P | Cleveland Guardians
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 6" 230 lbs | Age: 29
Draft: 2018 | Rd. 29, No. 883, Cleveland Indians | Indiana
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 1 1 5.53 23 0 0 27.2 32 1.48
2024 5 1 1.92 75 0 0 65.2 68 0.97
2025 5 4 4.85 54 0 0 42.2 45 1.57
3 Seasons 11 6 3.57 152 0 0 136 145 1.26
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 23 1-1 5.53 27.2 32 1.48
2024 75 5-1 1.92 65.2 68 0.97
2025 54 5-4 4.85 42.2 45 1.57
3 Seasons 152 11-6 3.57 136 145 1.26
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 26 509 75 5 6.7 4.1 87.8 108.7 11.7 34.7 .243 .424 .338 .329 .404 37.3 26.4 9.9 5.53 4.61
2024 27 1011 159 11 6.9 4.3 86.9 111.5 7.4 28.3 .208 .318 .236 .279 .323 36.5 26.5 9.7 1.92 3.22
2025 28 750 113 6 5.3 3.1 88.3 108.5 14.5 29.2 .226 .347 .339 .325 .342 42.5 23.2 15.5 4.85 4.46
Player 2270 347 22 6.3 3.8 87.6 111.5 10.7 30.0 .221 .350 .292 .305 .346 38.6 25.3 11.7
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Herrin relies on 4 pitches.
Curveball
(39.3%) ,
Four Seamer
(26.0%) ,
Slider
(17.9%) ,
Sinker
(16.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 46.7 53.3 28.0 21.3 4.0 37.3 37.3 25.3 24.0 20.0 2.7 13.3 17.3 22.7
2024 51.6 48.4 22.6 18.9 6.9 39.6 44.7 15.7 25.8 23.9 1.9 13.8 20.8 13.8
2025 41.6 58.4 29.2 21.2 8.0 32.7 42.5 24.8 18.6 16.8 6.2 14.2 25.7 18.6
Player 47.3 52.7 25.9 20.2 6.6 36.9 42.4 20.7 23.1 20.7 3.5 13.8 21.6 17.3
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 9.3 32.0 18.7 21.3 10.7 6.7 4.1
2024 5.0 42.1 22.0 18.2 5.7 6.9 4.3
2025 2.7 29.2 26.5 27.4 8.0 5.3 3.1
Player 5.2 35.7 22.8 21.9 7.5 6.3 3.8
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Curveball CLE L 295 81.3 44.6 -7.2 10.9GLV 2.7 -3.0 -6.6 10.9GLV 3.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball CLE L 195 94.7 17.8 -3.0 8.1ARM 0.4 12.6 -3.2 8.1ARM 0.0
2025 Slider CLE L 134 87.4 33.9 0.0 0.6GLV -3.7 2.2 -0.2 0.6GLV -3.5
2025 Sinker CLE L 126 93.5 28.0 4.3 16.0ARM 0.5 3.5 4.0 16.0ARM 0.6
2024 4-Seam Fastball CLE L 246 95.5 17.1 -2.7 8.0ARM 0.2 12.7 -3.0 8.0ARM -0.1
2024 Slider CLE L 279 87.6 32.7 -1.0 0.6GLV -3.5 3.1 -1.6 0.6GLV -4.2
2024 Sinker CLE L 129 93.9 28.4 5.0 15.2ARM -0.1 2.8 5.4 15.2ARM 0.1
2024 Curveball CLE L 357 81.6 43.8 -6.8 10.4GLV 2.2 -2.6 -5.9 10.4GLV 3.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 Curveball 1.2 4 295 39.3 89 .137 .205 .239 43.2 38.2 25.4 .125 .194 .233 22.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball -2.8 -5 195 26.0 50 .378 .568 .498 12.2 10.0 15.6 .345 .528 .450 60.6
2025 Slider -0.1 0 134 17.9 30 .286 .536 .348 29.0 13.3 16.7 .302 .438 .323 52.0
2025 Sinker -2.2 -3 126 16.8 23 .294 .529 .480 18.9 8.7 12.5 .285 .468 .421 40.0
2024 Curveball 1.9 7 357 35.3 102 .137 .221 .198 42.0 44.1 27.1 .149 .222 .204 22.0
2024 Slider 1.4 4 279 27.6 58 .250 .327 .286 30.8 13.8 17.4 .279 .466 .348 40.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 4 246 24.3 65 .189 .226 .278 16.8 16.9 13.4 .243 .357 .340 50.0
2024 Sinker 1.6 2 129 12.8 31 .120 .160 .248 9.4 12.9 22.2 .213 .293 .301 36.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Curveball 295 81.3 53 12.8 4:30 3:45 45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 195 94.7 70 14.7 10:30 10:45 -15
2025 Sinker 119 93.5 70 17.0 10:15 9:15 60
2025 Slider 134 87.4 13 2.5 2:30 1:45 45
2024 Curveball 351 81.6 50 12.1 4:15 3:45 30
2024 4-Seam Fastball 246 95.5 74 14.7 10:30 10:45 -15
2024 Sinker 119 93.9 70 16.2 10:15 9:15 60
2024 Slider 277 87.6 14 2.8 1:45 12:30 75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 121 509 4 3 -4 -3 -1
2024 256 1,011 16 12 -4 -7 16
2025 192 750 3 2 -4 -6 -5
Player 569 2,270 23 16 -13 23 10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 509 48.9 65.5 85.9 30.4 46.8 42.2 52.1 47.5 26.9 8.4 67.4
2024 1,011 50.1 62.7 81.1 31.2 49.7 43.5 62.1 47.0 29.3 6.9 70.0
2025 750 45.6 60.2 84.5 26.2 43.9 40.5 55.2 41.7 29.4 7.6 78.9
Player 2,270 48.4 62.6 83.3 29.3 47.2 42.2 57.6 45.4 28.7 7.5 72.4
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 89 83 46 74
2024 83 86 90 88 65 77 68 89 69 75 25 78 78 65 73 30 62
2025 47 69 23 50
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 24.62 3 5.1 -2 1 6 1 33.3
2024 28.28 2 2.9 -1 1 2 2 100.0
2025 23.42 5 4.9 0 0 5 1 20.0
Player 24.75 10 12.9 -3 2 13 4 40.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 3 4 2 5 6 5 6 4 6 2 5 6 5 4 6 5 7 4 6 7 5 6 8 8 2 2 6 6 5 6 4
2024 2 3 3 3 2 3 4 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 2 4 3 4 3
2025 5 5 3 5 5 6 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 6 6 5 6 5 5 5 5 3 6 5 5 3 4 6 5 5 5
Player 10 12 8 13 13 14 15 11 13 8 13 14 12 13 15 12 17 11 14 15 13 12 18 16 10 8 12 16 13 15 12
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .239 +.066 .173 -.106 .279
xBA .226 +.018 .208 -.035 .243
OBP .376 +.106 .270 -.091 .361
xOBP .368 +.068 .300 -.031 .331
SLG .387 +.147 .240 -.164 .404
xSLG .347 +.029 .318 -.106 .424
ISO .148 +.081 .067 -.058 .125
xISO .121 +.011 .110 -.072 .182
BABIP .296 +.059 .237 -.134 .371
wOBA .339 +.103 .236 -.102 .338
xwOBA .325 +.046 .279 -.050 .329
wOBACON .366 +.112 .254 -.162 .416
xwOBACON .342 +.019 .323 -.081 .404
BACON .327 +.080 .247 -.150 .397
xBACON .313 +.016 .297 -.051 .348
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 42.5 +6.0 36.5 -0.8 37.3
Avg Exit Velocity 88.3 +1.4 86.9 -0.9 87.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 29.2 +0.9 28.3 -6.4 34.7
Barrel % 5.3 -1.6 6.9 +0.2 6.7
Avg Launch Angle 14.5 +7.1 7.4 -4.3 11.7
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.8 +1.0 70.8 -0.8 71.6
Attack Angle 12° +1° 11° +1° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 48.2 +0.6 47.6 +6.3 41.3
Attack Direction -6° -2° -5° -6°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 33° -2° 36°
Swing Length 7.6 +0.2 7.4 +0.1 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.2 -0.8 95.0 -1.5 96.5
Breaking Velocity 83.2 -1.0 84.2 -2.8 87.0
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- -- -- --
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 6 -5 11 +6 5
Popup % 8.0 +1.1 6.9 +2.9 4.0
Flyball % 29.2 +6.6 22.6 -5.4 28.0
Line Drive % 21.2 +2.3 18.9 -2.4 21.3
Groundball % 41.6 -10.0 51.6 +4.9 46.7
Pull % 32.7 -6.9 39.6 +2.3 37.3
Straight Away % 42.5 -2.2 44.7 +7.4 37.3
Opposite Field % 24.8 +9.1 15.7 -9.6 25.3
Weak Contact % 2.7 -2.3 5.0 -4.3 9.3
Pull Airball % 14.2 +0.4 13.8 +0.5 13.3
Topped Contact % 29.2 -12.9 42.1 +10.1 32.0
Under Contact % 26.5 +4.5 22.0 +3.3 18.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 27.4 +9.2 18.2 -3.1 21.3
Solid Contact % 8.0 +2.3 5.7 -5.0 10.7
HR/FB % 15.2 +9.6 5.6 -8.7 14.3
Popups 9 -2 11 +8 3
Flyballs 33 -3 36 +15 21
Line Drives 24 -6 30 +14 16
Groundballs 47 -35 82 +47 35
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 45.6 -4.5 50.1 +1.2 48.9
Out of Zone % 54.4 +4.5 49.9 -1.2 51.1
Edge % 40.5 -3.0 43.5 +1.3 42.2
Zone Swing % 60.2 -2.5 62.7 -2.8 65.5
Out of Zone Swing % 26.2 -5.0 31.2 +0.8 30.4
In Zone Contact % 84.5 +3.4 81.1 -4.8 85.9
Out of Zone Contact % 43.9 -5.8 49.7 +2.9 46.8
Whiff % 29.4 +0.1 29.3 +2.4 26.9
First Strike % 55.2 -6.9 62.1 +10.0 52.1
First Pitch Swing % 24.7 -5.4 30.1 +5.3 24.8
Swing % 41.7 -5.3 47.0 -0.5 47.5
Meatball Swing % 78.9 +8.9 70.0 +2.6 67.4
Meatball % 7.6 +0.7 6.9 -1.5 8.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 15.5 -3.4 18.9 +4.8 14.1
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 56.1 +5.8 50.3 -2.9 53.2
In Zone 342 -165 507 +258 249
Out of Zone 408 -96 504 +244 260
Edge 304 -136 440 +225 215
In Zone Swings 206 -112 318 +155 163
Out of Zone Swings 107 -50 157 +78 79
In Zone Swing & Misses 32 -28 60 +37 23
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 60 -19 79 +37 42
Basic
Pitches 750 -261 1,011 +502 509
PA 194 -63 257 +136 121
AB 155 -70 225 +121 104
Hits 37 -2 39 +10 29
Singles 24 -4 28 +6 22
Doubles 8 -1 9 +5 4
Triples 0 0 0 0 0
Home Runs 5 +3 2 -1 3
Walks 30 +5 25 +13 12
Strikeouts 45 -23 68 +36 32
K% 23.2 -3.3 26.5 +0.1 26.4
BB% 15.5 +5.8 9.7 -0.2 9.9
HBP 6 +1 5 +3 2
Batted Balls 113 -46 159 +84 75
Number of Fastballs 321 -54 375 +135 240
Number of Offspeed 0 0 0 0 0
Number of Breaking 429 -207 636 +367 269
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 121 .338 74 2 2.7 47 11 23.4
2024 Shades 256 .236 155 29 18.7 101 24 23.8
2025 Shades 192 .339 104 19 18.3 88 28 31.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 119 15.1 47.9% 0.0% 103 17.9 3.9% 0.0%
2024 280 15.2 43.6% 0.0% 153 17.1 9.8% 0.0%
2025 192 15.3 44.3% 1.0% 145 16.6 14.5% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution