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Carson Kelly
C | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 212LBS | Age: 27

Draft: 2012 | Rd: 2, #86, St. Louis Cardinals | Westview HS (OR)
Poor Avg Great

Stats

PA AB R H HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2021 204 163 23 40 8 26 0 .245 .377 .429 .807
6 Seasons 829 716 87 162 31 102 0 .226 .323 .404 .727
AVG HR RBI SB OPS
2021 .245 8 26 0 .807
6 Seasons .226 31 102 0 .727

Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2016 22 44 11 0 0 89.3 103.6 10.5 9.1 .162 .206 .203 .200 .190 27.3 14.3 0
2017 23 284 58 0 0 81.9 104.4 5.6 20.7 .203 .343 .210 .267 .274 31 14.7 6.7
2018 24 157 31 2 6.5 85.1 100.3 10.2 25.8 .173 .304 .162 .254 .254 25.8 16.7 7.1
2019 25 1571 236 20 8.5 88.9 109.1 14.3 39.8 .245 .456 .339 .337 .389 40.4 21.6 13.2
2020 26 506 93 4 4.3 86.3 105.4 16.7 32.3 .218 .351 .279 .267 .317 34.4 22.5 4.7
2021 27 833 124 13 10.5 88.5 109.2 18 40.3 .261 .468 .355 .379 .415 35.5 20.4 15.4
3395 553 39 7.1 87.5 109.2 14.3 35.3 .235 .418 .311 .323 .360 36.2 20.5 11.3
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.8 .243 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.5 22 8.4




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Other
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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # % PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Fastballs 487 58.5 112 87 22 14 3 0 5 22 66 .253 .286 .460 .527 .383 .418 90.2 20 18.9 17.9
2021 Breaking 237 28.5 55 47 13 9 3 0 1 11 39 .277 .259 .404 .399 .313 .331 86.3 13 29.2 14.9
2021 Offspeed 109 13.1 33 27 5 3 0 0 2 8 19 .185 .185 .407 .399 .330 .326 86.8 21 43.1 14.8
2020 Fastballs 314 62.2 71 64 13 9 1 0 3 14 50 .203 .229 .359 .381 .282 .303 86.4 16 21.5 20.3
2020 Breaking 139 27.5 38 38 11 6 3 0 2 12 26 .289 .204 .526 .309 .341 .218 87.5 18 39.4 20.7
2020 Offspeed 52 10.3 20 20 3 2 1 0 0 3 17 .150 .211 .200 .335 .150 .234 84.0 18 20.0 13.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2016 63.6 9.1 9.1 18.2 36.4 45.5 18.2 0 54.5 27.3 9.1 9.1 0
2017 56.9 19 15.5 8.6 27.6 46.6 25.9 10.3 39.7 17.2 22.4 8.6 0
2018 61.3 16.1 12.9 9.7 29 51.6 19.4 0 38.7 25.8 16.1 3.2 6.5
2019 37.3 29.7 26.3 6.8 36.4 41.9 21.6 1.7 30.1 26.3 24.6 8.5 8.5
2020 40.9 24.7 26.9 7.5 45.2 32.3 22.6 4.3 29 29 25.8 7.5 4.3
2021 32.3 29.8 28.2 9.7 40.3 31.5 28.2 2.4 22.6 28.2 30.6 4.8 10.5
40.7 26.6 24.6 8.1 37.4 39.1 23.5 3.1 30.2 26.2 25.1 7.2 7.1
45.2 22.3 25.5 7.1 36.6 37.9 25.5 3.7 33.3 24.3 24.5 5.6 6.6

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Splitter -2.8 0 8 1 3 0 0 .233 60 33.3 20 .055 .102 .277 0
2021 Cutter -10.5 -4 41 4.9 9 0 0 0 55 55.6 38.5 .124 .251 .159 25
2021 Curveball 6.1 3 54 6.5 11 .444 .889 .523 22.7 18.2 10.5 .373 .77 .46 37.5
2021 Changeup 2.2 2 101 12.1 30 .2 .44 .34 41.5 23.3 14.3 .195 .423 .331 27.8
2021 Sinker 2.2 4 164 19.7 39 .286 .536 .494 9 10.3 8.9 .364 .682 .516 54.2
2021 Slider 0 0 183 22 44 .237 .289 .284 31.3 20.5 16.4 .232 .311 .298 32.3
2021 4-Seamer 1.3 4 282 33.9 64 .28 .5 .402 18.3 20.3 20 .272 .49 .397 31.6
2020 Splitter -15.7 0 3 0.6 2 0 0 0 50 50 50 .01 .021 .013 0
2020 Cutter -1.3 0 31 6.1 9 .222 .222 .2 18.8 11.1 16.7 .372 .517 .382 25
2020 Curveball -2.9 -1 34 6.7 11 .182 .182 .164 40 36.4 33.3 .2 .229 .185 28.6
2020 Changeup -2.3 -1 49 9.7 18 .167 .222 .169 17.9 11.1 10 .233 .37 .259 25
2020 Sinker -2.2 -2 80 15.8 18 .188 .188 .228 22.6 22.2 26.7 .195 .232 .244 25
2020 Slider 3.1 3 106 20.9 27 .333 .667 .42 39.3 29.6 17.4 .206 .342 .231 26.3
2020 4-Seamer -0.6 -1 203 40.1 44 .205 .462 .326 21.7 20.5 18.8 .209 .411 .31 53.3
2019 Splitter 9 1 15 1 2 1 1 .8 42.9 0 0 .953 1.009 .779 0
2019 Cutter -0.4 -1 154 9.8 35 .212 .424 .293 13.3 17.1 10.5 .246 .472 .32 37
2019 Changeup 2.1 3 128 8.1 38 .333 .694 .443 32.8 23.7 15.8 .267 .5 .338 40.7
2019 Curveball 0.7 1 159 10.1 41 .231 .436 .302 29.3 36.6 23.4 .218 .35 .263 45.8
2019 Slider -1.5 -5 306 19.5 62 .14 .368 .252 33.6 25.8 16.2 .171 .352 .248 35.7
2019 Sinker -1.6 -4 250 15.9 64 .218 .291 .29 13.8 18.8 17.4 .224 .361 .312 32.6
2019 4-Seamer 0.4 2 556 35.4 112 .293 .565 .431 18.5 18.8 12.3 .301 .597 .43 47.9
2018 Changeup -12.5 -1 9 5.7 3 0 0 0 50 33.3 33.3 .16 .267 .183 50
2018 Curveball -4.3 -1 14 8.9 5 0 0 0 16.7 20 20 .069 .094 .072 0
2018 Slider -7.1 -2 25 15.9 9 0 0 0 28.6 33.3 21.4 .103 .126 .103 16.7
2018 Sinker 2.9 1 39 24.8 12 .4 .4 .391 0 0 0 .189 .207 .222 18.2
2018 4-Seamer -2.4 -2 68 43.3 13 0 0 .162 25 15.4 13.3 .257 .638 .447 50
2018 Cutter 5.8 0 1 0.6
2018 Splitter 6.2 0 1 0.6 0
2017 Changeup 2.9 0 12 4.2 2 0 0 .35 14.3 0 0 .553 .594 .602 100
2017 Knuckleball 4.8 0 7 2.5 3 .333 .333 .3 0 0 0 .329 .804 .473 33.3
2017 Cutter -16.2 -3 18 6.3 8 0 0 0 16.7 12.5 12.5 .202 .454 .274 28.6
2017 Sinker -3.8 -2 60 21.1 13 .167 .167 .192 9.1 0 0 .161 .236 .21 16.7
2017 Curveball 8.1 3 33 11.6 13 .25 .417 .369 23.1 23.1 25 .165 .262 .276 22.2
2017 Slider -4.9 -2 45 15.8 14 .077 .077 .114 38.9 35.7 33.3 .081 .1 .121 25
2017 4-Seamer -0.1 0 106 37.3 22 .25 .3 .284 7.3 9.1 8.3 .294 .489 .361 44.4
2017 Splitter -0.5 0 3 1.1 100
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 75 284 -4 -6 4 2 -4
2018 42 157 -2 -3 0 1 -4
2019 354 1567 -8 -16 15 8 -2
2020 129 506 -6 1 2 1 -3
2021 200 833 -2 -6 9 7 8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 44 47.7 76.2 81.3 17.4 50 36.4 35.7 45.5 25 6.8 100
2017 284 50.4 60.1 87.2 23.4 72.7 41.2 24 41.9 16 8.1 56.5
2018 157 58.6 64.1 86.4 16.9 45.5 41.4 19 44.6 20 7 90.9
2019 1571 50 62 83.3 21.8 57.3 42.1 15.3 41.9 23.1 7.7 70.8
2020 506 54.9 63.7 78 23.7 57.4 39.3 15.5 45.7 26.8 10.3 69.2
2021 833 49.3 61.6 83 21.3 50 42.4 16.9 41.2 25.7 8.3 53.6
3395 51 62.3 82.8 21.8 56.5 41.6 17.1 42.4 23.6 8.2 66.2
48.5 66.7 82.1 28.3 58.6 42.6 29.1 46.9 24.5 7.2 75.9

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% Speed OAA
2016 8
2017 26
2018 13
2019 59 32 57 66 75 31 57 41 58 48 92 63 19
2020 5 16 15 23 4 11 20 13 27 48 7 46 21
2021 14
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.2 18 18.7 -1 9 12 9 50
2020 21.2 5 4.3 1 4 1 3 60
2021 22.4 8 9.7 -2 5 7 5 62.5

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 18 23 19 19 21 17 18 22 18 21 23 18 15 15 19 20 12 20 19 19 14 18 18 19 18 21 19 18 21 17 20
2020 5 4 7 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 3 4 4 5 4 4 5 4 5 4 4
2021 8 9 11 11 13 9 8 12 11 10 10 10 6 9 8 12 6 9 11 11 7 8 9 12 9 12 10 8 12 7 12
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Exit Velocity 89.3 81.9 -7.4 85.1 3.2 88.9 3.8 86.3 -2.6 88.5 2.2
Launch Angle 10.5 5.6 -4.9 10.2 4.6 14.3 4.1 16.7 2.4 18 1.3
Barrel % 0 0 0 6.5 6.5 8.5 2 4.3 -4.2 10.5 6.2
Hard Hit % 27.3 31 3.7 25.8 -5.2 40.4 14.6 34.4 -6 35.5 1.1
Sweet Spot % 9.1 20.7 11.6 25.8 5.1 39.8 14 32.3 -7.5 40.3 8
xBA .162 .203 0.041 .173 -0.03 .245 0.072 .218 -0.027 .261 0.043
BA .154 .174 0.02 .114 -0.06 .245 0.131 .221 -0.024 .248 0.027
xwOBA .2 .267 0.067 .254 -0.013 .337 0.083 .267 -0.07 .379 0.112
wOBA .203 .21 0.007 .162 -0.048 .339 0.177 .279 -0.06 .355 0.076
xSLG .206 .343 0.137 .304 -0.039 .456 0.152 .351 -0.105 .468 0.117
SLG .231 .217 -0.014 .114 -0.103 .478 0.364 .385 -0.093 .435 0.05
K% 14.3 14.7 0.4 16.7 2 21.6 4.9 22.5 0.9 20.4 -2.1
BB% 0 6.7 6.7 7.1 0.4 13.2 6.1 4.7 -8.5 15.4 10.7
Swing % 45.5 41.9 -3.6 44.6 2.7 41.9 -2.7 45.7 3.8 41.2 -4.5
Whiff% 25 16 -9 20 4 23.1 3.1 26.8 3.7 25.7 -1.1
In Zone % 47.7 50.4 2.7 58.6 8.2 50 -8.6 54.9 4.9 49.3 -5.6
Out of Zone % 52.3 49.6 -2.7 41.4 -8.2 50 8.6 45.1 -4.9 50.7 5.6
Out of Zone Swing % 17.4 23.4 6 16.9 -6.5 21.8 4.9 23.7 1.9 21.3 -2.4
First Pitch Swing % 35.7 24 -11.7 19 -5 15.3 -3.7 15.5 0.2 16.9 1.4
First Pitch Strike % 57.1 68 10.9 61.9 -6.1 56.7 -5.2 57.4 0.7 56.2 -1.2
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Statcast Shift Statistics

SeasonBat SidePAShifts%wOBA - No ShiftwOBA - Shift
2016 R 14 0 0.0 .203
2017 R 75 0 0.0 .210
2018 R 42 0 0.0 .162
2019 R 355 113 31.8 .315 .393
2020 R 129 48 37.2 .300 .245
2021 R 199 53 26.6 .354 .364

Statcast Rankings