Carson Kelly
C | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 212LBS | Age: 28

Draft: 2012 | Rd: 2, #86, St. Louis Cardinals | Westview HS (OR)

Stats

PA AB R H HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2022 354 317 40 67 7 35 2 .211 .282 .334 .616
7 Seasons 1338 1174 145 262 43 157 2 .223 .309 .383 .692
AVG HR RBI SB OPS
2022 .211 7 35 2 .616
7 Seasons .223 43 157 2 .692

Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2016 21 44 11 0 0.0 0.0 89.3 103.6 10.5 9.1 .168 .214 .203 .206 .197 27.3 14.3 0.0
2017 22 284 58 0 0.0 0.0 81.9 104.4 5.6 20.7 .212 .355 .210 .276 .285 31.0 14.7 6.7
2018 23 157 31 2 6.5 4.8 85.1 100.3 10.2 25.8 .176 .308 .162 .256 .257 25.8 16.7 7.1
2019 24 1571 236 20 8.5 5.5 88.9 109.1 14.3 39.8 .249 .460 .339 .340 .394 40.4 21.6 13.2
2020 25 506 93 4 4.3 3.1 86.3 105.4 16.7 32.3 .222 .355 .279 .270 .322 34.4 22.5 4.7
2021 26 1473 235 20 8.5 5.6 88.2 109.2 18.6 37.9 .254 .428 .328 .346 .381 34.0 20.6 12.3
2022 27 1423 250 13 5.2 3.7 87.7 109.4 14.7 33.2 .225 .345 .275 .288 .316 36.8 20.1 8.2
Player 5458 914 59 6.5 4.4 87.6 109.4 15.1 34.7 .236 .396 .299 .313 .349 35.9 20.4 10.1
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Other
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2016 63.6 9.1 9.1 18.2 36.4 45.5 18.2 0.0 54.5 27.3 9.1 9.1 0.0 0.0
2017 56.9 19.0 15.5 8.6 27.6 46.6 25.9 10.3 39.7 17.2 22.4 8.6 0.0 0.0
2018 61.3 16.1 12.9 9.7 29.0 51.6 19.4 0.0 38.7 25.8 16.1 3.2 6.5 4.8
2019 37.3 29.7 26.3 6.8 36.4 41.9 21.6 1.7 30.1 26.3 24.6 8.5 8.5 5.5
2020 40.9 31.2 20.4 7.5 45.2 32.3 22.6 4.3 29.0 29.0 25.8 7.5 4.3 3.1
2021 31.9 32.8 26.4 8.9 38.3 32.3 29.4 1.3 26.0 31.9 26.8 5.5 8.5 5.6
2022 40.8 28.4 22.8 8.0 38.8 39.2 22.0 4.4 30.0 30.0 22.8 7.2 5.2 3.7
Player 39.6 28.9 23.4 8.1 37.6 38.4 24.0 3.1 30.1 28.4 24.2 7.1 6.5 4.4
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -1.4 -6 422 29.7 117 .219 .400 .295 14.2 16.2 17.9 .245 .420 .323 43.2
2022 Sinker -1.6 -6 359 25.2 85 .243 .270 .295 7.3 16.5 18.4 .231 .297 .285 41.0
2022 Slider -1.0 -3 314 22.1 72 .119 .194 .174 35.5 29.2 20.2 .182 .260 .227 21.7
2022 Curveball -1.5 -2 127 8.9 29 .179 .250 .203 33.3 41.4 29.3 .165 .238 .192 43.8
2022 Changeup 5.5 5 87 6.1 23 .444 1.056 .609 40.5 13.0 13.6 .275 .574 .404 25.0
2022 Cutter -2.5 -2 87 6.1 22 .158 .158 .218 17.4 4.5 3.7 .208 .313 .292 27.8
2022 Splitter 1.5 0 19 1.3 4 .250 .250 .225 12.5 25.0 12.5 .423 .466 .387 100.0
2022 N/A -3.2 0 4 0.3 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .082 .082 .079 0.0
2021 4-Seamer -0.3 -2 532 36.1 116 .258 .433 .356 20.0 21.6 18.1 .270 .481 .374 32.9
2021 Slider -1.6 -5 329 22.3 82 .176 .257 .231 31.4 22.0 17.0 .214 .294 .267 29.3
2021 Sinker 2.5 7 263 17.9 66 .300 .480 .451 6.8 6.1 6.3 .352 .554 .463 43.5
2021 Changeup 5.1 8 151 10.3 44 .270 .676 .441 43.0 25.0 16.9 .219 .496 .360 38.5
2021 Curveball 1.4 2 105 7.1 24 .238 .476 .292 34.0 37.5 25.7 .185 .368 .235 28.6
2021 Cutter -5.1 -4 80 5.4 22 .227 .227 .205 28.6 27.3 30.0 .253 .350 .261 31.3
2021 Splitter -3.3 0 13 0.9 4 .000 .000 .175 37.5 25.0 14.3 .057 .083 .217 0.0
2020 4-Seamer -0.2 0 206 40.7 46 .225 .475 .347 21.4 19.6 18.8 .230 .433 .334 54.8
2020 Slider 3.1 3 105 20.8 27 .333 .667 .420 38.2 29.6 17.4 .209 .345 .234 26.3
2020 Sinker -3.7 -3 77 15.2 16 .133 .133 .156 23.3 25.0 26.7 .154 .178 .181 18.2
2020 Changeup -2.5 -1 49 9.7 18 .167 .222 .169 17.9 11.1 10.0 .235 .372 .261 25.0
2020 Cutter -1.3 0 33 6.5 9 .222 .222 .200 23.5 11.1 16.7 .377 .522 .387 25.0
2020 Curveball -3.1 -1 33 6.5 11 .182 .182 .164 40.0 36.4 33.3 .202 .232 .188 28.6
2020 Splitter -15.7 0 3 0.6 2 .000 .000 .000 50.0 50.0 50.0 .010 .021 .013 0.0
2019 4-Seamer 0.8 5 551 35.1 111 .297 .571 .451 18.2 18.0 11.9 .307 .607 .436 47.9
2019 Slider -1.7 -5 308 19.6 63 .138 .362 .248 32.4 25.4 16.0 .182 .372 .259 37.2
2019 Sinker -1.3 -3 255 16.2 65 .214 .286 .299 14.6 20.0 18.1 .225 .359 .311 32.6
2019 Curveball 0.6 1 159 10.1 41 .231 .436 .302 29.3 36.6 23.4 .221 .353 .266 45.8
2019 Cutter -0.3 -1 152 9.7 34 .219 .438 .301 15.1 17.6 10.7 .234 .447 .307 34.6
2019 Changeup 2.0 3 128 8.1 38 .333 .694 .443 32.8 23.7 15.8 .269 .502 .339 40.7
2019 Splitter 9.0 1 15 1.0 2 1.000 1.000 .800 42.9 0.0 0.0 .953 1.009 .779 0.0
2018 4-Seamer -2.4 -2 68 43.3 13 .000 .000 .162 25.0 15.4 13.3 .261 .642 .449 50.0
2018 Sinker 2.8 1 39 24.8 12 .400 .400 .391 0.0 0.0 0.0 .193 .212 .225 18.2
2018 Slider -7.1 -2 25 15.9 9 .000 .000 .000 28.6 33.3 21.4 .103 .127 .103 16.7
2018 Curveball -4.2 -1 14 8.9 5 .000 .000 .000 16.7 20.0 20.0 .075 .100 .077 0.0
2018 Changeup -13.0 -1 9 5.7 3 .000 .000 .000 50.0 33.3 33.3 .162 .268 .184 50.0
2018 Cutter 6.1 0 1 0.6 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2018 Splitter 5.8 0 1 0.6 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2017 4-Seamer 0.1 0 98 34.5 21 .263 .316 .298 2.8 9.5 10.0 .309 .514 .378 47.1
2017 Sinker -3.6 -2 68 23.9 14 .154 .154 .179 14.8 0.0 0.0 .164 .236 .209 15.4
2017 Slider -4.5 -2 44 15.5 13 .083 .083 .133 35.3 30.8 28.6 .099 .122 .144 25.0
2017 Curveball 7.9 3 33 11.6 13 .250 .417 .369 23.1 23.1 25.0 .172 .268 .282 22.2
2017 Cutter -17.0 -3 19 6.7 9 .000 .000 .000 23.1 22.2 22.2 .188 .413 .251 28.6
2017 Changeup 2.9 0 12 4.2 2 .000 .000 .350 14.3 0.0 0.0 .553 .594 .602 100.0
2017 Knuckleball 4.8 0 7 2.5 3 .333 .333 .300 0.0 0.0 0.0 .331 .807 .475 33.3
2017 Splitter -0.5 0 3 1.1 -- -- -- 100.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 75 284 -4 -6 4 2 -4
2018 42 157 -2 -3 0 1 -4
2019 354 1,567 -8 -15 16 8 1
2020 129 506 -7 1 2 1 -3
2021 358 1,473 -9 -11 15 9 4
2022 354 1,423 -20 -11 9 9 -14
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 44 47.7 76.2 81.3 17.4 50.0 36.4 35.7 45.5 25.0 6.8 100.0
2017 284 50.4 60.1 87.2 23.4 72.7 41.2 24.0 41.9 16.0 8.1 56.5
2018 157 58.6 64.1 86.4 16.9 45.5 41.4 19.0 44.6 20.0 7.0 90.9
2019 1,571 50.0 62.0 83.3 21.8 57.3 42.0 15.4 41.9 23.1 7.7 70.8
2020 506 54.9 63.7 78.0 23.7 57.4 39.3 15.5 45.7 26.8 10.3 69.2
2021 1,473 49.1 62.5 82.3 22.3 55.1 43.2 15.9 42.0 25.0 8.0 61.0
2022 1,423 50.3 62.7 86.2 24.3 59.9 45.1 19.8 43.6 21.1 7.7 74.5
Player 5,458 50.5 62.6 83.5 22.7 58.0 42.8 17.5 42.8 23.0 8.0 68.9
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 29.5 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Max EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
Speed OAA Arm
Strength
2016 34 8
2017 39 26
2018 26 13
2019 59 34 58 67 77 31 56 41 65 58 48 92 63 90 19
2020 6 18 16 23 5 11 20 13 27 27 48 7 46 72 21
2021 68 52 51 49 81 30 51 29 61 19 55 87 44 85 23
2022 17 20 16 24 26 13 26 25 54 31 56 49 72 77 15
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2018 -- 0 0.0 0 1 0 0 --
2019 22.2 18 17.3 1 8 11 8 44.4
2020 21.2 5 4.6 0 0 4 2 40.0
2021 22.2 13 11.9 1 4 7 7 53.8
2022 22.2 7 7.8 -1 5 5 4 57.1
Player 22.1 43 41.7 1 18 27 21 48.8

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2018 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2019 18 19 19 19 16 17 16 21 18 19 18 16 12 12 16 17 11 20 15 18 21 15 15 17 18 18 19 18 20 18 22
2020 5 4 5 4 4 5 0 5 4 6 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 5 3 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 4 5 3 6
2021 13 11 15 9 12 12 11 13 13 14 10 11 9 9 10 14 12 11 12 13 14 11 11 14 11 13 14 10 13 11 15
2022 7 10 9 7 7 9 8 4 9 10 10 5 6 7 7 8 9 10 8 8 10 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 8 6 11
Player 43 44 48 39 39 43 35 43 44 49 42 36 31 32 37 44 38 46 38 44 50 36 36 43 42 45 44 38 47 38 54
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Exit Velocity 89.3 81.9 -7.4 85.1 3.2 88.9 3.8 86.3 -2.6 88.2 1.9 87.7 -0.5
Launch Angle 10.5 5.6 -4.9 10.2 4.6 14.3 4.1 16.7 2.4 18.6 1.9 14.7 -3.9
Barrel % 0 0 0 6.5 6.5 8.5 2 4.3 -4.2 8.5 4.2 5.2 -3.3
Hard Hit % 27.3 31 3.7 25.8 -5.2 40.4 14.6 34.4 -6 34 -0.4 36.8 2.8
Sweet Spot % 9.1 20.7 11.6 25.8 5.1 39.8 14 32.3 -7.5 37.9 5.6 33.2 -4.7
xBA .168 .212 0.044 .176 -0.036 .249 0.073 .222 -0.027 .254 0.032 .225 -0.029
BA .154 .174 0.02 .114 -0.06 .245 0.131 .221 -0.024 .24 0.019 .211 -0.029
xwOBA .206 .276 0.07 .256 -0.02 .34 0.084 .27 -0.07 .346 0.076 .288 -0.058
wOBA .203 .21 0.007 .162 -0.048 .339 0.177 .279 -0.06 .328 0.049 .275 -0.053
xSLG .214 .355 0.141 .308 -0.047 .46 0.152 .355 -0.105 .428 0.073 .345 -0.083
SLG .231 .217 -0.014 .114 -0.103 .478 0.364 .385 -0.093 .411 0.026 .334 -0.077
K% 14.3 14.7 0.4 16.7 2 21.6 4.9 22.5 0.9 20.6 -1.9 20.1 -0.5
BB% 0 6.7 6.7 7.1 0.4 13.2 6.1 4.7 -8.5 12.3 7.6 8.2 -4.1
Swing % 45.5 41.9 -3.6 44.6 2.7 41.9 -2.7 45.7 3.8 42 -3.7 43.6 1.6
Whiff% 25 16 -9 20 4 23.1 3.1 26.8 3.7 25 -1.8 21.1 -3.9
In Zone % 47.7 50.4 2.7 58.6 8.2 50 -8.6 54.9 4.9 49.1 -5.8 50.3 1.2
Out of Zone % 52.3 49.6 -2.7 41.4 -8.2 50 8.6 45.1 -4.9 50.9 5.8 49.7 -1.2
Out of Zone Swing % 17.4 23.4 6 16.9 -6.5 21.8 4.9 23.7 1.9 22.3 -1.4 24.3 2
First Pitch Swing % 35.7 24 -11.7 19 -5 15.4 -3.6 15.5 0.1 15.9 0.4 19.8 3.9
First Pitch Strike % 57.1 68 10.9 61.9 -6.1 56.9 -5 57.4 0.5 55.7 -1.7 58.5 2.8
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Statcast Shift Statistics

SeasonBat SidePAShifts%wOBA - No ShiftwOBA - Shift
2016 R 14 0 0.0 .203
2017 R 75 0 0.0 .210
2018 R 42 0 0.0 .162
2019 R 355 113 31.8 .315 .393
2020 R 129 48 37.2 .300 .245
2021 R 358 112 31.3 .344 .294
2022 R 354 122 34.5 .303 .221

Pitch Tempo