Carson Kelly
C | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 212LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2012 | Rd: 2, #86, St. Louis Cardinals | Westview HS (OR)
PA AB R H HR SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2021 359 304 41 73 13 0 .240 .343 .411 .754
2022 354 317 40 67 7 2 .211 .282 .334 .616
2023 151 136 13 28 2 1 .206 .278 .287 .565
8 Seasons 1,489 1,310 158 290 45 3 .221 .306 .373 .679
AVG HR SB OPS
2021 .240 13 0 .754
2022 .211 7 2 .616
2023 .206 2 1 .565
8 Seasons .221 45 3 .679
MLB Percentile Rankings
Hits Spray Chart

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Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2016 21 44 11 0 0.0 0.0 89.3 103.6 10.5 9.1 .168 .214 .203 .206 .197 27.3 14.3 0.0
2017 22 284 58 0 0.0 0.0 81.9 104.4 5.6 20.7 .212 .355 .210 .276 .285 31.0 14.7 6.7
2018 23 157 31 2 6.5 4.8 85.1 100.3 10.2 25.8 .176 .308 .162 .256 .257 25.8 16.7 7.1
2019 24 1571 236 20 8.5 5.5 88.9 109.1 14.3 39.8 .249 .460 .339 .340 .394 40.4 21.6 13.2
2020 25 506 93 4 4.3 3.1 86.3 105.4 16.7 32.3 .222 .355 .279 .270 .322 34.4 22.5 4.7
2021 26 1473 235 20 8.5 5.6 88.2 109.2 18.6 37.9 .254 .428 .328 .346 .381 34.0 20.6 12.3
2022 27 1423 250 13 5.2 3.7 87.7 109.4 14.7 33.2 .225 .345 .275 .288 .316 36.8 20.1 8.2
2023 28 559 97 2 2.1 1.3 86.8 107.3 15.6 27.8 .185 .279 .255 .245 .281 33.0 26.5 9.3
Player 6017 1011 61 6.0 4.1 87.5 109.4 15.1 34.0 .230 .384 .295 .306 .342 35.6 21.0 10.0
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Sweeper, Slurve, Other
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2016 63.6 9.1 9.1 18.2 36.4 45.5 18.2 0.0 54.5 27.3 9.1 9.1 0.0 0.0
2017 56.9 19.0 15.5 8.6 27.6 46.6 25.9 10.3 39.7 17.2 22.4 8.6 0.0 0.0
2018 61.3 16.1 12.9 9.7 29.0 51.6 19.4 0.0 38.7 25.8 16.1 3.2 6.5 4.8
2019 37.3 29.7 26.3 6.8 36.4 41.9 21.6 1.7 30.1 26.3 24.6 8.5 8.5 5.5
2020 40.9 31.2 20.4 7.5 45.2 32.3 22.6 4.3 29.0 29.0 25.8 7.5 4.3 3.1
2021 31.9 32.8 26.4 8.9 38.3 32.3 29.4 1.3 26.0 31.9 26.8 5.5 8.5 5.6
2022 40.8 28.4 22.8 8.0 38.8 39.2 22.0 4.4 30.0 30.0 22.8 7.2 5.2 3.7
2023 42.3 25.8 22.7 9.3 33.0 39.2 27.8 4.1 34.0 30.9 22.7 6.2 2.1 1.3
Player 39.9 28.6 23.3 8.2 37.2 38.5 24.3 3.2 30.5 28.7 24.0 7.0 6.0 4.1
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer -4.1 -8 188 33.6 48 .133 .200 .179 27.3 29.2 25.9 .136 .227 .188 29.0
2023 Sinker -0.7 -1 108 19.3 40 .303 .394 .374 4.8 5.0 10.5 .281 .384 .358 35.5
2023 Slider 1.1 1 93 16.6 26 .217 .304 .254 40.0 34.6 36.0 .207 .265 .249 26.7
2023 Curveball -2.8 -1 49 8.8 11 .091 .091 .082 52.4 54.5 35.3 .077 .128 .085 20.0
2023 Changeup 0.7 0 36 6.4 6 .400 .400 .417 50.0 33.3 22.2 .105 .212 .230 33.3
2023 Cutter 1.8 1 36 6.4 7 .333 .333 .357 21.4 14.3 16.7 .212 .277 .281 40.0
2023 Sweeper 2.4 1 32 5.7 8 .250 .625 .363 26.7 50.0 26.7 .132 .435 .230 50.0
2023 Splitter -8.2 -1 10 1.8 4 .000 .000 .000 37.5 25.0 20.0 .314 .353 .287 66.7
2023 Forkball -2.3 0 4 0.7 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
2023 Slurve 1.5 0 3 0.5 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2022 4-Seamer -1.6 -7 450 31.6 125 .204 .372 .276 12.8 16.8 18.3 .231 .398 .307 42.6
2022 Sinker -1.3 -4 330 23.2 77 .273 .303 .326 8.9 15.6 17.9 .254 .319 .308 41.8
2022 Slider -1.1 -3 287 20.2 64 .117 .200 .170 34.4 29.7 19.4 .174 .256 .218 22.0
2022 Curveball -1.4 -2 119 8.4 28 .185 .259 .211 32.7 39.3 28.9 .171 .246 .199 43.8
2022 Changeup 5.5 5 88 6.2 23 .444 1.056 .609 40.5 13.0 13.6 .275 .574 .404 25.0
2022 Cutter -2.3 -2 85 6.0 22 .158 .158 .218 17.8 4.5 3.7 .203 .309 .288 27.8
2022 Sweeper -0.9 0 30 2.1 8 .143 .143 .200 42.9 25.0 33.3 .270 .311 .311 20.0
2022 Splitter 1.5 0 19 1.3 4 .250 .250 .225 12.5 25.0 12.5 .423 .466 .386 100.0
2022 Slurve -3.8 0 7 0.5 1 .000 .000 .000 40.0 100.0 33.3 -- -- .000 --
2021 4-Seamer -0.2 -1 537 36.5 114 .266 .447 .368 20.4 21.9 17.7 .276 .493 .385 32.9
2021 Slider -0.5 -2 301 20.4 74 .209 .343 .274 32.5 21.6 16.7 .230 .345 .291 32.1
2021 Sinker 2.3 6 258 17.5 68 .283 .453 .427 5.9 5.9 6.6 .338 .529 .443 42.9
2021 Changeup 5.4 8 150 10.2 43 .278 .694 .451 43.6 25.6 17.2 .225 .510 .368 40.0
2021 Curveball -0.4 0 97 6.6 22 .211 .316 .227 38.1 40.9 28.1 .166 .262 .193 25.0
2021 Cutter -6.2 -5 82 5.6 22 .182 .182 .164 27.8 27.3 28.6 .250 .345 .258 37.5
2021 Sweeper -0.6 0 27 1.8 9 .125 .125 .178 20.0 22.2 20.0 .142 .190 .204 0.0
2021 Splitter -6.7 -1 14 1.0 5 .000 .000 .140 33.3 20.0 12.5 .044 .065 .175 0.0
2021 Slurve -6.6 0 7 0.5 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .023 .030 .023 0.0
2020 4-Seamer -0.1 0 210 41.5 47 .244 .488 .359 21.8 19.1 18.4 .237 .441 .338 53.1
2020 Slider 3.6 4 99 19.6 26 .346 .692 .437 39.6 30.8 18.6 .212 .353 .237 27.8
2020 Sinker -4.4 -3 73 14.4 15 .071 .071 .107 22.2 26.7 28.6 .130 .138 .158 20.0
2020 Changeup -2.5 -1 49 9.7 18 .167 .222 .169 17.9 11.1 10.0 .235 .372 .261 25.0
2020 Cutter -1.3 0 33 6.5 9 .222 .222 .200 23.5 11.1 16.7 .377 .522 .387 25.0
2020 Curveball -2.7 -1 31 6.1 10 .200 .200 .180 35.7 30.0 27.3 .223 .255 .207 28.6
2020 Sweeper -6.7 0 7 1.4 2 .000 .000 .000 33.3 50.0 25.0 .065 .065 .070 0.0
2020 Splitter -15.7 0 3 0.6 2 .000 .000 .000 50.0 50.0 50.0 .010 .021 .013 0.0
2020 Slurve -2.6 0 1 0.2 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 4-Seamer 0.8 5 551 35.1 111 .297 .571 .451 18.2 18.0 11.9 .307 .607 .436 47.9
2019 Slider -2.0 -6 300 19.1 62 .123 .351 .238 31.7 25.8 16.2 .184 .378 .262 38.1
2019 Sinker -1.3 -3 255 16.2 65 .214 .286 .299 14.6 20.0 18.1 .225 .359 .311 32.6
2019 Curveball 0.9 1 156 9.9 40 .237 .447 .310 29.8 37.5 23.8 .224 .358 .270 47.8
2019 Cutter 0.1 0 156 9.9 35 .242 .455 .319 16.0 17.1 10.5 .233 .439 .304 33.3
2019 Changeup 2.0 3 128 8.1 38 .333 .694 .443 32.8 23.7 15.8 .269 .502 .339 40.7
2019 Splitter 9.0 1 15 1.0 2 1.000 1.000 .800 42.9 0.0 0.0 .953 1.009 .779 0.0
2019 Sweeper -4.2 0 3 0.2 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .013 .017 .015 0.0
2019 Slurve -2.6 0 3 0.2 -- -- -- 100.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2018 4-Seamer -2.3 -2 66 42.0 13 .000 .000 .162 25.0 15.4 13.3 .261 .642 .449 50.0
2018 Sinker 2.8 1 39 24.8 12 .400 .400 .391 0.0 0.0 0.0 .193 .212 .225 18.2
2018 Slider -6.2 -1 21 13.4 8 .000 .000 .000 23.1 25.0 18.2 .118 .145 .118 16.7
2018 Curveball -5.0 -1 13 8.3 5 .000 .000 .000 16.7 20.0 20.0 .075 .100 .077 0.0
2018 Changeup -13.0 -1 9 5.7 3 .000 .000 .000 50.0 33.3 33.3 .162 .268 .184 50.0
2018 Cutter 2.4 0 4 2.5 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2018 Sweeper -21.2 -1 3 1.9 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
2018 Slurve 2.9 0 1 0.6 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2018 Splitter 6.2 0 1 0.6 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2017 4-Seamer 0.1 0 99 34.9 21 .263 .316 .298 2.8 9.5 10.0 .309 .514 .378 47.1
2017 Sinker -3.7 -2 67 23.6 14 .154 .154 .179 14.8 0.0 0.0 .164 .236 .209 15.4
2017 Slider -6.9 -3 41 14.4 12 .000 .000 .064 37.5 33.3 28.6 .065 .088 .121 14.3
2017 Curveball 7.8 3 33 11.6 13 .250 .417 .369 23.1 23.1 25.0 .171 .268 .282 22.2
2017 Cutter -17.0 -3 19 6.7 9 .000 .000 .000 23.1 22.2 22.2 .188 .413 .251 28.6
2017 Changeup 2.8 0 12 4.2 2 .000 .000 .350 14.3 0.0 0.0 .553 .594 .602 100.0
2017 Knuckleball 4.8 0 7 2.5 3 .333 .333 .300 0.0 0.0 0.0 .331 .807 .475 33.3
2017 Sweeper 27.4 1 3 1.1 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 -- .440 .462 .396 100.0
2017 Splitter -0.5 0 3 1.1 -- -- -- 100.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 75 284 -4 -6 4 2 -4
2018 42 157 -2 -3 0 1 -4
2019 354 1,567 -8 -15 16 8 1
2020 129 506 -7 1 2 1 -3
2021 358 1,473 -9 -11 15 9 4
2022 354 1,423 -20 -11 9 9 -14
2023 151 559 -7 -5 3 2 -8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 44 47.7 76.2 81.3 17.4 50.0 36.4 35.7 45.5 25.0 6.8 100.0
2017 284 50.4 60.1 87.2 23.4 72.7 41.2 24.0 41.9 16.0 8.1 56.5
2018 157 58.6 64.1 86.4 16.9 45.5 40.8 19.0 44.6 20.0 7.0 90.9
2019 1,571 49.9 61.9 83.3 21.9 57.6 42.0 15.4 41.9 23.1 7.7 70.8
2020 506 54.9 63.7 78.0 23.7 57.4 39.3 15.5 45.7 26.8 10.3 69.2
2021 1,473 49.1 62.5 82.3 22.3 55.1 43.0 15.9 42.0 25.0 8.0 61.0
2022 1,423 50.2 62.8 86.2 24.3 59.9 45.2 19.8 43.6 21.1 7.7 74.5
2023 559 51.9 63.8 74.1 26.0 57.1 42.8 23.2 45.6 30.2 9.1 66.7
Player 6,017 50.6 62.7 82.6 23.0 58.0 42.7 18.1 43.1 23.7 8.1 68.6
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 29.6 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Max EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		Speed OAA Arm
Strength
2016 34 8
2017 39 26
2018 26 13
2019 59 34 58 67 77 31 56 41 65 58 48 92 63 90 20
2020 6 17 16 23 5 11 20 13 28 27 48 7 45 72 21
2021 68 53 51 49 81 30 51 29 61 19 55 87 44 85 23
2022 17 20 16 24 26 13 26 25 54 30 56 49 72 76 15
2023 30 13
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2017 -- 0 0.1 0 1 0 0 --
2018 -- 0 0.1 0 1 0 0 --
2019 22.2 18 16.6 1 7 12 8 44.4
2020 21.2 5 4.6 0 1 3 2 40.0
2021 22.2 13 10.8 2 3 6 7 53.8
2022 22.2 7 7.5 -1 4 4 4 57.1
2023 24.1 2 2.5 -1 1 1 2 100.0
Player 22.2 45 42.1 3 18 26 23 51.1

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
2018 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019 18 21 16 17 18 17 20 14 13 12 15 17 20 16 15 16 15 14 16 17 17 19 21 19 17 16 11 20 19 17 13
2020 5 5 5 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 6 4 5 4 5 4 4 5 6 5 5 6 5 3 4 6 4 5 4 3
2021 13 12 12 9 12 10 13 10 9 8 8 13 10 8 11 11 10 10 13 12 10 12 13 14 9 9 12 12 11 12 10
2022 7 4 7 10 9 8 8 6 6 6 7 8 10 7 7 9 6 6 6 7 7 8 10 6 6 6 10 10 10 7 7
2023 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 3 2 3 4 4 2 2 2 2 3 2 2
Player 45 46 43 42 45 42 48 38 34 32 36 46 47 38 40 43 38 36 43 45 41 48 55 48 37 37 41 49 48 42 35
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2016 2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Exit Velocity 89.3 81.9 -7.4 ↓ 85.1 3.2 ↑ 88.9 3.8 ↑ 86.3 -2.6 ↓ 88.2 1.9 ↑ 87.7 -0.5 ↓ 86.8 -0.9 ↓
Launch Angle 10.5 5.6 -4.9 ↓ 10.2 4.6 ↑ 14.3 4.1 ↑ 16.7 2.4 ↑ 18.6 1.9 ↑ 14.7 -3.9 ↓ 15.6 0.9 ↑
Barrel % 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5 6.5 ↑ 8.5 2.0 ↑ 4.3 -4.2 ↓ 8.5 4.2 ↑ 5.2 -3.3 ↓ 2.1 -3.1 ↓
Hard Hit % 27.3 31.0 3.7 ↑ 25.8 -5.2 ↓ 40.4 14.6 ↑ 34.4 -6.0 ↓ 34.0 -0.4 ↓ 36.8 2.8 ↑ 33.0 -3.8 ↓
Sweet Spot % 9.1 20.7 11.6 ↑ 25.8 5.1 ↑ 39.8 14.0 ↑ 32.3 -7.5 ↓ 37.9 5.6 ↑ 33.2 -4.7 ↓ 27.8 -5.4 ↓
xBA .168 .212 0.044 ↑ .176 -0.036 ↓ .249 0.073 ↑ .222 -0.027 ↓ .254 0.032 ↑ .225 -0.029 ↓ .185 -0.040 ↓
BA .154 .174 0.020 ↑ .114 -0.060 ↓ .245 0.131 ↑ .221 -0.024 ↓ .240 0.019 ↑ .211 -0.029 ↓ .206 -0.005 ↓
xwOBA .206 .276 0.070 ↑ .256 -0.020 ↓ .340 0.084 ↑ .270 -0.070 ↓ .346 0.076 ↑ .288 -0.058 ↓ .245 -0.043 ↓
wOBA .203 .210 0.007 ↑ .162 -0.048 ↓ .339 0.177 ↑ .279 -0.060 ↓ .328 0.049 ↑ .275 -0.053 ↓ .255 -0.020 ↓
xSLG .214 .355 0.141 ↑ .308 -0.047 ↓ .460 0.152 ↑ .355 -0.105 ↓ .428 0.073 ↑ .345 -0.083 ↓ .279 -0.066 ↓
SLG .231 .217 -0.014 ↓ .114 -0.103 ↓ .478 0.364 ↑ .385 -0.093 ↓ .411 0.026 ↑ .334 -0.077 ↓ .287 -0.047 ↓
K% 14.3 14.7 0.4 ↑ 16.7 2.0 ↑ 21.6 4.9 ↑ 22.5 0.9 ↑ 20.6 -1.9 ↓ 20.1 -0.5 ↓ 26.5 6.4 ↑
BB% 0.0 6.7 6.7 ↑ 7.1 0.4 ↑ 13.2 6.1 ↑ 4.7 -8.5 ↓ 12.3 7.6 ↑ 8.2 -4.1 ↓ 9.3 1.1 ↑
Swing % 45.5 41.9 -3.6 ↓ 44.6 2.7 ↑ 41.9 -2.7 ↓ 45.7 3.8 ↑ 42.0 -3.7 ↓ 43.6 1.6 ↑ 45.6 2.0 ↑
Whiff% 25.0 16.0 -9.0 ↓ 20.0 4.0 ↑ 23.1 3.1 ↑ 26.8 3.7 ↑ 25.0 -1.8 ↓ 21.1 -3.9 ↓ 30.2 9.1 ↑
In Zone % 47.7 50.4 2.7 ↑ 58.6 8.2 ↑ 49.9 -8.7 ↓ 54.9 5.0 ↑ 49.1 -5.8 ↓ 50.2 1.1 ↑ 51.9 1.7 ↑
Out of Zone % 52.3 49.6 -2.7 ↓ 41.4 -8.2 ↓ 50.1 8.7 ↑ 45.1 -5.0 ↓ 50.9 5.8 ↑ 49.8 -1.1 ↓ 48.1 -1.7 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 17.4 23.4 6.0 ↑ 16.9 -6.5 ↓ 21.9 5.0 ↑ 23.7 1.8 ↑ 22.3 -1.4 ↓ 24.3 2.0 ↑ 26.0 1.7 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 35.7 24.0 -11.7 ↓ 19.0 -5.0 ↓ 15.4 -3.6 ↓ 15.5 0.1 ↑ 15.9 0.4 ↑ 19.8 3.9 ↑ 23.2 3.4 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 57.1 68.0 10.9 ↑ 61.9 -6.1 ↓ 56.9 -5.0 ↓ 57.4 0.5 ↑ 55.7 -1.7 ↓ 58.5 2.8 ↑ 59.6 1.1 ↑
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

wOBA
SeasonAlignment TypeBat SidePAShifts/Shades%No Shift/ShadeShift/Shade
2016 Shifts R 14 0 0.0 .203
2017 Shifts R 75 0 0.0 .210
2018 Shifts R 42 0 0.0 .162
2019 Shifts R 355 124 34.9 .315 .384
2020 Shifts R 129 51 39.5 .311 .230
2021 Shifts R 349 136 39.0 .337 .322
2022 Shifts R 352 133 37.8 .295 .240
2023 Shades R 151 18 11.9 .246 .324
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo