 83.9 95 91 17 13 2 0 2 26 65 .187 .232 .275 .324 .218 .260 85.5 5 1786 6.9 32.7 20.8
2020 Curveball 71 30 41 7.4 76.9 13 12 3 1 1 0 1 4 8 .250 .249 .583 .563 .369 .363 89.0 -5 2096 6.7 20.8 19.0
2020 Cutter 33 10 23 3.4 87.9 6 6 3 1 1 0 1 2 4 .500 .331 1.167 .607 .683 .394 92.9 10 2156 6.6 50.0 28.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2019 40.7 25.7 24.1 9.5 38.1 33.6 28.3 5 27 30.7 23.3 6.1 7.1
2020 49.1 17.9 27.2 5.8 40.5 37 22.5 4.6 34.1 19.7 26 4 11
2021 44.5 27.3 24 4.2 31.8 38.3 29.7 5.6 29.4 21.4 27.3 7.4 8.6
43.8 24.8 24.7 6.8 36.1 36 27.7 5.2 29.3 25 25.3 6.2 8.4
45.1 22.4 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 4-Seamer SD R 1149 94.8 13.1 0.3 2 9.5 3.1 49
2021 Curveball SD R 230 78.7 61.6 6.8 12 6.5 -2 -24
2021 Changeup SD R 490 85.2 30.3 0.5 2 13.8 0.3 2
2020 Cutter SD R 33 87.9 29.1 -1.3 -5 1.3 -2 -61
2020 Curveball SD R 71 76.9 62.6 5 9 5.8 -3.8 -40
2020 Changeup SD R 298 83.9 31.8 0.7 2 13.7 0.8 6
2020 4-Seamer SD R 560 94.1 14.7 -0.6 -4 9.8 3.1 46
2019 4-Seamer SD R 1391 93.9 12.6 2 14 7.6 0.9 13
2019 Curveball SD R 238 76.1 60.7 1.4 2 6.2 -3.5 -36
2019 Changeup SD R 650 84.5 29.2 -0.8 -3 12 -1 -8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Curveball -1 -2 230 12.3 45 .163 .163 .171 36 42.2 24.1 .205 .268 .227 45.8
2021 Changeup 0.9 4 490 26.2 167 .234 .399 .308 28.2 20.4 17.8 .249 .428 .312 36.5
2021 4-Seamer 0.7 8 1149 61.5 246 .314 .531 .381 21.1 18.7 13.9 .297 .5 .359 46.5
2020 Cutter 7.5 2 33 3.4 6 .5 1.167 .692 50 33.3 28.6 .331 .607 .394 50
2020 Curveball 0.8 1 71 7.4 13 .25 .583 .373 20.8 30.8 19 .249 .563 .363 50
2020 Changeup -2.8 -8 299 31 95 .187 .275 .24 32.7 27.4 20.8 .232 .324 .26 32.3
2020 4-Seamer 1.2 7 560 58.2 131 .308 .658 .418 20.9 19.8 16.7 .307 .596 .401 57.3
2019 Curveball 0.7 2 238 10.4 45 .267 .444 .304 17 17.8 14.5 .265 .455 .302 32.4
2019 Changeup -1.5 -10 650 28.5 210 .19 .349 .267 29.2 25.7 20.8 .218 .367 .274 28.2
2019 4-Seamer -0.5 -7 1392 61.1 312 .204 .391 .3 23.2 29.2 18.6 .209 .387 .28 35.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 293 83.9 95 15.6 2:15 2:15 0
2020 Curveball 68 77 94 19.9 6:30 6:30 0
2020 Cutter 29 87.9 43 5.8 12:00 11:30 30
2020 4-Seam Fastball 535 94.1 100 18.8 1:00 1:00 0
2021 Changeup 487 85.3 93 15.9 2:15 2:15 0
2021 Curveball 230 78.7 97 21.1 6:45 6:30 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1146 94.8 99 19.6 1:00 1:00 0
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 567 2280 -8 -25 11 6 -15
2020 260 1009 3 -2 3 3 6
2021 458 1869 -4 -2 12 5 10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 2280 52.9 69.2 79.6 33.5 63.3 45.2 71.3 52.4 24.7 8.3 83.7
2020 963 51.3 68.8 79.7 25.4 57.1 45.3 66.9 47.7 25.9 6.6 82.8
2021 1869 51.7 69.7 78.5 27.8 64.9 42.3 63.6 49.5 24.5 9.1 78.4
5112 52.2 69.3 79.2 29.9 62.9 44.2 67.7 50.4 24.9 8.3 81.4
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2019 82 76 63 50 92 28 46 73 80 72 88 46 82 68 43 11
2020 24 16 14 17 49 1 11 10 5 52 90 44 24 60 29 7
2021 28 14 17 28 54 18 38 14 21 35 95 39 28 75 42 16
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.2 23 20.3 3 9 14 11 47.8
2020 23.1 15 14 1 3 11 5 33.3
2021 23.6 15 13.8 1 12 13 3 20

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 23 22 25 22 24 17 20 24 20 19 24 21 12 16 18 24 15 21 15 22 13 20 17 23 21 25 23 19 22 20 25
2020 15 16 14 15 16 14 13 16 14 15 16 15 10 11 14 16 9 16 14 13 6 13 15 15 16 15 16 15 14 13 16
2021 15 17 16 15 19 11 12 18 14 14 14 15 7 11 13 16 9 14 14 16 9 13 13 14 15 17 14 12 18 9 16
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.9 93.7 -0.2 ↓ 94.8 1.1 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 84.5 83.9 -0.6 ↓ 85.2 1.3 ↑
Breaking Velocity 76.1 76.9 0.8 ↑ 78.7 1.8 ↑
Exit Velocity 87.8 90.9 3.1 ↑ 90.5 -0.4 ↓
Launch Angle 15.7 9.3 -6.4 ↓ 10.7 1.4 ↑
Barrel % 7.1 11 3.9 ↑ 8.6 -2.4 ↓
Hard Hit % 32.5 47.4 14.9 ↑ 42.7 -4.7 ↓
Sweet Spot % 33.1 34.7 1.6 ↑ 34.4 -0.3 ↓
xBA .217 .275 0.058 ↑ .27 -0.005 ↓
BA .204 .262 0.058 ↑ .269 0.007 ↑
xwOBA .279 .344 0.065 ↑ .328 -0.016 ↓
wOBA .268 .342 0.074 ↑ .319 -0.023 ↓
xSLG .385 .487 0.102 ↑ .45 -0.037 ↓
SLG .38 .515 0.135 ↑ .445 -0.07 ↓
K% 26.9 23.7 -3.2 ↓ 21.6 -2.1 ↓
BB% 5.5 4.9 -0.6 ↓ 4.8 -0.1 ↓
Swing % 52.4 47.7 -4.7 ↓ 49.5 1.8 ↑
Whiff% 24.7 25.9 1.2 ↑ 24.5 -1.4 ↓
In Zone % 52.9 51.3 -1.6 ↓ 51.7 0.4 ↑
Out of Zone % 47.1 48.7 1.6 ↑ 48.3 -0.4 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 33.5 25.4 -8.1 ↓ 27.8 2.4 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 33.5 31.4 -2.1 ↓ 30.3 -1.1 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 71.3 66.9 -4.4 ↓ 63.6 -3.3 ↓
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2019 567 .268 277 30 10.8 290 74 25.5
2020 244 .335 113 2 1.8 131 49 37.4
2021 458 .319 228 4 1.8 230 123 53.5

Pitch Distribution

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