P | Cleveland Guardians
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 6" 230 lbs | Age: 29
Draft: 2018 | Rd. 29, No. 883, Cleveland Indians | Indiana
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 5 1 1.92 75 0 0 65.2 68 0.97
2025 5 4 4.85 54 0 0 42.2 45 1.57
2026 3 4 2.98 64 0 0 54.1 51 1.27
4 Seasons 14 10 3.40 216 0 0 190.1 196 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 75 5-1 1.92 65.2 68 0.97
2025 54 5-4 4.85 42.2 45 1.57
2026 64 3-4 2.98 54.1 51 1.27
4 Seasons 216 14-10 3.40 190.1 196 1.27
Player Apps
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Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Team Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 26 509 75 5 6.7 4.1 87.8 108.7 11.7 34.7 .243 .439 .338 .336 .414 37.3 26.4 9.9 5.53 4.83
2024 27 1011 159 11 6.9 4.3 86.9 111.5 7.4 28.3 .205 .330 .236 .285 .332 36.5 26.5 9.7 1.92 3.27
2025 28 750 113 6 5.4 3.1 88.3 108.5 14.5 29.2 .223 .349 .339 .324 .342 42.5 23.2 15.5 4.85 4.39
2026 29 930 145 12 8.3 5.2 87.6 110.5 11.8 29.7 .203 .346 .301 .300 .322 37.9 22.3 12.2 2.98 3.79
Player 3200 492 34 6.9 4.2 87.6 111.5 11.0 29.9 .215 .356 .295 .306 .343 38.4 24.5 11.9
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.6 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Herrin relies on 5 pitches.
Curveball
(29.7%) ,
Slider
(25.2%) ,
Sinker
(24.3%) ,
Four Seamer
(20.4%) ,
Changeup
(0.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 46.7 53.3 28.0 21.3 4.0 37.3 37.3 25.3 24.0 20.0 2.7 13.3 17.3 22.7
2024 51.6 48.4 22.6 18.9 6.9 39.6 44.7 15.7 25.8 23.9 1.9 13.8 20.8 13.8
2025 41.6 58.4 29.2 21.2 8.0 32.7 42.5 24.8 18.6 16.8 6.2 14.2 25.7 18.6
2026 46.2 53.8 25.5 19.3 9.0 42.1 37.2 20.7 22.1 20.7 3.4 20.0 16.6 17.2
Player 47.0 53.0 25.8 19.9 7.3 38.4 40.9 20.7 22.8 20.7 3.5 15.7 20.1 17.3
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.0 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.9 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 9.3 32.0 18.7 21.3 10.7 6.7 4.1
2024 5.0 42.1 22.0 18.2 5.7 6.9 4.3
2025 2.7 29.2 26.5 27.4 8.0 5.4 3.1
2026 6.9 35.2 23.4 17.2 9.0 8.3 5.2
Player 5.7 35.6 23.0 20.5 7.9 6.9 4.2
MLB 4.1 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
SeasonPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2026 Curveball L 276 80.2 46.0 -7.2 11.3GLV 3.0 -3.3 -6.8 11.3GLV 3.3
2026 Sinker L 226 93.7 26.1 3.5 15.2ARM 0.2 5.2 2.5 15.2ARM -0.1
2026 4-Seam Fastball L 190 94.7 18.4 -3.6 7.0ARM -0.7 12.0 -3.5 7.0ARM -0.9
2026 Changeup L 4 87.1 31.7 0.2 9.8ARM -4.1 4.2 0.6 9.8ARM -4.1
2026 Slider L 234 87.2 33.6 -0.8 0.1ARM -3.9 2.5 -0.9 0.1ARM -4.6
2025 4-Seam Fastball L 195 94.7 17.8 -3.0 8.1ARM 0.4 12.6 -3.3 8.1ARM 0.0
2025 Curveball L 295 81.3 44.6 -7.4 10.9GLV 2.7 -3.0 -6.7 10.9GLV 3.1
2025 Slider L 134 87.4 33.9 0.1 0.6GLV -3.5 2.2 -0.1 0.6GLV -3.4
2025 Sinker L 126 93.5 28.0 4.4 16.0ARM 0.6 3.5 4.0 16.0ARM 0.6
! Note: Seasons are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Season Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Curveball 0.6 2 276 29.7 68 .155 .207 .230 35.8 32.4 21.4 .155 .261 .238 28.9
2026 Slider 0.0 0 234 25.2 52 .191 .468 .300 45.5 30.8 18.0 .194 .419 .301 53.1
2026 Sinker 1.1 3 226 24.3 55 .255 .383 .331 19.4 7.3 13.3 .263 .379 .331 38.6
2026 4-Seam Fastball -1.2 -2 190 20.4 51 .297 .432 .380 17.6 17.6 19.6 .214 .344 .346 32.3
2026 Changeup -1.3 0 4 0.4 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2025 Curveball 1.2 4 295 39.3 89 .137 .205 .239 43.2 38.2 25.4 .121 .196 .233 22.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball -2.8 -5 195 26.0 50 .378 .568 .498 12.2 10.0 15.6 .342 .524 .446 60.6
2025 Slider -0.1 0 134 17.9 30 .286 .536 .348 29.0 13.3 16.7 .303 .462 .330 52.0
2025 Sinker -2.2 -3 126 16.8 23 .294 .529 .480 18.9 8.7 12.5 .280 .453 .416 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Season Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Curveball 276 80.2 58 13.3 4:30 3:45 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 189 94.7 70 13.4 10:30 11:00 -30
2026 Sinker 222 93.7 73 16.6 10:30 9:30 60
2026 Slider 234 87.2 12 2.4 1:45 12:00 105
2025 Curveball 295 81.3 53 12.8 4:30 3:45 45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 195 94.7 70 14.7 10:30 10:45 -15
2025 Sinker 119 93.5 70 17.0 10:15 9:15 60
2025 Slider 134 87.4 13 2.5 2:30 1:45 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Season Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 121 509 4 3 -4 -3 -1
2024 256 1,011 15 12 -4 -7 16
2025 192 750 3 2 -4 -6 -5
2026 226 930 6 7 -7 -4 2
Player 795 3,200 29 23 -20 29 12
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 509 48.7 65.7 85.9 30.3 46.8 42.2 52.1 47.5 26.9 8.4 67.4
2024 1,011 50.0 63.0 81.1 31.0 49.7 43.6 62.1 47.0 29.3 6.9 70.0
2025 750 45.6 60.2 84.5 26.2 43.9 40.7 55.2 41.7 29.4 7.6 78.9
2026 930 44.5 65.9 79.9 31.0 50.6 39.2 53.3 46.6 30.9 7.6 83.1
Player 3,200 47.2 63.6 82.3 29.7 48.3 41.4 56.4 45.7 29.4 7.5 75.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Season Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed 		xERA Fastball
MPH 		Fastball
Spin 		Curve
Spin 		Avg
EV 		Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit% 		GB% Extension
2023 89 83 46 74
2024 89 76 96 81 65 73 29 89 75 78 75 25 68 69 88 62
2025 47 69 23 50
2026 49 40 61 52 65 44 52 18 73 55 88 50 9 35 53 71 50
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Season Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 24.62 3 5.1 -2 1 6 1 33.3
2024 28.28 2 2.9 -1 1 2 2 100.0
2025 23.42 5 4.9 0 0 5 1 20.0
2026 25.21 5 4.5 1 2 3 2 40.0
Player 24.90 15 17.4 -2 4 16 6 40.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Season HR
2023 3 4 2 5 6 5 6 4 6 2 5 6 5 4 6 5 7 4 6 7 5 6 8 8 2 2 6 6 5 6 4
2024 2 3 3 3 2 3 4 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 2 4 3 4 3
2025 5 5 3 5 5 6 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 6 6 5 6 5 5 5 5 3 6 5 5 3 4 6 5 5 5
2026 5 4 3 4 5 5 4 4 5 5 4 5 2 4 5 4 4 4 4 5 4 7 5 5 4 4 3 5 6 5 6
Player 15 16 11 17 18 19 19 15 18 13 17 19 14 17 20 16 21 15 18 20 17 19 23 21 14 12 15 21 19 20 18
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .217 -.022 ↓ .239 +.066 ↑ .173 -.106 ↓ .279
xBA .203 -.020 ↓ .223 +.018 ↑ .205 -.038 ↓ .243
OBP .325 -.051 ↓ .376 +.106 ↑ .270 -.091 ↓ .361
xOBP .312 -.047 ↓ .359 +.064 ↑ .295 -.037 ↓ .332
SLG .360 -.027 ↓ .387 +.147 ↑ .240 -.164 ↓ .404
xSLG .346 -.003 ↓ .349 +.019 ↑ .330 -.109 ↓ .439
ISO .143 -.005 ↓ .148 +.081 ↑ .067 -.058 ↓ .125
xISO .143 +.017 ↑ .126 +.002 ↑ .124 -.072 ↓ .196
BABIP .259 -.037 ↓ .296 +.059 ↑ .237 -.134 ↓ .371
wOBA .301 -.038 ↓ .339 +.103 ↑ .236 -.102 ↓ .338
xwOBA .300 -.024 ↓ .324 +.039 ↑ .285 -.051 ↓ .336
wOBAcon .324 -.042 ↓ .366 +.112 ↑ .254 -.162 ↓ .416
xwOBAcon .322 -.020 ↓ .342 +.010 ↑ .332 -.082 ↓ .414
BACON .285 -.042 ↓ .327 +.080 ↑ .247 -.150 ↓ .397
xBACON .278 -.031 ↓ .309 +.016 ↑ .293 -.056 ↓ .349
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 37.9 -4.6 ↓ 42.5 +6.0 ↑ 36.5 -0.8 ↓ 37.3
Avg Exit Velocity 87.6 -0.7 ↓ 88.3 +1.4 ↑ 86.9 -0.9 ↓ 87.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 29.7 +0.5 ↑ 29.2 +0.9 ↑ 28.3 -6.4 ↓ 34.7
Barrel % 8.3 +2.9 ↑ 5.4 -1.5 ↓ 6.9 +0.2 ↑ 6.7
Avg Launch Angle 11.8 -2.7 ↓ 14.5 +7.1 ↑ 7.4 -4.3 ↓ 11.7
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.8 +0.1 ↑ 71.7 +0.9 ↑ 70.8 -0.8 ↓ 71.6
Attack Angle 12° 0° ↑ 12° +1° ↑ 11° +1° ↑ 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 48.0 -1.0 ↓ 49.0 +1.5 ↑ 47.5 +6.2 ↑ 41.3
Attack Direction -6° 0° ↓ -6° -2° ↓ -4° -6° ↓ 1°
Swing Path - Tilt 34° +1° ↑ 33° 0° 33° -2° ↓ 36°
Swing Length 7.5 -0.1 ↓ 7.6 +0.2 ↑ 7.4 +0.1 ↑ 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.1 -0.1 ↓ 94.2 -0.8 ↓ 95.0 -1.5 ↓ 96.5
Breaking Velocity 83.4 +0.2 ↑ 83.2 -1.0 ↓ 84.2 -2.8 ↓ 87.0
Offspeed Velocity 87.1 -- -- -- -- -- --
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 12 +6 ↑ 6 -5 ↓ 11 +6 ↑ 5
Popup % 9.0 +1.0 ↑ 8.0 +1.1 ↑ 6.9 +2.9 ↑ 4.0
Flyball % 25.5 -3.7 ↓ 29.2 +6.6 ↑ 22.6 -5.4 ↓ 28.0
Line Drive % 19.3 -1.9 ↓ 21.2 +2.3 ↑ 18.9 -2.4 ↓ 21.3
Groundball % 46.2 +4.6 ↑ 41.6 -10.0 ↓ 51.6 +4.9 ↑ 46.7
Pull % 42.1 +9.4 ↑ 32.7 -6.9 ↓ 39.6 +2.3 ↑ 37.3
Straight Away % 37.2 -5.3 ↓ 42.5 -2.2 ↓ 44.7 +7.4 ↑ 37.3
Opposite Field % 20.7 -4.1 ↓ 24.8 +9.1 ↑ 15.7 -9.6 ↓ 25.3
Weak Contact % 6.9 +4.2 ↑ 2.7 -2.3 ↓ 5.0 -4.3 ↓ 9.3
Pull Airball % 20.0 +5.8 ↑ 14.2 +0.4 ↑ 13.8 +0.5 ↑ 13.3
Topped Contact % 35.2 +6.0 ↑ 29.2 -12.9 ↓ 42.1 +10.1 ↑ 32.0
Under Contact % 23.4 -3.1 ↓ 26.5 +4.5 ↑ 22.0 +3.3 ↑ 18.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 17.2 -10.2 ↓ 27.4 +9.2 ↑ 18.2 -3.1 ↓ 21.3
Solid Contact % 9.0 +1.0 ↑ 8.0 +2.3 ↑ 5.7 -5.0 ↓ 10.7
HR/FB % 13.5 -1.7 ↓ 15.2 +9.6 ↑ 5.6 -8.7 ↓ 14.3
Popups 13 +4 ↑ 9 -2 ↓ 11 +8 ↑ 3
Flyballs 37 +4 ↑ 33 -3 ↓ 36 +15 ↑ 21
Line Drives 28 +4 ↑ 24 -6 ↓ 30 +14 ↑ 16
Groundballs 67 +20 ↑ 47 -35 ↓ 82 +47 ↑ 35
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 44.5 -1.1 ↓ 45.6 -4.4 ↓ 50.0 +1.3 ↑ 48.7
Out of Zone % 55.5 +1.1 ↑ 54.4 +4.4 ↑ 50.0 -1.3 ↓ 51.3
Edge % 39.2 -1.5 ↓ 40.7 -2.9 ↓ 43.6 +1.4 ↑ 42.2
Zone Swing % 65.9 +5.7 ↑ 60.2 -2.8 ↓ 63.0 -2.7 ↓ 65.7
Out of Zone Swing % 31.0 +4.8 ↑ 26.2 -4.8 ↓ 31.0 +0.7 ↑ 30.3
In Zone Contact % 79.9 -4.6 ↓ 84.5 +3.4 ↑ 81.1 -4.8 ↓ 85.9
Out of Zone Contact % 50.6 +6.7 ↑ 43.9 -5.8 ↓ 49.7 +2.9 ↑ 46.8
Whiff % 30.9 +1.5 ↑ 29.4 +0.1 ↑ 29.3 +2.4 ↑ 26.9
First Strike % 53.3 -1.9 ↓ 55.2 -6.9 ↓ 62.1 +10.0 ↑ 52.1
First Pitch Swing % 25.1 +0.4 ↑ 24.7 -5.4 ↓ 30.1 +5.3 ↑ 24.8
Swing % 46.6 +4.9 ↑ 41.7 -5.3 ↓ 47.0 -0.5 ↓ 47.5
Meatball Swing % 83.1 +4.2 ↑ 78.9 +8.9 ↑ 70.0 +2.6 ↑ 67.4
Meatball % 7.6 0.0 7.6 +0.7 ↑ 6.9 -1.5 ↓ 8.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 20.1 +4.6 ↑ 15.5 -3.4 ↓ 18.9 +4.8 ↑ 14.1
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 49.4 -6.7 ↓ 56.1 +5.8 ↑ 50.3 -2.9 ↓ 53.2
In Zone 414 +72 ↑ 342 -163 ↓ 505 +257 ↑ 248
Out of Zone 516 +108 ↑ 408 -98 ↓ 506 +245 ↑ 261
Edge 365 +60 ↑ 305 -136 ↓ 441 +226 ↑ 215
In Zone Swings 273 +67 ↑ 206 -112 ↓ 318 +155 ↑ 163
Out of Zone Swings 160 +53 ↑ 107 -50 ↓ 157 +78 ↑ 79
In Zone Swing & Misses 55 +23 ↑ 32 -28 ↓ 60 +37 ↑ 23
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 79 +19 ↑ 60 -19 ↓ 79 +37 ↑ 42
Basic
Pitches 930 +180 ↑ 750 -261 ↓ 1,011 +502 ↑ 509
PA 229 +35 ↑ 194 -63 ↓ 257 +136 ↑ 121
AB 189 +34 ↑ 155 -70 ↓ 225 +121 ↑ 104
Hits 41 +4 ↑ 37 -2 ↓ 39 +10 ↑ 29
Singles 26 +2 ↑ 24 -4 ↓ 28 +6 ↑ 22
Doubles 8 0 8 -1 ↓ 9 +5 ↑ 4
Triples 2 +2 ↑ 0 0 0 0 0
Home Runs 5 0 5 +3 ↑ 2 -1 ↓ 3
Walks 28 -2 ↓ 30 +5 ↑ 25 +13 ↑ 12
Strikeouts 51 +6 ↑ 45 -23 ↓ 68 +36 ↑ 32
K% 22.3 -0.9 ↓ 23.2 -3.3 ↓ 26.5 +0.1 ↑ 26.4
BB% 12.2 -3.3 ↓ 15.5 +5.8 ↑ 9.7 -0.2 ↓ 9.9
HBP 5 -1 ↓ 6 +1 ↑ 5 +3 ↑ 2
Batted Balls 145 +32 ↑ 113 -46 ↓ 159 +84 ↑ 75
Fastball Percent 44.7 +1.9 ↑ 42.8 +5.7 ↑ 37.1 -10.1 ↓ 47.2
Offspeed Percent 0.4 +0.4 ↑ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Percent 54.8 -2.4 ↓ 57.2 -5.7 ↓ 62.9 +10.1 ↑ 52.8
Number of Fastballs 416 +95 ↑ 321 -54 ↓ 375 +135 ↑ 240
Number of Offspeed 4 +4 ↑ 0 0 0 0 0
Number of Breaking 510 +81 ↑ 429 -207 ↓ 636 +367 ↑ 269
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
SeasonAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 121 .338 74 2 2.7 47 11 23.4
2024 Shades 256 .236 155 29 18.7 101 24 23.8
2025 Shades 192 .339 104 19 18.3 88 28 31.8
2026 Shades 226 .301 123 10 8.1 103 17 16.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 119 15.1 47.9% 0.0% 103 17.9 3.9% 0.0%
2024 280 15.2 43.6% 0.0% 153 17.1 9.8% 0.0%
2025 192 15.3 44.3% 1.0% 145 16.6 14.5% 0.0%
2026 231 15.7 37.7% 1.7% 152 17.4 9.9% 2.6%

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Pitch Distribution

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