P | Athletics
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 253 lbs | Age: 27
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 1 1 3.19 37 0 0 42.1 50 1.32
2026 5 4 3.98 53 0 6 52 60 1.29
2 Seasons 6 5 3.63 90 0 6 94.1 110 1.30
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 37 1-1 3.19 42.1 50 1.32
2026 53 5-4 3.98 52 60 1.29
2 Seasons 90 6-5 3.63 94.1 110 1.30
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Team Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 26 765 109 9 8.3 4.9 89.9 111.7 16.7 30.3 .221 .362 .305 .304 .361 46.8 27.3 12.0 3.19 3.82
2026 27 898 130 17 13.1 7.8 90.3 114.1 16.0 30.0 .221 .427 .323 .329 .410 47.7 27.6 11.5 3.98 4.63
Player 1663 239 26 10.9 6.5 90.1 114.1 16.3 30.1 .221 .397 .315 .318 .388 47.3 27.5 11.8
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.6 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Alvarado relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(59.2%) ,
Slider
(19.5%) ,
Sinker
(14.5%) ,
Split Finger
(6.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 39.4 60.6 30.3 22.9 7.3 35.8 41.3 22.9 18.3 14.7 6.4 17.4 26.6 16.5
2026 36.9 63.1 43.1 16.2 3.8 32.3 50.0 17.7 14.6 14.6 7.7 17.7 35.4 10.0
Player 38.1 61.9 37.2 19.2 5.4 33.9 46.0 20.1 16.3 14.6 7.1 17.6 31.4 13.0
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.0 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.9 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 2.8 24.8 29.4 28.4 6.4 8.3 4.9
2026 4.6 30.0 25.4 17.7 9.2 13.1 7.8
Player 3.8 27.6 27.2 22.6 7.9 10.9 6.5
MLB 4.1 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
SeasonPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker R 130 97.7 19.6 -1.9 17.2ARM 1.2 9.2 -1.6 17.2ARM 2.2
2026 Split-Finger R 61 87.8 32.9 -0.1 7.2ARM -3.9 2.6 0.3 7.2ARM -4.0
2026 4-Seam Fastball R 532 98.7 13.5 0.2 12.4ARM 3.5 14.6 -1.0 12.4ARM 4.6
2026 Slider R 175 88.1 33.1 -0.6 0.7ARM -3.6 2.2 -0.8 0.7ARM -4.3
2025 Changeup R 31 89.5 29.8 -1.6 15.9ARM 0.9 4.6 -0.5 15.9ARM 1.4
2025 Sinker R 117 98.3 19.1 -2.0 16.7ARM 0.6 9.4 -2.0 16.7ARM 1.6
2025 4-Seam Fastball R 372 98.7 14.7 -0.9 14.2ARM 5.0 13.6 -2.2 14.2ARM 6.6
2025 Slider R 245 88.9 29.2 -3.3 0.9ARM -4.2 5.5 -3.7 0.9ARM -5.1
! Note: Seasons are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Season Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 0 532 59.2 124 .198 .416 .347 31.7 31.5 21.5 .194 .393 .332 48.4
2026 Slider -2.2 -4 175 19.5 41 .225 .500 .295 36.0 31.7 17.8 .246 .518 .348 35.7
2026 Sinker -0.5 -1 130 14.5 33 .323 .452 .385 12.9 3.0 10.0 .282 .495 .355 63.3
2026 Split-Finger 1.0 1 61 6.8 17 .176 .235 .179 34.6 41.2 21.2 .208 .286 .216 30.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 2 372 48.6 91 .164 .301 .307 39.7 34.1 25.6 .173 .304 .300 38.1
2025 Slider -0.8 -2 245 32.0 54 .192 .442 .281 41.2 33.3 20.5 .180 .294 .221 38.2
2025 Sinker 0.7 1 117 15.3 31 .345 .379 .347 8.2 3.2 5.3 .408 .639 .463 71.4
2025 Changeup -3.4 -1 31 4.1 6 .400 .600 .475 8.3 0.0 0.0 .255 .303 .319 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Season Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 4-Seam Fastball 506 98.6 97 19.2 1:30 1:30 0
2026 Split-Finger 55 87.9 83 8.6 2:15 2:45 -30
2026 Sinker 128 97.7 96 19.9 1:30 2:15 -45
2026 Slider 152 88.0 13 2.0 2:30 1:45 45
2025 Changeup 31 89.5 99 17.0 2:15 2:45 -30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 372 98.7 98 19.7 1:45 1:45 0
2025 Sinker 117 98.3 97 19.5 1:45 2:15 -30
2025 Slider 245 88.9 27 4.7 1:45 12:15 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Season Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 182 765 0 10 -5 -5 -1
2026 215 898 -2 10 -7 -4 -3
Player 397 1,663 -2 20 -12 -2 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 765 45.6 71.1 75.0 26.7 46.8 41.3 54.6 46.9 33.7 7.1 83.3
2026 898 48.4 74.7 73.2 28.7 61.7 40.5 59.7 51.0 30.1 7.9 83.1
Player 1,663 47.1 73.1 74.0 27.8 54.9 40.9 57.4 49.1 31.7 7.5 83.2
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Season Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 97 89 8
2026 27 38 23 60 26 96 87 10 29 84 83 14 1 1 18 5
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Season Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 26.44 6 4.4 2 2 5 1 16.7
2026 24.59 9 7.9 1 5 7 3 33.3
Player 25.38 15 12.3 3 7 12 4 26.7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Season HR
2025 6 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 1 4 6 5 8 5 3 6 3 3 5 5 4 6 5 2 2 4 6 5 4 3
2026 9 10 5 6 9 8 8 7 9 8 7 5 7 9 9 7 9 7 6 10 9 10 10 9 7 6 5 7 10 8 9
Player 15 15 10 9 13 13 13 12 14 9 11 11 12 17 14 10 15 10 9 15 14 14 16 14 9 8 9 13 15 12 12
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .222 +.008 .214
xBA .221 .000 .221
OBP .318 +.001 .317
xOBP .314 -.005 .319
SLG .423 +.052 .371
xSLG .427 +.065 .362
ISO .201 +.044 .157
xISO .206 +.064 .142
BABIP .273 +.001 .272
wOBA .323 +.018 .305
xwOBA .329 +.025 .304
wOBAcon .399 +.036 .363
xwOBAcon .410 +.049 .361
BACON .323 +.011 .312
xBACON .326 +.004 .322
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 47.7 +0.9 46.8
Avg Exit Velocity 90.3 +0.4 89.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 30.0 -0.3 30.3
Barrel % 13.1 +4.8 8.3
Avg Launch Angle 16.0 -0.7 16.7
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.3 +0.5 71.8
Attack Angle -1°
Ideal Attack Angle % 49.9 -1.3 51.2
Attack Direction +2° -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° -1° 32°
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 98.5 -0.1 98.6
Breaking Velocity 88.1 -0.8 88.9
Offspeed Velocity 87.8 -1.7 89.5
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 17 +8 9
Popup % 3.8 -3.5 7.3
Flyball % 43.1 +12.8 30.3
Line Drive % 16.2 -6.7 22.9
Groundball % 36.9 -2.5 39.4
Pull % 32.3 -3.5 35.8
Straight Away % 50.0 +8.7 41.3
Opposite Field % 17.7 -5.2 22.9
Weak Contact % 4.6 +1.8 2.8
Pull Airball % 17.7 +0.3 17.4
Topped Contact % 30.0 +5.2 24.8
Under Contact % 25.4 -4.0 29.4
Flare/Burner Contact % 17.7 -10.7 28.4
Solid Contact % 9.2 +2.8 6.4
HR/FB % 16.1 -2.1 18.2
Popups 5 -3 8
Flyballs 56 +23 33
Line Drives 21 -4 25
Groundballs 48 +5 43
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 48.4 +2.8 45.6
Out of Zone % 51.6 -2.8 54.4
Edge % 40.5 -0.8 41.3
Zone Swing % 74.7 +3.6 71.1
Out of Zone Swing % 28.7 +2.0 26.7
In Zone Contact % 73.2 -1.8 75.0
Out of Zone Contact % 61.7 +14.9 46.8
Whiff % 30.1 -3.6 33.7
First Strike % 59.7 +5.1 54.6
First Pitch Swing % 35.2 +4.1 31.1
Swing % 51.0 +4.1 46.9
Meatball Swing % 83.1 -0.2 83.3
Meatball % 7.9 +0.8 7.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 26.8 +1.8 25.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 38.3 -14.9 53.2
In Zone 435 +86 349
Out of Zone 463 +47 416
Edge 364 +48 316
In Zone Swings 325 +77 248
Out of Zone Swings 133 +22 111
In Zone Swing & Misses 87 +25 62
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 51 -8 59
Basic
Pitches 898 +133 765
PA 217 +34 183
AB 189 +30 159
Hits 42 +8 34
Singles 22 +1 21
Doubles 11 +4 7
Triples 0 0 0
Home Runs 9 +3 6
Walks 25 +3 22
Strikeouts 60 +10 50
K% 27.6 +0.3 27.3
BB% 11.5 -0.5 12.0
HBP 2 0 2
Batted Balls 130 +21 109
Fastball Percent 73.7 +9.8 63.9
Offspeed Percent 6.8 +2.7 4.1
Breaking Percent 19.5 -12.5 32.0
Number of Fastballs 662 +173 489
Number of Offspeed 61 +30 31
Number of Breaking 175 -70 245
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
SeasonAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 182 .305 103 0 0.0 79 42 53.2
2026 Shades 215 .323 113 3 2.7 102 36 35.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 205 16.8 17.1% 0.0% 137 18.7 2.2% 1.5%
2026 188 18.1 2.1% 2.1% 163 20.7 0.0% 3.7%

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Pitch Distribution