Emilio Pagán
P | B/T: L/R | 6' 2" 208LBS | Age: 31

Draft: 2013 | Rd: 10, #297, Seattle Mariners | Belmont Abbey
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 2 4.13 24 0 9 24.0 32 1.33
6 Seasons 14 12 3.76 268 0 31 291.2 339 1.06
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 24 1-2 4.13 24.0 32 1.33
6 Seasons 268 14-12 3.76 291.2 339 1.06

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2017 26 717 131 7 5.3 3.6 89.0 112.9 25.4 29.8 .192 .319 .260 .239 .311 30.5 28.6 4.1 3.22 2.41
2018 27 1038 177 19 10.7 7.3 87.2 114.1 25.3 28.2 .203 .402 .325 .290 .346 31.1 24.0 7.3 4.36 3.52
2019 28 1075 157 10 6.4 3.7 89.3 113.7 21.4 28.7 .174 .306 .244 .223 .321 34.4 36.0 4.9 2.31 2.16
2020 29 366 55 5 9.1 5.7 89.2 108.3 24.3 27.3 .216 .439 .277 .315 .383 40.0 26.4 10.3 4.50 4.21
2021 30 1098 174 24 13.8 9.1 90.4 110.6 26.5 42.0 .228 .492 .336 .329 .417 45.4 26.2 6.8 4.83 4.63
2022 31 440 61 8 13.1 7.6 91.9 111.7 8.1 36.1 .247 .486 .337 .349 .464 47.5 30.5 11.4 4.13 4.57
Player 4734 755 73 9.7 6.2 89.2 114.1 23.3 32.3 .205 .395 .296 .282 .363 37.0 28.7 6.7
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 32.9 .246 .410 .317 .317 .370 35.7 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Pagan relies on 3 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(48.4%) ,
Cutter
(29.3%) ,
Split Finger
(22.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2017 22.9 39.7 25.2 12.2 45.8 29.8 23.7 2.3 14.5 50.4 23.7 3.1 5.3 3.6
2018 25.4 35.0 22.0 17.5 36.2 36.7 27.1 2.8 23.2 39.5 17.5 6.2 10.7 7.3
2019 35.0 28.0 21.7 15.3 42.0 30.6 27.4 1.3 26.8 40.8 21.0 3.8 6.4 3.7
2020 30.9 40.0 16.4 12.7 40.0 34.5 25.5 1.8 25.5 38.2 14.5 10.9 9.1 5.7
2021 23.0 42.5 19.5 14.9 32.8 33.9 33.3 1.7 15.5 39.1 19.5 10.3 13.8 9.1
2022 45.9 24.6 26.2 3.3 44.3 44.3 11.5 4.9 41.0 21.3 14.8 4.9 13.1 7.6
Player 28.5 35.6 21.9 14.0 39.2 34.0 26.6 2.3 22.3 40.0 19.3 6.4 9.7 6.2
MLB 45.0 22.9 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Splitter MIN R 98 88.3 28.1 -2.6 -9 12.0 0.7 6
2022 Cutter MIN R 129 85.1 36.9 -5.8 -18 4.6 1.5 49
2022 4-Seamer MIN R 213 95.0 11.8 2.7 19 4.3 -3.6 -45
2021 Changeup SD R 12 86.9 24.2 -7.2 -23 16.5 2.2 15
2021 Cutter SD R 414 86.4 33.4 -4.1 -14 2.8 0.4 18
2021 4-Seamer SD R 672 94.9 12.1 2.6 18 5.8 -2.2 -27
2020 Sinker SD R 1 93.6 11.8 -8.9 -43 11.2 -3.2 -22
2020 Cutter SD R 133 86.4 33.0 -3.1 -10 2.4 -0.5 -16
2020 4-Seamer SD R 228 94.5 13.1 1.9 13 5.5 -2.3 -29
2020 Curveball SD R 4 81.9 44.4 -4.7 -10 3.7 -5.5 -60
2019 Curveball TB R 22 80.3 55.1 2.8 5 7.6 -2.3 -23
2019 Cutter TB R 392 87.5 31.6 -3.9 -14 3.3 1.3 68
2019 4-Seamer TB R 661 95.5 11.5 3.1 21 4.9 -2.9 -37
2018 Changeup OAK R 43 87.0 23.8 -5.9 -20 12.4 -1.5 -10
2018 4-Seamer OAK R 672 93.8 12.6 2.9 18 4.3 -3.2 -43
2018 Cutter OAK R 306 85.0 36.5 -6.1 -20 4.2 1.2 41
2018 Sinker OAK R 17 93.1 16.7 -4.7 -22 13.2 -1.1 -8
2017 4-Seamer SEA R 458 93.7 11.9 2.6 18 8.4 0.2 3
2017 Sinker SEA R 34 93.5 17.8 -2.5 -12 13.6 -1.2 -8
2017 Cutter SEA R 208 84.2 37.2 -5.6 -18 2.9 0.8 35
2017 Changeup SEA R 16 84.7 23.2 -6.6 -22 14.8 1.1 8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -0.2 0 213 48.4 49 .190 .476 .336 24.8 30.6 21.1 .248 .583 .392 59.3
2022 Cutter 3.9 5 129 29.3 32 .345 .724 .472 28.1 18.8 17.1 .312 .577 .402 39.1
2022 Splitter -2.9 -3 98 22.3 24 .091 .136 .185 39.5 45.8 30.6 .161 .178 .194 36.4
2021 4-Seamer 0.0 0 672 61.2 177 .228 .538 .355 26.6 27.7 22.3 .234 .554 .362 55.5
2021 Cutter 0.7 3 414 37.7 84 .232 .463 .301 34.7 22.6 13.5 .211 .370 .258 27.0
2021 Changeup 3.2 0 12 1.1 2 .500 .500 .450 50.0 50.0 14.3 .428 .572 .434 100.0
2020 4-Seamer 1.4 3 228 62.3 62 .245 .509 .361 24.6 22.6 17.3 .247 .524 .366 45.0
2020 Cutter -2.5 -3 133 36.3 24 .043 .087 .081 34.9 37.5 20.0 .149 .256 .193 28.6
2020 Curveball -8.9 0 4 1.1 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .088 .096 .082 0.0
2020 Sinker -5.1 0 1 0.3 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 4-Seamer -2.2 -15 661 61.5 153 .166 .379 .247 35.9 42.5 28.6 .144 .284 .200 39.5
2019 Cutter -0.6 -2 392 36.5 111 .190 .352 .264 34.0 27.9 21.4 .211 .334 .254 28.4
2019 Curveball 6.2 1 22 2.0 2 .500 .500 .450 20.0 0.0 0.0 .373 .448 .353 50.0
2018 4-Seamer 0.3 2 672 64.7 182 .262 .573 .379 25.8 19.2 18.1 .215 .455 .319 36.2
2018 Cutter -0.3 -1 306 29.5 72 .171 .271 .227 39.1 36.1 25.5 .172 .289 .224 15.9
2018 Changeup -2.0 -1 43 4.1 3 .000 .000 .000 50.0 33.3 5.9 .346 .368 .317 50.0
2018 Sinker -1.2 0 17 1.6 4 .000 .000 .350 0.0 25.0 100.0 .006 .007 .353 0.0
2017 4-Seamer -1.0 -4 458 63.9 132 .203 .374 .271 26.0 27.3 26.1 .200 .343 .258 37.5
2017 Cutter -1.6 -3 208 29.0 48 .191 .255 .224 36.8 39.6 26.4 .147 .207 .164 17.9
2017 Sinker 1.7 1 34 4.7 10 .375 .375 .400 10.0 10.0 16.7 .242 .283 .222 11.1
2017 Changeup 8.4 1 16 2.2 6 .333 1.000 .692 27.3 0.0 0.0 .326 .764 .453 16.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Cutter 120 86.5 34 3.9 11:15 10:30 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 209 94.5 90 17.9 1:00 12:30 30
2021 Changeup 12 86.9 99 20.5 1:45 2:00 -15
2021 Cutter 411 86.4 29 4.3 11:15 10:15 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 671 94.9 89 18.8 12:45 12:45 0
2022 Cutter 129 85.1 26 5.5 10:00 8:45 75
2022 4-Seam Fastball 213 95.0 87 18.7 12:45 12:30 15
2022 Splitter 90 88.4 93 14.6 1:30 2:15 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 196 716 -7 -6 5 2 -6
2018 261 1,038 -6 -7 9 4 0
2019 283 1,139 -8 -10 2 4 -12
2020 106 442 -1 -6 3 2 -3
2021 263 1,098 -3 -5 8 4 3
2022 105 440 3 -8 5 2 2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2017 717 57.4 73.0 76.3 28.5 58.6 39.8 62.2 54.0 27.6 11.0 83.5
2018 1,038 51.9 75.5 74.4 27.5 58.4 38.5 57.6 52.4 29.6 10.6 87.3
2019 1,075 52.7 72.4 71.2 35.4 50.0 43.8 65.8 54.9 35.1 7.3 79.7
2020 366 48.1 71.0 80.0 26.8 56.9 42.6 75.9 48.1 26.7 6.3 78.3
2021 1,098 51.0 76.3 75.2 27.7 53.7 39.7 59.7 52.5 29.5 7.2 92.4
2022 440 48.6 69.6 76.5 24.8 57.1 45.5 57.1 46.6 28.8 6.4 82.1
Player 4,734 52.1 73.7 74.8 29.1 54.8 41.2 62.0 52.3 30.3 8.4 85.2
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2017 25 87
2018 70 88 44 9 91 41 1 80 83 60 66 77 70 28 94
2019 100 99 96 86 100 74 61 31 68 96 93 94 100 41 86
2020 51 74 32 14 70 56 25 33 30 65 32 51 51 31 72
2021 30 65 7 1 81 32 1 15 7 67 72 74 30 28 91
2022 28 56 23 12 39 44 4 2 6 89 15 69 28 21 94
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2017 23.2 7 5.8 1 2 4 3 42.9
2018 22.9 13 13.0 0 5 13 3 23.1
2019 23.2 14 10.5 4 1 12 2 14.3
2020 19.6 4 4.0 0 5 3 1 25.0
2021 23.4 16 17.0 -1 9 14 6 37.5
2022 22.6 6 6.3 0 0 6 2 33.3

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2017 7 5 9 5 5 5 7 5 8 7 5 5 5 4 7 7 5 5 4 7 8 5 5 5 5 7 6 5 4 5 8
2018 13 12 15 11 12 13 11 19 11 14 9 10 9 11 13 17 12 17 10 15 12 10 13 16 15 15 16 10 17 8 18
2019 14 10 13 7 11 11 13 13 13 8 10 10 4 10 10 14 9 12 7 9 14 10 10 8 7 14 12 9 12 10 14
2020 4 4 5 2 4 3 0 4 4 7 4 3 2 4 4 4 4 5 2 4 4 4 4 3 6 4 4 4 5 3 5
2021 16 16 20 11 18 20 18 20 17 12 18 18 11 14 14 20 20 15 15 15 19 18 15 21 16 18 21 15 18 15 21
2022 6 7 7 6 6 7 7 7 5 3 3 6 6 2 6 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 7 7 7 6 8 6 8
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.9 91.1 0.2 92.5 1.4 91.5 -1 91.7 0.2 91.3 -0.4
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 87 2.3 0 0 0 0 86.9 0 88.3 1.4
Breaking Velocity 0 0 0 80.3 0 81.9 1.6 0 0 0 0
Exit Velocity 89 87.2 -1.8 89.3 2.1 89.2 -0.1 90.4 1.2 91.9 1.5
Launch Angle 25.4 25.3 -0.1 21.4 -3.9 24.3 2.9 26.5 2.2 8.1 -18.4
Barrel % 5.3 10.7 5.4 6.4 -4.3 9.1 2.7 13.8 4.7 13.1 -0.7
Hard Hit % 30.5 31.1 0.6 34.4 3.3 40 5.6 45.4 5.4 47.5 2.1
Sweet Spot % 29.8 28.2 -1.6 28.7 0.5 27.3 -1.4 42 14.7 36.1 -5.9
xBA .192 .203 0.011 .174 -0.029 .216 0.042 .228 0.012 .247 0.019
BA .212 .23 0.018 .179 -0.051 .182 0.003 .231 0.049 .215 -0.016
xwOBA .239 .29 0.051 .223 -0.067 .315 0.092 .329 0.014 .349 0.02
wOBA .26 .325 0.065 .244 -0.081 .277 0.033 .336 0.059 .337 0.001
xSLG .319 .402 0.083 .306 -0.096 .439 0.133 .492 0.053 .486 -0.006
SLG .364 .473 0.109 .369 -0.104 .377 0.008 .512 0.135 .473 -0.039
K% 28.6 24 -4.6 36 12 26.4 -9.6 26.2 -0.2 30.5 4.3
BB% 4.1 7.3 3.2 4.9 -2.4 10.3 5.4 6.8 -3.5 11.4 4.6
Swing % 54 52.4 -1.6 54.9 2.5 48.1 -6.8 52.5 4.4 46.6 -5.9
Whiff% 27.6 29.6 2 35.1 5.5 26.7 -8.4 29.5 2.8 28.8 -0.7
In Zone % 57.4 51.9 -5.5 52.7 0.8 48.1 -4.6 51 2.9 48.6 -2.4
Out of Zone % 42.6 48.1 5.5 47.3 -0.8 51.9 4.6 49 -2.9 51.4 2.4
Out of Zone Swing % 28.5 27.5 -1 35.4 7.9 26.8 -8.6 27.7 0.9 24.8 -2.9
First Pitch Swing % 36.2 35.9 -0.3 35.3 -0.6 48.3 13 40.3 -8 29.5 -10.8
First Pitch Strike % 62.2 57.6 -4.6 65.8 8.2 75.9 10.1 59.7 -16.2 57.1 -2.6
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2017 196 .260 130 5 3.8 66 33 50.0
2018 261 .325 168 8 4.8 93 28 30.1
2019 266 .244 171 115 67.3 95 74 77.9
2020 87 .277 43 0 0.0 44 21 47.7
2021 263 .336 148 4 2.7 115 75 65.2
2022 105 .337 62 8 12.9 43 29 67.4

Pitch Tempo