P | Kansas City Royals
Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 2" 214 lbs | Age: 31
Draft: 2016 | Rd. 2, No. 46, Milwaukee Brewers | Menlo
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 2 6 3.36 61 0 14 61.2 72 1.05
2025 8 4 2.64 61 0 2 61.1 48 1.17
2026 4 3 5.40 40 0 12 38.1 27 1.70
4 Seasons 18 17 3.87 212 0 28 216.1 215 1.34
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 61 2-6 3.36 61.2 72 1.05
2025 61 8-4 2.64 61.1 48 1.17
2026 40 4-3 5.40 38.1 27 1.70
4 Seasons 212 18-17 3.87 216.1 215 1.34
Player Apps
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Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 28 1053 141 9 6.4 3.6 86.0 110.5 7.9 34.0 .204 .305 .328 .298 .325 33.3 27.1 14.3 4.75 3.71
2024 29 947 159 10 6.3 4.0 85.9 110.3 6.6 31.4 .221 .342 .259 .281 .356 33.3 28.5 6.3 3.36 3.17
2025 30 963 179 13 7.3 5.2 89.1 116.5 8.2 27.9 .248 .388 .283 .305 .345 37.4 19.3 7.2 2.64 3.85
2026 31 711 122 7 5.7 4.0 86.6 114.2 7.0 31.1 .247 .347 .378 .326 .315 40.2 15.3 13.1 5.40 4.49
Player 3674 601 39 6.5 4.2 87.0 116.5 7.5 30.9 .229 .346 .307 .301 .337 35.9 23.1 10.0
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Erceg relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(29.7%) ,
Slider
(29.5%) ,
Sinker
(27.1%) ,
Changeup
(13.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 44.0 56.0 24.1 25.5 6.4 41.1 33.3 25.5 22.0 18.4 3.5 19.1 14.9 22.0
2024 46.5 53.5 24.5 24.5 4.4 30.8 35.8 33.3 14.5 18.9 13.2 16.4 17.0 20.1
2025 52.0 48.0 19.0 21.8 7.3 41.3 34.6 24.0 25.1 17.3 9.5 16.2 17.3 14.5
2026 51.6 48.4 17.2 23.0 8.2 41.0 31.1 27.9 26.2 16.4 9.0 14.8 14.8 18.9
Player 48.6 51.4 21.3 23.6 6.5 38.4 33.9 27.6 21.8 17.8 9.0 16.6 16.1 18.6
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 5.7 39.0 22.0 23.4 3.5 6.4 3.6
2024 3.8 36.5 20.1 28.9 4.4 6.3 4.0
2025 1.7 39.1 21.8 23.5 6.1 7.3 5.2
2026 9.0 39.3 21.3 19.7 4.9 5.7 4.0
Player 4.7 38.4 21.3 24.1 4.8 6.5 4.2
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2026 Sinker KC R 193 96.8 18.4 -1.8 14.8ARM -0.3 10.8 -3.2 14.8ARM -0.3
2026 Changeup KC R 97 89.5 28.1 -2.3 17.1ARM 3.0 6.0 -2.1 17.1ARM 2.8
2026 4-Seam Fastball KC R 211 97.1 14.7 -1.7 10.6ARM 3.4 14.3 -1.4 10.6ARM 2.8
2026 Slider KC R 210 84.5 40.4 3.2 0.9GLV -3.1 -2.2 3.6 0.9GLV -2.8
2025 Slider KC R 283 85.0 39.3 3.2 0.2GLV -4.0 -1.4 3.2 0.2GLV -4.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball KC R 289 97.6 14.3 -1.5 10.1ARM 2.8 14.4 -1.4 10.1ARM 2.5
2025 Changeup KC R 161 90.0 26.9 -2.7 16.9ARM 2.2 6.9 -2.8 16.9ARM 2.4
2025 Sinker KC R 230 97.5 18.5 -1.8 14.9ARM -0.1 10.2 -2.8 14.9ARM -0.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -1.4 -3 211 29.7 42 .324 .514 .400 17.0 11.9 7.1 .310 .498 .389 43.8
2026 Slider -1.6 -3 210 29.5 57 .229 .354 .310 28.1 26.3 15.3 .161 .199 .237 26.5
2026 Sinker 1.4 3 193 27.1 53 .238 .286 .321 16.9 13.2 14.9 .213 .255 .299 47.2
2026 Changeup -5.3 -5 97 13.6 24 .450 1.000 .621 22.9 0.0 0.0 .405 .616 .482 45.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 3 289 30.0 59 .263 .316 .270 28.0 28.8 17.3 .258 .379 .288 60.0
2025 Slider 0.4 1 283 29.4 65 .186 .407 .289 36.2 21.5 15.2 .229 .446 .322 33.3
2025 Sinker 2.1 5 230 23.9 78 .243 .300 .279 8.4 11.5 15.5 .242 .350 .301 27.9
2025 Changeup -0.5 -1 161 16.7 44 .268 .341 .297 24.7 18.2 19.0 .270 .384 .309 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 96 89.5 95 18.5 1:45 2:30 -45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 210 97.1 99 17.7 1:15 1:15 0
2026 Sinker 193 96.8 99 18.4 1:30 2:00 -30
2026 Slider 210 84.5 30 4.9 6:45 6:30 15
2025 Changeup 161 90.0 96 18.6 1:45 2:30 -45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 288 97.6 98 17.4 1:15 1:15 0
2025 Sinker 228 97.5 98 18.2 1:30 2:00 -30
2025 Slider 283 85.0 20 3.9 7:00 6:00 60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 250 1,053 3 12 -8 -6 0
2024 251 947 13 7 -4 -4 11
2025 246 963 6 14 -7 -4 8
2026 176 711 -3 6 -7 -5 -9
Player 923 3,674 18 38 -27 18 11
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 1,053 46.0 63.0 79.3 23.2 53.8 42.0 56.8 41.5 28.4 6.3 65.2
2024 947 48.0 64.6 77.9 31.9 52.2 43.9 60.2 47.6 31.0 6.9 75.4
2025 963 50.7 67.6 83.9 29.3 54.7 40.3 64.6 48.7 24.7 8.9 72.1
2026 711 45.3 70.2 85.0 27.5 66.4 39.8 58.5 46.8 21.0 7.6 90.7
Player 3,674 47.6 66.0 81.4 27.8 56.1 41.6 60.1 46.0 26.6 7.4 74.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed 		xERA Fastball
MPH 		Fastball
Spin 		Curve
Spin 		Avg
EV 		Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit% 		GB% Extension
2023 44 53 31 73 69 96 2 94 4 67 77 3 75 85 58 75
2024 82 74 91 43 86 98 11 97 84 86 85 77 77 87 73 62
2025 72 81 57 44 56 92 6 54 61 47 26 65 66 73 88 59
2026 12 41 20 3 36 87 2 88 20 17 8 8 81 37 88 63
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 28.63 1 3.0 -2 2 3 1 100.0
2024 24.24 4 4.5 -1 4 5 0 0.0
2025 25.65 4 5.7 -2 2 7 1 25.0
2026 25.14 5 2.8 2 1 3 1 20.0
Player 25.28 14 16.1 -2 9 18 3 21.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2023 1 1 3 4 2 4 4 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 1 4 6 4 3 5 4 2 1 4 5 4 2 2
2024 4 6 2 6 3 4 4 5 2 3 4 5 6 3 4 5 4 4 5 7 5 4 8 5 4 4 4 6 6 5 3
2025 4 7 4 6 6 7 6 4 8 4 5 8 4 8 7 5 7 4 5 9 4 6 8 6 2 3 6 7 6 5 4
2026 5 3 2 3 3 4 3 3 4 4 1 4 1 3 3 3 3 4 3 4 2 1 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 2 3
Player 14 17 11 19 14 19 17 14 16 12 12 19 14 17 17 17 18 13 17 26 15 14 25 18 10 9 16 21 20 14 12
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .286 +.048 ↑ .238 +.026 ↑ .212 -.033 ↓ .245
xBA .247 -.001 ↓ .248 +.027 ↑ .221 +.017 ↑ .204
OBP .394 +.089 ↑ .305 +.024 ↑ .281 -.090 ↓ .371
xOBP .363 +.049 ↑ .314 +.025 ↑ .289 -.048 ↓ .337
SLG .463 +.124 ↑ .339 +.036 ↑ .303 -.053 ↓ .356
xSLG .347 -.041 ↓ .388 +.046 ↑ .342 +.037 ↑ .305
ISO .177 +.076 ↑ .101 +.010 ↑ .091 -.020 ↓ .111
xISO .101 -.040 ↓ .141 +.020 ↑ .121 +.019 ↑ .102
BABIP .319 +.033 ↑ .286 -.009 ↓ .295 -.062 ↓ .357
wOBA .378 +.095 ↑ .283 +.024 ↑ .259 -.069 ↓ .328
xwOBA .326 +.021 ↑ .305 +.024 ↑ .281 -.017 ↓ .298
wOBAcon .390 +.075 ↑ .315 -.007 ↓ .322 -.056 ↓ .378
xwOBAcon .315 -.030 ↓ .345 -.011 ↓ .356 +.031 ↑ .325
BACON .347 +.045 ↑ .302 -.006 ↓ .308 -.054 ↓ .362
xBACON .301 -.013 ↓ .314 -.007 ↓ .321 +.020 ↑ .301
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 40.2 +2.8 ↑ 37.4 +4.1 ↑ 33.3 0.0 33.3
Avg Exit Velocity 86.6 -2.5 ↓ 89.1 +3.2 ↑ 85.9 -0.1 ↓ 86.0
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 31.1 +3.2 ↑ 27.9 -3.5 ↓ 31.4 -2.6 ↓ 34.0
Barrel % 5.7 -1.6 ↓ 7.3 +1.0 ↑ 6.3 -0.1 ↓ 6.4
Avg Launch Angle 7.0 -1.2 ↓ 8.2 +1.6 ↑ 6.6 -1.3 ↓ 7.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.4 -0.1 ↓ 71.5 +0.3 ↑ 71.2 +0.5 ↑ 70.7
Attack Angle 9° 0° ↓ 9° +1° ↑ 9° +1° ↑ 7°
Ideal Attack Angle % 45.8 +4.2 ↑ 41.6 -5.0 ↓ 46.6 +8.3 ↑ 38.3
Attack Direction 2° +2° ↑ 0° +1° ↑ -1° -4° ↓ 3°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° -1° ↓ 33° +1° ↑ 32° -2° ↓ 34°
Swing Length 7.2 0.0 7.2 -0.1 ↓ 7.3 +0.2 ↑ 7.1
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 97.0 -0.5 ↓ 97.5 -1.1 ↓ 98.6 +1.1 ↑ 97.5
Breaking Velocity 84.5 -0.5 ↓ 85.0 -0.7 ↓ 85.7 -0.5 ↓ 86.2
Offspeed Velocity 89.5 -0.5 ↓ 90.0 -1.0 ↓ 91.0 +0.7 ↑ 90.3
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 7 -6 ↓ 13 +3 ↑ 10 +1 ↑ 9
Popup % 8.2 +0.9 ↑ 7.3 +2.9 ↑ 4.4 -2.0 ↓ 6.4
Flyball % 17.2 -1.8 ↓ 19.0 -5.5 ↓ 24.5 +0.4 ↑ 24.1
Line Drive % 23.0 +1.2 ↑ 21.8 -2.7 ↓ 24.5 -1.0 ↓ 25.5
Groundball % 51.6 -0.4 ↓ 52.0 +5.5 ↑ 46.5 +2.5 ↑ 44.0
Pull % 41.0 -0.3 ↓ 41.3 +10.5 ↑ 30.8 -10.3 ↓ 41.1
Straight Away % 31.1 -3.5 ↓ 34.6 -1.2 ↓ 35.8 +2.5 ↑ 33.3
Opposite Field % 27.9 +3.9 ↑ 24.0 -9.3 ↓ 33.3 +7.8 ↑ 25.5
Weak Contact % 9.0 +7.3 ↑ 1.7 -2.1 ↓ 3.8 -1.9 ↓ 5.7
Pull Airball % 14.8 -1.4 ↓ 16.2 -0.2 ↓ 16.4 -2.7 ↓ 19.1
Topped Contact % 39.3 +0.2 ↑ 39.1 +2.6 ↑ 36.5 -2.5 ↓ 39.0
Under Contact % 21.3 -0.5 ↓ 21.8 +1.7 ↑ 20.1 -1.9 ↓ 22.0
Flare/Burner Contact % 19.7 -3.8 ↓ 23.5 -5.4 ↓ 28.9 +5.5 ↑ 23.4
Solid Contact % 4.9 -1.2 ↓ 6.1 +1.7 ↑ 4.4 +0.9 ↑ 3.5
HR/FB % 23.8 +12.0 ↑ 11.8 +4.1 ↑ 7.7 +4.8 ↑ 2.9
Popups 10 -3 ↓ 13 +6 ↑ 7 -2 ↓ 9
Flyballs 21 -13 ↓ 34 -5 ↓ 39 +5 ↑ 34
Line Drives 28 -11 ↓ 39 0 39 +3 ↑ 36
Groundballs 63 -30 ↓ 93 +19 ↑ 74 +12 ↑ 62
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 45.3 -5.4 ↓ 50.7 +2.7 ↑ 48.0 +2.0 ↑ 46.0
Out of Zone % 54.7 +5.4 ↑ 49.3 -2.7 ↓ 52.0 -2.0 ↓ 54.0
Edge % 39.8 -0.5 ↓ 40.3 -3.6 ↓ 43.9 +1.9 ↑ 42.0
Zone Swing % 70.2 +2.6 ↑ 67.6 +3.0 ↑ 64.6 +1.6 ↑ 63.0
Out of Zone Swing % 27.5 -1.8 ↓ 29.3 -2.6 ↓ 31.9 +8.7 ↑ 23.2
In Zone Contact % 85.0 +1.1 ↑ 83.9 +6.0 ↑ 77.9 -1.4 ↓ 79.3
Out of Zone Contact % 66.4 +11.7 ↑ 54.7 +2.5 ↑ 52.2 -1.6 ↓ 53.8
Whiff % 21.0 -3.7 ↓ 24.7 -6.3 ↓ 31.0 +2.6 ↑ 28.4
First Strike % 58.5 -6.1 ↓ 64.6 +4.4 ↑ 60.2 +3.4 ↑ 56.8
First Pitch Swing % 36.9 +3.2 ↑ 33.7 +2.6 ↑ 31.1 +2.7 ↑ 28.4
Swing % 46.8 -1.9 ↓ 48.7 +1.1 ↑ 47.6 +6.1 ↑ 41.5
Meatball Swing % 90.7 +18.6 ↑ 72.1 -3.3 ↓ 75.4 +10.2 ↑ 65.2
Meatball % 7.6 -1.3 ↓ 8.9 +2.0 ↑ 6.9 +0.6 ↑ 6.3
Zone Swing & Miss % 15.0 -1.1 ↓ 16.1 -6.0 ↓ 22.1 +1.4 ↑ 20.7
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 33.6 -11.7 ↓ 45.3 -2.5 ↓ 47.8 +1.6 ↑ 46.2
In Zone 322 -166 ↓ 488 +33 ↑ 455 -29 ↓ 484
Out of Zone 389 -86 ↓ 475 -17 ↓ 492 -77 ↓ 569
Edge 283 -105 ↓ 388 -28 ↓ 416 -26 ↓ 442
In Zone Swings 226 -104 ↓ 330 +36 ↑ 294 -11 ↓ 305
Out of Zone Swings 107 -32 ↓ 139 -18 ↓ 157 +25 ↑ 132
In Zone Swing & Misses 34 -19 ↓ 53 -12 ↓ 65 +2 ↑ 63
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 36 -27 ↓ 63 -12 ↓ 75 +14 ↑ 61
Basic
Pitches 711 -252 ↓ 963 +16 ↑ 947 -106 ↓ 1,053
PA 176 -73 ↓ 249 -4 ↓ 253 +2 ↑ 251
AB 147 -80 ↓ 227 -4 ↓ 231 +23 ↑ 208
Hits 42 -12 ↓ 54 +5 ↑ 49 -2 ↓ 51
Singles 26 -14 ↓ 40 +5 ↑ 35 +4 ↑ 31
Doubles 11 +2 ↑ 9 -1 ↓ 10 -8 ↓ 18
Triples 0 -1 ↓ 1 0 1 0 1
Home Runs 5 +1 ↑ 4 +1 ↑ 3 +2 ↑ 1
Walks 23 +5 ↑ 18 +2 ↑ 16 -20 ↓ 36
Strikeouts 27 -21 ↓ 48 -24 ↓ 72 +4 ↑ 68
K% 15.3 -4.0 ↓ 19.3 -9.2 ↓ 28.5 +1.4 ↑ 27.1
BB% 13.1 +5.9 ↑ 7.2 +0.9 ↑ 6.3 -8.0 ↓ 14.3
HBP 4 0 4 -2 ↓ 6 0 6
Batted Balls 122 -57 ↓ 179 +20 ↑ 159 +18 ↑ 141
Fastball Percent 56.8 +2.9 ↑ 53.9 +1.6 ↑ 52.3 -10.9 ↓ 63.2
Offspeed Percent 13.6 -3.1 ↓ 16.7 -3.2 ↓ 19.9 -2.2 ↓ 22.1
Breaking Percent 29.5 +0.1 ↑ 29.4 +1.5 ↑ 27.9 +13.2 ↑ 14.7
Number of Fastballs 404 -115 ↓ 519 +24 ↑ 495 -170 ↓ 665
Number of Offspeed 97 -64 ↓ 161 -27 ↓ 188 -45 ↓ 233
Number of Breaking 210 -73 ↓ 283 +19 ↑ 264 +109 ↑ 155
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 250 .328 159 1 0.6 91 32 35.2
2024 Shades 251 .259 132 0 0.0 119 47 39.5
2025 Shades 246 .283 117 0 0.0 129 45 34.9
2026 Shades 176 .378 80 16 20.0 96 40 41.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 247 16.0 25.5% 0.4% 254 19.3 0.4% 0.0%
2024 261 16.1 28.4% 1.5% 144 19.0 1.4% 0.7%
2025 242 15.9 25.6% 0.8% 149 18.7 0.0% 0.7%
2026 144 15.8 33.3% 1.4% 127 18.1 5.5% 2.4%

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Pitch Distribution

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