P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 200 lbs | Age: 32
Draft: 2012 | Rd. 18, No. 577, New York Yankees | Bingham HS (UT)
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2019 0 0 10.13 1 0 0 2.2 2 1.13
2020 0 0 4.41 8 0 0 16.1 12 1.29
2021 0 0 13.50 2 0 0 2 1 2.00
3 Seasons 0 0 6.00 11 0 0 21 15 1.33
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2019 1 0-0 10.13 2.2 2 1.13
2020 8 0-0 4.41 16.1 12 1.29
2021 2 0-0 13.50 2 1 2.00
3 Seasons 11 0-0 6.00 21 15 1.33
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 25 46 7 1 14.3 10.0 84.2 108.4 2.6 28.6 .304 .501 .350 .371 .431 42.9 20.0 10.0 10.13 6.36
2020 26 300 50 4 8.0 5.6 91.0 110.9 21.0 24.0 .228 .427 .346 .331 .343 46.0 16.9 9.9 4.41 4.70
2021 27 28 9 1 11.1 10.0 82.8 108.3 24.3 33.3 .187 .496 .501 .284 .315 22.2 10.0 0.0 13.50 3.39
Player 374 66 6 9.1 6.6 89.2 110.9 19.5 25.8 .231 .444 .363 .330 .348 42.4 16.5 8.8
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lail relies on 5 pitches.
Slider
(28.6%) ,
Four Seamer
(28.6%) ,
Curveball
(25.0%) ,
Changeup
(10.7%) ,
Sinker
(7.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2019 57.1 42.9 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.3 57.1 28.6 0.0 42.9 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.3
2020 32.0 68.0 40.0 18.0 10.0 44.0 34.0 22.0 18.0 8.0 6.0 26.0 26.0 16.0
2021 44.4 55.6 44.4 0.0 11.1 0.0 33.3 66.7 0.0 22.2 22.2 0.0 11.1 44.4
Player 36.4 63.6 37.9 15.2 10.6 34.8 36.4 28.8 13.6 13.6 9.1 21.2 22.7 19.7
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 14.3 28.6 14.3 28.6 0.0 14.3 10.0
2020 4.0 20.0 38.0 22.0 8.0 8.0 5.6
2021 11.1 33.3 44.4 0.0 0.0 11.1 10.0
Player 6.1 22.7 36.4 19.7 6.1 9.1 6.6
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2021 Changeup SEA R 3 87.2 27.5 -1.7 16.6ARM 2.6 8.4 -2.1 16.6ARM 2.7
2021 Sinker SEA R 2 88.8 24.7 -0.3 16.0ARM 1.5 10.0 -1.2 16.0ARM 1.2
2021 Curveball SEA R 7 82.5 47.1 -3.0 7.4GLV 0.3 -6.9 -3.2 7.4GLV -1.8
2021 Slider SEA R 8 88.8 24.0 -7.4 3.2GLV 0.2 10.3 -8.5 3.2GLV -2.3
2021 4-Seam Fastball SEA R 8 92.5 12.0 3.4 6.0ARM -1.0 20.1 3.9 6.0ARM -1.2
2020 Sinker SEA R 55 90.1 20.1 -3.5 14.3ARM -0.2 13.7 -4.6 14.3ARM -0.5
2020 Curveball SEA R 58 78.7 52.3 -1.9 6.2GLV -2.8 -8.1 -1.6 6.2GLV -2.9
2020 Slider SEA R 46 85.6 28.8 -6.7 4.8GLV 0.5 8.2 -6.8 4.8GLV -0.3
2020 Changeup SEA R 49 86.1 29.6 0.2 14.5ARM 1.2 7.2 -0.8 14.5ARM 1.1
2020 4-Seam Fastball SEA R 92 90.1 15.0 2.0 5.2ARM -1.3 18.7 2.7 5.2ARM -2.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Slider -26.7 -2 8 28.6 3 .667 2.000 1.083 20.0 0.0 0.0 .408 1.377 .727 33.3
2021 4-Seam Fastball 9.6 1 8 28.6 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 -- .029 .060 .037 0.0
2021 Curveball -2.5 0 7 25.0 3 .333 .333 .300 50.0 33.3 50.0 .134 .147 .128 50.0
2021 Changeup -15.9 0 3 10.7 1 1.000 1.000 .900 50.0 0.0 0.0 .125 .135 .124 0.0
2021 Sinker 6.5 0 2 7.1 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .066 .130 .078 0.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 1.9 2 92 30.7 35 .133 .333 .266 13.6 22.9 33.3 .131 .241 .236 45.5
2020 Curveball -2.0 -1 58 19.3 10 .111 .444 .270 15.0 10.0 5.6 .194 .556 .341 37.5
2020 Sinker -3.0 -2 55 18.3 9 .286 .714 .478 12.0 0.0 0.0 .354 .637 .481 57.1
2020 Changeup 2.0 1 49 16.3 7 .000 .000 .100 26.3 0.0 0.0 .211 .287 .286 33.3
2020 Slider -7.9 -4 46 15.3 10 .700 1.100 .775 23.8 30.0 13.0 .472 .805 .544 57.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 48 86.1 90 16.4 1:15 2:15 -60
2020 Curveball 56 78.7 61 12.7 7:00 7:00 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 86 90.1 85 18.9 12:45 12:30 15
2020 Sinker 43 90.1 84 19.4 12:45 1:45 -60
2020 Slider 40 85.6 38 8.8 11:45 10:45 60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 10 46 -1 0 1 0 0
2020 71 300 -1 4 -3 -3 -4
2021 10 28 -2 1 -1 0 -2
Player 91 374 -4 5 -3 -4 -5
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 46 28.3 53.8 71.4 48.5 75.0 37.0 60.0 50.0 26.1 4.3 50.0
2020 300 45.3 66.2 88.9 23.8 69.2 40.0 54.9 43.0 17.1 9.7 75.9
2021 28 57.1 68.8 72.7 33.3 75.0 35.7 90.0 53.6 26.7 10.7 100.0
Player 374 44.1 65.5 86.1 28.2 71.2 39.3 59.3 44.7 19.2 9.1 76.5
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2020 12 78 39 26
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 24.75 1 1.0 0 0 0 1 100.0
2020 23.14 5 5.6 -1 0 4 3 60.0
2021 21.02 1 1.0 0 0 0 1 100.0
Player 23.07 7 7.6 -1 0 4 5 71.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2019 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2020 5 7 7 3 6 6 7 6 5 3 4 7 5 6 5 6 5 5 7 7 6 7 7 6 4 4 6 4 6 7 4
2021 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Player 7 9 9 5 8 8 9 8 7 5 6 9 7 8 7 8 7 7 9 9 8 9 9 8 6 6 8 6 8 9 6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2021 +/-   2020 +/-   2019
Results
BA .400 +.174 .226 +.004 .222
xBA .187 -.041 .228 -.076 .304
OBP .400 +.076 .324 +.024 .300
xOBP .187 -.139 .326 -.048 .374
SLG .800 +.316 .484 -.072 .556
xSLG .496 +.069 .427 -.074 .501
ISO .400 +.142 .258 -.075 .333
xISO .308 +.109 .199 +.002 .197
BABIP .375 +.175 .200 +.033 .167
wOBA .501 +.155 .346 -.004 .350
xwOBA .284 -.047 .331 -.040 .371
wOBACON .556 +.192 .364 -.037 .401
xwOBACON .315 -.028 .343 -.088 .431
BACON .444 +.164 .280 -.006 .286
xBACON .208 -.075 .283 -.108 .391
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 22.2 -23.8 46.0 +3.1 42.9
Avg Exit Velocity 82.8 -8.2 91.0 +6.8 84.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 33.3 +9.3 24.0 -4.6 28.6
Barrel % 11.1 +3.1 8.0 -6.3 14.3
Avg Launch Angle 24.3 +3.3 21.0 +18.4 2.6
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 0.0 -- -- -- --
Attack Angle -- -- -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 0.0 -- -- -- --
Attack Direction -- -- -- --
Swing Path - Tilt -- -- -- --
Swing Length 0.0 -- -- -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 91.7 +1.6 90.1 -1.5 91.6
Breaking Velocity 85.9 +4.2 81.7 -3.2 84.9
Offspeed Velocity 87.2 +1.1 86.1 -1.9 88.0
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 1 -3 4 +3 1
Popup % 11.1 +1.1 10.0 -4.3 14.3
Flyball % 44.4 +4.4 40.0 +25.7 14.3
Line Drive % 0.0 -18.0 18.0 +3.7 14.3
Groundball % 44.4 +12.4 32.0 -25.1 57.1
Pull % 0.0 -44.0 44.0 +29.7 14.3
Straight Away % 33.3 -0.7 34.0 -23.1 57.1
Opposite Field % 66.7 +44.7 22.0 -6.6 28.6
Weak Contact % 11.1 +7.1 4.0 -10.3 14.3
Pull Airball % 0.0 -26.0 26.0 +11.7 14.3
Topped Contact % 33.3 +13.3 20.0 -8.6 28.6
Under Contact % 44.4 +6.4 38.0 +23.7 14.3
Flare/Burner Contact % 0.0 -22.0 22.0 -6.6 28.6
Solid Contact % 0.0 -8.0 8.0 +8.0 0.0
HR/FB % 25.0 0.0 25.0 -75.0 100.0
Popups 1 -4 5 +4 1
Flyballs 4 -16 20 +19 1
Line Drives 0 -9 9 +8 1
Groundballs 4 -12 16 +12 4
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 57.1 +11.8 45.3 +17.0 28.3
Out of Zone % 42.9 -11.8 54.7 -17.0 71.7
Edge % 35.7 -4.3 40.0 +3.0 37.0
Zone Swing % 68.8 +2.6 66.2 +12.4 53.8
Out of Zone Swing % 33.3 +9.5 23.8 -24.7 48.5
In Zone Contact % 72.7 -16.2 88.9 +17.5 71.4
Out of Zone Contact % 75.0 +5.8 69.2 -5.8 75.0
Whiff % 26.7 +9.6 17.1 -9.0 26.1
First Strike % 90.0 +35.1 54.9 -5.1 60.0
First Pitch Swing % 60.0 +36.1 23.9 -6.1 30.0
Swing % 53.6 +10.6 43.0 -7.0 50.0
Meatball Swing % 100.0 +24.1 75.9 +25.9 50.0
Meatball % 10.7 +1.0 9.7 +5.4 4.3
Zone Swing & Miss % 27.3 +16.2 11.1 -17.5 28.6
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 25.0 -5.8 30.8 +5.8 25.0
In Zone 16 -120 136 +123 13
Out of Zone 12 -152 164 +131 33
Edge 10 -110 120 +103 17
In Zone Swings 11 -79 90 +83 7
Out of Zone Swings 4 -35 39 +23 16
In Zone Swing & Misses 3 -7 10 +8 2
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 1 -11 12 +8 4
Basic
Pitches 28 -272 300 +254 46
PA 10 -61 71 +61 10
AB 10 -52 62 +53 9
Hits 4 -10 14 +12 2
Singles 2 -6 8 +7 1
Doubles 1 0 1 +1 0
Triples 0 0 0 0 0
Home Runs 1 -4 5 +4 1
Walks 0 -7 7 +6 1
Strikeouts 1 -11 12 +10 2
K% 10.0 -6.9 16.9 -3.1 20.0
BB% 0.0 -9.9 9.9 -0.1 10.0
HBP 0 -2 2 +2 0
Batted Balls 9 -41 50 +43 7
Number of Fastballs 10 -137 147 +126 21
Number of Offspeed 3 -46 49 +30 19
Number of Breaking 15 -89 104 +98 6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2019 Shifts 10 .350 3 1 33.3 7 6 85.7
2020 Shifts 71 .346 38 3 7.9 33 21 63.6
2021 Shifts 10 .501 6 0 0.0 4 0 0.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 18 18.8 11.1% 0.0% 2 18.5 0.0% 0.0%
2020 89 18.4 16.9% 1.1% 52 22.8 0.0% 9.6%
2021 8 17.0 25.0% 0.0% 3 23.2 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution