Aaron Nola
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 200LBS | Age: 28

Draft: 2014 | Rd: 1, #7, Philadelphia Phillies | Louisiana State
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 4 3.64 8 8 0 47.0 55 0.98
8 Seasons 68 53 3.67 179 179 0 1070.1 1200 1.15
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 8 1-4 3.64 47.0 55 0.98
8 Seasons 179 68-53 3.67 1070.1 1200 1.15

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 22 1117 229 11 4.8 3.5 88.5 111.7 9.4 31.4 .241 .388 .305 .301 .359 33.2 21.4 6.0 3.59 3.72
2016 23 1796 327 12 3.7 2.5 87.2 115.4 6.0 30.0 .243 .360 .306 .286 .354 31.8 25.1 6.0 4.78 3.43
2017 24 2665 458 23 5 3.3 85.7 115.3 9.0 33.4 .224 .358 .293 .278 .345 31.0 26.6 7.1 3.54 3.27
2018 25 3212 542 25 4.6 3 87.1 112.0 9.1 27.9 .202 .315 .251 .258 .316 31.2 27.0 7.0 2.37 2.77
2019 26 3332 532 36 6.8 4.2 89.2 113.3 9.2 32.9 .235 .395 .304 .310 .381 39.5 26.9 9.4 3.87 4.23
2020 27 1148 168 9 5.4 3.1 88.3 114.4 8.6 34.5 .223 .355 .272 .284 .389 38.1 33.2 8.0 3.28 3.35
2021 28 2971 478 34 7.1 4.5 88.9 116.0 14.4 33.3 .223 .378 .297 .283 .375 37.4 29.8 5.2 4.63 3.35
2022 29 727 117 10 8.5 5.4 89.0 110.9 9.8 23.1 .211 .380 .294 .279 .365 35.0 29.7 4.9 3.64 2.67
Player 16968 2851 160 5.6 3.6 87.9 116.0 9.7 31.3 .224 .363 .289 .284 .357 34.5 27.3 7.0
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.3 169.8 12.0 32.9 .246 .408 .317 .316 .369 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nola relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(30.9%) ,
Curveball
(26.1%) ,
Sinker
(20.1%) ,
Changeup
(17.1%) ,
Cutter
(5.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2022 4-Seam Fastball 225 101 124 30.9 92.3 42 35 4 3 1 0 0 14 22 .114 .112 .143 .212 .200 .218 88.2 30 2238 7.0 17.4 19.7
2022 Curveball 190 85 105 26.1 78.3 48 47 11 5 4 0 2 18 29 .234 .221 .447 .423 .304 .278 90.3 4 2531 6.9 38.8 25.4
2022 Sinker 146 80 66 20.1 91.7 48 43 8 4 2 0 2 15 28 .186 .228 .372 .412 .289 .311 87.2 9 2147 7.0 11.7 37.5
2022 Changeup 124 55 69 17.1 85.5 37 36 12 9 1 0 2 8 28 .333 .272 .528 .410 .387 .301 89.0 -4 1441 6.8 32.9 18.6
2022 Cutter 42 26 16 5.8 86.6 10 10 2 1 0 0 1 0 10 .200 .220 .500 .523 .302 .304 85.8 21 2131 7.0 13.0 0.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,115 555 560 37.5 92.9 225 204 54 35 7 1 11 53 152 .265 .257 .471 .522 .344 .359 90.7 23 2198 6.9 22.4 19.8
2021 Curveball 801 392 409 27.0 78.5 232 222 47 24 13 0 10 91 134 .212 .189 .405 .313 .270 .229 86.5 11 2529 6.7 36.2 29.0
2021 Changeup 589 288 301 19.8 85.2 164 154 37 26 6 2 3 43 111 .240 .235 .364 .336 .283 .274 87.6 4 1511 6.7 32.4 20.7
2021 Sinker 420 187 233 14.1 92.0 114 104 25 19 2 2 2 36 69 .240 .211 .356 .301 .289 .258 89.5 16 2137 6.9 16.4 21.3
2021 Cutter 46 13 33 1.5 86.7 13 12 2 1 1 0 0 0 12 .167 .230 .250 .323 .216 .271 81.9 9 2179 6.8 14.8 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 49.8 18.3 28.4 3.5 42.4 35.4 22.3 1.7 37.1 20.1 25.3 5.7 4.8 3.5
2016 56.9 14.1 24.8 4.3 41.3 36.4 22.3 4.6 40.4 16.5 27.5 4.3 3.7 2.5
2017 50.4 21.8 23.1 4.6 34.3 42.1 23.4 6.3 35.6 23.1 25.1 4.4 5.0 3.3
2018 52.4 17.7 22.9 7.0 39.5 38.9 21.6 3.7 40.4 23.1 22.0 4.4 4.6 3.0
2019 50.9 20.7 23.5 4.9 40.4 38.9 20.7 3.0 37.2 18.8 26.7 6.8 6.8 4.2
2020 49.4 16.7 26.2 7.7 35.7 39.9 24.4 4.8 38.1 20.2 25.0 6.0 5.4 3.1
2021 41.6 27.0 24.1 7.3 42.1 35.8 22.2 3.6 27.4 29.1 27.2 5.4 7.1 4.5
2022 52.1 26.5 16.2 5.1 43.6 31.6 24.8 3.4 37.6 22.2 22.2 5.1 8.5 5.4
Player 50.1 20.4 23.8 5.6 39.6 38.1 22.2 4.0 36.3 22.1 25.3 5.2 5.6 3.6
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Curveball PHI R 190 78.3 55.8 3.9 8 14.5 1.7 13
2022 Cutter PHI R 42 86.6 28.0 0.9 3 0.3 -2.5 -112
2022 Sinker PHI R 146 91.7 23.4 -1.3 -5 17.4 1.7 11
2022 4-Seamer PHI R 225 92.3 17.0 -0.5 -3 13.1 4.7 57
2022 Changeup PHI R 124 85.5 34.9 -0.5 -1 15.5 1.1 8
2021 Sinker PHI R 420 92.0 23.5 -0.9 -4 17.5 2.1 14
2021 Curveball PHI R 801 78.5 55.1 2.8 5 14.6 1.9 15
2021 4-Seamer PHI R 1,115 92.9 17.6 -1.0 -6 13.3 5.2 64
2021 Cutter PHI R 46 86.7 28.7 0.4 1 1.0 -1.3 -56
2021 Changeup PHI R 589 85.2 35.6 0.4 1 15.0 0.5 3
2020 4-Seamer PHI R 280 92.8 18.0 -1.1 -7 13.8 5.6 69
2020 Sinker PHI R 248 91.8 24.2 -0.3 -1 17.4 2.5 17
2020 Changeup PHI R 314 84.9 35.5 0.5 1 14.5 0.4 3
2020 Curveball PHI R 306 78.6 54.8 3.5 7 15.1 1.6 12
2019 Curveball PHI R 1,174 79.1 55.1 2.8 5 14.9 1.8 14
2019 4-Seamer PHI R 1,180 93.1 18.2 -0.7 -4 12.9 4.3 49
2019 Changeup PHI R 618 85.8 33.2 -0.1 0 14.9 -0.3 -2
2019 Sinker PHI R 359 92.2 24.0 0.3 1 16.6 1.9 13
2018 Changeup PHI R 635 84.8 36.1 1.5 4 14.7 0.0 0
2018 Sinker PHI R 413 91.4 25.2 1.1 5 17.0 2.4 17
2018 4-Seamer PHI R 1,171 92.7 18.9 -1.6 -9 12.6 4.1 49
2018 Curveball PHI R 992 78.0 56.1 2.2 4 16.4 3.3 25
2017 Sinker PHI R 564 91.4 24.2 0.8 3 15.1 -0.2 -1
2017 Changeup PHI R 414 83.8 35.9 2.7 8 12.8 -1.5 -10
2017 4-Seamer PHI R 864 92.3 18.1 -1.2 -7 10.4 1.3 15
2017 Curveball PHI R 820 77.4 54.8 1.8 3 19.2 6.9 56
2016 Curveball PHI R 602 76.8 54.0 0.3 1 14.9 4.0 36
2016 Changeup PHI R 153 82.3 37.8 3.0 9 16.1 2.0 14
2016 4-Seamer PHI R 183 90.9 18.7 -0.6 -4 13.5 3.7 38
2016 Sinker PHI R 847 90.6 24.8 0.5 2 19.1 3.2 20
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -1.8 -4 225 30.9 42 .114 .143 .199 17.4 33.3 19.7 .112 .212 .218 31.8
2022 Curveball 0.7 1 190 26.1 48 .234 .447 .296 38.8 37.5 25.4 .221 .423 .277 37.9
2022 Sinker -1.2 -2 146 20.1 48 .186 .372 .283 11.7 31.3 37.5 .228 .412 .312 32.1
2022 Changeup 3.3 4 124 17.1 37 .333 .528 .390 32.9 21.6 18.6 .272 .410 .301 42.9
2022 Cutter 0.5 0 42 5.8 10 .200 .500 .290 13.0 0.0 0.0 .220 .523 .304 20.0
2021 4-Seamer -0.4 -4 1,115 37.5 225 .265 .471 .352 22.4 23.6 19.8 .257 .522 .360 45.4
2021 Curveball -0.6 -5 801 27.0 232 .212 .405 .277 36.2 39.2 29.0 .189 .313 .228 29.9
2021 Changeup 0.9 6 589 19.8 164 .240 .364 .315 32.4 26.2 20.7 .235 .336 .274 36.9
2021 Sinker 0.6 3 420 14.1 114 .240 .356 .293 16.4 31.6 21.3 .211 .301 .258 37.7
2021 Cutter -1.2 -1 46 1.5 13 .167 .250 .288 14.8 0.0 0.0 .230 .323 .271 25.0
2020 Changeup -0.5 -1 314 27.4 75 .225 .296 .268 36.0 30.7 23.5 .231 .263 .246 25.0
2020 Curveball -1.6 -5 306 26.7 99 .187 .396 .281 41.8 48.5 41.0 .179 .339 .257 39.5
2020 4-Seamer -1.7 -5 280 24.4 55 .137 .333 .248 30.2 25.5 26.9 .216 .440 .304 45.9
2020 Sinker 0.9 2 248 21.6 58 .280 .380 .348 3.4 19.0 13.8 .297 .427 .358 45.0
2019 4-Seamer 0.2 3 1,180 35.4 252 .269 .509 .394 19.1 21.8 19.4 .260 .486 .369 44.7
2019 Curveball -1.6 -19 1,174 35.2 330 .201 .328 .269 34.1 33.0 26.7 .214 .343 .275 34.7
2019 Changeup -0.8 -5 618 18.5 155 .204 .345 .286 30.7 23.9 22.6 .213 .346 .275 33.3
2019 Sinker 0.3 1 359 10.8 112 .294 .412 .336 9.0 25.0 20.7 .277 .424 .335 49.3
2018 4-Seamer -1.4 -16 1,171 36.5 272 .216 .336 .282 18.7 20.6 15.1 .245 .410 .318 31.9
2018 Curveball -2.7 -27 992 30.9 260 .155 .249 .202 40.5 41.5 32.5 .146 .213 .181 26.4
2018 Changeup -0.4 -3 636 19.8 184 .240 .404 .318 29.7 20.1 20.0 .231 .343 .280 33.3
2018 Sinker -1.5 -6 413 12.9 112 .182 .242 .261 14.6 20.5 20.9 .187 .290 .263 34.2
2017 4-Seamer -0.3 -3 865 32.5 190 .230 .448 .349 20.9 26.3 20.9 .218 .390 .318 39.1
2017 Curveball -2.7 -22 820 30.8 238 .172 .258 .192 38.3 39.5 29.2 .174 .250 .187 20.6
2017 Sinker 0.2 1 564 21.2 162 .315 .497 .394 7.5 15.4 20.0 .279 .482 .351 37.1
2017 Changeup -0.1 0 414 15.5 101 .312 .398 .342 30.1 14.9 17.6 .267 .372 .307 28.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 302 84.9 99 15.5 2:30 3:00 -30
2020 Curveball 297 78.6 86 20.5 7:45 7:45 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 262 92.8 98 19.4 1:45 1:30 15
2020 Sinker 234 91.8 96 19.6 1:45 2:15 -30
2021 Changeup 587 85.2 99 16.1 2:30 3:00 -30
2021 Curveball 795 78.5 87 20.1 7:45 7:45 0
2021 Cutter 46 86.7 47 6.7 1:00 11:45 75
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,114 92.9 97 19.3 1:30 1:30 0
2021 Sinker 419 92.1 96 19.9 1:30 2:15 -45
2022 Changeup 119 85.5 99 16.6 2:30 2:45 -15
2022 Curveball 190 78.3 84 20.4 7:45 7:30 15
2022 Cutter 42 86.6 53 7.3 1:15 12:00 75
2022 4-Seam Fastball 225 92.3 96 20.0 1:30 1:30 0
2022 Sinker 146 91.7 95 20.0 1:30 2:15 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 317 1,111 -7 -9 8 4 -4
2016 480 1,789 4 -18 7 8 2
2017 691 2,663 -22 -26 16 8 -24
2018 828 3,212 -28 -47 15 9 -51
2019 849 3,331 -9 -35 11 14 -20
2020 287 1,148 -3 -11 2 4 -9
2021 748 2,971 -8 -22 18 10 -1
2022 185 727 -4 -3 5 1 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,117 49.1 59.5 83.4 29.7 63.9 44.7 64.2 44.3 21.0 7.3 67.9
2016 1,796 49.1 55.3 83.0 29.8 59.9 44.8 60.7 42.3 24.3 5.8 51.9
2017 2,665 51.4 61.5 78.8 27.9 57.3 45.7 64.4 45.2 26.1 7.6 66.8
2018 3,212 51.8 64.1 77.6 29.8 57.1 45.1 69.5 47.6 27.5 7.9 71.8
2019 3,332 46.2 58.8 83.1 32.3 56.8 44.6 62.4 44.6 26.5 5.8 67.7
2020 1,148 44.0 60.6 79.1 36.5 54.9 46.0 64.4 47.1 31.2 5.4 66.1
2021 2,971 51.4 66.5 79.0 30.8 54.2 45.1 66.6 49.2 27.9 7.5 73.0
2022 727 51.9 63.4 80.3 30.6 60.7 45.7 68.6 47.6 25.4 7.0 72.5
Player 16,968 49.6 61.7 80.1 30.7 57.3 45.1 65.1 46.1 26.6 6.9 68.2
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 59 53 47 42 68 59 55 34 48 58 73 34 59 29 15 79
2016 78 57 73 82 73 61 89 82 71 77 79 61 78 21 9 62
2017 82 77 76 73 87 28 68 85 68 79 71 64 82 37 17 61
2018 94 88 89 87 93 28 83 81 82 76 69 69 94 46 21 61
2019 53 58 59 60 47 10 53 33 23 72 30 59 53 48 27 58
2020 75 66 70 71 74 28 70 51 45 91 57 78 75 43 24 47
2021 80 70 62 54 89 13 59 48 60 86 92 65 80 37 37 60
2022 84 84 72 50 89 6 37 47 70 85 84 48 84 25 40 58
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.3 27 24.5 3.0 9 18 11 40.7
2020 23.2 9 9.0 0.0 1 5 5 55.6
2021 23.6 26 23.5 3.0 15 17 9 34.6
2022 21.8 7 6.3 1.0 3 5 2 28.6

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 27 23 29 24 26 24 24 28 26 26 29 24 19 21 22 27 22 30 21 28 17 22 22 27 23 28 26 23 26 21 27
2020 9 10 10 10 10 9 0 10 8 8 8 10 8 6 9 10 7 10 9 9 7 9 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 8 10
2021 26 26 25 23 27 22 24 25 18 27 31 27 15 17 21 26 18 28 21 26 11 22 23 26 24 29 24 23 26 20 30
2022 7 6 6 6 7 6 6 5 6 8 8 7 4 5 6 7 5 8 4 6 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 6 8 6 7
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.1 90.7 -0.4 91.9 1.2 92.4 0.5 92.8 0.4 92.3 -0.5 92.5 0.2 91.5 -1
Offspeed Velocity 82.7 82.3 -0.4 83.8 1.5 84.8 1 85.8 1 84.9 -0.9 85.2 0.3 85.5 0.3
Breaking Velocity 77.1 76.8 -0.3 77.4 0.6 78 0.6 79.1 1.1 78.6 -0.5 78.5 -0.1 78.3 -0.2
Exit Velocity 88.5 87.2 -1.3 85.7 -1.5 87.1 1.4 89.2 2.1 88.3 -0.9 88.9 0.6 89 0.1
Launch Angle 9.4 6 -3.4 9 3 9.1 0.1 9.2 0.1 8.6 -0.6 14.4 5.8 9.8 -4.6
Barrel % 4.8 3.7 -1.1 5 1.3 4.6 -0.4 6.8 2.2 5.4 -1.4 7.1 1.7 8.5 1.4
Hard Hit % 33.2 31.8 -1.4 31 -0.8 31.2 0.2 39.5 8.3 38.1 -1.4 37.4 -0.7 35 -2.4
Sweet Spot % 31.4 30 -1.4 33.4 3.4 27.9 -5.5 32.9 5 34.5 1.6 33.3 -1.2 23.1 -10.2
xBA .241 .243 0.002 .224 -0.019 .202 -0.022 .235 0.033 .223 -0.012 .223 0 .211 -0.012
BA .251 .264 0.013 .241 -0.023 .197 -0.044 .233 0.036 .205 -0.028 .237 0.032 .216 -0.021
xwOBA .301 .286 -0.015 .278 -0.008 .258 -0.02 .31 0.052 .284 -0.026 .283 -0.001 .279 -0.004
wOBA .305 .306 0.001 .293 -0.013 .251 -0.042 .304 0.053 .272 -0.032 .297 0.025 .294 -0.003
xSLG .388 .36 -0.028 .358 -0.002 .315 -0.043 .395 0.08 .355 -0.04 .378 0.023 .38 0.002
SLG .403 .396 -0.007 .383 -0.013 .311 -0.072 .393 0.082 .354 -0.039 .405 0.051 .386 -0.019
K% 21.4 25.1 3.7 26.6 1.5 27 0.4 26.9 -0.1 33.2 6.3 29.8 -3.4 29.7 -0.1
BB% 6 6 0 7.1 1.1 7 -0.1 9.4 2.4 8 -1.4 5.2 -2.8 4.9 -0.3
Swing % 44.3 42.3 -2 45.2 2.9 47.6 2.4 44.6 -3 47.1 2.5 49.2 2.1 47.6 -1.6
Whiff% 21 24.3 3.3 26.1 1.8 27.5 1.4 26.5 -1 31.2 4.7 27.9 -3.3 25.4 -2.5
In Zone % 49.1 49.1 0 51.4 2.3 51.8 0.4 46.2 -5.6 44 -2.2 51.4 7.4 51.9 0.5
Out of Zone % 50.9 50.9 0 48.6 -2.3 48.2 -0.4 53.8 5.6 56 2.2 48.6 -7.4 48.1 -0.5
Out of Zone Swing % 29.7 29.8 0.1 27.9 -1.9 29.8 1.9 32.3 2.5 36.5 4.2 30.8 -5.7 30.6 -0.2
First Pitch Swing % 28.6 23.4 -5.2 27.1 3.7 30.7 3.6 30.4 -0.3 28.4 -2 33.4 5 33 -0.4
First Pitch Strike % 64.2 60.7 -3.5 64.4 3.7 69.5 5.1 62.4 -7.1 64.4 2 66.6 2.2 68.6 2
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 473 .305 250 15 6.0 223 22 9.9
2017 691 .293 359 29 8.1 332 57 17.2
2018 828 .251 412 39 9.5 416 180 43.3
2019 849 .304 474 24 5.1 375 140 37.3
2020 286 .272 150 42 28.0 136 56 41.2
2021 742 .297 375 38 10.1 367 115 31.3
2022 185 .294 96 33 34.4 89 73 82.0

Pitch Distribution