P | Milwaukee Brewers
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 1" 217 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 4, No. 107, Arizona Diamondbacks | Purdue University Northwest
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 3 8 3.53 27 23 0 119.2 127 1.28
2026 3 2 2.26 16 6 2 51.2 39 1.18
2 Seasons 6 10 3.15 43 29 2 171.1 166 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 27 3-8 3.53 119.2 127 1.28
2026 16 3-2 2.26 51.2 39 1.18
2 Seasons 43 6-10 3.15 171.1 166 1.25
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 26 2010 332 27 8.1 5.4 89.4 117.7 18.5 40.1 .240 .395 .307 .306 .374 42.2 25.2 8.0 3.54 3.88
2026 27 811 147 9 6.1 4.4 89.1 116.1 18.5 35.4 .255 .370 .282 .308 .339 39.5 18.9 9.7 2.27 3.81
Player 2821 479 36 7.5 5.1 89.3 117.7 18.5 38.6 .244 .388 .300 .307 .363 41.3 23.4 8.5
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Patrick relies on 5 pitches.
Cutter
(41.6%) ,
Four Seamer
(25.4%) ,
Sinker
(20.8%) ,
Slurve
(11.7%) ,
Changeup
(0.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 31.9 68.1 28.9 29.2 9.9 38.3 34.0 27.7 15.1 11.4 5.4 23.2 22.6 22.3
2026 36.7 63.3 27.9 25.2 10.2 36.1 32.0 32.0 16.3 12.2 8.2 19.7 19.7 23.8
Player 33.4 66.6 28.6 28.0 10.0 37.6 33.4 29.0 15.4 11.7 6.3 22.1 21.7 22.8
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 4.8 22.6 31.0 26.8 6.6 8.1 5.4
2026 6.1 25.9 32.0 23.1 6.8 6.1 4.4
Player 5.2 23.6 31.3 25.7 6.7 7.5 5.1
MLB 4.0 32.3 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Cutter MIL R 337 89.3 21.9 4.2 1.7GLV -0.1 12.3 4.1 1.7GLV -0.5
2026 4-Seam Fastball MIL R 206 94.7 14.8 0.3 8.1ARM -0.3 15.7 -0.3 8.1ARM 0.3
2026 Changeup MIL R 4 88.3 29.5 -2.6 13.2ARM -1.9 5.3 -1.3 13.2ARM -1.4
2026 Slurve MIL R 95 85.3 40.7 -1.9 4.7GLV -5.0 -3.3 -3.5 4.7GLV -6.8
2026 Sinker MIL R 169 94.6 20.6 -2.3 15.3ARM -0.6 10.0 -2.4 15.3ARM 0.0
2025 Slider MIL R 106 84.2 32.9 -4.2 8.4GLV 3.2 5.7 -3.9 8.4GLV 4.1
2025 Slurve MIL R 32 85.8 40.7 -1.9 5.3GLV -5.6 -3.7 -1.1 5.3GLV -7.1
2025 Sinker MIL R 462 94.1 20.0 -3.4 15.4ARM -0.2 11.0 -3.6 15.4ARM 0.3
2025 Changeup MIL R 134 88.7 30.8 -0.8 12.5ARM -2.4 3.9 0.2 12.5ARM -2.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball MIL R 447 94.2 14.4 1.0 7.1ARM -1.0 16.6 0.8 7.1ARM -0.5
2025 Cutter MIL R 829 87.9 23.2 4.3 3.8GLV 1.7 12.3 3.9 3.8GLV 1.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Cutter 2.0 7 337 41.6 81 .173 .240 .218 30.9 19.8 22.9 .240 .304 .270 32.2
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 1 206 25.4 52 .239 .391 .312 28.0 19.2 13.5 .281 .448 .350 45.9
2026 Sinker 0.1 0 169 20.8 48 .300 .450 .365 13.0 14.6 17.9 .273 .433 .347 42.9
2026 Slurve 0.0 0 95 11.7 22 .200 .200 .227 24.4 27.3 11.5 .214 .291 .262 42.9
2026 Changeup -11.4 0 4 0.5 2 .500 1.000 .625 0.0 0.0 0.0 .214 .555 .322 50.0
2025 Cutter 0.4 3 829 41.2 207 .259 .443 .332 27.1 25.6 21.1 .245 .436 .323 39.7
2025 Sinker 0.8 4 462 23.0 127 .232 .357 .314 12.1 17.3 18.6 .243 .377 .318 51.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.9 4 447 22.2 106 .224 .316 .278 25.5 34.9 18.9 .195 .322 .256 36.1
2025 Changeup -2.5 -3 134 6.7 28 .370 .444 .371 17.3 10.7 9.1 .370 .461 .374 50.0
2025 Slider -0.1 0 106 5.3 22 .227 .409 .270 29.5 31.8 17.9 .242 .421 .281 20.0
2025 Slurve 0.8 0 32 1.6 12 .182 .182 .208 35.7 41.7 25.0 .173 .327 .252 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Cutter 332 89.3 34 12.2 11:00 11:45 -45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 205 94.7 91 17.4 1:15 1:00 15
2026 Sinker 165 94.7 86 18.5 1:15 2:00 -45
2026 Slurve 95 85.3 40 7.2 8:45 7:30 75
2025 Changeup 133 88.7 74 13.4 1:30 2:45 -75
2025 Cutter 825 87.9 37 12.6 10:30 11:15 -45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 447 94.2 92 17.6 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Sinker 459 94.1 86 19.1 1:00 2:00 -60
2025 Slider 106 84.2 40 10.5 9:30 9:45 -15
2025 Slurve 32 85.8 45 7.9 8:45 7:30 75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 502 2,010 12 21 -18 -7 7
2026 205 811 12 7 -7 -4 7
Player 707 2,821 24 28 -26 24 15
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 2,010 50.3 70.9 80.2 29.0 67.1 44.3 65.6 50.1 23.5 7.5 84.0
2026 811 46.5 71.1 79.5 30.6 62.4 43.6 63.1 49.4 26.2 6.9 82.1
Player 2,821 49.2 71.0 80.0 29.5 65.6 44.1 64.9 49.9 24.3 7.3 83.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 70 90 46 18 53 47 42 45 57 34 71 48 54 35 6 24
2026 85 94 46 39 57 54 40 46 52 57 28 36 69 45 21 16
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 23.47 15 14.7 0 6 11 7 46.7
2026 22.87 2 2.3 0 3 3 0 0.0
Player 23.40 17 17.0 0 9 14 7 41.2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 15 15 14 16 19 15 13 15 13 9 11 13 18 22 13 14 19 12 15 18 15 13 19 19 14 9 13 16 17 10 12
2026 2 3 1 2 1 3 3 2 2 1 1 2 1 3 2 3 2 2 3 4 2 4 4 4 2 1 2 3 4 2 1
Player 17 18 15 18 20 18 16 17 15 10 12 15 19 25 15 17 21 14 18 22 17 17 23 23 16 10 15 19 21 12 13
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .224 -.024 .248
xBA .255 +.015 .240
OBP .299 -.014 .313
xOBP .327 +.021 .306
SLG .328 -.059 .387
xSLG .370 -.025 .395
ISO .104 -.034 .138
xISO .115 -.041 .156
BABIP .273 -.042 .315
wOBA .282 -.025 .307
xwOBA .308 +.002 .306
wOBAcon .303 -.072 .375
xwOBAcon .339 -.035 .374
BACON .283 -.059 .342
xBACON .321 -.010 .331
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 39.5 -2.7 42.2
Avg Exit Velocity 89.1 -0.3 89.4
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 35.4 -4.7 40.1
Barrel % 6.1 -2.0 8.1
Avg Launch Angle 18.5 0.0 18.5
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.8 +1.3 71.5
Attack Angle +1°
Ideal Attack Angle % 53.9 +5.1 48.8
Attack Direction -1° -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° +1° 31°
Swing Length 7.4 +0.2 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 92.1 +0.9 91.2
Breaking Velocity 85.3 +0.7 84.6
Offspeed Velocity 88.3 -0.4 88.7
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 9 -18 27
Popup % 10.2 +0.3 9.9
Flyball % 27.9 -1.0 28.9
Line Drive % 25.2 -4.0 29.2
Groundball % 36.7 +4.8 31.9
Pull % 36.1 -2.2 38.3
Straight Away % 32.0 -2.0 34.0
Opposite Field % 32.0 +4.3 27.7
Weak Contact % 6.1 +1.3 4.8
Pull Airball % 19.7 -3.5 23.2
Topped Contact % 25.9 +3.3 22.6
Under Contact % 32.0 +1.0 31.0
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.1 -3.7 26.8
Solid Contact % 6.8 +0.2 6.6
HR/FB % 4.9 -8.6 13.5
Popups 15 -18 33
Flyballs 41 -55 96
Line Drives 37 -60 97
Groundballs 54 -52 106
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 46.5 -3.8 50.3
Out of Zone % 53.5 +3.8 49.7
Edge % 43.6 -0.7 44.3
Zone Swing % 71.1 +0.2 70.9
Out of Zone Swing % 30.6 +1.6 29.0
In Zone Contact % 79.5 -0.7 80.2
Out of Zone Contact % 62.4 -4.7 67.1
Whiff % 26.2 +2.7 23.5
First Strike % 63.1 -2.5 65.6
First Pitch Swing % 37.4 +1.8 35.6
Swing % 49.4 -0.7 50.1
Meatball Swing % 82.1 -1.9 84.0
Meatball % 6.9 -0.6 7.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 20.5 +0.7 19.8
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 37.6 +4.7 32.9
In Zone 377 -635 1,012
Out of Zone 434 -564 998
Edge 354 -537 891
In Zone Swings 268 -450 718
Out of Zone Swings 133 -156 289
In Zone Swing & Misses 55 -87 142
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 50 -45 95
Basic
Pitches 811 -1,199 2,010
PA 206 -297 503
AB 183 -272 455
Hits 41 -72 113
Singles 28 -48 76
Doubles 9 -15 24
Triples 2 +2 0
Home Runs 2 -11 13
Walks 20 -20 40
Strikeouts 39 -88 127
K% 18.9 -6.3 25.2
BB% 9.7 +1.7 8.0
HBP 0 -4 4
Batted Balls 147 -185 332
Fastball Percent 87.8 +1.3 86.5
Offspeed Percent 0.5 -6.2 6.7
Breaking Percent 11.7 +4.8 6.9
Number of Fastballs 712 -1,026 1,738
Number of Offspeed 4 -130 134
Number of Breaking 95 -43 138
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 502 .307 265 0 0.0 237 52 21.9
2026 Shades 205 .282 95 0 0.0 110 28 25.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 549 14.8 53.0% 0.0% 308 20.4 0.0% 1.3%
2026 214 16.8 27.1% 2.3% 131 20.4 0.0% 3.1%

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Pitch Distribution