Brad Keller
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 255LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2013 | Rd: 8, #240, Arizona Diamondbacks | Flowery Branch (GA) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 3 4 4.57 11 9 0 45.1 31 1.92
2024 0 4 5.44 16 2 1 41.1 32 1.52
2025 0 0 3.86 6 0 0 7 9 1.71
8 Seasons 38 57 4.33 172 116 2 727.1 547 1.45
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 11 3-4 4.57 45.1 31 1.92
2024 16 0-4 5.44 41.1 32 1.52
2025 6 0-0 3.86 7 9 1.71
8 Seasons 172 38-57 4.33 727.1 547 1.45
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2018 22 2234 435 20 4.6 3.4 88.1 112.9 7.0 28.0 .247 .356 .290 .301 .322 31.6 16.5 8.6 3.08 3.81
2019 23 2711 508 30 5.9 4.2 89.1 112.5 9.1 32.5 .257 .415 .307 .329 .353 38.6 17.2 9.9 4.19 4.82
2020 24 858 161 6 3.7 2.8 89.2 113.9 7.5 32.9 .270 .396 .236 .322 .348 39.1 16.3 7.9 2.47 4.42
2021 25 2348 422 46 10.9 7.5 90.0 114.1 7.9 37.0 .291 .505 .358 .380 .436 45.0 19.6 10.4 5.39 6.47
2022 26 2275 456 30 6.6 4.9 89.3 112.9 6.7 28.7 .256 .405 .337 .323 .348 41.4 16.5 9.2 5.09 4.37
2023 27 877 132 9 6.8 4.3 89.2 109.3 5.0 30.3 .232 .382 .364 .360 .322 36.4 14.7 21.3 4.57 5.66
2024 28 743 143 15 10.5 7.8 88.6 113.5 8.8 30.1 .252 .444 .358 .334 .366 39.2 16.7 7.8 5.44 4.74
2025 29 132 21 1 4.8 2.9 83.5 106.8 6.4 28.6 .185 .245 .330 .246 .265 19.0 26.5 8.8 3.86 2.21
Player 12178 2278 157 6.9 4.9 89.0 114.1 7.6 31.4 .260 .416 .322 .334 .359 38.8 17.2 10.1
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.6 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Keller relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(35.6%) ,
Slider
(28.8%) ,
Changeup
(14.4%) ,
Sweeper
(11.4%) ,
Sinker
(9.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2018 55.6 44.4 15.9 23.4 5.1 41.8 34.5 23.4 29.7 19.3 6.4 12.2 15.2 17.0
2019 50.8 49.2 17.1 26.0 6.1 36.4 38.4 25.2 23.0 20.9 6.9 13.4 17.5 18.3
2020 52.8 47.2 16.1 25.5 5.6 37.9 36.6 25.5 26.7 20.5 5.6 11.2 16.1 19.9
2021 49.1 50.9 22.3 24.9 3.8 35.5 37.9 26.5 20.6 21.3 7.1 14.9 16.6 19.4
2022 52.4 47.6 22.1 22.1 3.3 34.4 43.0 22.6 21.5 24.6 6.4 12.9 18.4 16.2
2023 57.6 42.4 19.7 18.2 4.5 39.4 37.9 22.7 25.8 25.0 6.8 13.6 12.9 15.9
2024 49.7 50.3 25.2 19.6 5.6 42.7 31.5 25.9 28.0 14.0 7.7 14.7 17.5 18.2
2025 57.1 42.9 19.0 14.3 9.5 47.6 33.3 19.0 33.3 19.0 4.8 14.3 14.3 14.3
Player 52.2 47.8 19.4 23.5 4.8 37.7 37.8 24.5 24.4 21.2 6.7 13.3 16.7 17.8
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.8 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2018 2.8 45.1 20.0 24.4 2.3 4.6 3.4
2019 3.3 38.6 21.1 23.8 6.7 5.9 4.2
2020 4.3 36.6 20.5 29.8 4.3 3.7 2.8
2021 4.5 36.3 16.4 26.3 5.7 10.9 7.5
2022 3.5 41.2 19.7 23.7 5.0 6.6 4.9
2023 2.3 47.7 22.7 18.9 1.5 6.8 4.3
2024 4.9 37.1 23.8 19.6 3.5 10.5 7.8
2025 14.3 33.3 23.8 23.8 0.0 4.8 2.9
Player 3.7 40.2 20.0 24.2 4.6 6.9 4.9
MLB 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2025 Sweeper CHC R 15 85.8 34.5 -2.3 15.9GLV 3.8 2.9 -1.4 15.9GLV 1.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 47 97.0 14.1 -1.2 1.9ARM -6.0 15.0 -1.1 1.9ARM -5.7
2025 Sinker CHC R 13 96.7 18.7 -2.3 14.2ARM -1.6 10.9 -3.4 14.2ARM -1.2
2025 Changeup CHC R 19 92.1 26.6 -1.9 11.3ARM -4.2 5.5 -1.3 11.3ARM -3.4
2025 Slider CHC R 38 86.9 40.0 5.5 5.8GLV 1.9 -3.6 5.4 5.8GLV 0.7
2024 Sinker BOS R 36 92.7 23.5 1.0 11.6ARM -2.8 8.2 -1.0 11.6ARM -3.3
2024 Changeup BOS R 98 88.6 29.1 0.0 8.8ARM -5.3 5.6 -0.7 8.8ARM -5.4
2024 Slider BOS R 270 86.0 40.5 5.2 6.9GLV 2.5 -3.6 5.2 6.9GLV 2.0
2024 Sweeper BOS R 47 83.8 41.1 1.8 13.2GLV 0.1 -2.2 3.8 13.2GLV -1.0
2024 Curveball BOS R 12 81.2 51.4 -0.1 5.6GLV -1.2 -9.9 -0.1 5.6GLV -3.8
2024 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 280 93.8 17.3 -2.7 0.9GLV -7.8 13.7 -2.0 0.9GLV -8.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 0 47 35.6 11 .400 .400 .391 10.0 18.2 13.3 .156 .199 .201 12.5
2025 Slider -1.5 -1 38 28.8 8 .286 .429 .356 23.5 12.5 8.3 .324 .496 .393 50.0
2025 Changeup -2.9 -1 19 14.4 5 .500 .500 .500 66.7 40.0 28.6 .168 .190 .266 0.0
2025 Sweeper 6.8 1 15 11.4 6 .000 .000 .000 57.1 66.7 40.0 .027 .037 .027 0.0
2025 Sinker -0.3 0 13 9.8 4 .333 .333 .400 0.0 0.0 0.0 .300 .310 .378 0.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball -1.3 -4 280 37.7 87 .295 .423 .387 13.1 10.3 12.0 .250 .410 .330 34.8
2024 Slider -1.9 -5 270 36.3 65 .274 .581 .415 23.4 18.5 16.7 .240 .462 .317 44.0
2024 Changeup 1.1 1 98 13.2 18 .071 .071 .206 37.8 22.2 11.1 .180 .201 .287 20.0
2024 Sweeper -0.5 0 47 6.3 10 .200 .300 .215 27.3 60.0 22.2 .254 .363 .266 75.0
2024 Sinker -8.0 -3 36 4.8 8 .429 1.286 .700 18.2 0.0 0.0 .410 1.007 .609 42.9
2024 Curveball -8.3 -1 12 1.6 4 .500 1.000 .625 28.6 25.0 50.0 .441 .885 .556 66.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 15 92.1 82 13.6 1:00 2:15 -75
2025 4-Seam Fastball 47 97.0 74 14.7 12:30 12:15 15
2025 Sinker 10 96.8 73 17.9 12:30 1:45 -75
2025 Slider 38 86.9 50 8.4 8:30 7:45 45
2025 Sweeper 14 85.7 51 17.0 8:15 9:15 -60
2024 Changeup 92 88.6 69 10.5 12:45 2:00 -75
2024 Curveball 12 81.2 55 13.7 7:30 6:45 45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 274 93.8 72 13.1 12:15 11:45 30
2024 Sinker 36 92.7 75 14.1 12:30 2:00 -90
2024 Slider 270 86.0 46 9.1 8:45 7:45 60
2024 Sweeper 46 83.8 53 15.1 8:15 8:30 -15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 581 2,232 15 24 -16 -8 14
2019 707 2,711 26 15 -21 -13 8
2020 215 858 13 13 -5 -5 16
2021 612 2,348 -2 8 -22 -13 -29
2022 616 2,275 -2 9 -16 -9 -17
2023 211 877 8 0 -8 -9 -9
2024 192 743 -9 5 -5 -3 -12
2025 34 132 0 1 -1 -1 0
Player 3,168 12,176 50 75 -94 50 -29
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 2,234 47.2 65.7 87.1 28.2 60.1 44.0 59.1 45.9 21.2 7.1 77.8
2019 2,711 47.1 66.7 87.5 27.6 61.5 41.1 57.3 46.0 19.9 8.0 77.1
2020 858 51.3 69.1 86.8 23.0 56.3 40.0 57.2 46.6 19.3 6.9 86.4
2021 2,348 47.8 66.9 85.1 24.6 56.8 41.1 59.4 44.8 22.4 7.0 77.0
2022 2,275 48.9 70.3 88.0 28.2 53.7 42.3 54.1 48.8 21.6 7.2 76.2
2023 877 44.0 59.3 87.8 20.3 51.0 39.9 49.8 37.5 22.8 5.2 60.9
2024 743 47.3 67.0 86.0 27.0 62.3 43.7 58.9 46.0 21.1 6.7 78.0
2025 132 43.2 56.1 81.3 40.0 60.0 35.6 67.6 47.0 29.0 6.8 77.8
Player 12,178 47.6 66.9 86.9 26.5 58.0 41.8 57.1 45.7 21.3 7.1 76.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.7 42.6 61.1 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2018 57 39 74 88 43 39 83 56 79 13 43 25 52 66 49 38
2019 30 34 49 61 20 22 70 37 31 13 22 10 32 51 43 39
2020 44 21 51 74 34 46 89 33 37 11 60 7 14 40 58 19
2021 1 3 4 9 2 3 9 22 9 22 22 21 14 57 57 16
2022 28 23 31 43 25 21 63 28 21 11 30 18 34 54 73 20
2023 8 66 64 61 1 83 71 43 68 4 1 26 1 34 66 57 23
2024 43 44 21
2025 87 88 91 90 76 71 74 96 99 70 46 66 94 88 64 8
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2018 20.5 7 9.9 -3 10 9 3 42.9
2019 23.1 15 16.8 -2 10 12 7 46.7
2020 26.7 2 3.2 -1 3 3 1 50.0
2021 22.7 18 22.0 -4 10 13 13 72.2
2022 24.0 17 17.6 -1 7 14 7 41.2
2023 23.9 3 3.3 0 3 0 3 100.0
2024 24.8 9 7.8 1 3 2 6 66.7
Player 23.3 71 80.6 -10 46 53 40 56.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2018 7 13 7 12 10 9 11 10 9 6 8 15 13 7 9 11 8 9 8 12 10 12 14 13 7 8 9 10 12 8 6
2019 15 16 17 18 17 17 18 18 13 13 15 18 23 18 17 16 15 13 17 18 17 19 21 18 15 14 14 18 20 17 13
2020 2 4 4 2 4 2 4 2 2 2 2 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 5 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3
2021 18 22 19 24 20 24 25 24 17 15 17 29 21 19 25 26 19 22 21 27 20 23 29 25 18 20 28 24 21 19 18
2022 17 18 12 17 18 18 19 17 12 14 16 19 17 18 19 20 17 19 16 18 18 16 22 18 13 17 22 24 20 17 17
2023 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 5 4 3 3 4 3 3 3 3
2024 9 8 7 11 8 7 8 7 7 7 7 8 10 8 7 8 8 7 7 8 8 6 11 8 8 7 8 7 8 8 7
Player 71 84 70 88 80 80 88 81 64 60 68 97 92 76 83 87 73 76 76 90 79 84 106 89 67 72 88 90 88 76 67
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-   2025
Fastball Velocity 93.9 -0.5 ↓ 93.4 -0.7 ↓ 92.7 1.2 ↑ 93.9 0.2 ↑ 94.1 -1.0 ↓ 93.1 0.6 ↑ 93.7 3.2 ↑ 96.9
Offspeed Velocity 88.5 -0.5 ↓ 88.0 0.7 ↑ 88.7 1.5 ↑ 90.2 0.1 ↑ 90.3 0.5 ↑ 90.8 -2.2 ↓ 88.6 3.5 ↑ 92.1
Breaking Velocity 85.6 -0.7 ↓ 84.9 -0.3 ↓ 84.6 1.5 ↑ 86.1 0.8 ↑ 86.9 -2.2 ↓ 84.7 0.8 ↑ 85.5 1.1 ↑ 86.6
Exit Velocity 88.1 1.0 ↑ 89.1 0.1 ↑ 89.2 0.8 ↑ 90.0 -0.7 ↓ 89.3 -0.1 ↓ 89.2 -0.6 ↓ 88.6 -5.1 ↓ 83.5
Launch Angle 7.0 2.1 ↑ 9.1 -1.6 ↓ 7.5 0.4 ↑ 7.9 -1.2 ↓ 6.7 -1.7 ↓ 5.0 3.8 ↑ 8.8 -2.4 ↓ 6.4
Barrel % 4.6 1.3 ↑ 5.9 -2.2 ↓ 3.7 7.2 ↑ 10.9 -4.3 ↓ 6.6 0.2 ↑ 6.8 3.7 ↑ 10.5 -5.7 ↓ 4.8
Hard Hit % 31.6 7.0 ↑ 38.6 0.5 ↑ 39.1 5.9 ↑ 45.0 -3.6 ↓ 41.4 -5.0 ↓ 36.4 2.8 ↑ 39.2 -20.2 ↓ 19.0
LA Sweet-Spot % 28.0 4.5 ↑ 32.5 0.4 ↑ 32.9 4.1 ↑ 37.0 -8.3 ↓ 28.7 1.6 ↑ 30.3 -0.2 ↓ 30.1 -1.5 ↓ 28.6
xBA .247 0.010 ↑ .257 0.013 ↑ .270 0.021 ↑ .291 -0.035 ↓ .256 -0.024 ↓ .232 0.020 ↑ .252 -0.067 ↓ .185
BA .252 -0.005 ↓ .247 -0.045 ↓ .202 0.095 ↑ .297 -0.020 ↓ .277 -0.018 ↓ .259 0.015 ↑ .274 0.026 ↑ .300
xwOBA .301 0.028 ↑ .329 -0.007 ↓ .322 0.058 ↑ .380 -0.057 ↓ .323 0.037 ↑ .360 -0.026 ↓ .334 -0.088 ↓ .246
wOBA .290 0.017 ↑ .307 -0.071 ↓ .236 0.122 ↑ .358 -0.021 ↓ .337 0.027 ↑ .364 -0.006 ↓ .358 -0.028 ↓ .330
xSLG .356 0.059 ↑ .415 -0.019 ↓ .396 0.109 ↑ .505 -0.100 ↓ .405 -0.023 ↓ .382 0.062 ↑ .444 -0.199 ↓ .245
SLG .335 0.046 ↑ .381 -0.137 ↓ .244 0.213 ↑ .457 -0.030 ↓ .427 -0.063 ↓ .364 0.127 ↑ .491 -0.158 ↓ .333
K% 16.5 0.7 ↑ 17.2 -0.9 ↓ 16.3 3.3 ↑ 19.6 -3.1 ↓ 16.5 -1.8 ↓ 14.7 2.0 ↑ 16.7 9.8 ↑ 26.5
BB% 8.6 1.3 ↑ 9.9 -2.0 ↓ 7.9 2.5 ↑ 10.4 -1.2 ↓ 9.2 12.1 ↑ 21.3 -13.5 ↓ 7.8 1.0 ↑ 8.8
Swing % 45.9 0.1 ↑ 46.0 0.6 ↑ 46.6 -1.8 ↓ 44.8 4.0 ↑ 48.8 -11.3 ↓ 37.5 8.5 ↑ 46.0 1.0 ↑ 47.0
Whiff% 21.2 -1.3 ↓ 19.9 -0.6 ↓ 19.3 3.1 ↑ 22.4 -0.8 ↓ 21.6 1.2 ↑ 22.8 -1.7 ↓ 21.1 7.9 ↑ 29.0
In Zone % 47.2 -0.1 ↓ 47.1 4.2 ↑ 51.3 -3.5 ↓ 47.8 1.1 ↑ 48.9 -4.9 ↓ 44.0 3.3 ↑ 47.3 -4.1 ↓ 43.2
Out of Zone % 52.8 0.1 ↑ 52.9 -4.2 ↓ 48.7 3.5 ↑ 52.2 -1.1 ↓ 51.1 4.9 ↑ 56.0 -3.3 ↓ 52.7 4.1 ↑ 56.8
Out of Zone Swing % 28.2 -0.6 ↓ 27.6 -4.6 ↓ 23.0 1.6 ↑ 24.6 3.6 ↑ 28.2 -7.9 ↓ 20.3 6.7 ↑ 27.0 13.0 ↑ 40.0
First Pitch Swing % 25.3 3.0 ↑ 28.3 -3.2 ↓ 25.1 4.4 ↑ 29.5 1.0 ↑ 30.5 -11.1 ↓ 19.4 11.9 ↑ 31.3 1.1 ↑ 32.4
First Pitch Strike % 59.1 -1.8 ↓ 57.3 -0.1 ↓ 57.2 2.2 ↑ 59.4 -5.3 ↓ 54.1 -4.3 ↓ 49.8 9.1 ↑ 58.9 8.7 ↑ 67.6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2018 Shifts 582 .290 311 41 13.2 271 106 39.1
2019 Shifts 707 .307 345 53 15.4 362 110 30.4
2020 Shifts 215 .236 80 42 52.5 135 95 70.4
2021 Shifts 612 .358 297 45 15.2 315 118 37.5
2022 Shifts 616 .337 332 42 12.7 284 134 47.2
2023 Shades 210 .362 101 17 16.8 109 12 11.0
2024 Shades 192 .358 113 11 9.7 79 44 55.7
2025 Shades 34 .330 18 0 0.0 16 5 31.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2018 694 14.4 57.6% 1.2% 360 21.9 0.6% 6.7%
2019 803 14.1 61.0% 0.4% 414 22.9 0.0% 8.7%
2020 279 14.4 59.1% 0.4% 124 22.5 0.0% 8.9%
2021 633 14.9 51.5% 0.5% 407 22.1 0.2% 5.9%
2022 641 15.4 44.6% 1.2% 335 21.9 0.3% 6.0%
2023 251 12.8 75.3% 0.0% 185 17.4 15.7% 0.0%
2024 221 13.0 78.3% 0.0% 108 16.8 15.7% 0.9%
2025 18 12.5 88.9% 0.0% 20 16.1 20.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution

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