P | Seattle Mariners
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 210 lbs | Age: 26
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 0 0 5.79 5 0 0 4.2 7 1.93
2025 5 5 3.97 70 0 1 77 54 1.35
2026 3 0 4.74 16 0 0 19 17 1.05
3 Seasons 8 5 4.20 91 0 1 100.2 78 1.32
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 5 0-0 5.79 4.2 7 1.93
2025 70 5-5 3.97 77 54 1.35
2026 16 3-0 4.74 19 17 1.05
3 Seasons 91 8-5 4.20 100.2 78 1.32
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Team Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 23 81 10 2 20.0 9.1 95.4 107.5 4.5 40.0 .284 .627 .462 .454 .648 70.0 31.8 18.2 5.79 10.18
2025 25 1095 247 12 4.9 3.6 88.6 117.7 4.6 25.9 .246 .370 .327 .296 .322 35.2 16.3 6.9 3.97 3.61
2026 26 282 56 5 9.1 6.2 86.0 116.3 5.6 37.5 .246 .401 .303 .320 .362 28.6 21.0 4.9 4.74 4.35
Player 1458 313 19 6.1 4.4 88.3 117.7 4.8 28.4 .248 .388 .330 .309 .339 35.1 18.0 7.1
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.6 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Vargas relies on 3 pitches.
Sinker
(50.4%) ,
Slider
(25.2%) ,
Cutter
(24.5%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 50.0 50.0 30.0 20.0 0.0 50.0 30.0 20.0 40.0 10.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 20.0
2025 57.1 42.9 20.2 19.8 2.8 39.3 36.0 24.7 26.3 21.9 8.9 13.0 14.2 15.8
2026 48.2 51.8 23.2 25.0 3.6 39.3 39.3 21.4 17.9 23.2 7.1 21.4 16.1 14.3
Player 55.3 44.7 21.1 20.8 2.9 39.6 36.4 24.0 25.2 21.7 8.3 14.4 14.7 15.7
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.0 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.9 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 0.0 30.0 10.0 40.0 0.0 20.0 9.1
2025 4.9 40.9 20.2 23.9 4.0 4.9 3.6
2026 5.4 39.3 14.3 23.2 7.1 9.1 6.2
Player 4.8 40.3 18.8 24.3 4.5 6.1 4.4
MLB 4.1 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
SeasonPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slider R 71 88.1 33.4 0.0 9.6GLV 5.9 1.9 -0.5 9.6GLV 6.0
2026 Sinker R 142 96.1 24.0 3.3 13.7ARM -1.2 5.7 1.9 13.7ARM -1.4
2026 Cutter R 69 93.6 24.1 -2.1 1.4GLV -0.3 6.9 -1.1 1.4GLV -0.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball R 40 97.5 17.9 -4.7 9.5ARM 1.7 10.9 -4.9 9.5ARM 1.9
2025 Slider R 200 90.4 31.2 0.9 3.5GLV 0.0 2.2 -0.4 3.5GLV -0.7
2025 Changeup R 29 93.6 26.8 -0.4 15.0ARM -1.0 4.5 -0.4 15.0ARM 0.5
2025 Cutter R 140 94.8 21.9 -1.5 0.2GLV -1.0 8.5 0.2 0.2GLV -2.0
2025 Sinker R 686 97.6 24.0 3.3 15.4ARM 0.2 4.9 2.5 15.4ARM 0.3
! Note: Seasons are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Season Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Sinker 0.1 0 142 50.4 42 .257 .400 .352 11.1 11.9 19.2 .280 .467 .382 43.3
2026 Slider 1.3 1 71 25.2 25 .120 .320 .188 25.6 36.0 19.1 .178 .334 .215 12.5
2026 Cutter 0.8 1 69 24.5 14 .308 .462 .357 15.2 21.4 50.0 .282 .349 .305 10.0
2025 Sinker 0.8 5 686 62.6 188 .284 .355 .346 14.6 10.1 19.4 .265 .369 .315 38.4
2025 Slider -1.1 -2 200 18.3 78 .230 .446 .288 28.4 25.6 22.7 .205 .320 .232 23.2
2025 Cutter 0.4 1 140 12.8 39 .257 .486 .345 18.9 17.9 25.0 .238 .411 .309 44.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball -3.9 -2 40 3.7 9 .375 .875 .539 13.3 22.2 9.5 .296 .584 .410 33.3
2025 Changeup -11.2 -3 29 2.6 11 .364 .727 .459 53.8 54.5 31.6 .226 .448 .282 20.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Season Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Cutter 69 93.6 45 6.6 12:30 11:15 75
2026 Sinker 127 96.1 69 14.9 1:00 2:30 -90
2026 Slider 71 88.1 33 10.7 8:15 9:15 -60
2025 Changeup 28 93.7 81 16.6 1:30 2:30 -60
2025 Cutter 134 94.8 51 8.3 12:45 11:45 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 37 97.5 81 14.7 1:15 1:15 0
2025 Sinker 634 97.6 74 16.6 1:15 2:30 -75
2025 Slider 198 90.4 26 5.1 10:00 9:30 30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ Show More Seasons
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
+ View Complete Arm Angle Leaderboard

Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Season Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 22 81 -2 1 -1 -1 -2
2025 325 1,095 0 8 -6 -4 -1
2026 81 282 2 2 0 -2 2
Player 428 1,458 0 12 -7 0 -2
+ View Complete Pitching Run Value Leaderboard
+ Show Leverage-Based Run Value

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 81 54.3 59.1 73.1 18.9 42.9 48.1 54.5 40.7 33.3 13.6 54.5
2025 1,095 55.4 64.6 88.0 28.9 61.7 43.9 62.4 48.7 18.9 7.1 74.4
2026 282 52.1 72.1 85.8 31.1 78.6 44.0 69.1 52.5 16.2 7.8 90.9
Player 1,458 54.7 65.7 86.8 28.8 64.7 44.2 63.3 49.0 19.0 7.6 75.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Season Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2023 99 40 91
2025 35 67 29 19 68 93 20 66 55 8 9 69 92 87 95 73
2026 76 14 62
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard
+ Compare To Other Players

Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Season Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 23.67 2 1.8 0 0 1 1 50.0
2025 24.69 11 7.5 4 4 7 3 27.3
2026 25.77 2 1.9 0 1 1 1 50.0
Player 24.70 15 11.2 4 5 9 5 33.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs

Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Season HR
2023 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 1
2025 11 8 7 7 7 11 6 6 9 4 7 10 6 10 9 6 7 6 8 10 6 8 10 8 5 3 8 10 9 7 7
2026 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 1
Player 15 11 11 11 11 15 10 10 13 7 9 14 10 14 13 10 11 9 12 14 10 13 14 12 9 5 12 14 13 9 9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs By Park
+ View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .219 -.054 ↓ .273
xBA .246 .000 .246
OBP .296 -.041 ↓ .337
xOBP .322 +.020 ↑ .302
SLG .384 -.037 ↓ .421
xSLG .401 +.031 ↑ .370
ISO .164 +.016 ↑ .148
xISO .155 +.031 ↑ .124
BABIP .259 -.043 ↓ .302
wOBA .303 -.024 ↓ .327
xwOBA .320 +.024 ↑ .296
wOBAcon .336 -.024 ↓ .360
xwOBAcon .362 +.040 ↑ .322
BACON .286 -.045 ↓ .331
xBACON .322 +.022 ↑ .300
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 28.6 -6.6 ↓ 35.2
Avg Exit Velocity 86.0 -2.6 ↓ 88.6
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 37.5 +11.6 ↑ 25.9
Barrel % 9.1 +4.2 ↑ 4.9
Avg Launch Angle 5.6 +1.0 ↑ 4.6
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.0 +0.1 ↑ 70.9
Attack Angle 8° +3° ↑ 5°
Ideal Attack Angle % 48.5 +3.5 ↑ 45.0
Attack Direction 0° -5° ↓ 5°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 0° ↓ 33°
Swing Length 7.1 +0.1 ↑ 7.0
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.3 -1.9 ↓ 97.2
Breaking Velocity 88.1 -2.3 ↓ 90.4
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- 93.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 5 -7 ↓ 12
Popup % 3.6 +0.8 ↑ 2.8
Flyball % 23.2 +3.0 ↑ 20.2
Line Drive % 25.0 +5.2 ↑ 19.8
Groundball % 48.2 -8.9 ↓ 57.1
Pull % 39.3 0.0 39.3
Straight Away % 39.3 +3.3 ↑ 36.0
Opposite Field % 21.4 -3.3 ↓ 24.7
Weak Contact % 5.4 +0.5 ↑ 4.9
Pull Airball % 21.4 +8.4 ↑ 13.0
Topped Contact % 39.3 -1.6 ↓ 40.9
Under Contact % 14.3 -5.9 ↓ 20.2
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.2 -0.7 ↓ 23.9
Solid Contact % 7.1 +3.1 ↑ 4.0
HR/FB % 15.4 -4.6 ↓ 20.0
Popups 2 -5 ↓ 7
Flyballs 13 -37 ↓ 50
Line Drives 14 -35 ↓ 49
Groundballs 27 -114 ↓ 141
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 52.1 -3.3 ↓ 55.4
Out of Zone % 47.9 +3.3 ↑ 44.6
Edge % 44.0 +0.1 ↑ 43.9
Zone Swing % 72.1 +7.5 ↑ 64.6
Out of Zone Swing % 31.1 +2.2 ↑ 28.9
In Zone Contact % 85.8 -2.2 ↓ 88.0
Out of Zone Contact % 78.6 +16.9 ↑ 61.7
Whiff % 16.2 -2.7 ↓ 18.9
First Strike % 69.1 +6.7 ↑ 62.4
First Pitch Swing % 35.8 +5.2 ↑ 30.6
Swing % 52.5 +3.8 ↑ 48.7
Meatball Swing % 90.9 +16.5 ↑ 74.4
Meatball % 7.8 +0.7 ↑ 7.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.2 +2.2 ↑ 12.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 21.4 -16.9 ↓ 38.3
In Zone 147 -460 ↓ 607
Out of Zone 135 -353 ↓ 488
Edge 124 -357 ↓ 481
In Zone Swings 106 -286 ↓ 392
Out of Zone Swings 42 -99 ↓ 141
In Zone Swing & Misses 15 -32 ↓ 47
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 9 -45 ↓ 54
Basic
Pitches 282 -813 ↓ 1,095
PA 81 -250 ↓ 331
AB 73 -224 ↓ 297
Hits 16 -65 ↓ 81
Singles 8 -50 ↓ 58
Doubles 6 -6 ↓ 12
Triples 0 -1 ↓ 1
Home Runs 2 -8 ↓ 10
Walks 4 -19 ↓ 23
Strikeouts 17 -37 ↓ 54
K% 21.0 +4.7 ↑ 16.3
BB% 4.9 -2.0 ↓ 6.9
HBP 4 -3 ↓ 7
Batted Balls 56 -191 ↓ 247
Fastball Percent 74.8 -4.3 ↓ 79.1
Offspeed Percent 0.0 -2.6 ↓ 2.6
Breaking Percent 25.2 +6.9 ↑ 18.3
Number of Fastballs 211 -655 ↓ 866
Number of Offspeed 0 -29 ↓ 29
Number of Breaking 71 -129 ↓ 200
+ Toggle Viewing All Player's Year to Year Stats

Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
SeasonAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 22 .462 16 0 0.0 6 2 33.3
2025 Shades 325 .325 185 26 14.1 140 33 23.6
2026 Shades 81 .303 48 3 6.3 33 12 36.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 19 16.8 26.3% 0.0% 20 19.9 0.0% 0.0%
2025 242 14.9 52.1% 0.0% 217 17.3 15.2% 1.4%
2026 57 15.4 40.4% 0.0% 41 16.0 19.5% 0.0%

+ View Complete Pitch Tempo Leaderboard

Pitch Distribution