P | Philadelphia Phillies
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 230 lbs | Age: 28
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 6 9 3.64 58 0 23 54.1 66 1.16
2025 7 6 2.06 72 0 32 70 80 1.10
2026 1 1 1.42 13 0 8 12.2 21 1.03
5 Seasons 19 26 2.39 259 0 98 267 340 1.09
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 58 6-9 3.64 54.1 66 1.16
2025 72 7-6 2.06 70 80 1.10
2026 13 1-1 1.42 12.2 21 1.03
5 Seasons 259 19-26 2.39 267 340 1.09
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 1023 157 7 4.5 2.6 88.2 112.2 -1.1 25.5 .187 .275 .251 .234 .318 35.0 33.5 6.0 1.86 2.19
2023 25 1017 142 10 7.0 3.9 89.2 113.7 -3.7 21.1 .182 .289 .271 .251 .324 38.0 32.9 9.8 2.46 2.60
2024 26 881 141 5 3.6 2.2 87.0 109.9 -3.1 28.4 .207 .291 .292 .265 .332 36.2 28.9 6.6 3.64 2.81
2025 27 1073 185 8 4.3 2.8 89.4 113.6 -2.4 22.2 .210 .296 .248 .248 .312 41.6 27.9 6.6 2.06 2.51
2026 28 210 24 1 4.2 2.0 92.5 110.4 -1.5 25.0 .193 .266 .222 .250 .373 50.0 42.0 10.0 1.42 2.44
Player 4204 649 31 4.8 2.9 88.7 113.7 -2.5 24.2 .196 .287 .262 .249 .323 38.4 31.3 7.4
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Duran relies on 5 pitches.
Sinker
(44.3%) ,
Four Seamer
(27.6%) ,
Sweeper
(10.5%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(10.5%) ,
Split Finger
(7.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 61.1 38.9 16.6 18.5 3.8 36.9 33.8 29.3 24.2 21.0 15.9 12.7 12.7 13.4
2023 66.2 33.8 15.5 14.8 3.5 33.1 42.3 24.6 27.5 27.5 11.3 5.6 14.8 13.4
2024 61.7 38.3 13.5 19.9 5.0 39.0 31.9 29.1 33.3 21.3 7.1 5.7 10.6 22.0
2025 65.4 34.6 15.1 17.8 1.6 33.0 40.0 27.0 28.1 28.1 9.2 4.9 11.9 17.8
2026 62.5 37.5 16.7 16.7 4.2 41.7 41.7 16.7 20.8 41.7 0.0 20.8 0.0 16.7
Player 63.6 36.4 15.3 17.7 3.4 35.6 37.3 27.1 27.9 25.3 10.5 7.7 12.0 16.6
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 5.1 49.7 12.7 22.3 5.7 4.5 2.6
2023 7.0 50.0 12.0 20.4 3.5 7.0 3.9
2024 7.1 48.2 13.5 23.4 3.5 3.6 2.2
2025 4.3 48.6 13.5 26.5 2.7 4.3 2.8
2026 0.0 45.8 12.5 29.2 8.3 4.2 2.0
Player 5.5 49.0 12.9 23.6 4.0 4.8 2.9
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sweeper PHI R 22 88.0 38.7 0.8 10.7GLV 0.1 -3.3 4.5 10.7GLV -3.1
2026 Curveball PHI R 22 87.6 45.1 2.0 2.5GLV -2.0 -9.5 -0.8 2.5GLV -6.8
2026 Split-Finger PHI R 15 89.4 34.2 3.0 11.6ARM -0.5 0.2 2.6 11.6ARM -0.1
2026 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 58 100.1 13.8 -1.9 13.1ARM 5.5 13.7 -2.3 13.1ARM 5.3
2026 Sinker PHI R 93 97.5 24.5 3.9 15.3ARM -0.2 4.3 3.4 15.3ARM -0.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 377 100.6 14.5 -2.7 13.2ARM 4.8 12.6 -3.2 13.2ARM 5.6
2025 Curveball PHI R 206 87.6 46.1 1.3 5.6GLV 0.4 -10.4 0.2 5.6GLV -3.4
2025 Sinker PHI R 428 97.8 27.0 6.4 14.0ARM -1.2 1.7 5.7 14.0ARM -1.1
2025 Sweeper PHI R 62 87.2 38.5 2.1 12.2GLV 0.4 -2.3 3.2 12.2GLV -1.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Sinker 1.8 2 93 44.3 21 .300 .350 .307 32.7 19.0 44.4 .328 .468 .362 56.3
2026 4-Seam Fastball 2.6 1 58 27.6 18 .133 .133 .217 44.1 50.0 33.3 .135 .167 .226 50.0
2026 Sweeper 3.9 1 22 10.5 6 .000 .000 .117 66.7 66.7 44.4 .014 .015 .127 0.0
2026 Curveball -0.4 0 22 10.5 1 .000 .000 .000 66.7 100.0 14.3 -- -- .000 --
2026 Split-Finger 3.4 1 15 7.1 4 .000 .000 .000 14.3 75.0 30.0 .004 .011 .006 0.0
2025 Sinker 2.9 12 428 39.9 121 .237 .298 .256 23.2 12.4 19.5 .231 .330 .264 43.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 6 377 35.1 90 .225 .300 .274 32.9 32.2 26.1 .230 .317 .282 46.2
2025 Curveball 0.4 1 206 19.2 65 .190 .254 .224 41.8 50.8 31.7 .153 .225 .179 33.3
2025 Sweeper -0.3 0 62 5.8 7 .167 .167 .229 55.0 42.9 20.0 .125 .142 .197 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 4-Seam Fastball 58 100.1 99 18.9 1:30 1:30 0
2026 Knuckle Curve 22 87.6 50 11.9 7:15 6:30 45
2026 Sinker 91 97.5 91 16.6 1:45 2:30 -45
2026 Sweeper 22 88.0 47 12.5 7:30 8:15 -45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 377 100.6 99 18.4 1:45 1:45 0
2025 Knuckle Curve 206 87.6 60 13.8 7:30 6:45 45
2025 Sinker 387 97.7 88 14.9 1:45 3:00 -75
2025 Sweeper 62 87.2 56 13.6 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 263 1,023 4 14 -2 -3 13
2023 249 1,017 2 16 -4 -5 11
2024 226 881 4 7 -4 -4 3
2025 283 1,073 8 17 -3 -3 19
2026 50 210 2 4 0 -1 4
Player 1,071 4,204 21 58 -13 21 50
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 1,023 50.5 71.6 77.0 37.9 42.7 41.0 64.0 54.9 34.7 9.8 80.0
2023 1,017 49.9 72.8 74.0 30.2 42.2 42.2 59.9 51.4 35.4 7.4 74.7
2024 881 51.2 69.2 74.0 27.9 49.2 44.3 59.5 49.0 32.9 7.0 80.6
2025 1,073 51.1 72.8 80.2 32.8 43.6 44.7 58.1 53.2 30.8 7.6 80.5
2026 210 41.9 71.6 74.6 32.0 38.5 41.4 48.0 48.6 39.2 7.6 75.0
Player 4,204 50.2 71.7 76.4 32.3 43.7 42.9 59.8 52.1 33.7 8.0 78.8
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022 84 77 85 98 100 12 75 56 98 94 96 79 90 72 98 37
2023 79 86 55 99 100 2 78 43 68 95 96 29 66 58 99 59
2024 57 68 35 92 99 1 56 88 39 93 88 70 97 72 99 38
2025 93 96 53 98 98 2 63 45 91 87 83 74 95 41 100 29
2026 97 1 11
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 22.53 6 4.1 2 2 3 2 33.3
2023 23.60 6 5.6 0 1 5 2 33.3
2024 24.24 4 4.5 -1 1 2 3 75.0
2025 22.62 3 3.2 0 3 2 2 66.7
2026 -- 0 0.7 -1 0 1 0 --
Player 23.18 19 18.2 1 7 13 9 47.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 6 4 3 3 4 4 6 3 4 3 3 5 6 4 5 6 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 5 2 3 5 6 5 3 4
2023 6 7 4 6 5 5 7 6 5 4 6 5 7 4 7 8 7 5 7 5 5 6 7 7 5 4 6 5 7 5 2
2024 4 6 3 4 3 5 5 6 4 3 4 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 6 3 6 5 5 4 3 3 5 5 5
2025 3 3 4 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 2 5 3 4 2 2 3 2 3 4 3 5 4 4 3 2 3 5 5 3 4
2026 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
Player 19 21 14 16 15 18 21 19 17 13 16 20 21 18 20 21 20 16 20 19 18 20 22 22 15 13 18 20 22 16 15
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .178 -.043 .221 -.014 .235 +.028 .207 .000 .207
xBA .193 -.017 .210 +.003 .207 +.025 .182 -.005 .187
OBP .260 -.019 .279 -.026 .305 +.007 .298 +.033 .265
xOBP .273 +.004 .269 -.013 .282 +.006 .276 +.027 .249
SLG .200 -.085 .285 -.078 .363 +.039 .324 +.018 .306
xSLG .266 -.030 .296 +.005 .291 +.002 .289 +.014 .275
ISO .022 -.043 .065 -.062 .127 +.010 .117 +.018 .099
xISO .074 -.013 .087 +.003 .084 -.023 .107 +.018 .089
BABIP .333 +.031 .302 -.024 .326 +.025 .301 +.006 .295
wOBA .222 -.026 .248 -.044 .292 +.021 .271 +.020 .251
xwOBA .250 +.002 .248 -.017 .265 +.014 .251 +.017 .234
wOBAcon .316 +.005 .311 -.064 .375 +.014 .361 +.016 .345
xwOBAcon .373 +.061 .312 -.020 .332 +.008 .324 +.006 .318
BACON .333 +.019 .314 -.031 .345 +.014 .331 +.008 .323
xBACON .361 +.062 .299 -.008 .307 +.015 .292 -.003 .295
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 50.0 +8.4 41.6 +5.4 36.2 -1.8 38.0 +3.0 35.0
Avg Exit Velocity 92.5 +3.1 89.4 +2.4 87.0 -2.2 89.2 +1.0 88.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 25.0 +2.8 22.2 -6.2 28.4 +7.3 21.1 -4.4 25.5
Barrel % 4.2 -0.1 4.3 +0.7 3.6 -3.4 7.0 +2.5 4.5
Avg Launch Angle -1.5 +0.9 -2.4 +0.7 -3.1 +0.6 -3.7 -2.6 -1.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.0 +0.4 71.6 +1.1 70.5 +0.6 69.9 -- --
Attack Angle +1° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 44.2 +0.1 44.1 +2.1 42.0 +2.3 39.7 -- --
Attack Direction -2° -3° 10° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 32° 32° 32° -- --
Swing Length 7.0 +0.1 6.9 0.0 6.9 +0.1 6.8 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 98.5 -0.6 99.1 +0.1 99.0 -1.5 100.5 +0.8 99.7
Breaking Velocity 87.8 +0.3 87.5 +1.4 86.1 -1.6 87.7 -0.3 88.0
Offspeed Velocity 89.4 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 1 -7 8 +3 5 -5 10 +3 7
Popup % 4.2 +2.6 1.6 -3.4 5.0 +1.5 3.5 -0.3 3.8
Flyball % 16.7 +1.6 15.1 +1.6 13.5 -2.0 15.5 -1.1 16.6
Line Drive % 16.7 -1.1 17.8 -2.1 19.9 +5.1 14.8 -3.7 18.5
Groundball % 62.5 -2.9 65.4 +3.7 61.7 -4.5 66.2 +5.1 61.1
Pull % 41.7 +8.7 33.0 -6.0 39.0 +5.9 33.1 -3.8 36.9
Straight Away % 41.7 +1.7 40.0 +8.1 31.9 -10.4 42.3 +8.5 33.8
Opposite Field % 16.7 -10.3 27.0 -2.1 29.1 +4.5 24.6 -4.7 29.3
Weak Contact % 0.0 -4.3 4.3 -2.8 7.1 +0.1 7.0 +1.9 5.1
Pull Airball % 20.8 +15.9 4.9 -0.8 5.7 +0.1 5.6 -7.1 12.7
Topped Contact % 45.8 -2.8 48.6 +0.4 48.2 -1.8 50.0 +0.3 49.7
Under Contact % 12.5 -1.0 13.5 0.0 13.5 +1.5 12.0 -0.7 12.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 29.2 +2.7 26.5 +3.1 23.4 +3.0 20.4 -1.9 22.3
Solid Contact % 8.3 +5.6 2.7 -0.8 3.5 0.0 3.5 -2.2 5.7
HR/FB % 0.0 -10.7 10.7 -10.4 21.1 -6.2 27.3 +4.2 23.1
