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Brad Keller
Popularity: ↓ 50%
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 5" 250LBS | Age: 25

Draft: 2013 | Rd: 8, #240, Arizona Diamondbacks | Flowery Branch (GA) HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 5 3 2.47 9 9 0 54.2 35 1.02
3 Seasons 21 23 3.50 78 57 0 360.1 253 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 9 5-3 2.47 54.2 35 1.02
3 Seasons 78 21-23 3.50 360.1 253 1.28

Statcast Statistics

Season Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON Hard Hit % K % BB % ERA xERA
2018 2234 435 20 4.6 88.1 7.1 28.0 .249 .360 .290 .306 .328 31.6 16.5 8.6 3.08 3.79
2019 2711 508 30 5.9 89.1 9.1 32.5 .262 .423 .307 .335 .361 38.6 17.2 9.9 4.19 4.82
2020 858 161 6 3.7 89.2 7.5 32.9 .271 .397 .232 .314 .337 39.1 16.3 7.9 2.47 4.52
ALL 5803 1104 56 5.1 88.7 8.1 30.8 .258 .394 .290 .320 .344 35.9 16.8 9.1
MLB 43640 6.4 88.3 11.9 32.8 .250 .414 .317 .321 .376 34.9 21.8 8.3

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Keller relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(38.3%) ,
Slider
(38.2%) ,
Sinker
(21.4%) ,
Changeup
(2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Whiff% PutAway%
2020 4-Seam Fastball 329 75 254 38.3 92.8 76 67 12 10 0 0 2 11 57 .179 .280 .269 .462 .239 .344 85.2 3 2349 11.3 9.5
2020 Slider 328 125 203 38.2 84.6 99 91 17 17 0 0 0 22 70 .187 .248 .187 .337 .198 .276 90.8 13 2590 27.8 17.1
2020 Sinker 184 106 78 21.4 92.3 39 34 10 8 2 0 0 1 34 .294 .321 .353 .440 .312 .357 89.5 1 2205 16.7 5.6
2020 Changeup 17 0 17 2.0 88.7 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 1965 33.3 50.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball 1133 453 680 41.8 93.7 292 242 63 44 7 7 5 50 195 .260 .285 .409 .492 .343 .385 88.9 13 2295 18.5 15.4
2019 Slider 851 434 417 31.4 84.9 216 206 40 28 5 1 6 62 145 .194 .212 .316 .340 .231 .256 90.2 8 2510 29.5 20.1
2019 Sinker 689 409 280 25.4 92.8 191 168 49 37 7 2 3 10 160 .292 .289 .411 .421 .336 .349 87.9 5 2100 11.5 10.6
2019 Changeup 38 9 29 1.4 87.8 8 8 2 1 0 0 1 0 8 .250 .255 .625 .510 .351 .309 94.7 33 1698 12.5 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 4-Seamer KC R 329 92.8 18.4 -3.4 -23 2.6 -9 -140
2020 Sinker KC R 184 92.3 23 1.5 7 9.5 -4.8 -34
2020 Changeup KC R 17 88.7 27 -1.3 -5 8.3 -5.4 -39
2020 Slider KC R 328 84.6 43.5 6.9 19 6.2 1.6 36
2019 Slider KC R 851 84.9 44 6.5 17 7.2 2.5 52
2019 Sinker KC R 689 92.8 22.2 0.2 1 10.8 -3.8 -26
2019 4-Seamer KC R 1133 93.7 17.2 -1.5 -10 0 -7.2 -100
2019 Changeup KC R 38 87.8 29 -0.3 -1 6.8 -7 -51
2018 Changeup KC R 85 88.2 29.2 0.7 2 11.1 -2.7 -20
2018 Slider KC R 584 85.6 42 5.1 14 6.1 1.6 36
2018 4-Seamer KC R 994 94.3 17.4 -2.1 -14 0.9 -6.5 -87
2018 Sinker KC R 569 93.1 22.3 0.7 3 11.6 -3 -21
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 Changeup 1.9 0 17 2.0 1 .000 .000 .000 33.3 100.0 50.0 .000
2020 Sinker -0.9 -2 184 21.4 39 .294 .353 .321 16.7 2.6 5.6 .321 .440 .357 47.1
2020 4-Seamer -1.0 -3 329 38.3 76 .179 .269 .245 11.3 14.5 9.5 .280 .462 .345 28.1
2020 Slider -2.9 -10 328 38.2 99 .187 .187 .215 27.8 22.2 17.1 .248 .337 .276 44.3
2019 Changeup 2.4 1 38 1.4 8 .250 .625 .363 12.5 0.0 0.0 .255 .510 .309 50.0
2019 Sinker 0.5 3 689 25.4 191 .292 .411 .359 11.5 5.2 10.6 .289 .421 .349 35.6
2019 Slider -1.3 -11 851 31.4 216 .194 .316 .246 29.5 28.7 20.1 .212 .340 .256 40.0
2019 4-Seamer 0.0 0 1133 41.8 292 .260 .409 .349 18.5 17.1 15.4 .285 .492 .386 39.5
2018 Changeup 2.7 2 85 3.8 12 .364 .727 .441 32.4 8.3 7.1 .339 .629 .438 40.0
2018 Slider 0.1 1 584 26.1 131 .221 .279 .244 36.5 31.3 19.0 .215 .309 .258 33.3
2018 Sinker -2.3 -13 569 25.5 171 .241 .309 .263 11.9 7.6 16.3 .252 .343 .286 29.5
2018 4-Seamer -0.2 -2 994 44.5 267 .272 .366 .339 18.9 15.4 13.6 .263 .388 .339 31.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Observed Spin-Based Gap Observed Spin-Based
2020 Sinker 172 92.3 73 12.7 1:45 12:30 -75
2020 Changeup 13 88.4 79 10.7 2:00 1:00 -60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 287 92.8 66 12.6 11:30 12:15 45
2020 Slider 294 84.6 45 9.9 7:30 8:30 60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 579 2225 -12 -21 14 7 -12
2019 698 2689 -23 -15 18 13 -7
2020 213 851 -11 -11 4 4 -14
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 2234 47.2 65.3 87.6 28.2 60.2 44.1 59.0 45.7 21.3 7.1 77.2
2019 2711 47.2 65.7 88.8 27.6 61.5 41.0 57.3 45.6 19.9 8.0 75.7
2020 858 51.2 68.3 88.0 22.7 56.8 40.1 57.2 46.0 19.5 6.9 86.4
ALL 5803 47.8 66.0 88.2 27.1 60.5 42.1 57.9 45.7 20.4 7.5 77.7
MLB 48.4 66.1 82.8 28.2 59.4 42.6 60.6 46.6 24.5 7.2 75.1

Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2018 55.6 15.9 23.4 5.1 41.8 34.7 23.4 2.3 45.1 20.2 24.4 2.3 4.6
2019 50.8 17.1 26.0 6.1 36.4 38.4 25.2 3.3 38.6 21.1 23.8 6.7 5.9
2020 52.8 13.0 28.6 5.6 37.9 36.6 25.5 4.3 36.6 20.5 29.8 4.3 3.7
ALL 53.0 16.0 25.4 5.6 38.8 36.7 24.5 3.1 40.9 20.7 24.9 4.6 5.1
MLB 45.3 22.0 25.7 7.1 36.6 38.0 25.5 3.2 33.6 24.3 24.6 5.6 6.4

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2018 58 44 76 90 45 38 83 56 79 13 44 24 58 68 46
2019 30 32 49 61 20 22 70 37 31 13 22 9 30 54 40
2020 41 21 51 75 34 46 89 33 37 11 60 8 41 45 53
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.1 15 17.2 -2.2 10 10 9 60.0
2020 26.7 2 3.3 -1.3 5 3 1 50.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 15 21 17 20 18 17 16 17 19 17 22 18 13 12 16 19 13 19 16 17 12 17 15 18 18 19 20 16 19 16 19
2020 2 3 6 3 4 3 3 4 2 4 2 2 2 2 2 4 2 3 4 4 2 3 3 4 3 4 4 3 6 3 4
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.9 93.3 -0.6 92.7 -0.6
Offspeed Velocity 88.2 87.8 -0.4 88.7 0.9
Breaking Velocity 85.6 84.9 -0.7 84.6 -0.3
Exit Velocity 88.1 89.1 1 89.2 0.1
Launch Angle 7.1 9.1 2 7.5 -1.6
Barrel % 4.6 5.9 1.3 3.7 -2.2
Hard Hit % 31.6 38.6 7 39.1 0.5
Sweet Spot % 28 32.5 4.5 32.9 0.4
xBA .249 .262 0.013 .271 0.009
BA .252 .247 -0.005 .202 -0.045
xwOBA .306 .335 0.029 .314 -0.021
wOBA .29 .307 0.017 .232 -0.075
xSLG .36 .423 0.063 .397 -0.026
SLG .335 .381 0.046 .244 -0.137
K% 16.5 17.2 0.7 16.3 -0.9
BB% 8.6 9.9 1.3 7.9 -2
Swing % 45.7 45.6 -0.1 46 0.4
Whiff% 21.3 19.9 -1.4 19.5 -0.4
In Zone Swing % 47.2 47.2 0 51.2 4
Out of Zone Swing % 52.8 52.8 0 48.8 -4
First Pitch Swing % 25 27.5 2.5 23.3 -4.2
First Pitch Strike % 59 57.3 -1.7 57.2 -0.1
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2018 582 .290 311 41 13.2 271 106 39.1
2019 707 .307 345 53 15.4 362 110 30.4
2020 215 .232 80 42 52.5 135 95 70.4

Pitch Distribution