Casey Mize
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 212LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2018 | Rd: 1, #1, Detroit Tigers | Auburn
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 0 1 5.40 2 2 0 10 4 1.50
2024 2 6 4.49 22 20 0 102.1 78 1.47
2025 7 2 2.96 12 12 0 67 59 1.24
5 Seasons 16 21 4.10 73 71 0 358 285 1.29
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 2 0-1 5.40 10 4 1.50
2024 22 2-6 4.49 102.1 78 1.47
2025 12 7-2 2.96 67 59 1.24
5 Seasons 73 16-21 4.10 358 285 1.29
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 23 543 89 12 13.5 9.0 88.6 108.9 11.2 38.2 .293 .547 .359 .402 .458 42.7 19.5 9.8 6.99 7.45
2021 24 2357 442 44 10.0 7.2 89.1 112.5 9.3 33.0 .254 .462 .308 .338 .386 40.0 19.3 6.7 3.71 4.96
2022 25 169 39 4 10.3 8.9 92.0 109.7 17.4 25.6 .284 .547 .369 .370 .391 41.0 8.9 4.4 5.40 5.97
2024 27 1789 343 27 7.9 6.0 90.6 117.0 9.3 32.4 .286 .431 .335 .334 .378 44.6 17.3 6.4 4.49 4.74
2025 28 1031 203 18 8.9 6.4 89.8 112.5 14.0 35.0 .234 .400 .304 .295 .345 40.4 21.1 6.4 2.96 3.23
Player 5889 1116 105 9.4 6.9 89.8 117.0 10.6 33.3 .264 .451 .321 .335 .382 41.8 18.7 6.8
MLB 7.1 4.8 88.5 122.9 12.4 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .369 36.7 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Mize relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(33.5%) ,
Split Finger
(25.5%) ,
Slurve
(16.1%) ,
Slider
(13.1%) ,
Sinker
(11.7%) ,
Sweeper
(0.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2020 39.3 60.7 22.5 31.5 6.7 42.7 34.8 22.5 20.2 14.6 4.5 22.5 20.2 18.0
2021 48.6 51.4 27.4 19.2 4.8 38.2 36.4 25.3 25.6 17.9 5.2 12.7 18.6 20.1
2022 38.5 61.5 38.5 15.4 7.7 20.5 41.0 38.5 12.8 20.5 5.1 7.7 20.5 33.3
2024 49.6 50.4 21.0 24.2 5.2 38.2 39.4 22.4 21.6 22.4 5.5 16.6 16.9 16.9
2025 42.4 57.6 29.6 21.2 6.9 32.5 41.4 26.1 18.7 20.2 3.4 13.8 21.2 22.7
Player 46.7 53.3 25.8 22.0 5.6 36.9 38.3 24.8 22.2 19.5 4.9 14.7 18.7 19.9
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.9 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.7 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 6.7 28.1 19.1 27.0 5.6 13.5 9.0
2021 4.3 36.7 21.7 22.4 5.0 10.0 7.2
2022 5.1 25.6 30.8 20.5 7.7 10.3 8.9
2024 4.7 32.9 19.2 28.3 6.1 7.9 6.0
2025 3.0 31.5 29.6 21.2 5.4 8.9 6.4
Player 4.4 33.5 22.5 24.3 5.6 9.4 6.9
MLB 3.9 32.5 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.1 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Split-Finger DET R 263 88.7 31.1 -0.3 14.6ARM 2.4 3.8 -0.9 14.6ARM 3.1
2025 Sweeper DET R 1 83.5 34.4 -3.6 12.1GLV -1.2 5.2 -3.9 12.1GLV -1.9
2025 Slurve DET R 166 83.3 40.3 -2.2 6.0GLV -4.4 -1.0 -3.8 6.0GLV -6.3
2025 Sinker DET R 121 94.7 17.7 -3.8 14.8ARM -0.1 12.8 -5.5 14.8ARM -0.5
2025 Slider DET R 135 87.3 31.9 -1.9 2.5GLV -1.7 3.9 -2.2 2.5GLV -2.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball DET R 345 94.4 13.8 0.5 8.1ARM 1.1 17.0 1.1 8.1ARM 0.4
2024 Slider DET R 466 85.8 36.8 1.5 3.6GLV -1.0 0.2 1.4 3.6GLV -1.3
2024 Cutter DET R 15 87.0 32.7 -3.8 1.1ARM -3.8 3.8 -4.5 1.1ARM -3.8
2024 Slurve DET R 15 82.5 44.3 -1.2 2.8GLV -9.7 -4.3 -0.3 2.8GLV -12.0
2024 Curveball DET R 134 79.6 55.4 3.0 8.8GLV -0.6 -12.1 2.1 8.8GLV -0.6
2024 Sinker DET R 150 95.5 17.5 -3.4 14.3ARM -0.5 12.4 -5.2 14.3ARM -0.6
2024 4-Seam Fastball DET R 684 95.5 13.7 0.3 7.8ARM 0.5 16.3 0.6 7.8ARM 0.2
2024 Split-Finger DET R 325 86.2 33.0 -0.2 13.4ARM 2.5 3.8 -1.2 13.4ARM 2.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.9 3 345 33.5 82 .213 .387 .293 20.3 20.7 18.9 .240 .491 .340 53.4
2025 Split-Finger -1.2 -3 263 25.5 86 .277 .398 .338 33.3 27.9 20.7 .221 .319 .247 37.3
2025 Slurve -0.5 -1 166 16.1 41 .237 .368 .293 35.7 39.0 22.5 .138 .268 .209 13.6
2025 Slider 3.1 4 135 13.1 27 .167 .167 .211 18.2 7.4 14.3 .248 .352 .306 31.8
2025 Sinker -1.7 -2 121 11.7 44 .333 .564 .402 11.8 0.0 0.0 .333 .558 .381 45.2
2025 Sweeper 10.0 0 1 0.1 -- -- -- 100.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 -3 684 38.2 183 .300 .424 .365 20.7 19.7 14.7 .276 .447 .335 46.7
2024 Slider -1.4 -6 466 26.0 103 .287 .529 .417 20.8 13.6 8.9 .291 .431 .360 41.3
2024 Split-Finger -0.4 -1 325 18.2 86 .286 .405 .311 32.2 23.3 16.7 .298 .440 .321 50.8
2024 Sinker -0.1 0 150 8.4 46 .318 .364 .367 7.7 2.2 4.2 .319 .378 .324 39.5
2024 Curveball -1.2 -2 134 7.5 25 .261 .522 .358 21.6 20.0 11.9 .280 .467 .351 33.3
2024 Cutter 1.7 0 15 0.8 4 .250 .500 .313 16.7 0.0 0.0 .180 .209 .179 25.0
2024 Slurve 7.4 1 15 0.8 5 .000 .000 .000 50.0 40.0 33.3 .146 .160 .134 66.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 4-Seam Fastball 343 94.4 98 18.5 1:00 1:00 0
2025 Split-Finger 253 88.7 95 15.7 2:00 2:45 -45
2025 Sinker 121 94.7 97 19.6 1:15 1:45 -30
2025 Slider 134 87.3 31 4.2 11:30 10:30 60
2025 Slurve 161 83.3 33 7.4 8:15 8:15 0
2024 Curveball 134 79.6 89 17.4 7:15 7:00 15
2024 Cutter 15 87.0 27 2.7 11:00 1:00 -120
2024 4-Seam Fastball 683 95.5 96 17.7 1:00 1:00 0
2024 Split-Finger 303 86.3 88 14.4 1:45 2:45 -60
2024 Sinker 150 95.5 95 18.9 1:00 1:45 -45
2024 Slider 463 85.8 27 4.7 9:45 8:30 75
2024 Slurve 15 82.5 38 7.1 8:15 6:45 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 133 543 -2 2 -2 -4 -7
2021 612 2,357 4 28 -17 -12 2
2022 45 169 -2 2 -1 -1 -2
2024 452 1,789 4 5 -14 -7 -11
2025 280 1,031 5 7 -6 -4 1
Player 1,522 5,889 8 43 -40 8 -17
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 543 46.4 70.6 83.7 26.1 57.9 38.1 55.6 46.8 23.6 6.1 75.8
2021 2,357 50.3 66.5 83.4 24.9 59.2 40.9 62.3 45.8 22.6 9.3 77.6
2022 169 49.7 71.4 95.0 18.8 56.3 39.1 57.8 45.0 11.8 10.1 82.4
2024 1,789 50.9 70.9 85.0 27.3 57.9 42.9 67.9 49.5 22.0 6.5 77.6
2025 1,031 53.0 67.8 79.2 27.6 61.2 44.0 68.6 48.9 25.4 8.1 73.8
Player 5,889 50.6 68.6 83.5 26.0 59.0 41.8 64.4 47.5 22.7 8.0 77.0
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.1 28.4 57.6 42.6 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2020 3 6 4 5 3 13 4 45 18 26 37 29 34 54 38 22 80
2021 21 29 17 11 41 4 14 41 36 20 73 21 17 50 25 16 93
2022 41 3 95
2024 17 4 19 55 19 30 46 7 8 10 75 21 33 73 48 7 93
2025 74 64 55 45 85 19 39 45 54 43 77 52 44 53 28 82
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 24.07 7 7.8 -1 2 5 4 57.1
2021 23.39 24 26.4 -2 11 20 11 45.8
2022 24.66 1 1.2 0 1 0 1 100.0
2024 23.89 11 12.2 -1 8 8 5 45.5
2025 23.14 9 7.2 2 6 5 4 44.4
Player 23.58 52 54.8 -3 28 38 25 48.1
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2020 7 8 7 7 7 8 9 9 6 6 6 10 9 7 8 8 9 8 7 9 8 8 10 7 7 7 7 9 9 8 5
2021 24 30 25 21 29 28 31 26 20 20 26 33 24 22 28 29 23 24 27 28 26 27 30 29 22 25 32 30 26 27 25
2022 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
2024 11 8 9 16 13 14 14 9 13 9 12 13 15 11 12 11 10 11 12 15 12 11 17 13 10 10 13 15 12 12 13
2025 9 8 8 6 7 9 5 5 6 4 6 12 7 11 7 4 5 5 8 11 7 8 9 9 6 6 8 9 9 5 7
Player 52 55 50 51 57 60 60 50 46 40 51 69 57 52 56 54 49 49 55 64 55 55 68 60 46 49 61 64 58 53 51
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-   2025
Fastball Velocity 92.2 1.4 93.6 -0.2 -- -- -- -- 95.4 -0.9 94.5
Offspeed Velocity 86.0 -0.2 85.8 -1.3 -- -- -- -- 86.2 2.5 88.7
Breaking Velocity 80.8 4.2 85.0 -0.6 -- -- -- -- 84.4 0.7 85.1
Exit Velocity 88.6 0.5 89.1 2.9 -- -- -- -- 90.6 -0.8 89.8
Launch Angle 11.2 -1.9 9.3 8.1 -- -- -- -- 9.3 4.7 14.0
Barrel % 13.5 -3.5 10.0 0.3 -- -- -- -- 7.9 1.0 8.9
Hard Hit % 42.7 -2.7 40.0 1.0 -- -- -- -- 44.6 -4.2 40.4
LA Sweet-Spot % 38.2 -5.2 33.0 -7.4 -- -- -- -- 32.4 2.6 35.0
xBA .293 -0.039 .254 0.030 -- -- -- -- .286 -0.052 .234
BA .252 -0.018 .234 0.068 -- -- -- -- .290 -0.039 .251
xwOBA .402 -0.064 .338 0.032 -- -- -- -- .334 -0.039 .295
wOBA .359 -0.051 .308 0.061 -- -- -- -- .335 -0.031 .304
xSLG .547 -0.085 .462 0.085 -- -- -- -- .431 -0.031 .400
SLG .478 -0.060 .418 0.117 -- -- -- -- .436 -0.042 .394
K% 19.5 -0.2 19.3 -10.4 -- -- -- -- 17.3 3.8 21.1
BB% 9.8 -3.1 6.7 -2.3 -- -- -- -- 6.4 0.0 6.4
Swing % 46.8 -1.0 45.8 -0.8 -- -- -- -- 49.5 -0.6 48.9
Whiff% 23.6 -1.0 22.6 -10.8 -- -- -- -- 22.0 3.4 25.4
In Zone % 46.4 3.9 50.3 -0.6 -- -- -- -- 50.9 2.1 53.0
Out of Zone % 53.6 -3.9 49.7 0.6 -- -- -- -- 49.1 -2.1 47.0
Out of Zone Swing % 26.1 -1.2 24.9 -6.1 -- -- -- -- 27.3 0.3 27.6
First Pitch Swing % 27.1 3.1 30.2 3.1 -- -- -- -- 35.8 -1.9 33.9
First Pitch Strike % 55.6 6.7 62.3 -4.5 -- -- -- -- 67.9 0.7 68.6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 133 .359 61 21 34.4 72 52 72.2
2021 Shifts 612 .308 319 78 24.5 293 203 69.3
2022 Shifts 45 .369 28 3 10.7 17 10 58.8
2024 Shades 452 .335 226 11 4.9 226 141 62.4
2025 Shades 280 .304 138 9 6.5 142 63 44.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 152 15.6 42.1% 0.7% 99 21.9 0.0% 5.1%
2021 704 15.6 42.6% 0.7% 425 22.4 0.2% 3.5%
2022 41 16.2 31.7% 0.0% 38 23.5 0.0% 13.2%
2024 471 13.8 73.5% 0.0% 297 17.4 7.4% 0.0%
2025 273 14.3 67.0% 0.4% 135 18.2 2.2% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution