P | Baltimore Orioles
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 3" 185 lbs | Age: 25
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 3, No. 98, Minnesota Twins | Nebraska
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 3 9 5.20 16 16 0 79.2 69 1.43
2025 3 8 5.21 22 20 0 112.1 118 1.50
2 Seasons 6 17 5.20 38 36 0 192 187 1.47
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 16 3-9 5.20 79.2 69 1.43
2025 22 3-8 5.21 112.1 118 1.50
2 Seasons 38 6-17 5.20 192 187 1.47
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 24 1389 246 22 8.9 6.3 88.4 115.1 17.8 32.5 .232 .402 .339 .313 .345 36.6 19.6 9.7 5.20 4.11
2025 25 1971 326 37 11.3 7.6 91.2 112.1 13.0 36.5 .272 .490 .349 .357 .443 46.9 24.2 8.8 5.21 5.52
Player 3360 572 59 10.3 7.0 90.0 115.1 15.1 34.8 .255 .453 .345 .338 .401 42.5 22.3 9.2
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Povich relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(36.2%) ,
Curveball
(21.8%) ,
Changeup
(15.6%) ,
Sinker
(12.3%) ,
Sweeper
(11.5%) ,
Cutter
(2.7%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 35.4 64.6 32.5 22.8 9.3 41.1 34.6 24.4 19.1 12.6 3.7 22.0 22.0 20.7
2025 42.3 57.7 26.4 24.5 6.7 39.3 39.0 21.8 21.2 18.1 3.1 18.1 20.9 18.7
Player 39.3 60.7 29.0 23.8 7.9 40.0 37.1 22.9 20.3 15.7 3.3 19.8 21.3 19.6
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 4.9 24.0 34.6 21.5 6.1 8.9 6.3
2025 3.4 27.6 20.9 26.1 10.4 11.3 7.6
Player 4.0 26.0 26.7 24.1 8.6 10.3 7.0
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Sinker BAL L 242 91.9 20.3 -3.4 15.8ARM 1.0 12.2 -4.7 15.8ARM 0.4
2025 Changeup BAL L 307 83.7 35.4 2.5 10.5ARM -3.4 4.0 1.2 10.5ARM -3.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball BAL L 713 92.2 15.0 0.6 10.6ARM 3.4 17.4 1.6 10.6ARM 2.5
2025 Cutter BAL L 53 91.7 16.6 7.2 2.9ARM -4.8 15.9 8.0 2.9ARM -4.8
2025 Curveball BAL L 430 78.9 58.9 3.9 9.8GLV 0.3 -14.5 4.9 9.8GLV 2.0
2025 Sweeper BAL L 226 82.8 39.9 0.1 9.6GLV -4.1 0.1 0.9 9.6GLV -3.4
2024 Sweeper BAL L 93 81.9 38.8 -1.2 11.8GLV -2.2 2.3 -1.2 11.8GLV -2.4
2024 Cutter BAL L 104 88.3 25.5 2.1 3.1GLV 0.2 9.3 2.1 3.1GLV 1.1
2024 Sinker BAL L 116 91.5 21.6 -2.6 15.5ARM 0.7 11.1 -2.9 15.5ARM 0.4
2024 Slider BAL L 87 83.4 36.4 -1.7 5.4GLV -0.6 3.0 -1.5 5.4GLV 0.6
2024 Changeup BAL L 151 86.1 29.1 -2.6 14.7ARM 0.6 7.8 -1.9 14.7ARM 0.6
2024 4-Seam Fastball BAL L 566 92.4 15.4 0.5 9.3ARM 2.1 16.7 1.0 9.3ARM 1.2
2024 Curveball BAL L 272 76.3 61.6 3.7 10.9GLV 0.7 -14.2 5.7 10.9GLV 3.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.2 2 713 36.2 175 .261 .438 .347 19.3 22.9 22.3 .288 .578 .408 52.2
2025 Curveball -1.5 -7 430 21.8 106 .309 .485 .394 29.0 24.5 16.7 .238 .401 .303 37.5
2025 Changeup -0.6 -2 307 15.6 71 .197 .348 .259 34.3 25.4 16.5 .252 .419 .310 34.7
2025 Sinker -0.5 -1 242 12.3 67 .328 .469 .351 18.9 29.9 27.8 .289 .424 .320 55.6
2025 Sweeper -4.4 -10 226 11.5 58 .358 .660 .455 24.2 19.0 14.7 .294 .587 .401 54.8
2025 Cutter -0.6 0 53 2.7 9 .333 .333 .433 13.0 33.3 27.3 .204 .292 .374 33.3
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 3 566 40.7 122 .221 .375 .315 18.4 13.1 10.4 .213 .389 .319 36.0
2024 Curveball -1.9 -5 272 19.6 64 .333 .517 .400 26.9 23.4 18.3 .294 .436 .338 42.2
2024 Changeup -1.9 -3 151 10.9 52 .250 .542 .380 23.5 21.2 22.9 .226 .431 .297 34.2
2024 Sinker 0.7 1 116 8.4 29 .208 .250 .288 10.5 20.7 21.4 .194 .276 .288 50.0
2024 Cutter -2.6 -3 104 7.5 25 .333 .810 .510 28.8 12.0 13.0 .332 .725 .486 38.9
2024 Sweeper 0.8 1 93 6.7 32 .241 .310 .284 27.8 31.3 21.7 .170 .231 .225 21.1
2024 Slider -1.5 -1 87 6.3 27 .222 .519 .306 27.3 29.6 21.1 .196 .364 .237 31.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 242 83.6 75 12.5 10:00 9:30 30
2025 Curveball 430 78.9 83 20.2 4:45 5:00 -15
2025 Cutter 53 91.7 77 15.6 11:15 11:45 -30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 709 92.2 95 20.0 10:45 11:00 -15
2025 Sinker 233 91.9 94 20.0 10:45 10:15 30
2025 Sweeper 222 82.8 43 11.1 4:15 3:15 60
2024 Changeup 151 86.1 94 16.8 10:15 9:45 30
2024 Curveball 272 76.3 89 20.8 4:45 5:00 -15
2024 Cutter 104 88.3 49 9.2 12:00 12:45 -45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 565 92.4 92 18.8 10:45 11:00 -15
2024 Sinker 114 91.5 92 19.1 10:45 10:00 45
2024 Slider 87 83.4 31 7.1 2:45 2:30 15
2024 Sweeper 91 81.9 32 12.8 3:15 3:00 15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
+ View Complete Arm Angle Leaderboard

Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 351 1,389 1 9 -12 -6 -8
2025 486 1,971 -1 6 -15 -9 -18
Player 837 3,360 0 15 -27 0 -26
+ View Complete Pitching Run Value Leaderboard
+ Show Leverage-Based Run Value

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 1,389 51.5 67.1 83.5 26.1 61.9 41.3 61.9 47.2 22.3 8.2 75.4
2025 1,971 50.6 62.8 83.9 26.5 56.2 40.7 60.2 44.9 24.2 8.7 70.8
Player 3,360 51.0 64.6 83.7 26.3 58.5 41.0 61.0 45.8 23.4 8.5 72.6
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2024 45 59 40 23 46 36 24 62 68 23 25 23 20 21 60 40 39
2025 6 11 4 5 15 20 9 5 7 61 36 42 28 18 58 51 29
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard

Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 23.53 12 11.7 0 4 6 7 58.3
2025 23.98 17 17.9 -1 4 13 9 52.9
Player 23.79 29 29.6 -1 8 19 16 55.2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs

Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 12 12 11 11 11 13 13 11 9 9 12 13 11 11 12 11 12 11 12 14 12 12 15 13 10 11 11 12 12 12 11
2025 17 17 14 15 16 19 17 14 15 16 17 18 20 23 18 14 18 19 16 22 17 18 22 19 17 18 15 23 23 19 19
Player 29 29 25 26 27 32 30 25 24 25 29 31 31 34 30 25 30 30 28 36 29 30 37 32 27 29 26 35 35 31 30
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs By Park
+ View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .285 +.029 .256
xBA .272 +.040 .232
OBP .347 +.015 .332
xOBP .337 +.025 .312
SLG .465 +.011 .454
xSLG .490 +.088 .402
ISO .180 -.018 .198
xISO .219 +.049 .170
BABIP .351 +.060 .291
wOBA .349 +.010 .339
xwOBA .357 +.044 .313
wOBACON .431 +.048 .383
xwOBACON .443 +.098 .345
BACON .385 +.060 .325
xBACON .370 +.075 .295
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 46.9 +10.3 36.6
Avg Exit Velocity 91.2 +2.8 88.4
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 36.5 +4.0 32.5
Barrel % 11.3 +2.4 8.9
Avg Launch Angle 13.0 -4.8 17.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.2 +0.8 71.4
Attack Angle 11° 11°
Ideal Attack Angle % 53.4 -2.0 55.4
Attack Direction -2° -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° +1° 31°
Swing Length 7.4 +0.1 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 92.1 +0.4 91.7
Breaking Velocity 80.2 +1.4 78.8
Offspeed Velocity 83.7 -2.4 86.1
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 37 +15 22
Popup % 6.7 -2.6 9.3
Flyball % 26.4 -6.1 32.5
Line Drive % 24.5 +1.7 22.8
Groundball % 42.3 +6.9 35.4
Pull % 39.3 -1.8 41.1
Straight Away % 39.0 +4.4 34.6
Opposite Field % 21.8 -2.6 24.4
Weak Contact % 3.4 -1.5 4.9
Pull Airball % 18.1 -3.9 22.0
Topped Contact % 27.6 +3.6 24.0
Under Contact % 20.9 -13.7 34.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 26.1 +4.6 21.5
Solid Contact % 10.4 +4.3 6.1
HR/FB % 19.8 +4.8 15.0
Popups 22 -1 23
Flyballs 86 +6 80
Line Drives 80 +24 56
Groundballs 138 +51 87
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 50.6 -0.9 51.5
Out of Zone % 49.4 +0.9 48.5
Edge % 40.7 -0.6 41.3
Zone Swing % 62.8 -4.3 67.1
Out of Zone Swing % 26.5 +0.4 26.1
In Zone Contact % 83.9 +0.4 83.5
Out of Zone Contact % 56.2 -5.7 61.9
Whiff % 24.2 +1.9 22.3
First Strike % 60.2 -1.7 61.9
First Pitch Swing % 26.6 -2.1 28.7
Swing % 44.9 -2.3 47.2
Meatball Swing % 70.8 -4.6 75.4
Meatball % 8.7 +0.5 8.2
Zone Swing & Miss % 16.1 -0.4 16.5
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 43.8 +5.7 38.1
In Zone 997 +282 715
Out of Zone 974 +300 674
Edge 803 +230 573
In Zone Swings 626 +146 480
Out of Zone Swings 258 +82 176
In Zone Swing & Misses 101 +22 79
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 113 +46 67
Basic
Pitches 1,971 +582 1,389
PA 488 +136 352
AB 439 +126 313
Hits 125 +45 80
Singles 84 +40 44
Doubles 20 -2 22
Triples 4 +2 2
Home Runs 17 +5 12
Walks 43 +9 34
Strikeouts 118 +49 69
K% 24.2 +4.6 19.6
BB% 8.8 -0.9 9.7
HBP 1 -2 3
Batted Balls 326 +80 246
Number of Fastballs 1,008 +222 786
Number of Offspeed 307 +156 151
Number of Breaking 430 +71 359
+ Toggle Viewing All Player's Year to Year Stats

Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 351 .339 254 17 6.7 97 46 47.4
2025 Shades 486 .349 370 12 3.2 116 27 23.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 415 15.8 36.1% 0.2% 192 18.1 4.7% 0.0%
2025 595 15.7 37.0% 0.2% 277 18.0 5.8% 0.0%

+ View Complete Pitch Tempo Leaderboard

Pitch Distribution