Chris Paddack
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 217LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2015 | Rd: 8, #236, Miami Marlins | Cedar Park (TX) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 1 0 5.40 2 0 0 5 8 1.40
2024 5 3 4.99 17 17 0 88.1 79 1.39
2025 2 6 4.30 14 14 0 75.1 53 1.23
7 Seasons 29 30 4.36 99 96 0 499 470 1.20
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 2 1-0 5.40 5 8 1.40
2024 17 5-3 4.99 88.1 79 1.39
2025 14 2-6 4.30 75.1 53 1.23
7 Seasons 99 29-30 4.36 499 470 1.20
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 23 2280 378 27 7.1 4.8 87.8 113.0 15.7 33.1 .217 .385 .268 .279 .353 32.5 26.9 5.5 3.33 3.38
2020 24 963 173 19 11.0 7.8 90.9 111.9 9.3 34.7 .276 .488 .342 .345 .433 47.4 23.7 4.9 4.73 5.16
2021 25 1869 337 29 8.6 6.3 90.5 113.6 10.7 34.4 .274 .459 .319 .331 .407 42.7 21.6 4.8 5.07 4.73
2022 26 367 70 4 5.7 4.3 88.7 106.4 10.1 37.1 .239 .346 .296 .275 .335 41.4 21.5 2.2 4.03 3.10
2023 27 79 13 1 7.7 4.5 85.5 103.0 10.6 46.2 .249 .405 .340 .297 .449 38.5 36.4 4.5 5.40 3.69
2024 28 1460 283 28 9.9 7.3 90.4 115.5 14.3 40.6 .272 .463 .332 .336 .403 43.1 20.6 5.5 4.99 4.81
2025 29 1241 238 18 7.6 5.7 90.1 111.3 15.8 32.4 .270 .457 .303 .339 .379 42.9 16.8 7.3 4.30 4.40
Player 8259 1492 126 8.4 6.0 89.7 115.5 13.3 35.2 .256 .437 .307 .318 .388 40.7 22.5 5.4
MLB 7.1 4.8 88.5 122.9 12.4 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .369 36.7 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Paddack relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(48.3%) ,
Changeup
(23.7%) ,
Slider
(14.1%) ,
Curveball
(12.3%) ,
Sinker
(1.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2019 40.7 59.3 25.7 24.1 9.5 38.1 33.6 28.3 20.4 14.6 5.8 17.7 19.0 22.5
2020 49.1 50.9 19.7 25.4 5.8 40.5 37.0 22.5 23.7 17.9 7.5 16.8 19.1 15.0
2021 44.5 55.5 27.3 24.0 4.2 31.8 38.3 29.7 17.5 18.4 8.3 14.2 19.9 21.4
2022 47.1 52.9 18.6 25.7 8.6 35.7 35.7 28.6 21.4 20.0 5.7 14.3 15.7 22.9
2023 30.8 69.2 23.1 38.5 7.7 15.4 53.8 30.8 15.4 15.4 0.0 0.0 38.5 30.8
2024 38.5 61.5 25.8 29.0 6.7 33.2 43.5 23.3 15.9 16.6 6.0 17.3 26.9 17.3
2025 39.9 60.1 26.1 22.3 11.8 36.6 37.4 26.1 17.2 18.1 4.6 19.3 19.3 21.4
Player 42.2 57.8 25.1 25.1 7.6 35.5 37.8 26.7 18.8 17.0 6.4 16.7 20.8 20.3
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.9 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.7 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 5.0 27.0 30.7 23.3 6.1 7.1 4.8
2020 4.6 34.1 19.7 26.0 4.0 11.0 7.8
2021 5.6 29.4 21.4 27.3 7.4 8.6 6.3
2022 7.1 34.3 21.4 27.1 4.3 5.7 4.3
2023 7.7 30.8 15.4 30.8 7.7 7.7 4.5
2024 5.3 24.7 28.3 25.1 6.7 9.9 7.3
2025 5.5 28.2 27.3 23.5 8.0 7.6 5.7
Player 5.4 28.5 25.7 25.1 6.5 8.4 6.0
MLB 3.9 32.5 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.1 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Changeup MIN R 294 84.1 34.1 0.8 15.2ARM 0.4 4.7 -0.6 15.2ARM 0.4
2025 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 600 93.6 12.6 1.4 8.9ARM 2.5 18.8 2.9 8.9ARM 1.2
2025 Sinker MIN R 19 93.5 16.6 -4.9 14.5ARM -0.1 14.8 -7.4 14.5ARM -0.8
2025 Curveball MIN R 153 78.0 58.5 2.0 5.6GLV -3.1 -13.0 3.3 5.6GLV -3.8
2025 Slider MIN R 175 86.4 29.6 -5.0 2.3GLV -1.8 7.0 -5.3 2.3GLV -2.6
2024 Slider MIN R 258 85.9 31.7 -3.6 2.0GLV -2.3 5.3 -3.7 2.0GLV -2.9
2024 Changeup MIN R 378 82.9 35.5 2.6 15.2ARM 1.1 4.6 0.3 15.2ARM 1.0
2024 Curveball MIN R 198 78.2 58.2 3.1 6.7GLV -1.6 -13.2 3.2 6.7GLV -2.7
2024 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 625 93.3 14.6 0.1 10.6ARM 4.2 17.0 1.3 10.6ARM 3.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.8 5 600 48.3 145 .244 .339 .293 17.7 16.6 11.6 .278 .448 .338 48.1
2025 Changeup -0.6 -2 294 23.7 91 .232 .390 .311 27.5 18.7 16.2 .245 .446 .340 42.4
2025 Slider -0.7 -1 175 14.1 39 .243 .541 .369 25.3 20.5 13.8 .300 .536 .372 44.8
2025 Curveball -0.7 -1 153 12.3 32 .290 .419 .298 16.4 9.4 7.9 .232 .346 .254 27.6
2025 Sinker -0.9 0 19 1.5 8 .286 .571 .400 23.1 12.5 50.0 .419 .819 .544 16.7
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.7 4 626 42.9 166 .277 .400 .317 24.3 28.3 24.4 .245 .374 .294 48.6
2024 Changeup -1.5 -6 378 25.9 115 .283 .519 .363 24.8 14.8 15.0 .291 .565 .385 37.8
2024 Slider -0.6 -1 258 17.7 56 .264 .434 .321 25.4 17.9 14.7 .243 .443 .314 37.2
2024 Curveball -1.3 -3 198 13.6 47 .326 .435 .360 19.0 10.6 7.8 .350 .552 .395 46.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 293 84.1 97 16.4 2:15 2:45 -30
2025 Curveball 153 78.0 88 17.1 7:00 6:45 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 600 93.6 100 20.5 1:00 1:00 0
2025 Sinker 19 93.5 99 20.7 1:15 1:30 -15
2025 Slider 175 86.4 48 6.8 12:00 11:00 60
2024 Changeup 374 82.8 95 16.4 2:15 2:45 -30
2024 Curveball 198 78.2 88 17.5 7:00 6:45 15
2024 4-Seam Fastball 623 93.3 99 19.7 1:00 1:15 -15
2024 Slider 257 85.9 34 4.8 12:45 11:00 105
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 567 2,280 13 30 -14 -7 22
2020 245 963 -4 6 -5 -3 -7
2021 458 1,869 12 5 -13 -6 -1
2022 93 367 5 1 -2 -1 3
2023 22 79 2 -1 0 0 0
2024 384 1,460 -2 6 -5 -5 -5
2025 315 1,241 1 13 -10 -3 0
Player 2,084 8,259 27 60 -49 27 12
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 2,280 52.8 69.4 79.6 33.5 63.3 45.3 71.3 52.4 24.7 8.3 83.7
2020 963 51.3 68.8 79.7 25.4 57.1 45.2 66.9 47.7 25.9 6.6 82.8
2021 1,869 51.7 69.7 78.6 27.9 64.7 42.3 63.6 49.5 24.6 9.2 78.5
2022 367 55.9 69.8 75.5 30.9 70.0 45.2 65.6 52.6 25.4 9.3 67.6
2023 79 57.0 68.9 71.0 23.5 50.0 51.9 54.5 49.4 33.3 8.9 57.1
2024 1,460 50.6 68.1 82.1 30.2 60.1 45.5 63.5 49.4 24.0 6.8 82.8
2025 1,241 48.4 69.4 84.4 32.8 67.1 48.3 66.3 50.5 21.2 5.9 72.6
Player 8,259 51.5 69.2 80.2 30.4 63.3 45.1 66.5 50.4 24.3 7.7 79.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.1 28.4 57.6 42.6 61.1 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2019 84 79 64 51 92 28 47 73 81 72 88 45 88 62 45 10 94
2020 24 16 14 17 49 1 11 10 5 52 90 44 27 64 32 6 91
2021 27 13 18 27 54 24 37 13 20 35 95 37 49 72 45 15 87
2022 35 41 10 88
2024 15 10 7 8 43 29 12 11 13 30 87 39 67 37 40 7 90
2025 30 22 24 28 45 17 59 36 34 14 65 20 89 37 37 4 92
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.20 23 22.0 1 9 17 9 39.1
2020 23.07 15 13.6 1 1 9 7 46.7
2021 23.59 15 13.8 1 9 14 3 20.0
2022 -- 0 1.3 -1 3 2 0 --
2023 22.65 1 0.5 1 0 1 0 0.0
2024 23.90 14 14.8 -1 2 16 4 28.6
2025 23.12 10 9.9 0 6 5 5 50.0
Player 23.04 78 76.0 2 30 64 28 35.9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2019 23 25 15 25 24 25 25 21 17 15 17 24 25 22 24 22 20 22 23 25 23 25 27 25 20 22 16 25 25 20 16
2020 15 15 14 13 12 16 15 15 10 11 12 12 14 14 15 13 16 14 15 14 16 11 16 14 13 12 14 14 15 13 11
2021 15 14 11 13 14 12 17 13 7 9 11 18 15 11 14 17 11 12 14 17 13 16 19 17 12 11 18 18 14 14 12
2022 0 2 2 3 3 1 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 2 3 0 0 1 3 3 0 1 2
2023 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2024 14 15 9 15 13 15 18 15 11 11 15 12 18 14 15 13 17 13 16 16 17 15 21 20 14 16 11 16 18 13 11
2025 10 10 8 11 13 10 10 9 8 8 10 14 11 13 10 9 9 9 8 11 9 10 11 11 9 9 9 10 11 9 9
Player 78 82 59 80 79 79 88 73 54 54 67 83 85 75 81 77 74 70 77 86 79 80 98 88 68 71 71 86 84 70 61
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-   2025
Fastball Velocity 93.9 -0.2 93.7 1.1 94.8 -1.8 93.0 2.5 95.5 -2.2 93.3 0.3 93.6
Offspeed Velocity 84.5 -0.6 83.9 1.3 85.2 -2.7 82.5 2.4 84.9 -2.0 82.9 1.2 84.1
Breaking Velocity 76.1 0.8 76.9 1.8 78.7 -1.4 77.3 3.4 80.7 1.9 82.6 -0.1 82.5
Exit Velocity 87.8 3.1 90.9 -0.4 90.5 -1.8 88.7 -3.2 85.5 4.9 90.4 -0.3 90.1
Launch Angle 15.7 -6.4 9.3 1.4 10.7 -0.6 10.1 0.5 10.6 3.7 14.3 1.5 15.8
Barrel % 7.1 3.9 11.0 -2.4 8.6 -2.9 5.7 2.0 7.7 2.2 9.9 -2.3 7.6
Hard Hit % 32.5 14.9 47.4 -4.7 42.7 -1.3 41.4 -2.9 38.5 4.6 43.1 -0.2 42.9
LA Sweet-Spot % 33.1 1.6 34.7 -0.3 34.4 2.7 37.1 9.1 46.2 -5.6 40.6 -8.2 32.4
xBA .217 0.059 .276 -0.002 .274 -0.035 .239 0.010 .249 0.023 .272 -0.002 .270
BA .204 0.058 .262 0.007 .269 0.015 .284 0.002 .286 -0.003 .283 -0.037 .246
xwOBA .279 0.066 .345 -0.014 .331 -0.056 .275 0.022 .297 0.039 .336 0.003 .339
wOBA .268 0.074 .342 -0.023 .319 -0.023 .296 0.044 .340 -0.008 .332 -0.029 .303
xSLG .385 0.103 .488 -0.029 .459 -0.113 .346 0.059 .405 0.058 .463 -0.006 .457
SLG .380 0.135 .515 -0.070 .445 -0.059 .386 0.090 .476 -0.032 .444 -0.050 .394
K% 26.9 -3.2 23.7 -2.1 21.6 -0.1 21.5 14.9 36.4 -15.8 20.6 -3.8 16.8
BB% 5.5 -0.6 4.9 -0.1 4.8 -2.6 2.2 2.3 4.5 1.0 5.5 1.8 7.3
Swing % 52.4 -4.7 47.7 1.8 49.5 3.1 52.6 -3.2 49.4 0.0 49.4 1.1 50.5
Whiff% 24.7 1.2 25.9 -1.3 24.6 0.8 25.4 7.9 33.3 -9.3 24.0 -2.8 21.2
In Zone % 52.8 -1.5 51.3 0.4 51.7 4.2 55.9 1.1 57.0 -6.4 50.6 -2.2 48.4
Out of Zone % 47.2 1.5 48.7 -0.4 48.3 -4.2 44.1 -1.1 43.0 6.4 49.4 2.2 51.6
Out of Zone Swing % 33.5 -8.1 25.4 2.5 27.9 3.0 30.9 -7.4 23.5 6.7 30.2 2.6 32.8
First Pitch Swing % 33.5 -2.1 31.4 -1.1 30.3 -2.3 28.0 -0.7 27.3 3.2 30.5 4.1 34.6
First Pitch Strike % 71.3 -4.4 66.9 -3.3 63.6 2.0 65.6 -11.1 54.5 9.0 63.5 2.8 66.3
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2019 Shifts 567 .268 277 30 10.8 290 74 25.5
2020 Shifts 244 .335 113 2 1.8 131 49 37.4
2021 Shifts 458 .319 228 4 1.8 230 123 53.5
2022 Shifts 93 .296 58 11 19.0 35 28 80.0
2023 Shades 22 .340 17 2 11.8 5 2 40.0
2024 Shades 384 .332 191 20 10.5 193 125 64.8
2025 Shades 310 .308 157 14 8.9 153 123 80.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 722 15.1 48.5% 0.7% 232 23.3 0.9% 8.2%
2020 292 16.4 29.5% 1.0% 152 23.5 0.0% 7.9%
2021 576 17.3 24.7% 1.2% 241 26.4 0.0% 25.7%
2022 115 17.1 21.7% 2.6% 36 26.2 0.0% 16.7%
2023 16 13.9 75.0% 0.0% 13 20.1 0.0% 0.0%
2024 408 14.6 60.0% 0.0% 224 19.9 0.0% 0.4%
2025 367 14.9 52.6% 0.3% 165 20.0 0.0% 1.2%

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Pitch Distribution