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Aaron Nola
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 200LBS | Age: 28

Draft: 2014 | Rd: 1, #7, Philadelphia Phillies | Louisiana State
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 7 6 4.37 20 20 0 115.1 140 1.17
7 Seasons 65 46 3.58 159 159 0 958.0 1062 1.16
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 20 7-6 4.37 115.1 140 1.17
7 Seasons 159 65-46 3.58 958.0 1062 1.16

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 22 1117 229 11 4.8 88.5 111.7 9.4 31.4 .232 .374 .305 .290 .342 34.4 21.4 6 3.59 3.61
2016 23 1796 327 12 3.7 87.2 115.4 6 30 .240 .355 .306 .283 .348 32 25.1 6 4.78 3.45
2017 24 2665 458 23 5 85.7 115.3 9 33.4 .224 .358 .293 .278 .345 31 26.6 7.1 3.54 3.34
2018 25 3212 542 25 4.6 87.1 112 9.1 27.9 .201 .313 .251 .257 .313 31.2 27 7 2.37 2.78
2019 26 3332 532 36 6.8 89.2 113.3 9.2 32.9 .235 .394 .304 .310 .380 39.5 26.9 9.4 3.87 4.32
2020 27 1148 168 9 5.4 88.3 114.4 8.6 34.5 .222 .353 .272 .282 .387 38.1 33.2 8 3.28 3.35
2021 28 1894 312 23 7.4 88.8 116 13.2 34.9 .236 .402 .310 .299 .397 37.5 29 5 4.37 3.76
15164 2568 139 5.4 87.7 116 9.2 31.8 .225 .362 .290 .285 .355 34.5 26.9 7.1
6.5 88.3 122.2 12 32.8 .243 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.4 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nola relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(39.5%) ,
Curveball
(27.3%) ,
Changeup
(21.6%) ,
Sinker
(10.1%) ,
Cutter
(1.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 748 373 375 39.5 92.7 151 137 39 23 6 1 9 35 103 .285 .268 .540 .559 .377 .378 91.0 20 2163 6.9 23.1 19.7
2021 Curveball 517 262 255 27.3 78.4 143 135 26 11 9 0 6 55 83 .193 .198 .393 .327 .258 .243 85.3 11 2515 6.7 36.9 27.8
2021 Changeup 410 202 208 21.6 85.0 122 117 31 21 6 1 3 32 85 .265 .243 .410 .356 .304 .278 87.9 3 1505 6.7 31.0 21.3
2021 Sinker 192 111 81 10.1 91.5 55 50 13 12 1 0 0 18 32 .260 .234 .280 .291 .279 .274 89.3 14 2086 6.9 18.8 20.5
2021 Cutter 27 8 19 1.4 86.5 10 9 2 1 1 0 0 0 9 .222 .266 .333 .347 .282 .307 81.3 11 2175 6.8 12.5 0.0
2020 Changeup 314 164 150 27.4 84.9 75 71 16 11 5 0 0 23 48 .225 .227 .296 .259 .249 .242 82.5 -6 1518 6.8 36.0 23.5
2020 Curveball 306 156 150 26.7 78.6 99 91 17 8 4 0 5 48 43 .187 .179 .396 .339 .278 .257 88.9 12 2499 6.8 41.8 41.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 290 115 175 25.3 92.8 56 52 7 3 1 0 3 14 38 .135 .213 .327 .433 .225 .300 91.1 26 2184 7.0 29.2 25.9
2020 Sinker 238 148 90 20.7 91.7 57 49 14 11 2 0 1 11 39 .286 .301 .388 .433 .335 .363 90.3 5 2097 7.0 3.6 14.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 49.8 18.3 28.4 3.5 42.4 35.4 22.3 1.7 37.1 20.1 25.3 5.7 4.8
2016 56.9 14.1 24.8 4.3 41.3 36.4 22.3 4.6 40.4 16.5 27.5 4.3 3.7
2017 50.4 21.8 23.1 4.6 34.5 42.1 23.4 6.3 35.6 23.1 25.1 4.4 5
2018 52.4 17.7 22.9 7 39.5 38.9 21.6 3.7 40.4 23.1 22 4.4 4.6
2019 50.9 20.7 23.5 4.9 40.4 38.9 20.7 3 37.2 18.8 26.7 6.8 6.8
2020 49.4 13.7 29.2 7.7 35.7 39.9 24.4 4.8 38.1 20.2 25 6 5.4
2021 40.7 27.9 25 6.4 41.3 37.5 21.2 3.8 27.6 26.9 28.5 5.4 7.4
50.5 19.6 24.5 5.5 39.3 38.7 22 4 36.9 21.4 25.5 5.2 5.4
45.2 22.3 25.5 7.1 36.6 37.9 25.5 3.7 33.3 24.3 24.5 5.6 6.5

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Curveball PHI R 517 78.4 55.3 3 6 14.7 2.1 16
2021 Cutter PHI R 27 86.5 28.2 1.1 4 1 -1.2 -54
2021 Changeup PHI R 410 85 36.1 0.8 2 14.9 0.1 1
2021 Sinker PHI R 192 91.5 24.1 0.3 1 17.2 1.9 12
2021 4-Seamer PHI R 748 92.7 17.9 -1.5 -9 12.9 5.1 66
2020 Curveball PHI R 306 78.6 54.8 4.1 8 15.1 2 15
2020 4-Seamer PHI R 290 92.8 18.1 -1.3 -8 13.9 5.6 67
2020 Sinker PHI R 238 91.7 24.4 -0.7 -3 17.4 2.4 16
2020 Changeup PHI R 314 84.9 35.5 0.5 1 14.5 0.4 3
2019 Sinker PHI R 359 92.2 24 -0.3 -1 16.6 1.6 11
2019 4-Seamer PHI R 1180 93.1 18.2 -0.9 -5 12.9 4.2 48
2019 Curveball PHI R 1174 79.1 55.1 2.9 6 14.9 1.8 14
2019 Changeup PHI R 618 85.8 33.2 -0.1 0 14.9 -0.3 -2
2018 4-Seamer PHI R 1171 92.7 18.9 -1.8 -10 12.6 4.1 48
2018 Changeup PHI R 635 84.8 36.1 1.5 4 14.7 0 0
2018 Sinker PHI R 413 91.4 25.2 0.3 1 17 2 14
2018 Curveball PHI R 992 78 56.1 2.2 4 16.4 3.3 25
2017 4-Seamer PHI R 864 92.3 18.1 -1.3 -8 10.4 1.3 15
2017 Curveball PHI R 820 77.4 54.8 1.8 3 19.2 6.9 56
2017 Changeup PHI R 414 83.8 35.9 2.7 8 12.8 -1.5 -10
2017 Sinker PHI R 564 91.4 24.2 0.5 2 15.1 -0.4 -3
2016 Curveball PHI R 602 76.8 54 0.3 1 14.9 4 36
2016 4-Seamer PHI R 183 90.9 18.7 -0.6 -4 13.5 3.7 38
2016 Changeup PHI R 153 82.3 37.8 3 9 16.1 2 14
2016 Sinker PHI R 847 90.6 24.8 0.5 2 19.1 3.2 20
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Cutter 0.8 0 27 1.4 10 .222 .333 .375 12.5 0 0 .266 .347 .308 22.2
2021 Sinker 0.1 0 192 10.1 55 .26 .28 .283 18.8 32.7 20.5 .234 .291 .273 34.4
2021 Changeup 1.5 6 410 21.6 122 .265 .41 .337 31 26.2 21.3 .243 .356 .278 37.6
2021 Curveball -1.2 -6 517 27.3 143 .193 .393 .264 36.9 38.5 27.8 .198 .327 .242 28.9
2021 4-Seamer -0.4 -3 748 39.5 151 .285 .54 .379 23.1 23.2 19.7 .268 .559 .379 46.6
2020 4-Seamer -1.8 -5 290 25.3 56 .135 .327 .244 29.2 25 25.9 .213 .433 .3 44.7
2020 Sinker 1.2 3 238 20.7 57 .286 .388 .354 3.6 19.3 14.1 .301 .433 .362 46.2
2020 Changeup -0.7 -2 314 27.4 75 .225 .296 .253 36 30.7 23.5 .227 .259 .242 25
2020 Curveball -1.6 -5 306 26.7 99 .187 .396 .281 41.8 48.5 41 .179 .339 .257 39.5
2019 Sinker 0.3 1 359 10.8 112 .294 .412 .336 9 25 20.7 .277 .424 .335 49.3
2019 Changeup -0.7 -4 618 18.5 155 .204 .345 .286 30.7 23.9 22.6 .213 .346 .275 33.3
2019 4-Seamer 0.2 2 1180 35.4 252 .269 .509 .389 19.1 21.8 19.4 .258 .483 .367 44.7
2019 Curveball -1.5 -18 1174 35.2 330 .201 .328 .269 34.1 33 26.7 .214 .343 .275 34.7
2018 Sinker -1.4 -6 413 12.9 112 .182 .242 .261 14.6 20.5 20.9 .187 .29 .264 34.2
2018 Changeup -0.3 -2 636 19.8 184 .24 .404 .317 29.7 20.1 20 .227 .337 .276 33.3
2018 Curveball -2.6 -26 992 30.9 260 .155 .249 .202 40.5 41.5 32.5 .146 .212 .181 26.4
2018 4-Seamer -1.3 -15 1171 36.5 272 .216 .336 .28 18.7 20.6 15.1 .243 .407 .316 31.9
2017 Changeup 0 0 414 15.5 101 .312 .398 .342 30.1 14.9 17.6 .267 .372 .307 28.2
2017 Sinker 0.3 2 564 21.2 162 .315 .497 .394 7.5 15.4 20 .279 .482 .351 37.1
2017 4-Seamer -0.3 -2 865 32.5 190 .23 .448 .349 20.9 26.3 20.9 .218 .39 .318 39.1
2017 Curveball -2.7 -22 820 30.8 238 .172 .258 .192 38.3 39.5 29.2 .174 .25 .187 20.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 302 84.9 99 15.5 2:30 3:00 -30
2020 Curveball 297 78.6 86 20.5 7:45 7:45 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 270 92.8 98 19.4 1:45 1:30 15
2020 Sinker 225 91.8 96 19.6 1:45 2:15 -30
2021 Changeup 409 85 99 15.9 2:30 3:00 -30
2021 Curveball 512 78.4 87 20.3 7:45 7:45 0
2021 Cutter 27 86.5 48 7.4 12:45 11:45 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 747 92.7 97 18.9 1:30 1:30 0
2021 Sinker 191 91.5 96 19.4 1:30 2:15 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 305 1067 -6 -9 8 4 -3
2016 478 1786 3 -17 7 8 1
2017 691 2663 -21 -25 16 8 -22
2018 828 3212 -27 -46 15 9 -49
2019 849 3331 -10 -34 11 14 -19
2020 287 1148 -3 -11 1 4 -9
2021 481 1894 -8 -13 11 7 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1117 48.6 60.3 84.1 29.9 64.2 44.5 64.2 44.3 21 7.3 67.9
2016 1796 49.2 55.3 83 29.6 59.6 44.8 60.7 42.3 24.3 5.8 51.9
2017 2665 51.4 61.5 78.8 27.9 57.3 45.7 64.4 45.2 26.1 7.6 66.8
2018 3212 51.8 64.1 77.6 29.8 57.1 45.1 69.4 47.6 27.5 7.9 71.8
2019 3332 46.2 58.8 83.1 32.3 56.8 44.6 62.3 44.6 26.5 5.8 67.7
2020 1148 44 60.6 79.1 36.5 54.9 46 64.4 47.1 31.2 5.4 66.1
2021 1894 51.2 66.7 79.1 32.3 52.8 44.3 67.8 49.9 28.4 7.1 71.6
15164 49.3 61.3 80.2 30.9 57.1 45 64.9 45.9 26.6 6.8 67.4
48.5 66.7 82.1 28.3 58.6 42.6 60.6 46.9 24.5 7.2 75.9

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 64 57 52 46 73 59 55 34 42 58 73 34 64 28 15 83
2016 78 55 73 82 71 61 89 82 73 77 79 61 78 19 9 65
2017 80 76 75 72 86 28 68 85 68 79 71 64 80 38 18 63
2018 94 88 88 87 94 28 83 82 82 76 69 69 94 46 21 62
2019 49 56 57 58 43 10 53 33 23 72 30 59 49 48 27 62
2020 76 66 69 70 75 28 70 51 45 91 57 78 76 42 22 49
2021 61 50 44 39 82 13 54 51 58 79 92 64 61 34 28 58
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.3 27 23.9 3 8 16 12 44.4
2020 23.2 9 8.9 0 1 6 4 44.4
2021 23.6 18 16.8 1 11 9 9 50

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 27 24 29 27 27 20 23 28 25 25 28 23 17 20 23 27 22 23 21 26 18 21 22 27 23 27 25 24 26 21 26
2020 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 10 8 8 8 10 7 6 9 9 6 10 9 9 7 9 10 9 10 9 10 9 9 8 10
2021 18 18 21 17 19 17 16 17 17 20 21 18 11 13 16 18 15 17 14 17 12 16 17 17 16 20 17 16 19 15 18
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91 90.7 -0.3 91.9 1.2 92.4 0.5 92.8 0.4 92.3 -0.5 92.3 0
Offspeed Velocity 82.7 82.3 -0.4 83.8 1.5 84.8 1 85.8 1 84.9 -0.9 85 0.1
Breaking Velocity 77.1 76.8 -0.3 77.4 0.6 78 0.6 79.1 1.1 78.6 -0.5 78.4 -0.2
Exit Velocity 88.5 87.2 -1.3 85.7 -1.5 87.1 1.4 89.2 2.1 88.3 -0.9 88.8 0.5
Launch Angle 9.4 6 -3.4 9 3 9.1 0.1 9.2 0.1 8.6 -0.6 13.2 4.6
Barrel % 4.8 3.7 -1.1 5 1.3 4.6 -0.4 6.8 2.2 5.4 -1.4 7.4 2
Hard Hit % 34.4 32 -2.4 31 -1 31.2 0.2 39.5 8.3 38.1 -1.4 37.5 -0.6
Sweet Spot % 31.4 30 -1.4 33.4 3.4 27.9 -5.5 32.9 5 34.5 1.6 34.9 0.4
xBA .232 .24 0.008 .224 -0.016 .201 -0.023 .235 0.034 .222 -0.013 .236 0.014
BA .251 .264 0.013 .241 -0.023 .197 -0.044 .233 0.036 .205 -0.028 .248 0.043
xwOBA .29 .283 -0.007 .278 -0.005 .257 -0.021 .31 0.053 .282 -0.028 .299 0.017
wOBA .305 .306 0.001 .293 -0.013 .251 -0.042 .304 0.053 .272 -0.032 .31 0.038
xSLG .374 .355 -0.019 .358 0.003 .313 -0.045 .394 0.081 .353 -0.041 .402 0.049
SLG .403 .396 -0.007 .383 -0.013 .311 -0.072 .393 0.082 .354 -0.039 .429 0.075
K% 21.4 25.1 3.7 26.6 1.5 27 0.4 26.9 -0.1 33.2 6.3 29 -4.2
BB% 6 6 0 7.1 1.1 7 -0.1 9.4 2.4 8 -1.4 5 -3
Swing % 44.3 42.3 -2 45.2 2.9 47.6 2.4 44.6 -3 47.1 2.5 49.9 2.8
Whiff% 21 24.3 3.3 26.1 1.8 27.5 1.4 26.5 -1 31.2 4.7 28.4 -2.8
In Zone % 48.6 49.2 0.6 51.4 2.2 51.8 0.4 46.2 -5.6 44 -2.2 51.2 7.2
Out of Zone % 51.4 50.8 -0.6 48.6 -2.2 48.2 -0.4 53.8 5.6 56 2.2 48.8 -7.2
Out of Zone Swing % 29.9 29.6 -0.3 27.9 -1.7 29.8 1.9 32.3 2.5 36.5 4.2 32.3 -4.2
First Pitch Swing % 28.6 23.4 -5.2 27.1 3.7 30.7 3.6 30.4 -0.3 28.4 -2 33.6 5.2
First Pitch Strike % 64.2 60.7 -3.5 64.4 3.7 69.4 5 62.3 -7.1 64.4 2.1 67.8 3.4
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 473 .305 250 15 6.0 223 22 9.9
2017 691 .293 359 29 8.1 332 57 17.2
2018 828 .251 412 39 9.5 416 180 43.3
2019 849 .304 474 24 5.1 375 140 37.3
2020 286 .272 150 42 28.0 136 56 41.2
2021 475 .310 250 33 13.2 225 56 24.9

Pitch Distribution