Aaron Nola
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 200LBS | Age: 29

Draft: 2014 | Rd: 1, #7, Philadelphia Phillies | Louisiana State

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 10 12 3.28 30 30 0 192.1 218 0.99
8 Seasons 77 61 3.61 201 201 0 1215.2 1363 1.13
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 30 10-12 3.28 192.1 218 0.99
8 Seasons 201 77-61 3.61 1215.2 1363 1.13

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 22 1117 229 11 4.8 3.5 88.5 111.7 9.4 31.4 .241 .388 .305 .301 .359 33.2 21.4 6.0 3.59 3.74
2016 23 1796 327 12 3.7 2.5 87.2 115.4 6.0 30.0 .243 .360 .306 .286 .354 31.8 25.1 6.0 4.78 3.43
2017 24 2665 458 23 5 3.3 85.7 115.3 9.0 33.4 .224 .360 .293 .279 .347 31.0 26.6 7.1 3.54 3.30
2018 25 3212 542 25 4.6 3 87.1 112.0 9.1 27.9 .202 .315 .251 .258 .316 31.2 27.0 7.0 2.37 2.77
2019 26 3332 532 36 6.8 4.2 89.2 113.3 9.2 32.9 .235 .395 .304 .310 .381 39.5 26.9 9.4 3.87 4.23
2020 27 1148 168 9 5.4 3.1 88.3 114.4 8.6 34.5 .223 .355 .272 .284 .389 38.1 33.2 8.0 3.28 3.37
2021 28 2971 478 34 7.1 4.5 88.9 116.0 14.4 33.3 .223 .378 .297 .283 .375 37.4 29.8 5.2 4.63 3.35
2022 29 2856 505 36 7.1 4.7 87.6 112.0 12.6 34.3 .213 .343 .270 .261 .344 31.5 28.7 3.8 3.28 2.79
Player 19097 3239 186 5.7 3.7 87.8 116.0 10.1 32.1 .223 .360 .286 .281 .355 34.1 27.4 6.6
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 32.8 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nola relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(33.2%) ,
Curveball
(26.5%) ,
Sinker
(19.2%) ,
Changeup
(14.9%) ,
Cutter
(6.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 49.8 18.3 28.4 3.5 42.4 35.4 22.3 1.7 37.1 20.1 25.3 5.7 4.8 3.5
2016 56.9 14.1 24.8 4.3 41.3 36.4 22.3 4.6 40.4 16.5 27.5 4.3 3.7 2.5
2017 50.4 21.8 23.1 4.6 34.3 42.1 23.4 6.3 35.6 23.1 25.1 4.4 5.0 3.3
2018 52.4 17.7 22.9 7.0 39.5 38.9 21.6 3.7 40.4 23.1 22.0 4.4 4.6 3.0
2019 50.9 20.7 23.5 4.9 40.4 38.9 20.7 3.0 37.2 18.8 26.7 6.8 6.8 4.2
2020 49.4 16.7 26.2 7.7 35.7 39.9 24.4 4.8 38.1 20.2 25.0 6.0 5.4 3.1
2021 41.6 27.0 24.1 7.3 42.1 35.8 22.2 3.6 27.4 29.1 27.2 5.4 7.1 4.5
2022 44.2 24.6 24.0 7.3 39.8 35.4 24.8 5.3 31.3 25.5 24.0 6.3 7.1 4.7
Player 49.1 20.8 24.1 5.9 39.5 37.9 22.5 4.2 35.5 22.6 25.2 5.4 5.7 3.7
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 32.9 24.5 24.3 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Cutter PHI R 176 86.8 29.0 0.3 1 0.8 -1.8 -70
2022 Changeup PHI R 426 85.9 33.9 -0.9 -3 15.2 1.1 8
2022 4-Seamer PHI R 949 92.7 16.6 0.0 0 13.0 4.6 54
2022 Sinker PHI R 549 92.1 22.7 -1.7 -7 16.9 1.8 12
2022 Curveball PHI R 756 78.5 55.7 3.3 6 14.4 2.0 16
2021 Cutter PHI R 46 86.7 28.7 0.4 1 1.0 -1.3 -56
2021 Sinker PHI R 420 92.0 23.5 -0.9 -4 17.5 2.2 14
2021 Curveball PHI R 801 78.5 55.1 2.7 5 14.6 1.9 15
2021 4-Seamer PHI R 1,115 92.9 17.6 -1.0 -6 13.3 5.2 64
2021 Changeup PHI R 589 85.2 35.6 0.4 1 15.0 0.5 3
2020 4-Seamer PHI R 280 92.8 18.0 -1.1 -7 13.8 5.6 69
2020 Sinker PHI R 248 91.8 24.2 -0.3 -1 17.4 2.5 17
2020 Curveball PHI R 306 78.6 54.8 3.5 7 15.1 1.5 11
2020 Changeup PHI R 314 84.9 35.5 0.5 1 14.5 0.4 3
2019 4-Seamer PHI R 1,180 93.1 18.2 -0.7 -4 12.9 4.3 49
2019 Changeup PHI R 618 85.8 33.2 -0.1 0 14.9 -0.3 -2
2019 Curveball PHI R 1,174 79.1 55.1 2.8 5 14.9 1.8 14
2019 Sinker PHI R 359 92.2 24.0 0.3 1 16.6 1.9 13
2018 Sinker PHI R 413 91.4 25.2 1.0 4 17.0 2.4 17
2018 Changeup PHI R 635 84.8 36.1 1.4 4 14.7 0.0 0
2018 4-Seamer PHI R 1,171 92.7 18.9 -1.6 -9 12.6 4.1 49
2018 Curveball PHI R 992 78.0 56.1 2.2 4 16.4 3.3 25
2017 4-Seamer PHI R 864 92.3 18.1 -1.1 -7 10.4 1.2 14
2017 Curveball PHI R 820 77.4 54.8 1.8 3 19.2 6.9 56
2017 Changeup PHI R 414 83.8 35.9 2.7 8 12.8 -1.5 -10
2017 Sinker PHI R 564 91.4 24.2 0.8 3 15.1 -0.2 -1
2016 4-Seamer PHI R 183 90.9 18.7 -0.7 -4 13.5 3.7 38
2016 Changeup PHI R 153 82.3 37.8 3.0 9 16.1 2.0 14
2016 Curveball PHI R 602 76.8 54.0 0.3 1 14.9 4.0 36
2016 Sinker PHI R 847 90.6 24.8 0.5 2 19.1 3.1 20
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -1.2 -12 949 33.2 213 .189 .342 .261 23.8 29.6 21.2 .194 .369 .276 34.3
2022 Curveball -0.9 -7 756 26.5 229 .225 .356 .266 38.8 36.2 27.8 .199 .292 .230 27.3
2022 Sinker -1.8 -10 549 19.2 168 .179 .282 .238 11.1 28.6 29.3 .198 .317 .254 35.8
2022 Changeup 1.5 6 426 14.9 107 .343 .467 .363 28.9 15.0 14.0 .278 .384 .295 27.0
2022 Cutter -0.3 -1 176 6.2 42 .244 .415 .282 24.5 19.0 28.6 .264 .481 .319 35.3
2021 4-Seamer -0.4 -4 1,115 37.5 225 .265 .471 .352 22.4 23.6 19.8 .257 .522 .360 45.4
2021 Curveball -0.6 -5 801 27.0 232 .212 .405 .277 36.2 39.2 29.0 .189 .313 .228 29.9
2021 Changeup 0.9 6 589 19.8 164 .240 .364 .315 32.4 26.2 20.7 .234 .336 .274 36.9
2021 Sinker 0.6 3 420 14.1 114 .240 .356 .293 16.4 31.6 21.3 .211 .301 .259 37.7
2021 Cutter -1.2 -1 46 1.5 13 .167 .250 .288 14.8 0.0 0.0 .230 .323 .271 25.0
2020 Changeup -0.5 -1 314 27.4 75 .225 .296 .268 36.0 30.7 23.5 .231 .263 .246 25.0
2020 Curveball -1.6 -5 306 26.7 99 .187 .396 .281 41.8 48.5 41.0 .179 .338 .256 39.5
2020 4-Seamer -1.7 -5 280 24.4 55 .137 .333 .248 30.2 25.5 26.9 .216 .440 .304 45.9
2020 Sinker 0.9 2 248 21.6 58 .280 .380 .348 3.4 19.0 13.8 .297 .426 .358 45.0
2019 4-Seamer 0.2 3 1,180 35.4 252 .269 .509 .394 19.1 21.8 19.4 .260 .486 .369 44.7
2019 Curveball -1.6 -19 1,174 35.2 330 .201 .328 .269 34.1 33.0 26.7 .214 .343 .275 34.7
2019 Changeup -0.8 -5 618 18.5 155 .204 .345 .286 30.7 23.9 22.6 .213 .346 .275 33.3
2019 Sinker 0.3 1 359 10.8 112 .294 .412 .336 9.0 25.0 20.7 .277 .424 .335 49.3
2018 4-Seamer -1.4 -16 1,171 36.5 272 .216 .336 .282 18.7 20.6 15.1 .245 .410 .318 31.9
2018 Curveball -2.7 -27 992 30.9 260 .155 .249 .202 40.5 41.5 32.5 .146 .213 .181 26.4
2018 Changeup -0.4 -3 636 19.8 184 .240 .404 .318 29.7 20.1 20.0 .231 .343 .280 33.3
2018 Sinker -1.5 -6 413 12.9 112 .182 .242 .261 14.6 20.5 20.9 .187 .290 .263 34.2
2017 4-Seamer -0.3 -3 865 32.5 190 .230 .448 .349 20.9 26.3 20.9 .218 .390 .318 39.1
2017 Curveball -2.7 -22 820 30.8 238 .172 .258 .192 38.3 39.5 29.2 .174 .250 .187 20.6
2017 Sinker 0.2 1 564 21.2 162 .315 .497 .394 7.5 15.4 20.0 .282 .493 .356 37.1
2017 Changeup -0.1 0 414 15.5 101 .312 .398 .342 30.1 14.9 17.6 .267 .372 .307 28.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 302 84.9 99 15.5 2:30 3:00 -30
2020 Curveball 297 78.6 86 20.5 7:45 7:45 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 262 92.8 98 19.4 1:45 1:30 15
2020 Sinker 234 91.8 96 19.6 1:45 2:15 -30
2021 Changeup 587 85.2 99 16.1 2:30 3:00 -30
2021 Curveball 795 78.5 87 20.1 7:45 7:45 0
2021 Cutter 46 86.7 47 6.7 1:00 11:45 75
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,114 92.9 97 19.3 1:30 1:30 0
2021 Sinker 419 92.1 96 19.9 1:30 2:15 -45
2022 Changeup 420 85.9 99 16.3 2:15 2:45 -30
2022 Curveball 756 78.5 85 20.4 7:45 7:30 15
2022 Cutter 176 86.8 44 6.4 1:00 11:45 75
2022 4-Seam Fastball 949 92.7 96 20.0 1:30 1:30 0
2022 Sinker 549 92.1 94 19.7 1:30 2:15 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 317 1,111 -7 -9 8 4 -4
2016 480 1,789 4 -18 7 8 2
2017 691 2,663 -22 -26 16 8 -24
2018 828 3,212 -28 -47 15 9 -51
2019 849 3,331 -9 -35 11 14 -20
2020 287 1,148 -3 -11 2 4 -9
2021 748 2,971 -8 -22 18 10 -1
2022 759 2,856 -24 -17 15 3 -22
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,117 49.1 59.5 83.4 29.7 63.9 44.7 64.2 44.3 21.0 7.3 67.9
2016 1,796 49.1 55.3 83.0 29.8 59.9 44.8 60.7 42.3 24.3 5.8 51.9
2017 2,665 51.4 61.5 78.8 27.9 57.3 45.7 64.4 45.2 26.1 7.6 66.8
2018 3,212 51.8 64.1 77.6 29.8 57.1 45.1 69.5 47.6 27.5 7.9 71.8
2019 3,332 46.2 58.8 83.1 32.3 56.8 44.6 62.4 44.6 26.5 5.8 67.7
2020 1,148 44.0 60.6 79.1 36.5 54.9 46.0 64.4 47.1 31.2 5.4 66.1
2021 2,971 51.4 66.5 79.0 30.8 54.2 45.1 66.6 49.2 27.9 7.5 73.0
2022 2,856 51.8 63.8 81.4 34.1 54.3 45.4 70.0 49.5 27.2 7.5 76.6
Player 19,097 49.8 62.0 80.3 31.2 56.7 45.1 65.7 46.5 26.7 7.0 69.4
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 59 51 47 42 69 59 55 35 48 58 73 34 51 29 16 79 71
2016 78 55 73 82 72 61 89 82 71 77 79 61 62 21 9 62 84
2017 81 77 76 72 87 28 68 85 68 79 71 64 57 37 17 61 92
2018 94 88 89 87 94 28 83 81 82 76 69 69 72 46 21 61 94
2019 53 58 59 60 47 10 53 33 24 72 30 59 80 48 27 58 91
2020 75 66 70 71 74 28 70 51 45 91 57 78 97 43 24 46 93
2021 80 69 62 54 89 13 59 48 60 86 92 65 79 37 37 60 93
2022 89 77 74 64 95 8 52 72 91 84 98 63 91 26 57 66 94
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 23.2 10 9.4 1 4 8 4 40.0
2017 22.5 18 18.7 -1 7 10 11 61.1
2018 23.2 17 16.2 1 9 11 6 35.3
2019 22.3 27 25.1 2 12 14 15 55.6
2020 23.2 9 9.0 0 3 4 5 55.6
2021 23.6 26 24.3 2 11 13 13 50.0
2022 23.4 18 19.4 -1 10 21 3 16.7

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 10 8 12 8 9 9 9 8 10 7 12 10 7 9 9 10 10 10 7 11 15 6 8 10 9 11 10 8 7 10 14
2017 18 19 21 20 19 19 18 18 19 14 21 19 15 14 16 21 15 22 15 19 19 19 19 21 19 18 20 18 20 21 22
2018 17 16 22 14 17 18 17 20 17 12 15 17 13 14 15 18 17 16 11 14 18 17 17 15 16 19 18 13 18 15 17
2019 27 32 29 24 22 26 25 29 29 24 28 22 19 21 22 27 23 31 21 25 28 21 22 25 26 26 28 22 26 21 28
2020 9 10 10 9 9 9 0 9 9 9 8 9 9 6 9 9 8 10 9 9 9 9 10 9 10 9 9 9 9 8 10
2021 26 26 23 23 25 30 23 25 26 25 26 26 19 16 18 27 26 25 22 23 25 24 25 27 25 24 25 24 24 22 29
2022 18 23 25 20 18 23 17 16 20 19 21 17 15 11 15 22 22 24 17 17 24 16 17 21 22 19 23 14 22 16 27
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.1 90.7 -0.4 91.9 1.2 92.4 0.5 92.8 0.4 92.3 -0.5 92.5 0.2 91.9 -0.6
Offspeed Velocity 82.7 82.3 -0.4 83.8 1.5 84.8 1 85.8 1 84.9 -0.9 85.2 0.3 85.9 0.7
Breaking Velocity 77.1 76.8 -0.3 77.4 0.6 78 0.6 79.1 1.1 78.6 -0.5 78.5 -0.1 78.5 0
Exit Velocity 88.5 87.2 -1.3 85.7 -1.5 87.1 1.4 89.2 2.1 88.3 -0.9 88.9 0.6 87.6 -1.3
Launch Angle 9.4 6 -3.4 9 3 9.1 0.1 9.2 0.1 8.6 -0.6 14.4 5.8 12.6 -1.8
Barrel % 4.8 3.7 -1.1 5 1.3 4.6 -0.4 6.8 2.2 5.4 -1.4 7.1 1.7 7.1 0
Hard Hit % 33.2 31.8 -1.4 31 -0.8 31.2 0.2 39.5 8.3 38.1 -1.4 37.4 -0.7 31.5 -5.9
Sweet Spot % 31.4 30 -1.4 33.4 3.4 27.9 -5.5 32.9 5 34.5 1.6 33.3 -1.2 34.3 1
xBA .241 .243 0.002 .224 -0.019 .202 -0.022 .235 0.033 .223 -0.012 .223 0 .213 -0.01
BA .251 .264 0.013 .241 -0.023 .197 -0.044 .233 0.036 .205 -0.028 .237 0.032 .224 -0.013
xwOBA .301 .286 -0.015 .279 -0.007 .258 -0.021 .31 0.052 .284 -0.026 .283 -0.001 .261 -0.022
wOBA .305 .306 0.001 .293 -0.013 .251 -0.042 .304 0.053 .272 -0.032 .297 0.025 .27 -0.027
xSLG .388 .36 -0.028 .36 0 .315 -0.045 .395 0.08 .355 -0.04 .378 0.023 .343 -0.035
SLG .403 .396 -0.007 .383 -0.013 .311 -0.072 .393 0.082 .354 -0.039 .405 0.051 .356 -0.049
K% 21.4 25.1 3.7 26.6 1.5 27 0.4 26.9 -0.1 33.2 6.3 29.8 -3.4 28.7 -1.1
BB% 6 6 0 7.1 1.1 7 -0.1 9.4 2.4 8 -1.4 5.2 -2.8 3.8 -1.4
Swing % 44.3 42.3 -2 45.2 2.9 47.6 2.4 44.6 -3 47.1 2.5 49.2 2.1 49.5 0.3
Whiff% 21 24.3 3.3 26.1 1.8 27.5 1.4 26.5 -1 31.2 4.7 27.9 -3.3 27.2 -0.7
In Zone % 49.1 49.1 0 51.4 2.3 51.8 0.4 46.2 -5.6 44 -2.2 51.4 7.4 51.8 0.4
Out of Zone % 50.9 50.9 0 48.6 -2.3 48.2 -0.4 53.8 5.6 56 2.2 48.6 -7.4 48.2 -0.4
Out of Zone Swing % 29.7 29.8 0.1 27.9 -1.9 29.8 1.9 32.3 2.5 36.5 4.2 30.8 -5.7 34.1 3.3
First Pitch Swing % 28.6 23.4 -5.2 27.1 3.7 30.7 3.6 30.4 -0.3 28.4 -2 33.4 5 35.8 2.4
First Pitch Strike % 64.2 60.7 -3.5 64.4 3.7 69.5 5.1 62.4 -7.1 64.4 2 66.6 2.2 70 3.4
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 473 .305 250 15 6.0 223 22 9.9
2017 691 .293 359 29 8.1 332 57 17.2
2018 828 .251 412 39 9.5 416 180 43.3
2019 849 .304 474 24 5.1 375 140 37.3
2020 286 .272 150 42 28.0 136 56 41.2
2021 742 .297 375 38 10.1 367 115 31.3
2022 759 .270 386 119 30.8 373 216 57.9

Pitch Tempo