P | Seattle Mariners
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 210 lbs | Age: 26
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 0 0 5.79 5 0 0 4.2 7 1.93
2025 5 5 3.97 70 0 1 77 54 1.35
2026 0 0 4.32 6 0 0 8.1 9 1.20
3 Seasons 5 5 4.10 81 0 1 90 70 1.37
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 5 0-0 5.79 4.2 7 1.93
2025 70 5-5 3.97 77 54 1.35
2026 6 0-0 4.32 8.1 9 1.20
3 Seasons 81 5-5 4.10 90 70 1.37
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 23 81 10 2 20.0 9.1 95.4 107.5 4.5 40.0 .284 .627 .462 .454 .648 70.0 31.8 18.2 5.79 10.18
2025 25 1095 247 12 4.9 3.6 88.6 117.7 4.6 25.9 .246 .370 .327 .296 .322 35.2 16.3 6.9 3.97 3.61
2026 26 132 24 3 12.5 8.3 90.8 116.3 7.5 41.7 .275 .440 .320 .340 .421 41.7 25.0 5.6 4.32 4.95
Player 1308 281 17 6.1 4.4 89.0 117.7 4.9 27.8 .251 .390 .334 .309 .342 37.0 18.0 7.5
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Vargas relies on 3 pitches.
Sinker
(51.5%) ,
Cutter
(24.2%) ,
Slider
(24.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 50.0 50.0 30.0 20.0 0.0 50.0 30.0 20.0 40.0 10.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 20.0
2025 57.1 42.9 20.2 19.8 2.8 39.3 36.0 24.7 26.3 21.9 8.9 13.0 14.2 15.8
2026 41.7 58.3 25.0 33.3 0.0 50.0 29.2 20.8 25.0 12.5 4.2 25.0 16.7 16.7
Player 55.5 44.5 21.0 21.0 2.5 40.6 35.2 24.2 26.7 20.6 8.2 13.9 14.6 16.0
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 0.0 30.0 10.0 40.0 0.0 20.0 9.1
2025 4.9 40.9 20.2 23.9 4.0 4.9 3.6
2026 0.0 37.5 12.5 25.0 12.5 12.5 8.3
Player 4.3 40.2 19.2 24.6 4.6 6.1 4.4
MLB 4.0 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slider SEA R 32 88.2 32.3 -1.0 8.2GLV 4.4 2.8 -1.4 8.2GLV 4.6
2026 Sinker SEA R 68 95.7 24.3 3.3 13.5ARM -1.4 5.6 2.0 13.5ARM -1.5
2026 Cutter SEA R 32 92.6 25.9 -2.8 2.3GLV 0.3 5.8 -2.2 2.3GLV 0.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball SEA R 40 97.5 17.9 -4.7 9.5ARM 1.7 10.9 -4.9 9.5ARM 1.9
2025 Slider SEA R 200 90.4 31.2 0.9 3.5GLV 0.0 2.2 -0.4 3.5GLV -0.7
2025 Changeup SEA R 29 93.6 26.8 -0.4 15.0ARM -1.0 4.5 -0.4 15.0ARM 0.5
2025 Cutter SEA R 140 94.8 21.9 -1.5 0.2GLV -1.0 8.5 0.2 0.2GLV -2.0
2025 Sinker SEA R 686 97.6 24.0 3.3 15.4ARM 0.2 4.9 2.5 15.4ARM 0.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Sinker -1.2 -1 68 51.5 18 .313 .563 .408 11.4 11.1 18.2 .419 .698 .502 57.1
2026 Slider 2.4 1 32 24.2 11 .091 .182 .114 31.6 54.5 24.0 .061 .097 .066 20.0
2026 Cutter -0.2 0 32 24.2 7 .333 .500 .407 12.5 14.3 50.0 .283 .382 .346 20.0
2025 Sinker 0.8 5 686 62.6 188 .284 .355 .346 14.6 10.1 19.4 .265 .369 .315 38.4
2025 Slider -1.1 -2 200 18.3 78 .230 .446 .288 28.4 25.6 22.7 .205 .320 .233 23.2
2025 Cutter 0.4 1 140 12.8 39 .257 .486 .345 18.9 17.9 25.0 .238 .411 .309 44.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball -3.9 -2 40 3.7 9 .375 .875 .539 13.3 22.2 9.5 .296 .584 .410 33.3
2025 Changeup -11.2 -3 29 2.6 11 .364 .727 .459 53.8 54.5 31.6 .226 .448 .281 20.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Cutter 32 92.6 38 5.7 12:15 11:00 75
2026 Sinker 63 95.6 68 14.8 1:00 2:15 -75
2026 Slider 32 88.2 34 9.5 8:30 9:15 -45
2025 Changeup 28 93.7 81 16.6 1:30 2:30 -60
2025 Cutter 134 94.8 51 8.3 12:45 11:45 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 37 97.5 81 14.7 1:15 1:15 0
2025 Sinker 634 97.6 74 16.6 1:15 2:30 -75
2025 Slider 198 90.4 26 5.1 10:00 9:30 30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 22 81 -2 1 -1 -1 -2
2025 325 1,095 0 8 -6 -4 -1
2026 36 132 1 0 0 -1 0
Player 383 1,308 -1 9 -6 -1 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 81 54.3 59.1 73.1 18.9 42.9 48.1 54.5 40.7 33.3 13.6 54.5
2025 1,095 55.4 64.6 88.0 28.9 61.7 43.9 62.4 48.7 18.9 7.1 74.4
2026 132 50.0 75.8 84.0 30.3 80.0 36.4 61.1 53.0 17.1 9.8 84.6
Player 1,308 54.8 65.3 86.8 28.4 63.1 43.4 61.8 48.6 19.5 7.8 73.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2023 99 40 91
2025 35 67 29 19 68 93 20 66 55 8 9 69 92 87 95 73
2026 70 15 68
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 23.67 2 1.8 0 0 1 1 50.0
2025 24.69 11 7.5 4 4 7 3 27.3
2026 19.99 1 0.9 0 0 1 0 0.0
Player 24.21 14 10.1 4 4 9 4 28.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 1
2025 11 8 7 7 7 11 6 6 9 4 7 10 6 10 9 6 7 6 8 10 6 8 10 8 5 3 8 10 9 7 7
2026 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
Player 14 10 10 10 10 14 9 9 12 6 8 13 9 13 12 9 10 8 11 13 9 11 13 11 8 4 11 13 12 8 8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .242 -.031 .273
xBA .275 +.029 .246
OBP .306 -.031 .337
xOBP .335 +.033 .302
SLG .424 +.003 .421
xSLG .440 +.070 .370
ISO .182 +.034 .148
xISO .165 +.041 .124
BABIP .304 +.002 .302
wOBA .320 -.007 .327
xwOBA .340 +.044 .296
wOBAcon .392 +.032 .360
xwOBAcon .421 +.099 .322
BACON .333 +.002 .331
xBACON .378 +.078 .300
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 41.7 +6.5 35.2
Avg Exit Velocity 90.8 +2.2 88.6
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 41.7 +15.8 25.9
Barrel % 12.5 +7.6 4.9
Avg Launch Angle 7.5 +2.9 4.6
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 70.5 -0.4 70.9
Attack Angle +3°
Ideal Attack Angle % 46.7 +1.7 45.0
Attack Direction -5°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° -1° 33°
Swing Length 7.1 +0.1 7.0
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.7 -2.5 97.2
Breaking Velocity 88.2 -2.2 90.4
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- 93.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 3 -9 12
Popup % 0.0 -2.8 2.8
Flyball % 25.0 +4.8 20.2
Line Drive % 33.3 +13.5 19.8
Groundball % 41.7 -15.4 57.1
Pull % 50.0 +10.7 39.3
Straight Away % 29.2 -6.8 36.0
Opposite Field % 20.8 -3.9 24.7
Weak Contact % 0.0 -4.9 4.9
Pull Airball % 25.0 +12.0 13.0
Topped Contact % 37.5 -3.4 40.9
Under Contact % 12.5 -7.7 20.2
Flare/Burner Contact % 25.0 +1.1 23.9
Solid Contact % 12.5 +8.5 4.0
HR/FB % 16.7 -3.3 20.0
Popups 0 -7 7
Flyballs 6 -44 50
Line Drives 8 -41 49
Groundballs 10 -131 141
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 50.0 -5.4 55.4
Out of Zone % 50.0 +5.4 44.6
Edge % 36.4 -7.5 43.9
Zone Swing % 75.8 +11.2 64.6
Out of Zone Swing % 30.3 +1.4 28.9
In Zone Contact % 84.0 -4.0 88.0
Out of Zone Contact % 80.0 +18.3 61.7
Whiff % 17.1 -1.8 18.9
First Strike % 61.1 -1.3 62.4
First Pitch Swing % 30.6 0.0 30.6
Swing % 53.0 +4.3 48.7
Meatball Swing % 84.6 +10.2 74.4
Meatball % 9.8 +2.7 7.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 16.0 +4.0 12.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 20.0 -18.3 38.3
In Zone 66 -541 607
Out of Zone 66 -422 488
Edge 48 -433 481
In Zone Swings 50 -342 392
Out of Zone Swings 20 -121 141
In Zone Swing & Misses 8 -39 47
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 4 -50 54
Basic
Pitches 132 -963 1,095
PA 36 -295 331
AB 33 -264 297
Hits 8 -73 81
Singles 4 -54 58
Doubles 3 -9 12
Triples 0 -1 1
Home Runs 1 -9 10
Walks 2 -21 23
Strikeouts 9 -45 54
K% 25.0 +8.7 16.3
BB% 5.6 -1.3 6.9
HBP 1 -6 7
Batted Balls 24 -223 247
Fastball Percent 75.8 -3.3 79.1
Offspeed Percent 0.0 -2.6 2.6
Breaking Percent 24.2 +5.9 18.3
Number of Fastballs 100 -766 866
Number of Offspeed 0 -29 29
Number of Breaking 32 -168 200
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 22 .462 16 0 0.0 6 2 33.3
2025 Shades 325 .325 185 26 14.1 140 33 23.6
2026 Shades 36 .320 20 1 5.0 16 4 25.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 19 16.8 26.3% 0.0% 20 19.9 0.0% 0.0%
2025 242 14.9 52.1% 0.0% 217 17.3 15.2% 1.4%
2026 14 15.0 42.9% 0.0% 11 14.8 54.5% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution