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Aaron Nola
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 200LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2014 | Rd: 1, #7, Philadelphia Phillies | Louisiana State
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 1 3.45 3 3 0 15.2 18 1.40
7 Seasons 58 41 3.47 142 142 0 858.1 940 1.17
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 3 0-1 3.45 15.2 18 1.40
7 Seasons 142 58-41 3.47 858.1 940 1.17

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Statcast Statistics

Season Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 1117 229 11 4.8 88.5 111.7 9.4 31.4 .232 .374 .305 .290 .342 34.4 21.4 6 3.59 3.58
2016 1796 327 12 3.7 87.2 115.4 6 30 .240 .355 .306 .283 .348 32 25.1 6 4.78 3.45
2017 2665 458 23 5 85.7 115.3 9 33.4 .224 .358 .294 .279 .345 31 26.6 7.1 3.54 3.34
2018 3212 542 25 4.6 87.1 112 9.1 27.9 .201 .313 .251 .257 .314 31.2 27 7 2.37 2.76
2019 3332 532 36 6.8 89.2 113.3 9.2 32.9 .235 .394 .304 .310 .380 39.5 26.9 9.4 3.87 4.32
2020 1148 168 9 5.4 88.3 114.4 8.6 34.5 .222 .354 .272 .283 .387 38.1 33.2 8 3.28 3.37
2021 268 49 4 8.2 90.6 114.7 9.5 34.7 .262 .486 .336 .340 .429 42.9 25 4.2 3.45 4.39
13538 2305 120 5.2 87.6 115.4 8.7 31.4 .225 .359 .288 .284 .351 34.2 26.6 7.4
6.4 88.3 122.2 11.9 32.8 .243 .402 .318 .313 .362 35.1 21.8 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nola relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(45.9%) ,
Changeup
(23.1%) ,
Curveball
(23.1%) ,
Cutter
(6.3%) ,
Sinker
(1.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 123 47 76 45.9 92.2 29 25 6 3 2 0 1 7 19 .240 .232 .440 .673 .335 .403 91.9 22 2153 6.9 29.8 23.3
2021 Curveball 62 25 37 23.1 78.3 22 21 6 3 3 0 0 8 13 .286 .197 .429 .288 .327 .229 89.0 3 2477 6.8 31.0 30.8
2021 Changeup 62 30 32 23.1 84.4 16 16 6 5 1 0 0 3 13 .375 .380 .438 .478 .357 .369 92.1 -6 1432 6.7 12.5 14.3
2021 Cutter 17 2 15 6.3 86.8 5 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 4 .250 .325 .250 .383 .318 .384 70.4 9 2169 6.9 14.3
2021 Sinker 4 4 0 1.5 89.8 2170 7.2 0.0
2020 Changeup 314 164 150 27.4 84.9 75 71 16 11 5 0 0 23 48 .225 .228 .296 .260 .249 .242 82.5 -6 1518 6.8 36.0 23.5
2020 Curveball 306 156 150 26.7 78.6 99 91 17 8 4 0 5 48 43 .187 .180 .396 .339 .278 .257 88.9 12 2499 6.8 41.8 41.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 290 115 175 25.3 92.8 56 52 7 3 1 0 3 14 38 .135 .213 .327 .433 .225 .300 91.1 26 2184 7.0 29.2 25.9
2020 Sinker 238 148 90 20.7 91.7 57 49 14 11 2 0 1 11 39 .286 .301 .388 .433 .335 .363 90.3 5 2097 7.0 3.6 14.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 49.8 18.3 28.4 3.5 42.4 35.4 22.3 1.7 37.1 20.1 25.3 5.7 4.8
2016 56.9 14.1 24.8 4.3 41.3 36.4 22.3 4.6 40.4 16.5 27.5 4.3 3.7
2017 50.4 21.8 23.1 4.6 34.5 42.1 23.4 6.3 35.6 23.1 25.1 4.4 5
2018 52.4 17.7 22.9 7 39.5 38.9 21.6 3.7 40.4 23.1 22 4.4 4.6
2019 50.9 20.7 23.5 4.9 40.4 38.9 20.7 3 37.2 18.8 26.7 6.8 6.8
2020 49.4 13.7 29.2 7.7 35.7 39.9 24.4 4.8 38.1 20.2 25 6 5.4
2021 44.9 24.5 24.5 6.1 51 34.7 14.3 8.2 24.5 20.4 28.6 10.2 8.2
51.7 18.6 24.4 5.3 39.2 38.8 22 4.2 37.9 20.6 25.2 5.3 5.2
45.3 22 25.6 7.1 36.6 37.9 25.5 3.5 33.5 24.3 24.5 5.6 6.4

