P | Cleveland Guardians
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 230 lbs | Age: 27
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 6 1 1.91 74 0 1 75.1 103 0.90
2025 8 5 2.93 76 0 16 73.2 104 1.00
2026 2 1 3.13 35 0 25 37.1 56 1.18
3 Seasons 16 7 2.56 185 0 42 186.1 263 1.00
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 74 6-1 1.91 75.1 103 0.90
2025 76 8-5 2.93 73.2 104 1.00
2026 35 2-1 3.13 37.1 56 1.18
3 Seasons 185 16-7 2.56 186.1 263 1.00
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 25 1166 166 14 8.4 4.8 90.4 120.3 11.8 39.2 .189 .306 .235 .250 .351 42.8 35.6 5.9 1.91 2.50
2025 26 1182 173 7 4.0 2.3 89.2 114.1 15.8 38.7 .201 .299 .255 .248 .346 37.0 34.7 6.3 2.93 2.51
2026 27 649 87 9 10.6 5.8 92.3 112.6 13.4 39.1 .216 .369 .289 .283 .421 45.9 36.4 6.5 3.13 3.24
Player 2997 426 30 7.1 4.0 90.3 120.3 13.8 39.0 .199 .316 .254 .256 .363 41.0 35.4 6.2
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Smith relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(61.5%) ,
Split Finger
(24.5%) ,
Sweeper
(14.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 44.6 55.4 21.7 25.3 8.4 33.7 36.7 29.5 21.7 16.3 6.6 12.0 20.5 22.9
2025 36.4 63.6 27.2 30.1 6.4 30.6 38.7 30.6 17.3 15.6 3.5 13.3 23.1 27.2
2026 37.9 62.1 28.7 25.3 8.0 34.5 40.2 25.3 19.5 12.6 5.7 14.9 27.6 19.5
Player 39.9 60.1 25.4 27.2 7.5 32.6 38.3 29.1 19.5 15.3 5.2 13.1 23.0 23.9
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 3.0 33.1 26.5 24.1 4.2 8.4 4.8
2025 4.0 27.7 27.2 26.6 10.4 4.0 2.3
2026 1.1 27.6 25.3 24.1 9.2 10.6 5.8
Player 3.1 29.8 26.5 25.1 7.7 7.1 4.0
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 4-Seam Fastball CLE R 392 96.8 12.6 0.6 7.5ARM 0.0 16.8 1.0 7.5ARM -0.3
2026 Split-Finger CLE R 156 86.4 42.3 7.3 6.2ARM -4.7 -5.4 8.4 6.2ARM -5.3
2026 Sweeper CLE R 89 85.0 35.1 -0.9 13.9GLV 0.3 2.9 -1.8 13.9GLV 0.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball CLE R 826 96.4 13.1 0.1 8.7ARM 1.7 16.5 0.7 8.7ARM 1.1
2025 Split-Finger CLE R 251 87.6 37.9 5.9 8.2ARM -2.7 -2.1 5.2 8.2ARM -3.1
2025 Sweeper CLE R 105 85.1 34.0 -3.0 12.5GLV -0.6 4.1 -3.2 12.5GLV -1.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 -1 392 61.5 101 .293 .446 .354 30.5 31.7 24.2 .270 .457 .339 52.5
2026 Split-Finger 1.1 2 156 24.5 34 .133 .133 .147 50.0 50.0 25.8 .103 .128 .168 40.0
2026 Sweeper -0.1 0 89 14.0 14 .143 .429 .232 35.3 35.7 29.4 .132 .360 .205 11.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.9 16 826 69.9 201 .170 .302 .247 32.2 37.3 32.2 .180 .293 .246 37.6
2025 Split-Finger -0.5 -1 251 21.2 74 .250 .375 .280 38.5 31.1 21.1 .256 .324 .264 34.7
2025 Sweeper -1.2 -1 105 8.9 22 .300 .400 .350 40.8 27.3 20.0 .203 .261 .220 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 4-Seam Fastball 392 96.8 94 18.1 1:00 12:45 15
2026 Split-Finger 117 86.4 86 10.2 4:15 4:30 -15
2026 Sweeper 88 85.0 45 14.8 8:30 9:15 -45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 826 96.4 97 18.4 1:15 1:00 15
2025 Split-Finger 218 87.7 93 10.5 3:15 3:45 -30
2025 Sweeper 104 85.1 39 13.6 9:00 9:15 -15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 289 1,166 11 18 -3 -4 23
2025 297 1,182 9 15 -6 -5 14
2026 149 637 3 3 -4 -2 0
Player 735 2,985 24 36 -13 24 36
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 1,166 56.2 67.3 75.3 27.6 52.5 43.2 63.3 49.9 30.2 8.3 73.2
2025 1,182 52.4 70.4 73.2 32.3 47.8 44.7 62.6 52.3 34.3 7.2 80.0
2026 649 49.0 67.3 73.8 31.7 44.7 38.9 59.7 49.5 36.4 7.7 79.6
Player 2,997 53.1 68.5 74.1 30.5 48.6 42.9 62.3 50.8 33.2 7.7 77.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 95 99 21 70 97 80 59 11 37 84 98 83 35 15 61 98
2025 86 94 37 42 98 83 61 50 88 95 97 79 97 78 20 98
2026 44 32 45 80 78 84 61 1 66 97 99 79 16 9 31 98
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 23.94 2 4.9 -3 1 5 2 100.0
2025 23.91 4 4.3 0 5 1 3 75.0
2026 23.04 3 2.6 0 2 3 1 33.3
Player 23.62 9 11.9 -3 8 9 6 66.7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 2 5 6 3 4 5 7 3 4 3 5 4 6 4 5 3 4 3 7 7 5 6 7 6 4 5 4 7 6 5 5
2025 4 3 4 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 6 5 5 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 4 4
2026 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 3 5 2 3 3 4 3 2 1 3 3 2 4
Player 9 11 12 12 12 11 13 9 11 9 10 12 13 12 11 9 11 10 14 17 11 14 14 14 11 11 9 15 14 11 13
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .243 +.042 .201 +.011 .190
xBA .216 +.015 .201 +.012 .189
OBP .292 +.031 .261 +.015 .246
xOBP .274 +.011 .263 +.017 .246
SLG .371 +.043 .328 +.048 .280
xSLG .369 +.070 .299 -.007 .306
ISO .129 +.001 .128 +.038 .090
xISO .154 +.056 .098 -.019 .117
BABIP .369 +.065 .304 +.001 .303
wOBA .289 +.034 .255 +.020 .235
xwOBA .283 +.035 .248 -.002 .250
wOBAcon .427 +.069 .358 +.033 .325
xwOBAcon .421 +.075 .346 -.005 .351
BACON .391 +.071 .320 +.013 .307
xBACON .360 +.037 .323 +.014 .309
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 45.9 +8.9 37.0 -5.8 42.8
Avg Exit Velocity 92.3 +3.1 89.2 -1.2 90.4
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 39.1 +0.4 38.7 -0.5 39.2
Barrel % 10.6 +6.6 4.0 -4.4 8.4
Avg Launch Angle 13.4 -2.4 15.8 +4.0 11.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 70.9 -0.2 71.1 +0.1 71.0
Attack Angle +2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 42.0 -2.2 44.2 +2.6 41.6
Attack Direction -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° +2° 31° 31°
Swing Length 7.1 +0.1 7.0 +0.1 6.9
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.8 +0.4 96.4 +0.4 96.0
Breaking Velocity 85.0 -0.1 85.1 +3.0 82.1
Offspeed Velocity 86.4 -1.2 87.6 -0.8 88.4
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 9 +2 7 -7 14
Popup % 8.0 +1.6 6.4 -2.0 8.4
Flyball % 28.7 +1.5 27.2 +5.5 21.7
Line Drive % 25.3 -4.8 30.1 +4.8 25.3
Groundball % 37.9 +1.5 36.4 -8.2 44.6
Pull % 34.5 +3.9 30.6 -3.1 33.7
Straight Away % 40.2 +1.5 38.7 +2.0 36.7
Opposite Field % 25.3 -5.3 30.6 +1.1 29.5
Weak Contact % 1.1 -2.9 4.0 +1.0 3.0
Pull Airball % 14.9 +1.6 13.3 +1.3 12.0
Topped Contact % 27.6 -0.1 27.7 -5.4 33.1
Under Contact % 25.3 -1.9 27.2 +0.7 26.5
Flare/Burner Contact % 24.1 -2.5 26.6 +2.5 24.1
Solid Contact % 9.2 -1.2 10.4 +6.2 4.2
HR/FB % 12.0 +3.5 8.5 +5.7 2.8
Popups 7 -4 11 -3 14
Flyballs 25 -22 47 +11 36
Line Drives 22 -30 52 +10 42
Groundballs 33 -30 63 -11 74
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 49.0 -3.4 52.4 -3.8 56.2
Out of Zone % 51.0 +3.4 47.6 +3.8 43.8
Edge % 38.9 -5.8 44.7 +1.5 43.2
Zone Swing % 67.3 -3.1 70.4 +3.1 67.3
Out of Zone Swing % 31.7 -0.6 32.3 +4.7 27.6
In Zone Contact % 73.8 +0.6 73.2 -2.1 75.3
Out of Zone Contact % 44.7 -3.1 47.8 -4.7 52.5
Whiff % 36.4 +2.1 34.3 +4.1 30.2
First Strike % 59.7 -2.9 62.6 -0.7 63.3
First Pitch Swing % 31.8 -2.9 34.7 +1.8 32.9
Swing % 49.5 -2.8 52.3 +2.4 49.9
Meatball Swing % 79.6 -0.4 80.0 +6.8 73.2
Meatball % 7.7 +0.5 7.2 -1.1 8.3
Zone Swing & Miss % 26.2 -0.6 26.8 +2.1 24.7
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 55.3 +3.1 52.2 +4.7 47.5
In Zone 312 -307 619 -36 655
Out of Zone 325 -238 563 +52 511
Edge 248 -280 528 +24 504
In Zone Swings 210 -226 436 -5 441
Out of Zone Swings 103 -79 182 +41 141
In Zone Swing & Misses 55 -62 117 +8 109
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 57 -38 95 +28 67
Basic
Pitches 649 -533 1,182 +16 1,166
PA 154 -146 300 +11 289
AB 140 -134 274 +6 268
Hits 34 -21 55 +4 51
Singles 22 -7 29 -1 30
Doubles 9 -12 21 +2 19
Triples 0 -1 1 0 1
Home Runs 3 -1 4 +3 1
Walks 10 -9 19 +2 17
Strikeouts 56 -48 104 +1 103
K% 36.4 +1.7 34.7 -0.9 35.6
BB% 6.5 +0.2 6.3 +0.4 5.9
HBP 1 -3 4 +1 3
Batted Balls 87 -86 173 +7 166
Fastball Percent 60.4 -9.5 69.9 +0.8 69.1
Offspeed Percent 24.0 +2.8 21.2 +0.5 20.7
Breaking Percent 13.7 +4.8 8.9 -1.3 10.2
Number of Fastballs 392 -434 826 +20 806
Number of Offspeed 156 -95 251 +10 241
Number of Breaking 89 -16 105 -14 119
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 288 .235 150 1 0.7 138 45 32.6
2025 Shades 297 .255 157 7 4.5 140 70 50.0
2026 Shades 153 .289 73 0 0.0 80 32 40.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 295 13.9 73.6% 0.3% 193 16.9 10.4% 0.5%
2025 311 14.0 71.1% 0.0% 172 16.2 20.9% 1.2%
2026 167 14.2 67.7% 1.2% 97 16.3 18.6% 3.1%

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Pitch Distribution