Cade Povich
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 3" 185LBS | Age: 25
Draft: 2021 | Rd: 3, #98, Minnesota Twins | Nebraska
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 3 9 5.20 16 16 0 79.2 69 1.43
2025 2 5 5.15 13 12 0 64.2 68 1.50
2 Seasons 5 14 5.18 29 28 0 144.1 137 1.46
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 16 3-9 5.20 79.2 69 1.43
2025 13 2-5 5.15 64.2 68 1.50
2 Seasons 29 5-14 5.18 144.1 137 1.46
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 24 1389 246 22 8.9 6.3 88.4 115.1 17.8 32.5 .232 .402 .339 .313 .346 36.6 19.6 9.7 5.20 4.11
2025 25 1153 193 26 13.5 9.1 91.9 112.1 12.8 40.4 .294 .561 .352 .391 .493 51.3 23.9 8.1 5.15 6.24
Player 2542 439 48 10.9 7.5 89.9 115.1 15.6 36.0 .260 .474 .345 .348 .410 43.1 21.5 8.9
MLB 7.1 4.8 88.5 122.9 12.4 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .316 .369 36.8 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Povich relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(37.2%) ,
Curveball
(21.7%) ,
Sweeper
(15.6%) ,
Changeup
(13.0%) ,
Sinker
(12.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 35.4 64.6 32.5 22.8 9.3 41.1 34.6 24.4 19.1 12.6 3.7 22.0 22.0 20.7
2025 38.9 61.1 28.0 26.9 6.2 38.9 39.4 21.8 21.2 16.6 1.0 17.6 22.8 20.7
Player 36.9 63.1 30.5 24.6 8.0 40.1 36.7 23.2 20.0 14.4 2.5 20.0 22.3 20.7
MLB 44.3 55.7 23.9 24.7 7.1 37.3 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.7 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 4.9 24.0 34.6 21.5 6.1 8.9 6.3
2025 3.1 25.9 20.2 24.9 11.9 13.5 9.1
Player 4.1 24.8 28.2 23.0 8.7 10.9 7.5
MLB 4.0 32.5 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.1 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Curveball BAL L 250 78.5 59.3 3.8 9.8GLV -0.3 -14.4 4.8 9.8GLV 1.9
2025 Sweeper BAL L 180 82.6 39.5 -0.3 9.5GLV -4.2 0.7 0.2 9.5GLV -3.7
2025 Changeup BAL L 150 83.8 33.0 0.0 8.6ARM -5.5 6.2 -1.0 8.6ARM -5.7
2025 Sinker BAL L 144 91.8 20.3 -3.6 16.0ARM 1.0 12.3 -4.7 16.0ARM 0.6
2025 4-Seam Fastball BAL L 429 92.3 14.7 0.8 10.1ARM 2.9 17.6 1.6 10.1ARM 1.9
2024 Sinker BAL L 116 91.5 21.6 -2.6 15.5ARM 0.7 11.1 -2.9 15.5ARM 0.4
2024 Changeup BAL L 151 86.1 29.1 -2.6 14.7ARM 0.6 7.8 -1.9 14.7ARM 0.6
2024 Cutter BAL L 104 88.3 25.5 2.1 3.1GLV 0.2 9.3 2.1 3.1GLV 1.1
2024 Curveball BAL L 272 76.3 61.6 3.7 10.9GLV 0.7 -14.2 5.7 10.9GLV 3.8
2024 Sweeper BAL L 93 81.9 38.8 -1.2 11.8GLV -2.2 2.3 -1.2 11.8GLV -2.4
2024 4-Seam Fastball BAL L 566 92.4 15.4 0.5 9.3ARM 2.1 16.7 1.0 9.3ARM 1.2
2024 Slider BAL L 87 83.4 36.4 -1.7 5.4GLV -0.6 3.0 -1.5 5.4GLV 0.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 0 429 37.2 104 .261 .435 .339 19.7 26.0 24.5 .325 .695 .460 58.2
2025 Curveball -2.5 -6 250 21.7 64 .322 .508 .418 25.0 21.9 16.1 .275 .500 .357 44.4
2025 Sweeper -3.4 -6 180 15.6 48 .326 .628 .433 22.5 16.7 14.0 .286 .560 .392 48.6
2025 Changeup 1.2 2 150 13.0 30 .107 .179 .160 33.9 23.3 13.5 .227 .327 .268 33.3
2025 Sinker -1.2 -2 144 12.5 38 .389 .556 .407 16.1 31.6 30.8 .306 .498 .354 64.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 3 566 40.7 122 .221 .375 .315 18.4 13.1 10.4 .213 .389 .319 36.0
2024 Curveball -1.9 -5 272 19.6 64 .333 .517 .400 26.9 23.4 18.3 .295 .439 .340 42.2
2024 Changeup -1.9 -3 151 10.9 52 .250 .542 .380 23.5 21.2 22.9 .226 .429 .297 34.2
2024 Sinker 0.7 1 116 8.4 29 .208 .250 .288 10.5 20.7 21.4 .194 .277 .288 50.0
2024 Cutter -2.6 -3 104 7.5 25 .333 .810 .510 28.8 12.0 13.0 .333 .728 .488 38.9
2024 Sweeper 0.8 1 93 6.7 32 .241 .310 .284 27.8 31.3 21.7 .170 .230 .224 21.1
2024 Slider -1.5 -1 87 6.3 27 .222 .519 .306 27.3 29.6 21.1 .197 .367 .239 31.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 115 83.8 84 11.8 10:00 9:45 15
2025 Curveball 250 78.5 83 20.2 4:45 5:00 -15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 425 92.3 94 20.0 10:45 11:00 -15
2025 Sinker 138 91.8 94 20.3 10:45 10:15 30
2025 Sweeper 176 82.6 41 10.9 4:15 3:15 60
2024 Changeup 151 86.1 94 16.8 10:15 9:45 30
2024 Curveball 272 76.3 89 20.8 4:45 5:00 -15
2024 Cutter 104 88.3 49 9.2 12:00 12:45 -45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 565 92.4 92 18.8 10:45 11:00 -15
2024 Sinker 114 91.5 92 19.1 10:45 10:00 45
2024 Slider 87 83.4 31 7.1 2:45 2:30 15
2024 Sweeper 91 81.9 32 12.8 3:15 3:00 15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 351 1,389 1 9 -12 -6 -8
2025 284 1,153 1 0 -8 -5 -12
Player 635 2,542 2 9 -20 2 -20
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 1,389 51.5 67.1 83.5 26.1 61.9 41.3 61.9 47.2 22.3 8.2 75.4
2025 1,153 51.5 63.1 84.8 23.8 55.6 40.2 59.6 44.1 22.6 9.4 70.4
Player 2,542 51.5 65.3 84.1 25.1 59.2 40.8 60.9 45.8 22.4 8.7 73.0
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.1 28.4 57.6 42.6 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2024 45 59 40 23 47 36 24 62 68 23 25 23 20 22 59 40 39
2025 1 5 1 1 13 9 2 3 1 61 52 30 8 19 61 47 28
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 23.53 12 11.7 0 4 6 7 58.3
2025 23.54 10 11.7 -2 4 10 5 50.0
Player 23.53 22 23.4 -1 8 16 12 54.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 12 12 11 11 11 13 13 11 9 9 12 13 11 11 12 11 12 11 12 14 12 12 15 13 10 11 11 12 12 12 11
2025 10 10 10 10 12 14 11 7 10 9 11 14 12 16 13 7 11 11 10 16 10 12 15 13 10 12 10 14 15 13 13
Player 22 22 21 21 23 27 24 18 19 18 23 27 23 27 25 18 23 22 22 30 22 24 30 26 20 23 21 26 27 25 24
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2024 +/-   2025
Fastball Velocity 91.7 0.5 92.2
Offspeed Velocity 86.1 -2.3 83.8
Breaking Velocity 78.8 1.4 80.2
Exit Velocity 88.4 3.5 91.9
Launch Angle 17.8 -5.0 12.8
Barrel % 8.9 4.6 13.5
Hard Hit % 36.6 14.7 51.3
LA Sweet-Spot % 32.5 7.9 40.4
xBA .232 0.062 .294
BA .256 0.031 .287
xwOBA .313 0.078 .391
wOBA .339 0.013 .352
xSLG .402 0.159 .561
SLG .454 0.019 .473
K% 19.6 4.3 23.9
BB% 9.7 -1.6 8.1
Swing % 47.2 -3.1 44.1
Whiff% 22.3 0.3 22.6
In Zone % 51.5 0.0 51.5
Out of Zone % 48.5 0.0 48.5
Out of Zone Swing % 26.1 -2.3 23.8
First Pitch Swing % 28.7 -3.4 25.3
First Pitch Strike % 61.9 -2.3 59.6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 351 .339 254 17 6.7 97 46 47.4
2025 Shades 284 .352 211 4 1.9 73 20 27.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 415 15.8 36.1% 0.2% 192 18.1 4.7% 0.0%
2025 377 15.5 39.5% 0.0% 141 17.9 5.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution