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Carson Kelly
C | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 212LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2012 | Rd: 2, #86, St. Louis Cardinals | Westview HS (OR)
Poor Avg Great

Stats

PA AB R H HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2021 359 304 41 73 13 46 0 .240 .343 .411 .754
6 Seasons 984 857 105 195 36 122 0 .228 .319 .401 .720
AVG HR RBI SB OPS
2021 .240 13 46 0 .754
6 Seasons .228 36 122 0 .720

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Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2016 22 44 11 0 0 89.3 103.6 10.5 9.1 .162 .206 .203 .200 .190 27.3 14.3 0
2017 23 284 58 0 0 81.9 104.4 5.6 20.7 .203 .343 .210 .267 .274 31 14.7 6.7
2018 24 157 31 2 6.5 85.1 100.3 10.2 25.8 .173 .304 .162 .254 .254 25.8 16.7 7.1
2019 25 1571 236 20 8.5 88.9 109.1 14.3 39.8 .245 .456 .339 .337 .389 40.4 21.6 13.2
2020 26 506 93 4 4.3 86.3 105.4 16.7 32.3 .218 .351 .279 .267 .317 34.4 22.5 4.7
2021 27 1473 235 20 8.5 88.2 109.2 18.6 37.9 .251 .423 .328 .342 .376 34 20.6 12.3
4035 664 46 6.9 87.5 109.2 15.2 35.2 .236 .410 .308 .319 .355 35.6 20.5 10.8
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .243 .403 .317 .313 .363 35.4 22 8.4




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Other
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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # % PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Fastballs 879 59.7 206 171 45 32 6 1 6 37 135 .263 .286 .415 .477 .353 .384 89.0 20 17.6 16.4
2021 Breaking 430 29.2 104 93 18 11 5 0 2 25 72 .194 .208 .312 .313 .238 .262 87.2 15 31.1 18.2
2021 Offspeed 164 11.1 48 40 10 5 0 0 5 12 28 .250 .200 .625 .444 .416 .338 87.2 19 42.5 16.7
2020 Fastballs 314 62.2 71 64 13 9 1 0 3 14 50 .203 .229 .359 .381 .282 .303 86.4 16 21.5 20.3
2020 Breaking 139 27.5 38 38 11 6 3 0 2 12 26 .289 .204 .526 .309 .341 .218 87.5 18 39.4 20.7
2020 Offspeed 52 10.3 20 20 3 2 1 0 0 3 17 .150 .211 .200 .335 .150 .234 84.0 18 20.0 13.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2016 63.6 9.1 9.1 18.2 36.4 45.5 18.2 0 54.5 27.3 9.1 9.1 0
2017 56.9 19 15.5 8.6 27.6 46.6 25.9 10.3 39.7 17.2 22.4 8.6 0
2018 61.3 16.1 12.9 9.7 29 51.6 19.4 0 38.7 25.8 16.1 3.2 6.5
2019 37.3 29.7 26.3 6.8 36.4 41.9 21.6 1.7 30.1 26.3 24.6 8.5 8.5
2020 40.9 24.7 26.9 7.5 45.2 32.3 22.6 4.3 29 29 25.8 7.5 4.3
2021 31.9 32.8 26.4 8.9 38.3 32.3 29.4 1.3 26 31.9 26.8 5.5 8.5
39.2 28.2 24.5 8.1 37.2 38.1 24.7 2.6 30.1 27.9 24.7 7.1 6.9
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Splitter -3.6 0 12 0.8 4 0 0 .175 42.9 25 16.7 .055 .08 .216 0
2021 Cutter -6.2 -5 83 5.6 24 .208 .208 .188 35 33.3 33.3 .229 .318 .237 31.3
2021 Curveball 1.2 1 109 7.4 25 .227 .455 .28 32.7 36 23.7 .175 .35 .224 26.7
2021 Changeup 5.1 8 152 10.3 44 .27 .676 .441 42.5 25 16.7 .211 .474 .35 38.5
2021 Sinker 1.6 4 274 18.6 68 .302 .434 .429 7.5 7.4 7.4 .341 .522 .442 43.8
2021 Slider -1.1 -3 321 21.8 79 .183 .268 .24 30.5 20.3 16.2 .218 .302 .274 29.8
2021 4-Seamer 0.1 1 522 35.4 114 .255 .457 .367 19.5 21.1 17.9 .27 .492 .382 32.4
2020 Splitter -15.7 0 3 0.6 2 0 0 0 50 50 50 .01 .021 .013 0
2020 Cutter -1.3 0 31 6.1 9 .222 .222 .2 18.8 11.1 16.7 .372 .517 .382 25
2020 Curveball -2.9 -1 34 6.7 11 .182 .182 .164 40 36.4 33.3 .2 .229 .185 28.6
2020 Sinker -3.5 -3 78 15.4 17 .133 .133 .188 23.3 23.5 26.7 .147 .171 .205 18.2
2020 Changeup -2.3 -1 49 9.7 18 .167 .222 .169 17.9 11.1 10 .233 .37 .259 25
2020 Slider 3.1 3 106 20.9 27 .333 .667 .42 39.3 29.6 17.4 .206 .342 .231 26.3
2020 4-Seamer -0.1 0 205 40.5 45 .225 .475 .339 21.4 20 18.8 .227 .43 .323 54.8
2019 Splitter 9 1 15 1 2 1 1 .8 42.9 0 0 .953 1.009 .779 0
2019 Cutter -0.5 -1 158 10.1 36 .206 .412 .285 14.5 19.4 11.9 .239 .458 .312 37
2019 Changeup 2.1 3 128 8.1 38 .333 .694 .443 32.8 23.7 15.8 .267 .5 .338 40.7
2019 Curveball 0.7 1 159 10.1 41 .231 .436 .302 29.3 36.6 23.4 .218 .35 .263 45.8
2019 Slider -1.5 -4 302 19.2 61 .143 .375 .257 33.1 24.6 15.5 .174 .358 .252 35.7
2019 Sinker -1.6 -4 250 15.9 64 .218 .291 .29 13.8 18.8 17.4 .224 .361 .312 32.6
2019 4-Seamer 0.4 2 556 35.4 112 .293 .565 .431 18.5 18.8 12.3 .301 .597 .43 47.9
2018 Changeup -12.5 -1 9 5.7 3 0 0 0 50 33.3 33.3 .16 .267 .183 50
2018 Curveball -4.3 -1 14 8.9 5 0 0 0 16.7 20 20 .069 .094 .072 0
2018 Slider -7.1 -2 25 15.9 9 0 0 0 28.6 33.3 21.4 .103 .126 .103 16.7
2018 Sinker 2.9 1 39 24.8 12 .4 .4 .391 0 0 0 .189 .207 .222 18.2
2018 4-Seamer -2.4 -2 68 43.3 13 0 0 .162 25 15.4 13.3 .257 .638 .447 50
2018 Cutter 5.8 0 1 0.6
2018 Splitter 6.2 0 1 0.6 0
2017 Changeup 2.9 0 12 4.2 2 0 0 .35 14.3 0 0 .553 .594 .602 100
2017 Knuckleball 4.8 0 7 2.5 3 .333 .333 .3 0 0 0 .329 .804 .473 33.3
2017 Cutter -16.6 -3 19 6.7 9 0 0 0 23.1 22.2 22.2 .18 .404 .243 28.6
2017 Sinker -3.8 -2 60 21.1 13 .167 .167 .192 9.1 0 0 .161 .236 .21 16.7
2017 Slider -4.5 -2 44 15.5 13 .083 .083 .123 35.3 30.8 28.6 .088 .109 .13 25
2017 Curveball 8.1 3 33 11.6 13 .25 .417 .369 23.1 23.1 25 .165 .262 .276 22.2
2017 4-Seamer -0.1 0 106 37.3 22 .25 .3 .284 7.3 9.1 8.3 .294 .489 .361 44.4
2017 Splitter -0.5 0 3 1.1 100
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 75 284 -4 -6 4 2 -4
2018 42 157 -2 -3 0 1 -4
2019 354 1567 -8 -16 15 8 -2
2020 129 506 -6 1 2 1 -3
2021 358 1473 -8 -11 15 9 5
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 44 47.7 76.2 81.3 17.4 50 36.4 35.7 45.5 25 6.8 100
2017 284 50.4 60.1 87.2 23.4 72.7 41.2 24 41.9 16 8.1 56.5
2018 157 58.6 64.1 86.4 16.9 45.5 41.4 19 44.6 20 7 90.9
2019 1571 50 62 83.3 21.8 57.3 42.1 15.3 41.9 23.1 7.7 70.8
2020 506 54.9 63.7 78 23.7 57.4 39.3 15.5 45.7 26.8 10.3 69.2
2021 1473 49.2 62.4 82.3 22.3 55.1 43.2 15.9 42 25 8 61
4035 50.6 62.5 82.6 22.1 57.3 42 16.7 42.6 23.7 8.1 67
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 29.2 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% Speed OAA
2016 8
2017 26
2018 13
2019 59 32 57 65 75 31 57 41 58 48 92 63 19
2020 5 16 15 23 4 11 20 13 27 48 7 46 21
2021 65 48 49 48 80 30 51 29 19 55 87 44 23
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.2 18 18.9 -1 8 12 9 50
2020 21.2 5 4.5 1 4 0 1 20
2021 22.2 13 17.2 -4 6 8 2 15.4

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 18 21 19 19 20 18 18 23 18 21 22 19 15 16 18 21 12 22 19 20 12 18 17 19 18 22 19 18 22 18 24
2020 5 4 7 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 4 4 3 4 4 5 4 4 5 4 5 4 4
2021 13 12 17 14 19 13 15 18 15 16 16 16 10 18 15 19 11 17 17 17 10 13 14 18 14 18 15 14 20 11 19
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Exit Velocity 89.3 81.9 -7.4 ↓ 85.1 3.2 ↑ 88.9 3.8 ↑ 86.3 -2.6 ↓ 88.2 1.9 ↑
Launch Angle 10.5 5.6 -4.9 ↓ 10.2 4.6 ↑ 14.3 4.1 ↑ 16.7 2.4 ↑ 18.6 1.9 ↑
Barrel % 0 0 0 6.5 6.5 ↑ 8.5 2 ↑ 4.3 -4.2 ↓ 8.5 4.2 ↑
Hard Hit % 27.3 31 3.7 ↑ 25.8 -5.2 ↓ 40.4 14.6 ↑ 34.4 -6 ↓ 34 -0.4 ↓
Sweet Spot % 9.1 20.7 11.6 ↑ 25.8 5.1 ↑ 39.8 14 ↑ 32.3 -7.5 ↓ 37.9 5.6 ↑
xBA .162 .203 0.041 ↑ .173 -0.03 ↓ .245 0.072 ↑ .218 -0.027 ↓ .251 0.033 ↑
BA .154 .174 0.02 ↑ .114 -0.06 ↓ .245 0.131 ↑ .221 -0.024 ↓ .24 0.019 ↑
xwOBA .2 .267 0.067 ↑ .254 -0.013 ↓ .337 0.083 ↑ .267 -0.07 ↓ .342 0.075 ↑
wOBA .203 .21 0.007 ↑ .162 -0.048 ↓ .339 0.177 ↑ .279 -0.06 ↓ .328 0.049 ↑
xSLG .206 .343 0.137 ↑ .304 -0.039 ↓ .456 0.152 ↑ .351 -0.105 ↓ .423 0.072 ↑
SLG .231 .217 -0.014 ↓ .114 -0.103 ↓ .478 0.364 ↑ .385 -0.093 ↓ .411 0.026 ↑
K% 14.3 14.7 0.4 ↑ 16.7 2 ↑ 21.6 4.9 ↑ 22.5 0.9 ↑ 20.6 -1.9 ↓
BB% 0 6.7 6.7 ↑ 7.1 0.4 ↑ 13.2 6.1 ↑ 4.7 -8.5 ↓ 12.3 7.6 ↑
Swing % 45.5 41.9 -3.6 ↓ 44.6 2.7 ↑ 41.9 -2.7 ↓ 45.7 3.8 ↑ 42 -3.7 ↓
Whiff% 25 16 -9 ↓ 20 4 ↑ 23.1 3.1 ↑ 26.8 3.7 ↑ 25 -1.8 ↓
In Zone % 47.7 50.4 2.7 ↑ 58.6 8.2 ↑ 50 -8.6 ↓ 54.9 4.9 ↑ 49.2 -5.7 ↓
Out of Zone % 52.3 49.6 -2.7 ↓ 41.4 -8.2 ↓ 50 8.6 ↑ 45.1 -4.9 ↓ 50.8 5.7 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 17.4 23.4 6 ↑ 16.9 -6.5 ↓ 21.8 4.9 ↑ 23.7 1.9 ↑ 22.3 -1.4 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 35.7 24 -11.7 ↓ 19 -5 ↓ 15.3 -3.7 ↓ 15.5 0.2 ↑ 15.9 0.4 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 57.1 68 10.9 ↑ 61.9 -6.1 ↓ 56.7 -5.2 ↓ 57.4 0.7 ↑ 55.7 -1.7 ↓
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Statcast Shift Statistics

SeasonBat SidePAShifts%wOBA - No ShiftwOBA - Shift
2016 R 14 0 0.0 .203
2017 R 75 0 0.0 .210
2018 R 42 0 0.0 .162
2019 R 355 113 31.8 .315 .393
2020 R 129 48 37.2 .300 .245
2021 R 358 112 31.3 .344 .294

Statcast Rankings