Aaron Blair
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 5" 220LBS | Age: 30

Draft: 2013 | Rd: CB-A, #36, Arizona Diamondbacks | Marshall

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2017 0 1 15.00 1 1 0 3.0 3 3.33
2 Seasons 2 8 7.89 16 16 0 73.0 49 1.73
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2017 1 0-1 15.00 3.0 3 3.33
2 Seasons 16 2-8 7.89 73.0 49 1.73

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2016 24 1214 238 17 7.1 5.2 89.1 114.4 13.6 31.5 .269 .474 .383 .354 .371 35.7 14.2 10.5 7.59 5.45
2017 25 75 11 3 27.3 15.8 92.3 105.9 4.8 27.3 .399 .891 .555 .550 .644 54.5 15.8 26.3 15.00 18.50
Player 1289 249 20 8.0 5.8 89.3 114.4 13.3 31.3 .275 .491 .393 .365 .382 36.5 14.3 11.4
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Blair relies on 5 pitches.
Sinker
(45.9%) ,
Slider
(24.3%) ,
Changeup
(12.2%) ,
Curveball
(10.8%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(6.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2016 41.6 22.7 27.7 8.0 41.6 38.2 20.2 1.7 31.5 26.5 23.9 6.3 7.1 5.2
2017 54.5 27.3 18.2 0.0 36.4 54.5 9.1 9.1 18.2 9.1 27.3 0.0 27.3 15.8
Player 42.2 22.9 27.3 7.6 41.4 39.0 19.7 2.0 30.9 25.7 24.1 6.0 8.0 5.8
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2017 Changeup ATL R 9 84.5 35.8 6.0 20 15.3 1.8 14
2017 Curveball ATL R 8 76.5 53.9 -1.6 -3 1.3 -8.4 -87
2017 Sinker ATL R 34 91.6 21.9 0.4 2 10.9 -3.9 -26
2017 4-Seamer ATL R 5 91.6 18.8 -3.3 -21 8.2 0.5 6
2017 Slider ATL R 18 81.5 40.0 0.9 2 1.5 -4.8 -76
2016 4-Seamer ATL R 559 91.5 17.1 -1.6 -10 8.3 0.8 11
2016 Changeup ATL R 250 84.9 29.8 0.4 1 9.3 -3.6 -28
2016 Sinker ATL R 131 91.4 21.1 0.3 2 15.0 1.0 7
2016 Curveball ATL R 241 78.6 46.4 -5.9 -11 5.5 -5.1 -48
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2017 Sinker 0.5 0 34 45.3 10 .500 .667 .572 23.1 0.0 0.0 .479 .770 .592 71.4
2017 Slider 2.7 0 18 24.0 5 .250 1.000 .540 77.8 60.0 37.5 .220 .841 .475 0.0
2017 Changeup -0.2 0 9 12.0 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .273 .273 .246 0.0
2017 Curveball 1.7 0 8 10.7 2 -- -- .350 80.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- .358 0.0
2017 4-Seamer 40.7 2 5 6.7 1 1.000 3.000 1.600 33.3 0.0 -- .760 2.436 1.285 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 1,214 43.2 70.9 86.3 28.3 59.5 40.1 56.5 46.7 21.9 6.1 71.6
2017 75 39.2 75.9 59.1 22.2 40.0 40.5 73.7 42.7 46.9 2.7 100.0
Player 1,289 43.0 71.1 84.8 27.9 58.5 40.1 57.4 46.5 23.2 5.9 72.4
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2016 9 20 11 9 6 42 24 32 37 8 15 40 42 31 25 9 90
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 23.9 14 14.8 -1 4 9 8 57.1
2017 14.9 1 0.6 0 1 1 0 0.0
Player 23.2 15 15.4 0 5 10 8 53.3

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 14 13 17 12 16 17 14 16 15 11 16 17 11 15 16 16 15 15 13 15 18 11 14 13 12 17 19 15 11 16 18
2017 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1
Player 15 14 18 12 17 19 15 16 16 11 17 18 11 16 17 17 15 16 13 16 20 11 14 13 12 18 20 15 11 16 19
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.5 0.1
Offspeed Velocity 84.9 -0.4
Breaking Velocity 78.6 1.4
Exit Velocity 89.1 3.2
Launch Angle 13.6 -8.8
Barrel % 7.1 20.2
Hard Hit % 35.7 18.8
Sweet Spot % 31.5 -4.2
xBA .269 0.13
BA .299 0.118
xwOBA .354 0.196
wOBA .383 0.172
xSLG .474 0.417
SLG .54 0.377
K% 14.2 1.6
BB% 10.5 15.8
Swing % 46.7 -4
Whiff% 21.9 25
In Zone % 43.2 -4
Out of Zone % 56.8 4
Out of Zone Swing % 28.3 -6.1
First Pitch Swing % 28.7 13.4
First Pitch Strike % 56.5 17.2
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 316 .381 162 13 8.0 154 42 27.3
2017 19 .555 8 1 12.5 11 1 9.1

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2016 357 16.9 29.1% 3.6% 188 23.9 2.7% 17.0%
2017 15 17.3 13.3% 6.7% 16 23.0 0.0% 18.8%
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Pitch Distribution