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Aaron Nola
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 200LBS | Age: 28

Draft: 2014 | Rd: 1, #7, Philadelphia Phillies | Louisiana State
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 9 9 4.63 32 32 0 180.2 223 1.13
7 Seasons 67 49 3.68 171 171 0 1023.1 1145 1.16
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 32 9-9 4.63 180.2 223 1.13
7 Seasons 171 67-49 3.68 1023.1 1145 1.16

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 22 1117 229 11 4.8 88.5 111.7 9.4 31.4 .232 .374 .305 .290 .342 33.2 21.4 6 3.59 3.61
2016 23 1796 327 12 3.7 87.2 115.4 6 30 .240 .355 .306 .283 .348 31.8 25.1 6 4.78 3.45
2017 24 2665 458 23 5 85.7 115.3 9 33.4 .224 .358 .293 .278 .345 31 26.6 7.1 3.54 3.34
2018 25 3212 542 25 4.6 87.1 112 9.1 27.9 .201 .313 .251 .257 .313 31.2 27 7 2.37 2.78
2019 26 3332 532 36 6.8 89.2 113.3 9.2 32.9 .235 .394 .304 .310 .380 39.5 26.9 9.4 3.87 4.32
2020 27 1148 168 9 5.4 88.3 114.4 8.6 34.5 .222 .355 .272 .283 .388 38.1 33.2 8 3.28 3.37
2021 28 2971 478 34 7.1 88.9 116 14.4 33.3 .223 .377 .297 .283 .374 37.4 29.8 5.2 4.63 3.37
16241 2734 150 5.5 87.8 116 9.7 31.7 .223 .360 .289 .283 .353 34.5 27.2 7
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .243 .403 .317 .313 .363 35.4 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nola relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(37.7%) ,
Curveball
(27%) ,
Changeup
(19.8%) ,
Sinker
(13.9%) ,
Cutter
(1.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1121 557 564 37.7 92.9 225 203 53 34 7 1 11 53 151 .261 .255 .468 .520 .343 .359 90.8 23 2198 6.9 22.5 19.4
2021 Curveball 801 392 409 27.0 78.5 232 222 47 24 13 0 10 91 134 .212 .188 .405 .311 .270 .228 86.5 11 2529 6.7 36.2 29.0
2021 Changeup 589 288 301 19.8 85.2 164 154 37 26 6 2 3 43 111 .240 .235 .364 .337 .283 .275 87.6 4 1511 6.7 32.4 20.7
2021 Sinker 414 185 229 13.9 92.0 114 105 26 20 2 2 2 36 70 .248 .215 .362 .305 .290 .257 89.3 16 2137 6.9 16.1 22.0
2021 Cutter 46 13 33 1.5 86.7 13 12 2 1 1 0 0 0 12 .167 .230 .250 .323 .216 .271 81.9 9 2179 6.8 14.8 0.0
2020 Changeup 314 164 150 27.4 84.9 75 71 16 11 5 0 0 23 48 .225 .228 .296 .259 .249 .242 82.5 -6 1518 6.8 36.0 23.5
2020 Curveball 306 156 150 26.7 78.6 99 91 17 8 4 0 5 48 43 .187 .180 .396 .343 .278 .259 88.9 12 2499 6.8 41.8 41.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 290 115 175 25.3 92.8 56 52 7 3 1 0 3 14 38 .135 .213 .327 .433 .225 .300 91.1 26 2181 7.0 29.2 25.9
2020 Sinker 238 148 90 20.7 91.7 57 49 14 11 2 0 1 11 39 .286 .302 .388 .434 .335 .364 90.3 5 2097 7.0 3.6 14.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 49.8 18.3 28.4 3.5 42.4 35.4 22.3 1.7 37.1 20.1 25.3 5.7 4.8
2016 56.9 14.1 24.8 4.3 41.3 36.4 22.3 4.6 40.4 16.5 27.5 4.3 3.7
2017 50.4 21.8 23.1 4.6 34.3 42.1 23.4 6.3 35.6 23.1 25.1 4.4 5
2018 52.4 17.7 22.9 7 39.5 38.9 21.6 3.7 40.4 23.1 22 4.4 4.6
2019 50.9 20.7 23.5 4.9 40.4 38.9 20.7 3 37.2 18.8 26.7 6.8 6.8
2020 49.4 13.7 29.2 7.7 35.7 39.9 24.4 4.8 38.1 20.2 25 6 5.4
2021 41.6 27 24.1 7.3 42.1 35.8 22.2 3.6 27.4 29.1 27.2 5.4 7.1
50 20 24.3 5.7 39.5 38.4 22.1 4 36.3 22.1 25.5 5.2 5.5
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Sinker PHI R 414 92 23.6 -0.9 -4 17.5 2.1 14
2021 Changeup PHI R 589 85.2 35.6 0.4 1 15 0.5 3
2021 Curveball PHI R 801 78.5 55.1 3 6 14.6 1.9 15
2021 Cutter PHI R 46 86.7 28.7 0.5 2 1 -1.3 -57
2021 4-Seamer PHI R 1121 92.9 17.6 -1.1 -6 13.3 5.2 64
2020 Changeup PHI R 314 84.9 35.5 0.5 1 14.5 0.4 3
2020 Sinker PHI R 238 91.7 24.4 -0.7 -3 17.4 2.4 16
2020 4-Seamer PHI R 289 92.8 18.1 -1.3 -8 13.9 5.6 68
2020 Curveball PHI R 306 78.6 54.8 4.1 8 15.1 2 15
2019 Curveball PHI R 1174 79.1 55.1 2.9 6 14.9 1.8 14
2019 Sinker PHI R 359 92.2 24 -0.3 -1 16.6 1.6 11
2019 Changeup PHI R 618 85.8 33.2 -0.1 0 14.9 -0.3 -2
2019 4-Seamer PHI R 1180 93.1 18.2 -0.9 -5 12.9 4.2 48
2018 Changeup PHI R 635 84.8 36.1 1.5 4 14.7 0 0
2018 Curveball PHI R 992 78 56.1 2.2 4 16.4 3.3 25
2018 4-Seamer PHI R 1171 92.7 18.9 -1.8 -10 12.6 4.1 48
2018 Sinker PHI R 413 91.4 25.2 0.3 1 17 2 14
2017 4-Seamer PHI R 864 92.3 18.1 -1.3 -8 10.4 1.3 15
2017 Curveball PHI R 820 77.4 54.8 1.8 3 19.2 6.9 56
2017 Changeup PHI R 414 83.8 35.9 2.7 8 12.8 -1.5 -10
2017 Sinker PHI R 564 91.4 24.2 0.5 2 15.1 -0.4 -3
2016 Curveball PHI R 601 76.8 54 0.3 1 14.9 4 36
2016 Changeup PHI R 153 82.3 37.8 3 9 16.1 2 14
2016 Sinker PHI R 846 90.6 24.8 0.5 2 19.1 3.2 20
2016 4-Seamer PHI R 183 90.9 18.7 -0.6 -4 13.5 3.7 38
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Cutter -0.9 0 46 1.5 13 .167 .25 .288 14.8 0 0 .23 .323 .271 25
2021 Sinker 0.8 3 414 13.9 114 .248 .362 .295 16.1 31.6 22 .215 .305 .257 35.7
2021 Changeup 1 6 589 19.8 164 .24 .364 .315 32.4 26.2 20.7 .235 .337 .275 36.9
2021 4-Seamer -0.3 -4 1121 37.7 225 .261 .468 .351 22.5 23.6 19.4 .255 .52 .36 46.4
2021 Curveball -0.6 -4 801 27 232 .212 .405 .276 36.2 39.2 29 .188 .311 .227 29.9
2020 4-Seamer -1.8 -5 290 25.3 56 .135 .327 .244 29.2 25 25.9 .213 .433 .3 44.7
2020 Sinker 1.2 3 238 20.7 57 .286 .388 .354 3.6 19.3 14.1 .302 .434 .363 46.2
2020 Changeup -0.7 -2 314 27.4 75 .225 .296 .253 36 30.7 23.5 .228 .259 .242 25
2020 Curveball -1.6 -5 306 26.7 99 .187 .396 .281 41.8 48.5 41 .18 .343 .259 39.5
2019 Sinker 0.3 1 359 10.8 112 .294 .412 .336 9 25 20.7 .277 .424 .335 49.3
2019 Changeup -0.7 -4 618 18.5 155 .204 .345 .286 30.7 23.9 22.6 .213 .346 .275 33.3
2019 4-Seamer 0.2 2 1180 35.4 252 .269 .509 .389 19.1 21.8 19.4 .259 .484 .368 44.7
2019 Curveball -1.5 -18 1174 35.2 330 .201 .328 .269 34.1 33 26.7 .214 .343 .275 34.7
2018 Sinker -1.4 -6 413 12.9 112 .182 .242 .261 14.6 20.5 20.9 .187 .29 .263 34.2
2018 Changeup -0.3 -2 636 19.8 184 .24 .404 .317 29.7 20.1 20 .227 .337 .276 33.3
2018 Curveball -2.6 -26 992 30.9 260 .155 .249 .202 40.5 41.5 32.5 .146 .213 .181 26.4
2018 4-Seamer -1.3 -15 1171 36.5 272 .216 .336 .28 18.7 20.6 15.1 .243 .407 .316 31.9
2017 Changeup 0 0 414 15.5 101 .312 .398 .342 30.1 14.9 17.6 .267 .372 .307 28.2
2017 Sinker 0.3 2 564 21.2 162 .315 .497 .394 7.5 15.4 20 .279 .482 .351 37.1
2017 4-Seamer -0.3 -2 865 32.5 190 .23 .448 .349 20.9 26.3 20.9 .218 .39 .318 39.1
2017 Curveball -2.7 -22 820 30.8 238 .172 .258 .192 38.3 39.5 29.2 .174 .25 .187 20.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 302 84.9 99 15.5 2:30 3:00 -30
2020 Curveball 297 78.6 86 20.5 7:45 7:45 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 271 92.8 98 19.4 1:45 1:30 15
2020 Sinker 225 91.8 96 19.6 1:45 2:15 -30
2021 Changeup 587 85.2 99 16.1 2:30 3:00 -30
2021 Curveball 795 78.5 87 20.1 7:45 7:45 0
2021 Cutter 46 86.7 47 6.7 1:00 11:45 75
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1120 92.9 97 19.3 1:30 1:30 0
2021 Sinker 413 92 96 19.8 1:30 2:15 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 317 1111 -7 -8 8 4 -4
2016 480 1789 3 -17 7 8 2
2017 691 2663 -21 -25 16 8 -22
2018 828 3212 -27 -46 15 9 -49
2019 849 3331 -10 -34 11 14 -19
2020 287 1148 -3 -11 1 4 -9
2021 748 2971 -7 -21 18 10 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1117 49.1 59.5 83.4 29.7 63.9 44.7 64.2 44.3 21 7.3 67.9
2016 1796 49.2 55.3 83 29.8 59.9 44.8 60.7 42.3 24.3 5.8 51.9
2017 2665 51.4 61.5 78.8 27.9 57.3 45.7 64.4 45.2 26.1 7.6 66.8
2018 3212 51.8 64.1 77.6 29.8 57.1 45.1 69.4 47.6 27.5 7.9 71.8
2019 3332 46.2 58.8 83.1 32.3 56.8 44.6 62.3 44.6 26.5 5.8 67.7
2020 1148 44 60.6 79.1 36.5 54.9 46 64.4 47.1 31.2 5.4 66.1
2021 2971 51.4 66.5 79 30.8 54.2 45.1 66.6 49.2 27.9 7.5 73
16241 49.5 61.6 80.1 30.8 57.1 45.1 64.9 46 26.6 6.9 68
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 64 57 52 46 73 59 55 34 47 58 73 34 64 29 15 83
2016 78 55 73 82 71 61 89 82 70 77 79 61 78 19 9 65
2017 80 76 75 72 86 28 68 85 68 79 71 64 80 38 18 63
2018 94 88 88 87 94 28 83 82 82 76 69 69 94 46 21 62
2019 49 56 57 58 43 10 53 33 23 72 30 59 49 49 27 62
2020 75 66 68 69 74 28 70 51 45 91 57 78 75 42 22 49
2021 79 69 61 54 89 13 59 48 60 86 92 65 79 36 36 62
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.3 27 24.5 3 9 18 11 40.7
2020 23.2 9 9.3 0 1 4 1 11.1
2021 23.6 26 26.5 -1 12 15 0 0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 27 23 29 24 26 24 24 28 26 26 29 24 19 21 22 27 22 30 21 28 17 22 22 27 23 28 26 23 26 21 27
2020 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 10 8 8 8 10 8 6 9 10 7 10 9 9 7 9 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 8 10
2021 26 26 25 23 27 22 24 25 18 29 31 27 15 17 21 26 18 28 22 26 11 22 23 26 25 29 24 23 26 20 30
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.1 90.7 -0.4 91.9 1.2 92.4 0.5 92.8 0.4 92.3 -0.5 92.5 0.2
Offspeed Velocity 82.7 82.3 -0.4 83.8 1.5 84.8 1 85.8 1 84.9 -0.9 85.2 0.3
Breaking Velocity 77.1 76.8 -0.3 77.4 0.6 78 0.6 79.1 1.1 78.6 -0.5 78.5 -0.1
Exit Velocity 88.5 87.2 -1.3 85.7 -1.5 87.1 1.4 89.2 2.1 88.3 -0.9 88.9 0.6
Launch Angle 9.4 6 -3.4 9 3 9.1 0.1 9.2 0.1 8.6 -0.6 14.4 5.8
Barrel % 4.8 3.7 -1.1 5 1.3 4.6 -0.4 6.8 2.2 5.4 -1.4 7.1 1.7
Hard Hit % 33.2 31.8 -1.4 31 -0.8 31.2 0.2 39.5 8.3 38.1 -1.4 37.4 -0.7
Sweet Spot % 31.4 30 -1.4 33.4 3.4 27.9 -5.5 32.9 5 34.5 1.6 33.3 -1.2
xBA .232 .24 0.008 .224 -0.016 .201 -0.023 .235 0.034 .222 -0.013 .223 0.001
BA .251 .264 0.013 .241 -0.023 .197 -0.044 .233 0.036 .205 -0.028 .237 0.032
xwOBA .29 .283 -0.007 .278 -0.005 .257 -0.021 .31 0.053 .283 -0.027 .283 0
wOBA .305 .306 0.001 .293 -0.013 .251 -0.042 .304 0.053 .272 -0.032 .297 0.025
xSLG .374 .355 -0.019 .358 0.003 .313 -0.045 .394 0.081 .355 -0.039 .377 0.022
SLG .403 .396 -0.007 .383 -0.013 .311 -0.072 .393 0.082 .354 -0.039 .405 0.051
K% 21.4 25.1 3.7 26.6 1.5 27 0.4 26.9 -0.1 33.2 6.3 29.8 -3.4
BB% 6 6 0 7.1 1.1 7 -0.1 9.4 2.4 8 -1.4 5.2 -2.8
Swing % 44.3 42.3 -2 45.2 2.9 47.6 2.4 44.6 -3 47.1 2.5 49.2 2.1
Whiff% 21 24.3 3.3 26.1 1.8 27.5 1.4 26.5 -1 31.2 4.7 27.9 -3.3
In Zone % 49.1 49.2 0.1 51.4 2.2 51.8 0.4 46.2 -5.6 44 -2.2 51.4 7.4
Out of Zone % 50.9 50.8 -0.1 48.6 -2.2 48.2 -0.4 53.8 5.6 56 2.2 48.6 -7.4
Out of Zone Swing % 29.7 29.8 0.1 27.9 -1.9 29.8 1.9 32.3 2.5 36.5 4.2 30.8 -5.7
First Pitch Swing % 28.6 23.4 -5.2 27.1 3.7 30.7 3.6 30.4 -0.3 28.4 -2 33.4 5
First Pitch Strike % 64.2 60.7 -3.5 64.4 3.7 69.4 5 62.3 -7.1 64.4 2.1 66.6 2.2
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 473 .305 250 15 6.0 223 22 9.9
2017 691 .293 359 29 8.1 332 57 17.2
2018 828 .251 412 39 9.5 416 180 43.3
2019 849 .304 474 24 5.1 375 140 37.3
2020 286 .272 150 42 28.0 136 56 41.2
2021 742 .297 375 38 10.1 367 115 31.3

Pitch Distribution