P | Bats/Throws: R/L | 6' 3" 195 lbs | Age: 30
Draft: 2016 | Rd. 5, No. 161, Los Angeles Dodgers | San Jacinto College
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 0 0.00 1 0 0 4.2 3 0.43
2022 5 2 3.71 15 12 0 70.1 40 1.22
2023 0 1 6.45 9 1 0 22.1 16 1.48
5 Seasons 9 5 4.32 43 20 1 162.1 112 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 1 0-0 0.00 4.2 3 0.43
2022 15 5-2 3.71 70.1 40 1.22
2023 9 0-1 6.45 22.1 16 1.48
5 Seasons 43 9-5 4.32 162.1 112 1.28
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 23 732 151 11 7.3 5.4 90.2 113.2 16.7 31.1 .279 .486 .326 .343 .400 35.1 18.8 5.9 3.86 5.30
2020 24 268 51 2 3.9 2.8 88.7 109.5 17.0 33.3 .248 .409 .356 .315 .364 45.1 20.8 6.9 6.75 4.21
2021 25 52 11 0 0.0 0.0 89.4 106.9 17.4 9.1 .256 .318 .177 .323 .305 45.5 17.6 5.9 0.00 4.48
2022 26 1129 227 16 7.0 5.6 88.8 112.3 16.2 32.6 .250 .436 .326 .322 .346 39.2 13.9 6.6 3.71 4.34
2023 27 361 76 9 11.8 9.0 90.9 109.3 18.3 40.8 .309 .604 .413 .408 .462 47.4 16.0 4.0 6.45 7.68
Player 2542 516 38 7.4 5.6 89.5 113.2 16.8 32.9 .268 .471 .338 .340 .380 39.9 16.5 6.0
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Smeltzer relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(41.0%) ,
Changeup
(27.7%) ,
Curveball
(15.0%) ,
Sweeper
(11.4%) ,
Cutter
(5.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2019 39.1 60.9 28.5 25.8 6.6 43.0 35.8 21.2 18.5 17.2 3.3 24.5 18.5 17.9
2020 37.3 62.7 23.5 25.5 13.7 37.3 33.3 29.4 15.7 15.7 5.9 21.6 17.6 23.5
2021 45.5 54.5 36.4 9.1 9.1 45.5 36.4 18.2 27.3 18.2 0.0 18.2 18.2 18.2
2022 39.2 60.8 30.4 21.6 8.8 42.3 36.6 21.1 20.7 15.9 2.6 21.6 20.7 18.5
2023 35.5 64.5 32.9 23.7 7.9 38.2 46.1 15.8 17.1 11.8 6.6 21.1 34.2 9.2
Player 38.6 61.4 29.7 23.3 8.5 41.5 37.4 21.1 19.2 15.7 3.7 22.3 21.7 17.4
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 2.6 26.5 28.5 29.1 6.0 7.3 5.4
2020 7.8 19.6 31.4 25.5 9.8 3.9 2.8
2021 9.1 18.2 36.4 36.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
2022 5.3 30.4 30.4 15.9 10.6 7.0 5.6
2023 2.6 22.4 27.6 23.7 11.8 11.8 9.0
Player 4.5 26.7 29.7 22.3 9.1 7.4 5.6
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2023 Cutter MIA L 18 83.6 30.8 2.0 2.6GLV -0.5 8.3 1.6 2.6GLV 0.7
2023 4-Seam Fastball MIA L 148 89.0 19.5 -1.3 11.6ARM 5.2 15.3 -0.2 11.6ARM 3.9
2023 Sweeper MIA L 41 77.7 46.1 1.2 14.6GLV -0.7 -0.2 1.4 14.6GLV 0.5
2023 Changeup MIA L 100 82.5 38.9 5.7 12.8ARM -0.8 1.2 5.0 12.8ARM -1.2
2023 Curveball MIA L 54 74.6 61.0 -0.2 13.5GLV 2.5 -11.4 2.5 13.5GLV 6.0
2022 Sinker MIN L 4 89.9 23.9 -1.1 14.6ARM -0.1 9.9 -0.9 14.6ARM -0.5
2022 Changeup MIN L 290 82.2 37.5 4.6 13.6ARM -0.2 2.8 4.0 13.6ARM -0.7
2022 4-Seam Fastball MIN L 448 89.4 18.2 -1.0 11.1ARM 4.6 16.1 0.0 11.1ARM 3.5
2022 Cutter MIN L 110 84.8 29.3 0.7 2.4GLV -0.6 8.6 0.8 2.4GLV 0.8
2022 Curveball MIN L 202 75.2 59.1 -1.5 11.5GLV 1.2 -10.5 1.4 11.5GLV 3.4
