P | Cleveland Guardians
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 230 lbs | Age: 26
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 6 1 1.91 74 0 1 75.1 103 0.90
2025 8 5 2.93 76 0 16 73.2 104 1.00
2 Seasons 14 6 2.42 150 0 17 149 207 0.95
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 74 6-1 1.91 75.1 103 0.90
2025 76 8-5 2.93 73.2 104 1.00
2 Seasons 150 14-6 2.42 149 207 0.95
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 25 1166 166 14 8.4 4.8 90.4 120.3 11.8 39.2 .193 .303 .235 .248 .350 42.8 35.6 5.9 1.91 2.53
2025 26 1182 173 7 4.0 2.3 89.2 114.1 15.8 38.7 .203 .291 .255 .245 .341 37.0 34.7 6.3 2.93 2.47
Player 2348 339 21 6.2 3.6 89.8 120.3 13.9 38.9 .198 .297 .245 .247 .345 39.8 35.1 6.1
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Smith relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(69.9%) ,
Split Finger
(21.2%) ,
Sweeper
(8.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 44.6 55.4 21.7 25.3 8.4 33.7 36.7 29.5 21.7 16.3 6.6 12.0 20.5 22.9
2025 36.4 63.6 27.2 30.1 6.4 30.6 38.7 30.6 17.3 15.6 3.5 13.3 23.1 27.2
Player 40.4 59.6 24.5 27.7 7.4 32.2 37.8 30.1 19.5 15.9 5.0 12.7 21.8 25.1
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 3.0 33.1 26.5 24.1 4.2 8.4 4.8
2025 4.0 27.7 27.2 26.6 10.4 4.0 2.3
Player 3.5 30.4 26.8 25.4 7.4 6.2 3.6
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Split-Finger CLE R 251 87.6 37.9 5.7 8.2ARM -2.5 -2.1 5.1 8.2ARM -3.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball CLE R 826 96.4 13.1 0.0 8.7ARM 1.8 16.5 0.7 8.7ARM 1.1
2025 Sweeper CLE R 105 85.1 34.0 -2.7 12.5GLV -0.6 4.1 -3.0 12.5GLV -1.4
2024 Split-Finger CLE R 241 88.5 34.0 2.4 10.1ARM -0.5 1.2 1.4 10.1ARM -0.6
2024 4-Seam Fastball CLE R 806 96.0 13.7 0.0 8.5ARM 1.3 16.0 0.3 8.5ARM 0.9
2024 Sweeper CLE R 119 82.1 38.7 -0.7 13.7GLV -0.3 2.0 -0.5 13.7GLV -0.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.9 16 826 69.9 201 .170 .302 .247 32.2 37.3 32.2 .180 .282 .241 37.6
2025 Split-Finger -0.5 -1 251 21.2 74 .250 .375 .280 38.5 31.1 21.1 .259 .324 .266 34.7
2025 Sweeper -1.2 -1 105 8.9 22 .300 .400 .350 40.8 27.3 20.0 .206 .261 .218 40.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball 3.0 24 806 69.1 203 .174 .253 .215 30.4 39.9 31.4 .191 .311 .247 46.4
2024 Split-Finger 0.5 1 241 20.7 63 .175 .228 .240 29.9 27.0 16.3 .179 .241 .231 32.5
2024 Sweeper -2.5 -3 119 10.2 23 .381 .667 .465 29.2 21.7 17.9 .245 .404 .314 43.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 4-Seam Fastball 826 96.4 97 18.4 1:15 1:00 15
2025 Split-Finger 218 87.7 93 10.5 3:15 3:45 -30
2025 Sweeper 104 85.1 39 13.6 9:00 9:15 -15
2024 4-Seam Fastball 803 96.0 95 17.9 1:15 1:00 15
2024 Split-Finger 186 88.5 83 11.1 2:15 3:00 -45
2024 Sweeper 118 82.0 55 14.6 8:30 9:00 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 289 1,166 11 18 -3 -4 23
2025 297 1,182 9 15 -6 -5 14
Player 586 2,348 21 33 -9 21 36
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 1,166 56.2 67.5 75.1 27.4 52.9 43.2 63.3 49.9 30.2 8.3 73.2
2025 1,182 52.5 70.3 73.2 32.4 47.8 44.7 62.6 52.3 34.3 7.1 79.8
Player 2,348 54.3 68.9 74.1 30.0 50.0 44.0 63.0 51.1 32.3 7.7 76.2
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2024 97 94 94 88 97 61 35 11 15 98 83 84 35 80 59 98
2025 98 90 98 97 95 95 97 50 78 97 79 95 89 83 61 98
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 23.94 2 5.0 -3 1 5 2 100.0
2025 23.91 4 4.3 0 5 1 3 75.0
Player 23.92 6 9.3 -3 6 6 5 83.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 2 5 6 3 4 5 7 3 4 4 5 4 6 4 5 3 4 3 7 7 5 6 7 6 4 5 4 7 6 5 5
2025 4 3 4 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 6 5 5 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 4 4
Player 6 8 10 9 10 9 11 7 8 8 9 10 11 9 9 6 8 7 11 12 9 11 11 10 8 9 8 12 11 9 9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .201 +.011 .190
xBA .203 +.010 .193
OBP .261 +.015 .246
xOBP .263 +.013 .250
SLG .328 +.048 .280
xSLG .291 -.012 .303
ISO .128 +.038 .090
xISO .089 -.021 .110
BABIP .304 +.001 .303
wOBA .255 +.020 .235
xwOBA .245 -.003 .248
wOBACON .358 +.033 .325
xwOBACON .341 -.009 .350
BACON .320 +.013 .307
xBACON .324 +.009 .315
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 37.0 -5.8 42.8
Avg Exit Velocity 89.2 -1.2 90.4
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 38.7 -0.5 39.2
Barrel % 4.0 -4.4 8.4
Avg Launch Angle 15.8 +4.0 11.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.1 +0.1 71.0
Attack Angle +2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 44.2 +2.6 41.6
Attack Direction -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 31° 31°
Swing Length 7.0 +0.1 6.9
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.4 +0.4 96.0
Breaking Velocity 85.1 +3.0 82.1
Offspeed Velocity 87.6 -0.8 88.4
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 7 -7 14
Popup % 6.4 -2.0 8.4
Flyball % 27.2 +5.5 21.7
Line Drive % 30.1 +4.8 25.3
Groundball % 36.4 -8.2 44.6
Pull % 30.6 -3.1 33.7
Straight Away % 38.7 +2.0 36.7
Opposite Field % 30.6 +1.1 29.5
Weak Contact % 4.0 +1.0 3.0
Pull Airball % 13.3 +1.3 12.0
Topped Contact % 27.7 -5.4 33.1
Under Contact % 27.2 +0.7 26.5
Flare/Burner Contact % 26.6 +2.5 24.1
Solid Contact % 10.4 +6.2 4.2
HR/FB % 8.5 +5.7 2.8
Popups 11 -3 14
Flyballs 47 +11 36
Line Drives 52 +10 42
Groundballs 63 -11 74
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 52.5 -3.7 56.2
Out of Zone % 47.5 +3.7 43.8
Edge % 44.7 +1.5 43.2
Zone Swing % 70.3 +2.8 67.5
Out of Zone Swing % 32.4 +5.0 27.4
In Zone Contact % 73.2 -1.9 75.1
Out of Zone Contact % 47.8 -5.1 52.9
Whiff % 34.3 +4.1 30.2
First Strike % 62.6 -0.7 63.3
First Pitch Swing % 34.7 +1.8 32.9
Swing % 52.3 +2.4 49.9
Meatball Swing % 79.8 +6.6 73.2
Meatball % 7.1 -1.2 8.3
Zone Swing & Miss % 26.8 +1.9 24.9
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 52.2 +5.1 47.1
In Zone 620 -35 655
Out of Zone 562 +51 511
Edge 528 +24 504
In Zone Swings 436 -6 442
Out of Zone Swings 182 +42 140
In Zone Swing & Misses 117 +7 110
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 95 +29 66
Basic
Pitches 1,182 +16 1,166
PA 300 +11 289
AB 274 +6 268
Hits 55 +4 51
Singles 29 -1 30
Doubles 21 +2 19
Triples 1 0 1
Home Runs 4 +3 1
Walks 19 +2 17
Strikeouts 104 +1 103
K% 34.7 -0.9 35.6
BB% 6.3 +0.4 5.9
HBP 4 +1 3
Batted Balls 173 +7 166
Number of Fastballs 826 +20 806
Number of Offspeed 251 +10 241
Number of Breaking 0 0 0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 288 .235 150 1 0.7 138 45 32.6
2025 Shades 297 .255 157 7 4.5 140 70 50.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 295 13.9 73.6% 0.3% 193 16.9 10.4% 0.5%
2025 311 14.0 71.1% 0.0% 172 16.2 20.9% 1.2%

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Pitch Distribution