P | Philadelphia Phillies
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 230 lbs | Age: 28
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 6 9 3.64 58 0 23 54.1 66 1.16
2025 7 6 2.06 72 0 32 70 80 1.10
2026 1 2 1.25 22 0 16 21.2 33 0.83
5 Seasons 19 27 2.35 268 0 106 276 352 1.07
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 58 6-9 3.64 54.1 66 1.16
2025 72 7-6 2.06 70 80 1.10
2026 22 1-2 1.25 21.2 33 0.83
5 Seasons 268 19-27 2.35 276 352 1.07
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 1023 157 7 4.5 2.6 88.2 112.2 -1.1 25.5 .187 .275 .251 .234 .317 35.0 33.5 6.0 1.86 2.19
2023 25 1017 142 10 7.0 3.9 89.2 113.7 -3.7 21.1 .182 .289 .271 .251 .324 38.0 32.9 9.8 2.46 2.60
2024 26 881 141 5 3.6 2.2 87.0 109.9 -3.1 28.4 .207 .291 .292 .265 .332 36.2 28.9 6.6 3.64 2.81
2025 27 1073 185 8 4.3 2.8 89.4 113.6 -2.4 22.2 .210 .296 .248 .248 .312 41.6 27.9 6.6 2.06 2.51
2026 28 338 43 3 7.0 3.7 92.1 110.4 0.3 27.9 .194 .288 .215 .239 .368 48.8 40.7 6.2 1.25 2.26
Player 4332 668 33 4.9 3.0 88.7 113.7 -2.3 24.4 .196 .288 .260 .248 .324 38.6 31.5 7.2
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Duran relies on 5 pitches.
Split Finger
(42.9%) ,
Four Seamer
(28.1%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(10.9%) ,
Sweeper
(9.8%) ,
Changeup
(8.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 61.1 38.9 16.6 18.5 3.8 36.9 33.8 29.3 24.2 21.0 15.9 12.7 12.7 13.4
2023 66.2 33.8 15.5 14.8 3.5 33.1 42.3 24.6 27.5 27.5 11.3 5.6 14.8 13.4
2024 61.7 38.3 13.5 19.9 5.0 39.0 31.9 29.1 33.3 21.3 7.1 5.7 10.6 22.0
2025 65.4 34.6 15.1 17.8 1.6 33.0 40.0 27.0 28.1 28.1 9.2 4.9 11.9 17.8
2026 58.1 41.9 16.3 20.9 4.7 46.5 30.2 23.3 25.6 30.2 2.3 20.9 0.0 20.9
Player 63.3 36.7 15.3 18.0 3.4 36.1 36.7 27.2 28.0 25.0 10.3 8.1 11.7 16.9
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 5.1 49.7 12.7 22.3 5.7 4.5 2.6
2023 7.0 50.0 12.0 20.4 3.5 7.0 3.9
2024 7.1 48.2 13.5 23.4 3.5 3.6 2.2
2025 4.3 48.6 13.5 26.5 2.7 4.3 2.8
2026 0.0 46.5 11.6 23.3 11.6 7.0 3.7
Player 5.4 49.0 12.9 23.4 4.3 4.9 3.0
MLB 4.0 32.3 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sweeper PHI R 33 88.6 37.5 -0.5 10.1GLV -0.1 -2.6 3.7 10.1GLV -3.8
2026 Curveball PHI R 37 88.0 44.1 1.2 2.6GLV -1.9 -8.9 -1.4 2.6GLV -6.7
2026 Split-Finger PHI R 145 97.6 24.5 -0.1 15.0ARM 0.0 4.3 -1.3 15.0ARM 3.4
2026 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 95 100.2 13.7 -1.9 13.2ARM 5.5 13.7 -2.2 13.2ARM 5.4
2026 Changeup PHI R 28 89.3 33.3 3.3 9.8ARM -4.8 1.2 2.7 9.8ARM -4.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 377 100.6 14.5 -2.7 13.2ARM 4.8 12.6 -3.2 13.2ARM 5.6
2025 Curveball PHI R 206 87.6 46.1 1.3 5.6GLV 0.4 -10.4 0.2 5.6GLV -3.4
2025 Split-Finger PHI R 428 97.8 27.0 0.0 14.0ARM 0.0 1.7 1.4 14.0ARM 2.7
2025 Sweeper PHI R 62 87.2 38.5 2.1 12.2GLV 0.4 -2.3 3.2 12.2GLV -1.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Split-Finger 2.2 3 145 42.9 36 .257 .371 .285 36.9 25.0 50.0 .277 .437 .319 57.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball 2.6 2 95 28.1 25 .136 .182 .206 39.6 48.0 30.0 .155 .199 .220 40.0
2026 Curveball -0.6 0 37 10.9 5 .200 .400 .250 56.3 40.0 14.3 .267 .377 .276 66.7
2026 Sweeper 3.3 1 33 9.8 8 .000 .000 .088 72.7 75.0 37.5 .011 .012 .096 0.0
2026 Changeup 3.1 1 28 8.3 7 .000 .000 .000 18.2 57.1 25.0 .026 .036 .028 0.0
2025 Split-Finger 2.9 12 428 39.9 121 .237 .298 .256 23.2 12.4 19.5 .231 .330 .264 43.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 6 377 35.1 90 .225 .300 .274 32.9 32.2 26.1 .230 .317 .282 46.2
2025 Curveball 0.4 1 206 19.2 65 .190 .254 .224 41.8 50.8 31.7 .153 .225 .179 33.3
2025 Sweeper -0.3 0 62 5.8 7 .167 .167 .229 55.0 42.9 20.0 .125 .142 .197 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 19 89.2 82 10.3 2:15 2:45 -30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 95 100.2 99 19.0 1:30 1:30 0
2026 Split-Finger 140 97.6 91 16.4 1:45 2:30 -45
2026 Knuckle Curve 37 88.0 48 11.3 7:30 6:30 60
2026 Sweeper 33 88.6 44 11.8 7:30 8:15 -45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 377 100.6 99 18.4 1:45 1:45 0
2025 Split-Finger 387 97.7 88 14.9 1:45 3:00 -75
2025 Knuckle Curve 206 87.6 60 13.8 7:30 6:45 45
2025 Sweeper 62 87.2 56 13.6 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 263 1,023 4 14 -2 -3 13
2023 249 1,017 2 16 -4 -5 11
2024 226 881 4 7 -4 -4 3
2025 283 1,073 8 17 -3 -3 19
2026 81 338 4 5 0 -1 7
Player 1,102 4,332 23 59 -14 23 53
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 1,023 50.5 71.6 77.0 37.9 42.7 41.0 64.0 54.9 34.7 9.8 80.0
2023 1,017 49.9 72.8 74.0 30.2 42.2 42.2 59.9 51.4 35.4 7.4 74.7
2024 881 51.2 69.2 74.0 27.9 49.2 44.3 59.5 49.0 32.9 7.0 80.6
2025 1,073 51.1 72.8 80.2 32.8 43.6 44.7 58.1 53.2 30.8 7.6 80.5
2026 338 43.2 74.7 71.6 34.4 39.4 39.1 51.9 51.8 40.6 5.9 80.0
Player 4,332 50.1 71.9 76.1 32.5 43.6 42.7 59.7 52.2 34.0 7.8 79.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022 84 82 85 31 98 100 35 75 56 98 94 96 79 90 72 98 38
2023 79 60 55 93 99 100 16 77 43 68 95 96 29 66 58 99 57
2024 57 40 35 89 92 100 8 56 88 39 93 88 70 97 72 99 39
2025 93 76 53 99 98 100 11 63 45 91 87 83 74 95 41 100 28
2026 100 8 12
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 22.53 6 4.1 2 2 3 2 33.3
2023 23.60 6 5.6 0 1 5 2 33.3
2024 24.24 4 4.5 -1 1 2 3 75.0
2025 22.62 3 3.2 0 3 2 2 66.7
2026 21.99 1 1.2 0 0 2 0 0.0
Player 23.12 20 18.7 1 7 14 9 45.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 6 4 3 3 4 4 6 3 4 3 3 5 6 4 5 6 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 5 2 3 5 6 5 3 4
2023 6 7 4 6 5 5 7 6 5 4 6 5 7 4 7 8 7 5 7 5 5 6 7 7 5 4 6 5 7 5 2
2024 4 6 3 4 3 5 5 6 4 3 4 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 6 3 6 5 5 4 3 3 5 5 5
2025 3 3 4 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 2 5 3 4 2 2 3 2 3 4 3 5 4 4 3 2 3 5 5 3 4
2026 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 1 0
Player 20 21 15 16 16 19 22 19 18 14 17 21 21 18 21 21 20 16 20 20 18 20 23 22 15 13 19 21 23 17 15
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .171 -.050 .221 -.014 .235 +.028 .207 .000 .207
xBA .194 -.016 .210 +.003 .207 +.025 .182 -.005 .187
OBP .222 -.057 .279 -.026 .305 +.007 .298 +.033 .265
xOBP .243 -.026 .269 -.013 .282 +.006 .276 +.027 .249
SLG .250 -.035 .285 -.078 .363 +.039 .324 +.018 .306
xSLG .288 -.008 .296 +.005 .291 +.002 .289 +.014 .275
ISO .079 +.014 .065 -.062 .127 +.010 .117 +.018 .099
xISO .095 +.008 .087 +.003 .084 -.023 .107 +.018 .089
BABIP .286 -.016 .302 -.024 .326 +.025 .301 +.006 .295
wOBA .215 -.033 .248 -.044 .292 +.021 .271 +.020 .251
xwOBA .239 -.009 .248 -.017 .265 +.014 .251 +.017 .234
wOBAcon .324 +.013 .311 -.064 .375 +.014 .361 +.016 .345
xwOBAcon .368 +.056 .312 -.020 .332 +.008 .324 +.007 .317
BACON .302 -.012 .314 -.031 .345 +.014 .331 +.008 .323
xBACON .342 +.043 .299 -.008 .307 +.015 .292 -.003 .295
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 48.8 +7.2 41.6 +5.4 36.2 -1.8 38.0 +3.0 35.0
Avg Exit Velocity 92.1 +2.7 89.4 +2.4 87.0 -2.2 89.2 +1.0 88.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 27.9 +5.7 22.2 -6.2 28.4 +7.3 21.1 -4.4 25.5
Barrel % 7.0 +2.7 4.3 +0.7 3.6 -3.4 7.0 +2.5 4.5
Avg Launch Angle 0.3 +2.7 -2.4 +0.7 -3.1 +0.6 -3.7 -2.6 -1.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.4 -0.2 71.6 +1.1 70.5 +0.6 69.9 -- --
Attack Angle +2° +1° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 45.0 +0.9 44.1 +2.1 42.0 +2.3 39.7 -- --
Attack Direction -3° -3° 10° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 34° +2° 32° 32° 32° -- --
Swing Length 7.1 +0.2 6.9 0.0 6.9 +0.1 6.8 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 100.2 -0.4 100.6 +0.1 100.5 -1.3 101.8 +1.0 100.8
Breaking Velocity 88.3 +0.8 87.5 +1.4 86.1 -1.6 87.7 -0.3 88.0
Offspeed Velocity 96.3 -1.5 97.8 +0.8 97.0 -1.3 98.3 +1.9 96.4
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 3 -5 8 +3 5 -5 10 +3 7
Popup % 4.7 +3.1 1.6 -3.4 5.0 +1.5 3.5 -0.3 3.8
Flyball % 16.3 +1.2 15.1 +1.6 13.5 -2.0 15.5 -1.1 16.6
Line Drive % 20.9 +3.1 17.8 -2.1 19.9 +5.1 14.8 -3.7 18.5
Groundball % 58.1 -7.3 65.4 +3.7 61.7 -4.5 66.2 +5.1 61.1
Pull % 46.5 +13.5 33.0 -6.0 39.0 +5.9 33.1 -3.8 36.9
Straight Away % 30.2 -9.8 40.0 +8.1 31.9 -10.4 42.3 +8.5 33.8
Opposite Field % 23.3 -3.7 27.0 -2.1 29.1 +4.5 24.6 -4.7 29.3
Weak Contact % 0.0 -4.3 4.3 -2.8 7.1 +0.1 7.0 +1.9 5.1
Pull Airball % 20.9 +16.0 4.9 -0.8 5.7 +0.1 5.6 -7.1 12.7
Topped Contact % 46.5 -2.1 48.6 +0.4 48.2 -1.8 50.0 +0.3 49.7
Under Contact % 11.6 -1.9 13.5 0.0 13.5 +1.5 12.0 -0.7 12.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.3 -3.2 26.5 +3.1 23.4 +3.0 20.4 -1.9 22.3
Solid Contact % 11.6 +8.9 2.7 -0.8 3.5 0.0 3.5 -2.2 5.7
HR/FB % 14.3 +3.6 10.7 -10.4 21.1 -6.2 27.3 +4.2 23.1
Popups 2 -1 3 -4 7 +2 5 -1 6
Flyballs 7 -21 28 +9 19 -3 22 -4 26
Line Drives 9 -24 33 +5 28 +7 21 -8 29
Groundballs 25 -96 121 +34 87 -7 94 -2 96
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 43.2 -7.9 51.1 -0.1 51.2 +1.3 49.9 -0.6 50.5
Out of Zone % 56.8 +7.9 48.9 +0.1 48.8 -1.3 50.1 +0.6 49.5
Edge % 39.1 -5.6 44.7 +0.4 44.3 +2.1 42.2 +1.2 41.0
Zone Swing % 74.7 +1.9 72.8 +3.6 69.2 -3.6 72.8 +1.2 71.6
Out of Zone Swing % 34.4 +1.6 32.8 +4.9 27.9 -2.3 30.2 -7.7 37.9
In Zone Contact % 71.6 -8.6 80.2 +6.2 74.0 0.0 74.0 -3.0 77.0
Out of Zone Contact % 39.4 -4.2 43.6 -5.6 49.2 +7.0 42.2 -0.5 42.7
Whiff % 40.6 +9.8 30.8 -2.1 32.9 -2.5 35.4 +0.7 34.7
First Strike % 51.9 -6.2 58.1 -1.4 59.5 -0.4 59.9 -4.1 64.0
First Pitch Swing % 32.1 -3.5 35.6 +3.0 32.6 -1.5 34.1 -3.0 37.1
Swing % 51.8 -1.4 53.2 +4.2 49.0 -2.4 51.4 -3.5 54.9
Meatball Swing % 80.0 -0.5 80.5 -0.1 80.6 +5.9 74.7 -5.3 80.0
Meatball % 5.9 -1.7 7.6 +0.6 7.0 -0.4 7.4 -2.4 9.8
Zone Swing & Miss % 28.4 +8.6 19.8 -6.2 26.0 0.0 26.0 +3.0 23.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 60.6 +4.2 56.4 +5.6 50.8 -7.0 57.8 +0.5 57.3
In Zone 146 -402 548 +97 451 -56 507 -10 517
Out of Zone 192 -333 525 +95 430 -80 510 +4 506
Edge 132 -348 480 +90 390 -39 429 +10 419
In Zone Swings 109 -290 399 +87 312 -57 369 -1 370
Out of Zone Swings 66 -106 172 +52 120 -34 154 -38 192
In Zone Swing & Misses 31 -48 79 -2 81 -15 96 +11 85
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 40 -57 97 +36 61 -28 89 -21 110
Basic
Pitches 338 -735 1,073 +192 881 -136 1,017 -6 1,023
PA 81 -206 287 +59 228 -27 255 -11 266
AB 76 -187 263 +59 204 -18 222 -20 242
Hits 13 -45 58 +10 48 +2 46 -4 50
Singles 9 -38 47 +16 31 -1 32 -7 39
Doubles 3 -5 8 -4 12 +4 8 +4 4
Triples 0 0 0 -1 1 +1 0 -1 1
Home Runs 1 -2 3 -1 4 -2 6 0 6
Walks 5 -14 19 +4 15 -10 25 +9 16
Strikeouts 33 -47 80 +14 66 -18 84 -5 89
K% 40.7 +12.8 27.9 -1.0 28.9 -4.0 32.9 -0.6 33.5
BB% 6.2 -0.4 6.6 0.0 6.6 -3.2 9.8 +3.8 6.0
HBP 0 -3 3 -3 6 +2 4 0 4
Batted Balls 43 -142 185 +44 141 -1 142 -15 157
Fastball Percent 28.1 -7.0 35.1 -5.6 40.7 -4.4 45.1 -4.1 49.2
Offspeed Percent 51.2 +11.3 39.9 +8.5 31.4 +4.3 27.1 +10.7 16.4
Breaking Percent 20.7 -4.3 25.0 -2.8 27.8 +0.1 27.7 -6.7 34.4
Number of Fastballs 95 -282 377 +18 359 -100 459 -44 503
Number of Offspeed 173 -255 428 +151 277 +1 276 +108 168
Number of Breaking 70 -198 268 +23 245 -37 282 -70 352
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 262 .251 141 14 9.9 121 36 29.8
2023 Shades 249 .270 125 17 13.6 124 52 41.9
2024 Shades 226 .292 114 6 5.3 112 52 46.4
2025 Shades 283 .248 133 5 3.8 150 62 41.3
2026 Shades 81 .215 34 0 0.0 47 2 4.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 251 17.0 28.3% 1.2% 130 26.7 0.0% 27.7%
2023 197 15.7 39.1% 1.0% 179 20.6 0.6% 2.8%
2024 232 15.6 36.2% 0.4% 128 20.5 0.0% 3.9%
2025 241 16.3 24.5% 2.5% 152 21.0 0.0% 3.9%
2026 80 17.1 17.5% 6.3% 53 21.4 0.0% 7.5%

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Pitch Distribution