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Cutter PHI R 17 86.8 27.1 1.7 6 0.1 -2.1 -97
2021 4-Seamer PHI R 123 92.2 18.3 -1.9 -11 13.7 5.8 74
2021 Changeup PHI R 62 84.4 35.8 -0.4 -1 16.1 0.9 6
2021 Sinker PHI R 4 89.8 23.4 -0.7 -3 22.5 7.5 50
2021 Curveball PHI R 62 78.3 55.9 3.7 7 13.7 0.8 6
2020 Changeup PHI R 314 84.9 35.5 0.5 1 14.5 0.5 3
2020 Curveball PHI R 306 78.6 54.8 4.1 8 15.1 2 15
2020 4-Seamer PHI R 290 92.8 18.1 -1.3 -8 13.9 5.6 68
2020 Sinker PHI R 238 91.7 24.4 -0.7 -3 17.4 2.4 16
2019 4-Seamer PHI R 1180 93.1 18.2 -0.9 -5 12.9 4.2 48
2019 Sinker PHI R 359 92.2 24 -0.3 -1 16.6 1.6 11
2019 Changeup PHI R 618 85.8 33.2 -0.1 0 14.9 -0.3 -2
2019 Curveball PHI R 1174 79.1 55.1 2.9 6 14.9 1.8 14
2018 Sinker PHI R 413 91.4 25.2 0.3 1 17 2 14
2018 Curveball PHI R 992 78 56.1 2.2 4 16.4 3.3 25
2018 4-Seamer PHI R 1171 92.7 18.9 -1.8 -10 12.6 4.1 48
2018 Changeup PHI R 635 84.8 36.1 1.5 4 14.7 0 0
2017 Changeup PHI R 414 83.8 35.9 2.7 8 12.8 -1.5 -10
2017 Sinker PHI R 564 91.4 24.2 0.5 2 15.1 -0.4 -3
2017 Curveball PHI R 820 77.4 54.8 1.8 3 19.2 6.9 56
2017 4-Seamer PHI R 864 92.3 18.1 -1.3 -8 10.4 1.3 15
2016 4-Seamer PHI R 183 90.9 18.7 -0.7 -4 13.5 3.7 38
2016 Curveball PHI R 602 76.8 54 0.3 1 14.9 4 36
2016 Sinker PHI R 847 90.6 24.8 0.5 2 19.1 3.2 20
2016 Changeup PHI R 153 82.3 37.8 3.1 9 16.1 2 14
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Cutter -2.6 0 17 6.3 5 .25 .25 .32 14.3 0 .325 .383 .385 25
2021 Changeup 3.4 2 62 23.1 16 .375 .438 .416 12.5 18.8 14.3 .38 .478 .369 46.2
2021 Curveball -2.2 -1 62 23.1 22 .286 .429 .325 31 36.4 30.8 .197 .288 .228 38.5
2021 4-Seamer -2.1 -3 123 45.9 29 .24 .44 .332 29.8 24.1 23.3 .232 .673 .402 47.4
2021 Sinker -0.5 0 4 1.5 0 0
2020 4-Seamer -1.8 -5 290 25.3 56 .135 .327 .244 29.2 25 25.9 .213 .433 .3 44.7
2020 Sinker 1.2 3 238 20.7 57 .286 .388 .354 3.6 19.3 14.1 .301 .433 .363 46.2
2020 Changeup -0.7 -2 314 27.4 75 .225 .296 .253 36 30.7 23.5 .228 .26 .243 25
2020 Curveball -1.6 -5 306 26.7 99 .187 .396 .281 41.8 48.5 41 .18 .339 .257 39.5
2019 Sinker 0.3 1 359 10.8 112 .294 .412 .336 9 25 20.7 .278 .425 .335 49.3
2019 Changeup -0.7 -4 618 18.5 155 .204 .345 .286 30.7 23.9 22.6 .213 .346 .275 33.3
2019 4-Seamer 0.2 2 1180 35.4 252 .269 .509 .389 19.1 21.8 19.4 .259 .484 .368 44.7
2019 Curveball -1.5 -18 1174 35.2 330 .201 .328 .269 34.1 33 26.7 .214 .343 .275 34.7
2018 Sinker -1.4 -6 413 12.9 112 .182 .242 .261 14.6 20.5 20.9 .187 .291 .264 34.2
2018 Changeup -0.3 -2 636 19.8 184 .24 .404 .317 29.7 20.1 20 .227 .337 .276 33.3
2018 Curveball -2.6 -26 992 30.9 260 .155 .249 .202 40.5 41.5 32.5 .146 .213 .181 26.4
2018 4-Seamer -1.3 -15 1171 36.5 272 .216 .336 .28 18.7 20.6 15.1 .243 .407 .316 31.9
2017 Changeup 0 0 414 15.5 101 .312 .398 .342 30.1 14.9 17.6 .268 .372 .308 28.2
2017 Sinker 0.3 2 564 21.2 162 .315 .497 .394 7.5 15.4 20 .279 .482 .351 37.1
2017 4-Seamer -0.3 -2 865 32.5 190 .23 .448 .349 20.9 26.3 20.9 .219 .39 .318 39.1
2017 Curveball -2.7 -22 820 30.8 238 .172 .258 .192 38.3 39.5 29.2 .174 .25 .187 20.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Sinker 225 91.8 96 19.6 1:45 2:15 -30
2020 Changeup 302 84.9 99 15.5 2:30 3:00 -30
2020 Curveball 297 78.6 86 20.5 7:45 7:45 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 270 92.8 98 19.4 1:45 1:30 15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 305 1067 -6 -9 8 4 -3
2016 478 1786 3 -17 7 8 1
2017 691 2663 -21 -25 16 8 -22
2018 828 3212 -27 -46 15 9 -49
2019 849 3331 -10 -34 11 14 -19
2020 287 1148 -3 -11 1 4 -9
2021 72 268 -2 -2 0 1 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1117 48.6 60.3 84.1 29.9 64.2 44.5 64.2 44.3 21 7.3 67.9
2016 1796 49.2 55.3 83 29.6 59.6 44.8 60.7 42.3 24.3 5.8 51.9
2017 2665 51.4 61.5 78.8 27.9 57.3 45.7 64.4 45.2 26.1 7.6 66.8
2018 3212 51.8 64.1 77.6 29.8 57.1 45.1 69.4 47.6 27.5 7.9 71.8
2019 3332 46.2 58.8 83.1 32.3 56.8 44.6 62.3 44.6 26.5 5.8 67.7
2020 1148 44 60.6 79.1 36.5 54.9 46 64.4 47.1 31.2 5.4 66.1
2021 268 56 68 82.4 27.1 56.3 42.2 65.3 50 23.9 7.8 85.7
13538 49.2 60.7 80.5 30.7 57.7 45 64.6 45.4 26.3 6.8 67.2
48.4 66.6 82.2 28.4 58.9 42.6 60.6 46.9 24.4 7.2 75.7

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 65 57 52 46 73 59 55 34 43 58 73 34 65 28 15 83
2016 78 54 73 82 71 61 89 82 73 77 79 61 78 19 9 65
2017 80 76 75 72 86 28 68 85 68 79 71 64 80 38 18 63
2018 94 88 88 87 93 28 83 82 82 76 69 69 94 46 21 62
2019 48 56 57 58 42 10 53 33 23 72 30 59 48 48 27 62
2020 76 65 69 70 74 28 70 51 45 91 57 78 76 42 22 49
2021 45 39 33 31 58 9 49 36 39 58 84 31 45 31 20 45
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.3 27 23.9 3 8 16 12 44.4
2020 23.2 9 8.9 0 1 6 4 44.4
2021 25.4 1 1.2 0 3 0 1 100

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 27 24 29 27 27 20 23 28 25 25 28 23 17 20 23 27 22 23 21 26 18 21 22 27 23 27 25 24 26 21 26
2020 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 10 8 8 8 10 7 6 9 9 6 10 9 9 7 9 10 9 10 9 10 9 9 8 10
2021 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91 90.7 -0.3 ↓ 91.9 1.2 ↑ 92.4 0.5 ↑ 92.8 0.4 ↑ 92.3 -0.5 ↓ 91.5 -0.8 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 82.7 82.3 -0.4 ↓ 83.8 1.5 ↑ 84.8 1 ↑ 85.8 1 ↑ 84.9 -0.9 ↓ 84.4 -0.5 ↓
Breaking Velocity 77.1 76.8 -0.3 ↓ 77.4 0.6 ↑ 78 0.6 ↑ 79.1 1.1 ↑ 78.6 -0.5 ↓ 78.3 -0.3 ↓
Exit Velocity 88.5 87.2 -1.3 ↓ 85.7 -1.5 ↓ 87.1 1.4 ↑ 89.2 2.1 ↑ 88.3 -0.9 ↓ 90.6 2.3 ↑
Launch Angle 9.4 6 -3.4 ↓ 9 3 ↑ 9.1 0.1 ↑ 9.2 0.1 ↑ 8.6 -0.6 ↓ 9.5 0.9 ↑
Barrel % 4.8 3.7 -1.1 ↓ 5 1.3 ↑ 4.6 -0.4 ↓ 6.8 2.2 ↑ 5.4 -1.4 ↓ 8.2 2.8 ↑
Hard Hit % 34.4 32 -2.4 ↓ 31 -1 ↓ 31.2 0.2 ↑ 39.5 8.3 ↑ 38.1 -1.4 ↓ 42.9 4.8 ↑
Sweet Spot % 31.4 30 -1.4 ↓ 33.4 3.4 ↑ 27.9 -5.5 ↓ 32.9 5 ↑ 34.5 1.6 ↑ 34.7 0.2 ↑
xBA .232 .24 0.008 ↑ .224 -0.016 ↓ .201 -0.023 ↓ .235 0.034 ↑ .222 -0.013 ↓ .262 0.04 ↑
BA .251 .264 0.013 ↑ .241 -0.023 ↓ .197 -0.044 ↓ .233 0.036 ↑ .205 -0.028 ↓ .288 0.083 ↑
xwOBA .29 .283 -0.007 ↓ .279 -0.004 ↓ .257 -0.022 ↓ .31 0.053 ↑ .283 -0.027 ↓ .34 0.057 ↑
wOBA .305 .306 0.001 ↑ .294 -0.012 ↓ .251 -0.043 ↓ .304 0.053 ↑ .272 -0.032 ↓ .336 0.064 ↑
xSLG .374 .355 -0.019 ↓ .358 0.003 ↑ .313 -0.045 ↓ .394 0.081 ↑ .354 -0.04 ↓ .486 0.132 ↑
SLG .403 .396 -0.007 ↓ .383 -0.013 ↓ .311 -0.072 ↓ .393 0.082 ↑ .354 -0.039 ↓ .424 0.07 ↑
K% 21.4 25.1 3.7 ↑ 26.6 1.5 ↑ 27 0.4 ↑ 26.9 -0.1 ↓ 33.2 6.3 ↑ 25 -8.2 ↓
BB% 6 6 0 7.1 1.1 ↑ 7 -0.1 ↓ 9.4 2.4 ↑ 8 -1.4 ↓ 4.2 -3.8 ↓
Swing % 44.3 42.3 -2 ↓ 45.2 2.9 ↑ 47.6 2.4 ↑ 44.6 -3 ↓ 47.1 2.5 ↑ 50 2.9 ↑
Whiff% 21 24.3 3.3 ↑ 26.1 1.8 ↑ 27.5 1.4 ↑ 26.5 -1 ↓ 31.2 4.7 ↑ 23.9 -7.3 ↓
In Zone Swing % 48.6 49.2 0.6 ↑ 51.4 2.2 ↑ 51.8 0.4 ↑ 46.2 -5.6 ↓ 44 -2.2 ↓ 56 12 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 51.4 50.8 -0.6 ↓ 48.6 -2.2 ↓ 48.2 -0.4 ↓ 53.8 5.6 ↑ 56 2.2 ↑ 44 -12 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 28.6 23.4 -5.2 ↓ 27.1 3.7 ↑ 30.7 3.6 ↑ 30.4 -0.3 ↓ 28.4 -2 ↓ 33.3 4.9 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 64.2 60.7 -3.5 ↓ 64.4 3.7 ↑ 69.4 5 ↑ 62.3 -7.1 ↓ 64.4 2.1 ↑ 65.3 0.9 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 473 .305 250 15 6.0 223 22 9.9
2017 691 .294 359 29 8.1 332 57 17.2
2018 828 .251 412 39 9.5 416 180 43.3
2019 849 .304 474 24 5.1 375 140 37.3
2020 286 .272 150 42 28.0 136 56 41.2
2021 72 .336 32 7 21.9 40 5 12.5

Pitch Distribution

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