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Aaron Nola
Popularity: ↓ 17%
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 200LBS | Age: 27

Draft: 2014 | Rd: 1, #7, Philadelphia Phillies | Louisiana State
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 5 5 3.28 12 12 0 71.1 96 1.08
6 Seasons 58 40 3.47 139 139 0 842.2 922 1.16
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 12 5-5 3.28 71.1 96 1.08
6 Seasons 139 58-40 3.47 842.2 922 1.16

Statcast Statistics

Season Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON Hard Hit % K % BB % ERA xERA
2015 1117 229 11 4.8 88.5 9.4 31.4 .243 .392 .305 .304 .363 33.2 21.4 6.0 3.59 3.64
2016 1796 327 12 3.7 87.2 6 29.7 .246 .364 .306 .294 .365 31.8 25.1 6.0 4.78 3.44
2017 2665 458 23 5.0 85.7 9 33.4 .226 .363 .293 .284 .354 31.0 26.6 7.1 3.54 3.26
2018 3212 542 25 4.6 87.1 9 27.7 .208 .325 .251 .266 .329 31.2 27.0 7.0 2.37 2.82
2019 3332 532 36 6.8 89.2 9.2 32.9 .239 .403 .304 .315 .389 39.5 26.9 9.4 3.87 4.21
2020 1148 168 9 5.4 88.3 8.6 34.5 .224 .358 .267 .274 .373 38.1 33.2 8.0 3.28 3.38
ALL 13270 2256 116 5.1 87.6 8.6 31.3 .229 .366 .287 .290 .360 33.9 26.6 7.4
MLB 43640 6.4 88.3 11.9 32.8 .250 .414 .317 .321 .376 34.9 21.8 8.3

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nola relies on 4 pitches.
Changeup
(27.4%) ,
Curveball
(26.7%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(25.3%) ,
Sinker
(20.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Whiff% PutAway%
2020 Changeup 314 164 150 27.4 84.9 75 71 16 11 5 0 0 23 48 .225 .231 .296 .264 .246 .241 82.5 -6 1518 36.0 23.5
2020 Curveball 306 156 150 26.7 78.6 99 91 17 8 4 0 5 48 43 .187 .182 .396 .343 .274 .247 88.9 12 2499 42.1 41.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 290 115 175 25.3 92.8 56 52 7 3 1 0 3 14 38 .135 .215 .327 .439 .222 .284 91.1 26 2184 29.2 25.9
2020 Sinker 238 148 90 20.7 91.7 57 49 14 11 2 0 1 11 39 .286 .301 .388 .436 .330 .351 90.3 5 2097 3.6 14.1
2019 4-Seam Fastball 1180 644 536 35.4 93.1 252 212 57 29 16 1 11 55 159 .269 .265 .509 .501 .376 .375 91.4 16 2171 19.3 19.4
2019 Curveball 1174 694 480 35.2 79.1 330 299 60 38 13 2 7 109 193 .201 .217 .328 .352 .259 .279 87.2 8 2574 34.4 26.7
2019 Changeup 618 300 318 18.6 85.8 155 142 29 21 2 0 6 37 105 .204 .216 .345 .350 .267 .278 87.2 2 1570 30.8 22.6
2019 Sinker 359 185 174 10.8 92.2 112 102 30 24 3 0 3 28 75 .294 .280 .412 .429 .327 .338 92.3 6 2132 9.0 20.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 Curveball PHI R 306 78.6 54.8 4.1 8 15.1 1.9 15
2020 Sinker PHI R 238 91.7 24.4 -0.7 -3 17.4 2.4 16
2020 4-Seamer PHI R 290 92.8 18.1 -1.3 -7 13.9 5.6 68
2020 Changeup PHI R 314 84.9 35.5 0.4 1 14.5 0.3 2
2019 4-Seamer PHI R 1180 93.1 18.2 -0.8 -5 12.9 4.2 48
2019 Sinker PHI R 359 92.2 24 -0.4 -2 16.6 1.5 10
2019 Changeup PHI R 618 85.8 33.2 -0.1 0 14.9 -0.3 -2
2019 Curveball PHI R 1174 79.1 55.1 2.8 5 14.9 1.8 14
2018 Curveball PHI R 992 78 56.1 2.1 4 16.4 3.2 25
2018 Changeup PHI R 635 84.8 36.1 1.4 4 14.7 0 0
2018 Sinker PHI R 413 91.4 25.2 0.2 1 17 2 14
2018 4-Seamer PHI R 1171 92.7 18.9 -1.7 -10 12.6 4 47
2017 4-Seamer PHI R 864 92.3 18.1 -0.9 -5 10.4 1 10
2017 Curveball PHI R 820 77.4 54.8 1.8 3 19.2 6.8 54
2017 Sinker PHI R 564 91.4 24.2 0.4 2 15.1 -0.6 -4
2017 Changeup PHI R 414 83.8 35.9 2.7 8 12.8 -1.5 -10
2016 Sinker PHI R 847 90.7 24.8 0.5 2 19.1 3.2 20
2016 4-Seamer PHI R 183 90.9 18.7 -0.6 -3 13.5 3.7 38
2016 Curveball PHI R 603 76.8 54 0.2 0 14.9 3.9 36
2016 Changeup PHI R 153 82.3 37.8 3 9 16.1 2 14
2015 4-Seamer PHI R 334 91.2 20.6 -2.7 -15 14.4 4.8 49
2015 Changeup PHI R 128 82.7 36.9 2.4 7 14.7 -0.1 -1
2015 Curveball PHI R 260 77.1 55.3 1.5 3 13.6 4.3 46
2015 Sinker PHI R 345 90.9 25.4 1.3 5 18.7 3.1 20
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 4-Seamer -1.8 -5 290 25.3 56 .135 .327 .244 29.2 25.0 25.9 .215 .439 .285 44.7
2020 Sinker 1.1 3 238 20.7 57 .286 .388 .354 3.6 19.3 14.1 .301 .436 .351 46.2
2020 Changeup -0.5 -2 314 27.4 75 .225 .296 .256 36.0 30.7 23.5 .231 .264 .242 25.0
2020 Curveball -1.6 -5 306 26.7 99 .187 .396 .281 42.1 48.5 41.0 .182 .343 .248 39.5
2019 Sinker 0.5 2 359 10.8 112 .294 .412 .336 9.0 25.0 20.7 .280 .429 .339 49.3
2019 Changeup -0.8 -5 618 18.5 155 .204 .345 .286 30.8 23.9 22.6 .216 .350 .279 33.3
2019 4-Seamer 0.2 2 1180 35.4 252 .269 .509 .390 19.3 21.8 19.4 .265 .501 .376 44.7
2019 Curveball -1.6 -19 1174 35.2 330 .201 .328 .269 34.4 33.0 26.7 .217 .352 .280 34.7
2018 Sinker -1.4 -6 413 12.9 112 .182 .242 .258 14.8 20.5 20.9 .196 .303 .276 34.2
2018 Changeup -0.4 -2 636 19.8 184 .240 .404 .318 29.8 20.1 20.0 .237 .352 .287 33.3
2018 Curveball -2.6 -25 992 30.9 260 .155 .249 .202 41.1 41.5 32.5 .151 .218 .187 26.4
2018 4-Seamer -1.3 -16 1171 36.5 272 .216 .336 .278 18.9 20.6 15.1 .251 .424 .328 31.9
2017 Changeup 0.0 0 414 15.5 101 .312 .398 .342 30.3 14.9 17.6 .276 .388 .321 28.2
2017 Sinker 0.4 2 564 21.2 162 .315 .497 .394 7.6 15.4 20.0 .284 .484 .356 37.1
2017 4-Seamer -0.4 -4 865 32.5 190 .230 .448 .346 21.4 26.3 20.9 .222 .395 .318 39.1
2017 Curveball -2.4 -20 820 30.8 238 .172 .258 .192 39.1 39.5 29.2 .171 .253 .191 20.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Observed Spin-Based Gap Observed Spin-Based
2020 Changeup 309 84.9 99 15.5 3:00 2:30 -30
2020 4-Seam Fastball 281 92.8 98 19.4 1:30 1:45 15
2020 Curveball 302 78.6 86 20.5 7:45 7:45 0
2020 Sinker 231 91.8 96 19.6 2:15 1:45 -30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 470 1773 0 -14 9 6 1
2017 685 2642 -21 -24 17 7 -21
2018 819 3188 -27 -45 15 8 -49
2019 838 3310 -10 -33 12 10 -20
2020 284 1145 -3 -11 1 3 -9
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1117 49.1 58.8 84.5 28.5 66.7 44.7 64.2 43.3 21.5 7.3 67.9
2016 1796 49.4 55.1 83.4 29.0 60.6 45.0 60.7 41.9 24.6 5.9 50.9
2017 2665 51.4 60.7 79.8 27.3 58.6 45.7 64.4 44.5 26.5 7.6 65.8
2018 3212 51.8 63.3 78.5 29.5 57.8 45.1 69.4 47.0 27.8 7.9 71.0
2019 3332 46.2 58.5 83.6 32.0 57.3 44.6 62.3 44.3 26.6 5.8 67.2
2020 1148 44.1 60.3 79.3 36.6 54.9 46.0 64.4 47.0 31.3 5.4 66.1
ALL 13270 49.1 59.9 81.1 30.3 58.5 45.1 64.5 44.8 26.6 6.8 66.0
MLB 48.4 66.1 82.8 28.2 59.4 42.6 60.6 46.6 24.5 7.2 75.1

Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 49.8 18.3 28.4 3.5 42.4 35.4 22.3 1.7 37.1 20.1 25.3 5.7 4.8
2016 56.9 14.1 24.8 4.3 41.3 36.4 22.3 4.0 40.7 16.5 27.5 4.3 3.7
2017 50.4 21.8 23.1 4.6 34.5 42.4 23.1 6.3 35.6 23.1 25.1 4.4 5.0
2018 52.4 17.7 22.9 7.0 39.5 38.9 21.6 3.0 40.4 22.9 22.0 4.4 4.6
2019 50.9 20.7 23.5 4.9 40.4 38.9 20.7 2.4 37.2 18.8 26.7 6.8 6.8
2020 49.4 13.7 29.2 7.7 35.7 39.9 24.4 4.8 38.1 20.2 25.0 6.0 5.4
ALL 51.8 18.5 24.4 5.3 39.0 39.0 22.1 3.7 38.2 20.6 25.1 5.2 5.1
MLB 45.3 22.0 25.7 7.1 36.6 38.0 25.5 3.2 33.6 24.3 24.6 5.6 6.4

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 62 54 50 46 71 59 56 35 48 58 73 38 62 28 15 82
2016 77 58 74 84 74 61 89 82 71 77 79 61 77 19 8 64
2017 85 78 78 74 88 28 68 85 68 79 71 66 85 37 17 63
2018 93 86 89 87 92 28 83 81 82 76 69 69 93 46 20 62
2019 53 60 59 58 47 10 53 33 24 72 30 58 53 48 26 61
2020 75 66 69 69 74 28 70 51 45 91 57 78 75 41 21 48
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.3 27 24.0 3.0 9 16 12 44.4
2020 23.2 9 8.9 0.1 1 6 4 44.4

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 27 26 29 27 27 20 23 28 25 24 28 23 17 20 23 27 22 23 21 26 18 21 22 27 23 27 25 24 26 21 26
2020 9 10 10 10 10 8 9 10 8 8 8 10 7 6 9 9 6 10 9 9 7 9 10 9 10 9 10 9 9 8 10
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.1 90.7 -0.4 91.9 1.2 92.4 0.5 92.8 0.4 92.3 -0.5
Offspeed Velocity 82.7 82.3 -0.4 83.8 1.5 84.8 1 85.8 1 84.9 -0.9
Breaking Velocity 77.1 76.8 -0.3 77.4 0.6 78 0.6 79.1 1.1 78.6 -0.5
Exit Velocity 88.5 87.2 -1.3 85.7 -1.5 87.1 1.4 89.2 2.1 88.3 -0.9
Launch Angle 9.4 6 -3.4 9 3 9 0 9.2 0.2 8.6 -0.6
Barrel % 4.8 3.7 -1.1 5 1.3 4.6 -0.4 6.8 2.2 5.4 -1.4
Hard Hit % 33.2 31.8 -1.4 31 -0.8 31.2 0.2 39.5 8.3 38.1 -1.4
Sweet Spot % 31.4 29.7 -1.7 33.4 3.7 27.7 -5.7 32.9 5.2 34.5 1.6
xBA .243 .246 0.003 .226 -0.02 .208 -0.018 .239 0.031 .224 -0.015
BA .251 .264 0.013 .241 -0.023 .197 -0.044 .233 0.036 .205 -0.028
xwOBA .304 .294 -0.01 .284 -0.01 .266 -0.018 .315 0.049 .274 -0.041
wOBA .305 .306 0.001 .293 -0.013 .251 -0.042 .304 0.053 .267 -0.037
xSLG .392 .364 -0.028 .363 -0.001 .325 -0.038 .403 0.078 .358 -0.045
SLG .403 .396 -0.007 .383 -0.013 .311 -0.072 .393 0.082 .354 -0.039
K% 21.4 25.1 3.7 26.6 1.5 27 0.4 26.9 -0.1 33.2 6.3
BB% 6 6 0 7.1 1.1 7 -0.1 9.4 2.4 8 -1.4
Swing % 43.3 41.9 -1.4 44.5 2.6 47 2.5 44.3 -2.7 47 2.7
Whiff% 21.5 24.6 3.1 26.5 1.9 27.8 1.3 26.6 -1.2 31.3 4.7
In Zone Swing % 49.1 49.4 0.3 51.4 2 51.8 0.4 46.2 -5.6 44.1 -2.1
Out of Zone Swing % 50.9 50.6 -0.3 48.6 -2 48.2 -0.4 53.8 5.6 55.9 2.1
First Pitch Swing % 27.7 22.8 -4.9 26.6 3.8 29.8 3.2 29.6 -0.2 28.4 -1.2
First Pitch Strike % 64.2 60.7 -3.5 64.4 3.7 69.4 5 62.3 -7.1 64.4 2.1
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 479 .307 252 15 6.0 227 22 9.7
2017 691 .293 359 29 8.1 332 57 17.2
2018 827 .250 412 39 9.5 415 180 43.4
2019 849 .304 474 24 5.1 375 140 37.3
2020 286 .268 150 42 28.0 136 56 41.2

Pitch Distribution