P | Toronto Blue Jays
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 220 lbs | Age: 29
Draft: 2017 | Rd. 7, No. 204, Milwaukee Brewers | Chipola Junior College
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 1 0 1.73 20 0 1 36.1 35 0.83
2024 8 5 3.30 27 13 0 103.2 92 0.93
2025 2 8 6.05 14 14 0 64 54 1.53
4 Seasons 11 13 3.87 62 27 1 204.2 182 1.10
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 20 1-0 1.73 36.1 35 0.83
2024 27 8-5 3.30 103.2 92 0.93
2025 14 2-8 6.05 64 54 1.53
4 Seasons 62 11-13 3.87 204.2 182 1.10
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 26 9 2 0 0.0 0.0 73.3 77.8 -13.8 50.0 .138 .147 .420 .126 .189 0.0 33.3 0.0 0.00 0.73
2023 27 539 92 10 10.9 7.4 90.0 108.8 18.0 35.9 .221 .402 .238 .296 .370 41.3 25.7 5.9 1.73 3.66
2024 28 1559 287 25 8.7 6.1 89.1 112.2 18.9 35.5 .218 .379 .272 .286 .336 36.2 22.5 5.4 3.30 3.39
2025 29 1141 201 25 12.4 8.7 91.6 113.1 20.7 34.3 .284 .488 .382 .372 .419 52.2 18.8 9.4 6.05 6.08
Player 3248 582 60 10.3 7.2 90.0 113.1 19.3 35.2 .240 .418 .305 .317 .370 42.4 21.8 6.8
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Francis relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(56.0%) ,
Split Finger
(22.4%) ,
Curveball
(14.0%) ,
Slider
(5.8%) ,
Sinker
(1.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2023 35.9 64.1 34.8 21.7 7.6 40.2 35.9 23.9 21.7 10.9 3.3 18.5 25.0 20.7
2024 34.5 65.5 33.1 22.0 10.5 46.3 29.6 24.0 19.5 12.2 2.8 26.8 17.4 21.3
2025 33.8 66.2 30.8 23.9 11.4 43.8 29.9 26.4 17.4 12.4 4.0 26.4 17.4 22.4
Player 34.7 65.3 32.5 22.5 10.3 44.7 30.6 24.7 19.4 12.0 3.3 25.3 18.6 21.5
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2023 5.4 21.7 34.8 18.5 8.7 10.9 7.4
2024 3.5 24.4 36.6 20.6 6.3 8.7 6.1
2025 5.5 20.4 30.8 25.4 5.5 12.4 8.7
Player 4.5 22.9 34.2 21.8 6.4 10.3 7.2
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Sinker TOR R 20 91.5 19.8 -3.4 13.2ARM -1.3 13.2 -5.8 13.2ARM -1.9
2025 Split-Finger TOR R 256 82.2 35.1 -1.4 8.5ARM -0.5 5.5 -2.5 8.5ARM -2.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball TOR R 639 92.5 14.0 1.3 7.2ARM 0.3 18.3 2.5 7.2ARM -0.4
2025 Slider TOR R 66 82.7 40.2 1.8 5.7GLV 1.1 -0.2 1.9 5.7GLV 1.1
2025 Curveball TOR R 160 73.7 58.2 -4.2 15.5GLV 5.4 -7.3 -2.6 15.5GLV 6.4
2024 Curveball TOR R 283 73.5 60.6 -2.6 15.6GLV 4.6 -9.2 -0.8 15.6GLV 6.2
2024 Sinker TOR R 46 90.3 21.7 -2.6 13.5ARM -1.1 11.8 -4.6 13.5ARM -1.4
2024 Split-Finger TOR R 285 83.8 34.5 -0.1 8.1ARM -1.1 4.2 -1.6 8.1ARM -2.6
2024 4-Seam Fastball TOR R 799 92.9 13.9 1.6 6.0ARM -0.9 17.9 2.2 6.0ARM -1.6
2024 Slider TOR R 145 81.7 41.2 1.0 5.6GLV -0.5 -0.2 1.9 5.6GLV 0.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 -4 639 56.0 174 .282 .500 .364 15.1 14.4 14.0 .281 .457 .351 54.5
2025 Split-Finger -2.5 -6 256 22.4 74 .242 .548 .380 36.8 31.1 20.9 .257 .507 .376 47.5
2025 Curveball -3.2 -5 160 14.0 21 .444 1.000 .617 40.0 9.5 10.0 .399 .698 .501 37.5
2025 Slider -1.0 -1 66 5.8 16 .286 .357 .334 37.9 18.8 25.0 .319 .515 .398 63.6
2025 Sinker -0.5 0 20 1.8 3 .000 .000 .467 14.3 33.3 50.0 -- -- .467 --
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1.9 15 799 51.3 231 .174 .371 .271 18.5 20.3 19.6 .215 .422 .302 39.5
2024 Split-Finger 1.3 4 285 18.3 78 .169 .169 .171 21.9 34.6 19.3 .189 .258 .200 34.0
2024 Curveball -1.6 -5 283 18.2 59 .308 .558 .395 24.3 16.9 13.7 .267 .388 .323 20.9
2024 Slider -1.6 -2 145 9.3 27 .250 .583 .419 44.6 29.6 28.6 .222 .391 .310 50.0
2024 Sinker 1.8 1 46 3.0 13 .182 .455 .331 6.7 0.0 0.0 .243 .309 .318 36.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Curveball 160 73.7 84 19.3 7:30 8:00 -30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 638 92.5 92 19.3 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Split-Finger 210 82.1 93 11.0 1:45 2:15 -30
2025 Sinker 20 91.5 94 18.6 1:00 1:45 -45
2025 Slider 65 82.7 30 7.1 9:45 8:30 75
2024 Curveball 283 73.5 89 20.6 7:30 7:45 -15
2024 4-Seam Fastball 787 92.9 89 18.5 1:00 12:45 15
2024 Split-Finger 228 83.8 85 10.0 1:30 2:15 -45
2024 Sinker 46 90.3 89 17.9 12:45 1:45 -60
2024 Slider 144 81.7 38 7.6 9:30 8:30 60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 3 9 0 0 0 0 0
2023 136 539 5 9 -2 -2 10
2024 408 1,558 26 9 -13 -8 13
2025 288 1,141 -6 5 -10 -5 -16
Player 835 3,247 24 22 -25 24 7
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 9 55.6 100.0 100.0 50.0 0.0 44.4 66.7 77.8 28.6 22.2 100.0
2023 539 51.4 68.6 83.7 29.4 59.7 39.9 64.0 49.5 23.2 8.3 68.9
2024 1,559 54.3 72.4 83.5 27.1 63.7 41.9 61.3 51.7 21.2 8.9 83.3
2025 1,141 49.8 69.9 84.4 23.7 54.4 42.8 62.2 46.7 23.3 7.9 76.7
Player 3,248 52.2 71.0 83.9 26.3 59.6 41.9 62.0 49.7 22.3 8.5 78.9
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 56 94 67 80
2024 76 78 58 35 87 33 28 41 72 46 89 15 30 30 75 23 81
2025 2 5 5 7 2 36 2 3 1 22 26 32 5 21 39 6 84
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 22.45 5 4.7 0 4 4 1 20.0
2024 24.41 17 15.3 2 5 9 8 47.1
2025 23.15 19 16.0 3 9 13 5 26.3
Player 23.59 41 36.0 5 18 26 14 34.1
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 5 6 4 5 4 5 5 5 3 5 4 3 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 8 7 5 4 4 5 5 4 2
2024 17 12 16 14 15 16 18 14 13 11 15 19 16 14 14 14 14 13 15 18 15 14 20 17 15 14 14 19 17 18 14
2025 19 20 11 18 18 18 15 17 16 10 14 19 15 23 18 14 21 17 14 20 14 12 21 18 17 9 12 15 16 13 15
Player 41 38 31 37 37 39 38 36 32 26 33 41 37 42 37 33 40 35 33 43 34 30 49 42 37 27 30 39 38 35 31
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .283 +.087 .196 +.021 .175 -.158 .333
xBA .284 +.066 .218 -.003 .221 +.083 .138
OBP .361 +.108 .253 +.025 .228 -.105 .333
xOBP .365 +.091 .274 -.001 .275 +.137 .138
SLG .538 +.167 .371 +.054 .317 -.350 .667
xSLG .488 +.109 .379 -.023 .402 +.255 .147
ISO .255 +.080 .175 +.032 .143 -.190 .333
xISO .204 +.044 .160 -.021 .181 +.173 .008
BABIP .286 +.074 .212 +.017 .195 -.305 .500
wOBA .382 +.110 .272 +.034 .238 -.182 .420
xwOBA .372 +.086 .286 -.010 .296 +.170 .126
wOBACON .434 +.117 .317 +.033 .284 -.347 .631
xwOBACON .419 +.083 .336 -.034 .370 +.181 .189
BACON .353 +.094 .259 +.020 .239 -.261 .500
xBACON .359 +.071 .288 -.021 .309 +.101 .208
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 52.2 +16.0 36.2 -5.1 41.3 +41.3 0.0
Avg Exit Velocity 91.6 +2.5 89.1 -0.9 90.0 +16.7 73.3
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 34.3 -1.2 35.5 -0.4 35.9 -14.1 50.0
Barrel % 12.4 +3.7 8.7 -2.2 10.9 +10.9 0.0
Avg Launch Angle 20.7 +1.8 18.9 +0.9 18.0 +31.8 -13.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.1 +0.4 71.7 +0.8 70.9 -- --
Attack Angle 12° +1° 11° +1° 10° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 54.2 +0.8 53.4 +0.4 53.0 -- --
Attack Direction -5° -1° -3° -3° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 31° 31° 31° -- --
Swing Length 7.4 +0.2 7.2 0.0 7.2 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 92.4 -0.3 92.7 -1.7 94.4 +2.0 92.4
Breaking Velocity 76.4 +0.2 76.2 -1.3 77.5 +1.2 76.3
Offspeed Velocity 82.2 -1.6 83.8 -0.7 84.5 +1.6 82.9
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 25 0 25 +15 10 +10 0
Popup % 11.4 +0.9 10.5 +2.9 7.6 +7.6 0.0
Flyball % 30.8 -2.3 33.1 -1.7 34.8 +34.8 0.0
Line Drive % 23.9 +1.9 22.0 +0.3 21.7 +21.7 0.0
Groundball % 33.8 -0.7 34.5 -1.4 35.9 -64.1 100.0
Pull % 43.8 -2.5 46.3 +6.1 40.2 -59.8 100.0
Straight Away % 29.9 +0.3 29.6 -6.3 35.9 +35.9 0.0
Opposite Field % 26.4 +2.4 24.0 +0.1 23.9 +23.9 0.0
Weak Contact % 5.5 +2.0 3.5 -1.9 5.4 +5.4 0.0
Pull Airball % 26.4 -0.4 26.8 +8.3 18.5 +18.5 0.0
Topped Contact % 20.4 -4.0 24.4 +2.7 21.7 -78.3 100.0
Under Contact % 30.8 -5.8 36.6 +1.8 34.8 +34.8 0.0
Flare/Burner Contact % 25.4 +4.8 20.6 +2.1 18.5 +18.5 0.0
Solid Contact % 5.5 -0.8 6.3 -2.4 8.7 +8.7 0.0
HR/FB % 30.6 +12.7 17.9 +2.3 15.6 -- --
Popups 23 -7 30 +23 7 +7 0
Flyballs 62 -33 95 +63 32 +32 0
Line Drives 48 -15 63 +43 20 +20 0
Groundballs 68 -31 99 +66 33 +31 2
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 49.8 -4.5 54.3 +2.9 51.4 -4.2 55.6
Out of Zone % 50.2 +4.5 45.7 -2.9 48.6 +4.2 44.4
Edge % 42.8 +0.9 41.9 +2.0 39.9 -4.5 44.4
Zone Swing % 69.9 -2.5 72.4 +3.8 68.6 -31.4 100.0
Out of Zone Swing % 23.7 -3.4 27.1 -2.3 29.4 -20.6 50.0
In Zone Contact % 84.4 +0.9 83.5 -0.2 83.7 -16.3 100.0
Out of Zone Contact % 54.4 -9.3 63.7 +4.0 59.7 +59.7 0.0
Whiff % 23.3 +2.1 21.2 -2.0 23.2 -5.4 28.6
First Strike % 62.2 +0.9 61.3 -2.7 64.0 -2.7 66.7
First Pitch Swing % 35.8 +2.2 33.6 +2.0 31.6 -35.1 66.7
Swing % 46.7 -5.0 51.7 +2.2 49.5 -28.3 77.8
Meatball Swing % 76.7 -6.6 83.3 +14.4 68.9 -31.1 100.0
Meatball % 7.9 -1.0 8.9 +0.6 8.3 -13.9 22.2
Zone Swing & Miss % 15.6 -0.9 16.5 +0.2 16.3 +16.3 0.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 45.6 +9.3 36.3 -4.0 40.3 -59.7 100.0
In Zone 568 -279 847 +570 277 +272 5
Out of Zone 573 -139 712 +450 262 +258 4
Edge 488 -166 654 +439 215 +211 4
In Zone Swings 397 -216 613 +423 190 +185 5
Out of Zone Swings 136 -57 193 +116 77 +75 2
In Zone Swing & Misses 62 -39 101 +70 31 +31 0
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 62 -8 70 +39 31 +29 2
Basic
Pitches 1,141 -418 1,559 +1,020 539 +530 9
PA 288 -120 408 +272 136 +133 3
AB 251 -126 377 +251 126 +123 3
Hits 71 -3 74 +52 22 +21 1
Singles 46 +4 42 +28 14 +14 0
Doubles 5 -10 15 +12 3 +2 1
Triples 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Home Runs 19 +2 17 +12 5 +5 0
Walks 27 +5 22 +14 8 +8 0
Strikeouts 54 -38 92 +57 35 +34 1
K% 18.8 -3.7 22.5 -3.2 25.7 -7.6 33.3
BB% 9.4 +4.0 5.4 -0.5 5.9 +5.9 0.0
HBP 6 -1 7 +6 1 +1 0
Batted Balls 201 -86 287 +195 92 +90 2
Number of Fastballs 659 -186 845 +567 278 +274 4
Number of Offspeed 256 -29 285 +284 1 0 1
Number of Breaking 226 -202 428 +168 260 +256 4
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 3 .420 2 2 100.0 1 1 100.0
2023 Shades 136 .238 63 13 20.6 73 24 32.9
2024 Shades 408 .272 221 96 43.4 187 152 81.3
2025 Shades 288 .382 127 16 12.6 161 98 60.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 0 -- -- -- 2 15.6 0.0% 0.0%
2023 141 16.3 29.8% 0.7% 92 19.6 1.1% 1.1%
2024 438 16.4 26.5% 1.1% 193 20.1 0.5% 1.0%
2025 335 15.9 31.6% 0.0% 162 19.3 0.6% 0.6%

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Pitch Distribution