Bailey Falter
P | Bats/Throws: R/L | 6' 4" 175LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2015 | Rd: 5, #144, Philadelphia Phillies | Chino Hills (CA) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 2 1 5.61 22 1 0 33.2 34 1.19
2022 6 4 3.86 20 16 0 84 74 1.21
2023 2 9 5.36 18 14 0 80.2 60 1.41
3 Seasons 10 14 4.76 60 31 0 198.1 168 1.29
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 22 2-1 5.61 33.2 34 1.19
2022 20 6-4 3.86 84 74 1.21
2023 18 2-9 5.36 80.2 60 1.41
3 Seasons 60 10-14 4.76 198.1 168 1.29
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 24 552 97 6 6.2 4.3 88.9 109.6 15.4 35.1 .246 .379 .311 .292 .360 37.1 24.5 4.3 5.61 3.57
2022 25 1295 252 21 8.3 6.0 89.0 115.9 17.6 37.7 .262 .455 .338 .331 .395 38.5 21.2 4.9 3.86 4.62
2023 26 1296 267 24 9.0 6.9 89.6 118.2 14.8 34.1 .280 .467 .354 .339 .389 39.3 17.3 5.8 5.36 4.93
Player 3143 616 51 8.3 6.1 89.2 118.2 16.1 35.7 .267 .447 .340 .328 .387 38.6 20.1 5.1
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Falter relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(44.1%) ,
Curveball
(22.5%) ,
Slider
(19%) ,
Sinker
(7.6%) ,
Changeup
(6.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 37.1 26.8 25.8 10.3 35.1 45.4 19.6 1.0 33.0 29.9 27.8 2.1 6.2 4.3
2022 34.1 33.3 25.0 7.5 34.5 39.3 26.2 5.2 21.8 29.0 25.4 9.5 8.3 6.0
2023 40.4 23.2 26.6 9.7 40.4 34.1 25.5 3.0 27.7 26.6 28.5 4.5 9.0 6.9
Player 37.3 27.9 25.8 8.9 37.2 38.0 24.8 3.6 26.1 28.1 27.1 6.2 8.3 6.1
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Sinker PIT L 98 90.7 16.3 -8.0 -33 7.6 -6.8 -47
2023 Changeup PIT L 88 84.8 23.2 -9.4 -29 7.1 -7.8 -52
2023 Curveball PIT L 292 76.5 54.0 -3.4 -6 6.0 -4.3 -42
2023 Slider PIT L 246 84.4 31.4 -5.6 -15 3.0 -2.3 -43
2023 4-Seamer PIT L 571 90.7 15.1 1.8 10 1.4 -4.8 -77
2022 Slider PHI L 191 83.5 35.5 -2.0 -5 4.4 -1.1 -20
2022 Curveball PHI L 219 76.6 53.4 -2.7 -5 7.6 -3.8 -33
2022 Changeup PHI L 52 83.1 24.9 -9.6 -28 8.3 -6.5 -44
2022 Sinker PHI L 419 91.0 15.8 -4.4 -22 7.9 -4.6 -37
2022 4-Seamer PHI L 412 91.4 13.8 2.4 15 1.3 -5.2 -80
2021 Curveball PHI L 15 76.1 52.8 -4.0 -7 4.6 -6.8 -60
2021 Slider PHI L 128 84.5 32.6 -4.0 -11 3.9 -1.7 -30
2021 4-Seamer PHI L 34 91.6 15.3 0.9 6 4.6 -1.6 -26
2021 Changeup PHI L 30 83.7 23.9 -8.8 -27 8.7 -5.5 -39
2021 Sinker PHI L 340 91.8 14.9 -5.4 -27 7.9 -5.7 -42
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer -0.6 -3 571 44.1 165 .307 .438 .347 15.3 18.8 17.1 .271 .385 .309 40.7
2023 Curveball -2.6 -8 292 22.5 76 .267 .493 .343 20.9 19.7 15.8 .302 .546 .362 40.0
2023 Slider -1.1 -3 246 19.0 62 .288 .746 .440 20.6 9.7 9.4 .272 .564 .366 32.1
2023 Sinker -1.3 -1 99 7.6 26 .318 .545 .419 15.2 11.5 14.3 .323 .580 .430 47.4
2023 Changeup 0.5 0 88 6.8 17 .188 .250 .234 30.3 23.5 20.0 .263 .401 .311 41.7
2022 Sinker -0.6 -2 420 32.4 99 .270 .573 .393 21.9 24.2 20.5 .260 .529 .365 42.4
2022 4-Seamer 0.9 4 412 31.8 147 .213 .331 .266 19.1 17.7 21.0 .230 .359 .283 35.1
2022 Curveball 0.1 0 219 16.9 33 .281 .656 .398 35.0 30.3 14.1 .245 .469 .318 45.5
2022 Slider 0.1 0 192 14.8 54 .280 .500 .346 33.0 25.9 20.9 .291 .473 .346 37.8
2022 Changeup -5.1 -3 52 4.0 16 .563 .750 .572 8.0 0.0 0.0 .484 .771 .542 37.5
2021 Sinker 0.3 1 342 62.0 95 .264 .391 .321 21.4 22.1 21.9 .241 .348 .285 38.8
2021 Slider -2.7 -4 129 23.4 28 .333 .593 .405 30.3 35.7 20.4 .296 .467 .341 35.3
2021 4-Seamer 5.8 2 34 6.2 7 .143 .143 .129 15.8 28.6 33.3 .164 .181 .148 20.0
2021 Changeup 0.4 0 32 5.8 9 .111 .444 .222 25.0 11.1 12.5 .210 .575 .321 37.5
2021 Curveball -1.2 0 15 2.7 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 88 84.8 91 15.9 11:30 11:00 30
2023 Curveball 291 76.5 66 11.7 4:15 5:00 -45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 566 90.7 95 17.5 11:45 11:45 0
2023 Sinker 97 90.7 95 18.1 11:45 11:15 30
2023 Slider 243 84.4 59 6.8 1:15 1:00 15
2022 Changeup 52 83.1 96 16.4 11:15 11:00 15
2022 Curveball 219 76.6 67 12.3 4:15 4:45 -30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 412 91.4 95 18.5 11:45 11:45 0
2022 Sinker 418 91.0 94 18.5 11:45 11:00 45
2022 Slider 188 83.5 54 5.6 1:30 2:15 -45
2021 Changeup 32 83.7 95 17.0 11:15 11:00 15
2021 Curveball 15 76.1 54 9.5 4:00 5:00 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 33 91.5 96 17.1 11:45 11:30 15
2021 Sinker 337 91.8 95 18.7 11:45 11:15 30
2021 Slider 128 84.5 58 6.3 1:00 1:30 -30
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 139 552 -3 9 -5 -2 0
2022 355 1,319 -2 11 -8 -4 -3
2023 346 1,296 -7 1 -6 -2 -14
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 552 54.9 69.6 79.6 22.1 65.5 43.8 61.9 48.2 23.3 7.8 86.0
2022 1,295 53.5 66.4 84.3 28.2 53.5 45.2 66.2 48.6 23.8 6.4 75.9
2023 1,296 54.1 68.8 88.0 29.2 63.8 43.5 65.1 50.6 18.3 8.3 75.0
Player 3,143 54.0 67.9 85.0 27.6 59.6 44.3 65.0 49.4 21.4 7.4 77.4
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2021 23 1 100
2022 19 18 9 7 45 39 31 35 45 39 89 33 34 14 2 9 100
2023 22 10 15 23 45 36 29 34 47 12 87 4 54 10 4 4 99
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 25.6 5 5.0 0 4 4 2 40.0
2022 24.6 17 18.9 -2 2 17 5 29.4
2023 21.7 17 15.2 2 4 11 7 41.2
Player 23.4 39 39.1 0 10 32 14 35.9

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 7 4 3 4 6 5 4 5 6 4 5 5 5 6 5 7 6 4 5 4 5 6 5 5
2022 17 16 18 16 18 20 22 14 13 16 19 20 18 21 21 21 20 18 21 19 21 19 22 20 16 16 21 22 20 20 18
2023 17 15 11 14 17 15 16 13 15 12 15 18 16 15 18 17 17 14 16 17 16 15 18 16 13 13 15 15 17 14 13
Player 39 36 33 35 40 40 43 34 32 31 38 44 39 40 44 44 41 37 42 41 43 39 47 42 33 34 40 42 43 39 36
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.8 91.2 -0.6 ↓ 90.7 -0.5 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 83.7 83.1 -0.6 ↓ 84.8 1.7 ↑
Breaking Velocity 83.6 79.8 -3.8 ↓ 80.1 0.3 ↑
Exit Velocity 88.9 89.0 0.1 ↑ 89.6 0.6 ↑
Launch Angle 15.4 17.6 2.2 ↑ 14.8 -2.8 ↓
Barrel % 6.2 8.3 2.1 ↑ 9.0 0.7 ↑
Hard Hit % 37.1 38.5 1.4 ↑ 39.3 0.8 ↑
Sweet Spot % 35.1 37.7 2.6 ↑ 34.1 -3.6 ↓
xBA .246 .262 0.016 ↑ .280 0.018 ↑
BA .262 .263 0.001 ↑ .288 0.025 ↑
xwOBA .292 .331 0.039 ↑ .339 0.008 ↑
wOBA .311 .338 0.027 ↑ .354 0.016 ↑
xSLG .379 .455 0.076 ↑ .467 0.012 ↑
SLG .423 .477 0.054 ↑ .503 0.026 ↑
K% 24.5 21.2 -3.3 ↓ 17.3 -3.9 ↓
BB% 4.3 4.9 0.6 ↑ 5.8 0.9 ↑
Swing % 48.2 48.6 0.4 ↑ 50.6 2.0 ↑
Whiff% 23.3 23.8 0.5 ↑ 18.3 -5.5 ↓
In Zone % 54.9 53.5 -1.4 ↓ 54.1 0.6 ↑
Out of Zone % 45.1 46.5 1.4 ↑ 45.9 -0.6 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 22.1 28.2 6.1 ↑ 29.2 1.0 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 23.7 31.5 7.8 ↑ 33.7 2.2 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 61.9 66.2 4.3 ↑ 65.1 -1.1 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 131 .315 79 8 10.1 52 9 17.3
2022 Shifts 349 .338 275 46 16.7 74 30 40.5
2023 Shades 346 .355 277 28 10.1 69 21 30.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 175 19.3 1.1% 1.7% 82 21.8 0.0% 3.7%
2022 384 19.7 1.6% 1.8% 188 23.0 0.0% 5.3%
2023 369 15.5 40.4% 0.0% 187 19.0 1.6% 0.5%
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Pitch Distribution

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