Emilio Pagán
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 2" 208LBS | Age: 33
Draft: 2013 | Rd: 10, #297, Seattle Mariners | Belmont Abbey
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 4 6 4.43 59 0 9 63 84 1.37
2023 5 2 2.99 66 1 1 69.1 65 0.95
2024 4 5 4.50 38 1 1 38 44 1.34
8 Seasons 26 23 3.78 407 2 33 438 500 1.09
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 59 4-6 4.43 63 84 1.37
2023 66 5-2 2.99 69.1 65 0.95
2024 38 4-5 4.50 38 44 1.34
8 Seasons 407 26-23 3.78 438 500 1.09
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2017 26 717 131 7 5.3 3.6 89.0 112.9 25.4 29.8 .192 .319 .260 .239 .311 30.5 28.6 4.1 3.22 2.41
2018 27 1038 177 19 10.7 7.3 87.2 114.1 25.3 28.2 .203 .402 .325 .290 .345 31.1 24.0 7.3 4.36 3.52
2019 28 1075 157 10 6.4 3.7 89.3 113.7 21.4 28.7 .174 .306 .244 .223 .321 34.4 36.0 4.9 2.31 2.16
2020 29 366 55 5 9.1 5.7 89.2 108.3 24.3 27.3 .216 .438 .277 .314 .383 40.0 26.4 10.3 4.50 4.18
2021 30 1098 174 24 13.8 9.1 90.4 110.6 26.5 42.0 .228 .491 .336 .329 .417 45.4 26.2 6.8 4.83 4.63
2022 31 1126 163 16 9.8 5.8 89.6 113.8 12.7 35.0 .227 .398 .334 .306 .406 44.8 30.7 9.5 4.43 3.89
2023 32 1061 186 14 7.5 5.1 90.6 108.6 19.9 34.4 .221 .402 .241 .296 .357 45.2 23.8 7.7 2.99 3.66
2024 33 593 103 9 8.7 5.7 90.4 107.7 20.9 36.9 .244 .409 .330 .308 .399 50.5 27.8 7.0 4.50 3.97
Player 7074 1146 104 9.1 5.8 89.5 114.1 21.9 33.2 .211 .393 .294 .286 .366 40.1 28.1 7.0
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Pagán relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(57.8%) ,
Cutter
(27.2%) ,
Split Finger
(15.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2017 22.9 39.7 25.2 12.2 45.8 29.8 23.7 2.3 14.5 50.4 23.7 3.1 5.3 3.6
2018 25.4 35.0 22.0 17.5 36.2 36.7 27.1 2.8 23.2 39.5 17.5 6.2 10.7 7.3
2019 35.0 28.0 21.7 15.3 42.0 30.6 27.4 1.3 26.8 40.8 21.0 3.8 6.4 3.7
2020 30.9 40.0 16.4 12.7 40.0 34.5 25.5 1.8 25.5 38.2 14.5 10.9 9.1 5.7
2021 23.0 42.5 19.5 14.9 32.8 33.9 33.3 1.7 15.5 39.1 19.5 10.3 13.8 9.1
2022 40.5 29.4 24.5 5.5 38.0 41.1 20.9 4.3 33.1 23.3 22.7 6.7 9.8 5.8
2023 32.3 35.5 22.0 10.2 32.8 36.6 30.6 3.8 18.8 34.9 25.3 9.7 7.5 5.1
2024 32.0 32.0 25.2 10.7 35.0 43.7 21.4 2.9 20.4 28.2 28.2 11.7 8.7 5.7
Player 30.2 35.0 22.3 12.5 37.3 35.8 26.8 2.7 22.1 36.7 21.8 7.5 9.1 5.8
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2024 Cutter CIN R 161 86.4 31.0 -1.4 4.1GLV 0.7 5.5 -2.8 4.1GLV 1.4
2024 Split-Finger CIN R 89 83.9 33.0 -1.8 11.4ARM 1.7 5.8 -3.2 11.4ARM 0.8
2024 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 343 94.6 12.4 2.5 7.0ARM -0.6 18.3 2.5 7.0ARM -0.5
2023 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 584 95.8 12.0 2.4 7.2ARM -0.8 17.9 2.1 7.2ARM -0.2
2023 Cutter MIN R 319 87.7 29.9 -1.5 4.2GLV 1.3 5.3 -2.6 4.2GLV 1.6
2023 Curveball MIN R 27 81.4 50.6 0.9 5.3GLV -3.5 -9.5 -0.4 5.3GLV -3.6
2023 Split-Finger MIN R 131 85.9 28.6 -4.2 13.5ARM 1.4 8.5 -5.2 13.5ARM 2.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -1 343 57.8 95 .259 .435 .332 25.9 25.3 22.0 .247 .463 .343 56.5
2024 Cutter -0.5 -1 161 27.2 40 .342 .553 .365 31.1 25.0 18.5 .308 .439 .312 50.0
2024 Split-Finger -0.4 0 89 15.0 22 .250 .300 .284 44.2 40.9 22.0 .121 .142 .169 18.2
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1.3 7 584 55.0 155 .188 .326 .265 24.6 28.4 24.3 .209 .415 .306 47.9
2023 Cutter 2.1 7 319 30.1 89 .143 .214 .187 18.8 14.6 11.9 .232 .358 .273 38.9
2023 Split-Finger -2.5 -3 131 12.3 20 .263 .526 .395 41.4 35.0 16.3 .233 .501 .324 41.7
2023 Curveball -6.0 -2 27 2.5 7 .286 .429 .307 16.7 14.3 8.3 .296 .414 .301 83.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Cutter 161 86.4 35 6.3 11:45 10:30 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 343 94.6 93 19.2 1:00 12:45 15
2024 Split-Finger 86 83.8 91 13.1 1:45 2:15 -30
2023 Curveball 24 81.5 59 13.3 7:30 6:45 45
2023 Cutter 315 87.7 34 6.5 11:45 10:30 75
2023 4-Seam Fastball 582 95.8 92 18.9 1:00 12:45 15
2023 Split-Finger 128 85.8 96 16.3 1:45 2:00 -15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 196 716 7 6 -5 -2 6
2018 261 1,038 6 7 -9 -4 0
2019 283 1,139 8 10 -2 -4 12
2020 106 442 1 6 -3 -2 3
2021 263 1,098 3 5 -8 -4 -4
2022 272 1,126 -3 11 -8 -3 -4
2023 278 1,089 7 15 -7 -4 11
2024 157 593 -4 5 -1 -1 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2017 717 57.5 73.1 76.1 28.3 59.3 39.4 62.2 54.0 27.6 10.9 83.3
2018 1,038 51.9 75.5 74.4 27.5 58.4 38.5 57.6 52.4 29.6 10.6 87.3
2019 1,075 52.6 72.4 71.4 35.5 49.7 44.0 65.8 54.9 35.1 7.4 80.0
2020 366 48.1 71.0 80.0 26.8 56.9 42.3 75.9 48.1 26.7 6.3 78.3
2021 1,098 51.0 76.3 75.2 27.7 53.7 39.7 59.7 52.5 29.7 7.1 92.3
2022 1,126 48.5 72.0 72.8 32.6 61.9 47.2 64.3 51.7 30.8 6.8 83.1
2023 1,061 54.5 75.6 79.6 29.4 62.0 42.8 63.1 54.6 24.4 9.0 88.4
2024 593 53.6 72.6 73.6 31.6 60.9 44.5 72.8 53.6 29.6 8.1 83.3
Player 7,074 52.2 73.9 75.1 30.2 57.5 42.3 63.8 53.0 29.5 8.3 85.4
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2017 62 88 90
2018 70 86 43 9 91 41 1 80 83 60 66 78 44 65 96 87
2019 100 99 96 86 100 74 61 31 68 96 93 94 97 82 94 86
2020 52 74 32 14 70 56 25 33 30 65 32 51 41 71 86 72
2021 29 64 7 1 81 32 1 15 7 67 72 74 47 74 96 75
2022 47 62 36 20 56 51 11 22 8 90 27 84 83 78 98 80
2023 72 77 51 29 85 62 58 11 8 53 61 37 58 80 98 77
2024 59 97 71
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2017 23.2 7 6.0 1 3 6 2 28.6
2018 22.9 13 13.9 -1 5 13 4 30.8
2019 23.2 14 9.5 5 3 11 2 14.3
2020 19.6 4 3.5 1 3 3 1 25.0
2021 23.4 16 15.9 0 8 13 6 37.5
2022 23.1 12 11.5 1 3 9 5 41.7
2023 24.4 5 5.5 -1 8 2 3 60.0
2024 24.7 6 5.7 0 3 4 2 33.3
Player 23.2 77 71.4 6 36 61 25 32.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2017 7 5 5 6 8 7 8 5 5 5 8 11 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 7 5 4 8 6 5 5 6 8 5 7 4
2018 13 19 13 10 13 12 16 14 13 10 13 17 14 12 13 14 12 13 17 15 15 16 17 17 9 10 13 14 17 15 13
2019 14 12 6 10 12 11 13 9 9 3 10 11 8 6 11 10 10 9 8 13 5 11 13 11 9 8 8 13 11 9 6
2020 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 2 3 4 4 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 5 4 5 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 1
2021 16 20 12 17 16 16 19 17 13 9 14 18 16 11 18 20 16 16 19 17 13 17 20 20 13 13 19 17 14 14 13
2022 12 12 9 7 9 12 14 9 7 10 11 12 13 12 13 13 13 11 12 12 13 13 15 12 11 11 10 13 12 12 12
2023 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 3 5 5 7 7 5 5 5 7 5 4 6 6 7 6 8 5 5 4 7 7 6 6
2024 6 5 6 6 5 6 6 6 5 4 5 6 7 5 6 5 5 5 6 6 5 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 7 5 4
Player 77 82 60 64 72 72 85 68 59 48 69 86 74 58 75 76 71 67 74 80 67 79 92 84 60 61 70 82 77 72 59
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2017 2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.9 91.1 0.2 ↑ 92.5 1.4 ↑ 91.5 -1.0 ↓ 91.7 0.2 ↑ 92.9 1.2 ↑ 92.9 0.0 92.0 -0.9 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 87.0 2.3 ↑ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.9 0.0 88.4 1.5 ↑ 85.9 -2.5 ↓ 83.9 -2.0 ↓
Breaking Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.3 0.0 81.9 1.6 ↑ 84.3 2.4 ↑ 82.1 -2.2 ↓ 81.4 -0.7 ↓ 0.0 0.0
Exit Velocity 89.0 87.2 -1.8 ↓ 89.3 2.1 ↑ 89.2 -0.1 ↓ 90.4 1.2 ↑ 89.6 -0.8 ↓ 90.6 1.0 ↑ 90.4 -0.2 ↓
Launch Angle 25.4 25.3 -0.1 ↓ 21.4 -3.9 ↓ 24.3 2.9 ↑ 26.5 2.2 ↑ 12.7 -13.8 ↓ 19.9 7.2 ↑ 20.9 1.0 ↑
Barrel % 5.3 10.7 5.4 ↑ 6.4 -4.3 ↓ 9.1 2.7 ↑ 13.8 4.7 ↑ 9.8 -4.0 ↓ 7.5 -2.3 ↓ 8.7 1.2 ↑
Hard Hit % 30.5 31.1 0.6 ↑ 34.4 3.3 ↑ 40.0 5.6 ↑ 45.4 5.4 ↑ 44.8 -0.6 ↓ 45.2 0.4 ↑ 50.5 5.3 ↑
LA Sweet-Spot % 29.8 28.2 -1.6 ↓ 28.7 0.5 ↑ 27.3 -1.4 ↓ 42.0 14.7 ↑ 35.0 -7.0 ↓ 34.4 -0.6 ↓ 36.9 2.5 ↑
xBA .192 .203 0.011 ↑ .174 -0.029 ↓ .216 0.042 ↑ .228 0.012 ↑ .227 -0.001 ↓ .221 -0.006 ↓ .244 0.023 ↑
BA .212 .230 0.018 ↑ .179 -0.051 ↓ .182 0.003 ↑ .231 0.049 ↑ .245 0.014 ↑ .181 -0.064 ↓ .278 0.097 ↑
xwOBA .239 .290 0.051 ↑ .223 -0.067 ↓ .314 0.091 ↑ .329 0.015 ↑ .306 -0.023 ↓ .296 -0.010 ↓ .308 0.012 ↑
wOBA .260 .325 0.065 ↑ .244 -0.081 ↓ .277 0.033 ↑ .336 0.059 ↑ .334 -0.002 ↓ .241 -0.093 ↓ .330 0.089 ↑
xSLG .319 .402 0.083 ↑ .306 -0.096 ↓ .438 0.132 ↑ .491 0.053 ↑ .398 -0.093 ↓ .402 0.004 ↑ .409 0.007 ↑
SLG .364 .473 0.109 ↑ .369 -0.104 ↓ .377 0.008 ↑ .512 0.135 ↑ .457 -0.055 ↓ .306 -0.151 ↓ .444 0.138 ↑
K% 28.6 24.0 -4.6 ↓ 36.0 12.0 ↑ 26.4 -9.6 ↓ 26.2 -0.2 ↓ 30.7 4.5 ↑ 23.8 -6.9 ↓ 27.8 4.0 ↑
BB% 4.1 7.3 3.2 ↑ 4.9 -2.4 ↓ 10.3 5.4 ↑ 6.8 -3.5 ↓ 9.5 2.7 ↑ 7.7 -1.8 ↓ 7.0 -0.7 ↓
Swing % 54.0 52.4 -1.6 ↓ 54.9 2.5 ↑ 48.1 -6.8 ↓ 52.5 4.4 ↑ 51.7 -0.8 ↓ 54.6 2.9 ↑ 53.6 -1.0 ↓
Whiff% 27.6 29.6 2.0 ↑ 35.1 5.5 ↑ 26.7 -8.4 ↓ 29.7 3.0 ↑ 30.8 1.1 ↑ 24.4 -6.4 ↓ 29.6 5.2 ↑
In Zone % 57.5 51.9 -5.6 ↓ 52.6 0.7 ↑ 48.1 -4.5 ↓ 51.0 2.9 ↑ 48.5 -2.5 ↓ 54.5 6.0 ↑ 53.6 -0.9 ↓
Out of Zone % 42.5 48.1 5.6 ↑ 47.4 -0.7 ↓ 51.9 4.5 ↑ 49.0 -2.9 ↓ 51.5 2.5 ↑ 45.5 -6.0 ↓ 46.4 0.9 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 28.3 27.5 -0.8 ↓ 35.5 8.0 ↑ 26.8 -8.7 ↓ 27.7 0.9 ↑ 32.6 4.9 ↑ 29.4 -3.2 ↓ 31.6 2.2 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 36.2 35.9 -0.3 ↓ 35.3 -0.6 ↓ 48.3 13.0 ↑ 40.3 -8.0 ↓ 39.7 -0.6 ↓ 39.9 0.2 ↑ 41.8 1.9 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 62.2 57.6 -4.6 ↓ 65.8 8.2 ↑ 75.9 10.1 ↑ 59.7 -16.2 ↓ 64.3 4.6 ↑ 63.1 -1.2 ↓ 72.8 9.7 ↑
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2017 Shifts 196 .260 130 5 3.8 66 33 50.0
2018 Shifts 261 .325 168 8 4.8 93 28 30.1
2019 Shifts 266 .244 171 115 67.3 95 74 77.9
2020 Shifts 87 .277 43 0 0.0 44 21 47.7
2021 Shifts 263 .336 148 4 2.7 115 75 65.2
2022 Shifts 272 .334 155 33 21.3 117 81 69.2
2023 Shades 271 .241 153 22 14.4 118 76 64.4
2024 Shades 157 .332 94 5 5.3 63 45 71.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2017 208 20.5 0.5% 3.8% 84 25.6 0.0% 14.3%
2018 274 20.5 3.6% 6.9% 140 28.0 0.0% 32.9%
2019 319 25.0 0.0% 13.5% 112 28.7 0.0% 40.2%
2020 123 24.0 0.0% 10.6% 42 26.5 0.0% 19.0%
2021 310 24.2 0.0% 9.7% 143 29.2 0.0% 44.8%
2022 261 23.8 0.0% 12.3% 199 26.6 0.0% 21.6%
2023 259 16.8 13.5% 1.9% 139 19.1 0.0% 2.9%
2024 131 17.3 8.4% 0.8% 89 20.2 0.0% 3.4%

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Pitch Distribution

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