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Marco Estrada
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 0" 180LBS | Age: 41
Draft: 2005 | Rd: 6, #174, Washington Nationals | Long Beach State
W
L
ERA
G
GS
SV
IP
SO
WHIP
2017 10 9 4.98 33 33 0 186 176 1.38
2018 7 14 5.64 28 28 0 143.2 103 1.43
2019 0 2 6.85 5 5 0 23.2 11 1.31
12 Seasons 62 68 4.29 283 194 0 1,251.1 1,094 1.21
G
W-L
ERA
IP
SO
WHIP
2017 33 10-9 4.98 186 176 1.38
2018 28 7-14 5.64 143.2 103 1.43
2019 5 0-2 6.85 23.2 11 1.31
12 Seasons 283 62-68 4.29 1,251.1 1,094 1.21
20192019 MLB Percentile Rankings
ValuesavantPOORAVERAGEGREATPitching Run Value-4NOT QUALIFIEDFastball Run Value-2NOT QUALIFIEDBreaking Run Value-2NOT QUALIFIEDOffspeed Run Value-1NOT QUALIFIEDPitchingxERA5.23NOT QUALIFIEDxBA.225NOT QUALIFIEDFastball Velo87.3NOT QUALIFIED2Avg Exit Velocity87.7NOT QUALIFIEDChase %18.1NOT QUALIFIEDWhiff %17.1NOT QUALIFIEDK %10.4NOT QUALIFIEDBB %7.5NOT QUALIFIEDBarrel %8.3NOT QUALIFIEDHard-Hit %29.2NOT QUALIFIEDGB %20.2NOT QUALIFIEDExtension5.3NOT QUALIFIED2
20192019 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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MLB AVG.12"24"6"12"18"24"12"24"12"24"7.2 INCHES BREAK11.2 INCHES DROP3.9 INCHES BREAK11.6 INCHES RISEAVG12.3 INCHES TAIL18.2 INCHES RISEAVG4.2 INCHES TAIL22.9 INCHES RISEAVG1B3BMOVES TOWARD︎MORERISEMOREDROPUSAGEMPHRHP AVG4-Seam43%87.393.8Change26%75.785.3Cutter10%83.889.1Curve3%75.479.6SAMPLE100 PITCH

Statcast Statistics

Season
Age
Pitches
Batted
Balls
Barrels
Barrel %
Barrel/PA
Exit
Velocity
Max EV
Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA
XSLG
WOBA
XWOBA
XWOBACON
HardHit%
K%
BB%
ERA
xERA
2015 31 2913 533 28 5.3 3.9 87.8 112.8 20.4 31.0 .218 .372 .276 .288 .316 30.8 18.1 7.6 3.13 3.41
2016 32 2843 489 36 7.4 5.0 88.1 113.2 21.3 31.9 .221 .377 .279 .296 .343 31.5 22.8 9.0 3.48 3.66
2017 33 3246 556 39 7.0 4.8 87.0 113.6 21.8 30.8 .229 .409 .333 .305 .351 30.2 21.8 8.8 4.98 3.98
2018 34 2500 471 44 9.3 7.0 87.5 112.9 24.7 37.6 .244 .454 .360 .332 .365 33.3 16.4 8.0 5.64 4.73
2019 35 408 84 7 8.3 6.6 87.7 111.8 29.1 22.6 .225 .485 .354 .341 .338 29.2 10.4 7.5 6.84 5.23
Player 11910 2133 154 7.2 5.2 87.6 113.6 22.2 32.3 .227 .404 .313 .306 .343 31.3 19.6 8.3
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Estrada relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(52.6%) ,
Changeup
(31.5%) ,
Cutter
(11.7%) ,
Curveball
(4.2%) ,

Four Seamer175 Pitches (52.6%)
Changeup105 Pitches (31.5%)
Cutter39 Pitches (11.7%)
Curveball14 Pitches (4.2%)

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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups
All Batted Balls
Batted Ball Breakdown
Season
GB %
AIR %
FB %
LD %
PU %
Pull %
Straight %
Oppo %
Pull GB %
Straight GB %
Oppo GB %
Pull AIR %
Straight AIR %
Oppo AIR %
2015 34.0 66.0 29.6 22.0 14.4 34.1 38.1 27.8 15.9 14.3 3.8 18.2 23.8 24.0
2016 34.6 65.4 27.2 22.1 16.2 38.9 33.5 27.6 17.0 12.9 4.7 21.9 20.7 22.9
2017 31.3 68.7 29.7 23.6 15.5 38.1 32.4 28.2 13.3 12.2 5.6 24.8 20.1 22.7
2018 25.7 74.3 33.5 26.1 14.6 36.7 38.9 23.1 13.0 9.6 3.2 23.8 29.3 20.0
2019 20.2 79.8 36.9 16.7 26.2 34.5 40.5 25.0 9.5 7.1 3.6 25.0 33.3 21.4
Player 31.0 69.0 30.2 23.1 15.6 36.8 35.8 26.7 14.6 12.1 4.3 22.3 23.7 22.4
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 20.6 17.8 6.0 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season
Weak %
Topped %
Under %
Flare/Burner %
Solid %
Barrel %
Barrel/PA
2015 1.7 26.5 40.3 19.1 5.6 5.3 3.9
2016 3.5 22.7 36.2 22.7 4.1 7.4 5.0
2017 4.0 22.1 39.4 21.8 5.0 7.0 4.8
2018 3.2 17.8 40.8 19.7 7.9 9.3 7.0
2019 4.8 13.1 39.3 8.3 3.6 8.3 6.6
Player 3.1 22.0 39.2 20.3 5.5 7.2 5.2
MLB 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

Created with Highcharts 6.2.0Chart context menuMarco Estrada Vertical Movement vs Avg (Inches) by SeasonSource: baseballsavant.mlb.comFour SeamerCutterChangeupCurveball20152016201720182019-7.5-5-2.502.557.510

How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)
Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
Year
Pitch
Team
Hand
#
MPH
Vertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. Avg
Horizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2019 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 175 87.3 14.6 5.0 4.2ARM -2.3 22.9 7.3 4.2ARM -3.3
2019 Cutter OAK R 39 83.8 29.0 4.0 3.9GLV 1.3 11.6 3.8 3.9GLV 1.3
2019 Changeup OAK R 105 75.7 31.5 -2.7 12.3ARM -0.2 18.2 -11.3 12.3ARM -1.2
2019 Curveball OAK R 14 75.4 63.0 2.0 7.2GLV -0.9 -11.2 1.5 7.2GLV -2.0
2018 4-Seam Fastball TOR R 1232 88.5 14.0 4.0 4.2ARM -1.6 22.5 6.8 4.2ARM -3.0
2018 Cutter TOR R 151 84.9 29.9 2.2 4.9GLV 0.9 9.7 1.4 4.9GLV 2.3
2018 Changeup TOR R 923 76.8 29.6 -2.4 10.0ARM -0.9 18.6 -11.9 10.0ARM -3.3
2018 Curveball TOR R 190 76.6 60.1 -0.7 5.6GLV -3.1 -10.2 0.6 5.6GLV -3.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year
Pitch Type
Team
RV/100
Run Value
Pitches
%
PA
BA
SLG
wOBA
Whiff%
K%
PutAway %
xBA
xSLG
xwOBA
Hard Hit %
2019 4-Seam Fastball -0.8 -1 175 42.9 41 .176 .529 .380 10.3 12.2 11.4 .259 .691 .434 41.4
2019 Changeup -0.5 -1 105 25.7 35 .188 .375 .296 30.2 14.3 14.7 .155 .285 .246 14.8
2019 Cutter -1.7 -1 39 9.6 5 .600 .600 .540 16.7 0.0 0.0 .352 .432 .340 40.0
2019 Curveball -13.4 -2 14 3.4 4 .750 1.250 .850 0.0 0.0 0.0 .395 .515 .392 25.0
2018 4-Seam Fastball -1.0 -13 1,232 49.3 299 .288 .592 .390 17.0 14.4 12.1 .269 .573 .388 41.7
2018 Changeup -0.5 -5 923 36.9 270 .252 .450 .333 32.1 18.1 15.0 .211 .331 .280 23.1
2018 Curveball -0.6 -1 191 7.6 36 .250 .444 .294 9.4 25.0 12.5 .252 .361 .265 33.3
2018 Cutter -2.3 -4 151 6.0 22 .381 .571 .425 25.5 9.1 5.9 .293 .496 .350 36.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year
Team
PA
Pitches
Heart
Shadow
Chase
Waste
All
2008 61 231 -1 -2 -1 -2 -5
2009 32 151 -1 2 0 -1 0
2010 57 237 0 0 -2 -2 -5
2011 379 1,540 4 12 -7 -6 3
2012 562 2,244 -4 26 -7 -7 7
2013 512 1,991 5 19 -11 -5 8
2014 614 2,488 1 11 -13 -7 -8
2015 722 2,907 21 33 -20 -10 24
2016 722 2,838 27 29 -23 -9 23
2017 806 3,242 1 34 -30 -13 -7
2018 627 2,497 -1 16 -29 -8 -22
2019 85 333 2 -2 -3 -2 -4
Player 5,179 20,699 53 178 -146 53 15
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Plate Discipline

Season
Pitches
Zone %
Zone Swing %
Zone Contact %
Chase %
Chase Contact %
Edge %
1st Pitch Strike %
Swing %
Whiff %
Meatball %
Meatball Swing %
2015 2,913 50.6 71.0 80.0 27.6 71.0 44.0 57.9 49.6 21.9 7.4 81.9
2016 2,843 46.2 67.2 78.7 27.3 61.7 45.1 58.9 45.8 26.2 6.1 77.0
2017 3,246 50.4 70.9 76.9 27.3 70.5 45.5 58.7 49.3 24.2 6.4 81.2
2018 2,500 47.8 72.8 79.7 26.3 67.3 44.8 63.8 48.6 23.3 5.7 80.4
2019 408 46.8 75.6 83.1 18.1 68.8 49.2 58.5 45.8 17.1 4.5 93.3
Player 11,910 48.8 70.6 78.9 26.9 67.7 45.0 59.6 48.3 23.6 6.4 80.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year
xwOBA /
xERA
xBA
xSLG
xISO
xOBP
Brl
Brl%
EV
Hard
Hit%
K%
BB%
Whiff%
Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 73 81 58 33 79 14 41 59 69 35 47 42 28 13 85 86 10
2016 68 81 63 49 73 9 19 63 74 64 33 75 29 6 88 85 2
2017 59 73 44 31 74 4 29 55 73 52 41 49 46 11 87 78 2
2018 23 44 11 5 49 1 7 73 67 13 53 38 30 4 70 71 3
2019 2 58 2
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year
Team
Avg HR Trot
Actual HR
xHR
HR-xHR
Doubters
Mostly Gone
No Doubters
No Doubter %
2016 21.8 26 25.8 0 18 21 11 42.3
2017 23.2 31 25.7 5 11 22 11 35.5
2018 22.9 29 29.3 0 10 26 11 37.9
2019 22.5 7 5.0 2 0 5 1 14.3
Player 22.7 93 85.8 7 39 74 34 36.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year
HR
2016 26 27 18 31 25 22 31 27 26 17 25 34 24 19 24 27 13 23 24 30 22 21 38 35 23 23 28 38 30 30 18
2017 31 24 24 30 31 27 32 25 19 19 25 36 24 26 25 24 21 20 26 28 26 23 35 27 26 19 27 34 28 27 14
2018 29 35 20 28 30 28 34 26 27 17 29 34 28 23 30 33 26 31 29 36 33 32 42 36 21 21 28 31 33 31 26
2019 7 6 2 4 6 6 6 6 3 3 6 3 6 4 5 6 6 5 3 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 3 6 6 6 3
Player 93 92 64 93 92 83 103 84 75 56 85 107 82 72 84 90 66 79 82 100 86 82 121 104 76 69 86 109 97 94 61
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric
2015
2016
+/-
 
2017
+/-
 
2018
+/-
 
2019
+/-
 
Fastball Velocity 89.7 88.3 -1.4 89.5 1.2 88.2 -1.3 86.7 -1.5
Offspeed Velocity 79.1 77.5 -1.6 77.5 0.0 76.8 -0.7 75.7 -1.1
Breaking Velocity 77.8 76.6 -1.2 77.5 0.9 76.6 -0.9 75.4 -1.2
Exit Velocity 87.8 88.1 0.3 87.0 -1.1 87.5 0.5 87.7 0.2
Launch Angle 20.4 21.3 0.9 21.8 0.5 24.7 2.9 29.1 4.4
Barrel % 5.3 7.4 2.1 7.0 -0.4 9.3 2.3 8.3 -1.0
Hard Hit % 30.8 31.5 0.7 30.2 -1.3 33.3 3.1 29.2 -4.1
LA Sweet-Spot % 31.0 31.9 0.9 30.8 -1.1 37.6 6.8 22.6 -15.0
xBA .218 .221 0.003 .229 0.008 .244 0.015 .225 -0.019
BA .203 .203 0.000 .256 0.053 .274 0.018 .242 -0.032
xwOBA .288 .296 0.008 .305 0.009 .332 0.027 .341 0.009
wOBA .276 .279 0.003 .333 0.054 .360 0.027 .354 -0.006
xSLG .372 .377 0.005 .409 0.032 .454 0.045 .485 0.031
SLG .364 .361 -0.003 .463 0.102 .521 0.058 .537 0.016
K% 18.1 22.8 4.7 21.8 -1.0 16.4 -5.4 10.4 -6.0
BB% 7.6 9.0 1.4 8.8 -0.2 8.0 -0.8 7.5 -0.5
Swing % 49.6 45.8 -3.8 49.3 3.5 48.6 -0.7 45.8 -2.8
Whiff% 21.9 26.2 4.3 24.2 -2.0 23.3 -0.9 17.1 -6.2
In Zone % 50.6 46.2 -4.4 50.4 4.2 47.8 -2.6 46.8 -1.0
Out of Zone % 49.4 53.8 4.4 49.6 -4.2 52.2 2.6 53.2 1.0
Out of Zone Swing % 27.6 27.3 -0.3 27.3 0.0 26.3 -1.0 18.1 -8.2
First Pitch Swing % 29.4 28.8 -0.6 28.0 -0.8 30.5 2.5 29.2 -1.3
First Pitch Strike % 57.9 58.9 1.0 58.7 -0.2 63.8 5.1 58.5 -5.3
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHH
vs LHH
Year
Alignment Type
PA
wOBA
PA
Total
%
PA
Total
%
2016 Shifts 693 .277 323 2 0.6 370 111 30.0
2017 Shifts 805 .333 450 5 1.1 355 98 27.6
2018 Shifts 627 .360 360 12 3.3 267 105 39.3
2019 Shifts 85 .349 52 2 3.8 33 16 48.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases Empty
Runners On Base
Season
Team
Pitches
Tempo
Fast %
Slow %
Pitches
Tempo
Fast %
Slow %
2010 56 15.5 44.6% 0.0% 51 21.0 0.0% 3.9%
2011 501 15.2 46.5% 0.8% 221 23.3 0.0% 8.6%
2012 627 15.7 39.6% 0.3% 326 23.0 1.5% 9.5%
2013 678 15.4 44.7% 0.4% 243 23.6 5.8% 7.8%
2014 802 15.4 43.9% 0.1% 325 23.4 1.2% 9.8%
2015 921 17.5 26.7% 2.6% 383 25.0 4.4% 25.8%
2016 880 16.5 36.0% 2.4% 473 22.6 6.3% 12.7%
2017 918 16.2 32.7% 0.8% 520 22.0 0.4% 5.6%
2018 760 15.8 37.5% 0.1% 367 20.6 0.0% 3.0%
2019 106 17.2 25.5% 0.0% 56 23.3 0.0% 3.6%

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Pitch Distribution

Marco Estrada - 2019 Frequency of Pitches by Pitch Speed4-Seam FastballChangeupCurveballCutterAll Pitches75 MPH80 MPH85 MPH90 MPHPitch Speed0%5%10%15%20%Frequency of Speed