P | San Diego Padres
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 200 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 3, No. 97, Oakland Athletics | Gardner-Webb University
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 2 2 2.49 55 0 28 65 104 0.88
2025 1 2 2.63 60 0 22 61.2 104 0.91
2026 1 1 0.94 28 0 18 28.2 56 0.84
4 Seasons 4 8 2.53 153 6 68 188.2 302 0.94
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 55 2-2 2.49 65 104 0.88
2025 60 1-2 2.63 61.2 104 0.91
2026 28 1-1 0.94 28.2 56 0.84
4 Seasons 153 4-8 2.53 188.2 302 0.94
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 24 609 82 3 3.7 2.2 89.2 112.4 23.8 35.4 .185 .311 .280 .279 .311 34.1 27.3 11.5 3.78 3.23
2024 25 1024 123 7 5.7 2.8 86.1 109.8 17.9 28.5 .149 .233 .218 .210 .312 32.5 41.8 8.4 2.49 1.78
2025 26 972 101 10 10.0 4.3 87.9 107.2 16.4 36.6 .157 .279 .225 .249 .392 37.6 44.4 12.0 2.63 2.53
2026 27 480 42 0 0.0 0.0 82.6 101.6 9.5 28.6 .105 .127 .174 .166 .236 14.3 50.9 10.9 0.94 1.14
Player 3085 348 20 5.8 2.7 86.9 112.4 17.9 32.5 .151 .246 .225 .229 .325 32.2 41.3 10.5
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Miller relies on 4 pitches.
Slider
(55.2%) ,
Four Seamer
(41.7%) ,
Changeup
(2.9%) ,
Sinker
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 25.6 74.4 34.1 25.6 14.6 24.4 35.4 40.2 11.0 8.5 6.1 13.4 26.8 34.1
2024 40.7 59.3 26.8 21.1 11.4 29.3 37.4 33.3 17.1 17.9 5.7 12.2 19.5 27.6
2025 41.6 58.4 27.7 21.8 8.9 38.6 40.6 20.8 21.8 13.9 5.9 16.8 26.7 14.9
2026 54.8 45.2 23.8 16.7 4.8 42.9 16.7 40.5 33.3 9.5 11.9 9.5 7.1 28.6
Player 39.1 60.9 28.4 21.8 10.6 32.5 35.3 32.2 19.0 13.5 6.6 13.5 21.8 25.6
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 4.9 17.1 42.7 24.4 7.3 3.7 2.2
2024 3.3 28.5 32.5 25.2 4.9 5.7 2.8
2025 5.0 26.7 27.7 22.8 5.9 10.0 4.3
2026 9.5 42.9 28.6 16.7 2.4 0.0 0.0
Player 4.9 27.0 33.0 23.3 5.5 5.8 2.7
MLB 4.0 32.3 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker SD R 1 100.9 8.8 -6.4 3.6ARM -10.6 18.1 -10.5 3.6ARM -11.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball SD R 200 101.2 9.8 0.5 5.9ARM -0.8 16.9 1.0 5.9ARM -1.9
2026 Changeup SD R 14 96.2 26.1 0.3 15.2ARM 0.0 3.5 0.5 15.2ARM 0.6
2026 Slider SD R 265 87.8 39.9 6.1 10.2GLV 6.1 -4.1 5.5 10.2GLV 6.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball SD R 507 101.2 10.0 0.7 8.6ARM 0.9 16.9 1.1 8.6ARM 1.0
2025 Changeup SD R 22 92.9 26.3 -1.2 14.4ARM -1.4 5.5 -1.4 14.4ARM -0.1
2025 Slider SD R 443 87.8 37.2 4.1 8.6GLV 4.7 -1.6 3.4 8.6GLV 4.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Slider 2.7 7 265 55.2 60 .107 .107 .148 59.4 61.7 40.7 .055 .063 .106 5.3
2026 4-Seam Fastball 2.0 4 200 41.7 48 .154 .154 .229 40.8 37.5 29.0 .177 .222 .260 22.7
2026 Changeup 1.4 0 14 2.9 2 .000 .000 .000 20.0 50.0 100.0 .079 .096 .073 0.0
2026 Sinker 4.6 0 1 0.2 -- -- -- 100.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.2 1 507 52.2 125 .163 .388 .331 37.5 38.4 27.7 .168 .362 .323 49.1
2025 Slider 3.7 16 443 45.6 105 .108 .108 .114 54.6 52.4 37.4 .142 .198 .163 25.5
2025 Changeup -1.3 0 22 2.3 2 .500 .500 .450 62.5 50.0 16.7 .423 .516 .411 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 13 96.2 79 16.7 1:45 2:45 -60
2026 4-Seam Fastball 195 101.2 86 17.9 12:45 12:45 0
2026 Slider 255 87.7 61 12.6 7:15 8:00 -45
2025 Changeup 22 92.9 91 15.9 1:45 2:30 -45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 507 101.2 93 18.8 1:00 1:00 0
2025 Slider 442 87.8 48 9.8 7:45 8:15 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 139 609 4 8 -5 -3 4
2024 246 1,024 8 15 -1 -2 19
2025 232 972 8 14 -1 -4 17
2026 110 480 6 7 0 -2 11
Player 727 3,085 26 43 -7 26 52
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 609 49.1 67.9 81.8 25.5 53.2 41.4 55.4 46.3 26.2 6.1 75.7
2024 1,024 50.6 66.8 70.8 37.5 40.0 43.5 65.0 52.3 40.1 7.9 77.8
2025 972 46.0 66.9 70.2 35.4 30.1 41.8 58.2 49.9 45.2 8.2 77.5
2026 480 44.2 55.7 66.9 36.2 29.9 40.8 59.1 44.8 49.8 7.1 38.2
Player 3,085 47.8 65.4 72.5 34.3 36.8 42.1 60.1 49.2 40.5 7.5 71.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2023 96 83 66
2024 92 90 91 65 100 100 95 96 99 100 100 44 83 92 41 78
2025 91 47 100 50 97 100 97 82 98 100 100 6 21 71 49 75
2026 95 78 98 56 100 100 97 100 93 100 100 25 100 100 93 80
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 26.44 2 1.8 0 1 2 1 50.0
2024 23.48 6 3.9 2 1 3 2 33.3
2025 23.47 5 4.6 0 4 2 3 60.0
Player 23.93 13 10.3 3 6 7 6 46.2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 2 1 3 1 2 2 3 1 2 1 3 4 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 3 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 3 1 3 1
2024 6 4 4 4 3 5 4 3 4 3 3 4 4 3 5 3 4 4 4 5 4 3 5 5 3 4 4 4 4 3 4
2025 5 4 3 6 7 4 4 4 5 4 4 5 6 7 4 4 5 4 4 6 4 4 6 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 5
Player 13 9 10 11 12 11 11 8 11 8 10 13 11 11 11 9 11 9 9 14 9 8 13 10 9 9 10 12 9 10 10
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .124 -.015 .139 -.021 .160 -.043 .203
xBA .105 -.052 .157 +.008 .149 -.036 .185
OBP .218 -.028 .246 +.013 .233 -.076 .309
xOBP .202 -.063 .265 +.039 .226 -.073 .299
SLG .124 -.124 .248 -.014 .262 -.043 .305
xSLG .127 -.152 .279 +.046 .233 -.078 .311
ISO .000 -.109 .109 +.007 .102 .000 .102
xISO .023 -.099 .122 +.038 .084 -.042 .126
BABIP .286 +.041 .245 -.011 .256 -.019 .275
wOBA .174 -.051 .225 +.007 .218 -.062 .280
xwOBA .166 -.083 .249 +.039 .210 -.069 .279
wOBAcon .256 -.077 .333 +.003 .330 +.018 .312
xwOBAcon .236 -.156 .392 +.080 .312 +.001 .311
BACON .286 +.003 .283 -.010 .293 .000 .293
xBACON .243 -.087 .330 +.050 .280 +.005 .275
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 14.3 -23.3 37.6 +5.1 32.5 -1.6 34.1
Avg Exit Velocity 82.6 -5.3 87.9 +1.8 86.1 -3.1 89.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 28.6 -8.0 36.6 +8.1 28.5 -6.9 35.4
Barrel % 0.0 -10.0 10.0 +4.3 5.7 +2.0 3.7
Avg Launch Angle 9.5 -6.9 16.4 -1.5 17.9 -5.9 23.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 70.1 -0.1 70.2 -0.2 70.4 +0.8 69.6
Attack Angle 10° +1° +2° -2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 50.0 +7.3 42.7 -3.5 46.2 -6.5 52.7
Attack Direction -4° -4° -1° -4° +2°
Swing Path - Tilt 31° +1° 30° -1° 31° 31°
Swing Length 7.3 +0.1 7.2 +0.1 7.1 -0.1 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 101.2 0.0 101.2 +0.3 100.9 +3.3 97.6
Breaking Velocity 87.8 0.0 87.8 +0.3 87.5 +1.5 86.0
Offspeed Velocity 96.2 +3.3 92.9 0.0 92.9 +1.6 91.3
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 0 -10 10 +3 7 +4 3
Popup % 4.8 -4.1 8.9 -2.5 11.4 -3.2 14.6
Flyball % 23.8 -3.9 27.7 +0.9 26.8 -7.3 34.1
Line Drive % 16.7 -5.1 21.8 +0.7 21.1 -4.5 25.6
Groundball % 54.8 +13.2 41.6 +0.9 40.7 +15.1 25.6
Pull % 42.9 +4.3 38.6 +9.3 29.3 +4.9 24.4
Straight Away % 16.7 -23.9 40.6 +3.2 37.4 +2.0 35.4
Opposite Field % 40.5 +19.7 20.8 -12.5 33.3 -6.9 40.2
Weak Contact % 9.5 +4.5 5.0 +1.7 3.3 -1.6 4.9
Pull Airball % 9.5 -7.3 16.8 +4.6 12.2 -1.2 13.4
Topped Contact % 42.9 +16.2 26.7 -1.8 28.5 +11.4 17.1
Under Contact % 28.6 +0.9 27.7 -4.8 32.5 -10.2 42.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 16.7 -6.1 22.8 -2.4 25.2 +0.8 24.4
Solid Contact % 2.4 -3.5 5.9 +1.0 4.9 -2.4 7.3
HR/FB % 0.0 -17.9 17.9 -0.3 18.2 +11.1 7.1
Popups 2 -7 9 -5 14 +2 12
Flyballs 10 -18 28 -5 33 +5 28
Line Drives 7 -15 22 -4 26 +5 21
Groundballs 23 -19 42 -8 50 +29 21
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 44.2 -1.8 46.0 -4.6 50.6 +1.5 49.1
Out of Zone % 55.8 +1.8 54.0 +4.6 49.4 -1.5 50.9
Edge % 40.8 -1.0 41.8 -1.7 43.5 +2.1 41.4
Zone Swing % 55.7 -11.2 66.9 +0.1 66.8 -1.1 67.9
Out of Zone Swing % 36.2 +0.8 35.4 -2.1 37.5 +12.0 25.5
In Zone Contact % 66.9 -3.3 70.2 -0.6 70.8 -11.0 81.8
Out of Zone Contact % 29.9 -0.2 30.1 -9.9 40.0 -13.2 53.2
Whiff % 49.8 +4.6 45.2 +5.1 40.1 +13.9 26.2
First Strike % 59.1 +0.9 58.2 -6.8 65.0 +9.6 55.4
First Pitch Swing % 23.6 -11.3 34.9 -1.7 36.6 +10.7 25.9
Swing % 44.8 -5.1 49.9 -2.4 52.3 +6.0 46.3
Meatball Swing % 38.2 -39.3 77.5 -0.3 77.8 +2.1 75.7
Meatball % 7.1 -1.1 8.2 +0.3 7.9 +1.8 6.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 33.1 +3.3 29.8 +0.6 29.2 +11.0 18.2
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 70.1 +0.2 69.9 +9.9 60.0 +13.2 46.8
In Zone 212 -235 447 -71 518 +219 299
Out of Zone 268 -257 525 +19 506 +196 310
Edge 196 -210 406 -39 445 +193 252
In Zone Swings 118 -181 299 -47 346 +143 203
Out of Zone Swings 97 -89 186 -4 190 +111 79
In Zone Swing & Misses 39 -50 89 -12 101 +64 37
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 68 -62 130 +16 114 +77 37
Basic
Pitches 480 -492 972 -52 1,024 +415 609
PA 110 -124 234 -15 249 +110 139
AB 97 -105 202 -23 225 +107 118
Hits 12 -16 28 -8 36 +12 24
Singles 12 -6 18 -7 25 +8 17
Doubles 0 -3 3 -2 5 +1 4
Triples 0 -2 2 +2 0 -1 1
Home Runs 0 -5 5 -1 6 +4 2
Walks 12 -16 28 +7 21 +5 16
Strikeouts 56 -48 104 0 104 +66 38
K% 50.9 +6.5 44.4 +2.6 41.8 +14.5 27.3
BB% 10.9 -1.1 12.0 +3.6 8.4 -3.1 11.5
HBP 0 -1 1 0 1 -2 3
Batted Balls 42 -59 101 -22 123 +41 82
Fastball Percent 41.9 -10.3 52.2 -10.9 63.1 -5.2 68.3
Offspeed Percent 2.9 +0.6 2.3 +0.3 2.0 -5.2 7.2
Breaking Percent 55.2 +9.6 45.6 +10.6 35.0 +10.5 24.5
Number of Fastballs 201 -306 507 -139 646 +230 416
Number of Offspeed 14 -8 22 +2 20 -24 44
Number of Breaking 265 -178 443 +85 358 +209 149
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 139 .280 77 0 0.0 62 32 51.6
2024 Shades 246 .218 136 0 0.0 110 34 30.9
2025 Shades 232 .225 132 0 0.0 100 42 42.0
2026 Shades 107 .179 54 0 0.0 53 40 75.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 179 15.0 49.2% 0.6% 87 19.6 2.3% 0.0%
2024 278 15.3 38.5% 0.4% 130 17.9 3.1% 0.0%
2025 242 16.3 23.1% 0.0% 145 18.8 2.1% 0.0%
2026 118 16.5 16.1% 1.7% 74 18.8 0.0% 9.5%

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Pitch Distribution