2022 Sweeper MIN L 75 77.0 45.2 0.3 15.8GLV -0.5 1.4 -0.8 15.8GLV 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seam Fastball -1.0 -1 148 41.0 42 .316 .579 .410 13.7 11.9 11.9 .351 .659 .449 54.5
2023 Changeup -2.0 -2 100 27.7 30 .296 .519 .383 33.3 26.7 18.2 .250 .526 .361 52.6
2023 Curveball -0.9 0 54 15.0 11 .300 .900 .509 8.3 0.0 0.0 .382 .960 .563 60.0
2023 Sweeper -6.7 -3 41 11.4 9 .444 .889 .561 21.4 11.1 7.1 .229 .439 .279 25.0
2023 Cutter 4.2 1 18 5.0 8 .250 .375 .269 11.1 25.0 66.7 .312 .352 .293 0.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball -1.4 -6 448 39.7 117 .248 .524 .366 16.3 17.1 14.0 .244 .552 .373 47.1
2022 Changeup 0.8 2 290 25.7 104 .242 .354 .284 18.1 13.5 13.6 .251 .349 .278 37.2
2022 Curveball 0.0 0 202 17.9 34 .419 .613 .447 21.6 5.9 6.7 .341 .467 .364 40.0
2022 Cutter 0.0 0 110 9.7 16 .067 .267 .225 19.2 6.3 5.6 .148 .245 .203 21.4
2022 Sweeper 0.6 0 75 6.6 16 .200 .400 .281 24.4 18.8 9.1 .208 .340 .266 16.7
2022 Sinker -3.7 0 4 0.4 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 94 82.5 82 13.4 10:00 9:00 60
2023 Curveball 54 74.6 78 20.2 4:15 4:30 -15
2023 Cutter 18 83.6 44 8.4 11:30 12:45 -75
2023 4-Seam Fastball 148 89.0 91 18.8 10:30 10:45 -15
2023 Sweeper 41 77.7 55 15.9 4:00 3:15 45
2022 Changeup 284 82.2 89 14.4 10:00 9:15 45
2022 Curveball 202 75.2 69 18.1 4:15 4:30 -15
2022 Cutter 110 84.8 46 8.2 11:15 12:45 -90
2022 4-Seam Fastball 448 89.4 95 19.3 10:30 10:45 -15
2022 Sweeper 75 77.0 59 16.7 3:45 3:00 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 202 732 0 6 -4 -3 -1
2020 72 268 -1 1 -2 -1 -4
2021 17 52 2 1 0 -1 2
2022 287 1,129 2 5 -5 -6 -4
2023 100 361 -8 5 -1 -2 -6
Player 678 2,542 -5 19 -13 -5 -13
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 732 51.6 66.4 86.5 31.9 63.7 42.8 65.3 49.7 20.6 7.5 80.0
2020 268 48.5 69.2 81.1 21.7 56.7 42.5 50.0 44.8 25.0 8.2 72.7
2021 52 51.9 77.8 81.0 24.0 50.0 48.1 52.9 51.9 25.9 7.7 100.0
2022 1,129 50.0 62.8 84.8 30.9 74.7 42.1 60.6 46.9 18.5 7.6 59.3
2023 361 51.2 64.3 87.4 29.5 65.4 41.3 68.0 47.4 19.3 9.4 67.6
Player 2,542 50.6 65.1 85.2 29.8 68.3 42.3 61.8 47.6 20.1 7.9 68.7
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2019 5 88 78 25
2020 2 80 15
2022 29 33 15 11 56 51 56 41 37 3 68 5 65 5 64 59 11
2023 4 39 61 5
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 24.09 8 8.9 -1 4 6 5 62.5
2020 21.45 2 1.6 0 2 1 1 50.0
2022 22.73 13 11.4 2 9 9 5 38.5
2023 23.09 7 7.1 0 1 4 4 57.1
Player 23.16 30 29.0 1 16 20 15 50.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2019 8 10 9 9 10 8 11 9 7 5 7 9 10 8 9 8 8 7 10 9 11 10 13 10 7 7 7 9 13 9 7
2020 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 3 1 3 2 1 3 2 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1
2022 13 10 9 15 11 13 12 10 8 9 9 16 12 11 12 17 11 11 12 11 11 10 16 14 9 8 14 12 12 10 7
2023 7 8 4 6 6 7 7 7 5 7 7 7 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 8 7 8 8 8 7 6 8 8 7 6
Player 30 30 23 32 29 30 32 28 21 22 24 34 31 27 32 34 30 28 31 30 32 28 40 33 26 23 28 30 35 27 21
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2023 +/-   2022 +/-   2021 +/-   2020 +/-   2019
Results
BA .315 +.062 .253 +.176 .077 -.215 .292 +.027 .265
xBA .309 +.059 .250 -.006 .256 +.008 .248 -.031 .279
OBP .370 +.066 .304 +.069 .235 -.117 .352 +.040 .312
xOBP .365 +.063 .302 -.073 .375 +.062 .313 -.013 .326
SLG .609 +.160 .449 +.372 .077 -.400 .477 +.011 .466
xSLG .604 +.168 .436 +.118 .318 -.091 .409 -.077 .486
ISO .293 +.097 .196 +.196 .000 -.185 .185 -.016 .201
xISO .295 +.109 .186 +.124 .062 -.099 .161 -.046 .207
BABIP .319 +.065 .254 +.163 .091 -.263 .354 +.060 .294
wOBA .413 +.087 .326 +.149 .177 -.179 .356 +.030 .326
xwOBA .408 +.086 .322 -.001 .323 +.008 .315 -.028 .343
wOBACON .469 +.117 .352 +.272 .080 -.341 .421 +.045 .376
xwOBACON .462 +.116 .346 +.041 .305 -.059 .364 -.036 .400
BACON .382 +.086 .296 +.205 .091 -.289 .380 +.049 .331
xBACON .374 +.080 .294 -.013 .307 -.017 .324 -.026 .350
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 47.4 +8.2 39.2 -6.3 45.5 +0.4 45.1 +10.0 35.1
Avg Exit Velocity 90.9 +2.1 88.8 -0.6 89.4 +0.7 88.7 -1.5 90.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 40.8 +8.2 32.6 +23.5 9.1 -24.2 33.3 +2.2 31.1
Barrel % 11.8 +4.8 7.0 +7.0 0.0 -3.9 3.9 -3.4 7.3
Avg Launch Angle 18.3 +2.1 16.2 -1.2 17.4 +0.4 17.0 +0.3 16.7
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Attack Angle 12° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 62.8 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Attack Direction -4° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 33° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Length 7.3 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 88.4 -0.1 88.5 +3.0 85.5 -2.0 87.5 -1.1 88.6
Breaking Velocity 75.9 +0.2 75.7 -1.3 77.0 +1.1 75.9 -1.0 76.9
Offspeed Velocity 82.5 +0.3 82.2 +3.2 79.0 -1.6 80.6 -2.2 82.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 9 -7 16 +16 0 -2 2 -9 11
Popup % 7.9 -0.9 8.8 -0.3 9.1 -4.6 13.7 +7.1 6.6
Flyball % 32.9 +2.5 30.4 -6.0 36.4 +12.9 23.5 -5.0 28.5
Line Drive % 23.7 +2.1 21.6 +12.5 9.1 -16.4 25.5 -0.3 25.8
Groundball % 35.5 -3.7 39.2 -6.3 45.5 +8.2 37.3 -1.8 39.1
Pull % 38.2 -4.1 42.3 -3.2 45.5 +8.2 37.3 -5.7 43.0
Straight Away % 46.1 +9.5 36.6 +0.2 36.4 +3.1 33.3 -2.5 35.8
Opposite Field % 15.8 -5.3 21.1 +2.9 18.2 -11.2 29.4 +8.2 21.2
Weak Contact % 2.6 -2.7 5.3 -3.8 9.1 +1.3 7.8 +5.2 2.6
Pull Airball % 21.1 -0.5 21.6 +3.4 18.2 -3.4 21.6 -2.9 24.5
Topped Contact % 22.4 -8.0 30.4 +12.2 18.2 -1.4 19.6 -6.9 26.5
Under Contact % 27.6 -2.8 30.4 -6.0 36.4 +5.0 31.4 +2.9 28.5
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.7 +7.8 15.9 -20.5 36.4 +10.9 25.5 -3.6 29.1
Solid Contact % 11.8 +1.2 10.6 +10.6 0.0 -9.8 9.8 +3.8 6.0
HR/FB % 28.0 +9.2 18.8 +18.8 0.0 -16.7 16.7 -1.9 18.6
Popups 6 -14 20 +19 1 -6 7 -3 10
Flyballs 25 -44 69 +65 4 -8 12 -31 43
Line Drives 18 -31 49 +48 1 -12 13 -26 39
Groundballs 27 -62 89 +84 5 -14 19 -40 59
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 51.2 +1.2 50.0 -1.9 51.9 +3.4 48.5 -3.1 51.6
Out of Zone % 48.8 -1.2 50.0 +1.9 48.1 -3.4 51.5 +3.1 48.4
Edge % 41.3 -0.8 42.1 -6.0 48.1 +5.6 42.5 -0.3 42.8
Zone Swing % 64.3 +1.5 62.8 -15.0 77.8 +8.6 69.2 +2.8 66.4
Out of Zone Swing % 29.5 -1.4 30.9 +6.9 24.0 +2.3 21.7 -10.2 31.9
In Zone Contact % 87.4 +2.6 84.8 +3.8 81.0 -0.1 81.1 -5.4 86.5
Out of Zone Contact % 65.4 -9.3 74.7 +24.7 50.0 -6.7 56.7 -7.0 63.7
Whiff % 19.3 +0.8 18.5 -7.4 25.9 +0.9 25.0 +4.4 20.6
First Strike % 68.0 +7.4 60.6 +7.7 52.9 +2.9 50.0 -15.3 65.3
First Pitch Swing % 29.0 +7.4 21.6 -19.6 41.2 +19.0 22.2 -8.0 30.2
Swing % 47.4 +0.5 46.9 -5.0 51.9 +7.1 44.8 -4.9 49.7
Meatball Swing % 67.6 +8.3 59.3 -40.7 100.0 +27.3 72.7 -7.3 80.0
Meatball % 9.4 +1.8 7.6 -0.1 7.7 -0.5 8.2 +0.7 7.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 12.6 -2.6 15.2 -3.8 19.0 +0.1 18.9 +5.4 13.5
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 34.6 +9.3 25.3 -24.7 50.0 +6.7 43.3 +7.0 36.3
In Zone 185 -380 565 +538 27 -103 130 -248 378
Out of Zone 176 -388 564 +539 25 -113 138 -216 354
Edge 149 -326 475 +450 25 -89 114 -199 313
In Zone Swings 119 -236 355 +334 21 -69 90 -161 251
Out of Zone Swings 52 -122 174 +168 6 -24 30 -83 113
In Zone Swing & Misses 15 -39 54 +50 4 -13 17 -17 34
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 18 -26 44 +41 3 -10 13 -28 41
Basic
Pitches 361 -768 1,129 +1,077 52 -216 268 -464 732
PA 100 -187 287 +270 17 -55 72 -130 202
AB 92 -173 265 +252 13 -52 65 -124 189
Hits 29 -38 67 +66 1 -18 19 -31 50
Singles 16 -26 42 +41 1 -11 12 -19 31
Doubles 6 -5 11 +11 0 -4 4 -4 8
Triples 0 -1 1 +1 0 -1 1 -2 3
Home Runs 7 -6 13 +13 0 -2 2 -6 8
Walks 4 -15 19 +18 1 -4 5 -7 12
Strikeouts 16 -24 40 +37 3 -12 15 -23 38
K% 16.0 +2.1 13.9 -3.7 17.6 -3.2 20.8 +2.0 18.8
BB% 4.0 -2.6 6.6 +0.7 5.9 -1.0 6.9 +1.0 5.9
HBP 4 +3 1 -1 2 +1 1 0 1
Batted Balls 76 -151 227 +216 11 -40 51 -100 151
Number of Fastballs 166 -396 562 +541 21 -68 89 -276 365
Number of Offspeed 100 -190 290 +264 26 -73 99 -88 187
Number of Breaking 54 -148 202 +197 5 -75 80 -100 180
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2019 Shifts 202 .326 159 53 33.3 43 15 34.9
2020 Shifts 72 .356 56 24 42.9 16 8 50.0
2021 Shifts 17 .177 9 2 22.2 8 8 100.0
2022 Shifts 287 .326 230 63 27.4 57 33 57.9
2023 Shades 100 .413 62 19 30.6 38 16 42.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 222 17.2 19.4% 1.8% 110 24.4 0.0% 12.7%
2020 84 18.8 2.4% 3.6% 45 25.0 0.0% 6.7%
2021 9 17.3 11.1% 0.0% 10 19.3 0.0% 0.0%
2022 376 16.8 16.5% 0.8% 161 21.6 0.0% 4.3%
2023 94 15.2 44.7% 0.0% 67 17.8 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution