P | Chicago Cubs
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 210 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2017 | Rd. 33, No. 983, Philadelphia Phillies | Ward Melville (NY) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 1 3 3.58 15 8 0 55.1 64 1.08
2025 5 8 5.92 25 15 1 106.1 121 1.44
2026 4 2 1.85 20 8 1 68 65 0.94
3 Seasons 10 13 4.15 60 31 2 229.2 250 1.21
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 15 1-3 3.58 55.1 64 1.08
2025 25 5-8 5.92 106.1 121 1.44
2026 20 4-2 1.85 68 65 0.94
3 Seasons 60 10-13 4.15 229.2 250 1.21
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 24 849 138 15 10.9 6.8 91.8 113.7 16.2 34.1 .229 .411 .268 .321 .416 51.4 28.8 8.6 3.58 4.22
2025 25 1759 315 36 11.4 7.6 92.4 113.3 12.7 36.8 .254 .450 .345 .329 .413 47.3 25.6 6.8 5.92 4.55
2026 26 1004 179 13 7.3 4.9 90.3 113.1 10.1 31.3 .223 .335 .229 .280 .332 43.0 24.5 7.2 1.85 3.18
Player 3612 632 64 10.1 6.7 91.7 113.7 12.7 34.7 .239 .410 .295 .313 .391 47.0 26.1 7.3
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Brown relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(37.0%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(36.5%) ,
Sinker
(20.6%) ,
Changeup
(6.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 37.7 62.3 27.5 25.4 9.4 34.1 38.4 27.5 18.8 12.3 6.5 15.2 26.1 21.0
2025 42.9 57.1 26.7 24.8 5.7 40.0 36.5 23.5 21.3 15.9 5.7 18.7 20.6 17.8
2026 44.7 55.3 25.1 23.5 6.7 36.3 41.3 22.3 20.1 20.1 4.5 16.2 21.2 17.9
Player 42.2 57.8 26.4 24.5 6.8 37.7 38.3 24.1 20.4 16.3 5.5 17.2 22.0 18.5
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 2.2 26.1 27.5 23.9 9.4 10.9 6.8
2025 3.2 29.8 22.9 26.0 6.3 11.4 7.6
2026 4.5 31.3 27.9 22.9 5.0 7.3 4.9
Player 3.3 29.4 25.3 24.7 6.6 10.1 6.7
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 371 96.4 13.5 -0.7 8.4ARM 1.8 16.0 0.2 8.4ARM 0.6
2026 Sinker CHC R 207 96.4 16.9 -2.8 14.8ARM 0.1 12.6 -5.0 14.8ARM -0.4
2026 Changeup CHC R 60 90.1 29.2 -0.3 10.1ARM -4.3 4.4 -0.5 10.1ARM -4.4
2026 Curveball CHC R 366 86.8 39.3 -5.0 2.9GLV -2.3 -3.2 -7.0 2.9GLV -6.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 978 95.8 12.9 0.1 7.4ARM 1.2 17.0 1.2 7.4ARM -0.2
2025 Changeup CHC R 80 90.5 26.0 -2.4 11.2ARM -3.5 7.4 -3.3 11.2ARM -3.2
2025 Curveball CHC R 701 87.2 38.3 -5.3 2.6GLV -1.9 -2.4 -7.8 2.6GLV -6.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 2 371 37.0 94 .247 .321 .326 15.6 16.0 14.6 .268 .438 .352 52.2
2026 Curveball 3.4 12 366 36.5 103 .124 .186 .160 44.3 40.8 29.6 .177 .263 .222 39.3
2026 Sinker 2.2 4 207 20.6 53 .224 .245 .268 13.0 7.5 18.2 .242 .313 .276 33.3
2026 Changeup 1.1 1 60 6.0 15 .133 .267 .167 34.8 26.7 28.6 .212 .321 .229 45.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.2 -11 978 55.6 237 .315 .526 .406 14.8 14.3 16.6 .293 .565 .394 51.1
2025 Curveball -0.5 -3 701 39.9 220 .252 .413 .305 43.1 37.7 27.4 .217 .338 .263 41.6
2025 Changeup -1.4 -1 80 4.5 15 .143 .357 .300 29.0 26.7 26.7 .206 .365 .272 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 60 90.1 74 11.6 1:30 2:30 -60
2026 4-Seam Fastball 368 96.3 94 17.8 1:15 1:00 15
2026 Knuckle Curve 365 86.8 33 5.9 8:30 7:00 90
2026 Sinker 205 96.4 94 19.5 1:00 1:45 -45
2025 Changeup 70 90.5 92 14.1 1:15 2:00 -45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 948 95.9 96 18.2 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Knuckle Curve 661 87.2 26 5.2 8:45 7:15 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 222 849 1 12 -3 -3 7
2025 472 1,759 -15 8 -1 -8 -16
2026 265 1,004 15 9 -3 -2 19
Player 959 3,612 1 29 -6 1 10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 849 52.2 63.0 78.5 28.6 44.8 43.9 64.0 46.5 31.4 7.4 76.2
2025 1,759 52.4 65.3 84.7 28.7 39.2 40.6 65.5 47.9 28.3 8.0 76.6
2026 1,004 49.6 63.9 84.9 30.6 47.7 39.6 58.9 47.1 27.3 8.2 80.5
Player 3,612 51.6 64.4 83.3 29.2 43.1 41.1 63.3 47.3 28.7 7.9 77.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 71 70 72 50 38 86 42 17 1 49 88 87 40 5 1 22 77
2025 8 7 23 42 24 75 30 12 1 53 73 73 71 7 6 56 78
2026 99 87 100 68 79 80 27 14 20 52 66 64 71 52 22 60 65
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 23.62 5 6.8 -2 3 6 1 20.0
2025 23.26 18 16.4 2 6 14 7 38.9
2026 20.94 2 3.1 -1 4 3 0 0.0
Player 23.14 25 26.3 -1 13 23 8 32.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 5 7 3 7 6 7 8 7 6 6 7 7 8 5 7 6 7 7 8 8 8 5 9 8 6 7 6 7 8 8 6
2025 18 17 13 17 17 17 14 17 13 12 12 14 20 25 16 14 20 14 14 19 18 15 23 21 15 14 13 18 22 14 15
2026 2 4 2 3 3 4 4 1 5 3 2 4 1 4 3 3 3 3 2 5 1 4 3 4 1 2 3 5 5 2 3
Player 25 28 18 27 26 28 26 25 24 21 21 25 29 34 26 23 30 24 24 32 27 24 35 33 22 23 22 30 35 24 24
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .186 -.093 .279 +.071 .208
xBA .223 -.031 .254 +.025 .229
OBP .249 -.084 .333 +.057 .276
xOBP .286 -.025 .311 +.009 .302
SLG .248 -.219 .467 +.137 .330
xSLG .335 -.115 .450 +.039 .411
ISO .062 -.125 .187 +.065 .122
xISO .113 -.084 .197 +.015 .182
BABIP .243 -.105 .348 +.075 .273
wOBA .229 -.116 .345 +.077 .268
xwOBA .280 -.049 .329 +.008 .321
wOBAcon .256 -.182 .438 +.107 .331
xwOBAcon .332 -.081 .413 -.003 .416
BACON .251 -.134 .385 +.086 .299
xBACON .306 -.045 .351 +.009 .342
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 43.0 -4.3 47.3 -4.1 51.4
Avg Exit Velocity 90.3 -2.1 92.4 +0.6 91.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 31.3 -5.5 36.8 +2.7 34.1
Barrel % 7.3 -4.1 11.4 +0.5 10.9
Avg Launch Angle 10.1 -2.6 12.7 -3.5 16.2
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.8 -0.1 71.9 +0.6 71.3
Attack Angle -1° 11° +2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 47.8 -5.7 53.5 +3.7 49.8
Attack Direction +3° -3° -3°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° +1° 31° -1° 32°
Swing Length 7.3 -0.1 7.4 +0.1 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.4 +0.6 95.8 -0.6 96.4
Breaking Velocity 86.8 -0.4 87.2 +0.7 86.5
Offspeed Velocity 90.1 -0.4 90.5 -0.1 90.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 13 -23 36 +21 15
Popup % 6.7 +1.0 5.7 -3.7 9.4
Flyball % 25.1 -1.6 26.7 -0.8 27.5
Line Drive % 23.5 -1.3 24.8 -0.6 25.4
Groundball % 44.7 +1.8 42.9 +5.2 37.7
Pull % 36.3 -3.7 40.0 +5.9 34.1
Straight Away % 41.3 +4.8 36.5 -1.9 38.4
Opposite Field % 22.3 -1.2 23.5 -4.0 27.5
Weak Contact % 4.5 +1.3 3.2 +1.0 2.2
Pull Airball % 16.2 -2.5 18.7 +3.5 15.2
Topped Contact % 31.3 +1.5 29.8 +3.7 26.1
Under Contact % 27.9 +5.0 22.9 -4.6 27.5
Flare/Burner Contact % 22.9 -3.1 26.0 +2.1 23.9
Solid Contact % 5.0 -1.3 6.3 -3.1 9.4
HR/FB % 4.4 -17.0 21.4 +8.2 13.2
Popups 12 -6 18 +5 13
Flyballs 45 -39 84 +46 38
Line Drives 42 -36 78 +43 35
Groundballs 80 -55 135 +83 52
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 49.6 -2.8 52.4 +0.2 52.2
Out of Zone % 50.4 +2.8 47.6 -0.2 47.8
Edge % 39.6 -1.0 40.6 -3.3 43.9
Zone Swing % 63.9 -1.4 65.3 +2.3 63.0
Out of Zone Swing % 30.6 +1.9 28.7 +0.1 28.6
In Zone Contact % 84.9 +0.2 84.7 +6.2 78.5
Out of Zone Contact % 47.7 +8.5 39.2 -5.6 44.8
Whiff % 27.3 -1.0 28.3 -3.1 31.4
First Strike % 58.9 -6.6 65.5 +1.5 64.0
First Pitch Swing % 29.1 -7.3 36.4 +4.9 31.5
Swing % 47.1 -0.8 47.9 +1.4 46.5
Meatball Swing % 80.5 +3.9 76.6 +0.4 76.2
Meatball % 8.2 +0.2 8.0 +0.6 7.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 15.1 -0.2 15.3 -6.2 21.5
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 52.3 -8.5 60.8 +5.6 55.2
In Zone 498 -424 922 +479 443
Out of Zone 506 -331 837 +431 406
Edge 398 -316 714 +341 373
In Zone Swings 318 -284 602 +323 279
Out of Zone Swings 155 -85 240 +124 116
In Zone Swing & Misses 48 -44 92 +32 60
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 81 -65 146 +82 64
Basic
Pitches 1,004 -755 1,759 +910 849
PA 265 -207 472 +250 222
AB 242 -191 433 +236 197
Hits 45 -76 121 +80 41
Singles 35 -45 80 +53 27
Doubles 7 -12 19 +10 9
Triples 1 -3 4 +4 0
Home Runs 2 -16 18 +13 5
Walks 19 -13 32 +13 19
Strikeouts 65 -56 121 +57 64
K% 24.5 -1.1 25.6 -3.2 28.8
BB% 7.2 +0.4 6.8 -1.8 8.6
HBP 2 -2 4 +3 1
Batted Balls 179 -136 315 +177 138
Fastball Percent 57.6 +2.0 55.6 -7.1 62.7
Offspeed Percent 6.0 +1.5 4.5 +2.9 1.6
Breaking Percent 36.5 -3.4 39.9 +4.2 35.7
Number of Fastballs 578 -400 978 +446 532
Number of Offspeed 60 -20 80 +66 14
Number of Breaking 366 -335 701 +398 303
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 222 .268 104 0 0.0 118 37 31.4
2025 Shades 472 .345 257 2 0.8 215 88 40.9
2026 Shades 265 .229 122 2 1.6 143 85 59.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 257 15.1 48.6% 0.4% 130 18.8 1.5% 0.0%
2025 468 14.6 56.8% 0.2% 283 18.2 2.5% 0.4%
2026 270 16.2 25.9% 2.6% 165 19.2 1.2% 6.1%

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Pitch Distribution