Popups 1 -2 3 -4 7 +2 5 -1 6
Flyballs 4 -24 28 +9 19 -3 22 -4 26
Line Drives 4 -29 33 +5 28 +7 21 -8 29
Groundballs 15 -106 121 +34 87 -7 94 -2 96
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 41.9 -9.2 51.1 -0.1 51.2 +1.3 49.9 -0.6 50.5
Out of Zone % 58.1 +9.2 48.9 +0.1 48.8 -1.3 50.1 +0.6 49.5
Edge % 41.4 -3.3 44.7 +0.4 44.3 +2.1 42.2 +1.2 41.0
Zone Swing % 71.6 -1.2 72.8 +3.6 69.2 -3.6 72.8 +1.2 71.6
Out of Zone Swing % 32.0 -0.8 32.8 +4.9 27.9 -2.3 30.2 -7.7 37.9
In Zone Contact % 74.6 -5.6 80.2 +6.2 74.0 0.0 74.0 -3.0 77.0
Out of Zone Contact % 38.5 -5.1 43.6 -5.6 49.2 +7.0 42.2 -0.5 42.7
Whiff % 39.2 +8.4 30.8 -2.1 32.9 -2.5 35.4 +0.7 34.7
First Strike % 48.0 -10.1 58.1 -1.4 59.5 -0.4 59.9 -4.1 64.0
First Pitch Swing % 30.0 -5.6 35.6 +3.0 32.6 -1.5 34.1 -3.0 37.1
Swing % 48.6 -4.6 53.2 +4.2 49.0 -2.4 51.4 -3.5 54.9
Meatball Swing % 75.0 -5.5 80.5 -0.1 80.6 +5.9 74.7 -5.3 80.0
Meatball % 7.6 0.0 7.6 +0.6 7.0 -0.4 7.4 -2.4 9.8
Zone Swing & Miss % 25.4 +5.6 19.8 -6.2 26.0 0.0 26.0 +3.0 23.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 61.5 +5.1 56.4 +5.6 50.8 -7.0 57.8 +0.5 57.3
In Zone 88 -460 548 +97 451 -56 507 -10 517
Out of Zone 122 -403 525 +95 430 -80 510 +4 506
Edge 87 -393 480 +90 390 -39 429 +10 419
In Zone Swings 63 -336 399 +87 312 -57 369 -1 370
Out of Zone Swings 39 -133 172 +52 120 -34 154 -38 192
In Zone Swing & Misses 16 -63 79 -2 81 -15 96 +11 85
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 24 -73 97 +36 61 -28 89 -21 110
Basic
Pitches 210 -863 1,073 +192 881 -136 1,017 -6 1,023
PA 50 -237 287 +59 228 -27 255 -11 266
AB 45 -218 263 +59 204 -18 222 -20 242
Hits 8 -50 58 +10 48 +2 46 -4 50
Singles 7 -40 47 +16 31 -1 32 -7 39
Doubles 1 -7 8 -4 12 +4 8 +4 4
Triples 0 0 0 -1 1 +1 0 -1 1
Home Runs 0 -3 3 -1 4 -2 6 0 6
Walks 5 -14 19 +4 15 -10 25 +9 16
Strikeouts 21 -59 80 +14 66 -18 84 -5 89
K% 42.0 +14.1 27.9 -1.0 28.9 -4.0 32.9 -0.6 33.5
BB% 10.0 +3.4 6.6 0.0 6.6 -3.2 9.8 +3.8 6.0
HBP 0 -3 3 -3 6 +2 4 0 4
Batted Balls 24 -161 185 +44 141 -1 142 -15 157
Number of Fastballs 151 -654 805 +169 636 -99 735 +64 671
Number of Offspeed 15 +15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Number of Breaking 44 -224 268 +23 245 -37 282 -70 352
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 262 .251 141 14 9.9 121 36 29.8
2023 Shades 249 .270 125 17 13.6 124 52 41.9
2024 Shades 226 .292 114 6 5.3 112 52 46.4
2025 Shades 283 .248 133 5 3.8 150 62 41.3
2026 Shades 50 .222 22 0 0.0 28 2 7.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 251 17.0 28.3% 1.2% 130 26.7 0.0% 27.7%
2023 197 15.7 39.1% 1.0% 179 20.6 0.6% 2.8%
2024 232 15.6 36.2% 0.4% 128 20.5 0.0% 3.9%
2025 241 16.3 24.5% 2.5% 152 21.0 0.0% 3.9%
2026 32 16.8 21.9% 0.0% 46 21.2 0.0% 8.7%

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Pitch Distribution