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Emilio Pagan
Popularity: ↑ 150%
P | B/T: L/R | 6' 2" 208LBS | Age: 29

Draft: 2013 | Rd: 10, #297, Seattle Mariners | Belmont Abbey
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 0 1 4.50 22 0 2 22.0 23 1.05
4 Seasons 9 7 3.39 177 0 22 204.1 238 0.99
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 22 0-1 4.50 22.0 23 1.05
4 Seasons 177 9-7 3.39 204.1 238 0.99

Statcast Statistics

Season Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON Hard Hit % K % BB % ERA xERA
2017 717 131 7 5.3 89 25.4 29.8 .198 .330 .260 .248 .323 30.5 28.6 4.1 3.22 2.47
2018 1038 177 19 10.7 87.2 25.3 28.2 .206 .410 .325 .296 .354 31.1 24.0 7.3 4.35 3.53
2019 1075 157 10 6.4 89.3 21.4 28.7 .176 .308 .245 .225 .325 34.4 36.0 4.9 2.31 2.11
2020 366 55 5 9.1 89.2 24.3 27.3 .217 .444 .272 .304 .367 40.0 26.4 10.3 4.50 4.21
ALL 3196 520 41 7.9 88.5 24 28.7 .195 .360 .277 .262 .339 32.9 29.3 6.0
MLB 43640 6.4 88.3 11.9 32.8 .250 .414 .317 .321 .376 34.9 21.8 8.3

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Pagan relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(62.3%) ,
Cutter
(35.5%) ,
Curveball
(1.9%) ,
Sinker
(0.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Whiff% PutAway%
2020 4-Seam Fastball 228 109 119 62.3 94.5 62 53 13 8 0 1 4 14 40 .245 .248 .509 .529 .351 .351 90.5 24 2441 24.6 17.3
2020 Cutter 130 73 57 35.5 86.5 23 22 1 0 1 0 0 9 13 .045 .154 .091 .266 .083 .194 87.0 27 2233 35.7 20.0
2020 Curveball 7 1 6 1.9 82.3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .081 .000 .140 .000 .091 78.1 11 2510 0.0 0.0
2020 Sinker 1 0 1 0.3 93.6 2490 0.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball 661 375 286 61.5 95.5 153 145 24 11 3 2 8 65 81 .166 .146 .379 .284 .240 .200 90.5 30 2483 36.0 28.6
2019 Cutter 392 305 87 36.5 87.5 111 105 20 12 3 1 4 31 74 .190 .212 .352 .338 .248 .258 87.9 11 2351 34.0 21.4
2019 Curveball 22 10 12 2.0 80.3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 .500 .384 .500 .465 .435 .361 94.9 36 2544 20.0 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 Cutter SD R 130 86.5 32.9 -3.1 -10 2.3 -0.6 -20
2020 Curveball SD R 7 82.3 42.5 -6.2 -13 4.3 -4.7 -52
2020 4-Seamer SD R 228 94.5 13.1 2 13 5.5 -2.2 -29
2020 Sinker SD R 1 93.6 11.8 -8.9 -43 11.2 -3.2 -22
2019 Curveball TB R 22 80.3 55.1 2.7 5 7.6 -2.3 -23
2019 Cutter TB R 392 87.5 31.6 -3.9 -14 3.3 1.3 66
2019 4-Seamer TB R 661 95.5 11.5 3.1 21 4.9 -2.9 -37
2018 Sinker OAK R 17 93.2 16.7 -4.7 -22 13.2 -1.2 -8
2018 Changeup OAK R 43 87 23.8 -5.9 -20 12.4 -1.4 -10
2018 4-Seamer OAK R 672 93.8 12.6 2.9 19 4.3 -3.2 -43
2018 Cutter OAK R 306 85 36.5 -6.1 -20 4.2 1.2 39
2017 Changeup SEA R 16 84.7 23.2 -6.6 -22 14.8 1.1 8
2017 Cutter SEA R 206 84.2 37.2 -5.9 -19 2.9 0.5 20
2017 Sinker SEA R 34 93.5 17.8 -2.7 -13 13.6 -1.5 -10
2017 4-Seamer SEA R 458 93.7 11.9 2.8 19 8.4 0.1 1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 Curveball -6.8 0 7 1.9 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .081 .140 .091 0.0
2020 Cutter -2.4 -3 130 35.5 23 .045 .091 .085 35.7 39.1 20.0 .154 .266 .194 30.8
2020 4-Seamer 1.4 3 228 62.3 62 .245 .509 .361 24.6 22.6 17.3 .248 .529 .352 45.0
2020 Sinker -5.4 0 1 0.3 0.0
2019 Curveball 6.3 1 22 2.0 2 .500 .500 .450 20.0 0.0 0.0 .384 .465 .361 50.0
2019 Cutter -0.5 -2 392 36.5 111 .190 .352 .264 34.0 27.9 21.4 .212 .338 .259 28.4
2019 4-Seamer -2.2 -14 661 61.5 153 .166 .379 .247 36.0 42.5 28.6 .146 .284 .200 39.5
2018 Changeup -1.9 -1 43 4.1 3 .000 .000 .000 50.0 33.3 5.9 .358 .385 .329 50.0
2018 Sinker -1.1 0 17 1.6 4 .000 .000 .350 0.0 25.0 100.0 .006 .008 .353 0.0
2018 Cutter -0.5 -1 306 29.5 72 .171 .271 .217 39.1 36.1 25.5 .175 .293 .217 15.9
2018 4-Seamer 0.2 1 672 64.7 182 .262 .573 .379 25.8 19.2 18.1 .218 .465 .326 36.2
2017 Changeup 8.6 1 16 2.2 6 .333 1.000 .692 27.3 0.0 0.0 .349 .763 .470 16.7
2017 Sinker 1.7 1 34 4.7 10 .375 .375 .400 10.0 10.0 16.7 .280 .325 .250 11.1
2017 Cutter -1.5 -3 206 28.7 48 .191 .255 .224 36.0 39.6 26.4 .146 .208 .165 17.9
2017 4-Seamer -1.2 -5 458 63.9 132 .203 .374 .271 26.0 27.3 26.1 .205 .355 .268 37.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Observed Spin-Based Gap Observed Spin-Based
2020 Cutter 119 86.6 34 3.9 10:30 11:30 60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 221 94.5 90 18.0 12:30 12:45 15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 195 715 -7 -6 5 1 -7
2018 258 1035 -6 -6 8 3 -1
2019 281 1136 -8 -10 2 4 -11
2020 106 442 -1 -6 3 2 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2017 717 57.4 73.0 76.3 28.5 58.6 39.8 62.2 54.0 27.6 11.0 83.5
2018 1038 51.9 75.5 74.4 27.5 58.4 38.5 57.6 52.4 29.6 10.6 87.3
2019 1075 52.7 72.4 71.2 35.2 50.3 43.8 65.5 54.8 35.1 7.3 79.7
2020 366 48.4 70.6 80.0 27.0 56.9 42.6 75.9 48.1 26.7 6.3 78.3
ALL 3196 53.0 73.4 74.4 30.2 55.1 41.1 63.3 53.1 30.8 9.1 83.5
MLB 48.4 66.1 82.8 28.2 59.4 42.6 60.6 46.6 24.5 7.2 75.1

Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2017 22.9 39.7 25.2 12.2 45.8 30.5 23.7 2.3 14.5 50.4 23.7 3.1 5.3
2018 25.4 35.0 22.0 17.5 36.2 36.7 27.1 2.8 23.2 39.5 17.5 6.2 10.7
2019 35.0 28.0 21.7 15.3 42.0 30.6 27.4 1.3 26.8 40.8 21.0 3.8 6.4
2020 30.9 32.7 21.8 14.5 40.0 34.5 25.5 1.8 25.5 38.2 14.5 10.9 9.1
ALL 28.3 33.8 22.7 15.2 40.8 33.1 26.2 2.1 22.3 42.5 19.8 5.2 7.9
MLB 45.3 22.0 25.7 7.1 36.6 38.0 25.5 3.2 33.6 24.3 24.6 5.6 6.4

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2017 24 86
2018 70 87 42 8 91 41 1 80 83 60 66 77 70 27 93
2019 100 99 96 87 100 74 62 31 68 96 93 93 100 41 86 57
2020 51 74 30 13 69 56 25 33 30 65 32 50 51 31 69 50
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.2 14 10.6 3.4 1 12 2 14.3
2020 19.6 4 3.6 0.4 3 2 2 50.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 14 8 14 8 15 10 12 13 13 8 13 11 3 11 12 14 8 8 8 13 5 10 10 10 8 14 12 12 11 9 14
2020 4 3 5 3 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 3 2 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 4 3 4 5 3 4
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.9 91.1 0.2 92.5 1.4 91.6 -0.9
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 87 2.3 0 0 0 0
Breaking Velocity 0 0 0 80.3 0 82.3 2
Exit Velocity 89 87.2 -1.8 89.3 2.1 89.2 -0.1
Launch Angle 25.4 25.3 -0.1 21.4 -3.9 24.3 2.9
Barrel % 5.3 10.7 5.4 6.4 -4.3 9.1 2.7
Hard Hit % 30.5 31.1 0.6 34.4 3.3 40 5.6
Sweet Spot % 29.8 28.2 -1.6 28.7 0.5 27.3 -1.4
xBA .198 .206 0.008 .176 -0.03 .217 0.041
BA .212 .23 0.018 .179 -0.051 .182 0.003
xwOBA .248 .296 0.048 .225 -0.071 .304 0.079
wOBA .26 .325 0.065 .245 -0.08 .272 0.027
xSLG .33 .41 0.08 .308 -0.102 .444 0.136
SLG .364 .473 0.109 .369 -0.104 .377 0.008
K% 28.6 24 -4.6 36 12 26.4 -9.6
BB% 4.1 7.3 3.2 4.9 -2.4 10.3 5.4
Swing % 54 52.4 -1.6 54.8 2.4 48.1 -6.7
Whiff% 27.6 29.6 2 35.1 5.5 26.7 -8.4
In Zone Swing % 57.4 51.9 -5.5 52.7 0.8 48.4 -4.3
Out of Zone Swing % 42.6 48.1 5.5 47.3 -0.8 51.6 4.3
First Pitch Swing % 36.2 35.9 -0.3 35.2 -0.7 48.3 13.1
First Pitch Strike % 62.2 57.6 -4.6 65.5 7.9 75.9 10.4
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2017 196 .260 130 5 3.8 66 33 50.0
2018 260 .326 167 8 4.8 93 28 30.1
2019 266 .245 171 115 67.3 95 74 77.9
2020 87 .272 43 0 0.0 44 22 50.0

Pitch Distribution