Tony Watson
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 3" 224LBS | Age: 39
Draft: 2007 | Rd: 9, #278, Pittsburgh Pirates | Nebraska Lincoln
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2019 2 2 4.17 60 0 0 54 41 1.26
2020 1 0 2.50 21 0 2 18 15 0.89
2021 7 4 3.92 62 0 0 57.1 44 1.01
11 Seasons 47 29 2.90 689 0 32 648.1 570 1.08
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2019 60 2-2 4.17 54 41 1.26
2020 21 1-0 2.50 18 15 0.89
2021 62 7-4 3.92 57.1 44 1.01
11 Seasons 689 47-29 2.90 648.1 570 1.08
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 30 1116 210 7 3.3 2.4 85.4 111.5 11.0 29.0 .230 .334 .235 .276 .320 26.7 21.2 5.8 1.91 3.12
2016 31 1045 191 13 6.8 4.8 86.4 114.2 15.5 27.2 .224 .410 .288 .304 .353 27.7 21.3 7.4 3.06 3.88
2017 32 1010 213 6 2.8 2.1 84.3 109.6 9.0 32.4 .235 .343 .321 .276 .310 22.6 18.2 6.9 3.38 3.22
2018 33 959 174 11 6.3 4.2 87.3 112.2 14.1 31.6 .222 .365 .257 .271 .357 32.2 27.6 5.4 2.59 3.06
2019 34 813 173 11 6.4 4.8 87.4 113.7 11.1 34.7 .263 .446 .320 .325 .368 31.8 17.7 5.2 4.17 4.69
2020 35 280 54 5 9.3 6.8 84.8 113.1 10.7 31.5 .239 .400 .246 .303 .358 29.6 20.5 4.1 2.50 3.87
2021 36 866 163 10 6.1 4.4 86.0 114.3 10.5 31.9 .223 .358 .241 .282 .316 30.1 19.6 8.0 3.92 3.32
Player 6089 1178 63 5.3 3.8 86.0 114.3 11.8 31.1 .233 .375 .275 .289 .337 28.3 21.0 6.3
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Watson relies on 4 pitches.
Changeup
(33.3%) ,
Four Seamer
(25.2%) ,
Slider
(24.1%) ,
Sinker
(17.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 49.5 18.6 24.8 7.1 34.3 36.2 28.6 5.2 38.6 23.3 20.5 5.7 3.3 2.4
2016 46.1 24.6 18.3 11.0 37.2 36.1 26.7 4.2 36.1 26.7 17.8 5.2 6.8 4.8
2017 50.7 16.4 24.9 8.0 28.2 41.8 30.0 6.1 38.5 23.5 23.0 2.3 2.8 2.1
2018 46.6 23.0 22.4 8.0 31.0 37.9 31.0 2.9 36.8 28.2 17.2 6.3 6.3 4.2
2019 46.2 22.0 23.1 8.7 29.5 41.6 28.9 4.6 30.6 26.0 26.0 5.8 6.4 4.8
2020 50.0 25.9 18.5 5.6 40.7 38.9 20.4 1.9 44.4 22.2 14.8 5.6 9.3 6.8
2021 47.9 24.5 21.5 6.1 33.7 44.2 22.1 9.2 35.0 24.5 19.0 6.1 6.1 4.4
Player 48.0 21.5 22.4 8.1 32.7 39.5 27.7 5.2 36.5 25.1 20.4 5.2 5.3 3.8
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2021 Changeup SF L 288 85.9 30.3 -2.9 19.9ARM 4.6 7.2 0.6 19.9ARM 6.0
2021 Slider SF L 209 83.1 38.1 -0.8 3.5GLV -4.2 1.5 0.1 3.5GLV -1.3
2021 4-Seam Fastball SF L 218 92.5 21.8 -4.7 14.3ARM 4.9 10.3 -5.8 14.3ARM 6.7
2021 Sinker SF L 151 92.3 24.7 -0.4 18.5ARM 3.4 7.7 1.8 18.5ARM 3.8
2020 Slider SF L 39 81.2 39.4 -1.7 2.9GLV -3.7 2.0 -0.7 2.9GLV -2.2
2020 Changeup SF L 134 84.1 31.2 -3.3 18.8ARM 4.4 7.7 0.1 18.8ARM 5.2
2020 Sinker SF L 96 89.8 24.6 -2.5 15.8ARM 0.0 9.4 -0.7 15.8ARM 1.3
2020 4-Seam Fastball SF L 11 89.9 24.6 -5.7 11.1ARM 1.9 9.2 -6.8 11.1ARM 3.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Changeup 0.8 2 288 33.3 90 .195 .280 .251 26.8 7.8 8.0 .248 .410 .319 25.3
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1.0 2 218 25.2 53 .208 .313 .269 20.0 30.2 23.9 .179 .279 .242 37.5
2021 Slider 2.6 6 209 24.1 41 .098 .122 .118 41.6 43.9 27.7 .140 .175 .139 13.0
2021 Sinker 0.5 1 151 17.4 40 .278 .444 .350 13.0 7.5 10.7 .320 .554 .404 45.5
2020 Changeup 0.0 0 134 47.9 40 .194 .306 .309 27.6 12.5 11.6 .241 .399 .317 19.4
2020 Sinker 1.5 1 96 34.3 27 .222 .444 .315 23.9 33.3 40.9 .246 .431 .288 50.0
2020 Slider 2.0 1 39 13.9 4 .000 .000 .000 45.5 25.0 6.7 .034 .074 .263 33.3
2020 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 0 11 3.9 2 .000 .000 .450 0.0 0.0 0.0 .307 .339 .291 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 277 85.9 99 21.6 9:30 9:30 0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 210 92.5 93 17.6 10:00 10:00 0
2021 Sinker 138 92.3 95 20.5 10:00 9:30 30
2021 Slider 204 83.1 17 4.2 1:30 3:00 -90
2020 Changeup 102 84.1 100 20.6 9:30 9:30 0
2020 Sinker 65 89.8 95 18.7 10:00 10:00 0
2020 Slider 25 81.3 17 3.4 11:45 2:30 -165
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2011 169 625 4 6 -3 -2 6
2012 208 839 7 8 -2 -2 11
2013 296 1,132 12 14 -4 -5 17
2014 305 1,196 4 13 -2 -3 10
2015 293 1,104 13 15 -1 -4 23
2016 271 1,042 3 11 -1 -3 10
2017 308 1,083 -5 16 -1 -3 7
2018 258 958 7 12 -2 -4 13
2019 230 813 3 4 1 -6 2
2020 73 280 -1 3 1 -1 2
2021 224 866 8 14 -7 -3 11
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,116 45.8 71.7 79.7 36.0 67.8 46.4 65.2 52.6 23.9 5.3 77.6
2016 1,045 49.6 72.2 82.4 33.8 55.1 43.4 64.0 52.8 25.5 7.0 79.5
2017 1,010 49.6 72.4 79.7 38.4 63.7 42.2 67.7 55.2 25.6 6.9 71.0
2018 959 54.2 69.0 76.5 32.1 61.0 41.9 69.4 52.0 27.1 9.3 68.5
2019 813 49.0 70.4 81.1 35.7 60.8 43.3 69.1 52.6 25.9 7.0 70.2
2020 280 42.1 62.7 81.1 38.9 61.9 39.6 65.8 48.9 27.0 8.6 54.2
2021 866 47.1 65.7 78.0 32.3 64.2 44.2 60.3 48.0 26.2 6.2 75.9
Player 6,089 48.8 70.1 79.6 35.0 62.3 43.4 66.0 52.2 25.7 7.0 72.4
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 82 65 81 86 77 79 86 96 94 56 77 60 95 74 87 58
2016 59 77 44 18 76 55 30 91 91 54 58 69 89 65 77 48
2017 84 63 85 90 70 88 96 98 99 24 75 59 100 58 61 37
2018 88 71 66 56 92 68 51 76 74 80 91 66 90 44 70 28
2019 37 25 30 36 48 69 61 79 85 14 91 52 98 45 67 25
2020 9 56 26
2021 80 70 74 72 81 81 76 93 95 22 54 49 90 28 69 35
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.8 10 9.7 0 2 5 6 60.0
2017 21.3 9 5.5 4 4 8 0 0.0
2018 22.0 4 3.6 0 3 5 1 25.0
2019 22.2 9 8.9 0 2 4 6 66.7
2020 22.5 3 3.1 0 2 3 1 33.3
2021 21.1 4 3.6 0 1 1 3 75.0
Player 22.0 39 34.4 5 14 26 17 43.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2016 10 10 7 9 9 8 10 9 9 8 9 11 11 10 9 11 7 9 11 10 10 10 11 12 9 10 11 11 11 10 8
2017 9 3 6 5 8 8 8 4 4 3 5 9 4 4 6 6 5 3 7 5 4 4 7 6 8 3 6 8 6 7 2
2018 4 7 2 5 3 2 4 3 2 1 2 3 5 3 3 3 3 3 4 7 5 3 9 5 3 3 2 3 5 3 2
2019 9 11 9 10 8 9 9 10 6 8 8 8 9 8 9 10 9 9 9 8 9 10 10 10 10 8 6 8 11 9 9
2020 3 4 3 2 2 4 4 2 3 2 2 4 2 2 3 4 2 3 4 5 4 5 5 4 1 2 4 2 4 3 3
2021 4 4 4 3 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 3 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 5 5 3 4 4
Player 39 39 31 34 34 34 39 31 27 25 29 40 34 30 33 38 29 30 39 39 35 36 46 41 34 29 34 37 40 36 28
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.5 93.8 -0.7 ↓ 93.5 -0.3 ↓ 92.5 -1.0 ↓ 93.0 0.5 ↑ 89.8 -3.2 ↓ 92.4 2.6 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 85.7 85.8 0.1 ↑ 86.3 0.5 ↑ 85.5 -0.8 ↓ 86.1 0.6 ↑ 84.1 -2.0 ↓ 85.9 1.8 ↑
Breaking Velocity 83.5 86.3 2.8 ↑ 84.9 -1.4 ↓ 84.0 -0.9 ↓ 85.6 1.6 ↑ 81.2 -4.4 ↓ 83.1 1.9 ↑
Exit Velocity 85.4 86.4 1.0 ↑ 84.3 -2.1 ↓ 87.3 3.0 ↑ 87.4 0.1 ↑ 84.8 -2.6 ↓ 86.0 1.2 ↑
Launch Angle 11.0 15.5 4.5 ↑ 9.0 -6.5 ↓ 14.1 5.1 ↑ 11.1 -3.0 ↓ 10.7 -0.4 ↓ 10.5 -0.2 ↓
Barrel % 3.3 6.8 3.5 ↑ 2.8 -4.0 ↓ 6.3 3.5 ↑ 6.4 0.1 ↑ 9.3 2.9 ↑ 6.1 -3.2 ↓
Hard Hit % 26.7 27.7 1.0 ↑ 22.6 -5.1 ↓ 32.2 9.6 ↑ 31.8 -0.4 ↓ 29.6 -2.2 ↓ 30.1 0.5 ↑
LA Sweet-Spot % 29.0 27.2 -1.8 ↓ 32.4 5.2 ↑ 31.6 -0.8 ↓ 34.7 3.1 ↑ 31.5 -3.2 ↓ 31.9 0.4 ↑
xBA .230 .224 -0.006 ↓ .235 0.011 ↑ .222 -0.013 ↓ .263 0.041 ↑ .239 -0.024 ↓ .223 -0.016 ↓
BA .205 .215 0.010 ↑ .278 0.063 ↑ .224 -0.054 ↓ .264 0.040 ↑ .191 -0.073 ↓ .193 0.002 ↑
xwOBA .276 .304 0.028 ↑ .276 -0.028 ↓ .271 -0.005 ↓ .325 0.054 ↑ .303 -0.022 ↓ .282 -0.021 ↓
wOBA .235 .288 0.053 ↑ .321 0.033 ↑ .257 -0.064 ↓ .320 0.063 ↑ .246 -0.074 ↓ .241 -0.005 ↓
xSLG .334 .410 0.076 ↑ .343 -0.067 ↓ .365 0.022 ↑ .446 0.081 ↑ .400 -0.046 ↓ .358 -0.042 ↓
SLG .265 .393 0.128 ↑ .425 0.032 ↑ .332 -0.093 ↓ .439 0.107 ↑ .338 -0.101 ↓ .285 -0.053 ↓
K% 21.2 21.3 0.1 ↑ 18.2 -3.1 ↓ 27.6 9.4 ↑ 17.7 -9.9 ↓ 20.5 2.8 ↑ 19.6 -0.9 ↓
BB% 5.8 7.4 1.6 ↑ 6.9 -0.5 ↓ 5.4 -1.5 ↓ 5.2 -0.2 ↓ 4.1 -1.1 ↓ 8.0 3.9 ↑
Swing % 52.6 52.8 0.2 ↑ 55.2 2.4 ↑ 52.0 -3.2 ↓ 52.6 0.6 ↑ 48.9 -3.7 ↓ 48.0 -0.9 ↓
Whiff% 23.9 25.5 1.6 ↑ 25.6 0.1 ↑ 27.1 1.5 ↑ 25.9 -1.2 ↓ 27.0 1.1 ↑ 26.2 -0.8 ↓
In Zone % 45.8 49.6 3.8 ↑ 49.6 0.0 54.2 4.6 ↑ 49.0 -5.2 ↓ 42.1 -6.9 ↓ 47.1 5.0 ↑
Out of Zone % 54.2 50.4 -3.8 ↓ 50.4 0.0 45.8 -4.6 ↓ 51.0 5.2 ↑ 57.9 6.9 ↑ 52.9 -5.0 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 36.0 33.8 -2.2 ↓ 38.4 4.6 ↑ 32.1 -6.3 ↓ 35.7 3.6 ↑ 38.9 3.2 ↑ 32.3 -6.6 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 37.9 37.1 -0.8 ↓ 42.1 5.0 ↑ 41.1 -1.0 ↓ 36.5 -4.6 ↓ 28.8 -7.7 ↓ 31.3 2.5 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 65.2 64.0 -1.2 ↓ 67.7 3.7 ↑ 69.4 1.7 ↑ 69.1 -0.3 ↓ 65.8 -3.3 ↓ 60.3 -5.5 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 265 .285 188 11 5.9 77 11 14.3
2017 Shifts 280 .326 174 6 3.4 106 17 16.0
2018 Shifts 258 .257 148 8 5.4 110 18 16.4
2019 Shifts 230 .320 159 15 9.4 71 14 19.7
2020 Shifts 73 .246 46 2 4.3 27 14 51.9
2021 Shifts 221 .244 133 19 14.3 88 47 53.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2011 150 15.7 36.0% 0.7% 115 24.2 0.9% 13.0%
2012 191 20.5 2.6% 2.1% 161 25.4 0.0% 19.3%
2013 293 19.9 2.0% 2.4% 131 24.8 0.0% 14.5%
2014 320 19.6 3.8% 0.9% 173 24.3 0.0% 10.4%
2015 290 18.7 20.0% 3.8% 181 23.4 7.2% 23.2%
2016 270 18.5 21.9% 2.2% 169 22.2 8.9% 11.2%
2017 206 18.8 2.4% 1.5% 197 23.0 0.0% 12.2%
2018 267 18.9 4.5% 1.9% 149 23.4 0.0% 10.7%
2019 215 18.9 2.8% 1.4% 133 23.4 0.0% 9.8%
2020 84 20.4 1.2% 2.4% 48 25.2 0.0% 18.8%
2021 264 19.8 0.4% 1.9% 132 24.1 0.0% 11.4%

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Pitch Distribution

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