P | Cleveland Guardians
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 230 lbs | Age: 27
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 6 1 1.91 74 0 1 75.1 103 0.90
2025 8 5 2.93 76 0 16 73.2 104 1.00
2026 3 1 2.72 44 0 29 46.1 66 1.06
3 Seasons 17 7 2.49 194 0 46 195.1 273 0.98
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 74 6-1 1.91 75.1 103 0.90
2025 76 8-5 2.93 73.2 104 1.00
2026 44 3-1 2.72 46.1 66 1.06
3 Seasons 194 17-7 2.49 195.1 273 0.98
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Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 25 1166 166 14 8.4 4.8 90.4 120.3 11.8 39.2 .189 .306 .235 .250 .351 42.8 35.6 5.9 1.91 2.50
2025 26 1182 173 7 4.0 2.3 89.2 114.1 15.8 38.7 .201 .299 .255 .248 .346 37.0 34.7 6.3 2.93 2.51
2026 27 778 107 11 10.3 6.0 91.9 113.2 14.5 37.4 .217 .372 .270 .282 .410 44.8 35.3 6.0 2.78 3.29
Player 3126 446 32 7.2 4.1 90.3 120.3 14.0 38.6 .201 .319 .251 .257 .363 41.0 35.2 6.1
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Smith relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(61.7%) ,
Split Finger
(25.3%) ,
Sweeper
(12.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 44.6 55.4 21.7 25.3 8.4 33.7 36.7 29.5 21.7 16.3 6.6 12.0 20.5 22.9
2025 36.4 63.6 27.2 30.1 6.4 30.6 38.7 30.6 17.3 15.6 3.5 13.3 23.1 27.2
2026 39.3 60.7 29.9 23.4 7.5 35.5 40.2 24.3 18.7 15.0 5.6 16.8 25.2 18.7
Player 40.1 59.9 25.8 26.7 7.4 33.0 38.3 28.7 19.3 15.7 5.2 13.7 22.6 23.5
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 3.0 33.1 26.5 24.1 4.2 8.4 4.8
2025 4.0 27.7 27.2 26.6 10.4 4.0 2.3
2026 1.9 28.0 27.1 25.2 7.5 10.3 6.0
Player 3.1 29.8 26.9 25.3 7.4 7.2 4.1
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2026 4-Seam Fastball CLE R 473 96.9 12.5 0.7 7.7ARM 0.0 16.7 1.0 7.7ARM -0.1
2026 Split-Finger CLE R 194 86.6 42.1 7.3 6.0ARM -4.9 -5.3 8.3 6.0ARM -5.4
2026 Sweeper CLE R 99 85.2 35.2 -0.6 13.8GLV 0.3 2.7 -1.7 13.8GLV 0.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball CLE R 826 96.4 13.1 0.0 8.7ARM 1.7 16.5 0.7 8.7ARM 1.1
2025 Split-Finger CLE R 251 87.6 37.9 5.9 8.2ARM -2.7 -2.1 5.2 8.2ARM -3.1
2025 Sweeper CLE R 105 85.1 34.0 -3.0 12.5GLV -0.6 4.1 -3.2 12.5GLV -1.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.2 -1 473 61.7 120 .273 .427 .343 29.0 31.7 24.4 .260 .451 .330 52.1
2026 Split-Finger 1.9 4 194 25.3 44 .125 .125 .134 45.0 43.2 24.1 .134 .181 .186 34.8
2026 Sweeper -0.3 0 99 12.9 15 .133 .400 .217 37.1 40.0 31.6 .123 .336 .191 11.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.9 16 826 69.9 201 .170 .302 .247 32.2 37.3 32.2 .180 .293 .246 37.6
2025 Split-Finger -0.5 -1 251 21.2 74 .250 .375 .280 38.5 31.1 21.1 .256 .324 .264 34.7
2025 Sweeper -1.2 -1 105 8.9 22 .300 .400 .350 40.8 27.3 20.0 .203 .261 .220 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 4-Seam Fastball 473 96.9 94 18.1 1:00 1:00 0
2026 Split-Finger 146 86.5 85 9.9 4:15 4:30 -15
2026 Sweeper 98 85.2 44 14.6 8:30 9:15 -45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 826 96.4 97 18.4 1:15 1:00 15
2025 Split-Finger 218 87.7 93 10.5 3:15 3:45 -30
2025 Sweeper 104 85.1 39 13.6 9:00 9:15 -15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 289 1,166 11 18 -3 -4 23
2025 297 1,182 9 15 -6 -5 14
2026 179 766 4 4 -2 -3 2
Player 765 3,114 25 37 -11 25 39
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 1,166 56.2 67.3 75.3 27.6 52.5 43.2 63.3 49.9 30.2 8.3 73.2
2025 1,182 52.4 70.4 73.2 32.3 47.8 44.7 62.6 52.3 34.3 7.2 80.0
2026 778 47.9 66.8 76.3 33.8 47.4 39.3 59.2 49.9 34.5 6.9 81.1
Player 3,126 52.7 68.4 74.7 31.1 49.1 42.8 62.1 50.8 32.9 7.5 77.4
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed 		xERA Fastball
MPH 		Fastball
Spin 		Curve
Spin 		Avg
EV 		Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit% 		GB% Extension
2024 95 99 21 70 97 80 59 11 37 84 98 83 35 15 61 98
2025 86 94 37 42 98 83 61 50 88 95 97 79 97 78 20 98
2026 57 34 46 88 79 86 65 1 81 96 99 86 14 11 34 98
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 23.94 2 4.9 -3 1 5 2 100.0
2025 23.91 4 4.3 0 5 1 3 75.0
2026 24.00 4 3.6 0 3 2 2 50.0
Player 23.95 10 12.9 -3 9 8 7 70.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2024 2 5 6 3 4 5 7 3 4 3 5 4 6 4 5 3 4 3 7 7 5 6 7 6 4 5 4 7 6 5 5
2025 4 3 4 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 6 5 5 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 4 4
2026 4 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 2 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 6 3 4 3 5 3 3 2 3 5 3 6
Player 10 12 13 13 13 12 14 10 12 11 11 14 14 13 12 10 12 11 15 18 12 15 14 15 11 12 10 15 16 12 15
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .225 +.024 ↑ .201 +.011 ↑ .190
xBA .217 +.016 ↑ .201 +.012 ↑ .189
OBP .272 +.011 ↑ .261 +.015 ↑ .246
xOBP .269 +.006 ↑ .263 +.017 ↑ .246
SLG .349 +.021 ↑ .328 +.048 ↑ .280
xSLG .372 +.073 ↑ .299 -.007 ↓ .306
ISO .124 -.004 ↓ .128 +.038 ↑ .090
xISO .155 +.057 ↑ .098 -.019 ↓ .117
BABIP .330 +.026 ↑ .304 +.001 ↑ .303
wOBA .270 +.015 ↑ .255 +.020 ↑ .235
xwOBA .282 +.034 ↑ .248 -.002 ↓ .250
wOBAcon .390 +.032 ↑ .358 +.033 ↑ .325
xwOBAcon .410 +.064 ↑ .346 -.005 ↓ .351
BACON .355 +.035 ↑ .320 +.013 ↑ .307
xBACON .351 +.028 ↑ .323 +.014 ↑ .309
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 44.8 +7.8 ↑ 37.0 -5.8 ↓ 42.8
Avg Exit Velocity 91.9 +2.7 ↑ 89.2 -1.2 ↓ 90.4
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 37.4 -1.3 ↓ 38.7 -0.5 ↓ 39.2
Barrel % 10.3 +6.3 ↑ 4.0 -4.4 ↓ 8.4
Avg Launch Angle 14.5 -1.3 ↓ 15.8 +4.0 ↑ 11.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.0 -0.1 ↓ 71.1 +0.1 ↑ 71.0
Attack Angle 7° 0° ↑ 7° +2° ↑ 5°
Ideal Attack Angle % 43.5 -0.7 ↓ 44.2 +2.6 ↑ 41.6
Attack Direction 3° -1° ↓ 4° -2° ↓ 6°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° +2° ↑ 31° 0° ↓ 31°
Swing Length 7.1 +0.1 ↑ 7.0 +0.1 ↑ 6.9
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.9 +0.5 ↑ 96.4 +0.4 ↑ 96.0
Breaking Velocity 85.2 +0.1 ↑ 85.1 +3.0 ↑ 82.1
Offspeed Velocity 86.6 -1.0 ↓ 87.6 -0.8 ↓ 88.4
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 11 +4 ↑ 7 -7 ↓ 14
Popup % 7.5 +1.1 ↑ 6.4 -2.0 ↓ 8.4
Flyball % 29.9 +2.7 ↑ 27.2 +5.5 ↑ 21.7
Line Drive % 23.4 -6.7 ↓ 30.1 +4.8 ↑ 25.3
Groundball % 39.3 +2.9 ↑ 36.4 -8.2 ↓ 44.6
Pull % 35.5 +4.9 ↑ 30.6 -3.1 ↓ 33.7
Straight Away % 40.2 +1.5 ↑ 38.7 +2.0 ↑ 36.7
Opposite Field % 24.3 -6.3 ↓ 30.6 +1.1 ↑ 29.5
Weak Contact % 1.9 -2.1 ↓ 4.0 +1.0 ↑ 3.0
Pull Airball % 16.8 +3.5 ↑ 13.3 +1.3 ↑ 12.0
Topped Contact % 28.0 +0.3 ↑ 27.7 -5.4 ↓ 33.1
Under Contact % 27.1 -0.1 ↓ 27.2 +0.7 ↑ 26.5
Flare/Burner Contact % 25.2 -1.4 ↓ 26.6 +2.5 ↑ 24.1
Solid Contact % 7.5 -2.9 ↓ 10.4 +6.2 ↑ 4.2
HR/FB % 12.5 +4.0 ↑ 8.5 +5.7 ↑ 2.8
Popups 8 -3 ↓ 11 -3 ↓ 14
Flyballs 32 -15 ↓ 47 +11 ↑ 36
Line Drives 25 -27 ↓ 52 +10 ↑ 42
Groundballs 42 -21 ↓ 63 -11 ↓ 74
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 47.9 -4.5 ↓ 52.4 -3.8 ↓ 56.2
Out of Zone % 52.1 +4.5 ↑ 47.6 +3.8 ↑ 43.8
Edge % 39.3 -5.4 ↓ 44.7 +1.5 ↑ 43.2
Zone Swing % 66.8 -3.6 ↓ 70.4 +3.1 ↑ 67.3
Out of Zone Swing % 33.8 +1.5 ↑ 32.3 +4.7 ↑ 27.6
In Zone Contact % 76.3 +3.1 ↑ 73.2 -2.1 ↓ 75.3
Out of Zone Contact % 47.4 -0.4 ↓ 47.8 -4.7 ↓ 52.5
Whiff % 34.5 +0.2 ↑ 34.3 +4.1 ↑ 30.2
First Strike % 59.2 -3.4 ↓ 62.6 -0.7 ↓ 63.3
First Pitch Swing % 32.1 -2.6 ↓ 34.7 +1.8 ↑ 32.9
Swing % 49.9 -2.4 ↓ 52.3 +2.4 ↑ 49.9
Meatball Swing % 81.1 +1.1 ↑ 80.0 +6.8 ↑ 73.2
Meatball % 6.9 -0.3 ↓ 7.2 -1.1 ↓ 8.3
Zone Swing & Miss % 23.7 -3.1 ↓ 26.8 +2.1 ↑ 24.7
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 52.6 +0.4 ↑ 52.2 +4.7 ↑ 47.5
In Zone 367 -252 ↓ 619 -36 ↓ 655
Out of Zone 399 -164 ↓ 563 +52 ↑ 511
Edge 301 -227 ↓ 528 +24 ↑ 504
In Zone Swings 245 -191 ↓ 436 -5 ↓ 441
Out of Zone Swings 135 -47 ↓ 182 +41 ↑ 141
In Zone Swing & Misses 58 -59 ↓ 117 +8 ↑ 109
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 71 -24 ↓ 95 +28 ↑ 67
Basic
Pitches 778 -404 ↓ 1,182 +16 ↑ 1,166
PA 184 -116 ↓ 300 +11 ↑ 289
AB 169 -105 ↓ 274 +6 ↑ 268
Hits 38 -17 ↓ 55 +4 ↑ 51
Singles 25 -4 ↓ 29 -1 ↓ 30
Doubles 9 -12 ↓ 21 +2 ↑ 19
Triples 0 -1 ↓ 1 0 1
Home Runs 4 0 4 +3 ↑ 1
Walks 11 -8 ↓ 19 +2 ↑ 17
Strikeouts 65 -39 ↓ 104 +1 ↑ 103
K% 35.3 +0.6 ↑ 34.7 -0.9 ↓ 35.6
BB% 6.0 -0.3 ↓ 6.3 +0.4 ↑ 5.9
HBP 1 -3 ↓ 4 +1 ↑ 3
Batted Balls 107 -66 ↓ 173 +7 ↑ 166
Fastball Percent 60.8 -9.1 ↓ 69.9 +0.8 ↑ 69.1
Offspeed Percent 24.9 +3.7 ↑ 21.2 +0.5 ↑ 20.7
Breaking Percent 12.7 +3.8 ↑ 8.9 -1.3 ↓ 10.2
Number of Fastballs 473 -353 ↓ 826 +20 ↑ 806
Number of Offspeed 194 -57 ↓ 251 +10 ↑ 241
Number of Breaking 99 -6 ↓ 105 -14 ↓ 119
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 288 .235 150 1 0.7 138 45 32.6
2025 Shades 297 .255 157 7 4.5 140 70 50.0
2026 Shades 183 .270 80 0 0.0 103 36 35.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 295 13.9 73.6% 0.3% 193 16.9 10.4% 0.5%
2025 311 14.0 71.1% 0.0% 172 16.2 20.9% 1.2%
2026 199 14.2 67.8% 1.0% 116 16.2 20.7% 3.4%

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Pitch Distribution

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