P | Milwaukee Brewers
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 1" 217 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 4, No. 107, Arizona Diamondbacks | Purdue University Northwest
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 3 8 3.53 27 23 0 119.2 127 1.28
2026 5 4 3.44 27 6 4 70.2 59 1.20
2 Seasons 8 12 3.50 54 29 4 190.1 186 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 27 3-8 3.53 119.2 127 1.28
2026 27 5-4 3.44 70.2 59 1.20
2 Seasons 54 8-12 3.50 190.1 186 1.25
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 26 2010 332 27 8.1 5.4 89.4 117.7 18.5 40.1 .240 .395 .307 .306 .374 42.2 25.2 8.0 3.54 3.88
2026 27 1119 201 14 7.0 4.9 89.3 116.1 18.9 35.8 .247 .399 .296 .313 .358 38.3 20.6 9.4 3.44 4.08
Player 3129 533 41 7.7 5.2 89.4 117.7 18.6 38.5 .242 .396 .303 .309 .368 40.7 23.5 8.5
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Patrick relies on 5 pitches.
Cutter
(42.5%) ,
Four Seamer
(24.9%) ,
Sinker
(21.9%) ,
Slurve
(10.0%) ,
Changeup
(0.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 31.9 68.1 28.9 29.2 9.9 38.3 34.0 27.7 15.1 11.4 5.4 23.2 22.6 22.3
2026 36.3 63.7 29.9 23.4 10.4 34.8 33.8 31.3 15.4 12.9 8.0 19.4 20.9 23.4
Player 33.6 66.4 29.3 27.0 10.1 37.0 34.0 29.1 15.2 12.0 6.4 21.8 22.0 22.7
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 4.8 22.6 31.0 26.8 6.6 8.1 5.4
2026 6.5 25.9 31.3 21.4 8.0 7.0 4.9
Player 5.4 23.8 31.1 24.8 7.1 7.7 5.2
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Cutter MIL R 476 89.6 21.7 4.2 2.5GLV 0.7 12.3 4.2 2.5GLV 0.3
2026 4-Seam Fastball MIL R 279 95.1 14.8 0.2 7.7ARM -0.7 15.4 -0.4 7.7ARM -0.1
2026 Changeup MIL R 7 90.1 27.5 -3.6 12.6ARM -2.3 6.0 -2.1 12.6ARM -1.8
2026 Slurve MIL R 112 85.6 40.4 -2.0 4.9GLV -5.4 -3.3 -3.6 4.9GLV -6.2
2026 Sinker MIL R 245 95.1 21.0 -1.7 15.0ARM -0.8 9.3 -1.7 15.0ARM -0.2
2025 Slider MIL R 106 84.2 32.9 -4.2 8.4GLV 3.3 5.7 -3.9 8.4GLV 4.2
2025 Slurve MIL R 32 85.8 40.7 -1.8 5.3GLV -5.6 -3.7 -1.1 5.3GLV -7.1
2025 Sinker MIL R 462 94.1 20.0 -3.4 15.4ARM -0.2 11.0 -3.6 15.4ARM 0.3
2025 Changeup MIL R 134 88.7 30.8 -0.8 12.5ARM -2.4 3.9 0.2 12.5ARM -1.9
2025 4-Seam Fastball MIL R 447 94.2 14.4 1.0 7.1ARM -1.0 16.6 0.8 7.1ARM -0.5
2025 Cutter MIL R 829 87.9 23.2 4.3 3.8GLV 1.7 12.3 3.9 3.8GLV 1.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Cutter 1.9 9 476 42.5 116 .179 .311 .247 31.2 21.6 26.6 .246 .388 .303 31.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 3 279 24.9 72 .215 .338 .277 27.9 25.0 16.8 .235 .375 .298 45.8
2026 Sinker -0.8 -2 245 21.9 68 .316 .544 .409 12.5 13.2 15.3 .272 .478 .364 41.2
2026 Slurve -1.5 -2 112 10.0 27 .240 .320 .278 21.6 25.9 10.6 .230 .313 .269 38.9
2026 Changeup -8.0 -1 7 0.6 2 .500 1.000 .625 0.0 0.0 0.0 .214 .555 .322 50.0
2025 Cutter 0.4 3 829 41.2 207 .259 .443 .332 27.1 25.6 21.1 .245 .436 .323 39.7
2025 Sinker 0.8 4 462 23.0 127 .232 .357 .314 12.1 17.3 18.6 .243 .377 .318 51.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.9 4 447 22.2 106 .224 .316 .278 25.5 34.9 18.9 .195 .322 .256 36.1
2025 Changeup -2.5 -3 134 6.7 28 .370 .444 .371 17.3 10.7 9.1 .370 .461 .374 50.0
2025 Slider -0.1 0 106 5.3 22 .227 .409 .270 29.5 31.8 17.9 .242 .421 .281 20.0
2025 Slurve 0.8 0 32 1.6 12 .182 .182 .208 35.7 41.7 25.0 .173 .327 .252 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Cutter 461 89.6 34 12.4 10:45 11:30 -45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 276 95.1 91 16.9 1:15 1:00 15
2026 Sinker 237 95.1 84 17.9 1:15 2:00 -45
2026 Slurve 112 85.6 40 7.3 8:45 7:30 75
2025 Changeup 133 88.7 74 13.4 1:30 2:45 -75
2025 Cutter 825 87.9 37 12.6 10:30 11:15 -45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 447 94.2 92 17.6 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Sinker 459 94.1 86 19.1 1:00 2:00 -60
2025 Slider 106 84.2 40 10.5 9:30 9:45 -15
2025 Slurve 32 85.8 45 7.9 8:45 7:30 75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 502 2,010 12 21 -18 -7 7
2026 285 1,119 16 7 -9 -5 8
Player 787 3,129 28 28 -27 28 16
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 2,010 50.3 70.9 80.2 29.0 67.1 44.3 65.6 50.1 23.5 7.5 84.0
2026 1,119 47.6 70.2 79.1 31.4 64.1 43.4 62.9 49.9 25.8 7.5 83.3
Player 3,129 49.4 70.7 79.9 29.9 66.0 44.0 64.6 50.0 24.3 7.5 83.8
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 70 90 46 18 53 47 42 45 57 34 71 48 54 35 6 24
2026 79 94 27 40 50 60 39 39 61 55 37 35 59 53 22 16
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 23.47 15 14.7 0 6 11 7 46.7
2026 24.49 7 7.3 0 4 5 3 42.9
Player 23.79 22 22.0 0 10 16 10 45.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 15 15 14 16 19 15 13 15 13 9 11 13 18 22 13 14 19 12 15 18 15 13 19 19 14 9 13 16 17 10 12
2026 7 8 5 7 7 7 7 6 8 8 6 7 6 8 7 8 7 7 7 10 7 8 9 9 7 6 5 9 9 6 6
Player 22 23 19 23 26 22 20 21 21 17 17 20 24 30 20 22 26 19 22 28 22 21 28 28 21 15 18 25 26 16 18
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .227 -.021 .248
xBA .247 +.007 .240
OBP .299 -.014 .313
xOBP .318 +.012 .306
SLG .376 -.011 .387
xSLG .399 +.004 .395
ISO .149 +.011 .138
xISO .152 -.004 .156
BABIP .267 -.048 .315
wOBA .296 -.011 .307
xwOBA .313 +.007 .306
wOBAcon .333 -.042 .375
xwOBAcon .358 -.016 .374
BACON .293 -.049 .342
xBACON .320 -.011 .331
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 38.3 -3.9 42.2
Avg Exit Velocity 89.3 -0.1 89.4
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 35.8 -4.3 40.1
Barrel % 7.0 -1.1 8.1
Avg Launch Angle 18.9 +0.4 18.5
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.5 +1.0 71.5
Attack Angle +1°
Ideal Attack Angle % 52.4 +3.6 48.8
Attack Direction -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° +1° 31°
Swing Length 7.3 +0.1 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 92.5 +1.3 91.2
Breaking Velocity 85.6 +1.0 84.6
Offspeed Velocity 90.1 +1.4 88.7
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 14 -13 27
Popup % 10.4 +0.5 9.9
Flyball % 29.9 +1.0 28.9
Line Drive % 23.4 -5.8 29.2
Groundball % 36.3 +4.4 31.9
Pull % 34.8 -3.5 38.3
Straight Away % 33.8 -0.2 34.0
Opposite Field % 31.3 +3.6 27.7
Weak Contact % 6.5 +1.7 4.8
Pull Airball % 19.4 -3.8 23.2
Topped Contact % 25.9 +3.3 22.6
Under Contact % 31.3 +0.3 31.0
Flare/Burner Contact % 21.4 -5.4 26.8
Solid Contact % 8.0 +1.4 6.6
HR/FB % 11.7 -1.8 13.5
Popups 21 -12 33
Flyballs 60 -36 96
Line Drives 47 -50 97
Groundballs 73 -33 106
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 47.6 -2.7 50.3
Out of Zone % 52.4 +2.7 49.7
Edge % 43.4 -0.9 44.3
Zone Swing % 70.2 -0.7 70.9
Out of Zone Swing % 31.4 +2.4 29.0
In Zone Contact % 79.1 -1.1 80.2
Out of Zone Contact % 64.1 -3.0 67.1
Whiff % 25.8 +2.3 23.5
First Strike % 62.9 -2.7 65.6
First Pitch Swing % 37.8 +2.2 35.6
Swing % 49.9 -0.2 50.1
Meatball Swing % 83.3 -0.7 84.0
Meatball % 7.5 0.0 7.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 20.9 +1.1 19.8
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 35.9 +3.0 32.9
In Zone 533 -479 1,012
Out of Zone 586 -412 998
Edge 486 -405 891
In Zone Swings 374 -344 718
Out of Zone Swings 184 -105 289
In Zone Swing & Misses 78 -64 142
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 66 -29 95
Basic
Pitches 1,119 -891 2,010
PA 287 -216 503
AB 255 -200 455
Hits 58 -55 113
Singles 36 -40 76
Doubles 13 -11 24
Triples 2 +2 0
Home Runs 7 -6 13
Walks 27 -13 40
Strikeouts 59 -68 127
K% 20.6 -4.6 25.2
BB% 9.4 +1.4 8.0
HBP 0 -4 4
Batted Balls 201 -131 332
Fastball Percent 89.4 +2.9 86.5
Offspeed Percent 0.6 -6.1 6.7
Breaking Percent 10.0 +3.1 6.9
Number of Fastballs 1,000 -738 1,738
Number of Offspeed 7 -127 134
Number of Breaking 112 -26 138
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 502 .307 265 0 0.0 237 52 21.9
2026 Shades 285 .296 139 0 0.0 146 30 20.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 549 14.8 53.0% 0.0% 308 20.4 0.0% 1.3%
2026 286 17.2 21.7% 2.4% 184 20.4 0.0% 4.3%

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Pitch Distribution