Connor Overton
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 0" 205LBS | Age: 31
Draft: 2014 | Rd: 15, #437, Miami Marlins | Old Dominion
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 1 4.70 9 3 0 15.1 15 1.24
2022 1 0 2.73 6 4 0 33 14 0.97
2023 0 1 11.45 3 3 0 11 9 2.36
3 Seasons 1 2 4.85 18 10 0 59.1 38 1.30
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 9 0-1 4.70 15.1 15 1.24
2022 6 1-0 2.73 33 14 0.97
2023 3 0-1 11.45 11 9 2.36
3 Seasons 18 1-2 4.85 59.1 38 1.30
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 27 274 43 1 2.3 1.6 88.5 106.2 15.8 41.9 .251 .411 .303 .312 .377 39.5 23.8 7.9 4.70 4.12
2022 28 469 99 3 3.0 2.4 90.2 115.5 16.2 26.3 .235 .340 .230 .287 .283 41.4 11.3 8.9 2.73 3.39
2023 29 200 39 6 15.4 10.9 90.3 106.8 12.9 43.6 .290 .530 .506 .384 .417 35.9 16.4 12.7 11.46 6.61
Player 943 181 10 5.5 4.1 89.8 115.5 15.4 33.7 .251 .400 .312 .316 .334 39.8 15.7 9.5
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Overton relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(27.5%) ,
Changeup
(23.5%) ,
Slider
(18.0%) ,
Sinker
(13.5%) ,
Cutter
(12.5%) ,
Sweeper
(5.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 34.9 25.6 32.6 7.0 44.2 27.9 27.9 2.3 23.3 27.9 30.2 14.0 2.3 1.6
2022 42.4 23.2 22.2 12.1 37.4 38.4 24.2 1.0 31.3 33.3 26.3 5.1 3.0 2.4
2023 43.6 28.2 20.5 7.7 51.3 30.8 17.9 2.6 25.6 28.2 25.6 2.6 15.4 10.9
Player 40.9 24.9 24.3 9.9 42.0 34.3 23.8 1.7 28.2 30.9 27.1 6.6 5.5 4.1
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2023 Changeup CIN R 47 84.5 33.0 1.5 17.2ARM 3.1 5.5 -0.1 17.2ARM 2.8
2023 Sinker CIN R 27 90.6 26.0 1.7 17.4ARM 2.7 7.4 0.2 17.4ARM 2.4
2023 Cutter CIN R 25 88.7 22.2 5.2 2.8ARM -5.6 12.5 4.6 2.8ARM -5.4
2023 Slider CIN R 36 81.7 42.2 1.7 1.2GLV -6.6 -1.4 2.9 1.2GLV -4.1
2023 Sweeper CIN R 10 80.7 44.4 2.7 13.5GLV -1.3 -2.4 3.9 13.5GLV -0.6
2023 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 55 91.1 19.9 -3.1 12.1ARM 5.5 13.1 -2.7 12.1ARM 4.7
2022 Slider CIN R 93 81.9 40.4 -0.1 1.8GLV -5.6 0.3 1.5 1.8GLV -3.9
2022 Changeup CIN R 87 84.9 31.5 0.6 15.8ARM 1.8 6.5 -0.6 15.8ARM 1.6
2022 Curveball CIN R 7 78.8 56.7 2.4 7.7GLV -1.0 -12.2 2.3 7.7GLV -1.4
2022 Sweeper CIN R 52 79.6 43.3 0.5 11.6GLV -3.9 -0.3 1.9 11.6GLV -2.3
2022 Cutter CIN R 4 89.2 20.7 5.5 3.1ARM -5.5 13.4 5.1 3.1ARM -5.8
2022 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 124 91.1 17.9 -1.6 10.4ARM 3.7 15.1 -1.1 10.4ARM 3.1
2022 Sinker CIN R 102 90.7 23.6 0.0 17.2ARM 2.6 9.8 -1.5 17.2ARM 2.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.9 -1 55 27.5 14 .308 .615 .411 24.0 21.4 21.4 .269 .514 .353 20.0
2023 Changeup -3.9 -2 47 23.5 17 .308 .692 .441 28.0 11.8 18.2 .304 .631 .426 33.3
2023 Slider 0.8 0 36 18.0 9 .333 .333 .300 52.6 44.4 30.8 .209 .244 .198 40.0
2023 Sinker -3.0 -1 27 13.5 4 .667 .667 .625 10.0 0.0 0.0 .378 .404 .437 66.7
2023 Cutter -6.5 -2 25 12.5 6 .500 1.250 .708 0.0 0.0 -- .201 .261 .361 50.0
2023 Sweeper -41.5 -4 10 5.0 5 .800 1.800 1.080 16.7 0.0 0.0 .468 1.119 .654 40.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1.3 2 124 26.4 31 .167 .208 .285 9.8 9.7 11.1 .229 .314 .340 52.4
2022 Sinker 2.3 2 102 21.7 36 .258 .290 .288 6.4 11.1 17.4 .329 .480 .385 64.3
2022 Slider 3.8 4 93 19.8 24 .083 .083 .075 31.3 16.7 12.5 .169 .295 .199 25.0
2022 Changeup 0.6 1 87 18.6 24 .167 .333 .210 15.9 8.3 10.5 .161 .221 .165 18.2
2022 Sweeper -0.5 0 52 11.1 8 .375 .375 .338 17.6 12.5 9.1 .303 .374 .295 28.6
2022 Curveball -1.1 0 7 1.5 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .303 .321 .280 100.0
2022 Cutter -2.4 0 4 0.9 -- -- -- 100.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 47 84.5 99 18.8 2:15 2:30 -15
2023 Cutter 25 88.7 66 12.0 1:00 12:30 30
2023 4-Seam Fastball 55 91.1 96 17.6 1:45 1:30 15
2023 Sinker 27 90.6 95 19.3 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 Slider 36 81.7 20 3.8 8:00 6:45 75
2023 Sweeper 10 80.7 40 15.3 8:00 8:30 -30
2022 Changeup 84 84.9 96 17.4 2:00 2:30 -30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 123 91.1 93 18.1 1:30 1:15 15
2022 Sinker 93 90.7 91 19.6 1:30 2:15 -45
2022 Slider 85 81.9 17 3.2 8:15 7:45 30
2022 Sweeper 52 79.6 43 12.9 7:30 8:45 -75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 63 274 5 -3 -2 0 1
2022 124 469 5 6 -3 -1 7
2023 55 200 -3 -3 -1 -1 -9
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 274 48.2 70.5 84.9 33.8 54.2 42.3 66.7 51.5 24.8 6.6 88.9
2022 469 53.9 63.6 86.3 22.2 72.9 44.1 62.9 44.6 16.3 7.0 69.7
2023 200 49.0 65.3 87.5 29.4 43.3 39.0 58.2 47.0 26.6 6.0 75.0
Player 943 51.2 65.8 86.2 27.4 58.7 42.5 62.8 47.1 21.2 6.7 76.2
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 25 45 29
2022 11 35 34
2023 11 10 28
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 24.9 2 1.9 0 2 2 1 50.0
2022 25.5 1 0.8 0 0 2 0 0.0
2023 23.8 3 2.8 0 1 2 1 33.3
Player 24.4 6 5.5 1 3 6 2 33.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2021 2 2 4 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 4 2 2 4 3 3 1 1 2 3 2 1 2
2022 1 0 2 0 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 1
2023 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 4 3 2 4 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 2
Player 6 5 7 4 7 5 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 4 4 6 4 4 9 7 5 9 8 7 3 4 7 7 6 5 5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.0 90.9 -1.1 90.4 -0.5
Offspeed Velocity 84.9 84.9 0.0 84.5 -0.4
Breaking Velocity 82.1 81.0 -1.1 81.5 0.5
Exit Velocity 88.5 90.2 1.7 90.3 0.1
Launch Angle 15.8 16.2 0.4 12.9 -3.3
Barrel % 2.3 3.0 0.7 15.4 12.4
Hard Hit % 39.5 41.4 1.9 35.9 -5.5
LA Sweet-Spot % 41.9 26.3 -15.6 43.6 17.3
xBA .251 .235 -0.016 .290 0.055
BA .250 .188 -0.062 .404 0.216
xwOBA .312 .287 -0.025 .384 0.097
wOBA .303 .230 -0.073 .506 0.276
xSLG .411 .340 -0.071 .530 0.190
SLG .411 .241 -0.170 .766 0.525
K% 23.8 11.3 -12.5 16.4 5.1
BB% 7.9 8.9 1.0 12.7 3.8
Swing % 51.5 44.6 -6.9 47.0 2.4
Whiff% 24.8 16.3 -8.5 26.6 10.3
In Zone % 48.2 53.9 5.7 49.0 -4.9
Out of Zone % 51.8 46.1 -5.7 51.0 4.9
Out of Zone Swing % 33.8 22.2 -11.6 29.4 7.2
First Pitch Swing % 36.5 26.6 -9.9 27.3 0.7
First Pitch Strike % 66.7 62.9 -3.8 58.2 -4.7
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 63 .303 34 2 5.9 29 25 86.2
2022 Shifts 124 .230 63 11 17.5 61 51 83.6
2023 Shades 55 .506 29 1 3.4 26 22 84.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 77 19.5 2.6% 3.9% 39 21.6 0.0% 5.1%
2022 168 19.1 0.0% 0.6% 66 23.1 0.0% 7.6%
2023 53 14.9 52.8% 0.0% 35 17.1 5.7% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution