Carson Kelly
C | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 212LBS | Age: 27

Draft: 2012 | Rd: 2, #86, St. Louis Cardinals | Westview HS (OR)
Poor Avg Great

Stats

PA AB R H HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2022 102 93 8 12 1 8 0 .129 .186 .194 .380
7 Seasons 1086 950 113 207 37 130 0 .218 .307 .381 .688
AVG HR RBI SB OPS
2022 .129 1 8 0 .380
7 Seasons .218 37 130 0 .688

Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2016 21 44 11 0 0 0 89.3 103.6 10.5 9.1 .162 .206 .203 .200 .190 27.3 14.3 0.0
2017 22 284 58 0 0 0 81.9 104.4 5.6 20.7 .206 .348 .210 .271 .278 31.0 14.7 6.7
2018 23 157 31 2 6.5 4.8 85.1 100.3 10.2 25.8 .173 .304 .162 .254 .254 25.8 16.7 7.1
2019 24 1571 236 20 8.5 5.5 88.9 109.1 14.3 39.8 .246 .457 .339 .338 .391 40.4 21.6 13.2
2020 25 506 93 4 4.3 3.1 86.3 105.4 16.7 32.3 .218 .351 .279 .267 .317 34.4 22.5 4.7
2021 26 1473 235 20 8.5 5.6 88.2 109.2 18.6 37.9 .251 .425 .328 .343 .378 34.0 20.6 12.3
2022 27 397 70 3 4.3 2.9 87.4 105.3 16.6 22.9 .143 .241 .175 .208 .233 30.0 24.5 4.9
Player 4432 734 49 6.7 4.5 87.5 109.2 15.3 34.1 .227 .395 .296 .309 .345 35.1 20.9 10.2
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 32.9 .246 .410 .317 .317 .370 35.7 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Other
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2016 63.6 9.1 9.1 18.2 36.4 45.5 18.2 0.0 54.5 27.3 9.1 9.1 0.0 0.0
2017 56.9 19.0 15.5 8.6 27.6 46.6 25.9 10.3 39.7 17.2 22.4 8.6 0.0 0.0
2018 61.3 16.1 12.9 9.7 29.0 51.6 19.4 0.0 38.7 25.8 16.1 3.2 6.5 4.8
2019 37.3 29.7 26.3 6.8 36.4 41.9 21.6 1.7 30.1 26.3 24.6 8.5 8.5 5.5
2020 40.9 31.2 20.4 7.5 45.2 32.3 22.6 4.3 29.0 29.0 25.8 7.5 4.3 3.1
2021 31.9 32.8 26.4 8.9 38.3 32.3 29.4 1.3 26.0 31.9 26.8 5.5 8.5 5.6
2022 41.4 41.4 12.9 4.3 44.3 38.6 17.1 2.9 37.1 41.4 10.0 4.3 4.3 2.9
Player 39.4 30.2 22.6 7.8 37.9 38.1 24.0 2.6 30.8 29.2 23.3 6.8 6.7 4.5
MLB 45.0 22.9 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -3.8 -5 133 33.5 40 .167 .278 .206 11.7 22.5 23.1 .155 .319 .244 37.9
2022 Slider -3.2 -3 99 24.9 26 .043 .043 .115 38.0 30.8 29.6 .135 .168 .195 13.3
2022 Sinker -5.7 -5 89 22.4 19 .053 .053 .047 4.9 15.8 17.6 .143 .211 .150 37.5
2022 Changeup 6.4 2 33 8.3 8 .667 1.000 .713 37.5 12.5 11.1 .253 .358 .369 20.0
2022 Curveball -7.6 -2 29 7.3 7 .000 .000 .000 31.3 57.1 36.4 .012 .013 .011 0.0
2022 Cutter -7.2 -1 9 2.3 2 .000 .000 .000 16.7 0.0 0.0 .158 .388 .222 50.0
2022 Splitter 2.8 0 5 1.3 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2021 4-Seamer 0.1 1 517 35.1 114 .263 .463 .368 19.9 21.1 17.9 .274 .499 .383 33.3
2021 Slider -1.6 -5 329 22.3 82 .176 .257 .231 31.4 22.0 17.0 .210 .290 .264 29.3
2021 Sinker 1.6 4 277 18.8 68 .288 .423 .426 6.6 7.4 7.4 .335 .510 .441 42.6
2021 Changeup 5.1 8 151 10.3 44 .270 .676 .441 43.0 25.0 16.9 .216 .493 .357 38.5
2021 Curveball 1.4 2 105 7.1 24 .238 .476 .292 34.0 37.5 25.7 .183 .366 .233 28.6
2021 Cutter -5.0 -4 81 5.5 22 .227 .227 .205 30.6 27.3 30.0 .250 .347 .258 31.3
