Brad Keller
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 5" 255LBS | Age: 26

Draft: 2013 | Rd: 8, #240, Arizona Diamondbacks | Flowery Branch (GA) HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 3 2.89 7 7 0 43.2 25 1.01
5 Seasons 30 38 3.92 111 90 0 537.2 398 1.36
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 7 1-3 2.89 43.2 25 1.01
5 Seasons 111 30-38 3.92 537.2 398 1.36

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2018 22 2234 435 20 4.6 3.4 88.1 112.9 7.0 28.0 .247 .357 .290 .301 .322 31.6 16.5 8.6 3.08 3.81
2019 23 2711 508 30 5.9 4.2 89.1 112.5 9.1 32.5 .257 .415 .307 .329 .353 38.6 17.2 9.9 4.19 4.82
2020 24 858 161 6 3.7 2.8 89.2 113.9 7.5 32.9 .270 .397 .236 .323 .348 39.1 16.3 7.9 2.47 4.42
2021 25 2348 422 46 10.9 7.5 90.0 114.1 7.9 37.0 .292 .506 .358 .381 .437 45.0 19.6 10.4 5.39 6.51
2022 26 616 137 9 6.6 5.3 89.3 112.9 8.1 28.5 .259 .425 .271 .307 .338 40.1 14.6 5.3 2.88 3.29
Player 8767 1663 111 6.7 4.8 89.1 114.1 8.0 32.2 .265 .423 .307 .334 .365 38.6 17.4 9.2
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.3 169.8 12.0 32.9 .246 .408 .317 .316 .369 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Keller relies on 4 pitches.
Slider
(38%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(30.7%) ,
Sinker
(24.7%) ,
Changeup
(6.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2022 Slider 234 135 99 38.0 86.8 70 65 8 5 1 0 2 13 53 .123 .218 .231 .372 .183 .269 89.1 17 2576 6.0 28.2 19.1
2022 4-Seam Fastball 189 67 122 30.7 93.5 50 50 13 8 2 1 2 11 39 .260 .291 .460 .478 .312 .323 89.2 11 2400 6.0 16.7 20.4
2022 Sinker 152 98 54 24.7 92.9 41 36 14 11 2 0 1 0 36 .389 .305 .528 .480 .439 .376 90.5 -3 2191 6.1 14.3 0.0
2022 Changeup 41 3 38 6.7 89.7 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 1 9 .000 .191 .000 .309 .000 .213 85.8 -11 1493 6.0 21.1 11.1
2021 Slider 818 448 370 34.8 86.1 212 186 44 32 7 1 4 65 126 .237 .248 .349 .416 .287 .325 91.5 7 2582 5.8 30.2 20.5
2021 4-Seam Fastball 698 316 382 29.7 94.2 181 150 49 32 11 1 5 34 119 .327 .304 .513 .576 .403 .423 87.1 14 2322 5.9 22.2 17.1
2021 Sinker 684 336 348 29.1 93.7 189 169 57 42 8 0 7 15 156 .337 .329 .509 .537 .390 .400 90.1 2 2181 5.9 11.6 14.0
2021 Changeup 148 32 116 6.3 90.0 30 27 8 5 1 0 2 6 21 .296 .299 .556 .552 .391 .393 87.0 10 1998 5.9 26.4 25.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2018 55.6 15.9 23.4 5.1 41.8 34.5 23.4 2.8 45.1 20.0 24.4 2.3 4.6 3.4
2019 50.8 17.1 26.0 6.1 36.4 38.4 25.2 3.3 38.6 21.1 23.8 6.7 5.9 4.2
2020 52.8 16.1 25.5 5.6 37.9 36.6 25.5 4.3 36.6 20.5 29.8 4.3 3.7 2.8
2021 49.1 22.3 24.9 3.8 35.5 37.9 26.5 4.5 36.3 16.4 26.3 5.7 10.9 7.5
2022 51.8 19.7 23.4 5.1 35.0 43.1 21.9 2.9 40.9 23.4 17.5 8.8 6.6 5.3
Player 51.9 18.2 24.8 5.1 37.6 37.5 24.8 3.5 39.7 19.7 24.7 5.2 6.7 4.8
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Changeup KC R 41 89.7 25.0 -2.8 -10 10.6 -4.1 -28
2022 4-Seamer KC R 189 93.5 17.8 -3.4 -23 2.9 -9.5 -144
2022 Sinker KC R 152 92.9 23.6 2.4 11 10.9 -3.6 -25
2022 Slider KC R 234 86.8 37.6 3.8 11 5.4 1.2 30
2021 Slider KC R 818 86.1 40.6 5.7 16 6.1 1.7 39
2021 4-Seamer KC R 698 94.2 16.7 -2.4 -17 1.0 -7.7 -115
2021 Changeup KC R 148 90.0 24.3 -2.9 -11 12.4 -1.9 -13
2021 Sinker KC R 684 93.7 21.5 0.9 4 10.8 -3.5 -25
2020 Slider KC R 328 84.6 43.5 7.0 19 6.2 1.7 38
2020 Changeup KC R 17 88.7 27.0 -1.4 -5 8.3 -5.5 -40
2020 Sinker KC R 184 92.3 23.0 1.7 8 9.5 -4.7 -33
2020 4-Seamer KC R 329 92.8 18.4 -3.4 -23 2.6 -9.1 -140
2019 Sinker KC R 689 92.8 22.2 0.3 1 10.8 -3.8 -26
2019 4-Seamer KC R 1,133 93.7 17.2 -1.5 -10 0.0 -7.3 -100
2019 Slider KC R 851 84.9 44.0 6.5 17 7.2 2.5 53
2019 Changeup KC R 38 87.8 29.0 -0.3 -1 6.8 -7.0 -51
2018 4-Seamer KC R 994 94.3 17.4 -2.1 -14 0.9 -6.5 -87
2018 Sinker KC R 569 93.1 22.3 0.7 3 11.6 -3.0 -21
2018 Slider KC R 584 85.6 42.0 5.2 14 6.1 1.6 36
2018 Changeup KC R 85 88.2 29.2 0.6 2 11.1 -2.7 -20
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Slider -2.9 -7 234 38.0 70 .123 .231 .179 28.2 18.6 19.1 .218 .372 .270 39.6
2022 4-Seamer 1.8 3 189 30.7 50 .260 .460 .324 16.7 22.0 20.4 .291 .478 .323 33.3
2022 Sinker 0.9 1 152 24.7 41 .389 .528 .437 14.3 0.0 0.0 .305 .480 .377 47.2
2022 Changeup -4.8 -2 41 6.7 10 .000 .000 .000 21.1 10.0 11.1 .191 .309 .213 44.4
2021 Slider -0.4 -3 818 34.8 212 .237 .349 .300 30.2 30.7 20.5 .248 .416 .326 50.0
2021 4-Seamer 2.6 18 698 29.7 181 .327 .513 .407 22.2 18.8 17.1 .304 .576 .424 37.8
2021 Sinker 1.0 7 684 29.1 189 .337 .509 .434 11.6 7.9 14.0 .329 .537 .400 48.1
2021 Changeup 2.8 4 148 6.3 30 .296 .556 .395 26.4 20.0 25.0 .299 .552 .394 33.3
2020 4-Seamer -0.5 -2 329 38.3 76 .179 .269 .257 11.1 14.5 9.5 .279 .460 .353 28.1
2020 Slider -3.1 -10 328 38.2 99 .187 .187 .215 27.5 22.2 17.1 .248 .336 .285 44.3
2020 Sinker -0.7 -1 184 21.4 39 .294 .353 .321 16.4 2.6 5.6 .321 .443 .365 47.1
2020 Changeup 1.7 0 17 2.0 1 .000 .000 .000 33.3 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
2019 4-Seamer -0.1 -1 1,133 41.8 292 .260 .409 .349 18.1 17.1 15.4 .281 .482 .381 39.5
2019 Slider -1.5 -13 851 31.4 216 .194 .316 .246 29.3 28.7 20.1 .208 .332 .250 40.0
2019 Sinker 0.5 4 689 25.4 191 .292 .411 .359 11.5 5.2 10.6 .284 .418 .344 35.6
2019 Changeup 2.3 1 38 1.4 8 .250 .625 .363 12.5 0.0 0.0 .251 .513 .312 50.0
2018 4-Seamer -0.3 -3 994 44.5 267 .272 .366 .338 18.8 15.4 13.6 .260 .384 .333 31.9
2018 Slider 0.0 0 584 26.1 131 .221 .279 .244 36.1 31.3 19.0 .211 .305 .253 33.3
2018 Sinker -2.3 -13 569 25.5 171 .241 .309 .263 11.8 7.6 16.3 .252 .343 .284 29.5
2018 Changeup 2.6 2 85 3.8 12 .364 .727 .479 32.4 8.3 7.1 .325 .568 .411 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 10 88.3 78 10.8 1:00 2:00 -60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 248 92.8 65 12.7 12:15 11:30 45
2020 Sinker 163 92.3 73 12.8 12:30 1:45 -75
2020 Slider 264 84.6 45 9.9 8:30 7:30 60
2021 Changeup 148 90.0 83 15.5 1:00 2:00 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 680 94.1 69 13.5 12:15 11:45 30
2021 Sinker 668 93.7 76 14.2 12:30 1:45 -75
2021 Slider 805 86.1 42 8.7 8:45 7:45 60
2022 Changeup 34 89.5 70 13.6 12:45 1:45 -60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 183 93.5 62 13.1 12:15 11:30 45
2022 Sinker 145 92.9 70 13.4 12:30 2:00 -90
2022 Slider 233 86.8 38 6.8 9:00 8:15 45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 581 2,232 -12 -22 13 7 -14
2019 707 2,711 -25 -17 19 13 -9
2020 215 858 -10 -12 4 4 -13
2021 612 2,348 -1 -9 23 13 26
2022 171 616 -5 -5 5 1 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 2,234 47.2 65.7 87.1 28.2 60.1 44.1 59.1 45.9 21.2 7.1 77.8
2019 2,711 47.2 66.7 87.5 27.6 61.5 41.0 57.3 46.0 19.7 8.0 77.1
2020 858 51.3 69.1 86.8 23.0 56.3 40.1 57.2 46.6 19.3 6.9 86.4
2021 2,348 47.8 67.1 85.1 24.4 56.5 41.1 59.4 44.8 22.2 7.1 77.1
2022 616 48.4 70.5 88.6 28.9 57.6 44.0 57.3 49.0 20.9 7.3 73.3
Player 8,767 47.8 67.1 86.8 26.6 59.2 42.0 58.3 45.9 20.8 7.4 77.9
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2018 57 40 73 88 43 38 83 56 79 13 44 25 57 69 47
2019 30 34 50 61 20 22 70 37 31 13 22 9 30 54 41
2020 43 22 51 74 34 46 89 33 37 11 60 8 43 47 56
2021 1 3 4 9 1 3 9 22 9 22 22 20 1 63 53
2022 63 40 49 54 71 10 59 41 43 10 81 21 63 47 67
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.1 15 18.5 -4.0 11 12 9 60.0
2020 26.7 2 3.4 -1.0 5 3 1 50.0
2021 22.7 18 22.6 -5.0 10 15 12 66.7
2022 22.9 5 4.9 0.0 1 3 2 40.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 15 21 21 20 21 18 17 18 16 19 25 20 13 14 17 21 13 22 18 20 11 17 15 19 20 22 20 16 20 17 24
2020 2 3 6 3 4 2 0 5 2 5 2 2 2 2 2 4 2 4 4 4 2 3 3 4 3 4 4 3 6 3 4
2021 18 22 30 19 29 21 23 25 21 20 26 25 14 23 21 26 18 23 21 26 14 20 21 20 21 27 24 20 27 20 30
2022 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 4 5 3 6 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 4 6
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.9 93.3 -0.6 92.7 -0.6 93.9 1.2 93.2 -0.7
Offspeed Velocity 88.2 87.8 -0.4 88.7 0.9 90 1.3 89.7 -0.3
Breaking Velocity 85.6 84.9 -0.7 84.6 -0.3 86.1 1.5 86.8 0.7
Exit Velocity 88.1 89.1 1 89.2 0.1 90 0.8 89.3 -0.7
Launch Angle 7 9.1 2.1 7.5 -1.6 7.9 0.4 8.1 0.2
Barrel % 4.6 5.9 1.3 3.7 -2.2 10.9 7.2 6.6 -4.3
Hard Hit % 31.6 38.6 7 39.1 0.5 45 5.9 40.1 -4.9
Sweet Spot % 28 32.5 4.5 32.9 0.4 37 4.1 28.5 -8.5
xBA .247 .257 0.01 .27 0.013 .292 0.022 .259 -0.033
BA .252 .247 -0.005 .202 -0.045 .297 0.095 .217 -0.08
xwOBA .301 .329 0.028 .323 -0.006 .381 0.058 .307 -0.074
wOBA .29 .307 0.017 .236 -0.071 .358 0.122 .271 -0.087
xSLG .357 .415 0.058 .397 -0.018 .506 0.109 .425 -0.081
SLG .335 .381 0.046 .244 -0.137 .457 0.213 .354 -0.103
K% 16.5 17.2 0.7 16.3 -0.9 19.6 3.3 14.6 -5
BB% 8.6 9.9 1.3 7.9 -2 10.4 2.5 5.3 -5.1
Swing % 45.9 46 0.1 46.6 0.6 44.8 -1.8 49 4.2
Whiff% 21.2 19.7 -1.5 19.3 -0.4 22.2 2.9 20.9 -1.3
In Zone % 47.2 47.2 0 51.3 4.1 47.8 -3.5 48.4 0.6
Out of Zone % 52.8 52.8 0 48.7 -4.1 52.2 3.5 51.6 -0.6
Out of Zone Swing % 28.2 27.6 -0.6 23 -4.6 24.4 1.4 28.9 4.5
First Pitch Swing % 25.3 28.3 3 25.1 -3.2 29.5 4.4 29.8 0.3
First Pitch Strike % 59.1 57.3 -1.8 57.2 -0.1 59.4 2.2 57.3 -2.1
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2018 582 .290 311 41 13.2 271 106 39.1
2019 707 .307 345 53 15.4 362 110 30.4
2020 215 .236 80 42 52.5 135 95 70.4
2021 612 .358 297 45 15.2 315 118 37.5
2022 171 .271 89 4 4.5 82 44 53.7

Pitch Distribution