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Zach Davies
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 0" 180LBS | Age: 28

Draft: 2011 | Rd: 26, #785, Baltimore Orioles | Mesquite (AZ) HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 6 12 5.78 32 32 0 148.0 114 1.60
7 Seasons 56 48 4.14 155 155 0 831.2 611 1.33
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 32 6-12 5.78 148.0 114 1.60
7 Seasons 155 56-48 4.14 831.2 611 1.33

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 22 539 100 3 3 87 106.4 5.9 27 .249 .344 .277 .306 .322 29 17.3 10.8 3.71 4.05
2016 23 2588 503 26 5.2 87.6 111.8 11.4 31.2 .235 .364 .313 .285 .326 29.6 19.8 5.6 3.97 3.50
2017 24 3089 629 25 4 86.2 111.1 7.4 34 .285 .426 .323 .333 .364 31.1 15.2 6.7 3.90 4.93
2018 25 1124 205 8 3.9 88.5 111.9 8.7 33.7 .267 .411 .326 .325 .363 39.5 17.5 7.5 4.77 4.57
2019 26 2680 516 37 7.2 88.7 113.8 13.8 37 .274 .461 .309 .337 .368 33.3 15.2 7.6 3.55 5.20
2020 27 1055 194 20 10.3 87.5 111.3 14.6 36.1 .268 .474 .273 .343 .420 36.6 22.8 6.9 2.73 5.13
2021 28 2577 473 43 9.1 89.8 112.2 11 36.2 .293 .481 .366 .376 .415 43.3 17.1 11.2 5.78 6.40
13652 2620 162 6.2 87.9 113.8 10.6 34.3 .270 .430 .321 .332 .369 34.5 17.3 7.8
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Davies relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(52.5%) ,
Changeup
(32.9%) ,
Cutter
(7.5%) ,
Curveball
(7.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Sinker 1352 872 480 52.5 88.0 318 262 80 47 24 0 9 34 231 .305 .330 .500 .556 .399 .431 91.6 10 2018 6.1 9.8 12.7
2021 Changeup 849 448 401 32.9 78.5 256 233 60 35 12 1 12 67 171 .258 .248 .472 .392 .332 .305 84.5 8 1700 6.2 36.7 22.7
2021 Cutter 194 19 175 7.5 86.6 51 42 10 4 3 0 3 7 37 .238 .309 .524 .572 .363 .434 86.2 20 2092 6.1 6.1 14.9
2021 Curveball 182 103 79 7.1 74.3 41 40 12 9 2 0 1 6 34 .300 .300 .425 .415 .319 .319 85.3 8 2456 6.0 19.7 19.4
2020 Sinker 445 262 183 42.2 88.4 100 87 23 17 3 0 3 19 69 .264 .288 .402 .521 .330 .391 89.0 9 2052 6.1 10.2 23.5
2020 Changeup 436 254 182 41.3 79.4 142 136 24 14 4 1 5 41 96 .176 .254 .331 .437 .229 .307 83.1 13 1728 6.1 35.9 27.2
2020 Cutter 144 64 80 13.6 86.9 33 31 8 6 1 0 1 3 28 .258 .260 .387 .453 .300 .328 88.4 29 2186 6.1 10.4 10.3
2020 Curveball 30 16 14 2.8 74.5 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .647 .000 1.993 .000 1.056 101.3 25 2509 6.0 25.0 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 58 8 29 5 39 37 24 1 47 15 30 3 3
2016 47.3 18.7 27.2 6.8 38.4 38.8 22.9 3.4 33.2 23.9 26.8 3.2 5.2
2017 51.4 16.4 27.5 4.8 32.9 42.1 25 7.3 35.5 18.4 28.1 4.8 4
2018 48.3 19 26.3 6.3 40.5 43.4 16.1 4.9 35.6 19 25.9 9.8 3.9
2019 41.5 22.7 28.3 7.6 32.9 41.3 25.8 2.3 29.5 26.4 26.6 6 7.2
2020 43.3 20.6 27.8 8.2 37.6 38.7 23.7 5.7 29.4 24.7 25.8 3.6 10.3
2021 44 23.3 27.3 5.5 40 40.2 19.9 6.1 29.4 20.9 27.7 6.6 9.1
46.7 19.5 27.6 6.2 36.4 40.6 23 4.8 32.7 21.9 27.2 5.3 6.2
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Cutter CHC R 194 86.6 23.6 5.6 19 4.8 -7.2 -302
2021 Sinker CHC R 1352 88 22.6 -2.5 -10 14.5 0.1 1
2021 Changeup CHC R 847 78.5 36.5 -0.3 -1 13.7 -0.5 -3
2021 Curveball CHC R 182 74.3 59.5 -1.1 -2 9.4 -1.4 -13
2020 Changeup SD R 436 79.4 35.2 -0.4 -1 14.4 0.5 4
2020 Sinker SD R 443 88.4 22.4 -3.1 -12 14.5 -0.2 -1
2020 Curveball SD R 30 74.5 60.8 -0.2 0 9.6 -1.1 -10
2020 Cutter SD R 143 86.9 22.4 6.1 21 5.1 -7.5 -313
2019 Slider MIL R 20 80.4 43.3 0 0 5.3 -4.1 -43
2019 Cutter MIL R 317 87 24.1 5.1 18 4.6 -7 -293
2019 Curveball MIL R 95 75.5 59.3 -0.9 -2 8.7 -2 -19
2019 Sinker MIL R 1408 88.4 22.8 -2.8 -11 16.1 1.5 10
2019 Changeup MIL R 838 80 35.3 0.3 1 15.3 0.9 6
2018 Curveball MIL R 183 75.5 63.7 3.7 6 10 -0.9 -8
2018 Slider MIL R 17 82.1 42.2 1.1 3 5.2 -1.9 -26
2018 Changeup MIL R 138 80.4 35.5 0.3 1 15.5 1.7 12
2018 Sinker MIL R 637 89.8 23.9 -1.2 -5 17.3 2.6 17
2018 Cutter MIL R 147 87.5 24.9 3 11 1 -3.1 -148
2017 Curveball MIL R 475 73.4 65.2 4.1 7 10.1 -1.4 -12
2017 Sinker MIL R 1777 89.7 22.9 -0.9 -4 16.9 1.9 13
2017 Cutter MIL R 392 86.5 26.3 2 7 0.6 -1.4 -69
2017 Changeup MIL R 429 79.4 34.5 1 3 16.1 3.3 25
2016 Sinker MIL R 1412 89.8 20.4 -1.9 -9 15.8 0.9 6
2016 Cutter MIL R 318 86 26.8 1.4 5 1 -1.9 -196
2016 Changeup MIL R 522 79 34.4 0.1 0 16.3 2.9 22
2016 Curveball MIL R 270 72.8 65.7 4.2 7 8.4 -1.8 -18
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Curveball 1.3 2 182 7.1 41 .3 .425 .324 19.7 14.6 19.4 .3 .415 .319 29.4
2021 Cutter 1.6 3 194 7.5 51 .238 .524 .365 6.1 13.7 14.9 .309 .572 .434 32.4
2021 Changeup 1.6 14 849 32.9 256 .258 .472 .34 36.7 26.2 22.7 .248 .392 .305 32.7
2021 Sinker 1.4 19 1352 52.5 318 .305 .5 .407 9.8 10.7 12.7 .33 .556 .433 55
2020 Curveball -0.1 0 30 2.8 1 0 0 0 25 0 0 .647 1.993 1.056 100
2020 Cutter 0.5 1 144 13.6 33 .258 .387 .332 10.4 9.1 10.3 .26 .453 .328 35.7
2020 Sinker -0.1 0 445 42.2 100 .264 .402 .335 10.2 19 23.5 .288 .521 .391 46.4
2020 Changeup -2.9 -12 436 41.3 142 .176 .331 .232 35.9 28.9 27.2 .254 .437 .307 29.2
2019 Slider 3 1 20 0.7 2 .5 .5 .45 20 50 12.5 .48 .558 .448 0
2019 Curveball 2.7 3 95 3.5 14 .429 .786 .579 7.4 0 0 .384 .675 .441 35.7
2019 Cutter 0.3 1 317 11.8 66 .226 .453 .379 9 13.6 11 .254 .482 .366 30.4
2019 Changeup -2.3 -19 838 31.3 256 .206 .311 .253 28.7 16.8 16.7 .262 .406 .303 26.1
2019 Sinker 0.2 3 1408 52.5 334 .291 .475 .366 9.2 14.7 12.6 .281 .491 .355 39.5
2018 Slider 8.1 1 17 1.5 2 1 1 .9 50 0 0 .666 .749 .631 0
2018 Cutter 2.7 4 147 13.1 37 .313 .625 .459 18.6 18.9 16.3 .28 .609 .417 40
2018 Changeup 1.2 2 138 12.3 40 .297 .486 .345 41.7 30 22.2 .244 .442 .311 30.8
2018 Curveball -2 -4 183 16.3 50 .224 .449 .278 22.6 14 15.2 .252 .359 .261 34.9
2018 Sinker -0.4 -3 637 56.7 148 .256 .364 .31 13.3 15.5 13.5 .271 .368 .327 44
2018 N/A 1 0.1
2017 Cutter -1.2 -5 392 12.7 119 .232 .402 .296 14.4 13.4 18.8 .276 .438 .327 33.3
2017 Changeup 1.2 5 429 13.9 126 .311 .445 .348 32.2 23.8 19 .299 .44 .334 27.5
2017 Curveball -0.2 -1 475 15.4 132 .248 .481 .322 30 24.2 20.9 .234 .367 .265 21.6
2017 Sinker 0.1 1 1777 57.5 433 .285 .404 .352 8.1 10.6 11.2 .301 .441 .358 34.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 424 79.4 99 16.6 2:15 2:15 0
2020 Curveball 29 74.5 70 17.5 7:30 7:15 15
2020 Cutter 135 86.9 80 14 1:15 12:45 30
2020 Sinker 423 88.5 98 19.3 1:30 1:45 -15
2021 Changeup 846 78.5 97 15.9 2:15 2:15 0
2021 Curveball 182 74.3 66 16.2 7:30 7:15 15
2021 Cutter 193 86.6 78 12.9 1:15 12:45 30
2021 Sinker 1345 88 99 19.3 1:30 1:45 -15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 139 533 -5 -2 2 2 -3
2016 661 2524 -7 -14 13 8 0
2017 812 3083 1 -44 31 12 0
2018 281 1141 -4 -11 9 6 0
2019 672 2678 -17 -32 28 9 -12
2020 311 1183 -4 -12 5 2 -8
2021 666 2577 10 -14 30 11 38
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 539 42.4 61.1 79 27.7 64.7 43 60.4 41.9 25.2 4.7 56
2016 2588 45.1 61.4 83.4 30.7 71.3 46.3 61.7 44.6 19.9 4.8 72.1
2017 3089 46.6 64.9 85.5 24.7 70.3 45.1 57.3 43.4 17.7 6.2 79.2
2018 1124 44.2 65.8 85.3 26 65.6 44.6 58.2 43.6 20.4 7.5 71.4
2019 2680 40.8 66.8 87.7 27.8 72.3 46.9 53.6 43.7 17.3 3.7 79.8
2020 1055 42.7 62.2 82.5 26.4 59.4 46.1 56.2 41.7 25.5 4.6 71.4
2021 2577 42.5 66.7 84.7 25.9 62 47.1 52.4 43.2 22.3 4.3 83.8
13652 43.7 64.6 84.9 27 67.9 46 56.6 43.5 20 5 76.4
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 11 17 69
2016 76 62 67 71 80 27 66 73 87 40 86 24 76 9 21 69
2017 25 7 33 66 18 24 85 75 67 11 77 8 25 10 30 73
2018 28 12 32 54 22 82 91 44 15 17 61 18 28 10 48 79
2019 22 12 21 30 29 9 45 47 75 5 59 2 22 4 48 70
2020 25 22 17 21 45 1 14 64 53 48 72 42 25 6 12 51
2021 3 2 8 20 0 5 28 25 16 10 16 21 3 3 8 51
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.4 20 21.2 -1 13 19 7 35
2020 23.9 11 12.8 -2 6 6 8 72.7
2021 23.3 25 21.3 4 16 18 8 32

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 20 20 26 20 28 18 19 26 21 26 26 23 12 20 20 27 16 21 15 24 15 15 17 24 19 27 22 19 27 16 26
2020 11 17 13 14 16 11 13 13 11 11 17 14 10 10 11 15 10 13 13 12 8 13 14 12 14 12 15 12 12 13 15
2021 25 25 22 24 25 18 16 27 17 21 25 21 12 15 17 25 15 25 21 22 13 17 21 27 24 21 27 21 33 19 23
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.1 89.1 0 89.1 0 89.4 0.3 88.1 -1.3 88.1 0 87.8 -0.3
Offspeed Velocity 78.8 79 0.2 79.4 0.4 80.4 1 80 -0.4 79.4 -0.6 78.5 -0.9
Breaking Velocity 71.9 72.8 0.9 73.4 0.6 76.1 2.7 76.4 0.3 74.5 -1.9 74.3 -0.2
Exit Velocity 87 87.6 0.6 86.2 -1.4 88.5 2.3 88.7 0.2 87.5 -1.2 89.8 2.3
Launch Angle 5.9 11.4 5.5 7.4 -4 8.7 1.3 13.8 5.1 14.6 0.8 11 -3.6
Barrel % 3 5.2 2.2 4 -1.2 3.9 -0.1 7.2 3.3 10.3 3.1 9.1 -1.2
Hard Hit % 29 29.6 0.6 31.1 1.5 39.5 8.4 33.3 -6.2 36.6 3.3 43.3 6.7
Sweet Spot % 27 31.2 4.2 34 2.8 33.7 -0.3 37 3.3 36.1 -0.9 36.2 0.1
xBA 0.249 0.235 -0.014 0.285 0.05 0.267 -0.018 0.274 0.007 0.268 -0.006 0.293 0.025
BA 0.211 0.263 0.052 0.275 0.012 0.269 -0.006 0.256 -0.013 0.216 -0.04 0.281 0.065
xwOBA 0.306 0.285 -0.021 0.333 0.048 0.325 -0.008 0.337 0.012 0.343 0.006 0.376 0.033
wOBA 0.277 0.313 0.036 0.323 0.01 0.326 0.003 0.309 -0.017 0.273 -0.036 0.366 0.093
xSLG 0.344 0.364 0.02 0.426 0.062 0.411 -0.015 0.461 0.05 0.474 0.013 0.481 0.007
SLG 0.317 0.418 0.101 0.424 0.006 0.438 0.014 0.416 -0.022 0.361 -0.055 0.485 0.124
K% 17.3 19.8 2.5 15.2 -4.6 17.5 2.3 15.2 -2.3 22.8 7.6 17.1 -5.7
BB% 10.8 5.6 -5.2 6.7 1.1 7.5 0.8 7.6 0.1 6.9 -0.7 11.2 4.3
Swing % 41.9 44.6 2.7 43.4 -1.2 43.6 0.2 43.7 0.1 41.7 -2 43.2 1.5
Whiff% 25.2 19.9 -5.3 17.7 -2.2 20.4 2.7 17.3 -3.1 25.5 8.2 22.3 -3.2
In Zone % 42.4 45.1 2.7 46.6 1.5 44.2 -2.4 40.8 -3.4 42.7 1.9 42.5 -0.2
Out of Zone % 57.6 54.9 -2.7 53.4 -1.5 55.8 2.4 59.2 3.4 57.3 -1.9 57.5 0.2
Out of Zone Swing % 27.7 30.7 3 24.7 -6 26 1.3 27.8 1.8 26.4 -1.4 25.9 -0.5
First Pitch Swing % 26.6 24.5 -2.1 24 -0.5 23.6 -0.4 23.8 0.2 23.9 0.1 21.9 -2
First Pitch Strike % 60.4 61.7 1.3 57.3 -4.4 58.2 0.9 53.6 -4.6 56.2 2.6 52.4 -3.8
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 656 .314 344 60 17.4 312 121 38.8
2017 812 .323 410 99 24.1 402 166 41.3
2018 277 .326 146 22 15.1 131 43 32.8
2019 672 .309 332 105 31.6 340 209 61.5
2020 276 .273 152 7 4.6 124 63 50.8
2021 666 .366 375 61 16.3 291 197 67.7

Pitch Distribution