Emilio Pagán
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 2" 208LBS | Age: 33
Draft: 2013 | Rd: 10, #297, Seattle Mariners | Belmont Abbey
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 5 2 2.99 66 1 1 69.1 65 0.95
2024 4 5 4.50 38 1 1 38 44 1.34
2025 0 1 2.61 11 0 4 10.1 9 0.48
9 Seasons 26 24 3.75 418 2 37 448.1 509 1.08
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 66 5-2 2.99 69.1 65 0.95
2024 38 4-5 4.50 38 44 1.34
2025 11 0-1 2.61 10.1 9 0.48
9 Seasons 418 26-24 3.75 448.1 509 1.08
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2017 26 717 131 7 5.3 3.6 89.0 112.9 25.4 29.8 .192 .319 .260 .239 .311 30.5 28.6 4.1 3.22 2.41
2018 27 1038 177 19 10.7 7.3 87.2 114.1 25.3 28.2 .202 .401 .325 .290 .345 31.1 24.0 7.3 4.36 3.52
2019 28 1075 157 10 6.4 3.7 89.3 113.7 21.4 28.7 .174 .306 .244 .223 .321 34.4 36.0 4.9 2.31 2.16
2020 29 366 55 5 9.1 5.7 89.2 108.3 24.3 27.3 .216 .438 .277 .314 .383 40.0 26.4 10.3 4.50 4.18
2021 30 1098 174 24 13.8 9.1 90.4 110.6 26.5 42.0 .228 .491 .336 .329 .417 45.4 26.2 6.8 4.83 4.63
2022 31 1126 163 16 9.8 5.8 89.6 113.8 12.7 35.0 .227 .398 .334 .306 .406 44.8 30.7 9.5 4.43 3.89
2023 32 1061 186 14 7.5 5.1 90.6 108.6 19.9 34.4 .221 .402 .241 .296 .357 45.2 23.8 7.7 2.99 3.66
2024 33 593 103 9 8.7 5.7 90.4 107.7 20.9 36.9 .244 .409 .330 .308 .399 50.5 27.8 7.0 4.50 3.97
2025 34 134 26 4 15.4 11.1 90.2 110.5 33.0 23.1 .238 .596 .218 .356 .466 53.8 25.0 2.8 2.61 4.91
Player 7208 1172 108 9.2 5.9 89.5 114.1 22.1 33.0 .212 .397 .292 .288 .368 40.4 28.0 6.9
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.6 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Pagán relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(72.4%) ,
Cutter
(20.1%) ,
Split Finger
(7.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2017 22.9 77.1 39.7 25.2 12.2 45.8 29.8 23.7 13.0 6.9 2.3 32.8 22.9 21.4
2018 25.4 74.6 35.0 22.0 17.5 36.2 36.7 27.1 12.4 9.0 4.0 23.7 27.7 23.2
2019 35.0 65.0 28.0 21.7 15.3 42.0 30.6 27.4 20.4 12.7 1.9 21.7 17.8 25.5
2020 30.9 69.1 40.0 16.4 12.7 40.0 34.5 25.5 16.4 10.9 3.6 23.6 23.6 21.8
2021 23.0 77.0 42.5 19.5 14.9 32.8 33.9 33.3 10.9 8.6 3.4 21.8 25.3 29.9
2022 40.5 59.5 29.4 24.5 5.5 38.0 41.1 20.9 22.1 16.6 1.8 16.0 24.5 19.0
2023 32.3 67.7 35.5 22.0 10.2 32.8 36.6 30.6 14.5 15.1 2.7 18.3 21.5 28.0
2024 32.0 68.0 32.0 25.2 10.7 35.0 43.7 21.4 11.7 14.6 5.8 23.3 29.1 15.5
2025 19.2 80.8 57.7 3.8 19.2 34.6 23.1 42.3 15.4 3.8 0.0 19.2 19.2 42.3
Player 29.9 70.1 35.5 21.9 12.6 37.3 35.5 27.1 15.2 11.7 3.0 22.1 23.8 24.1
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.8 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2017 2.3 14.5 50.4 23.7 3.1 5.3 3.6
2018 2.8 23.2 39.5 17.5 6.2 10.7 7.3
2019 1.3 26.8 40.8 21.0 3.8 6.4 3.7
2020 1.8 25.5 38.2 14.5 10.9 9.1 5.7
2021 1.7 15.5 39.1 19.5 10.3 13.8 9.1
2022 4.3 33.1 23.3 22.7 6.7 9.8 5.8
2023 3.8 18.8 34.9 25.3 9.7 7.5 5.1
2024 2.9 20.4 28.2 28.2 11.7 8.7 5.7
2025 3.8 7.7 42.3 19.2 11.5 15.4 11.1
Player 2.7 21.8 36.9 21.8 7.6 9.2 5.9
MLB 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 97 94.5 11.7 2.9 6.4ARM -1.0 19.2 3.1 6.4ARM -1.2
2025 Split-Finger CIN R 10 84.5 34.4 -0.6 9.9ARM -0.7 3.9 -1.2 9.9ARM -1.7
2025 Cutter CIN R 27 86.1 32.5 -2.7 5.7GLV 2.7 4.2 -4.3 5.7GLV 3.5
2024 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 343 94.6 12.4 2.5 7.0ARM -0.6 18.3 2.6 7.0ARM -0.6
2024 Cutter CIN R 161 86.4 31.0 -1.3 4.1GLV 0.9 5.5 -2.8 4.1GLV 1.4
2024 Split-Finger CIN R 89 83.9 33.0 -1.7 11.4ARM 1.7 5.8 -3.2 11.4ARM 0.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 3.1 3 97 72.4 25 .083 .333 .188 25.5 20.0 14.7 .224 .648 .373 57.9
2025 Cutter 2.8 1 27 20.1 7 .143 .571 .286 20.0 42.9 42.9 .244 .568 .339 75.0
2025 Split-Finger 0.8 0 10 7.5 4 .250 .250 .225 50.0 25.0 14.3 .308 .330 .279 0.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.3 1 343 57.8 95 .259 .435 .332 25.9 25.3 22.0 .247 .463 .343 56.5
2024 Cutter -1.6 -3 161 27.2 40 .342 .553 .365 31.1 25.0 18.5 .308 .439 .312 50.0
2024 Split-Finger 0.1 0 89 15.0 22 .250 .300 .284 44.2 40.9 22.0 .121 .142 .169 18.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Cutter 27 86.1 33 7.0 11:15 10:00 75
2025 4-Seam Fastball 97 94.5 91 19.8 12:45 12:45 0
2025 Split-Finger 10 84.5 82 10.7 1:30 2:30 -60
2024 Cutter 161 86.4 35 6.3 11:45 10:30 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 343 94.6 93 19.2 1:00 12:45 15
2024 Split-Finger 86 83.8 91 13.1 1:45 2:15 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 196 716 10 5 -6 -2 8
2018 261 1,038 6 6 -9 -4 0
2019 266 1,074 12 14 -3 -4 20
2020 87 366 1 7 -3 -2 3
2021 263 1,098 3 6 -8 -5 -4
2022 272 1,126 -8 13 -8 -4 -6
2023 271 1,061 11 18 -6 -4 18
2024 157 593 -4 6 -2 -1 -2
2025 36 134 3 1 0 0 4
Player 1,809 7,206 34 76 -44 34 41
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2017 717 57.5 73.1 76.1 28.3 59.3 39.4 62.2 54.0 27.6 10.9 83.3
2018 1,038 51.9 75.5 74.4 27.5 58.4 38.5 57.6 52.4 29.6 10.6 87.3
2019 1,075 52.6 72.4 71.4 35.5 49.7 44.0 65.8 54.9 35.1 7.4 80.0
2020 366 48.1 71.0 80.0 26.8 56.9 42.3 75.9 48.1 26.7 6.3 78.3
2021 1,098 51.0 76.3 75.2 27.7 53.7 39.7 59.7 52.5 29.7 7.1 92.3
2022 1,126 48.5 72.0 72.8 32.6 61.9 47.2 64.3 51.7 30.8 6.8 83.1
2023 1,061 54.5 75.6 79.6 29.4 62.0 42.8 63.1 54.6 24.4 9.0 88.4
2024 593 53.6 72.6 73.6 31.6 60.9 44.5 72.8 53.6 29.6 8.1 83.3
2025 134 59.7 73.8 76.3 31.5 64.7 47.8 66.7 56.7 26.3 7.5 80.0
Player 7,208 52.4 73.9 75.1 30.3 57.7 42.4 63.8 53.1 29.4 8.3 85.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.7 42.6 61.1 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2017 62 88 90
2018 70 88 44 9 91 41 1 80 83 60 66 78 44 65 96 87
2019 100 99 96 86 100 74 61 31 68 96 93 94 97 82 94 86
2020 51 74 32 14 70 56 25 33 30 65 32 51 41 71 86 72
2021 28 64 7 1 81 32 1 15 7 67 72 74 47 74 96 75
2022 47 62 36 20 56 51 11 22 8 90 27 84 83 78 98 80
2023 72 77 51 29 85 62 58 11 8 53 61 37 58 80 98 77
2024 59 97 71
2025 28 55 4 2 88 31 8 36 6 64 94 53 73 55 98 76
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2017 23.2 7 6.0 1 3 6 2 28.6
2018 22.9 13 13.9 -1 5 13 4 30.8
2019 23.2 14 9.5 5 3 11 2 14.3
2020 19.6 4 3.5 1 3 3 1 25.0
2021 23.4 16 15.9 0 8 13 6 37.5
2022 23.1 12 11.5 1 3 9 5 41.7
2023 24.4 5 5.5 -1 8 2 3 60.0
2024 24.7 6 5.6 0 3 4 2 33.3
2025 27.7 3 3.3 0 0 1 3 100.0
Player 23.4 80 74.7 5 36 62 28 35.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2017 7 5 5 6 8 7 8 5 5 5 8 11 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 7 5 4 8 6 5 5 6 8 5 7 4
2018 13 19 13 10 13 12 16 14 13 10 13 17 14 12 13 14 12 13 17 15 15 16 17 17 9 10 13 14 17 15 13
2019 14 12 6 10 12 11 13 9 9 3 10 11 8 6 11 10 10 9 8 13 5 11 13 11 9 8 8 13 11 9 6
2020 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 2 3 4 4 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 5 4 5 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 1
2021 16 20 12 17 16 16 19 17 13 9 14 18 16 11 18 20 16 16 19 17 13 17 20 20 13 13 19 17 14 14 13
2022 12 12 9 7 9 12 14 9 7 10 11 12 13 12 13 13 13 11 12 12 13 13 15 12 11 11 10 13 12 12 12
2023 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 3 5 5 7 7 5 5 5 7 5 4 6 6 7 6 8 5 5 4 7 7 6 6
2024 6 5 6 6 5 6 6 6 5 4 5 6 7 5 6 5 5 5 6 6 5 6 8 6 5 6 6 6 7 5 4
2025 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 4 3 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
Player 80 85 63 67 75 75 88 71 62 51 72 89 78 61 78 79 74 71 77 83 70 82 95 88 63 64 73 86 81 76 63
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-   2025
Fastball Velocity 90.9 0.2 91.1 1.4 92.5 -1.0 91.5 0.2 91.7 1.2 92.9 0.0 92.9 -0.9 92.0 0.7 92.7
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 2.3 87.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.9 1.5 88.4 -2.5 85.9 -2.0 83.9 0.6 84.5
Breaking Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.3 1.6 81.9 2.4 84.3 -2.2 82.1 -0.7 81.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Exit Velocity 89.0 -1.8 87.2 2.1 89.3 -0.1 89.2 1.2 90.4 -0.8 89.6 1.0 90.6 -0.2 90.4 -0.2 90.2
Launch Angle 25.4 -0.1 25.3 -3.9 21.4 2.9 24.3 2.2 26.5 -13.8 12.7 7.2 19.9 1.0 20.9 12.1 33.0
Barrel % 5.3 5.4 10.7 -4.3 6.4 2.7 9.1 4.7 13.8 -4.0 9.8 -2.3 7.5 1.2 8.7 6.7 15.4
Hard Hit % 30.5 0.6 31.1 3.3 34.4 5.6 40.0 5.4 45.4 -0.6 44.8 0.4 45.2 5.3 50.5 3.3 53.8
LA Sweet-Spot % 29.8 -1.6 28.2 0.5 28.7 -1.4 27.3 14.7 42.0 -7.0 35.0 -0.6 34.4 2.5 36.9 -13.8 23.1
xBA .192 0.010 .202 -0.028 .174 0.042 .216 0.012 .228 -0.001 .227 -0.006 .221 0.023 .244 -0.006 .238
BA .212 0.018 .230 -0.051 .179 0.003 .182 0.049 .231 0.014 .245 -0.064 .181 0.097 .278 -0.164 .114
xwOBA .239 0.051 .290 -0.067 .223 0.091 .314 0.015 .329 -0.023 .306 -0.010 .296 0.012 .308 0.048 .356
wOBA .260 0.065 .325 -0.081 .244 0.033 .277 0.059 .336 -0.002 .334 -0.093 .241 0.089 .330 -0.112 .218
xSLG .319 0.082 .401 -0.095 .306 0.132 .438 0.053 .491 -0.093 .398 0.004 .402 0.007 .409 0.187 .596
SLG .364 0.109 .473 -0.104 .369 0.008 .377 0.135 .512 -0.055 .457 -0.151 .306 0.138 .444 -0.073 .371
K% 28.6 -4.6 24.0 12.0 36.0 -9.6 26.4 -0.2 26.2 4.5 30.7 -6.9 23.8 4.0 27.8 -2.8 25.0
BB% 4.1 3.2 7.3 -2.4 4.9 5.4 10.3 -3.5 6.8 2.7 9.5 -1.8 7.7 -0.7 7.0 -4.2 2.8
Swing % 54.0 -1.6 52.4 2.5 54.9 -6.8 48.1 4.4 52.5 -0.8 51.7 2.9 54.6 -1.0 53.6 3.1 56.7
Whiff% 27.6 2.0 29.6 5.5 35.1 -8.4 26.7 3.0 29.7 1.1 30.8 -6.4 24.4 5.2 29.6 -3.3 26.3
In Zone % 57.5 -5.6 51.9 0.7 52.6 -4.5 48.1 2.9 51.0 -2.5 48.5 6.0 54.5 -0.9 53.6 6.1 59.7
Out of Zone % 42.5 5.6 48.1 -0.7 47.4 4.5 51.9 -2.9 49.0 2.5 51.5 -6.0 45.5 0.9 46.4 -6.1 40.3
Out of Zone Swing % 28.3 -0.8 27.5 8.0 35.5 -8.7 26.8 0.9 27.7 4.9 32.6 -3.2 29.4 2.2 31.6 -0.1 31.5
First Pitch Swing % 36.2 -0.3 35.9 -0.6 35.3 13.0 48.3 -8.0 40.3 -0.6 39.7 0.2 39.9 1.9 41.8 -0.1 41.7
First Pitch Strike % 62.2 -4.6 57.6 8.2 65.8 10.1 75.9 -16.2 59.7 4.6 64.3 -1.2 63.1 9.7 72.8 -6.1 66.7
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2017 Shifts 196 .260 130 5 3.8 66 33 50.0
2018 Shifts 261 .325 168 8 4.8 93 28 30.1
2019 Shifts 266 .244 171 115 67.3 95 74 77.9
2020 Shifts 87 .277 43 0 0.0 44 21 47.7
2021 Shifts 263 .336 148 4 2.7 115 75 65.2
2022 Shifts 272 .334 155 33 21.3 117 81 69.2
2023 Shades 271 .241 153 22 14.4 118 76 64.4
2024 Shades 157 .332 94 5 5.3 63 45 71.4
2025 Shades 36 .218 21 12 57.1 15 8 53.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2017 208 20.5 0.5% 3.8% 84 25.6 0.0% 14.3%
2018 274 20.5 3.6% 6.9% 140 28.0 0.0% 32.9%
2019 319 25.0 0.0% 13.5% 112 28.7 0.0% 40.2%
2020 123 24.0 0.0% 10.6% 42 26.5 0.0% 19.0%
2021 310 24.2 0.0% 9.7% 143 29.2 0.0% 44.8%
2022 261 23.8 0.0% 12.3% 199 26.6 0.0% 21.6%
2023 259 16.8 13.5% 1.9% 139 19.1 0.0% 2.9%
2024 131 17.3 8.4% 0.8% 89 20.2 0.0% 3.4%
2025 40 17.1 2.5% 0.0% 7 19.6 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution