Lucas Erceg
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 2" 214LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 2, #46, Milwaukee Brewers | Menlo
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 4 4 4.75 50 0 0 55 68 1.58
2024 2 6 3.36 61 0 14 61.2 72 1.05
2 Seasons 6 10 4.01 111 0 14 116.2 140 1.30
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 50 4-4 4.75 55 68 1.58
2024 61 2-6 3.36 61.2 72 1.05
2 Seasons 111 6-10 4.01 116.2 140 1.30
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 28 1053 141 9 6.4 3.6 86.0 110.5 7.9 34.0 .208 .301 .328 .297 .323 33.3 27.1 14.3 4.75 3.69
2024 29 947 159 10 6.3 4.0 85.9 110.3 6.6 31.4 .223 .340 .259 .280 .354 33.3 28.5 6.3 3.36 3.24
Player 2000 300 19 6.3 3.8 85.9 110.5 7.2 32.7 .216 .321 .294 .288 .339 33.3 27.8 10.3
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Erceg relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(30.9%) ,
Slider
(27.9%) ,
Sinker
(21.3%) ,
Changeup
(19.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 44.0 24.1 25.5 6.4 41.1 33.3 25.5 5.7 39.0 22.0 23.4 3.5 6.4 3.6
2024 46.5 24.5 24.5 4.4 30.8 35.8 33.3 3.8 36.5 20.1 28.9 4.4 6.3 4.0
Player 45.3 24.3 25.0 5.3 35.7 34.7 29.7 4.7 37.7 21.0 26.3 4.0 6.3 3.8
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Sinker KC R 202 98.5 18.1 -0.9 15.8ARM 1.0 10.2 -2.9 15.8ARM 1.0
2024 Slider KC R 264 85.7 40.4 4.9 0.1ARM -4.8 -3.1 4.7 0.1ARM -5.2
2024 Changeup KC R 188 91.0 26.4 -1.4 17.9ARM 2.9 6.7 -1.8 17.9ARM 3.7
2024 4-Seam Fastball KC R 293 98.6 13.2 -1.0 10.1ARM 2.3 15.1 -0.7 10.1ARM 2.6
2023 Slider OAK R 155 86.2 38.0 2.9 0.5GLV -3.9 -1.1 2.6 0.5GLV -4.8
2023 Changeup OAK R 233 90.3 26.5 -1.0 16.9ARM 2.0 7.0 -1.6 16.9ARM 2.5
2023 Cutter OAK R 47 90.7 28.6 -3.9 2.5GLV -0.1 4.6 -3.3 2.5GLV -0.1
2023 Sinker OAK R 319 98.0 17.6 -0.7 15.5ARM 0.8 10.9 -3.3 15.5ARM 0.5
2023 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 299 98.0 13.9 -1.5 9.0ARM 1.3 14.6 -1.2 9.0ARM 1.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 0 293 30.9 84 .230 .392 .317 28.5 33.3 30.1 .237 .432 .334 45.7
2024 Slider 3.1 8 264 27.9 59 .123 .140 .136 37.5 45.8 26.7 .157 .220 .182 33.3
2024 Sinker 1.6 3 202 21.3 64 .220 .237 .257 20.4 17.2 25.6 .212 .245 .242 25.0
2024 Changeup -0.2 0 188 19.9 44 .293 .463 .350 37.5 13.6 13.3 .307 .475 .364 28.6
2023 Sinker 0.1 0 319 30.3 104 .280 .354 .369 28.9 15.4 25.4 .206 .266 .305 26.9
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1.0 3 299 28.4 68 .190 .328 .290 19.3 32.4 17.5 .221 .389 .322 41.7
2023 Changeup 0.5 1 233 22.1 48 .190 .286 .285 38.4 39.6 22.9 .196 .230 .249 26.1
2023 Slider -0.2 0 155 14.7 24 .318 .500 .379 29.4 37.5 17.3 .210 .351 .275 61.5
2023 Cutter -5.4 -3 47 4.5 6 .500 .750 .592 40.0 33.3 10.0 .179 .212 .347 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 184 91.0 94 19.6 1:45 2:30 -45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 291 98.6 98 17.9 1:30 1:15 15
2024 Sinker 201 98.5 98 19.0 1:30 2:00 -30
2024 Slider 262 85.7 30 5.5 7:15 6:00 75
2023 Changeup 230 90.3 94 18.6 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 Cutter 47 90.7 30 4.6 12:00 10:45 75
2023 4-Seam Fastball 298 98.0 97 17.0 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Sinker 313 98.0 98 19.1 1:15 2:00 -45
2023 Slider 154 86.2 23 3.6 8:15 6:30 105
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 250 1,053 5 12 -8 -7 2
2024 275 1,045 12 10 -5 -5 13
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 1,053 46.1 62.9 79.3 23.2 53.0 42.0 56.8 41.5 28.4 6.3 65.2
2024 947 48.0 64.6 77.9 31.9 51.6 43.9 60.2 47.6 31.0 6.8 75.0
Player 2,000 47.0 63.7 78.6 27.3 52.2 42.9 58.5 44.4 29.7 6.5 70.0
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 71 88 96 95 21 83 75 94 85 77 3 67 5 96 3 75
2024 82 73 80 85 75 83 76 97 87 85 77 86 84 98 11 62
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 28.6 1 3.1 -2 2 3 1 100.0
2024 24.2 4 4.7 -1 5 5 0 0.0
Player 25.1 5 7.8 -3 7 8 1 20.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 1 1 3 4 2 5 4 2 3 1 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 1 4 5 4 3 5 4 2 1 4 5 4 2 2
2024 4 6 3 5 4 4 5 5 2 3 4 6 6 4 4 5 4 4 5 7 5 5 8 5 4 4 4 6 6 5 3
Player 5 7 6 9 6 9 9 7 5 4 6 8 9 7 7 9 8 5 9 12 9 8 13 9 6 5 8 11 10 7 5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 97.5 98.6 1.1
Offspeed Velocity 90.3 91.0 0.7
Breaking Velocity 86.2 85.7 -0.5
Exit Velocity 86.0 85.9 -0.1
Launch Angle 7.9 6.6 -1.3
Barrel % 6.4 6.3 -0.1
Hard Hit % 33.3 33.3 0.0
LA Sweet-Spot % 34.0 31.4 -2.6
xBA .208 .223 0.015
BA .245 .212 -0.033
xwOBA .297 .280 -0.017
wOBA .328 .259 -0.069
xSLG .301 .340 0.039
SLG .356 .303 -0.053
K% 27.1 28.5 1.4
BB% 14.3 6.3 -8.0
Swing % 41.5 47.6 6.1
Whiff% 28.4 31.0 2.6
In Zone % 46.1 48.0 1.9
Out of Zone % 53.9 52.0 -1.9
Out of Zone Swing % 23.2 31.9 8.7
First Pitch Swing % 28.4 31.1 2.7
First Pitch Strike % 56.8 60.2 3.4
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 250 .328 159 1 0.6 91 32 35.2
2024 Shades 251 .259 132 0 0.0 119 47 39.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 247 16.0 25.5% 0.4% 254 19.3 0.4% 0.0%
2024 261 16.1 28.4% 1.5% 144 19.0 1.4% 0.7%

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Pitch Distribution