2021 Splitter -3.3 0 13 0.9 4 .000 .000 .175 37.5 25.0 14.3 .055 .080 .216 0.0
2020 4-Seamer -0.2 0 206 40.7 46 .225 .475 .347 21.4 19.6 18.8 .227 .430 .331 54.8
2020 Slider 3.1 3 105 20.8 27 .333 .667 .420 38.2 29.6 17.4 .206 .342 .231 26.3
2020 Sinker -3.7 -3 77 15.2 16 .133 .133 .156 23.3 25.0 26.7 .147 .171 .174 18.2
2020 Changeup -2.5 -1 49 9.7 18 .167 .222 .169 17.9 11.1 10.0 .233 .370 .259 25.0
2020 Curveball -3.1 -1 33 6.5 11 .182 .182 .164 40.0 36.4 33.3 .200 .229 .185 28.6
2020 Cutter -1.3 0 33 6.5 9 .222 .222 .200 23.5 11.1 16.7 .372 .517 .382 25.0
2020 Splitter -15.7 0 3 0.6 2 .000 .000 .000 50.0 50.0 50.0 .010 .021 .013 0.0
2019 4-Seamer 0.8 5 551 35.1 111 .297 .571 .451 18.2 18.0 11.9 .305 .603 .433 47.9
2019 Slider -1.6 -5 308 19.6 63 .138 .362 .248 32.4 25.4 16.0 .180 .369 .257 37.2
2019 Sinker -1.3 -3 255 16.2 65 .214 .286 .299 14.6 20.0 18.1 .220 .354 .307 32.6
2019 Curveball 0.6 1 159 10.1 41 .231 .436 .302 29.3 36.6 23.4 .218 .350 .263 45.8
2019 Cutter -0.3 0 152 9.7 34 .219 .438 .301 15.1 17.6 10.7 .232 .444 .305 34.6
2019 Changeup 2.0 3 128 8.1 38 .333 .694 .443 32.8 23.7 15.8 .267 .500 .338 40.7
2019 Splitter 9.0 1 15 1.0 2 1.000 1.000 .800 42.9 0.0 0.0 .953 1.009 .779 0.0
2018 4-Seamer -2.4 -2 68 43.3 13 .000 .000 .162 25.0 15.4 13.3 .257 .638 .447 50.0
2018 Sinker 2.8 1 39 24.8 12 .400 .400 .391 0.0 0.0 0.0 .189 .207 .222 18.2
2018 Slider -7.1 -2 25 15.9 9 .000 .000 .000 28.6 33.3 21.4 .103 .126 .103 16.7
2018 Curveball -4.2 -1 14 8.9 5 .000 .000 .000 16.7 20.0 20.0 .069 .094 .072 0.0
2018 Changeup -13.0 -1 9 5.7 3 .000 .000 .000 50.0 33.3 33.3 .160 .267 .183 50.0
2018 Cutter 6.1 0 1 0.6 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2018 Splitter 5.8 0 1 0.6 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2017 4-Seamer 0.1 0 98 34.5 21 .263 .316 .298 2.8 9.5 10.0 .306 .510 .375 47.1
2017 Sinker -3.6 -2 68 23.9 14 .154 .154 .179 14.8 0.0 0.0 .153 .224 .200 15.4
2017 Slider -4.5 -2 44 15.5 13 .083 .083 .133 35.3 30.8 28.6 .096 .118 .141 25.0
2017 Curveball 7.9 3 33 11.6 13 .250 .417 .369 23.1 23.1 25.0 .165 .262 .276 22.2
2017 Cutter -17.0 -3 19 6.7 9 .000 .000 .000 23.1 22.2 22.2 .180 .404 .243 28.6
2017 Changeup 2.9 0 12 4.2 2 .000 .000 .350 14.3 0.0 0.0 .553 .594 .602 100.0
2017 Knuckleball 4.8 0 7 2.5 3 .333 .333 .300 0.0 0.0 0.0 .329 .804 .473 33.3
2017 Splitter -0.5 0 3 1.1 -- -- -- 100.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 75 284 -4 -6 4 2 -4
2018 42 157 -2 -3 0 1 -4
2019 354 1,567 -8 -15 16 8 1
2020 129 506 -7 1 2 1 -3
2021 358 1,473 -9 -11 15 9 4
2022 102 397 -16 -4 3 4 -14
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 44 47.7 76.2 81.3 17.4 50.0 36.4 35.7 45.5 25.0 6.8 100.0
2017 284 50.4 60.1 87.2 23.4 72.7 41.2 24.0 41.9 16.0 8.1 56.5
2018 157 58.6 64.1 86.4 16.9 45.5 41.4 19.0 44.6 20.0 7.0 90.9
2019 1,571 50.0 62.0 83.3 21.8 57.3 42.1 15.4 41.9 23.1 7.7 70.8
2020 506 54.9 63.7 78.0 23.7 57.4 39.3 15.5 45.7 26.8 10.3 69.2
2021 1,473 49.2 62.4 82.3 22.3 55.1 43.2 15.9 42.0 25.0 8.0 61.0
2022 397 53.9 65.4 88.6 27.3 52.0 43.6 20.6 47.9 21.1 10.1 85.0
Player 4,432 50.9 62.8 83.2 22.5 56.7 42.1 17.1 43.0 23.4 8.3 68.9
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 29.3 47.0 24.6 7.3 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% Speed OAA
2016 8
2017 26
2018 13
2019 56 28 56 66 74 31 56 41 58 48 92 63 19
2020 5 16 15 23 4 11 20 13 27 48 7 46 21
2021 65 47 49 49 79 30 51 29 19 55 87 44 23
2022 10
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2018 -- 0 0.0 0 1 0 0 --
2019 22.2 18 17.3 1 8 11 8 44.4
2020 21.2 5 4.6 0 0 4 2 40.0
2021 22.2 13 11.9 1 4 7 7 53.8
2022 22.4 1 1.2 0 1 2 0 0.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2018 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2019 18 19 19 19 16 17 16 21 18 19 18 16 12 12 16 17 11 20 15 18 21 15 15 17 18 18 19 18 20 18 22
2020 5 4 5 4 4 5 0 5 4 6 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 5 3 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 4 5 3 6
2021 13 11 15 9 12 12 11 13 13 14 10 11 9 9 10 14 12 11 12 13 14 11 11 14 11 13 14 10 13 11 15
2022 1 1 3 0 1 2 2 0 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Exit Velocity 89.3 81.9 -7.4 85.1 3.2 88.9 3.8 86.3 -2.6 88.2 1.9 87.4 -0.8
Launch Angle 10.5 5.6 -4.9 10.2 4.6 14.3 4.1 16.7 2.4 18.6 1.9 16.6 -2
Barrel % 0 0 0 6.5 6.5 8.5 2 4.3 -4.2 8.5 4.2 4.3 -4.2
Hard Hit % 27.3 31 3.7 25.8 -5.2 40.4 14.6 34.4 -6 34 -0.4 30 -4
Sweet Spot % 9.1 20.7 11.6 25.8 5.1 39.8 14 32.3 -7.5 37.9 5.6 22.9 -15
xBA .162 .206 0.044 .173 -0.033 .246 0.073 .218 -0.028 .251 0.033 .143 -0.108
BA .154 .174 0.02 .114 -0.06 .245 0.131 .221 -0.024 .24 0.019 .129 -0.111
xwOBA .2 .271 0.071 .254 -0.017 .338 0.084 .267 -0.071 .343 0.076 .208 -0.135
wOBA .203 .21 0.007 .162 -0.048 .339 0.177 .279 -0.06 .328 0.049 .175 -0.153
xSLG .206 .348 0.142 .304 -0.044 .457 0.153 .351 -0.106 .425 0.074 .241 -0.184
SLG .231 .217 -0.014 .114 -0.103 .478 0.364 .385 -0.093 .411 0.026 .194 -0.217
K% 14.3 14.7 0.4 16.7 2 21.6 4.9 22.5 0.9 20.6 -1.9 24.5 3.9
BB% 0 6.7 6.7 7.1 0.4 13.2 6.1 4.7 -8.5 12.3 7.6 4.9 -7.4
Swing % 45.5 41.9 -3.6 44.6 2.7 41.9 -2.7 45.7 3.8 42 -3.7 47.9 5.9
Whiff% 25 16 -9 20 4 23.1 3.1 26.8 3.7 25 -1.8 21.1 -3.9
In Zone % 47.7 50.4 2.7 58.6 8.2 50 -8.6 54.9 4.9 49.2 -5.7 53.9 4.7
Out of Zone % 52.3 49.6 -2.7 41.4 -8.2 50 8.6 45.1 -4.9 50.8 5.7 46.1 -4.7
Out of Zone Swing % 17.4 23.4 6 16.9 -6.5 21.8 4.9 23.7 1.9 22.3 -1.4 27.3 5
First Pitch Swing % 35.7 24 -11.7 19 -5 15.4 -3.6 15.5 0.1 15.9 0.4 20.6 4.7
First Pitch Strike % 57.1 68 10.9 61.9 -6.1 56.9 -5 57.4 0.5 55.7 -1.7 65.7 10
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Statcast Shift Statistics

SeasonBat SidePAShifts%wOBA - No ShiftwOBA - Shift
2016 R 14 0 0.0 .203
2017 R 75 0 0.0 .210
2018 R 42 0 0.0 .162
2019 R 355 113 31.8 .315 .393
2020 R 129 48 37.2 .300 .245
2021 R 358 112 31.3 .344 .294
2022 R 102 51 50.0 .161 .189

Pitch Tempo